IPO Lifecycle Sell Strategy [JARUTIR]IPO Lifecycle Sell Strategy with Dynamic Buy Date and Multiple Sell Rules
This custom TradingView script is designed for traders looking to capitalize on dynamic strategies for IPOs and growth stocks, by implementing several sell rules based on price action and technical indicators. It provides a set of sell rules that are applied dynamically depending on the stock's lifecycle and price action, allowing users to lock in profits and minimize drawdowns based on key technical thresholds.
The four sell strategies incorporated into this script are inspired by the book "The Lifecycle Trade", a resource that focuses on capturing profits while managing risk in different phases of a stock's lifecycle, from IPO to high-growth stages.
Key Features:
Buy Price and Buy Date: You can either manually input your buy price and date or let the script automatically detect the buy date based on the specified buy price.
Multiple Sell Strategies: Choose from 4 predefined sell strategies:
Ascender Rule : Captures strong momentum from IPO stocks by selling portions at specific price levels or technical conditions.
Midterm Rule : Focuses on holding for longer periods, with defensive sell signals triggered when the stock deviates significantly from peak price or key moving averages.
40 Week Rule : Designed for long-term holds, this rule triggers a sell when the stock closes below the 40-week moving average.
Everest Rule : Aggressive strategy for selling into strength based on parabolic moves or gap downs, ideal for high momentum stocks.
Interactive Features:
Horizontal Green Line showing the buy price level from the buy date.
Visual Sell Signals appear only after the buy date to ensure that your analysis is relevant to the stock lifecycle.
Customizable settings, allowing you to choose your preferred sell rule strategy and automate buy date detection.
This script is perfect for traders using a strategic, systematic approach to IPOs and high-growth stocks, whether you're looking for quick exits during momentum phases or holding for longer-term growth.
Usage:
Input your Buy Price and Buy Date, or allow the script to automate the buy date detection.
Select a Sell Rule strategy based on your risk profile and trading style.
View visual signals for selling when specific conditions are met.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs):
Q1: How do I input my Buy Price and Buy Date?
The script allows you to either manually input the Buy Price and Buy Date or use the automated detection. If you choose automated detection, the script will automatically assign the buy date when the price crosses above your set Buy Price.
Q2: What is the purpose of the "Sell Rules"?
The script offers four sell strategies to help manage different types of stocks in varying phases of their lifecycle:
Ascender Rule: Targets IPO stocks showing positive momentum.
Midterm Rule: A defensive strategy for stocks in a steady uptrend.
40 Week Rule: Long-term hold strategy designed to ride stocks through extended growth.
Everest Rule: Aggressive strategy to capture profits during parabolic price moves.
Q3: What is the significance of the Green Line at Buy Price?
The Green Line represents your entry point (Buy Price) on the chart. It will appear from the buy date onwards, helping you track the performance of your stock relative to your entry.
Q4: Can I customize the Sell Strategy?
Yes! You can choose from the available Sell Rules (Ascender Rule, Midterm Rule, 40 Week Rule, Everest Rule) via an input option in the script. Each strategy has its own unique triggers based on price action, moving averages, and time-based conditions.
Q5: Does this script work for stocks and crypto?
Yes, this script is designed for both stocks and cryptocurrencies. It works on any asset where price data and timeframes are available.
Q6: How do the Weekly Moving Averages (WSMA) work in this strategy?
The script uses weekly moving averages (WSMA) to track longer-term trends. These are essential for some of the sell rules, such as the Midterm Rule and 40 Week Rule, which rely on the stock's movement relative to the 40-week moving average.
Q7: Will the script plot a Sell Signal immediately after the Buy Date?
No, sell signals will only be plotted after the Buy Date. This ensures that the sell strategy is relevant to your actual holding period and avoids premature triggers.
Q8: How do I interpret the Sell Signal?
The script will plot a Red Sell Signal above the bar when the sell conditions are met, based on the selected strategy. This indicates that it may be a good time to exit the position according to your chosen rule.
Q9: Can I use this strategy on different timeframes?
Yes, you can apply the script to any timeframe. However, some sell strategies, like the Midterm Rule and 40 Week Rule, are designed to work best with weekly data, so it's recommended to use these strategies with longer timeframes.
Q10: Does this script have any alerts?
Yes! The script supports alert conditions that will notify you when the sell conditions are met according to your selected rule. You can set up alerts to stay informed without needing to watch the chart constantly.
Q11: What if I want to disable some of the sell rules?
You can select your preferred sell rule using the "Select Sell Rule" dropdown. If you don’t want to use a particular rule, simply choose a different strategy or leave it inactive.
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Disclaimer:
This strategy is intended for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and you should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Pontos e níveis de pivô
MCP Stop Strategy [JARUTIR]The MCP Stop Strategy is a trading tool designed to help traders lock in profits and manage risks. It is based on the concept of setting a MCP (Mental Capacity Preservation) Stop explained in the book "The Lifecycle Trade". I call it Maximum Controllable Profit Stop which helps protect profits once a stock or asset reaches a new peak. The MCP Stop is dynamically calculated based on the Buy Price and the All Time High Price (Peak Price), and is adjusted using a customizable percentage (MCP%) to retain a portion of the gains from the peak price during a drawdown.
Key Features :
MCP Stop Calculation: The script calculates the MCP Stop as:
MCP Stop = Buy Price + (Peak Price - Buy Price) x MCP%
This helps you protect a portion of your gains (defined by MCP%) as the price moves in your favor.
Flexible Buy Date Option:
You can either manually input a Buy Date or let the script automatically detect the Buy Date when the price first meets or exceeds the user-defined Buy Price.
After the Buy Date, the MCP Stop, Buy Price, and Peak Price are plotted on the chart for easy visualization.
Customizable Parameters:
Buy Price: The price at which the asset was bought.
MCP Percentage: The percentage of profit from the peak that you want to retain in case of a drawdown.
Lookback Length: The number of bars to consider when calculating the Peak Price (All Time High).
How to Use the Script :
Set the Buy Price: Enter the price at which you bought the asset.
Set the MCP%: Enter the percentage of profits you want to protect from the peak. For example, if you want to retain 10% of the gain from the peak, set this to 10.
Choose the Buy Date Method:
Automated Buy Date: The script will automatically detect the first bar where the price meets or exceeds the Buy Price.
Manual Buy Date: If you prefer to specify a particular Buy Date, input the desired date and time.
View the MCP Stop and Peak Price: After the Buy Date (either manually or automatically detected), the MCP Stop, Buy Price, and Peak Price will be plotted on the chart.
Monitor the MCP Stop Trigger: The script will alert you when the price falls below the MCP Stop, indicating a potential exit point to protect profits.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs):
1. What is the MCP Stop?
The MCP Stop is a dynamic stop-loss level that adjusts based on your Buy Price and the All Time High Price (Peak Price). It protects a portion of your gains from the peak, which is defined by the MCP%. For example, if you set the MCP% to 10%, the script will retain 10% of the gains from the peak and use this as a stop-loss.
2. How does the Buy Date work?
The Buy Date is the date when you entered the position:
If you choose Automated Buy Date, the script will automatically set the Buy Date to the first bar when the price meets or exceeds the Buy Price.
If you choose Manual Buy Date, you can specify a particular date and time when you want the strategy to start calculating and plotting the MCP Stop and Peak Price.
3. What happens if the price falls below the MCP Stop?
If the price drops below the MCP Stop, the script will mark this as a potential exit point, helping you protect profits. A visual alert (MCP STOP) will be shown on the chart when the price reaches or falls below the MCP Stop.
4. Can I adjust the Lookback Length for Peak Price?
Yes, you can customize the Lookback Length (the number of bars the script considers when calculating the Peak Price) by entering a value in the input field. By default, it is set to 1000 bars, which represents a few months of historical data, but you can increase or decrease this based on your trading strategy.
5. Why would I want to use the automated Buy Date?
The Automated Buy Date is useful for traders who want the script to automatically track the Buy Date when the price first reaches or exceeds the Buy Price. This is helpful when you're unsure of the exact entry date but know the price at which you bought the asset. It simplifies the process by eliminating the need for manual input.
6. Can I use this strategy for long and short positions?
The current version of this script is designed for long positions, where you buy an asset and want to protect your profits as the price increases. If you're interested in applying it to short positions, you would need to adjust the logic accordingly (e.g., tracking the lowest price instead of the peak price).
7. Can I modify the script to fit my trading strategy?
Yes, this script is highly customizable. You can adjust parameters such as Buy Price, MCP%, and Lookback Length to suit your specific trading style. You can also tweak the visual appearance of the plotted lines and alerts.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is intended for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and you should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Market Open Levels v3This indicator "Market Open Levels v3" allows a chart user to automatically display up to 20 previous price levels at the open price of up to 8 different markets simultaneously on one indicator.
The user can specify custom labels for each market's price level, as well as adjust the GMT Offset to allow for market open times in a different timezone than the chart's displayed time.
Displays price level at specified market open times. For instance, if a user specifies a market opens at 08:00, then a price level (horizontal line) will be drawn at the most recent 08:00 candle's open price (if GMT Offset is set to 0).
See tooltips for more information on specific inputs.
Support and Resistance LinesDraw the last 5 support and resistance lines. It works on the current timeframe. You can adjust the sensibility by changing the diff variable.
Adaptive MAAdaptive Moving Average (AMA)
Overview
The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) script is designed to calculate and plot a moving average that adapts dynamically based on market conditions. This script uses pivot-based periods for its calculation, allowing it to adjust its behavior in response to market volatility and trends. It supports both Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Features
Dynamic Period Calculation: Leverages the DynamicPeriodPublic library to compute periods based on pivot points, providing an adaptive length for the moving average.
Customizable Parameters: Users can choose predefined "Fast" and "Slow" settings or manually configure the parameters for greater control.
Supports SMA and EMA: Flexibility to choose between SMA and EMA for the moving average calculation.
Inputs
Source ( src ): Data source for the moving average (e.g., close price).
Default: close
Length Type ( length_type ): Determines the type of period calculation.
Options: Fast, Slow, Manual
MA Type ( ma_type ): Specifies the type of moving average to calculate.
Options: SMA, EMA
Manual Parameters (used when length_type is set to Manual):
Left Bars ( left_bars ): Number of left-hand bars for pivot detection.
Right Bars ( right_bars ): Number of right-hand bars for pivot detection.
Number of Pivots ( num_pivots ): Minimum number of pivots for dynamic period calculation.
Length Multiplier ( length_mult ): Multiplier applied to the calculated period.
Use Cases
Trend Analysis: Identify market trends with an average that adapts to changing conditions.
Volatility-Based Strategies: Adjust strategies dynamically in response to market volatility.
Custom Configurations: Fine-tune pivot parameters for specific markets or assets using the "Manual" mode.
Example Usage
Select the desired length type (Fast, Slow, or Manual).
If Manual is selected, configure the pivot detection parameters and length multiplier.
Choose the moving average type (SMA or EMA).
Observe the adaptive moving average plotted on the chart.
Quantify [Entry Model] | FractalystWhat’s the indicator’s purpose and functionality?
Quantify is a machine learning entry model designed to help traders identify high-probability setups to refine their strategies.
➙ Simply pick your bias, select your entry timeframes, and let Quantify handle the rest for you.
Can the indicator be applied to any market approach/trading strategy?
Absolutely, all trading strategies share one fundamental element: Directional Bias
Once you’ve determined the market bias using your own personal approach, whether it’s through technical analysis or fundamental analysis, select the trend direction in the Quantify user inputs.
The algorithm will then adjust its calculations to provide optimal entry levels aligned with your chosen bias. This involves analyzing historical patterns to identify setups with the highest potential expected values, ensuring your setups are aligned with the selected direction.
Can the indicator be used for different timeframes or trading styles?
Yes, regardless of the timeframe you’d like to take your entries, the indicator adapts to your trading style.
Whether you’re a swing trader, scalper, or even a position trader, the algorithm dynamically evaluates market conditions across your chosen timeframe.
How can this indicator help me to refine my trading strategy?
1. Focus on Positive Expected Value
• The indicator evaluates every setup to ensure it has a positive expected value, helping you focus only on trades that statistically favor long-term profitability.
2. Adapt to Market Conditions
• By analyzing real-time market behavior and historical patterns, the algorithm adjusts its calculations to match current conditions, keeping your strategy relevant and adaptable.
3. Eliminate Emotional Bias
• With clear probabilities, expected values, and data-driven insights, the indicator removes guesswork and helps you avoid emotional decisions that can damage your edge.
4. Optimize Entry Levels
• The indicator identifies optimal entry levels based on your selected bias and timeframes, improving robustness in your trades.
5. Enhance Risk Management
• Using tools like the Kelly Criterion, the indicator suggests optimal position sizes and risk levels, ensuring that your strategy maintains consistency and discipline.
6. Avoid Overtrading
• By highlighting only high-potential setups, the indicator keeps you focused on quality over quantity, helping you refine your strategy and avoid unnecessary losses.
How can I get started to use the indicator for my entries?
1. Set Your Market Bias
• Determine whether the market trend is Bullish or Bearish using your own approach.
• Select the corresponding bias in the indicator’s user inputs to align it with your analysis.
2. Choose Your Entry Timeframes
• Specify the timeframes you want to focus on for trade entries.
• The indicator will dynamically analyze these timeframes to provide optimal setups.
3. Let the Algorithm Analyze
• Quantify evaluates historical data and real-time price action to calculate probabilities and expected values.
• It highlights setups with the highest potential based on your selected bias and timeframes.
4. Refine Your Entries
• Use the insights provided—entry levels, probabilities, and risk calculations—to align your trades with a math-driven edge.
• Avoid overtrading by focusing only on setups with positive expected value.
5. Adapt to Market Conditions
• The indicator continuously adapts to real-time market behavior, ensuring its recommendations stay relevant and precise as conditions change.
How does the indicator calculate the current range?
The indicator calculates the current range by analyzing swing points from the very first bar on your charts to the latest available bar it identifies external liquidity levels, also known as BSLQ (buy-side liquidity levels) and SSLQ (sell-side liquidity levels).
What's the purpose of these levels? What are the underlying calculations?
1. Understanding Swing highs and Swing Lows
Swing High: A Swing High is formed when there is a high with 2 lower highs to the left and right.
Swing Low: A Swing Low is formed when there is a low with 2 higher lows to the left and right.
2. Understanding the purpose and the underlying calculations behind Buyside, Sellside and Pivot levels.
3. Identifying Discount and Premium Zones.
4. Importance of Risk-Reward in Premium and Discount Ranges
How does the script calculate probabilities?
The script calculates the probability of each liquidity level individually. Here's the breakdown:
1. Upon the formation of a new range, the script waits for the price to reach and tap into pivot level level. Status: "■" - Inactive
2. Once pivot level is tapped into, the pivot status becomes activated and it waits for either liquidity side to be hit. Status: "▶" - Active
3. If the buyside liquidity is hit, the script adds to the count of successful buyside liquidity occurrences. Similarly, if the sellside is tapped, it records successful sellside liquidity occurrences.
4. Finally, the number of successful occurrences for each side is divided by the overall count individually to calculate the range probabilities.
Note: The calculations are performed independently for each directional range. A range is considered bearish if the previous breakout was through a sellside liquidity. Conversely, a range is considered bullish if the most recent breakout was through a buyside liquidity.
What does the multi-timeframe functionality offer?
You can incorporate up to 4 higher timeframe probabilities directly into the table.
This feature allows you to analyze the probabilities of buyside and sellside liquidity across multiple timeframes, without the need to manually switch between them.
By viewing these higher timeframe probabilities in one place, traders can spot larger market trends and refine their entries and exits with a better understanding of the overall market context.
What are the multi-timeframe underlying calculations?
The script uses the same calculations (mentioned above) and uses security function to request the data such as price levels, bar time, probabilities and booleans from the user-input timeframe.
How does the Indicator Identifies Positive Expected Values?
Quantify instantly calculates whether a trade setup has the potential to generate positive expected value (EV).
To determine a positive EV setup, the indicator uses the formula:
EV = ( P(Win) × R(Win) ) − ( P(Loss) × R(Loss))
where:
- P(Win) is the probability of a winning trade.
- R(Win) is the reward or return for a winning trade, determined by the current risk-to-reward ratio (RR).
- P(Loss) is the probability of a losing trade.
- R(Loss) is the loss incurred per losing trade, typically assumed to be -1.
By calculating these values based on historical data and the current trading setup, the indicator helps you understand whether your trade has a positive expected value.
How can I know that the setup I'm going to trade with has a positive EV?
If the indicator detects that the adjusted pivot and buy/sell side probabilities have generated positive expected value (EV) in historical data, the risk-to-reward (RR) label within the range box will be colored blue and red .
If the setup does not produce positive EV, the RR label will appear gray.
This indicates that even the risk-to-reward ratio is greater than 1:1, the setup is not likely to yield a positive EV because, according to historical data, the number of losses outweighs the number of wins relative to the RR gain per winning trade.
What is the confidence level in the indicator, and how is it determined?
The confidence level in the indicator reflects the reliability of the probabilities calculated based on historical data. It is determined by the sample size of the probabilities used in the calculations. A larger sample size generally increases the confidence level, indicating that the probabilities are more reliable and consistent with past performance.
How does the confidence level affect the risk-to-reward (RR) label?
The confidence level (★) is visually represented alongside the probability label. A higher confidence level indicates that the probabilities used to determine the RR label are based on a larger and more reliable sample size.
How can traders use the confidence level to make better trading decisions?
Traders can use the confidence level to gauge the reliability of the probabilities and expected value (EV) calculations provided by the indicator. A confidence level above 95% is considered statistically significant and indicates that the historical data supporting the probabilities is robust. This high confidence level suggests that the probabilities are reliable and that the indicator’s recommendations are more likely to be accurate.
In data science and statistics, a confidence level above 95% generally means that there is less than a 5% chance that the observed results are due to random variation. This threshold is widely accepted in research and industry as a marker of statistical significance. Studies such as those published in the Journal of Statistical Software and the American Statistical Association support this threshold, emphasizing that a confidence level above 95% provides a strong assurance of data reliability and validity.
Conversely, a confidence level below 95% indicates that the sample size may be insufficient and that the data might be less reliable. In such cases, traders should approach the indicator’s recommendations with caution and consider additional factors or further analysis before making trading decisions.
How does the sample size affect the confidence level, and how does it relate to my TradingView plan?
The sample size for calculating the confidence level is directly influenced by the amount of historical data available on your charts. A larger sample size typically leads to more reliable probabilities and higher confidence levels.
Here’s how the TradingView plans affect your data access:
Essential Plan
The Essential Plan provides basic data access with a limited amount of historical data. This can lead to smaller sample sizes and lower confidence levels, which may weaken the robustness of your probability calculations. Suitable for casual traders who do not require extensive historical analysis.
Plus Plan
The Plus Plan offers more historical data than the Essential Plan, allowing for larger sample sizes and more accurate confidence levels. This enhancement improves the reliability of indicator calculations. This plan is ideal for more active traders looking to refine their strategies with better data.
Premium Plan
The Premium Plan grants access to extensive historical data, enabling the largest sample sizes and the highest confidence levels. This plan provides the most reliable data for accurate calculations, with up to 20,000 historical bars available for analysis. It is designed for serious traders who need comprehensive data for in-depth market analysis.
PRO+ Plans
The PRO+ Plans offer the most extensive historical data, allowing for the largest sample sizes and the highest confidence levels. These plans are tailored for professional traders who require advanced features and significant historical data to support their trading strategies effectively.
For many traders, the Premium Plan offers a good balance of affordability and sufficient sample size for accurate confidence levels.
What is the HTF probability table and how does it work?
The HTF (Higher Time Frame) probability table is a feature that allows you to view buy and sellside probabilities and their status from timeframes higher than your current chart timeframe.
Here’s how it works:
Data Request: The table requests and retrieves data from user-defined higher timeframes (HTFs) that you select.
Probability Display: It displays the buy and sellside probabilities for each of these HTFs, providing insights into the likelihood of price movements based on higher timeframe data.
Detailed Tooltips: The table includes detailed tooltips for each timeframe, offering additional context and explanations to help you understand the data better.
What do the different colors in the HTF probability table indicate?
The colors in the HTF probability table provide visual cues about the expected value (EV) of trading setups based on higher timeframe probabilities:
Blue: Suggests that entering a long position from the HTF user-defined pivot point, targeting buyside liquidity, is likely to result in a positive expected value (EV) based on historical data and sample size.
Red: Indicates that entering a short position from the HTF user-defined pivot point, targeting sellside liquidity, is likely to result in a positive expected value (EV) based on historical data and sample size.
Gray: Shows that neither long nor short trades from the HTF user-defined pivot point are expected to generate positive EV, suggesting that trading these setups may not be favorable.
What machine learning techniques are used in Quantify?
Quantify offers two main machine learning approaches:
1. Adaptive Learning (Fixed Sample Size): The algorithm learns from the entire dataset without resampling, maintaining a stable model that adapts to the latest market conditions.
2. Bootstrap Resampling: This method creates multiple subsets of the historical data, allowing the model to train on varying sample sizes. This technique enhances the robustness of predictions by ensuring that the model is not overfitting to a single dataset.
How does machine learning affect the expected value calculations in Quantify?
Machine learning plays a key role in improving the accuracy of expected value (EV) calculations. By analyzing historical price action, liquidity hits, and market bias patterns, the model continuously adjusts its understanding of risk and reward, allowing the expected value to reflect the most likely market movements. This results in more precise EV predictions, helping traders focus on setups that maximize profitability.
What is the Kelly Criterion, and how does it work in Quantify?
The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula used to determine the optimal position size for each trade, maximizing long-term growth while minimizing the risk of large drawdowns. It calculates the percentage of your portfolio to risk on a trade based on the probability of winning and the expected payoff.
Quantify integrates this with user-defined inputs to dynamically calculate the most effective position size in percentage, aligning with the trader’s risk tolerance and desired exposure.
How does Quantify use the Kelly Criterion in practice?
Quantify uses the Kelly Criterion to optimize position sizing based on the following factors:
1. Confidence Level: The model assesses the confidence level in the trade setup based on historical data and sample size. A higher confidence level increases the suggested position size because the trade has a higher probability of success.
2. Max Allowed Drawdown (User-Defined): Traders can set their preferred maximum allowed drawdown, which dictates how much loss is acceptable before reducing position size or stopping trading. Quantify uses this input to ensure that risk exposure aligns with the trader’s risk tolerance.
3. Probabilities: Quantify calculates the probabilities of success for each trade setup. The higher the probability of a successful trade (based on historical price action and liquidity levels), the larger the position size suggested by the Kelly Criterion.
What is a trailing stoploss, and how does it work in Quantify?
A trailing stoploss is a dynamic risk management tool that moves with the price as the market trend continues in the trader’s favor. Unlike a fixed take profit, which stays at a set level, the trailing stoploss automatically adjusts itself as the market moves, locking in profits as the price advances.
In Quantify, the trailing stoploss is enhanced by incorporating market structure liquidity levels (explain above). This ensures that the stoploss adjusts intelligently based on key price levels, allowing the trader to stay in the trade as long as the trend remains intact, while also protecting profits if the market reverses.
Why would a trader prefer a trailing stoploss based on liquidity levels instead of a fixed take-profit level?
Traders who use trailing stoplosses based on liquidity levels prefer this method because:
1. Market-Driven Flexibility: The stoploss follows the market structure rather than being static at a pre-defined level. This means the stoploss is less likely to be hit by small market fluctuations or false reversals. The stoploss remains adaptive, moving as the market moves.
2. Riding the Trend: Traders can capture more profit during a sustained trend because the trailing stop will adjust only when the trend starts to reverse significantly, based on key liquidity levels. This allows them to hold positions longer without prematurely locking in profits.
3. Avoiding Premature Exits: Fixed stoploss levels may exit a trade too early in volatile markets, while liquidity-based trailing stoploss levels respect the natural flow of price action, preventing the trader from exiting too soon during pullbacks or minor retracements.
🎲 Becoming the House: Gaining an Edge Over the Market
In American roulette, the casino has a 5.26% edge due to the presence of the 0 and 00 pockets. On even-money bets, players face a 47.37% chance of winning, while true 50/50 odds would require a 50% chance. This edge—the gap between the payout odds and the true probabilities—ensures that, statistically, the casino will always win over time, even if individual players win occasionally.
From a Trader’s Perspective
In trading, your edge comes from identifying and executing setups with a positive expected value (EV). For example:
• If you identify a setup with a 55.48% chance of winning and a 1:1 risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, your trade has a statistical advantage over a neutral (50/50) probability.
This edge works in your favor when applied consistently across a series of trades, just as the casino’s edge ensures profitability across thousands of spins.
🎰 Applying the Concept to Trading
Like casinos leverage their mathematical edge in games of chance, you can achieve long-term success in trading by focusing on setups with positive EV and managing your trades systematically. Here’s how:
1. Probability Advantage: Prioritize trades where the probability of success (win rate) exceeds the breakeven rate for your chosen risk-to-reward ratio.
• Example: With a 1:1 RR, you need a win rate above 50% to achieve positive EV.
2. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): Even with a win rate below 50%, you can gain an edge by increasing your RR (e.g., a 40% win rate with a 2:1 RR still has positive EV).
3. Consistency and Discipline: Just as casinos profit by sticking to their mathematical advantage over thousands of spins, traders must rely on their edge across many trades, avoiding emotional decisions or overleveraging.
By targeting favorable probabilities and managing trades effectively, you “become the house” in your trading. This approach allows you to leverage statistical advantages to enhance your overall performance and achieve sustainable profitability.
What Makes the Quantify Indicator Original?
1. Data-Driven Edge
Unlike traditional indicators that rely on static formulas, Quantify leverages probability-based analysis and machine learning. It calculates expected value (EV) and confidence levels to help traders identify setups with a true statistical edge.
2. Integration of Market Structure
Quantify uses market structure liquidity levels to dynamically adapt. It identifies key zones like swing highs/lows and liquidity traps, enabling users to align entries and exits with where the market is most likely to react. This bridges the gap between price action analysis and quantitative trading.
3. Sophisticated Risk Management
The Kelly Criterion implementation is unique. Quantify allows traders to input their maximum allowed drawdown, dynamically adjusting risk exposure to maintain optimal position sizing. This ensures risk is scientifically controlled while maximizing potential growth.
4. Multi-Timeframe and Liquidity-Based Trailing Stops
The indicator doesn’t just suggest fixed profit-taking levels. It offers market structure-based trailing stop-loss functionality, letting traders ride trends as long as liquidity and probabilities favor the position, which is rare in most tools.
5. Customizable Bias and Adaptive Learning
• Directional Bias: Traders can set a bullish or bearish bias, and the indicator recalculates probabilities to align with the trader’s market outlook.
• Adaptive Learning: The machine learning model adapts to changes in data (via resampling or bootstrap methods), ensuring that predictions stay relevant in evolving markets.
6. Positive EV Focus
The focus on positive EV setups differentiates it from reactive indicators. It shifts trading from chasing signals to acting on setups that statistically favor profitability, akin to how professional quant funds operate.
7. User Empowerment
Through features like customizable timeframes, real-time probability updates, and visualization tools, Quantify empowers users to make data-informed decisions.
Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
High/Mid/Low of the Previous Month, Week and Day + MAIntroducing the Ultimate Price Action Indicator
Take your trading to the next level with this feature-packed indicators. Designed to provide key price insights, this tool offers:
- Monthly, Weekly, and Daily Levels : Displays the High, Midpoint, and Low of the previous month, week, and day.
- Logarithmic Price Lines : Option to plot price levels logarithmically for enhanced accuracy.
- Customizable Labels : Display labels on price lines for better clarity. (This feature is optional.)
- Dual Moving Averages : Add two customizable Moving Averages (Simple, Exponential, or Weighted) directly on the price chart. (This feature is optional.)
This code combines features from the Moving Average Exponential and Daily Weekly Monthly Highs & Lows (sbtnc) indicators, with custom modifications to implement unique personal ideas.
Perfect for traders who want to combine precision with simplicity. Whether you're analyzing historical levels or integrating moving averages into your strategy, this indicator provides everything you need for informed decision-making.
To prevent change chart scale, right click on Price Scale and enable "Scale price chart only"
Key LevelsKey Levels Indicator
In the world of trading, manually identifying and plotting key levels for every close can be a tedious and error-prone task. This indicator stands out by automatically detecting and plotting only those levels where a significant shift in market sentiment has occurred. Unlike traditional indicators that plot lines for every open or close, this tool focuses on levels where liquidity has changed hands, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
How It Works:
- The indicator identifies Higher Timeframe (HTF) reversals, plotting levels only when a bearish candle is followed by a bullish one, or vice versa.
- Weekly levels are represented by dashed lines, while monthly levels are solid, providing clear visual differentiation.
- Levels are drawn at the open price of the reversal candle, starting precisely at the beginning of the new HTF bar.
Why It's Different:
- Focuses on genuine shifts in market sentiment rather than arbitrary price points.
- Automatically manages the number of visible levels to prevent chart clutter.
- Ideal for range traders and mean reversion strategies, offering insights into potential support and resistance zones where market participants have shown a change in behavior.
Usage Note:
While this indicator provides valuable insights, it should not be used in isolation. Always consider the broader market context and combine it with other analysis techniques for optimal results.
Settings:
- Toggle weekly/monthly levels
- Adjust the number of visible levels (1-20)
- Customize level colors
Fibonacci Confluence Toolkit [LuxAlgo]The Fibonacci Confluence Toolkit is a technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify potential price reversal zones by combining key market signals and patterns. It highlights areas of interest where significant price action or reactions are anticipated, automatically applies Fibonacci retracement levels to outline potential pullback zones, and detects engulfing candle patterns.
Its unique strength lies in its reliance solely on price patterns, eliminating the need for user-defined inputs, ensuring a robust and objective analysis of market dynamics.
🔶 USAGE
The script begins by detecting CHoCH (Change of Character) points—key indicators of shifts in market direction. This script integrates the principles of pure price action as applied in Pure-Price-Action-Structures , where further details on the detection process can be found.
The detected CHoCH points serve as the foundation for defining an Area of Interest (AOI), a zone where significant price action or reactions are anticipated.
As new swing highs or lows emerge within the AOI, the tool automatically applies Fibonacci retracement levels to outline potential retracement zones. This setup enables traders to identify areas where price pullbacks may occur, offering actionable insights into potential entries or reversals.
Additionally, the toolkit highlights engulfing candle patterns within these zones, further refining entry points and enhancing confluence for better-informed trading decisions based on real-time trend dynamics and price behavior.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Market Patterns
Bullish Structures: Enable or disable all bullish components of the indicator.
Bearish Structures: Enable or disable all bearish components of the indicator.
Highlight Area of Interest: Toggle the option to highlight the Areas of Interest (enabled or disabled).
CHoCH Line: Choose the line style for the CHoCH (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Width: Adjust the width of the CHoCH line.
🔹 Retracement Levels
Choose which Fibonacci retracement levels to display (e.g., 0, 0.236, 0.382, etc.).
🔹 Swing Levels & Engulfing Patterns
Swing Levels: Select how swing levels are marked (symbols like ◉, △▽, or H/L).
Engulfing Candle Patterns: Choose which engulfing candle patterns to detect (All, Structure-Based, or Disabled).
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Pure-Price-Action-Structures.
Psychological Levels- Rounding Numbers Psychological Levels Indicator
Overview:
The Psychological Levels Indicator automatically identifies and plots significant price levels based on psychological thresholds, which are key areas where market participants often focus their attention. These levels act as potential support or resistance zones due to human behavioral tendencies to round off numbers. This indicator dynamically adjusts the levels based on the stock's price range and ensures seamless visibility across the chart.
Key Features:
Dynamic Step Sizes:
The indicator adjusts the levels dynamically based on the stock price:
For prices below 500: Levels are spaced at 10.
For prices between 500 and 3000: Levels are spaced at 50, 100, and 1000.
For prices between 3000 and 10,000: Levels are spaced at 100 and 1000.
For prices above 10,000: Levels are spaced at 500 and 1000.
Extended Visibility:
The plotted levels are extended across the entire chart for improved visualization, ensuring traders can easily monitor these critical zones over time.
Customization Options:
Line Color: Choose the color for the levels to suit your charting style.
Line Style: Select from solid, dashed, or dotted lines.
Line Width: Adjust the thickness of the lines for better clarity.
Clean and Efficient Design:
The indicator only plots levels relevant to the visible chart range, avoiding unnecessary clutter and ensuring a clean workspace.
How It Works:
It calculates the relevant step sizes based on the price:
Smaller step sizes for lower-priced stocks.
Larger step sizes for higher-priced stocks.
Primary, secondary, and (if applicable) tertiary levels are plotted dynamically:
Primary Levels: The most granular levels based on the stock price.
Secondary Levels: Higher-order levels for broader significance.
Tertiary Levels: Additional levels for lower-priced stocks to enhance detail.
These levels are plotted across the chart, allowing traders to visualize key psychological areas effortlessly.
Use Cases:
Day Trading: Identify potential intraday support and resistance levels.
Swing Trading: Recognize key price zones where trends may pause or reverse.
Long-Term Investing: Gain insights into significant price zones for entry or exit strategies.
Resistance & SupportThis indicator combines multiple analytical methods to calculate potential support and resistance levels for the upcoming trading day, leveraging historical price data. The calculations are based on three key areas:
Pivot Points: These are calculated using the previous day's high, low, and close values to provide central price levels, along with first and second-level support and resistance (S1, S2, R1, R2). These levels are commonly used in technical analysis and can serve as reference points for market entries and exits.
3-Day Price Average (3DBP): This value provides a short-term trend signal by averaging the high, low, and close prices over the past three days. The indicator helps identify whether the market has been trading at higher or lower levels recently, which can signal bullish or bearish trends.
Trend Detection: The script also includes a short-term and long-term trend analysis:
Short-Term Trend: The prior day’s 3DBP is compared to the previous day’s 3DBP to gauge the market's short-term direction.
Long-Term Trend: The prior close is compared to the open from 50 days ago, offering an indication of the overall market trend.
These components work together to provide actionable insights on potential entry points. For example:
In a bullish market, support levels may act as potential entry points for long trades when the price retraces.
In a bearish market, resistance levels may act as potential entry points for short trades upon price rejection.
The Trend Table at the top right of the chart displays the short-term and long-term trend information for quick reference. It shows whether the trends are bullish or bearish based on the calculations above.
While originally optimized for the EUR/USD currency pair, this indicator can be applied to other forex pairs. However, results may vary depending on the instrument, and further testing is recommended for non-EUR/USD pairs.
Usage Notes:
Pivot points can often act as both support and resistance. While they provide useful reference levels, in volatile markets, these levels may not always hold. Tight stop-losses are recommended if trading near these levels.
The 3DBP offers insight into past market behavior, and although it’s not guaranteed to act as support or resistance, it can help identify zones of interest in the short term.
This indicator is designed to provide a structured approach to price action analysis, incorporating widely-recognized methods like pivot points and trend detection, while adding unique elements like the 3DBP to enhance its utility.
Price Delivery Bias @MaxMaserati Price Delivery Bias (PDB) Indicator @ MaxMaserati
The Price Delivery Bias (PDB) indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify and track market structure shifts through price action analysis. It helps traders identify potential trend changes and continuation patterns by monitoring price delivery sequences.
Key Features:
- Automatically detects and labels Change of Delivery Long (CDL) and Change of Delivery Short (CDS) points
- Tracks subsequent Delivery sequences (LD1, LD2, LD3... for longs; SD1, SD2, SD3... for shorts)
- Dynamic support and resistance lines for active buyers and sellers
- Real-time bias status display with delivery count
- Customizable colors and display options
How It Works:
The indicator analyzes price action using fractal patterns to identify significant structural points where the market bias changes or continues. When price breaks above a key level, it marks a CDL (Change of Delivery Long), followed by subsequent long deliveries (LD1, LD2, etc.). Similarly, breaks below key levels are marked as CDS (Change of Delivery Short), followed by short deliveries (SD1, SD2, etc.).
Use Cases:
- Trend Direction: Identify potential trend changes through CDL and CDS signals
- Trend Strength: Monitor delivery sequences (LD/SD count) to gauge trend strength
- Support/Resistance: Track active buyer and seller levels
- Trade Management: Use delivery sequences for managing entries, stops, and targets
Customization Options:
- Adjust the look back period for structure detection
- Customize colors for long and short bias signals
- Toggle label visibility for CDL/CDS and delivery sequences
- Modify text size for better visibility
- Show/hide buyer and seller lines
- Customize table position and appearance
Settings Guide:
1. Length: Determines the look back period for structure detection (default: 5)
2. CDL/CDS Colors: Set colors for bullish and bearish signals
3. Label Controls: Toggle visibility of CDL/CDS and delivery labels
4. Text Size: Choose between Tiny, Small, and Normal for label text
5. Buyer/Seller Lines: Toggle and customize dashed lines showing active levels
6. Bias Table: Configure position and visibility of the status table
#### Pro Tips:
- Use the delivery count to gauge trend strength - higher counts often indicate stronger trends
- Watch for bias changes (CDL/CDS) after extended delivery sequences
- Combine with volume and momentum indicators for confirmation
- Use buyer/seller lines as dynamic support/resistance levels
- Monitor label sequences for potential exhaustion points
#### Notes:
- The indicator works best on higher timeframes (1H and above)
- Signals are more reliable in trending markets
- Multiple delivery sequences often indicate strong trend continuations
- Consider using with other indicators for confirmation
This indicator is ideal for both trend traders and swing traders who want to understand market structure and bias through price action analysis. It provides clear visual cues for potential trend changes and continuation patterns while offering extensive customization options to suit different trading styles.
Multi Ticker Price TableTable showing the current price of up to 7 tickers
- Tickers are user choice
- Table background is customizable
- User has the choice to turn the Daily % column off
[blackcat] L1 Institutional Golden Bottom Indicator█ OVERVIEW
The script " L1 Institutional Golden Bottom Indicator" is an indicator designed to identify potential institutional buying interest or a "golden bottom" in the market. It calculates a series of values based on price movements and plots them on a chart to help traders make informed decisions.
█ LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
The script is structured into several main sections:
1 — Function Definitions: Custom functions xsa and calculate_institutional_golden_bottom are defined.
2 — Input Parameters: The user can set a threshold value for institutional interest.
3 — Calculations: The script calculates various indicators and conditions, including the institutional buy signal.
4 — Plotting: The results of the calculations are plotted on the chart.
5 — Labeling: When a golden bottom is detected, a label is placed on the chart.
The flow of data starts with the input parameters, proceeds through the calculation functions, and finally results in plotted outputs and labels.
█ CUSTOM FUNCTIONS
1 — xsa(src, len, wei)
• Purpose: To calculate a weighted moving average.
• Parameters:
– src: Source data (e.g., price).
– len: Length of the moving average.
– wei: Weighting factor.
• Return Value: The calculated weighted moving average.
2 — calculate_institutional_golden_bottom(close, high, low, threshold)
• Purpose: To determine the institutional golden bottom indicator.
• Parameters:
– close: Closing price.
– high: Highest price.
– low: Lowest price.
– threshold: User-defined threshold for institutional interest. By tuning the threshold value the user can properly identify the institutional golden bottom of the instrument. So, I can say this parameter is used to tune the "sensitivity" of this indicator.
• Return Value: An array containing the institutional indicator, golden bottom signal, and additional values (a1, b1, c1, d1).
█ KEY POINTS AND TECHNIQUES
• Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The xsa function implements a weighted moving average, which is useful for smoothing price data.
• Crossover Detection: The script uses a crossover condition to detect when the institutional indicator crosses above the threshold, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
• Conditional Logic: The script includes conditional statements to control the output of certain values only when specific conditions are met.
• Plotting and Labeling: The script uses plot and label.new functions to visualize the indicator and highlight significant events on the chart.
█ EXTENDED KNOWLEDGE AND APPLICATIONS
• Modifications: The script could be enhanced by adding more customizable parameters, such as different lengths for the moving averages or additional conditions for the golden bottom signal.
• Extensions: Similar techniques could be applied to other types of indicators, such as momentum oscillators or trend-following systems to identify market turning points.
• Related Concepts: Understanding weighted moving averages, crossover signals, and conditional plotting in Pine Script would be beneficial for enhancing this script and applying similar logic to other trading strategies.
MA Multi-Timeframe [ChartPrime]The MA Multi-Timeframe indicator is designed to provide multi-timeframe moving averages (MAs) for better trend analysis across different periods. This tool allows traders to monitor up to four different MAs on a single chart, each coming from a selectable timeframe and type (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA). The indicator helps traders gauge both short-term and long-term price trends, allowing for a clearer understanding of market dynamics.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Multi-Timeframe Moving Averages :
The indicator allows traders to select up to four MAs, each from different timeframes. These timeframes can be set in the input settings (e.g., Daily, Weekly, Monthly), and each moving average can be displayed with its corresponding timeframe label directly on the chart.
Example of different timeframes for MAs:
⯌ Moving Average Types :
Users can choose from several types of moving averages, including SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, and VWMA, making the indicator adaptable to different strategies and market conditions. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the MAs to their preference.
Example of different types of MAs:
⯌ Dashboard Display :
The indicator includes a built-in dashboard that shows each MA, its timeframe, and whether the price is currently above or below that MA. This dashboard provides a quick overview of the trend across different timeframes, allowing traders to determine whether the overall trend is up or down.
Example of trend overview via the dashboard:
⯌ Polyline Representation :
Each MA is plotted using polylines to avoid plot functions and create a curves across up to 4000 bars back, ensuring that historical data is visualized clearly for a deeper analysis of how the price interacts with these levels over time.
if barstate.islast
for i = 0 to 4000
cp.push(chart.point.from_index(bar_index , ma ))
polyline.delete(polyline.new(cp, curved = false, line_color = color, line_style = style) )
Example of polylines for moving averages:
⯌ Customization Options :
Traders can customize the length of the MAs for all timeframes using a single input. The color, style (solid, dashed, dotted) of each moving average are also customizable, giving users full control over the visual appearance of the indicator on their chart.
Example of custom MA styles:
⯁ USER INPUTS
MA Type : Select the type of moving average for each timeframe (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA).
Timeframe : Choose the timeframe for each moving average (e.g., Daily, Weekly, Monthly).
MA Length : Set the length for the moving averages, which will be applied to all four MAs.
Line Style : Customize the style of each MA line (solid, dashed, or dotted).
Colors : Set the color for each MA for better visual distinction.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The MA Multi-Timeframe indicator is a versatile and powerful tool for traders looking to monitor price trends across multiple timeframes with different types of moving averages. The dashboard simplifies trend identification, while the customizable options make it easy to adapt to individual trading strategies. Whether you're analyzing short-term price movements or long-term trends, this indicator offers a comprehensive solution for tracking market direction.
DonAlt - Smart Money Toolkit [BigBeluga]DonAlt - Smart Money Toolkit is inspired by the analytical insights of popular crypto influencer DonAlt.
This advanced toolkit integrates smart money concepts with key technical analysis elements to enhance your trading decisions.
🔵 KEY FEATURES:
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS Automatically identifies critical market turning points with significant volume. Levels turn green when the price is above them and red when below, providing a visual cue for key market thresholds.
ORDER BLOCKS: Highlights significant price zones preceding major price movements.
- If the move is down , it searches for the last bullish candle and plots a block from its body.
- If the move is up , it searches for the last bearish candle and creates a block from its body.
These blocks help identify areas of institutional interest and potential reversals.
TRENDLINES: Automatically plots trendlines to identify breakout zones or price accumulation areas.
• Bullish trendlines accumulation form when the current low is higher than the previous low.
• Bearish trendlines accumulation emerge when the current high is lower than the previous high.
• Bullish trendlines Breakout form when the price break above it.
• Bearish trendlines Breakout form when the price break below it.
Volatility Integration: The levels incorporate normalized volatility to ensure only significant zones are highlighted, filtering noise and emphasizing meaningful data.
🔵 WHEN TO USE:
This toolkit is ideal for traders seeking to align with "smart money" strategies by identifying key areas of institutional activity, strong support and resistance zones, and potential breakout setups.
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION:
Toggle the visibility of levels, order blocks, or trendlines to match your trading style and focus.
Colors of the Bull and Bear key features
Extend trendline
Period Separator & Candle OHLCThis script combines two powerful tools for traders: period separators and custom timeframe-based OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) data visualization. Here's what it does:
Period Separators:
The script draws vertical lines to indicate the start of new time periods based on a user-defined timeframe (e.g., hourly, daily, weekly).
Users can customize the separator color, line style (solid, dashed, dotted), and width to suit their preferences.
Fetches OHLC data from a higher or custom timeframe (e.g., 4 hours) and overlays it on the current chart.
Users can choose to display the open, high, low, and close prices as dots or circles for easy visualization.
Optionally, the open and close dots can be visually connected with a filled bar for a candlestick-like effect.
The script color-codes the close price relative to the open (green if higher, red if lower) to highlight price direction at a glance.
Fully Customizable:
Users have full control over which OHLC values to display and whether the dots should be filled.
Transparency settings for plotted dots and fills are also adjustable for optimal visibility on different chart styles.
How It Is Useful for Trading:
Timeframe Analysis:
The period separators make it easy to distinguish trading activity across custom time intervals. This is crucial for intraday, swing, and long-term traders who analyze price movements within specific periods.
Multi-Timeframe Insights:
By overlaying OHLC data from a higher timeframe on a lower timeframe chart, traders can identify key support and resistance levels, pivots, and trends that are not immediately visible on the current timeframe.
Trend Recognition:
The color-coded close dots (green for bullish, red for bearish) provide an instant visual cue of market sentiment, helping traders confirm or refute their bias.
Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or position trader, the flexibility in timeframe selection, styling, and data presentation ensures this tool can adapt to your trading strategy.
Donchian Trend Ribbon (Gradient)Donchian Trend Ribbon (Gradient) Indicator
The Donchian Trend Ribbon (Gradient) uses Donchian Channels to visualize trend direction, strength, and market phases. Columns with varying colors and intensity help traders quickly assess trends.
Key Components:
Green Columns (Bullish):
Appear when price is above the upper Donchian Channel boundary.
Bright green in the top zone (25-50): Strong bullish trend.
Darker green in the lower zone (0-25): Weak/moderate bullish trend.
A full-height bright green column indicates a very strong upward move.
Red Columns (Bearish):
Appear when price is below the lower Donchian Channel boundary.
Bright red in the top zone (25-50): Strong bearish trend.
Darker red in the lower zone (0-25): Weak/moderate bearish trend.
A full-height bright red column indicates a very strong downward move.
Black Columns (Neutral):
Indicate no trend or market consolidation.
Signal to wait for trend emergence.
Expanding Steps:
Steps expanding downward from the upper edge (50) suggest diminishing momentum.
Steps expanding upward from the lower edge (0) indicate growing trend strength.
Methods of Use:
Identify Trends: Green (buy) or red (sell) columns in the top zone (25-50) signal strong trends.
Assess Strength: Bright colors = strong trends, darker colors = weaker trends. Full-height bright columns indicate very strong moves.
Neutral Phases: Black columns suggest waiting for a trend.
Example Strategy:
Buy when green columns appear in the 25-50 range with bright intensity.
Sell when red columns appear in the 25-50 range with bright intensity.
Exit positions if columns turn black or darker-colored.
Weekly Opening Range and Previous Data for FuturesThis indicator will not predict future price action.
This indicator is a time based range tool. These types of tools are great to use when there is not any historical data to look back on (as in all time highs/lows). The user can use this indicator to measure distributions, use deviations of the range to identify support/resistance levels, and see how historical price action influences current price action. This indicator is unique because it uses the price range from the open of the futures market on Sunday 18:00 America/New York to the open of the Bond Market 8:00 America/New York as the range for all calculations.
This indicator collects the multiple points of data from each day of the week, and gives the user many options on how to use the data that is collected. The amount of data collected is based on the time frame of the chart (best used on a 15 minute chart), but is limited to 30 minute charts.
Data Collected:
Opening Range for the week
High of Each Day
Low of Each Day
Close of Each Day
Initially the range is plotted on the chart as a box, when the Bond market opens the high/low/mid is plotted, as well as the current week open and previous week close.
How the data is used.
Intraday: Monday does not have a previous day to pull data on, so all data for Monday is intraday data. When a new high is made, the indicator will search all previous data in the lookback period for the current day , find all highs that are within a set variance (determined by the user), and plot the corresponding lows from the matching days. It will do the same for new lows that are made, with corresponding historical highs. All of these levels are plotted on the chart, as well as the Average High, Average Low. If price moves beyond either Average, the Average of all days that distributed higher than the Average is plotted on the chart as Min/Max Average.
Previous Day Data: Tuesday - Friday. After the close of the day, the user has the option to choose either the High, Low, or Close of that day to find previous data that matches within a variance determined by the user; or an option to find the n closest matches (up to 20). That data is then matched to the corresponding next day data and plotted on the chart as a box. Example: Monday closes at +1 Deviation (Dev) of the Weekly Opening Range (WOR). The user sets the variance at 0.5 (0.5 Dev of the WOR), the indicator will search the lookback period for all Mondays that closed between 1.25 Dev and 0.75 Dev of the WOR. The matching Mondays will then be matched to their corresponding Tuesdays and the data for the High and Low from those Tuesdays will be placed on the chart as a box overlaying the current Tuesday. Each match is numbered so that corresponding Highs and Lows of each historical day can be identified. The same can be done for either the High or Low of the Previous Day.
The indicator has a table that can be shown.
Data shown in table:
Current Extension of the WOR
Maximum Extension of the WOR
Average WOR in %
Current WOR in %
Average Range for the day in % based on data set
Current Range for the day in %
Number of days in the data set
Number of Previous Day Matches
Variance for previous day data
Number of Intraday High Matches
Number of Intraday Low Matches
Variance for Intraday Matches
The table as well as all lines and boxes have the option of being shown or not, as well as have their settings customized to fit the users chart layout.
As with any indicator, do not let the data shown change your trading model. Past performance is not indicative to future performance.
Auto-Support v 0.3The "Auto-Support v 0.3" indicator is designed to automatically detect and plot multiple levels of support and resistance on a chart. It aims to help traders identify key price levels where the market tends to reverse or consolidate. Here’s a breakdown of its functionality and goals:
Objective:
The primary objective of the Auto-Support v 0.3 indicator is to provide traders with a clear, visual representation of support and resistance levels. These levels are determined based on a predefined sensitivity parameter, which adjusts how tightly or loosely the indicator reacts to recent price movements. The indicator can be applied to any chart to assist in identifying potential entry and exit points for trades, enhancing technical analysis by displaying these important price zones.
Description:
Support and Resistance Calculation:
The indicator calculates multiple levels of support and resistance using the highest and lowest prices over a defined period. The "sensitivity" parameter, which ranges from 1 to 10, determines how sensitive the calculation is to recent price changes. A higher value increases the number of bars used to calculate these levels, making the levels more stable but less responsive to short-term price movements.
Visual Representation:
The support levels are drawn in green with a customizable transparency setting, while resistance levels are displayed in red with similar transparency controls. This visual representation helps traders identify these levels on the chart and see the strength or weakness of the support/resistance zones depending on the transparency setting.
Multiple Levels:
The indicator plots 10 distinct levels of support and resistance (from 1 to 10), which can offer a more granular view of price action. Traders can use these levels to assess potential breakout or breakdown points.
Customization:
Sensitivity: The sensitivity input allows traders to adjust how aggressively the indicator reacts to recent price data. This ensures flexibility, enabling the indicator to be tailored to different trading styles and market conditions.
Transparency: The transparency input adjusts the visual opacity of the support and resistance lines, making it easier to overlay the indicator without obscuring other chart elements.
Key Goals:
Dynamic Support/Resistance Identification: Automatically detect and display relevant support and resistance levels based on price history, removing the need for manual chart analysis.
Customizable Sensitivity: Offer a flexible method to adjust how the indicator identifies key levels, allowing it to fit different market conditions.
Clear Visualization: Provide easy-to-read support and resistance levels with customizable colors and transparencies, enhancing visual clarity and decision-making.
Multiple Levels: Display up to 10 levels of support and resistance, allowing traders to consider both short-term and longer-term price action when making trading decisions.
By using this indicator, traders can more effectively identify key price zones where price may reverse, consolidate, or break out, providing a solid foundation for developing trading strategies.
Logarithmic Regression AlternativeLogarithmic regression is typically used to model situations where growth or decay accelerates rapidly at first and then slows over time. Bitcoin is a good example.
𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏 * ln(𝑥)
With this logarithmic regression (log reg) formula 𝑦 (price) is calculated with constants 𝑎 and 𝑏, where 𝑥 is the bar_index .
Instead of using the sum of log x/y values, together with the dot product of log x/y and the sum of the square of log x-values, to calculate a and b, I wanted to see if it was possible to calculate a and b differently.
In this script, the log reg is calculated with several different assumed a & b values, after which the log reg level is compared to each Swing. The log reg, where all swings on average are closest to the level, produces the final 𝑎 & 𝑏 values used to display the levels.
🔶 USAGE
The script shows the calculated logarithmic regression value from historical swings, provided there are enough swings, the price pattern fits the log reg model, and previous swings are close to the calculated Top/Bottom levels.
When the price approaches one of the calculated Top or Bottom levels, these levels could act as potential cycle Top or Bottom.
Since the logarithmic regression depends on swing values, each new value will change the calculation. A well-fitted model could not fit anymore in the future.
Swings are based on Weekly bars. A Top Swing, for example, with Swing setting 30, is the highest value in 60 weeks. Thirty bars at the left and right of the Swing will be lower than the Top Swing. This means that a confirmation is triggered 30 weeks after the Swing. The period will be automatically multiplied by 7 on the daily chart, where 30 becomes 210 bars.
Please note that the goal of this script is not to show swings rapidly; it is meant to show the potential next cycle's Top/Bottom levels.
🔹 Multiple Levels
The script includes the option to display 3 Top/Bottom levels, which uses different values for the swing calculations.
Top: 'high', 'maximum open/close' or 'close'
Bottom: 'low', 'minimum open/close' or 'close'
These levels can be adjusted up/down with a percentage.
Lastly, an "Average" is included for each set, which will only be visible when "AVG" is enabled, together with both Top and Bottom levels.
🔹 Notes
Users have to check the validity of swings; the above example only uses 1 Top Swing for its calculations, making the Top level unreliable.
Here, 1 of the Bottom Swings is pretty far from the bottom level, changing the swing settings can give a more reliable bottom level where all swings are close to that level.
Note the display was set at "Logarithmic", it can just as well be shown as "Regular"
In the example below, the price evolution does not fit the logarithmic regression model, where growth should accelerate rapidly at first and then slows over time.
Please note that this script can only be used on a daily timeframe or higher; using it at a lower timeframe will show a warning. Also, it doesn't work with bar-replay.
🔶 DETAILS
The code gathers data from historical swings. At the last bar, all swings are calculated with different a and b values. The a and b values which results in the smallest difference between all swings and Top/Bottom levels become the final a and b values.
The ranges of a and b are between -20.000 to +20.000, which means a and b will have the values -20.000, -19.999, -19.998, -19.997, -19.996, ... -> +20.000.
As you can imagine, the number of calculations is enormous. Therefore, the calculation is split into parts, first very roughly and then very fine.
The first calculations are done between -20 and +20 (-20, -19, -18, ...), resulting in, for example, 4.
The next set of calculations is performed only around the previous result, in this case between 3 (4-1) and 5 (4+1), resulting in, for example, 3.9. The next set goes even more in detail, for example, between 3.8 (3.9-0.1) and 4.0 (3.9 + 0.1), and so on.
1) -20 -> +20 , then loop with step 1 (result (example): 4 )
2) 4 - 1 -> 4 +1 , then loop with step 0.1 (result (example): 3.9 )
3) 3.9 - 0.1 -> 3.9 +0.1 , then loop with step 0.01 (result (example): 3.93 )
4) 3.93 - 0.01 -> 3.93 +0.01, then loop with step 0.001 (result (example): 3.928)
This ensures complicated calculations with less effort.
These calculations are done at the last bar, where the levels are displayed, which means you can see different results when a new swing is found.
Also, note that this indicator has been developed for a daily (or higher) timeframe chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
Three sets
High/Low
• color setting
• Swing Length settings for 'High' & 'Low'
• % adjustment for 'High' & 'Low'
• AVG: shows average (when both 'High' and 'Low' are enabled)
Max/Min (maximum open/close, minimum open/close)
• color setting
• Swing Length settings for 'Max' & 'Min'
• % adjustment for 'Max' & 'Min'
• AVG: shows average (when both 'Max' and 'Min' are enabled)
Close H/Close L (close Top/Bottom level)
• color setting
• Swing Length settings for 'Close H' & 'Close L'
• % adjustment for 'Close H' & 'Close L'
• AVG: shows average (when both 'Close H' and 'Close L' are enabled)
Show Dashboard, including Top/Bottom levels of the desired source and calculated a and b values.
Show Swings + Dot size
Session High/Low Average & Range [1CG]The Session High/Low Average & Range indicator independently measures the average price movement from the opening price in each direction. It also displays the maximum high and low distance, called Range. Separating the averages and range into highs and lows helps analyze the volatility of the market as well as the direction.
USE EXAMPLES
Session Open
Session Close
Customization
Minimal - 1x and 2x Averages are replaced with custom lines, in order to show distance to3x.
Calculations
Average High: (high price of session - session opening price) / (session period)
Average Low: (session opening price - low price of session) / (session period)
Range High: The highest price of the last (session period)
Range Low: The lowest price of the last (session period)
INPUTS
Session
Here you can choose the hours for your session and time zone. The default is London session in New York time. Next, the session period determines how many sessions to sample from for the average and range lines, the default is 20. Lastly, you can choose the number of sessions to appear on the chart not including the current session if you are in one, 5 by default.
Lines
All of the lines allow you to change the color, width, and style. They also have a label option to choose to display the price. The bottom of the section allows you to change the location and size of the label text.
**Open Line** -Displays the opening price for the length of the session.
**Average Lines** - Displays the 1x, 2x, and 3x the average distance from open in each direction. Additionally, you can toggle a background color to highlight the area.
**Custom Lines** - Displays a customizable multiple of either the average or range. By default the first custom line displays the Range at a 1x multiplier and the second line displays an Average at a 1.5x multiplier
Display Distance
Here you can choose to display the distance from the lines to the open. This data is marked with a “Δ”. For the three Average lines this will display in the area between the line and the open in the position and size of your choice. The custom lines will have the distance information displayed on the line itself. This helps keep the data organized.
Top-Down Trend and Key Levels with Swing Points//by antaryaami0
Overview
The “Top-Down Trend and Key Levels with Swing Points” indicator is a comprehensive tool designed to enhance your technical analysis by integrating multiple trading concepts into a single, easy-to-use script. It combines higher timeframe trend analysis, key price levels, swing point detection, and ranging market identification to provide a holistic view of market conditions. This indicator is particularly useful for traders who employ multi-timeframe analysis, support and resistance levels, and price action strategies.
Key Features
1. Higher Timeframe Trend Background Shading:
• Purpose: Identifies the prevailing trend on a higher timeframe to align lower timeframe trading decisions with the broader market direction.
• How it Works: The indicator compares the current higher timeframe close with the previous one to determine if the trend is up, down, or ranging.
• Customization:
• Trend Timeframe: Set your preferred higher timeframe (e.g., Daily, Weekly).
• Up Trend Color & Down Trend Color: Customize the background colors for uptrends and downtrends.
• Ranging Market Color: A separate color to indicate when the market is moving sideways.
2. Key Price Levels:
• Previous Day High (PDH) and Low (PDL):
• Purpose: Identifies key support and resistance levels from the previous trading day.
• Visualization: Plots horizontal lines at PDH and PDL with labels.
• Customization: Option to show or hide these levels and customize their colors.
• Pre-Market High (PMH) and Low (PML):
• Purpose: Highlights the price range during the pre-market session, which can indicate potential breakout levels.
• Visualization: Plots horizontal lines at PMH and PML with labels.
• Customization: Option to show or hide these levels and customize their colors.
3. First 5-Minute Marker (F5H/F5L):
• Purpose: Marks the high or low of the first 5 minutes after the market opens, which is significant for intraday momentum.
• How it Works:
• If the first 5-minute high is above the Pre-Market High (PMH), an “F5H” label is placed at the first 5-minute high.
• If the first 5-minute high is below the PMH, an “F5L” label is placed at the first 5-minute low.
• Visualization: Labels are placed at the 9:35 AM candle (closing of the first 5 minutes), colored in purple by default.
• Customization: Option to show or hide the marker and adjust the marker color.
4. Swing Points Detection:
• Purpose: Identifies significant pivot points in price action to help recognize trends and reversals.
• How it Works: Uses left and right bars to detect pivot highs and lows, then determines if they are Higher Highs (HH), Lower Highs (LH), Higher Lows (HL), or Lower Lows (LL).
• Visualization: Plots small markers (circles) with labels (HH, LH, HL, LL) at the corresponding swing points.
• Customization: Adjust the number of left and right bars for pivot detection and the size of the markers.
5. Ranging Market Detection:
• Purpose: Identifies periods when the market is consolidating (moving sideways) within a defined price range.
• How it Works: Calculates the highest high and lowest low over a specified period and determines if the price range is within a set percentage threshold.
• Visualization: Draws a gray box around the price action during the ranging period and labels the high and low prices at the end of the range.
• Customization: Adjust the range detection period and threshold, as well as the box color.
6. Trend Coloring on Chart:
• Purpose: Provides a visual cue for the short-term trend based on a moving average.
• How it Works: Colors the candles green if the price is above the moving average and red if below.
• Customization: Set the moving average length and customize the uptrend and downtrend colors.
How to Use the Indicator
1. Adding the Indicator to Your Chart:
• Copy the Pine Script code provided and paste it into the Pine Script Editor on TradingView.
• Click “Add to Chart” to apply the indicator.
2. Configuring Inputs and Settings:
• Access Inputs:
• Click on the gear icon next to the indicator’s name on your chart to open the settings.
• Customize Key Levels:
• Show Pre-Market High/Low: Toggle on/off.
• Show Previous Day High/Low: Toggle on/off.
• Show First 5-Minute Marker: Toggle on/off.
• Set Trend Parameters:
• Trend Timeframe for Background: Choose the higher timeframe for trend analysis.
• Moving Average Length for Bar Color: Set the period for the moving average used in bar coloring.
• Adjust Ranging Market Detection:
• Range Detection Period: Specify the number of bars to consider for range detection.
• Range Threshold (%): Set the maximum percentage range for the market to be considered ranging.
• Customize Visuals:
• Colors: Adjust colors for trends, levels, markers, and ranging market boxes.
• Label Font Size: Choose the size of labels displayed on the chart.
• Level Line Width: Set the thickness of the lines for key levels.
3. Interpreting the Indicator:
• Background Shading:
• Green Shade: Higher timeframe is in an uptrend.
• Red Shade: Higher timeframe is in a downtrend.
• Gray Box: Market is ranging (sideways movement).
• Key Levels and Markers:
• PDH and PDL Lines: Represent resistance and support from the previous day.
• PMH and PML Lines: Indicate potential breakout levels based on pre-market activity.
• F5H/F5L Labels: Early indication of intraday momentum after market open.
• Swing Point Markers:
• HH (Higher High): Suggests bullish momentum.
• LH (Lower High): May indicate a potential bearish reversal.
• HL (Higher Low): Supports bullish continuation.
• LL (Lower Low): Indicates bearish momentum.
• Ranging Market Box:
• Gray Box Around Price Action: Highlights consolidation periods where breakouts may occur.
• Range High and Low Labels: Provide the upper and lower bounds of the consolidation zone.
4. Applying the Indicator to Your Trading Strategy:
• Trend Alignment:
• Use the higher timeframe trend shading to align your trades with the broader market direction.
• Key Levels Trading:
• Watch for price reactions at PDH, PDL, PMH, and PML for potential entry and exit points.
• Swing Points Analysis:
• Identify trend continuations or reversals by observing the sequence of HH, HL, LH, and LL.
• Ranging Market Strategies:
• During ranging periods, consider range-bound trading strategies or prepare for breakout trades when the price exits the range.
• Intraday Momentum:
• Use the F5H/F5L marker to gauge early market sentiment and potential intraday trends.
Practical Tips
• Adjust Settings to Your Trading Style:
• Tailor the indicator’s inputs to match your preferred timeframes and trading instruments.
• Combine with Other Indicators:
• Use in conjunction with volume indicators, oscillators, or other technical tools for additional confirmation.
• Backtesting:
• Apply the indicator to historical data to observe how it performs and refine your settings accordingly.
• Stay Updated on Market Conditions:
• Be aware of news events or economic releases that may impact market behavior and the effectiveness of technical levels.
Customization Options
• Time Zone Adjustment:
• The script uses “America/New_York” time zone by default. Adjust the timezone variable in the script if your chart operates in a different time zone.
var timezone = "Your/Timezone"
• Session Times:
• Modify the Regular Trading Session and Pre-Market Session times in the indicator settings to align with the trading hours of different markets or exchanges.
• Visual Preferences:
• Colors: Personalize the indicator’s colors to suit your visual preferences or to enhance visibility.
• Label Sizes: Adjust label sizes if you find them too intrusive or not prominent enough.
• Marker Sizes: Further reduce or enlarge the swing point markers by modifying the swing_marker_size variable.
Understanding the Indicator’s Logic
1. Higher Timeframe Trend Analysis:
• The indicator retrieves the closing prices of a higher timeframe using the request.security() function.
• It compares the current higher timeframe close with the previous one to determine the trend direction.
2. Key Level Calculation:
• Previous Day High/Low: Calculated by tracking the highest and lowest prices of the previous trading day.
• Pre-Market High/Low: Calculated by monitoring price action during the pre-market session.
3. First 5-Minute Marker Logic:
• At 9:35 AM (end of the first 5 minutes after market open), the indicator evaluates whether the first 5-minute high is above or below the PMH.
• It then places the appropriate label (F5H or F5L) on the chart.
4. Swing Points Detection:
• The script uses ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions to detect pivot points.
• It then determines the type of swing point based on comparisons with previous swings.
5. Ranging Market Detection:
• The indicator looks back over a specified number of bars to find the highest high and lowest low.
• It calculates the percentage difference between these two points.
• If the difference is below the set threshold, the market is considered to be ranging, and a box is drawn around the price action.
Limitations and Considerations
• Indicator Limitations:
• Maximum Boxes and Labels: Due to Pine Script limitations, there is a maximum number of boxes and labels that can be displayed simultaneously.
• Performance Impact: Adding multiple visual elements (boxes, labels, markers) can affect the performance of the script on lower-end devices or with large amounts of data.
• Market Conditions:
• False Signals: Like any technical tool, the indicator may produce false signals, especially during volatile or erratic market conditions.
• Not a Standalone Solution: This indicator should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, including risk management and other forms of analysis.
Conclusion
The “Top-Down Trend and Key Levels with Swing Points” indicator is a versatile tool that integrates essential aspects of technical analysis into one script. By providing insights into higher timeframe trends, highlighting key price levels, detecting swing points, and identifying ranging markets, it equips traders with valuable information to make more informed trading decisions. Whether you are a day trader looking for intraday opportunities or a swing trader aiming to align with the broader trend, this indicator can enhance your chart analysis and trading strategy.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and it’s important to understand that past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is a tool to assist in analysis and should not be solely relied upon for making trading decisions. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from financial professionals before engaging in trading activities.
