time-specific standard devs [keypoems]Time-Specific Net Change Percentage Standard Deviations Extensions
A candlestick is the story of how price moved during a single period: it opens, explores a high and a low, and finally closes.
The indicator asks one question:
“By what percentage did price change from open to close?”
That single percentage value – called the net-change % – is the raw material for everything that follows.
Why net-change % matters
If you collect that percentage for thousands of finished candles (daily candles, 1-hour, 4-hour – whatever you close) you get a probability distribution: most candles move only a little, a few move a lot. When you plot those percentages you get the familiar bell-curve. From any bell-curve you can read two key statistics:
Mean – the “typical” net-change.
Standard Deviation (σ) – how far a candle normally wanders from that mean.
A well-known property of a bell-curve is that ≈68 % of all observations stay between –1 σ and +1 σ, and ≈95 % stay within ±2 σ.
For traders that translates into a probabilistic map of where an unfinished candle is likely to close.
What the indicator draws
Open-anchored levels
Every box is centred on the candle’s open price.
The indicator draws boxes that mark +σ, +½ σ, –½ σ, –σ … as selected in the Inputs.
Time-specific calculation
Instead of mixing all 1-hour candles together, the script isolates only the 09:00-10:00 New-York hour (or any other slot you are at that moment) and builds a bell-curve from that subset.
The result is a set of expectations truly tailored to that exact hour’s behaviour.
Generic and Specific Std Dev Box
Indicator computes both generic levels – the classic “all candles aggregated” standard deviations, and specific levels – the refined, hour-by-hour (or 4-hour-by-4-hour, etc.) deviations.
The indicator shows Boxes that represent both aggregated values and "per period" standard deviation projection levels.
Mirrored levels (optional)
Negative σ levels are drawn automatically so you have symmetrical upside & downside projections.
Math behind the scenes
For each chosen higher-timeframe (HTF):
Collect the last N net-change % values (user-defined look-back, default 5 000 candles).
Compute:
μ = mean(net-change %)
σ = stdev(net-change %)
Project prices:
LevelPrice = Open × (1 + k × σ)
where k is 0 , ±0.5 , ±1 , ±1.5 … as enabled in the inputs.
Because everything is done in percentage space the technique adapts automatically to instruments that trade at very different absolute prices (equities, futures, crypto, FX).
How to read it in real time
When a developing candle races straight into +1 σ with plenty of time left, statistics say “68 % of the time it will finish back inside the box.”
A tag of +2 σ is an even rarer event (~5 % probability) – a natural place to look for exhaustion or take-profit cues.
Conversely, if price refuses to reverse at +1 σ and instead sticks above that edge, it is signalling an unusually strong session and may warrant trend-continuation tactics.
Key Inputs
Higher Timeframe Choose 5m to H8 reference frame
Show levels for last X periods
Look-back length Sample size for σ
StdDev Fibs Fib1 … Fib9 toggles & values: Decide which σ multiples to plot
Mirror levels Draw matching negative projections
Extend boxes Keep boxes visible beyond their candle
Best-practice usage
Combine with structure – treat σ edges as context, not automatic entry.
Mind the sample size – if you choose extremely narrow windows (e.g., Sunday 18:00-19:00 futures open) make sure your look-back still captures hundreds of cases.
Disclaimer
Trading involves risk. The author and this indicator simply display historical probability ranges; they do not assure profits or prevent losses. Always perform your own due diligence and, if necessary, consult a licensed financial professional before dealing in any financial instrument.
Desvio Padrão
Polynomial Deviation BandsThis indicator applies polynomial regression of selectable degree (1st to 4th) to recent price data, fitting a smooth curve that models the underlying price trend more flexibly than linear regression.
Around this polynomial regression line, it plots dynamic deviation bands calculated using a variety of selectable methods—including standard deviation, mean/median absolute deviation, exponential deviation, true range deviation, Hull, Frama, Kaufman adaptive, Gaussian weighted, and quantile deviation—providing a comprehensive view of price volatility and dispersion.
Key Features:
Polynomial regression fit updated on each bar, capturing nonlinear price trends.
Multiple deviation calculation options allow customization of band sensitivity and robustness.
Bands adjust dynamically to changing volatility and price behavior.
Overlay on price chart with optional candle coloring based on trend signals derived from price relative to bands.
Trend signals indicated by price crossing upper or lower bands.
Useful for identifying trend direction, potential support/resistance, and volatility expansion/contraction.
This tool combines advanced statistical modeling with flexible volatility measures to help traders better understand price structure and make informed trading decisions.
The indicator is computationally efficient despite polynomial fitting and offers extensive customization for diverse trading styles and markets.
Disclaimer
Disclaimer: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk and may result in financial loss. Always perform your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) Z-Score | [DeV]SOPR Z-Score
The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is an advanced on-chain metric designed to provide deep insights into Bitcoin market dynamics by measuring the ratio between the combined USD value of all Bitcoin outputs spent on a given day and their combined USD value at the time of creation (typically, their purchase price). As a member of the Realized Profit/Loss family of metrics, SOPR offers a window into aggregate seller behavior, effectively representing the USD amount received by sellers divided by the USD amount they originally paid. This indicator enhances this metric by normalizing it into a Z-Score, enabling a statistically robust analysis of market sentiment relative to historical trends, augmented by a suite of customizable features for precision and visualization.
SOPR Settings -
Lookback Length (Default: 150 days): Determines the historical window for calculating the Z-Score’s mean and standard deviation. A longer lookback captures broader market cycles, providing a stable baseline for identifying extreme deviations, which is particularly valuable for long-term strategic analysis.
Smoothing Period (Default: 100 days): Applies an EMA to the raw SOPR, balancing responsiveness to recent changes with noise reduction. This extended smoothing period ensures the indicator focuses on sustained shifts in seller behavior, ideal for institutional-grade trend analysis.
Moving Average Settings -
MA Lookback Length (Default: 90 days): Sets the period for the Z-Score’s moving average, offering a shorter-term trend signal relative to the 150-day Z-Score lookback. This contrast enhances the ability to detect momentum shifts within the broader context.
MA Type (Default: EMA): Provides six moving average types, from the simple SMA to the volume-weighted VWMA. The default EMA strikes an optimal balance between smoothness and responsiveness, while alternatives like HMA (Hull) or VWMA (volume-weighted) allow for specialized applications, such as emphasizing recent price action or incorporating volume dynamics.
Display Settings -
Show Moving Average (Default: True): Toggles the visibility of the Z-Score MA plot, enabling users to focus solely on the raw Z-Score when preferred.
Show Background Colors (Default: True): Activates dynamic background shading, enhancing visual interpretation of market regimes.
Background Color Source (Default: SOPR): Allows users to tie the background color to either the SOPR Z-Score’s midline (reflecting adjustedZScore > 0) or the MA’s trend direction (zScoreMA > zScoreMA ). This dual-source option provides flexibility to align the visual context with the primary analytical focus.
Analytical Applications -
Bear Market Resistance: When the Z-Score approaches or exceeds zero (raw SOPR near 1), it often signals resistance as sellers rush to exit at break-even, a pattern historically observed during downtrends. A rising Z-Score MA crossing zero can confirm this pressure.
Bull Market Support: Conversely, a Z-Score dropping below zero in uptrends indicates reluctance to sell at a loss, forming support as sell pressure diminishes. The MA’s bullish coloring reinforces confirmation of renewed buying interest.
Extreme Deviations: Values significantly above or below zero highlight overbought or oversold conditions, respectively, offering opportunities for contrarian positioning when paired with other on-chain or price-based metrics.
ATR% Multiple from MAThis indicator builds upon the original idea by jfsrevg of using the ATR% multiple from a daily 50-period moving average to highlight when a stock or instrument is extended relative to its own volatility. My version expands on this by incorporating an ADR% (Average Daily Range percentage) volatility filter, which helps refine the signals to adapt better to different instruments and timeframes.
What it does:
• Calculates the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) using daily data as the baseline trend reference.
• Measures the instrument’s Average True Range (ATR) relative to the current close (ATR%).
• Uses this ratio to identify when an instrument is significantly extended above its average volatility-based range.
• Adds a dynamic ADR% filter — computed as the average daily range divided by the daily close — to adjust the extension threshold dynamically based on recent price volatility.
• Plots small circles above price bars when extension conditions are met, signaling potential overbought conditions.
•The script works on both daily and weekly timeframes, but all volatility calculations are based on daily data to ensure consistency.
How to use:
• Traders can use this indicator to spot when a stock or instrument is significantly stretched relative to its own volatility, which may signal a good time to scale out or manage risk.
• The dynamic ADR% filter helps reduce false positives by adjusting thresholds based on market conditions.
• Use the customizable settings for ATR length, SMA length, and ADR length to fine-tune the indicator for your preferred instruments.
Original Contributions:
• Integrated an ADR% filter that refines the extension threshold based on real-time volatility.
• Added dynamic thresholds that adapt to market conditions, making the indicator more reliable across different instruments and timeframes.
• Maintained daily volatility calculations while allowing signals to appear on both daily and weekly charts.
Interpolated Median Volatility LSMA | OttoThis indicator combines trend-following and volatility analysis by enhancing traditional LSMA with percentile-based linear interpolation applied to both the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and standard deviation. Rather than relying on raw values, it uses the interpolated median (50th percentile) to smooth out noise while preserving sensitivity to significant price shifts. This approach produces a cleaner trend signal that remains responsive to real market changes, adapts to evolving volatility conditions, and improves the accuracy of breakout detection.
Core Concept
The indicator builds on these core components:
LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average): A linear regression-based moving average that fits line using user selected source over user defined period. It offers a smoother and more reactive trend signal compared to standard moving averages.
Standard Deviation shows how much price varies from the mean. In this indicator, it’s used to measure market volatility.
Volatility Bands: Instead of traditional Bollinger-style bands, this script calculates custom upper and lower bands using percentile-based linear interpolation on both the LSMA and standard deviation. This method produces smoother bands that filter out noise while remaining adaptive to meaningful price movements, making them more aligned with real market behavior and helping reduce false signals.
Percentile interpolation estimates a specific percentile (like the median — the 50th percentile) from a set of values — even when that percentile doesn't fall exactly on one data point. Instead of selecting a single nearest value, it calculates a smoothed value between nearby points. In this script, it’s used to find the median of past LSMA and standard deviation values, reducing the impact of outliers and smoothing the trend and volatility signals for more robust results.
Signal Logic: A long signal is identified when close price goes above the upper band, and a short signal when close price goes below the lower band.
⚙️ Inputs
Source: The price source used in calculations
LSMA Length: Period for calculating LSMA
Standard Deviation Length: Period for calculating volatility
Percentile Length: Period used for interpolating percentile values of LSMA and standard deviation
Multiplier: Controls the width of the bands by scaling the interpolated standard deviation
📈 Visual Output
Colored LSMA Line: Changes color based on signal (green for bullish, purple for bearish)
Upper & Lower Bands: Volatility bands calculated using interpolated values (green for bullish, purple for bearish)
Bar Coloring: Price bars are colored to reflect signal state (green for bullish, purple for bearish)
Optional Candlestick Overlay: Enhances visual context by coloring candles to match the signal state (green for bullish, purple for bearish)
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart and look for signals when close price goes above or below the bands.
Long Signal: close Price goes above the upper band
Short Signal: close Price goes below the lower band
🔔 Alerts:
This script supports alert conditions for long and short signals. You can set alerts based on band crossovers to be notified of potential entries/exits.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only. Trading/investing involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test and evaluate strategies before applying them in live markets. Use at your own risk.
IFF Analyzer - AccelPhase v1.99IFF Analyzer - AccelPhase v1.99 is an advanced technical module for quantitative market phase analysis.
This script provides:
✅ Smoothed acceleration curves (logarithmic return-based).
✅ Dynamic slope.
✅ Phase Strength Index (IFF).
✅ Z-Score for statistical anomaly detection.
✅ Quantitative interpretation of market context.
Designed to confirm phase shifts, filter out false signals, and optimize strategies across indices, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Invite-only script.
To get access: contact via DM or through Gumroad.
RTI Shifting Band Oscillator | QuantMAC📊 RTI Shifting Band Oscillator | QuantMAC - Revolutionary Adaptive Trading Indicator
🎯 Overview
The RTI Shifting Band Oscillator represents a breakthrough in adaptive technical analysis, combining the innovative Range Transition Index (RTI) with dynamic volatility bands to create an oscillator that automatically adjusts to changing market conditions. This cutting-edge indicator goes beyond traditional static approaches by using RTI to dynamically shift band width based on market volatility transitions, providing superior signal accuracy across different market regimes.
🔧 Key Features
Revolutionary RTI Technology : Proprietary Range Transition Index that measures volatility transitions in real-time
Dynamic Adaptive Bands : Self-adjusting volatility bands that expand and contract based on RTI readings
Dual Trading Modes : Flexible Long/Short or Long/Cash strategies for different trading preferences
Advanced Performance Analytics : Comprehensive metrics including Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega ratios
Smart Visual System : Dynamic color coding with 9 professional color schemes
Precision Backtesting : Date range filtering with detailed historical performance analysis
Real-time Signal Generation : Clear entry/exit signals with customizable threshold sensitivity
Position Sizing Intelligence : Half Kelly criterion for optimal risk management
📈 How The RTI Technology Works
The Range Transition Index (RTI) is the heart of this indicator's innovation. Unlike traditional volatility measures, RTI analyzes the transitions between different volatility states, providing early warning signals for market regime changes.
RTI Calculation Process:
Calculate True Range for each period using high, low, and previous close
Compute Average True Range over the RTI Length period
Sum absolute differences between consecutive True Range values
Normalize by dividing by ATR to create the raw RTI
Apply smoothing to reduce noise and create the final RTI value
Use RTI to dynamically adjust standard deviation multipliers
The genius of RTI lies in its ability to detect when markets are transitioning between calm and volatile periods before traditional indicators catch up. This provides traders with a significant edge in timing entries and exits.
⚙️ Comprehensive Parameter Control
RTI Settings:
RTI Length : Controls the lookback period for volatility analysis (default: 25)
RTI Smoothing : Reduces noise in RTI calculations (default: 12)
Base MA Length : Foundation moving average for band calculations (default: 40)
Source : Price input selection (close, open, high, low, etc.)
Oscillator Settings:
Standard Deviation Length : Period for volatility measurement (default: 27)
SD Multiplier : Base band width adjustment (default: 1.5)
Oscillator Multiplier : Scaling factor for oscillator values (default: 100)
Signal Thresholds:
Long Threshold : Bullish signal trigger level (default: 82)
Short Threshold : Bearish signal trigger level (default: 55)
🎨 Advanced Visual System
Main Chart Elements:
Dynamic Shifting Bands : Upper and lower bands that automatically adjust width based on RTI
Adaptive Fill Zone : Color-coded area between bands showing current market state
Basis Line : Moving average foundation displayed as subtle reference points
Smart Bar Coloring : Candles change color based on oscillator state for instant visual feedback
Oscillator Pane:
Normalized RTI Oscillator : Main signal line centered around zero with dynamic coloring
Threshold Lines : Horizontal reference lines for entry/exit levels
Zero Line : Central reference for oscillator neutrality
Color State Indication : Line colors change based on bullish/bearish conditions
📊 Professional Performance Metrics
The built-in analytics suite provides institutional-grade performance measurement:
Net Profit % : Total strategy return percentage
Maximum Drawdown % : Worst peak-to-trough decline
Win Rate % : Percentage of profitable trades
Profit Factor : Ratio of gross profits to gross losses
Sharpe Ratio : Risk-adjusted return measurement
Sortino Ratio : Downside-focused risk adjustment
Omega Ratio : Probability-weighted performance ratio
Half Kelly % : Optimal position sizing recommendation
Total Trades : Complete transaction count
🎯 Strategic Trading Applications
Long/Short Mode: ⚡
Maximizes profit potential by capturing both upward and downward price movements. The RTI technology helps identify when trends are strengthening or weakening, allowing for optimal position switches between long and short.
Long/Cash Mode: 🛡️
Conservative approach ideal for retirement accounts or risk-averse traders. The indicator's adaptive nature helps identify the best times to be invested versus sitting in cash, protecting capital during adverse market conditions.
🚀 Unique Advantages
Traditional Indicators vs RTI Shifting Bands:
Static vs Dynamic : While most indicators use fixed parameters, RTI bands adapt in real-time
Lagging vs Leading : RTI detects volatility transitions before they fully manifest
One-Size vs Adaptive : The same settings work across different market conditions
Simple vs Intelligent : Advanced volatility analysis provides superior market insight
💡 Professional Setup Guide
For Day Trading (Short-term):
RTI Length: 15-20
RTI Smoothing: 8-10
Base MA Length: 20-30
Thresholds: Long 80, Short 60
For Swing Trading (Medium-term):
RTI Length: 25-35 (default range)
RTI Smoothing: 12-15
Base MA Length: 40-50
Thresholds: Long 83, Short 55 (defaults)
For Position Trading (Long-term):
RTI Length: 40-50
RTI Smoothing: 15-20
Base MA Length: 60-80
Thresholds: Long 85, Short 50
🧠 Advanced Trading Techniques
RTI Divergence Analysis:
Watch for divergences between price action and RTI readings. When price makes new highs/lows but RTI doesn't confirm, it often signals upcoming reversals.
Band Width Interpretation:
Expanding Bands : Increasing volatility, expect larger price moves
Contracting Bands : Decreasing volatility, prepare for potential breakouts
Band Touches : Price touching outer bands often signals reversal opportunities
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Use RTI on higher timeframes for trend direction and lower timeframes for precise entry timing.
⚠️ Important Risk Disclaimers
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator represents advanced technical analysis but should never be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Critical Risk Factors:
Market Conditions : No indicator performs equally well in all market environments
Backtesting Limitations : Historical performance may not reflect future market behavior
Volatility Risk : Adaptive indicators can be sensitive to extreme market conditions
Parameter Sensitivity : Different settings may produce significantly different results
Capital Risk : Always use appropriate position sizing and stop-loss protection
📚 Educational Benefits
This indicator provides exceptional learning opportunities for understanding:
Advanced volatility analysis and measurement techniques
Adaptive indicator design and implementation
The relationship between volatility transitions and price movements
Professional risk management using Kelly Criterion principles
Modern oscillator interpretation and signal generation
🔍 Market Applications
The RTI Shifting Band Oscillator works across various markets:
Forex : Excellent for currency pair volatility analysis
Stocks : Individual equity and index trading
Commodities : Adaptive to commodity market volatility cycles
Cryptocurrencies : Handles extreme volatility variations effectively
Futures : Professional derivatives trading applications
🔧 Technical Innovation
The RTI Shifting Band Oscillator represents years of research into adaptive technical analysis. The proprietary RTI calculation method has been optimized for:
Computational Efficiency : Fast calculation even on high-frequency data
Noise Reduction : Advanced smoothing without excessive lag
Market Adaptability : Automatic adjustment to changing conditions
Signal Clarity : Clear, actionable trading signals
🔔 Updates and Evolution
The RTI Shifting Band Oscillator | QuantMAC continues to evolve with regular updates incorporating the latest research in adaptive technical analysis. The code is thoroughly documented for transparency and educational purposes.
Trading Notice: Financial markets involve substantial risk of loss. The RTI Shifting Band Oscillator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to assist in trading decisions but cannot guarantee profitable outcomes. Always conduct thorough testing, implement proper risk management, and consider seeking advice from qualified financial professionals. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
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Master The Markets With Adaptive Intelligence! 🎯📈
Bollinger Bands Oscillator | QuantMAC📊 Bollinger Bands Oscillator | QuantMAC
🎯 Overview
The Bollinger Bands Oscillator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that combines the power of traditional Bollinger Bands with an oscillator-based approach for enhanced signal generation. This indicator transforms the classic Bollinger Bands into a percentage-based oscillator, providing clearer entry and exit signals for both trending and ranging markets.
🔧 Key Features
Dual Trading Modes : Choose between Long/Short or Long/Cash strategies
Advanced BB% Calculation : Enhanced Bollinger Band percentage with customizable multipliers
Comprehensive Metrics : Built-in performance analytics including Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Profit Factor
Visual Color Coding : Dynamic bar coloring and 9 different color schemes for optimal chart visibility
Date Range Filtering : Backtest specific time periods with customizable start dates
Real-time Signal Generation : Clear long and short entry signals with threshold customization
Advanced Risk Management : Half Kelly criterion calculation for optimal position sizing
📈 How It Works
The indicator operates by calculating a modified Bollinger Band percentage that oscillates between values, typically ranging from 0 to 100+. When the BB% crosses above the Long Threshold (default: 83), it generates a bullish signal. Conversely, when it crosses below the Short Threshold (default: 55), it produces a bearish signal.
Core Calculation Process:
Calculate the moving average basis using the specified Base Length (default: 40 periods)
Determine standard deviation using a separate SD Length (default: 27 periods)
Create upper and lower bands using the SD Multiplier (default: 2.6)
Convert to percentage oscillator with BB% Multiplier (default: 100)
Generate signals based on threshold crossovers
⚙️ Customizable Parameters
BMD Settings:
Base Length : Controls the moving average period (default: 40)
Standard Deviation Length : Determines volatility calculation period (default: 27)
SD Multiplier : Adjusts band width sensitivity (default: 2.6)
BB% Multiplier : Scales the oscillator values (default: 100)
Source : Choose price source (close, open, high, low, etc.)
Signal Thresholds:
Long Threshold : Entry level for bullish positions (default: 83)
Short Threshold : Entry level for bearish positions (default: 55)
🎨 Visual Elements
Main Chart Overlay:
Bollinger Bands : Upper and lower bands with customizable colors and transparency
Middle Line : Basis line displayed as subtle dots
Band Fill : Colored area between bands for easy visualization
Bar Coloring : Candles change color based on current signal state
Separate Oscillator Pane:
BB% Line : Main oscillator line with dynamic coloring
Threshold Lines : Horizontal lines marking entry/exit levels
Color Coding : Line colors change based on bullish/bearish state
📊 Performance Metrics
The indicator includes a comprehensive metrics table displaying:
Net Profit % : Total return percentage
Max Drawdown % : Maximum peak-to-trough decline
Win Rate % : Percentage of profitable trades
Profit Factor : Ratio of gross profit to gross loss
Sharpe Ratio : Risk-adjusted return measure
Sortino Ratio : Downside risk-adjusted return
Omega Ratio : Probability-weighted ratio of gains vs losses
Half Kelly % : Optimal position sizing recommendation
Total Trades : Number of completed transactions
🎯 Trading Strategies
Long/Short Mode: 🔄
The indicator alternates between long and short positions based on threshold crossovers. This mode is ideal for traders who can profit from both rising and falling markets.
Long/Cash Mode: 💰
This conservative approach only takes long positions, moving to cash during bearish signals. Perfect for traders in accounts that don't allow short selling or those preferring a buy-and-hold approach with strategic exits.
🚀 Getting Started
Add the indicator to your chart
Choose your preferred Trading Mode (Long/Short or Long/Cash)
Adjust the Base Length and SD Length to match your trading timeframe
Fine-tune the Long Threshold and Short Threshold based on your risk tolerance
Select your preferred color scheme from 9 available options
Enable the metrics table to monitor performance in real-time
💡 Pro Tips
Lower thresholds (e.g., Long: 75, Short: 60) generate more frequent but potentially less reliable signals
Higher thresholds (e.g., Long: 90, Short: 45) produce fewer but potentially higher-quality signals
Shorter base lengths make the indicator more responsive to recent price action
Longer base lengths smooth out noise but may lag market turns
Use the Half Kelly % metric to guide position sizing decisions
⚠️ Important Disclaimers
Past performance is not indicative of future results . This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to assist in trading decisions but should not be used as the sole basis for investment choices.
Key Risk Considerations:
Market Conditions : No indicator works perfectly in all market environments
Backtesting Bias : Historical performance may not reflect future market behavior
Risk Management : Always use proper position sizing and stop-loss orders
Multiple Confirmations : Consider using additional indicators and analysis methods
📚 Educational Value
This indicator serves as an excellent learning tool for understanding:
Bollinger Band mechanics and interpretation
Oscillator-based trading strategies
Performance metrics and risk assessment
Position sizing using Kelly Criterion principles
The relationship between volatility and price movement
🔔 Updates and Support
The Bollinger Bands Oscillator | QuantMAC is regularly updated to ensure compatibility with TradingView's latest features. The code is thoroughly commented for educational purposes and transparency.
Remember: Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The value of investments may go down as well as up, and you may not get back the amount you invested. Always conduct your own research and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor.
Neural Adaptive VWAPNeural Adaptive VWAP with ML Features is an advanced trading indicator that enhances traditional Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculations through machine learning-inspired adaptive algorithms and predictive volume modeling.
🌟 Key Features:
🧠 Machine Learning-Inspired Adaptation
Dynamic weight adjustment system that learns from prediction errors
Multi-feature volume prediction using time-of-day patterns, price momentum, and volatility
Adaptive learning mechanism that improves accuracy over time
📊 Enhanced VWAP Calculation
Combines actual and predicted volume for forward-looking VWAP computation
Session-based reset with proper daily anchoring
Confidence bands based on rolling standard deviation for dynamic support/resistance
🎯 Advanced Signal Generation
Volume-confirmed crossover signals to reduce false entries
Color-coded candle visualization based on VWAP position
Multi-level strength indicators (strong/weak bullish/bearish zones)
⚙️ Intelligent Feature Engineering
Normalized volume analysis with statistical z-score
Time-series pattern recognition for intraday volume cycles
Price momentum and volatility integration
Sigmoid activation functions for realistic predictions
📈 How It Works:
The indicator employs a sophisticated feature engineering approach that extracts meaningful patterns from:
Volume Patterns: Normalized volume analysis and historical comparisons
Temporal Features: Time-of-day and minute-based cyclical patterns
Market Dynamics: Price momentum, volatility, and rate of change
Adaptive Learning: Error-based weight adjustment similar to neural network training
Unlike static VWAP indicators, this system continuously adapts its calculation methodology based on real-time market feedback, making it more responsive to changing market conditions while maintaining the reliability of traditional VWAP analysis.
🔧 Customizable Parameters:
VWAP Length (1-200 bars)
Volume Pattern Lookback (5-50 periods)
Learning Rate (0.001-0.1) for adaptation speed
Prediction Horizon (1-10 bars ahead)
Adaptation Period for weight updates
📊 Visual Elements:
Blue Line: Adaptive VWAP with predictive elements
Red/Green Bands: Dynamic confidence zones
Colored Candles: Position-based strength visualization
Signal Arrows: Volume-confirmed entry points
Info Table: Real-time performance metrics and weight distribution
🎯 Best Use Cases:
Intraday Trading: Enhanced execution timing with volume prediction
Institutional-Style Execution: Improved VWAP-based order placement
Trend Following: Adaptive trend identification with confidence zones
Support/Resistance Trading: Dynamic levels that adjust to market conditions
OA - Sigma BandsDescription:
The OA - Sigma Bands indicator is a fully adaptive, volatility-sensitive dynamic band system designed to detect price expansion and potential breakouts. Unlike traditional fixed-width Bollinger Bands, OA - Sigma Bands adjust their boundaries based on a combination of standard deviation (σ) and Average Daily Range (ADR), making them more responsive to real market behavior and shifts in volatility.
Key Concepts & Logic
This tool constructs three distinct band regions:
Sigma Bands (±σ):
Calculated using the standard deviation of the closing price over a user-defined lookback period. This acts as the core volatility filter to identify statistically significant price deviations.
ADR Zones (±ADR):
These zones provide an additional layer based on the percentage average of daily price ranges over the last 20 bars. They help visualize intraday or short-term expected volatility.
Dynamic Adjustment Logic:
When price breaks outside the upper/lower sigma or ADR boundaries for a defined number of bars (user input), the system recalibrates. This ensures that the bands evolve with volatility and don’t remain outdated in trending markets.
Inputs & Customization
Sigma Multiplier: Set how wide the sigma bands should be (default: 1.5).
Lookback Period: Controls how many bars are used to calculate the standard deviation (default: 200).
Break Confirmation Bars: Determines how many candles must close beyond a boundary to trigger band recalibration.
ADR Period: Internally fixed at 20 bars for stable short-term volatility measurement.
Full Color Customization: Customize the band colors and fill transparency to suit your chart style.
Benefits & Use Cases
Breakout Trading: Detect when price exits statistically significant ranges, confirming trend expansion.
Mean Reversion: Use the outer bands as potential reversion zones in sideways or low-volatility markets.
Volatility Awareness: Visually identify when price is compressed or expanding.
Dynamic Structure: The auto-updating nature makes it more reliable than static historical zones.
Overlay-Ready: Designed to sit directly on price charts with minimal clutter.
Disclaimer
This script is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial guidance, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always perform your own research and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
If you enjoy this script or find it useful, feel free to give it or leave a comment!
Full Day Midpoint Line with Dynamic StdDev Bands (ETH & RTH)A Pine Script indicator designed to plot a midpoint line based on the high and low prices of a user-defined trading session (typically Extended Trading Hours, ETH) and to add dynamic standard deviation (StdDev) bands around this midpoint.
Session Midpoint Line:
The midpoint is calculated as the average of the session's highest high and lowest low during the defined ETH period (e.g., 4:00 AM to 8:00 PM).
This line represents a central tendency or "fair value" for the session, similar to a pivot point or volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchor.
Interpretation:
Prices above the midpoint suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below indicate bearish sentiment.
The midpoint can act as a dynamic support/resistance level, where price may revert to or react at this level during the session.
Dynamic StdDev Bands:
The bands are calculated by adding/subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation of the midpoint values (tracked in an array) from the midpoint.
The standard deviation is dynamically computed based on the historical midpoint values within the session, making the bands adaptive to volatility.
Interpretation:
The upper and lower bands represent potential overbought (upper) and oversold (lower) zones.
Prices approaching or crossing the bands may indicate stretched conditions, potentially signaling reversals or breakouts.
Trend Identification:
Use the midpoint as a reference for the session’s trend. Persistent price action above the midpoint suggests bullishness, while below indicates bearishness.
Combine with other indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI) to confirm trend direction.
Support/Resistance Trading:
Treat the midpoint as a dynamic pivot point. Price rejections or consolidations near the midpoint can be entry points for mean-reversion trades.
The StdDev bands can act as secondary support/resistance levels. For example, price reaching the upper band may signal a potential short entry if accompanied by reversal signals.
Breakout/Breakdown Strategies:
A strong move beyond the upper or lower band may indicate a breakout (bullish above upper, bearish below lower). Confirm with volume or momentum indicators to avoid false breakouts.
The dynamic nature of the bands makes them useful for identifying significant price extensions.
Volatility Assessment:
Wider bands indicate higher volatility, suggesting larger price swings and potentially riskier trades.
Narrow bands suggest consolidation, which may precede a breakout. Traders can prepare for volatility expansions in such scenarios.
The "Full Day Midpoint Line with Dynamic StdDev Bands" is a versatile and visually intuitive indicator well-suited for day traders focusing on session-specific price action. Its dynamic midpoint and volatility-adjusted bands provide valuable insights into support, resistance, and potential reversals or breakouts.
(FVC) Fractal Volatility Compression (DAFE) (FVC) Fractal Volatility Compression
See the Market’s Volatility DNA.
The Fractal Volatility Compression (FVC) is a next-generation tool for traders who want to see volatility compression and expansion across multiple timeframes and volatility engines—not just price, but the very structure of volatility itself.
What Makes FVC Unique?
Dual-Engine Volatility:
Plots both classic price-based (Stdev) and meta-volatility (VoVix) compression/expansion, so you can see when the market is “coiling” or “exploding” on multiple levels.
Fractal, Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Measures volatility on short, medium, and long timeframes, then normalizes each as a Z-score. The result: a true “coiled spring” detector that works on any asset, any timeframe.
Threshold Lines You Control:
Yellow center line: Your neutral baseline.
Green compression line: When crossed, the market is “spring-loading.”
Red expansion line: When crossed, volatility is breaking out.
All lines are solid, clean, and end before the dashboard for a professional look.
Agreement Fill: When both engines agree (both above or both below the center line), a bright fill highlights the zone—red for expansion, green for compression.
Signature Dashboard & Info Line:
Dashboard (right-middle) shows all Z-scores and FVC values, color-coded for instant clarity.
Compact info label for mobile or minimalist users.
Inputs & Customization
Thresholds: Set the yellow, green, and red lines to match your asset, timeframe, and risk tolerance.
Timeframes & Lengths: Tune the short, medium, and long volatility windows for your style.
Toggle Lines: Show/hide Stdev or VoVix FVC lines independently.
Dashboard & Info Line: Toggle for your workflow and screen size.
How to Use
Compression (below green): Market is “coiling” across timeframes—watch for explosive moves.
Expansion (above red): Volatility is breaking out—expect regime shifts or trend acceleration.
Agreement Fill: When both lines agree, the signal is strongest.
Not a Buy/Sell Signal: These are regime and structure signals—combine with your own
strategy and risk management.
Why should you use FVC?
See what others can’t:
Most tools show only one dimension of volatility. FVC reveals the fractal DNA of market compression and expansion. Works on any asset, any timeframe. Professional, clean, and fully customizable.
Fractal Volatility Compression (FVC):
Because the next big move is born in the market’s hidden compression.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
(MVD) Meta-Volatility Divergence (DAFE) Meta-Volatility Divergence (MVD)
Reveal the Hidden Tension in Volatility.
The Meta-Volatility Divergence (MVD) indicator is a next-generation tool designed to expose the disagreement between multiple volatility measures—helping you spot when the market’s “volatility engines” are out of sync, and a regime shift or volatility event may be brewing.
What Makes MVD Unique?
Multi-Source Volatility Analysis:
Unlike traditional volatility indicators that rely on a single measure, MVD fuses four distinct volatility signals:
ATR (Average True Range): Captures the average range of price movement.
Stdev (Standard Deviation): Measures the dispersion of closing prices.
Range: The average difference between high and low.
VoVix: A proprietary “volatility of volatility” metric, quantifying the difference between fast and slow ATR, normalized by ATR’s own volatility.
Divergence Engine:
The core MVD line (yellow) represents the mean absolute deviation (MAD) of these volatility measures from their average. When the line is flat, all volatility measures are in agreement. When the line rises, it means the market’s volatility signals are diverging—often a precursor to regime shifts, volatility expansions, or hidden stress.
Dynamic Z-Score Normalization:
The MVD line is normalized as a Z-score, so you can easily spot when current divergence is rare or extreme compared to recent history.
Visual Clarity:
Yellow center line: Tracks the real-time divergence of volatility measures.
Green dashed thresholds: Mark the ±2.00 Z-score levels, highlighting when divergence is unusually high and action may be warranted.
Dashboard: Toggleable panel shows all key metrics (ATR, Stdev, VoVix, MVD Z) and your custom branding.
Compact Info Label : For mobile or minimalist users, a single-line summary keeps you informed without clutter.
What Makes The MVD line move?
- The MVD line rises when the included volatility measures (ATR, Stdev, Range, VoVix) are moving in different directions or at different magnitudes. For example, if ATR is rising but Stdev is falling, the line will move up, signaling disagreement.
- The line falls or flattens when all volatility measures are in sync, indicating a consensus in the market’s volatility regime.
- VoVix adds a unique dimension, making the indicator especially sensitive to sudden changes in volatility structure that most tools miss.
Inputs & Settings
ATR Length: Sets the lookback for ATR calculation. Shorter = more sensitive, longer = smoother.
Stdev Length: Sets the lookback for standard deviation. Adjust for your asset’s volatility.
Range Length: Sets the lookback for the average high-low range.
MVD Lookback: Controls the window for Z-score normalization. Higher values = more historical context, lower = more responsive.
Show Dashboard: Toggle the full dashboard panel on/off.
Show Compact Info Label: Toggle the mobile-friendly info line on/off.
Tip:
Adjust these settings to match your asset’s volatility and your trading timeframe. There is no “one size fits all”—tuning is key to extracting the most value from MVD.
How to make MVD work for you:
Threshold Crosses: When the MVD line crosses above or below the green dashed thresholds (±2.00), it signals that volatility measures are diverging more than usual. This is a heads-up that a volatility event, regime shift, or hidden market stress may be developing.
Not a Buy/Sell Signal: A threshold cross is not a direct buy or sell signal. It is an indication that the market’s volatility structure is changing. Use it as a filter, confirmation, or alert in combination with your own strategy and risk management.
Dashboard & Info Line: Use the dashboard for a full view of all metrics, or the info label for a quick glance—especially useful on mobile.
Chart: MNQ! on 5min frames
ATR: 14
StDev L: 11
Range L: 13
MDV LB: 13
Important Note
MVD is a market structure and volatility regime tool.
It is designed to alert you to potential changes in market conditions, not to provide direct trade entries or exits. Always combine with your own analysis and risk management.
Meta-Volatility Divergence:
See the market’s hidden tension. Anticipate the next wave.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
The VoVix Experiment The VoVix Experiment
The VoVix Experiment is a next-generation, regime-aware, volatility-adaptive trading strategy for futures, indices, and more. It combines a proprietary VoVix (volatility-of-volatility) anomaly detector with price structure clustering and critical point logic, only trading when multiple independent signals align. The system is designed for robustness, transparency, and real-world execution.
Logic:
VoVix Regime Engine: Detects pre-move volatility anomalies using a fast/slow ATR ratio, normalized by Z-score. Only trades when a true regime spike is detected, not just random volatility.
Cluster & Critical Point Filters: Price structure and volatility clustering must confirm the VoVix signal, reducing false positives and whipsaws.
Adaptive Sizing: Position size scales up for “super-spikes” and down for normal events, always within user-defined min/max.
Session Control: Trades only during user-defined hours and days, avoiding illiquid or high-risk periods.
Visuals: Aurora Flux Bands (From another Original of Mine (Options Flux Flow): glow and change color on signals, with a live dashboard, regime heatmap, and VoVix progression bar for instant insight.
Backtest Settings
Initial capital: $10,000
Commission: Conservative, realistic roundtrip cost:
15–20 per contract (including slippage per side) I set this to $25
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade
Symbol: CME_MINI:NQ1!
Timeframe: 15 min (but works on all timeframes)
Order size: Adaptive, 1–2 contracts
Session: 5:00–15:00 America/Chicago (default, fully adjustable)
Why these settings?
These settings are intentionally strict and realistic, reflecting the true costs and risks of live trading. The 10,000 account size is accessible for most retail traders. 25/contract including 3 ticks of slippage are on the high side for MNQ, ensuring the strategy is not curve-fit to perfect fills. If it works here, it will work in real conditions.
Forward Testing: (This is no guarantee. I've provided these results to show that executions perform as intended. Test were done on Tradovate)
ALL TRADES
Gross P/L: $12,907.50
# of Trades: 64
# of Contracts: 186
Avg. Trade Time: 1h 55min 52sec
Longest Trade Time: 55h 46min 53sec
% Profitable Trades: 59.38%
Expectancy: $201.68
Trade Fees & Comm.: $(330.95)
Total P/L: $12,576.55
Winning Trades: 59.38%
Breakeven Trades: 3.12%
Losing Trades: 37.50%
Link: www.dropbox.com
Inputs & Tooltips
VoVix Regime Execution: Enable/disable the core VoVix anomaly detector.
Volatility Clustering: Require price/volatility clusters to confirm VoVix signals.
Critical Point Detector: Require price to be at a statistically significant distance from the mean (regime break).
VoVix Fast ATR Length: Short ATR for fast volatility detection (lower = more sensitive).
VoVix Slow ATR Length: Long ATR for baseline regime (higher = more stable).
VoVix Z-Score Window: Lookback for Z-score normalization (higher = smoother, lower = more reactive).
VoVix Entry Z-Score: Minimum Z-score for a VoVix spike to trigger a trade.
VoVix Exit Z-Score: Z-score below which the regime is considered decayed (exit).
VoVix Local Max Window: Bars to check for local maximum in VoVix (higher = stricter).
VoVix Super-Spike Z-Score: Z-score for “super” regime events (scales up position size).
Min/Max Contracts: Adaptive position sizing range.
Session Start/End Hour: Only trade between these hours (exchange time).
Allow Weekend Trading: Enable/disable trading on weekends.
Session Timezone: Timezone for session filter (e.g., America/Chicago for CME).
Show Trade Labels: Show/hide entry/exit labels on chart.
Flux Glow Opacity: Opacity of Aurora Flux Bands (0–100).
Flux Band EMA Length: EMA period for band center.
Flux Band ATR Multiplier: Width of bands (higher = wider).
Compliance & Transparency
* No hidden logic, no repainting, no pyramiding.
* All signals, sizing, and exits are fully explained and visible.
* Backtest settings are stricter than most real accounts.
* All visuals are directly tied to the strategy logic.
* This is not a mashup or cosmetic overlay; every component is original and justified.
Disclaimer
Trading is risky. This script is for educational and research purposes only. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test in simulation before live trading.
Proprietary Logic & Originality Statement
This script, “The VoVix Experiment,” is the result of original research and development. All core logic, algorithms, and visualizations—including the VoVix regime detection engine, adaptive execution, volatility/divergence bands, and dashboard—are proprietary and unique to this project.
1. VoVix Regime Logic
The concept of “volatility of volatility” (VoVix) is an original quant idea, not a standard indicator. The implementation here (fast/slow ATR ratio, Z-score normalization, local max logic, super-spike scaling) is custom and not found in public TradingView scripts.
2. Cluster & Critical Point Logic
Volatility clustering and “critical point” detection (using price distance from a rolling mean and standard deviation) are general quant concepts, but the way they are combined and filtered here is unique to this script. The specific logic for “clustered chop” and “critical point” is not a copy of any public indicator.
3. Adaptive Sizing
The adaptive sizing logic (scaling contracts based on regime strength) is custom and not a standard TradingView feature or public script.
4. Time Block/Session Control
The session filter is a common feature in many strategies, but the implementation here (with timezone and weekend control) is written from scratch.
5. Aurora Flux Bands (From another Original of Mine (Options Flux Flow)
The “glowing” bands are inspired by the idea of volatility bands (like Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels), but the visual effect, color logic, and integration with regime signals are original to this script.
6. Dashboard, Watermark, and Metrics
The dashboard, real-time Sharpe/Sortino, and VoVix progression bar are all custom code, not copied from any public script.
What is “standard” or “common quant practice”?
Using ATR, EMA, and Z-score are standard quant tools, but the way they are combined, filtered, and visualized here is unique. The structure and logic of this script are original and not a mashup of public code.
This script is 100% original work. All logic, visuals, and execution are custom-coded for this project. No code or logic is directly copied from any public or private script.
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
REVELATIONS (VoVix - PoC) REVELATIONS (VoVix - POC): True Regime Detection Before the Move
Let’s not sugarcoat it: Most strategies on TradingView are recycled—RSI, MACD, OBV, CCI, Stochastics. They all lag. No matter how many overlays you stack, every one of these “standard” indicators fires after the move is underway. The retail crowd almost always gets in late. That’s never been enough for my team, for DAFE, or for anyone who’s traded enough to know the real edge vanishes by the time the masses react.
How is this different?
REVELATIONS (VoVix - POC) was engineered from raw principle, structured to detect pre-move regime change—before standard technicals even light up. We built, tested, and refined VoVix to answer one hard question:
What if you could see the spike before the trend?
Here’s what sets this system apart, line-by-line:
o True volatility-of-volatility mathematics: It’s not just "ATR of ATR" or noise smoothing. VoVix uses normalized, multi-timeframe v-vol spikes, instantly detecting orderbook stress and "outlier" market events—before the chart shows them as trends.
o Purist regime clustering: Every trade is enabled only during coordinated, multi-filter regime stress. No more signals in meaningless chop.
o Nonlinear entry logic: No trade is ever sent just for a “good enough” condition. Every entry fires only if every requirement is aligned—local extremes, super-spike threshold, regime index, higher timeframe, all must trigger in sync.
o Adaptive position size: Your contracts scale up with event strength. Tiny size during nominal moves, max leverage during true regime breaks—never guesswork, never static exposure.
o All exits governed by regime decay logic: Trades are closed not just on price targets but at the precise moment the market regime exhausts—the hardest part of systemic trading, now solved.
How this destroys the lag:
Standard indicators (RSI, MACD, OBV, CCI, and even most “momentum” overlays) simply tell you what already happened. VoVix triggers as price structure transitions—anyone running these generic scripts will trade behind the move while VoVix gets in as stress emerges. Real alpha comes from anticipation, not confirmation.
The visuals only show what matters:
Top right, you get a live, live quant dashboard—regime index, current position size, real-time performance (Sharpe, Sortino, win rate, and wins). Bottom right: a VoVix "engine bar" that adapts live with regime stress. Everything you see is a direct function of logic driving this edge—no cosmetics, no fake momentum.
Inputs/Signals—explained carefully for clarity:
o ATR Fast Length & ATR Slow Length:
These are the heart of VoVix’s regime sensing. Fast ATR reacts to sharp volatility; Slow ATR is stability baseline. Lower Fast = reacts to every twitch; higher Slow = requires more persistent, “real” regime shifts.
Tip: If you want more signals or faster markets, lower ATR Fast. To eliminate noise, raise ATR Slow.
o ATR StdDev Window: Smoothing for volatility-of-volatility normalization. Lower = more jumpy, higher = only the cleanest spikes trigger.
Tip: Shorten for “jumpy” assets, raise for indices/futures.
o Base Spike Threshold: Think of this as your “minimum event strength.” If the current move isn’t volatile enough (normalized), no signal.
Tip: Higher = only biggest moves matter. Lower for more signals but more potential noise.
o Super Spike Multiplier: The “are you sure?” test—entry only when the current spike is this multiple above local average.
Tip: Raise for ultra-selective/swing-trading; lower for more active style.
Regime & MultiTF:
o Regime Window (Bars):
How many bars to scan for regime cluster “events.” Short for turbo markets, long for big swings/trends only.
o Regime Event Count: Only trade when this many spikes occur within the Regime Window—filters for real stress, not isolated ticks.
Tip: Raise to only ever trade during true breakouts/crashes.
o Local Window for Extremes:
How many bars to check that a spike is a local max.
Tip: Raise to demand only true, “clearest” local regime events; lower for early triggers.
o HTF Confirm:
Higher timeframe regime confirmation (like 45m on an intraday chart). Ensures any event you act on is visible in the broader context.
Tip: Use higher timeframes for only major moves; lower for scalping or fast regimes.
Adaptive Sizing:
o Max Contracts (Adaptive): The largest size your system will ever scale to, even on extreme event.
Tip: Lower for small accounts/conservative risk; raise on big accounts or when you're willing to go big only on outlier events.
o Min Contracts (Adaptive): The “toe-in-the-water.” Smallest possible trade.
Tip: Set as low as your broker/exchange allows for safety, or higher if you want to always have meaningful skin in the game.
Trade Management:
o Stop %: Tightness of your stop-loss relative to entry. Lower for tighter/safer, higher for more breathing room at cost of greater drawdown.
o Take Profit %: How much you'll hold out for on a win. Lower = more scalps. Higher = only run with the best.
o Decay Exit Sensitivity Buffer: Regime index must dip this far below the trading threshold before you exit for “regime decay.”
Tip: 0 = exit as soon as stress fails, higher = exits only on stronger confirmation regime is over.
o Bars Decay Must Persist to Exit: How long must decay be present before system closes—set higher to avoid quick fades and whipsaws.
Backtest Settings
Initial capital: $10,000
Commission: Conservative, realistic roundtrip cost:
15–20 per contract (including slippage per side) I set this to $25
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade
Symbol: CME_MINI:NQ1!
Timeframe: 1 min (but works on all timeframes)
Order size: Adaptive, 1–3 contracts
No pyramiding, no hidden DCA
Why these settings?
These settings are intentionally strict and realistic, reflecting the true costs and risks of live trading. The 10,000 account size is accessible for most retail traders. 25/contract including 3 ticks of slippage are on the high side for NQ, ensuring the strategy is not curve-fit to perfect fills. If it works here, it will work in real conditions.
Tip: Set to 1 for instant regime exit; raise for extra confirmation (less whipsaw risk, exits held longer).
________________________________________
Bottom line: Tune the sensitivity, selectivity, and risk of REVELATIONS by these inputs. Raise thresholds and windows for only the best, most powerful signals (institutional style); lower for activity (scalpers, fast cryptos, signals in constant motion). Sizing is always adaptive—never static or martingale. Exits are always based on both price and regime health. Every input is there for your control, not to sell “complexity.” Use with discipline, and make it your own.
This strategy is not just a technical achievement: It’s a statement about trading smarter, not just more.
* I went back through the code to make sure no the strategy would not suffer from repainting, forward looking, or any frowned upon loopholes.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky and carries the risk of substantial loss. Do not use funds you aren’t prepared to lose. This is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Expect more: We’ll keep pushing the standard, keep evolving the bar until “quant” actually means something in the public code space.
Use with clarity, use with discipline, and always trade your edge.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Deviation over Deviation (DoD) (DAFE) Deviation over Deviation (DoD)
Let’s call it out: The vast majority of “volatility” tools on TradingView are just new wrappers on old math—ATR, bands, and basic deviation, all chasing the same tired after-the-fact moves. They’re built to describe the aftermath, not the ignition. If you’re still relying on these, you’re trading in the rearview mirror while the real edge is already gone. That’s not our game, and it shouldn’t be yours.
Deviation over Deviation (DoD) is built for one purpose:
To expose the hidden regime shifts—the moments when volatility itself becomes volatile, when the market’s “normal” deviation is no longer normal, and when the next move is about to erupt. This isn’t just another overlay. This is a quant-grade anomaly detector, engineered to show you the probability surface before the crowd even knows it’s changed.
What sets this apart:
Deviation over Deviation (DoD):
Not just “how much did price move,” but “how unusual is the current volatility compared to its own history?” This is the Z-score of Z-scores—a true rarity detector for market stress, lull, or impending breakout.
VoVix Integration:
Select VoVix as your source and you’re not just tracking price, but the volatility of volatility—the same math that powers institutional regime models. This is the edge that front-runs the move, not follows it.
Multi-Timeframe Comparative Engine:
Instantly compare current and higher timeframe DoD Z-scores. See when the micro and macro regimes align—or when they’re about to collide.
Professional, Adaptive Dashboard:
No cosmetic fluff, always showing you the real quant state: current DoD Z, HTF DoD Z, and regime warnings. Every color, every plot, every signal is a direct function of the logic—no distractions, no lag.
How this destroys the lag:
Standard deviation, ATR, and “volatility bands” are always late. They tell you what just happened. DoD and VoVix show you when the nature of volatility itself is changing—when the market is about to leave the old regime behind. This is the difference between trading the past and trading the future.
Inputs/Signals—explained for clarity:
Deviation Lookback & DoD Lookback:
Control the sensitivity and selectivity of the regime detector. Shorter = more signals, longer = only the rarest events.
Source Selection:
Choose from price, volume, volatility, or VoVix. Each source gives you a different lens on market stress. VoVix is for those who want to see the “regime quake” before the aftershocks.
HTF (Comparative Timeframe):
Set your higher timeframe for macro regime confirmation. When both DoD Z-scores align, you’re seeing a true market inflection.
VoVix Parameters:
Fine-tune the volatility-of-volatility engine for your market. Lower ATR Fast = more responsive; higher ATR Slow = more selective. Adjust for your asset, your timeframe, your edge.
Bottom line:
This isn’t just another “volatility” script. This is a regime anomaly detector, built for traders who want to anticipate, not react. Every input is there for a reason. Every plot is a direct readout of the quant logic. Use it to filter your entries, to time your exits, or to simply see the market’s hidden structure in real time.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky. This script is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
*Updated the Dashboard/Metrics Display for better visibility
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
(DAFE) DEVMA - Crossover (Deviation Moving Average) (DAFE) DEVMA - Crossover (Deviation Moving Average)
Let’s keep pushing the edge. After the breakthrough of Deviation over Deviation (DoD)—which gave traders a true lens into volatility’s hidden regime shifts—many asked: “What’s next?” The answer is DEVMA: a crossover engine built not on price, but on the heartbeat of the market itself.
Why is this different?
DEVMA isn’t just a moving average crossover. It’s a regime detector that tracks the expansion and contraction of deviation—giving you a real-time readout of when the market’s energy is about to shift. This is the next step for anyone who wants to anticipate volatility, not just react to it.
What sets DEVMA apart:
Volatility-First Logic:Both fast and slow lines are moving averages of deviation, not price. You’re tracking the market’s “energy,” not just its direction. This is the quant edge that most scripts miss.
Regime-Colored Lines:
The fast and slow DEVMA lines change color in real time—green/aqua for expansion, maroon/orange for contraction—so you can see regime shifts at a glance.
Quant-Pro Visuals:
Subtle glow, clean cross markers, and a minimalist dashboard keep your focus on what matters: the regime, not the noise.
Static Regime Thresholds:
Reference lines at 1.5 and 0.5 (custom colors) give you instant context for “normal” vs. “extreme” volatility states.
No Price Chasing:
This isn’t about following price. It’s about anticipating the next volatility regime—before the crowd even knows what’s coming.
How this builds on DoD:
DoD showed you when volatility itself was about to change. DEVMA takes that insight and turns it into a crossover engine—so you can see, filter, and act on regime shifts in real time. If DoD was the radar, DEVMA is the navigation system.
Inputs/Signals—explained for clarity:
Deviation Lookback:
Controls the sensitivity of the regime detector. Shorter = more signals, longer = only the rarest events.
Fast/Slow DEVMA Lengths:
Fine-tune how quickly the regime lines react. Fast for scalping, slow for swing trading.
Source Selection:
Choose from price, volume, volatility, or VoVix. Each source gives you a different lens on market stress. VoVix is for those who want to see the “regime quake” before the aftershocks.
VoVix Parameters:
Fine-tune the volatility-of-volatility engine for your market. Lower ATR Fast = more responsive; higher ATR Slow = more selective.
Bottom line:
DEVMA is for those who want to see the market’s heartbeat, not just its shadow. Use it to filter your trades, time your entries, or simply understand the market’s true rhythm. Every input is there for a reason. Every plot is a direct readout of the quant logic. Use with discipline, and make it your own.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky. This script is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
*Updated the Dashboard/Metrics Display for better visibility
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Harmony in Havoc - The Entropy of VoVix Harmony in Havoc – The Entropy of VoVix
There are moments in the market when chaos and order are not opposites, but partners in a dance.
Harmony in Havoc is not just an indicator—it’s a window into that dance.
Most tools try to tame the market by smoothing it, boxing it in, or chasing after what’s already happened. This script does the opposite: it listens for the music beneath the noise, the rare moments when volatility and unpredictability align, and the market’s next movement is about to begin.
What is Harmony in Havoc?
VoVix Spike:
The pulse of volatility-of-volatility. Not just how much the market is moving, but how violently its own heartbeat is changing.
Entropy:
A real-time measure of surprise. When entropy is high, the market is not just moving—it’s breaking its own patterns, rewriting its own rules.
Progression Bar & Status:
The yellow bar is your visual gauge of tension. As it fills, the market is winding up.
Wait: The world is calm.
Get ready!: The storm is building.
Take Action!!: The probability of a regime eruption is at its peak.
Yellow Background:
When the background glows, the market is at its most unstable—this is not a buy or sell signal, but a quant alert.
How does it work?
Every tick, Harmony in Havoc measures the distance between the market’s current volatility and its own unpredictability. When the VoVix spike approaches or exceeds the entropy threshold, the system knows:
“This is the moment when the improbable becomes possible.”
Why is this different?
It doesn’t tell you what to do.
It doesn’t chase price.
It doesn’t care about trends, bands, or the past.
Instead, it gives you a quantitative sense of anticipation—a way to see when the market is most likely to break from its own history, and when the edge is at its sharpest.
How to use it:
Watch for the yellow background and “Take Action!!” status.
Use it as a regime filter, a volatility dashboard, or a warning system for your own strategies.
Tune the inputs for your asset and timeframe—make it your own.
Inputs—explained for you:
VoVix Fast/Slow ATR & Stdev:
Control how sensitive the system is to volatility shocks. Lower = more signals, higher = only the rarest events.
Entropy Window & Bins:
Control how “surprised” the entropy engine is by current volatility. Shorter window = more responsive, more bins = finer detail.
Show/Hide Controls:
Toggle the VoVix spike, entropy line, and their glows to customize your visual experience.
Bottom line:
This is not a buy or sell script.
This is a quant regime detector for those who want to feel the market’s tension—to sense when harmony and havoc are about to collide.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky. This script is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
*I've only tested this on 1 and 5 min frames.
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
3 days ago
Release Notes
* Now mobile friendly. I've added a toggle to switch the dashboard on/off, and added a mobile information line that shows the same information on the dashboard. This is to allow the script to stay visually in balance and this also has a toggle.
* Background color added that coresponds with Buy or Sell areas.
Kernel Regression Bands SuiteMulti-Kernel Regression Bands
A versatile indicator that applies kernel regression smoothing to price data, then dynamically calculates upper and lower bands using a wide variety of deviation methods. This tool is designed to help traders identify trend direction, volatility, and potential reversal zones with customizable visual styles.
Key Features
Multiple Kernel Types: Choose from 17+ kernel regression styles (Gaussian, Laplace, Epanechnikov, etc.) for smoothing.
Flexible Band Calculation: Select from 12+ deviation types including Standard Deviation, Mean/Median Absolute Deviation, Exponential, True Range, Hull, Parabolic SAR, Quantile, and more.
Adaptive Bands: Bands are calculated around the kernel regression line, with a user-defined multiplier.
Signal Logic: Trend state is determined by crossovers/crossunders of price and bands, coloring the regression line and band fills accordingly.
Custom Color Modes: Six unique color palettes for visual clarity and personal preference.
Highly Customizable Inputs: Adjust kernel type, lookback, deviation method, band source, and more.
How to Use
Trend Identification: The regression line changes color based on the detected trend (up/down)
Volatility Zones: Bands expand/contract with volatility, helping spot breakouts or mean-reversion opportunities.
Visual Styling: Use color modes to match your chart theme or highlight specific market states.
Credits:
Kernel regression logic adapted from:
ChartPrime | Multi-Kernel-Regression-ChartPrime (Link in the script)
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Use at your own risk.
Percentage SDThis TradingView indicator, called "Percentage SD," measures how much the price of an asset is fluctuating (its volatility) and shows this as a percentage.
You can choose which price to track (like the closing price) and the period over which to measure this volatility.
The indicator then draws a yellow line in a separate panel below your main chart. When this line is higher, it means the price is more volatile relative to its current level. A lower line suggests less volatility. This can help you see when price movements are becoming more or less active.
Price Lag Factor (PLF)📊 Price Lag Factor (PLF) for Crypto Traders: A Comprehensive Breakdown
The Price Lag Factor (PLF) is a momentum indicator designed to identify overextended price movements and gauge market momentum. It is particularly optimized for the crypto market, which is known for its high volatility and rapid trend shifts.
🔎 What is the Price Lag Factor (PLF)?
The PLF measures the difference between long-term and short-term price momentum and scales it dynamically based on recent volatility. This helps traders identify when the market might be overbought or oversold while filtering out noise.
The formula used in the PLF calculation is:
PLF = (Z-Long - Z-Short) / Stdev(PLF)
Where:
Z-long: Z-score of the long-term moving average (50-period by default).
Z-short: Z-score of the short-term moving average (14-period by default).
Stdev(PLF): Standard deviation of the PLF over a longer period (50-period by default).
🧠 How to Interpret the PLF:
1. Trend Direction:
Positive PLF (Green Bars): Indicates bullish momentum. The long-term trend is up, and short-term movements are confirming it.
Negative PLF (Red Bars): Indicates bearish momentum. The long-term trend is down, and short-term movements are consistent with it.
2. Momentum Strength:
PLF near Zero (±0.5): Low momentum; trend direction is not strong.
PLF between ±1 and ±2: Moderate momentum, indicating that the market is moving with strength but not in an overextended state.
PLF beyond ±2: High momentum (overbought/oversold), indicating potential trend exhaustion and a possible reversal.
📈 Trading Strategies:
1. Trend Following:
Bullish Signal:
Enter long when PLF crosses above 0 and remains green.
Confirm with other indicators like RSI or MACD to reduce false signals.
Bearish Signal:
Enter short when PLF crosses below 0 and remains red.
Use trend confirmation (e.g., moving average crossover) for better accuracy.
2. Reversal Trading:
Overbought Signal:
If PLF rises above +2, look for signs of bearish divergence or a reversal pattern to consider a short entry.
Oversold Signal:
If PLF falls below -2, watch for bullish divergence or a support bounce to consider a long entry.
3. Momentum Divergence:
Bullish Divergence:
Price makes a lower low while PLF makes a higher low.
Indicates weakening bearish momentum and a potential bullish reversal.
Bearish Divergence:
Price makes a higher high while PLF makes a lower high.
Signals weakening bullish momentum and a potential bearish reversal.
💡 Best Practices:
Combine with Volume:
Volume spikes during high PLF readings can confirm trend continuation.
Low volume during PLF extremes may hint at false breakouts.
Watch for Extreme Levels:
PLF beyond ±2 suggests overextended price action. Use caution when entering new positions.
Confirm with Other Indicators:
Use with Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Bollinger Bands to get a better sense of overbought/oversold conditions.
Overlay with a moving average to gauge trend consistency.
🚀 Why the PLF Works for Crypto:
Crypto markets are highly volatile and prone to rapid trend changes. The PLF's adaptive scaling ensures it remains relevant regardless of market conditions.
It highlights momentum shifts more accurately than static indicators because it accounts for changing volatility in its calculation.
🚨 Disclaimer for Traders Using the Price Lag Factor (PLF) Indicator:
The Price Lag Factor (PLF) indicator is designed as a technical analysis tool to gauge momentum and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. However, it should not be relied upon as a sole decision-making factor for trading or investing.
Important Points to Consider:
Market Risk: Trading cryptocurrencies and other financial assets involves significant risk. The PLF may not accurately predict future price movements, especially during unexpected market events.
Indicator Limitations: No technical indicator, including the PLF, is infallible. False signals can occur, particularly in low-volume or highly volatile conditions.
Supplementary Analysis: Always combine PLF insights with other technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and risk management strategies to make informed decisions.
Personal Judgment: Traders should use their own discretion when interpreting PLF signals and never trade based solely on this indicator.
No Guarantees: The PLF is designed for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always perform thorough research and consider consulting with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
VolVolVolVol: Volatility & Volume
The indicator consists of 3 oscillating components that are all represented on a positive/negative percentage scale.
Direction : Green/Red shaded area
Smoothened distance between Close and EMA of Close relative to StDev of Close
Intensity : Turquoise line
If direction = bullish: Smoothened distance between Low and EMA of Low relative to StDev of Low
If direction = bearish: Smoothened distance between High and EMA of High relative to StDev of High
Momentum : Fuchsia line
Double exponential average of bullish closing volume - bearish closing volume
The indicator provides the following signals on the candlestick charts based on the above components' movements.
Bullish position signals: Below candles
Bearish position signals: Above candles
Entry signal : Increase in all 3 factors or sharp increase in Intensity + Momentum
Add signal : Trend slowdown because of volume drop or retracement following a temporary consolidation
Exit signal : Increase in Intensity and Momentum against the prevailing trend direction
There may be simultaneous Bullish and Bearish signals. These should be treated as hedges for existing positions.
Day’s Open ForecastOverview
This Pine Script indicator combines two primary components:
1. Day’s Open Forecast:
o Tracks historical daily moves (up and down) from the day’s open.
o Calculates average up and down moves over a user-defined lookback period.
o Optionally includes standard deviation adjustments to forecast potential intraday levels.
o Plots lines on the chart for the forecasted up and down moves from the current day's open.
2. Session VWAP:
o Allows you to specify a custom trading session (by time range and UTC offset).
o Calculates and plots a Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) during that session.
By combining these two features, you can gauge potential intraday moves relative to historical behavior from the open, while also tracking a session-specific VWAP that can act as a dynamic support/resistance reference.
How the Code Works
1. Collect Daily Moves
o The script detects when a new day starts using time("D").
o Once a new day is detected, it stores the previous day’s up-move (dayHigh - dayOpen) and down-move (dayOpen - dayLow) into arrays.
o These arrays keep track of the last N days (default: 126) of up/down move data.
2. Compute Statistics
o The script computes the average (f_average()) of up-moves and down-moves over the stored period.
o It also computes the standard deviation (f_stddev()) of up/down moves for optional “forecast bands.”
3. Forecast Lines
o Plots the current day’s open.
o Plots the average forecast lines above and below the open (Avg Up Move Level and Avg Down Move Level).
o If standard deviation is enabled, plots additional lines (Avg+StdDev Up and Avg+StdDev Down).
4. Session VWAP
o The script detects the start of a user-defined session (via input.session) and resets accumulation of volume and the numerator for VWAP.
o As each bar in the session updates, it accumulates volume (vwapCumulativeVolume) and a price-volume product (vwapCumulativeNumerator).
o The session VWAP is then calculated as (vwapCumulativeNumerator / vwapCumulativeVolume) and plotted.
5. Visualization Options
o Users can toggle standard deviation usage, historical up/down moves plotting, and whether to show the forecast “bands.”
o The vwapSession and vwapUtc inputs let you adjust which session (and time zone offset) the VWAP is calculated for.
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How to Use This Indicator on TradingView
1. Create a New Script
o Open TradingView, then navigate to Pine Editor (usually found at the bottom of the chart).
o Copy and paste the entire code into the editor.
2. Save and Add to Chart
o Click Save (give it a relevant title if you wish), then click Add to chart.
o The indicator will appear on your chart with the forecast lines and VWAP.
o By default, it is overlayed on the price chart (because of overlay=true).
3. Customize Inputs
o In the indicator’s settings, you can:
Change lookback days (default: 126).
Enable or disable standard deviation (Include Standard Deviation in Forecast?).
Adjust the standard deviation multiplier.
Choose whether to plot bands (Plot Bands with Averages/StdDev?).
Plot historical moves if desired (Plot Historical Up/Down Moves for Reference?).
Set your custom session and UTC offset for the VWAP calculation.
4. Interpretation
o “Current Day Open” is simply today’s open price on your chart.
o Up/Down Move Lines: Indicate a potential forecast based on historical averages.
If standard deviation is enabled, the second set of lines acts as an extended range.
o VWAP: Helpful for determining intraday price equilibrium over the specified session.
Important Notes / Best Practices
• The script only updates the historical up/down move data once per day (when a new day starts).
• The VWAP portion resets at the start of the specified session each day.
• Standard deviation multiplies the average up/down range, giving you a sense of “volatility range” around the day’s open.
• Adjust the lookback length (dayCount) to balance how many days of data you want to average. More days = smoother but possibly slower to adapt; fewer days = more reactive but potentially less reliable historically.
Educational & Liability Disclaimers
1. Educational Disclaimer
o The information provided by this indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is a technical analysis tool intended to demonstrate how to use historical data and basic statistics in Pine Script.
2. No Financial Advice
o This script does not constitute financial or investment advice. All examples and explanations are solely illustrative. You should always do your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
3. No Liability
o The author of this script is not liable for any losses or damages—monetary or otherwise—that may occur from the application of this script.
o Past performance does not guarantee future results, and you should never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
By adding this indicator to your TradingView chart, you acknowledge and accept that you alone are responsible for your own trading decisions.
Enjoy using the “Day’s Open Forecast” and Session VWAP for better market insights!
