GME Warrant Tracker [theUltimator5]The GME Warrant Tracker was designed to be used for GME warrants tracking. The theory behind this indicator is that warrants are priced similarly to options and generally follow the same Greeks. With that assumption, we can break down the price of the warrants by using known Greeks to estimate either the theoretical price, or even estimate Implied Volatility (IV).
The base settings for this indicator plot the calculated IV, the theoretical price (there are multiple methods of calculation which I will discuss later) and the current warrant price.
You can toggle on or off all of these plots to display only what you want to track.
For example, you can simply track the difference between the theoretical price and the current price to see if warrants are trading at a premium or a discount vs what the indicator calculates it to be.
Calculating implied volatility is extremely difficult and must be approximated.
The theoretical warrant price produced by this indicator depends primarily on the volatility input (σ) used in the Black–Scholes pricing model.
This script supports five distinct methods for approximating σ, each extracting different information from the market.
1) Close-to-Close Historical Volatility
Close-to-Close computes the standard deviation of daily close-to-close returns and uses a lookback window scaled to time-to-expiry. As the expiration approaches, the lookback window tightens, giving a more responsive volatility approximation relative to time-to-expiry.
This option produces conservative approximations for volatility, and may lag actual volatility intraday.
2) Parkinson High-Low Volatility
Parkinson High-Low volatility uses daily high and low prices to calculate intraday trading range for a more responsive estimation to volatility. It ignores opening and close gaps, so overnight volatility is not accounted for.
This option produces higher theoretical volatility during choppy price action and can over estimate actual volatility.
3) Garman–Klass Volatility
Garman–Klass volatility is a way to estimate how much price is fluctuating by using the open, high, low, and close for each period. Because it draws on multiple intraperiod price points (not just the range or close-to-close moves), it typically produces a tighter, more informative volatility estimate than simpler approaches. It’s often most helpful when gaps occur and when the open and close carry meaningful information about the session’s trading.
4)Yang–Zhang Volatility
The Yang–Zhang volatility estimator is designed to account for both opening jumps and price drift. It estimates volatility by combining overnight (close-to-open) variance, intraday (open-to-close) variance, and a weighted Rogers–Satchell component using OHLC data, often yielding a more robust measure than simpler close-to-close style estimators.
5) Option price
By default, the indicator uses the call option strike dated closest to the warrant expiration date. Since the Greeks for both the warrants and the
options are assumed to be equivalent with a minor difference in theta (time-to-expiry), the theoretical price of the warrants closely matches the trade price of the call strike chosen.
There is a table that can be enabled (off by default because it is large and fills entire screen on mobile) which shows all the configuration settings and Greeks.
You can also manually adjust the "dilution" factor for the warrants, which shifts the number of active warrants and moves the count into the shares outstanding for the underlying (GME). The reason for this is that as warrants get exercised, the total quantity of warrants in circulation decreases and the the total quantity of shares outstanding increases.
Since this indicator was built around the single warrant, ticker NYSE: GME/W, it is only meant to be used with NYSE:GME. Any other ticker will not work properly with this indicator.
Volatilidade
FVG Heatmap [Hash Capital Research]FVG Map
FVG Map is a visual Fair Value Gap (FVG) mapping tool built to make displacement imbalances easy to see and manage in real time. It detects 3-candle FVG zones, plots them as clean heatmap boxes, tracks partial mitigation (how much of the zone has been filled), and summarizes recent “fill speed” behavior in a small regime dashboard.
This is an indicator (not a strategy). It does not place trades and it does not publish performance claims. It is a market-structure visualization tool intended to support discretionary or systematic workflows.
What this script detects
Bullish FVG (gap below price)
A bullish FVG is detected when the candle from two bars ago has a high below the current candle’s low.
The zone spans from that prior high up to the current low.
Bearish FVG (gap above price)
A bearish FVG is detected when the candle from two bars ago has a low above the current candle’s high.
The zone spans from the current high up to that prior low.
What makes it useful
Heatmap zones (clean, readable FVG boxes)
Bullish zones plot below price. Bearish zones plot above price.
Partial fill tracking (mitigation progress)
As price trades back into a zone, the script visually shows how much of the zone has been filled.
Mitigation modes (your definition of “filled”)
• Full Fill: price fully trades through the zone
• 50% Fill: price reaches the midpoint of the zone
• First Touch: price touches the zone one time
Optional auto-cleanup
Optionally remove zones once they’re mitigated to keep the chart clean.
Fill-Speed Regime Dashboard
When zones get mitigated, the script records how many bars it took to fill and summarizes the recent environment:
• Average fill time
• Median fill time
• % fast fills vs % slow fills
• Regime label: choppy/mean-revert, trending/displacement, or mixed
How to use
Use FVG zones as structure, not guaranteed signals.
• Bullish zones are often watched as potential support on pullbacks.
• Bearish zones are often watched as potential resistance on rallies.
The fill-speed dashboard helps provide context: fast fills tend to appear in more rotational conditions, while slow fills tend to appear in stronger trend/displacement conditions.
Alerts
Bullish FVG Created
Bearish FVG Created
Notes
FVGs are not guaranteed reversal points. Fill-speed/regime is descriptive of recent behavior and should be treated as context, not prediction. On realtime candles, visuals may update as the bar forms.
Market Efficiency Ratio [Interakktive]The Market Efficiency Ratio decomposes price movement into two components: net progress vs wasted movement. This tool exposes the underlying math that most traders never see, helping you understand when price is moving efficiently versus chopping sideways.
Unlike simple trend indicators, this shows you WHY price movement matters — not just whether it's up or down, but how much of that movement was useful directional progress versus noisy oscillation.
█ WHAT IT DOES
• Calculates Efficiency Ratio (0–1 or 0–100) measuring directional progress
• Exposes Net Displacement (how far price actually moved)
• Exposes Path Length (total distance price traveled)
• Calculates Chop Cost (wasted movement)
• Visual zones for high/mid/low efficiency states
█ WHAT IT DOES NOT DO
• NO signals, NO entries/exits, NO buy/sell
• NO performance claims
• NO predictions — purely diagnostic
• This is a tool for understanding price behavior
█ HOW IT WORKS
The efficiency ratio answers one question: "Of all the movement price made, how much was useful progress?"
🔹 THE MATH
Over a lookback period of N bars:
Net Displacement = |Close - Close |
Path Length = Σ |Close - Close | for all bars
Efficiency Ratio = Net Displacement / Path Length
🔹 INTERPRETATION
• Efficiency = 1.0 (100%): Price moved in a straight line — every tick was progress
• Efficiency = 0.5 (50%): Half the movement was wasted in back-and-forth chop
• Efficiency = 0.0 (0%): Price ended exactly where it started — all movement was noise
🔹 CHOP COST
This is the "wasted movement" — how much price traveled without making progress:
Chop Cost = Path Length - Net Displacement
Chop % = Chop Cost / Path Length
High chop cost means lots of effort for little result — a warning sign for trend traders.
█ VISUAL GUIDE
Three efficiency zones:
• GREEN (≥70): High efficiency — strong directional movement
• YELLOW (30-70): Mixed efficiency — some progress, some chop
• RED (<30): Low efficiency — mostly noise, little progress
█ INPUTS
Lookback Length (default: 14)
Number of bars to calculate efficiency over. Higher values produce smoother readings but respond slower to changes.
Smoothing Length (default: 5)
EMA smoothing applied to the output. Reduces noise in the efficiency reading.
Apply Smoothing (default: true)
Toggle EMA smoothing on/off.
Scale Mode (default: 0–100)
Display as percentage (0-100) or decimal ratio (0-1).
Show Reference Bands (default: true)
Display the high/low efficiency threshold lines.
Low/High Efficiency Level (default: 30/70)
Thresholds for classifying efficiency zones.
Overlay Effect (default: None)
• None: No overlay
• Background Tint: Subtle chart background color in high/low zones
• Bar Highlight: Color bars during low efficiency periods
Show Data Window Values (default: true)
Export all raw values (Net Displacement, Path Length, Efficiency, Chop Cost, Chop %) to the data window for analysis.
█ USE CASES
This indicator helps traders understand:
• Why some trends are "clean" and others are "messy"
• When price is consolidating vs trending (without using volume)
• The relationship between movement and progress
• Why high-chop environments are difficult to trade
This is the foundational concept behind more advanced regime detection systems.
█ SUITABLE MARKETS
Works on: Stocks, Futures, Forex, Crypto
Timeframes: All timeframes
Note: This is a price-only indicator — no volume required
█ DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. It does not generate trading signals. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis.
BK AK-IED💥 Introducing BK AK-IED — Volatility Ignition / Expansion / Detonation 💥
A pressure-to-release weapon system for traders who want timing, not noise.
Markets don’t move clean because they “feel like it.” They load, they ignite, and then they detonate into expansion. BK AK-IED is built to expose that sequence in real time—so you stop trading randomness and start trading regime shifts.
⚔️ What BK AK-IED is
BK AK-IED is a 3-speed VWMA energy oscillator that blends price movement + volume into a single pressure readout:
Fast (5) = ignition energy (range-driven)
Medium (21) = core pressure engine
Slow (55) = structural volatility backdrop
It’s not a “direction oracle.” It’s an energy meter that tells you when the market is coiling, when it’s waking up, and when it’s breaking out with force.
🧠 Core Weapon Systems
✅ Dynamic Scaling
Keeps the oscillator readable across symbols (no ridiculous y-axis blowouts).
✅ Volatility State Bar (Bottom Strip) — Your War Room
🟨 CONTRACTION = VWMA convergence / coil / pressure loading
🟩 EXPANSION = energy spike begins
🟥 BREAKOUT = expansion without contraction (release phase)
⬜ NEUTRAL = dead zone, don’t force it
✅ Breakout Peak Icons (Crown markers)
Crowns print only when there’s true breakout energy and the move hits major peak territory versus recent extremes. Translation:
tighten risk, scale-out, stop getting greedy. These are exhaustion warnings—not automatic reversals.
Timeframe-adaptive peak filtering is built in:
< 1H: stricter peak requirement
≥ 1H: more realistic swing threshold
🧭 How to use it (execution, not opinions)
1) 🟨 Contraction = don’t bleed.
This is the chop factory. You wait. You map levels. You stalk.
2) 🟩 Expansion = prepare.
Start aligning with structure: trend framework, VWAP, key levels, HTF bias.
3) 🟥 Breakout = engage.
This is where moves pay. Trade the direction your structure supports and manage risk like a professional.
4) 👑 Peak during breakout = harvest / protect.
Scale. Tighten stops. Don’t turn winners into donations.
🧱 Inputs that matter (what you’re actually tuning)
Amplitude Multiplier = how aggressive the energy read is
VWMA Spread Contraction Threshold = how tight “coil” must be to count
Scale Lookback = how far back the dynamic scaling references
Peak Thresholds = how selective peaks are (auto-switches based on timeframe)
The “AK” in the name is an acknowledgment of my mentor A.K. His standards (patience, precision, clarity, and emotional control) are a major reason I build tools with structure instead of hype.
And above all: all praise to Gd — the true source of wisdom, restraint, and right timing.
👑 King Solomon Lens — ZENITH Discipline
Solomon didn’t build greatness by impulse. He built it by measure, order, and restraint.
When the Temple was built, the stones were prepared away from the site—so the structure went up with precision, not chaos. That is the market lesson: the decisive moment is loud, but the preparation is silent. If you only show up for the noise, you will always arrive late.
BK AK-IED is that Solomon blueprint on a chart:
🟨 Contraction is the quarry.
The market is cutting the stones in silence. This is where the undisciplined burn money “doing something.” The wise do the opposite: they reduce noise, define levels, and wait.
🟩 Expansion is the line being set.
Pressure starts to move. This is where you bring structure online—bias, levels, risk plan. Not excitement.
🟥 Breakout is the placement.
The stone drops into position. This is the only phase where aggression is righteous—because it’s backed by a real shift, not hope.
👑 Peak icons are ZENITH—crown-of-the-move logic.
Zenith is where force and momentum reach their highest point before decay begins. The crown is not “celebrate and add.” The crown is govern yourself: harvest, tighten, protect. Solomon’s edge wasn’t prediction—it was rule over the self. That’s what separates profit from punishment.
This is what wisdom looks like in trading: not guessing the future—governing your exposure when the present is telling you the truth. And may Gd bless your restraint as much as your entries, because restraint is where survival becomes power.
✅ Final
BK AK-IED is your volatility weapon for market warfare:
Load → Ignite → Detonate.
Use it with structure. Use it with discipline. And give praise to Gd for every protected loss, every clean entry, and every moment you didn’t force a trade. 🙏
Professional 3SD Institutional Rejection
This indicator identifies institutional "liquidity grab" and "momentum exhaustion" zones using the statistical extremes of 3 Standard Deviations (3SD) on Bollinger Bands. Unlike standard strategies, it doesn't just look for band touches; it confirms price "wicking" outside the 3SD and closing back inside the 2SD band (rejection), while ensuring the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows signs of exhaustion. It is highly effective on 1H, 4H, and Daily timeframes for mean-reversion setups targeting the median line.
QuantLabs Multi Asset Similarity Matrix [V3 Final]The Market is a graph. See the flows:
The QuantLabs MASM is not a standard correlation table. It is an Alpha-Grade Scanner architected to reveal the hidden "hydraulic" relationships between global macro assets in real-time.
Rebuilt from the ground up for Version 3, this engine pushes the absolute limits of the Pine Script™ runtime. It utilizes a proprietary Logarithmic Math Engine, Symmetric Compute Optimization, and a futuristic "Ghost Mode" interface to deliver a 15x15 real-time correlation matrix with zero lag.
Under the Hood: The Quant Architecture
We stripped away standard libraries to build a lean, high-performance engine designed for institutional-grade accuracy.
1. Alpha Math Engine (Logarithmic Returns) Most tools calculate correlation based on Price, which generates spurious signals (e.g., "Everything is correlated in a bull run").
The Solution: Our engine computes Logarithmic Returns (log(close /close )) by default. This measures the correlation of change (Velocity & Vector), not price levels.
The Result: A mathematically rigorous view of statistical relationships that filters out the noise of general market drift.
Dual-Core: Toggle seamlessly between "Alpha Mode" (Log Returns) for verified stats and "Visual Mode" (Price) for trend alignment.
Calculation Modes: Pearson (Standard), Euclidean (Distance), Cosine (Vector), Manhattan (Grid).
2. Symmetric Compute Optimization Calculating a 15x15 matrix requires evaluating 225 unique relationships per bar, which often crashes memory limits.
The Fix: The V3 Engine utilizes Symmetric Logic, recognizing that Correlation(A, B) == Correlation(B, A).
The Gain: By computing only the lower triangle of the matrix and mirroring pointers to the upper triangle, we reduced computational load by 50%, ensuring a lightning-fast data feed even on lower timeframes.
3. Context-Aware "Ghost Mode" The UI is designed for professional traders who need focus, not clutter.
Smart Detection: The matrix automatically detects your current chart's Ticker ID. If you are trading QQQ, the matrix will visually highlight the Nas100 row and column, making them opaque and bright while dimming the rest.
Dynamic Transparency: Irrelevant data ("Noise" < 0.3 correlation) fades into the background. Only significant "Alpha Signals" (> 0.7) glow with full Neon Saturation.
Key Features
Dominant Flow Scanner: The matrix scans all 105 unique pairs every tick and prints the #1 Strongest Correlation at the bottom of the pane (e.g., DOMINANT FLOW: Bitcoin ↔ Nas100 ).
Streak Counter: A "Stubbornness" metric that tracks how many consecutive days a strong correlation has persisted. Instantly identify if a move is a "flash event" or a "structural trend."
Neon Palette: Proprietary color mapping using Electric Blue (+1.0) for lockstep correlation and Deep Red (-1.0) for inverse hedging.
Usage Guide
Placement: Best viewed in a bottom pane (Footer).
Assets: Pre-loaded with the Essential 15 Macro Drivers (Indices, BTC, Gold, Oil, Rates, FX, Key Sectors). Fully editable via settings (Ticker|Name).
Reading the Grid:
🔵 Bright Blue: Assets moving in lockstep (Risk-On).
🔴 Bright Red: Assets moving perfectly opposite (Hedge/Risk-Off).
⚫ Faded/Black: No statistical relationship (Decoupled).
Key Improvements Made:
Formatting: Added clear bullet points and bolding to make it scannable.
Clarity: Clarified the "Logarithmic Returns" section to explain why it matters (Velocity vs. Price Levels).
Tone: Maintained the "high-tech/quant" vibe but removed slightly clunky phrases like "spurious signals" (unless you prefer that academic tone, in which case I left it in as it fits the persona).
Structure: Grouped the "Modes" under the Math Engine for better logic.
Created and designed with love by David James @QuantLabs : )
Bollinger Bands + MA 50/100/200📊 Bollinger Bands + MA 50 / 100 / 200 Indicator
This indicator combines Bollinger Bands with key Moving Averages (50, 100, 200) to help you spot trend direction, volatility, and potential reversal zones in one clean view.
🔹 Bollinger Bands
* Customizable length & MA type (SMA, EMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA)
* Visualizes market volatility
* Upper & lower bands help identify overbought / oversold conditions
🔹 Moving Averages
* MA 50 → Short-term trend
* MA 100 → Medium-term trend
* MA 200 → Long-term trend & major support/resistance
* Easy toggle on/off for clean charting
💡 How to use
* Price near upper band + strong MA trend → possible continuation
* Price near lower band → watch for bounce or breakdown
* MA alignment (50 > 100 > 200) → bullish trend
* MA cross & BB squeeze → potential breakout incoming
⚠️ Best used with price action & risk management
📌 Works on stocks, crypto, forex, indices
QUANT TRADING ENGINE [PointAlgo]Quant Trading Engine is a quantitative market-analysis indicator that combines multiple statistical factors to study trend behavior, mean reversion, volatility, execution efficiency, and market stability.
The indicator converts raw price behavior into standardized signals to help evaluate directional bias and risk conditions in a systematic way.
This script focuses on factor alignment and regime awareness, not prediction certainty.
Design Philosophy
Markets move through different regimes such as trending, ranging, volatile expansion, and instability.
This indicator attempts to model these regimes by blending:
Momentum strength
Mean-reversion pressure
Volatility risk
Trend filtering
Execution context (VWAP)
Correlation structure
Each component is normalized and combined into a single Quant Alpha framework.
Factor Construction
1. Momentum Factor
Measures directional strength using percentage price change over a rolling window.
Standardized using mean and standard deviation.
Represents trend continuation pressure.
2. Mean Reversion Factor
Measures deviation from a longer moving average.
Standardized to identify stretched conditions.
Designed to capture counter-trend behavior.
Directional Clamping
Mean-reversion signals are dynamically restricted:
No counter-trend buying during downtrends.
No counter-trend selling during uptrends.
Allows both sides only in neutral regimes.
This prevents conflicting signals in strong trends.
3. Volatility Factor
Uses realized volatility derived from price changes.
Penalizes environments where volatility deviates significantly from its norm.
Acts as a risk adjustment rather than a directional driver.
4. Composite Quant Alpha
The final Quant Alpha is a weighted blend of:
Momentum
Mean reversion (trend-clamped)
Volatility risk
The composite is standardized into a Z-score, allowing consistent interpretation across instruments and timeframes.
Signal Logic
Buy signal occurs when Quant Alpha crosses above zero.
Sell signal occurs when Quant Alpha crosses below zero.
Zero-cross logic is used to represent shifts from negative to positive statistical bias and vice versa.
Signals reflect statistical regime change, not trade instructions.
Volatility Smile Context
Measures price deviation from its statistical distribution.
Identifies skewed conditions where upside or downside volatility becomes dominant.
Highlights extreme deviations that may imply elevated derivative risk.
Exotic Risk Conditions
Detects sudden price expansion combined with volatility spikes.
Highlights environments where execution and risk become unstable.
Visual background cues are used for awareness only.
Execution Context (VWAP)
Measures price distance from VWAP.
Used to assess execution efficiency rather than direction.
Helps identify stretched conditions relative to average traded price.
Correlation Structure
Evaluates short-term return correlations.
Detects when price behavior becomes less predictable.
Flags structural instability rather than trend direction.
Visualization
The indicator plots:
Quant Alpha (scaled) with directional coloring
Volatility smile deviation
Price vs VWAP distance
Correlation structure
Signal markers indicate Quant Alpha zero-cross events and risk conditions.
Dashboard
A compact dashboard summarizes:
Trend filter state
Quant Alpha polarity and value
Individual factor readings
Current action state (Buy / Sell / Wait / Risk)
The dashboard provides a real-time snapshot of internal model conditions.
Usage Notes
Designed for analytical interpretation and research.
Best used alongside price action and risk management tools.
Factor behavior depends on instrument liquidity and volatility.
Not optimized for illiquid or irregular markets.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and analytical purposes only.
It does not provide financial, investment, or trading advice.
All outputs should be independently validated before making any trading decisions.
AKILLI ANALIZ TERMINALI (V20-REVIZE)SMART ANALYSIS TERMINAL (V20-ULTIMATE)
This indicator is a professional-grade analysis terminal designed for both strategic daily analysis (Swing Trade) and real-time intraday trading (Scalp/Day Trade). It allows you to perform a complete technical X-ray of the market on a single dashboard.
CORE FEATURES:
- Dual-Mode Hybrid Engine: Choose between "NIGHT (ANALYSIS)" or "IN-DAY (AGGRESSIVE)" modes in settings. Mathematical periods and target levels update automatically.
- Smart Scoring System: Blends RSI, MACD, EMA, ADX, and Volume data to produce 5 distinct signals from "VERY POSITIVE" to "VERY NEGATIVE."
- Symmetrical Visual Panel: Left panel displays Live Signal, Pivot Balance, Money Flow, and Target/Support; right panel focuses on RSI, Trend, Momentum, and Volume confirmation.
- Money Flow Algorithm: Detects institutional accumulation (Entry) or distribution (Exit) by analyzing price-volume correlation.
USER GUIDE:
1. NIGHT MODE: Use for evening analysis to plan for the next day. Based on EMA 20/50 and standard MACD values.
2. IN-DAY MODE: Use during live sessions on 5m and 15m charts. Catch instant momentum shifts with EMA 9/21 and aggressive settings.
ADX Coloreado por AO + DI DifferenceKey ComponentsADX line: Measures overall trend strength (non-directional).
+DI line: Strength of upward movement.
-DI line: Strength of downward movement.
Trend direction is determined by which DI line is dominant:+DI > -DI: Bullish trend (upward pressure).
-DI > +DI: Bearish trend (downward pressure).
Crossovers between +DI and -DI can signal potential trend changes, but they are most reliable when ADX confirms sufficient strength.ADX Trend Strength Levels (Common Interpretations)ADX Value
Trend Strength
Recommendation
0–20
Weak or no trend (ranging/sideways market)
Avoid trend-following strategies; consider range-bound or oscillator-based trades.
20–25
Emerging or moderate trend (gray zone)
Monitor for confirmation; potential start of trend.
25–50
Strong trend
Ideal for trend-following strategies (e.g., moving averages, breakouts).
50–75
Very strong trend
High momentum; good for riding trends, but watch for exhaustion.
75–100
Extremely strong trend (rare)
Often overextended; risk of reversal or correction.
Rising ADX: Trend is strengthening.
Falling ADX: Trend is weakening (even if still high).
CVD & Big Trade Detector By HKOverview The CVD & Big Trade Detector By HK offers a unique perspective on Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD). This indicator utilizes Floating Bars (Candles) to visualize the cumulative buying and selling pressure. This design allows you to clearly see the net delta of each specific candle relative to the cumulative trend.
Additionally, it integrates the "Big Trade" algorithm to highlight statistically significant volume anomalies (Whale activity) directly on the CVD bars.
How it Works Since standard volume data does not always provide buy/sell splitting, this script estimates intrabar pressure using price action logic:
Buying Pressure: Calculated based on the push from the Low to the Close.
Selling Pressure: Calculated based on the push from the High to the Close.
The indicator then calculates the Delta (Buy Vol - Sell Vol) and accumulates it.
Floating Bars: Instead of plotting from the zero-line, each bar opens at the previous CVD value and closes at the new cumulative value.
Teal/Green Bar: Net buying in the current period (CVD increased).
Maroon/Red Bar: Net selling in the current period (CVD decreased).
Key Features
Floating CVD Structure: Prevents the "barcode effect" common in histogram CVDs. It provides a clean, candle-like view of momentum accumulation.
Whale Detection:
The script calculates the moving average and standard deviation (Sigma) of the buying/selling volume.
Green Dots: Appear when buying volume exceeds the statistical threshold (Signifying a "Big Buy").
Red Dots: Appear when selling volume exceeds the statistical threshold (Signifying a "Big Sell").
Precise Positioning: Whale markers are plotted exactly at the closing value of the CVD bar, showing you exactly where the volume spike impacted the delta.
How to Use
Divergences: Look for situations where Price makes a Higher High, but the CVD Bars fail to make a new high (bearish divergence).
Absorption: If you see a Large Whale Dot on a very small CVD bar (doji-like), it indicates massive volume fighting for direction with little net result—often a sign of absorption or a pending reversal.
Trend Confirmation: Strong floating bars in the direction of the trend, accompanied by Whale Dots, confirm smart money participation.
Settings
Lookback Period: Defines the baseline for the statistical volume calculation (default: 50).
Sensitivity (Sigma): Adjusts how strict the "Whale" detection is (default: 3.0). Higher values = fewer, more significant signals.
Colors: Fully customizable colors for Up/Down bars and Buy/Sell markers.
Built with Pine Script™ v6
Price Contraction / Expansion1. Introduction
The Price Contraction / Expansion indicator highlights areas of market compression and volatility release by analyzing candle body size and volume behavior. It provides a fast, color-coded visualization to identify potential breakout zones, accumulation phases, or exhaustion movements.
This tool helps traders recognize when price action is tightening before a volatility expansion — a common precursor to strong directional moves.
2. Key Features
Dynamic body analysis: Compares each candle’s body size with a moving average to detect contraction (small bodies) and expansion (large bodies).
Volume confirmation: Measures whether volume is unusually high or low compared to its recent average, helping filter false breaks.
Color-coded system for clarity:
Yellow: Contraction with high volume (potential accumulation or strong activity).
Blue: Contraction with normal volume or expansion with low volume (neutral/reduced participation).
Green: Expansion in bullish candle (buyer dominance).
Red: Expansion in bearish candle (seller dominance).
Customizable parameters: Adjust body and volume averaging periods and thresholds to fit different market conditions or timeframes.
3. How to Use
Identify contraction zones: Look for blue or yellow bars to locate areas of price compression — these often precede breakouts or large movements.
Wait for expansion confirmation: A shift to green or red bars with increasing volume indicates that volatility is expanding and momentum is building.
Combine with context: Use this indicator alongside trend tools, liquidity zones, or moving averages to confirm directional bias and filter noise.
Adapt thresholds: In highly volatile markets, increase the “Threshold multiplier” to reduce false contraction signals.
This indicator is most effective for traders who focus on volatility behavior, market structure, and timing potential breakout opportunities.
Trading Volatility Clock⏰ TRADING VOLATILITY CLOCK - Know When the Action Happens (Anywhere in the World)
A real-time session tracker with multi-timezone support for active traders who need to know when US market volatility strikes - no matter where they are in the world. Perfect for day traders, scalpers, and anyone trading liquid US markets.
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📊 WHAT IT DOES
This indicator displays a live clock showing:
- Current time in YOUR selected timezone (10 major timezones supported)
- Active US market session with color-coded volatility levels
- Countdown timer showing time remaining in current session
- Preview of the next upcoming session
- Optional alerts when entering high-volatility periods
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🌍 MULTI-TIMEZONE SUPPORT
SESSIONS ALWAYS TRACK US MARKET HOURS (Eastern Time):
No matter which timezone you select, the sessions always trigger at the correct US market times. Perfect for international traders who want to:
• See their local time while tracking US market sessions
• Know exactly when US volatility hits in their timezone
• Plan their trading day around US market hours
SUPPORTED TIMEZONES:
• America/New_York (ET) - Eastern Time
• America/Chicago (CT) - Central Time
• America/Los_Angeles (PT) - Pacific Time
• Europe/London (GMT) - Greenwich Mean Time
• Europe/Berlin (CET) - Central European Time
• Asia/Tokyo (JST) - Japan Standard Time
• Asia/Shanghai (CST) - China Standard Time
• Asia/Hong_Kong (HKT) - Hong Kong Time
• Australia/Sydney (AEDT) - Australian Eastern Time
• UTC - Coordinated Universal Time
EXAMPLE: A trader in Tokyo selects "Asia/Tokyo"
• Clock shows: 11:30 PM JST
• Session shows: "Opening Drive" 🔥 HIGH
• They know: US market just opened (9:30 AM ET in New York)
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🎯 WHY IT'S USEFUL
Whether you trade futures, high-volume stocks, or ETFs, volatility isn't constant throughout the day. Knowing WHEN to expect movement is critical:
🔥 HIGH VOLATILITY (Red):
• Opening Drive (9:30-10:30 AM ET) - Highest volume of the day
• Power Hour (3:00-4:00 PM ET) - Second-highest volume, final push
⚡ MEDIUM VOLATILITY (Yellow):
• Pre-Market (8:00-9:30 AM ET) - Building momentum
• Lunch Return (1:00-2:00 PM ET) - Traders returning
• Afternoon Session (2:00-3:00 PM ET) - Trend continuation
• After Hours (4:00-5:00 PM ET) - News reactions
💤 LOW VOLATILITY (Gray):
• Overnight Grind (12:00-8:00 AM ET) - Thin volume
• Mid-Morning Chop (10:30-11:30 AM ET) - Ranges form
• Lunch Hour (11:30 AM-1:00 PM ET) - Dead zone
• Evening Fade (5:00-8:00 PM ET) - Volume dropping
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚙️ CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
TIMEZONE SETTINGS:
• Select from 10 major timezones worldwide
• Clock automatically displays in your local time
• Sessions remain locked to US market hours
SESSION TIME CUSTOMIZATION:
• Every session boundary is adjustable (in minutes from midnight ET)
• Perfect for traders who define sessions differently
• Advanced users can create custom volatility schedules
DISPLAY OPTIONS:
• Toggle next session preview on/off
• Enable/disable high volatility alerts
• Clean, unobtrusive table display in top-right corner
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
💡 HOW TO USE
1. Add indicator to any chart (works on all timeframes)
2. Select your timezone in Settings → Timezone Settings
3. Set your chart to 1-minute timeframe for real-time updates
4. Customize session times if needed (Settings → Session Time Customization)
5. Watch the top-right corner for live session tracking
TRADING APPLICATIONS:
• Avoid trading during dead zones (lunch hour, mid-morning chop)
• Increase position size during high volatility windows
• Set alerts for Opening Drive and Power Hour
• Plan your trading day around US market volatility schedule
• International traders can track US sessions in their local time
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🎓 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator teaches traders:
• Market microstructure and volume patterns
• Why certain times produce better opportunities
• How institutional flows create intraday patterns
• The importance of timing in active trading
• How to adapt US market trading to any timezone
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
- Works best on 1-minute charts for frequent updates
- Sessions are ALWAYS based on US Eastern Time (ET)
- Timezone selection only changes the clock display
- Clock updates when new bar closes (not tick-by-tick)
- Alerts trigger once per bar when enabled
- Perfect for international traders tracking US markets
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📈 BEST USED WITH
- High-volume US stocks: TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, AMD, META
- Major US ETFs: SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA
- US Futures: ES, NQ, RTY, YM, MES, MNQ
- Any liquid US instrument with clear intraday volume patterns
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🌏 FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADERS
This tool is specifically designed for traders outside the US who need to:
• Track US market sessions in their local timezone
• Know when to be at their desk for US volatility
• Avoid waking up for low-volatility periods
• Maximize trading efficiency around US market hours
No more timezone confusion. No more missing the opening bell. Just set your timezone and trade with confidence.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
This is an open-source educational tool. Feel free to modify and adapt to your trading style!
Happy Trading! 🚀
ORB Fusion🎯 CORE INNOVATION: INSTITUTIONAL ORB FRAMEWORK WITH FAILED BREAKOUT INTELLIGENCE
ORB Fusion represents a complete institutional-grade Opening Range Breakout system combining classic Market Profile concepts (Initial Balance, day type classification) with modern algorithmic breakout detection, failed breakout reversal logic, and comprehensive statistical tracking. Rather than simply drawing lines at opening range extremes, this system implements the full trading methodology used by professional floor traders and market makers—including the critical concept that failed breakouts are often higher-probability setups than successful breakouts .
The Opening Range Hypothesis:
The first 30-60 minutes of trading establishes the day's value area —the price range where the majority of participants agree on fair value. This range is formed during peak information flow (overnight news digestion, gap reactions, early institutional positioning). Breakouts from this range signal directional conviction; failures to hold breakouts signal trapped participants and create exploitable reversals.
Why Opening Range Matters:
1. Information Aggregation : Opening range reflects overnight news, pre-market sentiment, and early institutional orders. It's the market's initial "consensus" on value.
2. Liquidity Concentration : Stop losses cluster just outside opening range. Breakouts trigger these stops, creating momentum. Failed breakouts trap traders, forcing reversals.
3. Statistical Persistence : Markets exhibit range expansion tendency —when price accepts above/below opening range with volume, it often extends 1.0-2.0x the opening range size before mean reversion.
4. Institutional Behavior : Large players (market makers, institutions) use opening range as reference for the day's trading plan. They fade extremes in rotation days and follow breakouts in trend days.
Historical Context:
Opening Range Breakout methodology originated in commodity futures pits (1970s-80s) where floor traders noticed consistent patterns: the first 30-60 minutes established a "fair value zone," and directional moves occurred when this zone was violated with conviction. J. Peter Steidlmayer formalized this observation in Market Profile theory, introducing the "Initial Balance" concept—the first hour (two 30-minute periods) defining market structure.
📊 OPENING RANGE CONSTRUCTION
Four ORB Timeframe Options:
1. 5-Minute ORB (0930-0935 ET):
Captures immediate market direction during "opening drive"—the explosive first few minutes when overnight orders hit the tape.
Use Case:
• Scalping strategies
• High-frequency breakout trading
• Extremely liquid instruments (ES, NQ, SPY)
Characteristics:
• Very tight range (often 0.2-0.5% of price)
• Early breakouts common (7 of 10 days break within first hour)
• Higher false breakout rate (50-60%)
• Requires sub-minute chart monitoring
Psychology: Captures panic buyers/sellers reacting to overnight news. Range is small because sample size is minimal—only 5 minutes of price discovery. Early breakouts often fail because they're driven by retail FOMO rather than institutional conviction.
2. 15-Minute ORB (0930-0945 ET):
Balances responsiveness with statistical validity. Captures opening drive plus initial reaction to that drive.
Use Case:
• Day trading strategies
• Balanced scalping/swing hybrid
• Most liquid instruments
Characteristics:
• Moderate range (0.4-0.8% of price typically)
• Breakout rate ~60% of days
• False breakout rate ~40-45%
• Good balance of opportunity and reliability
Psychology: Includes opening panic AND the first retest/consolidation. Sophisticated traders (institutions, algos) start expressing directional bias. This is the "Goldilocks" timeframe—not too reactive, not too slow.
3. 30-Minute ORB (0930-1000 ET):
Classic ORB timeframe. Default for most professional implementations.
Use Case:
• Standard intraday trading
• Position sizing for full-day trades
• All liquid instruments (equities, indices, futures)
Characteristics:
• Substantial range (0.6-1.2% of price)
• Breakout rate ~55% of days
• False breakout rate ~35-40%
• Statistical sweet spot for extensions
Psychology: Full opening auction + first institutional repositioning complete. By 10:00 AM ET, headlines are digested, early stops are hit, and "real" directional players reveal themselves. This is when institutional programs typically finish their opening positioning.
Statistical Advantage: 30-minute ORB shows highest correlation with daily range. When price breaks and holds outside 30m ORB, probability of reaching 1.0x extension (doubling the opening range) exceeds 60% historically.
4. 60-Minute ORB (0930-1030 ET) - Initial Balance:
Steidlmayer's "Initial Balance"—the foundation of Market Profile theory.
Use Case:
• Swing trading entries
• Day type classification
• Low-frequency institutional setups
Characteristics:
• Wide range (0.8-1.5% of price)
• Breakout rate ~45% of days
• False breakout rate ~25-30% (lowest)
• Best for trend day identification
Psychology: Full first hour captures A-period (0930-1000) and B-period (1000-1030). By 10:30 AM ET, all early positioning is complete. Market has "voted" on value. Subsequent price action confirms (trend day) or rejects (rotation day) this value assessment.
Initial Balance Theory:
IB represents the market's accepted value area . When price extends significantly beyond IB (>1.5x IB range), it signals a Trend Day —strong directional conviction. When price remains within 1.0x IB, it signals a Rotation Day —mean reversion environment. This classification completely changes trading strategy.
🔬 LTF PRECISION TECHNOLOGY
The Chart Timeframe Problem:
Traditional ORB indicators calculate range using the chart's current timeframe. This creates critical inaccuracies:
Example:
• You're on a 5-minute chart
• ORB period is 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET)
• Indicator sees only 6 bars (30min ÷ 5min/bar = 6 bars)
• If any 5-minute bar has extreme wick, entire ORB is distorted
The Problem Amplifies:
• On 15-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 2 bars sampled
• On 30-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 1 bar sampled
• Opening spike or single large wick defines entire range (invalid)
Solution: Lower Timeframe (LTF) Precision:
ORB Fusion uses `request.security_lower_tf()` to sample 1-minute bars regardless of chart timeframe:
```
For 30-minute ORB on 15-minute chart:
- Traditional method: Uses 2 bars (15min × 2 = 30min)
- LTF Precision: Requests thirty 1-minute bars, calculates true high/low
```
Why This Matters:
Scenario: ES futures, 15-minute chart, 30-minute ORB
• Traditional ORB: High = 5850.00, Low = 5842.00 (range = 8 points)
• LTF Precision ORB: High = 5848.50, Low = 5843.25 (range = 5.25 points)
Difference: 2.75 points distortion from single 15-minute wick hitting 5850.00 at 9:31 AM then immediately reversing. LTF precision filters this out by seeing it was a fleeting wick, not a sustained high.
Impact on Extensions:
With inflated range (8 points vs 5.25 points):
• 1.5x extension projects +12 points instead of +7.875 points
• Difference: 4.125 points (nearly $200 per ES contract)
• Breakout signals trigger late; extension targets unreachable
Implementation:
```pinescript
getLtfHighLow() =>
float ha = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", high)
float la = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", low)
```
Function returns arrays of 1-minute high/low values, then finds true maximum and minimum across all samples.
When LTF Precision Activates:
Only when chart timeframe exceeds ORB session window:
• 5-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF used (chart TF > session bars needed)
• 1-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF not needed (direct sampling sufficient)
Recommendation: Always enable LTF Precision unless you're on 1-minute charts. The computational overhead is negligible, and accuracy improvement is substantial.
⚖️ INITIAL BALANCE (IB) FRAMEWORK
Steidlmayer's Market Profile Innovation:
J. Peter Steidlmayer developed Market Profile in the 1980s for the Chicago Board of Trade. His key insight: market structure is best understood through time-at-price (value area) rather than just price-over-time (traditional charts).
Initial Balance Definition:
IB is the price range established during the first hour of trading, subdivided into:
• A-Period : First 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET for US equities)
• B-Period : Second 30 minutes (1000-1030 ET)
A-Period vs B-Period Comparison:
The relationship between A and B periods forecasts the day:
B-Period Expansion (Bullish):
• B-period high > A-period high
• B-period low ≥ A-period low
• Interpretation: Buyers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bullish continuation likely
• Strategy: Buy pullbacks to A-period high (now support)
B-Period Expansion (Bearish):
• B-period low < A-period low
• B-period high ≤ A-period high
• Interpretation: Sellers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bearish continuation likely
• Strategy: Sell rallies to A-period low (now resistance)
B-Period Contraction:
• B-period stays within A-period range
• Interpretation: Market indecisive, digesting A-period information
• Implication: Rotation day likely, stay range-bound
• Strategy: Fade extremes, sell high/buy low within IB
IB Extensions:
Professional traders use IB as a ruler to project price targets:
Extension Levels:
• 0.5x IB : Initial probe outside value (minor target)
• 1.0x IB : Full extension (major target for normal days)
• 1.5x IB : Trend day threshold (classifies as trending)
• 2.0x IB : Strong trend day (rare, ~10-15% of days)
Calculation:
```
IB Range = IB High - IB Low
Bull Extension 1.0x = IB High + (IB Range × 1.0)
Bear Extension 1.0x = IB Low - (IB Range × 1.0)
```
Example:
ES futures:
• IB High: 5850.00
• IB Low: 5842.00
• IB Range: 8.00 points
Extensions:
• 1.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 8 = 5858.00
• 1.5x Bull Target: 5850 + 12 = 5862.00
• 2.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 16 = 5866.00
If price reaches 5862.00 (1.5x), day is classified as Trend Day —strategy shifts from mean reversion to trend following.
📈 DAY TYPE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Four Day Types (Market Profile Framework):
1. TREND DAY:
Definition: Price extends ≥1.5x IB range in one direction and stays there.
Characteristics:
• Opens and never returns to IB
• Persistent directional movement
• Volume increases as day progresses (conviction building)
• News-driven or strong institutional flow
Frequency: ~20-25% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Follow the trend, trail stops, let winners run
• DON'T: Fade extremes, take early profits
• Key: Add to position on pullbacks to previous extension level
• Risk: Getting chopped in false trend (see Failed Breakout section)
Example: FOMC decision, payroll report, earnings surprise—anything creating one-sided conviction.
2. NORMAL DAY:
Definition: Price extends 0.5-1.5x IB, tests both sides, returns to IB.
Characteristics:
• Two-sided trading
• Extensions occur but don't persist
• Volume balanced throughout day
• Most common day type
Frequency: ~45-50% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Take profits at extension levels, expect reversals
• DON'T: Hold for massive moves
• Key: Treat each extension as a profit-taking opportunity
• Risk: Holding too long when momentum shifts
Example: Typical day with no major catalysts—market balancing supply and demand.
3. ROTATION DAY:
Definition: Price stays within IB all day, rotating between high and low.
Characteristics:
• Never accepts outside IB
• Multiple tests of IB high/low
• Decreasing volume (no conviction)
• Classic range-bound action
Frequency: ~25-30% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Fade extremes (sell IB high, buy IB low)
• DON'T: Chase breakouts
• Key: Enter at extremes with tight stops just outside IB
• Risk: Breakout finally occurs after multiple failures
Example: [/b> Pre-holiday trading, summer doldrums, consolidation after big move.
4. DEVELOPING:
Definition: Day type not yet determined (early in session).
Usage: Classification before 12:00 PM ET when IB extension pattern unclear.
ORB Fusion's Classification Algorithm:
```pinescript
if close > ibHigh:
ibExtension = (close - ibHigh) / ibRange
direction = "BULLISH"
else if close < ibLow:
ibExtension = (ibLow - close) / ibRange
direction = "BEARISH"
if ibExtension >= 1.5:
dayType = "TREND DAY"
else if ibExtension >= 0.5:
dayType = "NORMAL DAY"
else if close within IB:
dayType = "ROTATION DAY"
```
Why Classification Matters:
Same setup (bullish ORB breakout) has opposite implications:
• Trend Day : Hold for 2.0x extension, trail stops aggressively
• Normal Day : Take profits at 1.0x extension, watch for reversal
• Rotation Day : Fade the breakout immediately (likely false)
Knowing day type prevents catastrophic errors like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
🚀 BREAKOUT DETECTION & CONFIRMATION
Three Confirmation Methods:
1. Close Beyond Level (Recommended):
Logic: Candle must close above ORB high (bull) or below ORB low (bear).
Why:
• Filters out wicks (temporary liquidity grabs)
• Ensures sustained acceptance above/below range
• Reduces false breakout rate by ~20-30%
Example:
• ORB High: 5850.00
• Bar high touches 5850.50 (wick above)
• Bar closes at 5848.00 (inside range)
• Result: NO breakout signal
vs.
• Bar high touches 5850.50
• Bar closes at 5851.00 (outside range)
• Result: BREAKOUT signal confirmed
Trade-off: Slightly delayed entry (wait for close) but much higher reliability.
2. Wick Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Any touch of ORB high/low triggers breakout.
Why:
• Earliest possible entry
• Captures aggressive momentum moves
Risk:
• High false breakout rate (60-70%)
• Stop runs trigger signals
• Requires very tight stops (difficult to manage)
Use Case: Scalping with 1-2 point profit targets where any penetration = trade.
3. Body Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Candle body (close vs open) must be entirely outside range.
Why:
• Strictest confirmation
• Ensures directional conviction (not just momentum)
• Lowest false breakout rate
Example: Trade-off: [/b> Very conservative—misses some valid breakouts but rarely triggers on false ones.
Volume Confirmation Layer:
All confirmation methods can require volume validation:
Volume Multiplier Logic: Rationale: [/b> True breakouts are driven by institutional activity (large size). Volume spike confirms real conviction vs. stop-run manipulation.
Statistical Impact: [/b>
• Breakouts with volume confirmation: ~65% success rate
• Breakouts without volume: ~45% success rate
• Difference: 20 percentage points edge
Implementation Note: [/b>
Volume confirmation adds complexity—you'll miss breakouts that work but lack volume. However, when targeting 1.5x+ extensions (ambitious goals), volume confirmation becomes critical because those moves require sustained institutional participation.
Recommended Settings by Strategy: [/b>
Scalping (1-2 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: OFF
• Rationale: Quick in/out doesn't need perfection
Intraday Swing (5-10 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x multiplier)
• Rationale: Balance reliability and opportunity
Position Trading (full-day holds): [/b>
• Method: Body
• Volume: ON (2.0x multiplier)
• Rationale: Must be certain—large stops require high win rate
🔥 FAILED BREAKOUT SYSTEM
The Core Insight: [/b>
Failed breakouts are often more profitable [/b> than successful breakouts because they create trapped traders with predictable behavior.
Failed Breakout Definition: [/b>
A breakout that:
1. Initially penetrates ORB level with confirmation
2. Attracts participants (volume spike, momentum)
3. Fails to extend (stalls or immediately reverses)
4. Returns inside ORB range within N bars
Psychology of Failure: [/b>
When breakout fails:
• Breakout buyers are trapped [/b>: Bought at ORB high, now underwater
• Early longs reduce: Take profit, fearful of reversal
• Shorts smell blood: See failed breakout as reversal signal
• Result: Cascade of selling as trapped bulls exit + new shorts enter
Mirror image for failed bearish breakouts (trapped shorts cover + new longs enter).
Failure Detection Parameters: [/b>
1. Failure Confirmation Bars (default: 3): [/b>
How many bars after breakout to confirm failure?
Logic: Settings: [/b>
• 2 bars: Aggressive failure detection (more signals, more false failures)
• 3 bars Balanced (default)
• 5-10 bars: Conservative (wait for clear reversal)
Why This Matters:
Too few bars: You call "failed breakout" when price is just consolidating before next leg.
Too many bars: You miss the reversal entry (price already back in range).
2. Failure Buffer (default: 0.1 ATR): [/b>
How far inside ORB must price return to confirm failure?
Formula: Why Buffer Matters: clear rejection [/b> (not just hovering at level).
Settings: [/b>
• 0.0 ATR: No buffer, immediate failure signal
• 0.1 ATR: Small buffer (default) - filters noise
• [b>0.2-0.3 ATR: Large buffer - only dramatic failures count
Example: Reversal Entry System: [/b>
When failure confirmed, system generates complete reversal trade:
For Failed Bull Breakout (Short Reversal): [/b>
Entry: [/b> Current close when failure confirmed
Stop Loss: [/b> Extreme high since breakout + 0.10 ATR padding
Target 1: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 0.5)
Target 2: Target 3: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 1.5)
Example:
• ORB High: 5850, ORB Low: 5842, Range: 8 points
• Breakout to 5853, fails, reverses to 5848 (entry)
• Stop: 5853 + 1 = 5854 (6 point risk)
• T1: 5850 - 4 = 5846 (-2 points, 1:3 R:R)
• T2: 5850 - 8 = 5842 (-6 points, 1:1 R:R)
• T3: 5850 - 12 = 5838 (-10 points, 1.67:1 R:R)
[b>Why These Targets? [/b>
• T1 (0.5x ORB below high): Trapped bulls start panic
• T2 (1.0x ORB = ORB Mid): Major retracement, momentum fully reversed
• T3 (1.5x ORB): Reversal extended, now targeting opposite side
Historical Performance: [/b>
Failed breakout reversals in ORB Fusion's tracking system show:
• Win Rate: 65-75% (significantly higher than initial breakouts)
• Average Winner: 1.2x ORB range
• Average Loser: 0.5x ORB range (protected by stop at extreme)
• Expectancy: Strongly positive even with <70% win rate
Why Failed Breakouts Outperform: [/b>
1. Information Advantage: You now know what price did (failed to extend). Initial breakout trades are speculative; reversal trades are reactive to confirmed failure.
2. Trapped Participant Pressure: Every trapped bull becomes a seller. This creates sustained pressure.
3. Stop Loss Clarity: Extreme high is obvious stop (just beyond recent high). Breakout trades have ambiguous stops (ORB mid? Recent low? Too wide or too tight).
4. Mean Reversion Edge: Failed breakouts return to value (ORB mid). Initial breakouts try to escape value (harder to sustain).
Critical Insight: [/b>
"The best trade is often the one that trapped everyone else."
Failed breakouts create asymmetric opportunity because you're trading against [/b> trapped participants rather than with [/b> them. When you see a failed breakout signal, you're seeing real-time evidence that the market rejected directional conviction—that's exploitable.
📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSION SYSTEM
Six Extension Levels: [/b>
Extensions project how far price will travel after ORB breakout. Based on Fibonacci ratios + empirical market behavior.
1. 1.272x (27.2% Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.272)
Psychology: [/b> Initial probe beyond ORB. Early momentum + trapped shorts (on bull side) covering.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~75-80% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• First resistance/support after breakout
• Partial profit target (take 30-50% off)
• Watch for rejection here (could signal failure in progress)
Why 1.272? [/b> Related to harmonic patterns (1.272 is √1.618). Empirically, markets often stall at 25-30% extension before deciding whether to continue or fail.
2. 1.5x (50% Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.5)
Psychology: [/b> Breakout gaining conviction. Requires sustained buying/selling (not just momentum spike).
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~60-65% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Major partial profit (take 50-70% off)
• Move stops to breakeven
• Trail remaining position
Why 1.5x? [/b> Classic halfway point to 2.0x. Markets often consolidate here before final push. If day type is "Normal," this is likely the high/low for the day.
3. 1.618x (Golden Ratio Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.618)
Psychology: [/b> Strong directional day. Institutional conviction + retail FOMO.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~45-50% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Final partial profit (close 80-90%)
• Trail remainder with wide stop (allow breathing room)
Why 1.618? [/b> Fibonacci golden ratio. Appears consistently in market geometry. When price reaches 1.618x extension, move is "mature" and reversal risk increases.
4. 2.0x (100% Extension): [/b>
Formula: ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.0)
Psychology: [/b> Trend day confirmed. Opening range completely duplicated.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~30-35% after confirmed breakout
Trading: Why 2.0x? [/b> Psychological level—range doubled. Also corresponds to typical daily ATR in many instruments (opening range ~ 0.5 ATR, daily range ~ 1.0 ATR).
5. 2.618x (Super Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.618)
Psychology: [/b> Parabolic move. News-driven or squeeze.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~10-15% after confirmed breakout
[b>Trading: Why 2.618? [/b> Fibonacci ratio (1.618²). Rare to reach—when it does, move is extreme. Often precedes multi-day consolidation or reversal.
6. 3.0x (Extreme Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 2.0)
Psychology: [/b> Market melt-up/crash. Only in extreme events.
[b>Probability of Reach: [/b> <5% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Close immediately if reached
• These are outlier events (black swans, flash crashes, squeeze-outs)
• Holding for more is greed—take windfall profit
Why 3.0x? [/b> Triple opening range. So rare it's statistical noise. When it happens, it's headline news.
Visual Example:
ES futures, ORB 5842-5850 (8 point range), Bullish breakout:
• ORB High : 5850.00 (entry zone)
• 1.272x : 5850 + 2.18 = 5852.18 (first resistance)
• 1.5x : 5850 + 4.00 = 5854.00 (major target)
• 1.618x : 5850 + 4.94 = 5854.94 (strong target)
• 2.0x : 5850 + 8.00 = 5858.00 (trend day)
• 2.618x : 5850 + 12.94 = 5862.94 (extreme)
• 3.0x : 5850 + 16.00 = 5866.00 (parabolic)
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Optimal scaling out at extensions:
• Breakout entry at 5850.50
• 30% off at 1.272x (5852.18) → +1.68 points
• 40% off at 1.5x (5854.00) → +3.50 points
• 20% off at 1.618x (5854.94) → +4.44 points
• 10% off at 2.0x (5858.00) → +7.50 points
[b>Average Exit: Conclusion: [/b> Scaling out at extensions produces 40% higher expectancy than holding for home runs.
📊 GAP ANALYSIS & FILL PSYCHOLOGY
[b>Gap Definition: [/b>
Price discontinuity between previous close and current open:
• Gap Up : Open > Previous Close + noise threshold (0.1 ATR)
• Gap Down : Open < Previous Close - noise threshold
Why Gaps Matter: [/b>
Gaps represent unfilled orders [/b>. When market gaps up, all limit buy orders between yesterday's close and today's open are never filled. Those buyers are "left behind." Psychology: they wait for price to return ("fill the gap") so they can enter. This creates magnetic pull [/b> toward gap level.
Gap Fill Statistics (Empirical): [/b>
• Gaps <0.5% [/b>: 85-90% fill within same day
• Gaps 0.5-1.0% [/b>: 70-75% fill within same day, 90%+ within week
• Gaps >1.0% [/b>: 50-60% fill within same day (major news often prevents fill)
Gap Fill Strategy: [/b>
Setup 1: Gap-and-Go
Gap opens, extends away from gap (doesn't fill).
• ORB confirms direction away from gap
• Trade WITH ORB breakout direction
• Expectation: Gap won't fill today (momentum too strong)
Setup 2: Gap-Fill Fade
Gap opens, but fails to extend. Price drifts back toward gap.
• ORB breakout TOWARD gap (not away)
• Trade toward gap fill level
• Target: Previous close (gap fill complete)
Setup 3: Gap-Fill Rejection
Gap fills (touches previous close) then rejects.
• ORB breakout AWAY from gap after fill
• Trade away from gap direction
• Thesis: Gap filled (orders executed), now resume original direction
[b>Example: Scenario A (Gap-and-Go):
• ORB breaks upward to $454 (away from gap)
• Trade: LONG breakout, expect continued rally
• Gap becomes support ($452)
Scenario B (Gap-Fill):
• ORB breaks downward through $452.50 (toward gap)
• Trade: SHORT toward gap fill at $450.00
• Target: $450.00 (gap filled), close position
Scenario C (Gap-Fill Rejection):
• Price drifts to $450.00 (gap filled) early in session
• ORB establishes $450-$451 after gap fill
• ORB breaks upward to $451.50
• Trade: LONG breakout (gap is filled, now resume rally)
ORB Fusion Integration: [/b>
Dashboard shows:
• Gap type (Up/Down/None)
• Gap size (percentage)
• Gap fill status (Filled ✓ / Open)
This informs setup confidence:
• ORB breakout AWAY from unfilled gap: +10% confidence (gap becomes support/resistance)
• ORB breakout TOWARD unfilled gap: -10% confidence (gap fill may override ORB)
[b>📈 VWAP & INSTITUTIONAL BIAS [/b>
[b>Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): [/b>
Average price weighted by volume at each price level. Represents true "average" cost for the day.
[b>Calculation: Institutional Benchmark [/b>: Institutions (mutual funds, pension funds) use VWAP as performance benchmark. If they buy above VWAP, they underperformed; below VWAP, they outperformed.
2. [b>Algorithmic Target [/b>: Many algos are programmed to buy below VWAP and sell above VWAP to achieve "fair" execution.
3. [b>Support/Resistance [/b>: VWAP acts as dynamic support (price above) or resistance (price below).
[b>VWAP Bands (Standard Deviations): [/b>
• [b>1σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 1 standard deviation
- Contains ~68% of volume
- Normal trading range
- Bounces common
• [b>2σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 2 standard deviations
- Contains ~95% of volume
- Extreme extension
- Mean reversion likely
ORB + VWAP Confluence: [/b>
Highest-probability setups occur when ORB and VWAP align:
Bullish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout upward (bullish signal)
• Price above VWAP (institutional buying)
• Confidence boost: +15%
Bearish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout downward (bearish signal)
• Price below VWAP (institutional selling)
• Confidence boost: +15%
[b>Divergence Warning:
• ORB breakout upward BUT price below VWAP
• Conflict: Breakout says "buy," VWAP says "sell"
• Confidence penalty: -10%
• Interpretation: Retail buying but institutions not participating (lower quality breakout)
📊 MOMENTUM CONTEXT SYSTEM
[b>Innovation: Candle Coloring by Position
Rather than fixed support/resistance lines, ORB Fusion colors candles based on their [b>relationship to ORB :
[b>Three Zones: [/b>
1. Inside ORB (Blue Boxes): [/b>
[b>Calculation:
• Darker blue: Near extremes of ORB (potential breakout imminent)
• Lighter blue: Near ORB mid (consolidation)
[b>Trading: [/b> Coiled spring—await breakout.
[b>2. Above ORB (Green Boxes):
[b>Calculation: 3. Below ORB (Red Boxes):
Mirror of above ORB logic.
[b>Special Contexts: [/b>
[b>Breakout Bar (Darkest Green/Red): [/b>
The specific bar where breakout occurs gets maximum color intensity regardless of distance. This highlights the pivotal moment.
[b>Failed Breakout Bar (Orange/Warning): [/b>
When failed breakout is confirmed, that bar gets orange/warning color. Visual alert: "reversal opportunity here."
[b>Near Extension (Cyan/Magenta Tint): [/b>
When price is within 0.5 ATR of an extension level, candle gets tinted cyan (bull) or magenta (bear). Indicates "target approaching—prepare to take profit."
[b>Why Visual Context? [/b>
Traditional indicators show lines. ORB Fusion shows [b>context-aware momentum [/b>. Glance at chart:
• Lots of blue? Consolidation day (fade extremes).
• Progressive green? Trend day (follow).
• Green then orange? Failed breakout (reversal setup).
This visual language communicates market state instantly—no interpretation needed.
🎯 TRADE SETUP GENERATION & GRADING [/b>
[b>Algorithmic Setup Detection: [/b>
ORB Fusion continuously evaluates market state and generates current best trade setup with:
• Action (LONG / SHORT / FADE HIGH / FADE LOW / WAIT)
• Entry price
• Stop loss
• Three targets
• Risk:Reward ratio
• Confidence score (0-100)
• Grade (A+ to D)
[b>Setup Types: [/b>
[b>1. ORB LONG (Bullish Breakout): [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bullish ORB breakout confirmed
• Not failed
[b>Parameters:
• Entry: Current close
• Stop: ORB mid (protects against failure)
• T1: ORB High + 0.5x range (1.5x extension)
• T2: ORB High + 1.0x range (2.0x extension)
• T3: ORB High + 1.618x range (2.618x extension)
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bearish breakout occurred
• Failed (returned inside ORB)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: Close when failure confirmed
• Stop: Extreme low since breakout + 0.10 ATR
• T1: ORB Low + 0.5x range
• T2: ORB Low + 1.0x range (ORB mid)
• T3: ORB Low + 1.5x range
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger:
• Inside ORB
• Close > ORB mid (near high)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: ORB High (limit order)
• Stop: ORB High + 0.2x range
• T1: ORB Mid
• T2: ORB Low
[b>Confidence Scoring: [/b>
Base: 40 points (lower base—range fading is lower probability than breakout/reversal)
[b>Use Case: [/b> Rotation days. Not recommended on normal/trend days.
[b>6. FADE LOW (Range Trade):
Mirror of FADE HIGH.
[b>7. WAIT:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• ORB not complete yet OR
• No clear setup (price in no-man's-land)
[b>Action: [/b> Observe, don't trade.
[b>Confidence: [/b> 0 points
[b>Grading System:
```
Confidence → Grade
85-100 → A+
75-84 → A
65-74 → B+
55-64 → B
45-54 → C
0-44 → D
```
[b>Grade Interpretation: [/b>
• [b>A+ / A: High probability setup. Take these trades.
• [b>B+ / B [/b>: Decent setup. Trade if fits system rules.
• [b>C [/b>: Marginal setup. Only if very experienced.
• [b>D [/b>: Poor setup or no setup. Don't trade.
[b>Example Scenario: [/b>
ES futures:
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 point range)
• Bullish breakout to 5851 confirmed
• Volume: 2.0x average (confirmed)
• VWAP: 5845 (price above VWAP ✓)
• Day type: Developing (too early, no bonus)
• Gap: None
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Action: LONG
• Entry: 5851
• Stop: 5846 (ORB mid, -5 point risk)
• T1: 5854 (+3 points, 1:0.6 R:R)
• T2: 5858 (+7 points, 1:1.4 R:R)
• T3: 5862.94 (+11.94 points, 1:2.4 R:R)
[b>Confidence: LONG with 55% confidence.
Interpretation: Solid setup, not perfect. Trade it if your system allows B-grade signals.
[b>📊 STATISTICS TRACKING & PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS [/b>
[b>Real-Time Performance Metrics: [/b>
ORB Fusion tracks comprehensive statistics over user-defined lookback (default 50 days):
[b>Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Bull Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
• [b>Bear Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
[b>Win Definition: [/b> Breakout reaches ≥1.0x extension (doubles the opening range) before end of day.
[b>Example: [/b>
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 points)
• Bull breakout at 5851
• Reaches 5858 (1.0x extension) by close
• Result: WIN
[b>Failed Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Total Failed Breakouts [/b>: Count of breakouts that failed
• [b>Reversal Wins [/b>: Count where reversal trade reached target
• [b>Failed Reversal Win Rate [/b>: Wins / Total Failed
[b>Win Definition for Reversals: [/b>
• Failed bull → reversal short reaches ORB mid
• Failed bear → reversal long reaches ORB mid
[b>Extension Tracking: [/b>
• [b>Average Extension Reached [/b>: Mean of maximum extension achieved across all breakout days
• [b>Max Extension Overall [/b>: Largest extension ever achieved in lookback period
[b>Example: 🎨 THREE DISPLAY MODES
[b>Design Philosophy: [/b>
Not all traders need all features. Beginners want simplicity. Professionals want everything. ORB Fusion adapts.
[b>SIMPLE MODE: [/b>
[b>Shows: [/b>
• Primary ORB levels (High, Mid, Low)
• ORB box
• Breakout signals (triangles)
• Failed breakout signals (crosses)
• Basic dashboard (ORB status, breakout status, setup)
• VWAP
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• ORB extensions beyond basic levels
• Gap analysis visuals
• Statistics dashboard
• Momentum candle coloring
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Traders who want clean chart
• Focus on core ORB concept only
• Mobile trading (less screen space)
[b>STANDARD MODE:
[b>Shows Everything in Simple Plus: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels (high, low, mid)
• IB extensions
• ORB extensions (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x)
• Gap analysis and fill targets
• VWAP bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Momentum candle coloring
• Context section in dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Advanced extensions (2.618x, 3.0x)
• Detailed statistics dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Most traders
• Balance between information and clarity
• Covers 90% of use cases
[b>ADVANCED MODE:
[b>Shows Everything:
• All session ORBs
• All IB levels and extensions
• All ORB extensions (including 2.618x and 3.0x)
• Full gap analysis
• VWAP with both 1σ and 2σ bands
• Momentum candle coloring
• Complete statistics dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
• All context metrics
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Professional traders
• System developers
• Those who want maximum information density
[b>Switching Modes: [/b>
Single dropdown input: "Display Mode" → Simple / Standard / Advanced
Entire indicator adapts instantly. No need to toggle 20 individual settings.
📖 NARRATIVE DASHBOARD
[b>Innovation: Plain-English Market State [/b>
Most indicators show data. ORB Fusion explains what the data [b>means [/b>.
[b>Narrative Components: [/b>
[b>1. Phase: [/b>
• "📍 Building ORB..." (during ORB session)
• "📊 Trading Phase" (after ORB complete)
• "⏳ Pre-Market" (before ORB session)
[b>2. Status (Current Observation): [/b>
• "⚠️ Failed breakout - reversal likely"
• "🚀 Bullish momentum in play"
• "📉 Bearish momentum in play"
• "⚖️ Consolidating in range"
• "👀 Monitoring for setup"
[b>3. Next Level:
Tells you what to watch for:
• "🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00" (next extension target)
• "Watch ORB levels" (inside range, await breakout)
[b>4. Setup: [/b>
Current trade setup + grade:
• "LONG " (bullish breakout, A-grade)
• "🔥 SHORT REVERSAL " (failed bull breakout, A+-grade)
• "WAIT " (no setup)
[b>5. Reason: [/b>
Why this setup exists:
• "ORB Bullish Breakout"
• "Failed Bear Breakout - High Probability Reversal"
• "Range Fade - Near High"
[b>6. Tip (Market Insight):
Contextual advice:
• "🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops" (day type is trending)
• "🔄 ROTATION - Fade extremes" (day type is rotating)
• "📊 Gap unfilled - magnet level" (gap creates target)
• "📈 Normal conditions" (no special context)
[b>Example Narrative:
```
📖 ORB Narrative
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Phase | 📊 Trading Phase
Status | 🚀 Bullish momentum in play
Next | 🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00
📈 Setup | LONG
Reason | ORB Bullish Breakout
💡 Tip | 🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops
```
[b>Glance Interpretation: [/b>
"We're in trading phase. Bullish breakout happened (momentum in play). Next target is 1.5x extension at 5854. Current setup is LONG with A-grade. It's a trend day, so trail stops (don't take early profits)."
Complete market state communicated in 6 lines. No interpretation needed.
[b>Why This Matters:
Beginner traders struggle with "So what?" question. Indicators show lines and signals, but what does it mean [/b>? Narrative dashboard bridges this gap.
Professional traders benefit too—rapid context assessment during fast-moving markets. No time to analyze; glance at narrative, get action plan.
🔔 INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
[b>Four Alert Types: [/b>
[b>1. Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> ORB breakout confirmed (bull or bear)
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🚀 ORB BULLISH BREAKOUT
Price: 5851.00
Volume Confirmed
Grade: A
```
[b>Frequency: [/b> Once per bar (prevents spam)
[b>2. Failed Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Breakout fails, reversal setup generated
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🔥 FAILED BULLISH BREAKOUT!
HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT REVERSAL
Entry: 5848.00
Stop: 5854.00
T1: 5846.00
T2: 5842.00
Historical Win Rate: 73%
```
[b>Why Comprehensive? [/b> Failed breakout alerts include complete trade plan. You can execute immediately from alert—no need to check chart.
[b>3. Extension Alert:
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price reaches extension level for first time
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🎯 Bull Extension 1.5x reached @ 5854.00
```
[b>Use: [/b> Profit-taking reminder. When extension hit, consider scaling out.
[b>4. IB Break Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price breaks above IB high or below IB low
[b>Message: [/b>
```
📊 IB HIGH BROKEN - Potential Trend Day
```
[b>Use: [/b> Day type classification. IB break suggests trend day developing—adjust strategy to trend-following mode.
[b>Alert Management: [/b>
Each alert type can be enabled/disabled independently. Prevents notification overload.
[b>Cooldown Logic: [/b>
Alerts won't fire if same alert type triggered within last bar. Prevents:
• "Breakout" alert every tick during choppy breakout
• Multiple "extension" alerts if price oscillates at level
Ensures: One clean alert per event.
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
[b>Opening Range Settings: [/b>
• [b>ORB Timeframe [/b> (5/15/30/60 min): Duration of opening range window
- 30 min recommended for most traders
• [b>Use RTH Only [/b> (ON/OFF): Only trade during regular trading hours
- ON recommended (avoids thin overnight markets)
• [b>Use LTF Precision [/b> (ON/OFF): Sample 1-minute bars for accuracy
- ON recommended (critical for charts >1 minute)
• [b>Precision TF [/b> (1/5 min): Timeframe for LTF sampling
- 1 min recommended (most accurate)
[b>Session ORBs: [/b>
• [b>Show Asian/London/NY ORB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display multi-session ranges
- OFF in Simple mode
- ON in Standard/Advanced if trading 24hr markets
• [b>Session Windows [/b>: Time ranges for each session ORB
- Defaults align with major session opens
[b>Initial Balance: [/b>
• [b>Show IB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display Initial Balance levels
- ON recommended for day type classification
• [b>IB Session Window [/b> (0930-1030): First hour of trading
- Default is standard for US equities
• [b>Show IB Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project IB extension targets
- ON recommended (identifies trend days)
• [b>IB Extensions 1-4 [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x): Extension multipliers
- Defaults are Market Profile standard
[b>ORB Extensions: [/b>
• [b>Show Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project ORB extension targets
- ON recommended (defines profit targets)
• [b>Enable Individual Extensions [/b> (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x)
- Enable 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x minimum
- Disable 2.618x and 3.0x unless trading very volatile instruments
[b>Breakout Detection:
• [b>Confirmation Method [/b> (Close/Wick/Body):
- Close recommended (best balance)
- Wick for scalping
- Body for conservative
• [b>Require Volume Confirmation [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (increases reliability)
• [b>Volume Multiplier [/b> (1.0-3.0):
- 1.5x recommended
- Lower for thin instruments
- Higher for heavy volume instruments
[b>Failed Breakout System: [/b>
• [b>Enable Failed Breakouts [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON strongly recommended (highest edge)
• [b>Bars to Confirm Failure [/b> (2-10):
- 3 bars recommended
- 2 for aggressive (more signals, more false failures)
- 5+ for conservative (fewer signals, higher quality)
• [b>Failure Buffer [/b> (0.0-0.5 ATR):
- 0.1 ATR recommended
- Filters noise during consolidation near ORB level
• [b>Show Reversal Targets [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (visualizes trade plan)
• [b>Reversal Target Mults [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x):
- Defaults are tested values
- Adjust based on average daily range
[b>Gap Analysis:
• [b>Show Gap Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON if trading instruments that gap frequently
- OFF for 24hr markets (forex, crypto—no gaps)
• [b>Gap Fill Target [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON to visualize previous close (gap fill level)
[b>VWAP:
• [b>Show VWAP [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (key institutional level)
• [b>Show VWAP Bands [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON in Standard/Advanced
- OFF in Simple
• [b>Band Multipliers (1.0σ, 2.0σ):
- Defaults are standard
- 1σ = normal range, 2σ = extreme
[b>Day Type: [/b>
• [b>Show Day Type Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (critical for strategy adaptation)
• [b>Trend Day Threshold [/b> (1.0-2.5 IB mult):
- 1.5x recommended
- When price extends >1.5x IB, classifies as Trend Day
[b>Enhanced Visuals:
• [b>Show Momentum Candles [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for visual context
- OFF if chart gets too colorful
• [b>Show Gradient Zone Fills [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for professional look
- OFF for minimalist chart
• [b>Label Display Mode [/b> (All/Adaptive/Minimal):
- Adaptive recommended (shows nearby labels only)
- All for information density
- Minimal for clean chart
• [b>Label Proximity [/b> (1.0-5.0 ATR):
- 3.0 ATR recommended
- Labels beyond this distance are hidden (Adaptive mode)
[b>🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL [/b>
[b>Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Understand ORB concepts and dashboard interpretation
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Display Mode: STANDARD
• ORB Timeframe: 30 minutes
• Enable ALL features (IB, extensions, failed breakouts, VWAP, gap analysis)
• Enable statistics tracking
[b>Actions: [/b>
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe ORB formation every day (9:30-10:00 AM ET for US markets)
• Note when ORB breakouts occur and if they extend
• Note when breakouts fail and reversals happen
• Watch day type classification evolve during session
• Track statistics—which setups are working?
[b>Key Learning: [/b>
• How often do breakouts reach 1.5x extension? (typically 50-60% of confirmed breakouts)
• How often do breakouts fail? (typically 30-40%)
• Which setup grade (A/B/C) actually performs best? (should see A-grade outperforming)
• What day type produces best results? (trend days favor breakouts, rotation days favor fades)
[b>Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
[b>ORB Timeframe Selection:
• Run 5 days with 15-minute ORB
• Run 5 days with 30-minute ORB
• Compare: Which captures better breakouts on your instrument?
• Typically: 30-minute optimal for most, 15-minute for very liquid (ES, SPY)
[b>Volume Confirmation Testing:
• Run 5 days WITH volume confirmation
• Run 5 days WITHOUT volume confirmation
• Compare: Does volume confirmation increase win rate?
• If win rate improves by >5%: Keep volume confirmation ON
• If no improvement: Turn OFF (avoid missing valid breakouts)
[b>Failed Breakout Bars:
[b>Goal: [/b> Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
[b>Setup Selection Rules: [/b>
Define which setups you'll trade:
• [b>Conservative: [/b> Only A+ and A grades
• [b>Balanced: [/b> A+, A, B+ grades
• [b>Aggressive: [/b> All grades B and above
Test each approach for 5-10 trades, compare results.
[b>Position Sizing by Grade: [/b>
Consider risk-weighting by setup quality:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B+ grade: 50% position size
• B grade: 25% position size
Example: If max risk is $1000/trade:
• A+ setup: Risk $1000
• A setup: Risk $750
• B+ setup: Risk $500
This matches bet sizing to edge.
[b>Day Type Adaptation: [/b>
Create rules for different day types:
Trend Days:
• Take ALL breakout signals (A/B/C grades)
• Hold for 2.0x extension minimum
• Trail stops aggressively (1.0 ATR trail)
• DON'T fade—reversals unlikely
Rotation Days:
• ONLY take failed breakout reversals
• Ignore initial breakout signals (likely to fail)
• Take profits quickly (0.5x extension)
• Focus on fade setups (Fade High/Fade Low)
Normal Days:
• Take A/A+ breakout signals only
• Take ALL failed breakout reversals (high probability)
• Target 1.0-1.5x extensions
• Partial profit-taking at extensions
Time-of-Day Rules: [/b>
Breakouts at different times have different probabilities:
10:00-10:30 AM (Early Breakout):
• ORB just completed
• Fresh breakout
• Probability: Moderate (50-55% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Conservative position sizing
10:30-12:00 PM (Mid-Morning):
• Momentum established
• Volume still healthy
• Probability: High (60-65% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Standard position sizing
12:00-2:00 PM (Lunch Doldrums):
• Volume dries up
• Whipsaw risk increases
• Probability: Low (40-45% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Avoid new entries OR reduce size 50%
2:00-4:00 PM (Afternoon Session):
• Late-day positioning
• EOD squeezes possible
• Probability: Moderate-High (55-60%)
• Strategy: Watch for IB break—if trending all day, follow
[b>Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
[b>Setup: [/b>
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ and A grade setups
• Follow stop loss and targets religiously
[b>Execution: [/b>
• Execute from alerts OR from dashboard setup box
• Entry: Close of signal bar OR next bar market order
• Stop: Use exact stop from setup (don't widen)
• Targets: Scale out at T1/T2/T3 as indicated
[b>Tracking: [/b>
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, Outcome, Day Type
• Calculate: Win rate, Average R-multiple, Max consecutive losses
• Compare to paper trading results (should be within 15%)
[b>Red Flags: [/b>
• Win rate <45%: System not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
• Major divergence from paper trading: Execution issues (slippage, late entries, emotional exits)
• Max consecutive losses >8: Hitting rough patch OR market regime changed
[b>Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
[b>Goal: [/b> Gradually increase to full position size
[b>Progression: [/b>
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
[b>Milestones Required to Scale Up: [/b>
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥48%
• Profit factor ≥1.2
• Max drawdown <20%
• Emotional control (no revenge trading, no FOMO)
[b>Advanced Techniques:
[b>Multi-Timeframe ORB: Assumes first 30-60 minutes establish value. Violation: Market opens after major news, price discovery continues for hours (opening range meaningless).
2. [b>Volume Indicates Conviction: ES, NQ, RTY, SPY, QQQ—high liquidity, clean ORB formation, reliable extensions
• [b>Large-Cap Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap, >5M daily volume)
• [b>Liquid Futures: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), 6E (EUR/USD), ZB (bonds)—24hr markets benefit from session ORBs
• [b>Major Forex Pairs: [/b> EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY—London/NY session ORBs work well
[b>Performs Poorly On: [/b>
• [b>Illiquid Stocks: <$1M daily volume, wide spreads, gappy price action
• [b>Penny Stocks: [/b> Manipulated, pump-and-dump, no real price discovery
• [b>Low-Volume ETFs: Exotic sector ETFs, leveraged products with thin volume
• [b>Crypto on Sketchy Exchanges: Wash trading, spoofing invalidates volume analysis
• [b>Earnings Days: [/b> ORB completes before earnings release, then completely resets (useless)
• Binary Event Days: FDA approvals, court rulings—discontinuous price action
[b>Known Weaknesses: [/b>
• [b>Slow Starts: ORB doesn't complete until 10:00 AM (30-min ORB). Early morning traders have no signals for 30 minutes. Consider using 15-minute ORB if this is problematic.
• [b>Failure Detection Lag: [/b> Failed breakout requires 3+ bars to confirm. By the time system signals reversal, price may have already moved significantly back inside range. Manual traders watching in real-time can enter earlier.
• [b>Extension Overshoot: [/b> System projects extensions mathematically (1.5x, 2.0x, etc.). Actual moves may stop short (1.3x) or overshoot (2.2x). Extensions are targets, not magnets.
• [b>Day Type Misclassification: [/b> Early in session, day type is "Developing." By the time it's classified definitively (often 11:00 AM+), half the day is over. Strategy adjustments happen late.
• [b>Gap Assumptions: [/b> System assumes gaps want to fill. Strong trend days never fill gaps (gap becomes support/resistance forever). Blindly trading toward gaps can backfire on trend days.
• [b>Volume Data Quality: Forex doesn't have centralized volume (uses tick volume as proxy—less reliable). Crypto volume is often fake (wash trading). Volume confirmation less effective on these instruments.
• [b>Multi-Session Complexity: [/b> When using Asian/London/NY ORBs simultaneously, chart becomes cluttered. Requires discipline to focus on relevant session for current time.
[b>Risk Factors: [/b>
• [b>Opening Gaps: Large gaps (>2%) can create distorted ORBs. Opening range might be unusually wide or narrow, making extensions unreliable.
• [b>Low Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX <12, opening ranges can be tiny (0.2-0.3%). Extensions are equally tiny. Profit targets don't justify commission/slippage.
• [b>High Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX >30, opening ranges are huge (2-3%+). Extensions project unrealistic targets. Failed breakouts happen faster (volatility whipsaw).
• [b>Algorithm Dominance:[/b> In heavily algorithmic markets (ES during overnight session), ORB levels can be manipulated—algos pin price to ORB high/low intentionally. Breakouts become stop-runs rather than genuine directional moves.
[b>⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE[/b>
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Opening Range Breakout strategies, while based on sound market structure principles, do not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
The ORB Fusion indicator implements professional trading concepts including Opening Range theory, Market Profile Initial Balance analysis, Fibonacci extensions, and failed breakout reversal logic. These methodologies have theoretical foundations but past performance—whether backtested or live—is not indicative of future results.
Opening Range theory assumes the first 30-60 minutes of trading establish a meaningful value area and that breakouts from this range signal directional conviction. This assumption may not hold during:
• Major news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings surprises)
• Market structure changes (circuit breakers, trading halts)
• Low liquidity periods (holidays, early closures)
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Failed breakout detection relies on patterns of trapped participant behavior. While historically these patterns have shown statistical edges, market conditions change. Institutional algorithms, changing market structure, or regime shifts can reduce or eliminate edges that existed historically.
Initial Balance classification (trend day vs rotation day vs normal day) is a heuristic framework, not a deterministic prediction. Day type can change mid-session. Early classification may prove incorrect as the day develops.
Extension projections (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, etc.) are probabilistic targets derived from Fibonacci ratios and empirical market behavior. They are not "support and resistance levels" that price must reach or respect. Markets can stop short of extensions, overshoot them, or ignore them entirely.
Volume confirmation assumes high volume indicates institutional participation and conviction. In algorithmic markets, volume can be artificially high (HFT activity) or artificially low (dark pools, internalization). Volume is a proxy, not a guarantee of conviction.
LTF precision sampling improves ORB accuracy by using 1-minute bars but introduces additional data dependencies. If 1-minute data is unavailable, inaccurate, or delayed, ORB calculations will be incorrect.
The grading system (A+/A/B+/B/C/D) and confidence scores aggregate multiple factors (volume, VWAP, day type, IB expansion, gap context) into a single assessment. This is a mechanical calculation, not artificial intelligence. The system cannot adapt to unprecedented market conditions or events outside its programmed logic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, and rejected orders not present in indicator calculations. ORB Fusion generates signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay. Opening range forms during highest volatility (first 30 minutes)—spreads widen, slippage increases. Execution quality significantly impacts realized results.
Statistics tracking (win rates, extension levels reached, day type distribution) is based on historical bars in your lookback window. If lookback is small (<50 bars) or market regime changed, statistics may not represent future probabilities.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively (100+ trades minimum) before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing (5-10% of intended size) for 50+ trades to validate execution quality matches expectations.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every single trade without exception. Understand that most retail traders lose money—sophisticated indicators do not change this fundamental reality. They systematize analysis but cannot eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or fitness for any purpose. Users assume full responsibility for all trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
[b>CLOSING STATEMENT[/b>
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
Opening Range Breakout is not a trick. It's a framework. The first 30-60 minutes reveal where participants believe value lies. Breakouts signal directional conviction. Failures signal trapped participants. Extensions define profit targets. Day types dictate strategy. Failed breakouts create the highest-probability reversals.
ORB Fusion doesn't predict the future—it identifies [b>structure[/b>, detects [b>breakouts[/b>, recognizes [b>failures[/b>, and generates [b>probabilistic trade plans[/b> with defined risk and reward.
The edge is not in the opening range itself. The edge is in recognizing when the market respects structure (follow breakouts) versus when it violates structure (fade breakouts). The edge is in detecting failures faster than discretionary traders. The edge is in systematic classification that prevents catastrophic errors—like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
Most indicators draw lines. ORB Fusion implements a complete institutional trading methodology: Opening Range theory, Market Profile classification, failed breakout intelligence, Fibonacci projections, volume confirmation, gap psychology, and real-time performance tracking.
Whether you're a beginner learning market structure or a professional seeking systematic ORB implementation, this system provides the framework.
"The market's first word is its opening range. Everything after is commentary." — ORB Fusion
SVE Compression Mirror (Companion)Why This Tool Exists
Intraday markets are driven not only by direction, but by volatility state and energy dynamics. Periods of compression, expansion, and transition often determine whether price behavior favors patience, rotation, or acceleration.
The SVE Compression Mirror (Companion) was created to make volatility compression and release conditions visible in real time, helping traders understand what type of market environment is currently present before forming directional conviction.
This indicator displays a two-state compression condition consistent with that referenced by the SVE Volatility Engine, exposed here as a standalone lower-pane context display.
________________________________________
How the Indicator Is Intended to Be Used
This indicator is designed strictly as a context layer, independent of trade direction or bias.
It highlights:
• Volatility compression versus expansion
• Transitions between compressed and released states
• Momentum behavior as energy builds or dissipates
The purpose is to support environment awareness, not to predict outcomes or generate signals.
________________________________________
What Appears on the Chart
When applied, the indicator displays:
• A lower-pane histogram representing momentum behavior
• Visual markers indicating whether volatility is compressed or released
• A clean, uncluttered presentation optimized for intraday use
The display is intentionally minimal and designed to pair with other structural or decision-support tools.
________________________________________
Intended Users
This indicator is designed for:
• Intraday traders seeking clearer volatility context
• Discretionary traders who value regime awareness
• Professionals and advanced retail traders who prioritize environment over prediction
________________________________________
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
USD Liquidity Regime for BTC Perps (Dual) V1USD Liquidity Regime for BTC Perps (Dual)
This intents to be a BTC Perps USD Liquidity Regime macro indicator.
As it names states it is designed for BTCUSDT perpetual futures traders.
It attempts to tracks USD strength (DXY, UUP, yields, VIX composite) as liquidity proxy:
Lower index = weak USD = Risk-On (green background/histogram = long tailwind for BTC).
Higher = strong USD = Risk-Off (red = caution longs, shorts favor).
How to use:
Green background/histogram: Favor longs — rallies likely, dips bought.
Red: Caution longs — corrections hurt, short bias possible.
Blue line (index) vs red SMA: Crosses signal regime shifts.
Histogram strength: Bigger bars = stronger bias.
This is not intended as financial advise or trigger signal tool.
This is a work in progress
Its value is limited, if you do not understand any or some of the words above please do not use this indicator. If you did, then you understand you are not supposed to use this alone to make decisions.
Feel free to ask any questions, this is a work in progress.
Feel free to suggest improvements.
Educational macro context tool — not signals/advice.
Ok for avoiding going against the USD trend dominance by following liquidity.
By @frank_vergaram
Buying Opportunity Score V2.1Overview
A composite scoring system (0-100) that identifies high-probability buying opportunities during market pullbacks. Validated through backtesting on SPY from 2010-2024.
How It Works
The indicator combines multiple fear and oversold signals into a single actionable score. When fear is elevated and the market is oversold, the score rises. Higher scores historically correlate with better forward returns.
Scoring Components
VIX Level (30 pts) - Market fear gauge
Drawdown (30 pts) - Distance from 52-week high
RSI 14 (12 pts) - Oversold confirmation
Bollinger Band (13 pts) - Statistical extreme
VIX Timing (15 pts) - Bonus when VIX declining from peak
Signal Levels
80+ = STRONG BUY (high conviction)
70-79 = BUY (consider entry)
60-69 = WATCH (monitor closely)
Below 60 = No signal
Backtest Results (SPY, 2010-2024)
70+ Signals: 85% win rate, 7.5% average 20-day return
80+ Signals: 100% win rate, 14% average 20-day return
Features
Statistics table showing 1Y, 3Y, 5Y rolling performance
Signal markers (green triangles) on buy signals
Outcome labels showing WIN/LOSS after measurement period
Multiple alert options
Works on SPY, QQQ, IWM (use VIX for all)
How To Use
Add to SPY, QQQ, or IWM (daily timeframe)
Wait for score to reach 70+ or 80+
Green triangle marks signal day
Check statistics table for recent performance
Set alerts for notifications
Alerts Available
STRONG BUY Signal (80+)
BUY Signal (70+)
Moderate Signal (60+)
Score Crossed 80/70
Score Dropped Below 70
Important Notes
Designed for daily timeframe on broad market ETFs
Signals confirm at end of day (bar close)
Statistics table shows rolling windows based on loaded data
Past performance does not guarantee future results
ORB Pro - NY Opening Range Breakout by Elev8+ORB Pro - NY Opening Range Breakout | Smart Support & Resistance
ORB Pro is a comprehensive, professional-grade toolkit designed for intraday traders who rely on the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy.
Unlike standard ORB indicators that simply draw lines, this suite offers a complete dashboard-driven system that monitors four distinct sessions simultaneously, providing real-time status updates and precision alerts.
— — —
🎯 What is the Opening Range Breakout (ORB)?
The Opening Range is the price range established during the first period of the trading session (e.g., the first 15 or 30 minutes). This period represents the initial balance between buyers and sellers. A breakout from this range often signals the likely trend direction for the remainder of the session.
— — —
🚀 Key Features
1. Multi-ORB Monitoring
Stop switching settings constantly. This suite monitors four key ranges at once:
Pre-Market 15m (08:00 – 08:15 ET)
Pre-Market 30m (08:00 – 08:30 ET)
NY Cash Open 15m (09:30 – 09:45 ET)
NY Cash Open 30m (09:30 – 10:00 ET)
2. Smart Status Dashboard
A compact panel in the bottom-right corner gives you the live state of every session:
⏳ Waiting: The session has not started yet.
⚡ Forming: The range is currently being built.
↔️ Range: The range has formed, but price is still contained within the range.
🚀 BULL / 📉 BEAR: A confirmed breakout has occurred.
⛔ OFF: The session is disabled in settings.
3. "Dynamic Resolution" Technology
This is a unique pro feature.
Precision: The script always calculates the High/Low levels using 1-minute data , ensuring your support/resistance lines are pixel-perfect regardless of your chart timeframe.
Flexibility: Breakout signals (Alerts/Labels) are triggered based on your current chart timeframe. This allows you to trade a 5m or 15m breakout strategy while keeping 1m-level precision on your levels.
4. Visual Clarity
Breakout Labels: Automatically plots "BULL" or "BEAR" labels on the exact candle that confirms a breakout.
Profit Targets: Optional toggle to show 1x and 2x profit targets projected from the breakout level.
Time-Bound Signals: Signals are strictly time-bound to the active window to prevent late, low-quality alerts.
— — —
🛠️ How to Use
Add to Chart: Works best on intraday timeframes (1m, 5m, 15m).
Configure: Enable the sessions you trade (e.g., NY 15m) in the settings.
Wait for Forming: Watch the box form live. The dashboard will show "⚡ Forming".
Trade the Break: Wait for a candle Close outside the range. The dashboard will flip to "BULL" or "BEAR" and a label will appear.
Manage Risk: Use the opposite side of the range or the midline as your stop loss.
— — —
⚙️ Settings Overview
Global Settings: Toggle forming boxes, dashboard, and label visibility.
Breakout Method: Choose between Close (safer) or Wick (aggressive) for signal triggers.
Session Groups: Individually enable/disable the 4 distinct sessions and customize their colors/styles.
— — —
📝 Update Notes (Recent)
New PDH/PDL Levels: Added the ability to display Previous Day High and Previous Day Low lines on the chart.
Auto-Update & Cleanup: The PDH/PDL lines now automatically update daily and erase historical lines, ensuring only the current day's levels are visible to keep the chart clean.
Dashboard Positioning: Added a new setting to move the Status Dashboard to any corner of the screen.
Enhanced Customization: Added full styling options in settings for PDH/PDL lines and Dashboard positioning.
— — —
Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Past performance of a strategy does not guarantee future results. Always manage your risk.
Scalping Signals with MTF Fibo BandsThis indicator is a scalping / intraday signal system built on Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Fibonacci Bands, combined with an RSI midline filter and an optional direction-lock mechanism to reduce consecutive losing entries.
🔹 What does this indicator do?
It plots two independent Fibonacci Band sets (A & B), each calculated from a higher timeframe SMA + ATR.
Entry zones are defined between Band 2 and Band 3, representing statistically extreme price areas.
You can choose to generate signals from:
Band A only
Band B only
BOTH (A + B confirmation)
📈 Entry Logic
LONG
Price closes inside the Lower Zone (between Fib2 Lower & Fib3 Lower)
RSI is above the midline (default 50)
SHORT
Price closes inside the Upper Zone (between Fib2 Upper & Fib3 Upper)
RSI is below the midline (default 50)
🟧 Direction Lock System
If enabled, the indicator locks the trade direction when a position hits Stop Loss before reaching TP1.
This prevents repeated entries in the same direction during unfavorable conditions.
🔓 Unlock Logic
The lock can be removed when:
RSI crosses back over the midline (RSI > 50 for LONG, RSI < 50 for SHORT)
AND price closes again inside the valid Band 2–3 zone
With the optional setting enabled, a new entry can occur on the same candle
🛑 Stop Loss Logic (Important)
This indicator uses price-action-based stop logic, not fixed pip stops.
1️⃣ Before TP1
LONG: Two consecutive candle closes below Fib3 Lower
SHORT: Two consecutive candle closes above Fib3 Upper
⚠️ Because SL depends on candle closes, you must monitor lower timeframes (1m or below) to react quickly and avoid delayed exits.
2️⃣ After TP1 (Break-Even Protection)
Once TP1 is touched:
SL automatically shifts to Break-Even (entry price)
Any return to entry will close the position
⚠️ Usage Warning
This indicator is NOT designed for sharp, explosive, or news-driven moves
Avoid using it during:
High-impact news
Extremely fast impulsive candles
Sudden volatility spikes
Best performance is achieved in structured price action environments, not chaotic market conditions.
Elev8+ Impulse Levels | Smart Support & ResistanceElev8+ Impulse Levels | Smart Support & Resistance
Ever notice price rejecting “empty” areas on the chart—like it remembered something that isn’t obvious?
That “something” is often Institutional Impulse : footprints left behind by large, aggressive moves that get defended again days or weeks later .
Elev8+ Impulse Levels automatically detects these moments and projects the most important prices forward so you can see the structure most traders miss.
— — —
🧠 How It Works (The Logic)
This is not a typical support/resistance tool. It does not hunt swing highs/lows.
It looks for Market Intent —the “Perfect Storm” when two conditions align:
Volume Spike — buying/selling pressure significantly exceeds average volume (multiplier-based).
Volatility Expansion — the candle body is unusually large relative to recent ATR.
When both occur, the script marks the event and treats the impulse close as a key “line in the sand” that can influence future reactions.
— — —
🎯 How to Use These Levels
The script includes a Smart Line behavior that changes level styling based on how price interacts with it—so you can quickly separate two core setups:
1) The Defense (Bounce)
Visual: 🟢 Solid line (Fresh / Untouched)
What it means: Price has not yet traded through or “invalidated” the level.
What to look for: First return to the level → rejection / bounce behavior.
Why it matters: Large players often defend prior entries; first tests can react sharply.
2) The Flip (Break & Retest)
Visual: ◌ Dotted line (Broken / Re-priced)
What it means: A candle has closed through the level.
What to look for: Price returns to the dotted level from the other side (“kiss”) → continuation.
Why it matters: Broken support can act as resistance (and vice versa), similar to a breaker concept.
— — —
✨ Key Features
Smart Visualization — levels automatically transition from solid → dotted when broken to reduce chart noise.
Impulse Candle Highlighting — see the exact candle that created the level (origin clarity).
Fully Customizable Sensitivity — tune volume + size thresholds for Crypto, Forex, Futures, or Stocks.
— — —
🚀 The Elev8+ Workflow
Think of Impulse Levels as your map : it shows where reactions are most likely.
For entry timing, pair it with Elev8+ Pro Reversal to confirm the moment price reacts at these high-value zones.
— — —
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This tool is for educational/technical analysis purposes only and does not guarantee future results.
Elev8+ Impulse LevelsElev8+ Impulse Levels | Smart Support & Resistance
Ever notice price rejecting “empty” areas on the chart—like it remembered something that isn’t obvious?
That “something” is often Institutional Impulse : footprints left behind by large, aggressive moves that get defended again days or weeks later .
Elev8+ Impulse Levels automatically detects these moments and projects the most important prices forward so you can see the structure most traders miss.
— — —
🧠 How It Works (The Logic)
This is not a typical support/resistance tool. It does not hunt swing highs/lows.
It looks for Market Intent —the “Perfect Storm” when two conditions align:
Volume Spike — buying/selling pressure significantly exceeds average volume (multiplier-based).
Volatility Expansion — the candle body is unusually large relative to recent ATR.
When both occur, the script marks the event and treats the impulse close as a key “line in the sand” that can influence future reactions.
— — —
🎯 How to Use These Levels
The script includes a Smart Line behavior that changes level styling based on how price interacts with it—so you can quickly separate two core setups:
1) The Defense (Bounce)
Visual: 🟢 Solid line (Fresh / Untouched)
What it means: Price has not yet traded through or “invalidated” the level.
What to look for: First return to the level → rejection / bounce behavior.
Why it matters: Large players often defend prior entries; first tests can react sharply.
2) The Flip (Break & Retest)
Visual: ◌ Dotted line (Broken / Re-priced)
What it means: A candle has closed through the level.
What to look for: Price returns to the dotted level from the other side (“kiss”) → continuation.
Why it matters: Broken support can act as resistance (and vice versa), similar to a breaker concept.
— — —
✨ Key Features
Smart Visualization — levels automatically transition from solid → dotted when broken to reduce chart noise.
Impulse Candle Highlighting — see the exact candle that created the level (origin clarity).
Fully Customizable Sensitivity — tune volume + size thresholds for Crypto, Forex, Futures, or Stocks.
— — —
🚀 The Elev8+ Workflow
Think of Impulse Levels as your map : it shows where reactions are most likely.
For entry timing, pair it with Elev8+ Pro Reversal to confirm the moment price reacts at these high-value zones.
— — —
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This tool is for educational/technical analysis purposes only and does not guarantee future results.
Sell-to-Buy Pressure RatioSell/Buy Pressure Ratio
What It Measures
The Sell/Buy Pressure Ratio quantifies the aggressiveness of sellers versus buyers by comparing conviction-weighted volume on down candles versus up candles. It answers a simple question: who is more committed right now—buyers or sellers?
How It Works
The indicator examines each candle and determines directional conviction based on where price closes within the bar's range. A candle that closes near its high shows strong buyer conviction. A candle that closes near its low shows strong seller conviction. This conviction percentage is then multiplied by volume to create a weighted measure of buying and selling pressure.
The ratio divides total selling pressure by total buying pressure over a lookback period. A ratio of 1.5 means sellers are 50% more aggressive than buyers. A ratio of 0.5 means buyers are twice as aggressive as sellers.
Key Features
Conviction weighting: Not all volume is equal. A strong close near the high counts more than a weak close mid-range.
Doji handling: Indecisive candles (where open and close are nearly equal) split volume 50/50 between buyers and sellers.
Volume filtering: Low-volume bars below 60% of average are excluded to focus on meaningful activity.
Normalized output: Optional -1 to +1 scale for cross-stock comparison.
Interpretation
RatioMeaning≤ 0.5Strong buyers — accumulation, continuation setups0.5 – 0.8Buyers favored — healthy environment for longs0.8 – 1.2Balanced — equilibrium, wait for direction1.2 – 1.5Sellers favored — caution warranted≥ 1.5Strong sellers — distribution, avoid new longs
Primary Use
Timing entries within confirmed trends. The ratio identifies when selling pressure has exhausted itself, signaling safer entry points. Rather than buying strength, traders wait for the ratio to transition from elevated levels back toward equilibrium—buying when selling stops being dangerous.
What It Does Not Do
This indicator does not predict direction. It measures current pressure dynamics. Pair it with trend analysis (moving averages, price structure) to determine direction, then use the pressure ratio to time entries and exits.
Microstructure Participation & Acceptance Indicator📊 Microstructure Participation & Acceptance Indicator
An advanced participation-based filter combining VWAP distance analysis, volume delta detection, and real-time acceptance/rejection state identification—designed for smaller timeframe trading.
📊 FEATURES
VWAP Distance Normalization
Context-aware fair value measurement:
Automatically resets based on selected anchor (Session/Week/Month)
ATR-normalized distance calculation for universal application
Identifies when price is extended or compressed relative to equilibrium
Configurable extreme distance threshold (default: 1.5 ATR)
Adjustable source input (default: HLC3)
Volume Delta Proxy
Bull vs Bear participation tracking:
Calculates volume imbalance between bullish and bearish candles
EMA smoothing for cleaner signal generation (default: 9 periods)
Delta ratio measurement to identify dominant side
Expansion/compression detection to gauge momentum commitment
Configurable expansion threshold (default: 1.3x)
Acceptance/Rejection State Machine
Real-time market regime identification with six distinct states:
🟢 Accepted Long
Price moving away from VWAP with expanding bullish delta
Distance from VWAP increasing
Volume confirming the move
Indicates real buying pressure—trade WITH the move
🟢 Accepted Short
Price moving away from VWAP with expanding bearish delta
Distance from VWAP increasing
Volume confirming the move
Indicates real selling pressure—trade WITH the move
🟠 Fade Long
Price extended beyond threshold (>1.5 ATR above VWAP)
Delta not supporting the extension
Volume participation absent or diminishing
Potential mean-reversion short setup
🟠 Fade Short
Price extended beyond threshold (>1.5 ATR below VWAP)
Delta not supporting the extension
Volume participation absent or diminishing
Potential mean-reversion long setup
⚪ Chop
Price compressed near VWAP
Bollinger Bands tight (width compressed)
Delta neutral—no clear commitment
NO TRADE ZONE—wait for expansion
⚪ Neutral
Transitional state between regimes
Momentum shifting but not yet confirmed
Monitor for next acceptance signal
Bollinger Bands
Standard volatility measurement with TradingView default styling:
Adjustable period length (default: 20)
Configurable standard deviation multiplier (default: 2.0)
Visual fill between bands for volatility context
Used internally for chop/compression detection
Live Dashboard
Real-time metrics display (top-right corner):
Current market state with color coding
VWAP distance in ATR units
Delta ratio (bull/bear volume balance)
Delta state (Expanding/Compressing)
High-contrast design for instant readability
🎯 HOW TO USE
For Trend Trading:
Accepted Long/Short backgrounds indicate confirmed participation—stay with the trend
Strong moves typically travel 1-1.5 ATR from VWAP with delta support
Use VWAP as dynamic support/resistance
Combine with momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) for confluence
Price above VWAP + Accepted Long state = bullish bias
Price below VWAP + Accepted Short state = bearish bias
For Mean Reversion:
Fade Long/Short states signal overextension without participation
Price beyond 1.5 ATR from VWAP with weak delta = potential reversal
Look for price return to VWAP when extended
Bollinger Band extremes + Fade state = high-probability mean reversion setup
VWAP acts as mean reversion anchor during range-bound sessions
For Risk Management:
Chop state = avoid new entries
Bollinger Band compression + Chop = pre-expansion zone (wait for breakout)
Delta compression after strong move = early exhaustion warning
State transitions (Accepted → Neutral → Fade) = tighten stops
Signal Confirmation:
Strongest setups occur when multiple factors align:
BB breakout + Accepted state + price above/below VWAP
Price rejection at BB bands + Fade state
VWAP support/resistance hold + state transition
Delta expansion + distance increasing + trend direction
⚙️ SETTINGS
All components are fully customizable through organized input groups:
VWAP Distance Group:
VWAP source (default: HLC3)
Anchor period (Session/Week/Month)
ATR length for normalization (default: 14)
Extreme distance threshold in ATR multiples (default: 1.5)
Volume Delta Group:
Delta EMA length (default: 9)
Delta expansion threshold (default: 1.3)
Acceptance Logic Group:
Acceptance lookback period (default: 5)
Chop threshold in VWAP/ATR units (default: 0.3)
Bollinger Bands Group:
BB length (default: 20)
Standard deviation multiplier (default: 2.0)
Display Group:
Toggle state backgrounds
Toggle state change labels
Toggle VWAP line
Toggle Bollinger Bands
💡 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator teaches important concepts:
How institutional money identifies fair value (VWAP)
The difference between price movement and market acceptance
Why volume participation matters more than price action alone
How to distinguish between noise and committed directional moves
The relationship between volatility compression and expansion cycles
Why distance from equilibrium predicts mean reversion probability
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only
This is a filter, not a standalone trading system
No indicator is perfect—always use proper risk management
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Combine with your own analysis and risk tolerance
Test thoroughly on historical data before live trading
This is not financial advice—use at your own risk
🔧 TECHNICAL DETAILS
Pine Script Version 6
Overlay indicator (displays on price chart)
All calculations use standard, well-documented formulas
No repainting—all signals are confirmed on bar close
Compatible with all timeframes and instruments
Optimized for smaller timeframes (1-5 minute charts)
Minimal computational overhead
📝 CHANGELOG
Version 1.0
Initial release
VWAP distance normalization with ATR scaling
Volume delta proxy system (bull/bear EMA)
6-state acceptance/rejection state machine
Bollinger Bands integration
Real-time dashboard with live metrics
State change labels and background coloring
Full customization options
Developed for traders who need objective participation filters to distinguish high-probability setups from low-quality noise—without cluttering their charts with multiple indicator panels.
