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LNL Pullback Arrows
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Buying the dip has never been easier! LNL Pullback Arrows are here to pinpoint the best possible entries for the trend following setups. With the Pullback Arrows, trader can pick his own approach and risk level thanks to four different types of arrows. The goal of these arrows is to force the traders to scale in & out of trades which is in my opinion crucial when it comes to trend following strategies. These arrows were designed primarily for the daily & weekly time frame (swing trading).
Four Types of Pullback Arrows:
1. Aggro Arrows - Ideal for aggresive approach during parabolic trends. Sometimes trends are so strong that the price barely revisits the daily 8 EMA. This is where the aggro arrows can perfectly pinpoint the aggresive high risk entries. Ideal for halfsize or 1/4 size of the full position. Aiming for quick 1-2 day moves targeting the recent high/low. These arrows could be also named as scalping arrows for the swing traders. A quick In & Out.
2. HalfSize Arrows - Medium risk approach. First arrows to scale in. HalfSize arrows are the first sign that the pullback might be ending, yet there is still some space left for an even deeper pullback. That is the reason why they are called half-size. Ideally taken with half-sized position. When trading the HalfSize Arrows, It is better to have some "spare ammo in the gun" ready to use.
3. FullSize Arrows - Regular risk approach. These arrows represent a zone where the core of the posititon should be taken. The point of validity for the trend is not that far away, meaning the risk can be kept tight. Ideal for scailing the other halfs or quarters of the full position. Also great for more conservative traders or environments with higher volatility.
4. Rare Arrows - Offer the best risk to reward entries during the trend. Rare Arrows should be the "last kick" of the retracement, therefore stops can be positioned really tight. They either trigger the stop immidiately or they provide another juicy leg up or down in the direction of the trend. However, they really do appear rarely.
Simple EMA Cloud:
A simple cloud based on 21 and 55 exponential moving averages. This default length creates a pullback zone that is wide enough for the conservative traders but also give the opportunities to more aggresive traders. Alternatives such as 8 & 21, or 21 & 34 are forming the zone that is too aggresive and usually too thin. Of course, cloud can be fully adjusted or turned off completely. The only role of the cloud is to gauge the trend.
Tips & Tricks:
1.Importance of the Scailing
- As already stated, scailing is crucial to this since there is no way of knowing the exact level at which the price magically bounce every time. It is hard to tell where and which EMA will be respected. How can we know it will be 21 EMA every time? or 34 EMA or 10 EMA or 100 SMA or 50 DMA ... Single MA does not make a trend. This is the reason why scailing is so important. Scailing can make a difference.
2. Nothing is Perfect
- Same as any other study, nothing works 100% perfectly. Sometimes the setup will go right against you and sometimes the price will fade away sideways and breaks off the structure of the trend. This is not a magic certainty tool. This is just another probability tool.
3. Point of Validity & Other Studies
- Even though the pullback arrows can be a stand-alone strategy. It is important to use other indicators that visualize the actual trend. Whether its EMA Cloud or EMAs or DMI Bars or Keltner Channels, there should be something that validates the trend, something that tells the trend is over. (Pullback Arrows are not showing the actual stops!).
Hope it helps.
Four Types of Pullback Arrows:
1. Aggro Arrows - Ideal for aggresive approach during parabolic trends. Sometimes trends are so strong that the price barely revisits the daily 8 EMA. This is where the aggro arrows can perfectly pinpoint the aggresive high risk entries. Ideal for halfsize or 1/4 size of the full position. Aiming for quick 1-2 day moves targeting the recent high/low. These arrows could be also named as scalping arrows for the swing traders. A quick In & Out.
2. HalfSize Arrows - Medium risk approach. First arrows to scale in. HalfSize arrows are the first sign that the pullback might be ending, yet there is still some space left for an even deeper pullback. That is the reason why they are called half-size. Ideally taken with half-sized position. When trading the HalfSize Arrows, It is better to have some "spare ammo in the gun" ready to use.
3. FullSize Arrows - Regular risk approach. These arrows represent a zone where the core of the posititon should be taken. The point of validity for the trend is not that far away, meaning the risk can be kept tight. Ideal for scailing the other halfs or quarters of the full position. Also great for more conservative traders or environments with higher volatility.
4. Rare Arrows - Offer the best risk to reward entries during the trend. Rare Arrows should be the "last kick" of the retracement, therefore stops can be positioned really tight. They either trigger the stop immidiately or they provide another juicy leg up or down in the direction of the trend. However, they really do appear rarely.
Simple EMA Cloud:
A simple cloud based on 21 and 55 exponential moving averages. This default length creates a pullback zone that is wide enough for the conservative traders but also give the opportunities to more aggresive traders. Alternatives such as 8 & 21, or 21 & 34 are forming the zone that is too aggresive and usually too thin. Of course, cloud can be fully adjusted or turned off completely. The only role of the cloud is to gauge the trend.
Tips & Tricks:
1.Importance of the Scailing
- As already stated, scailing is crucial to this since there is no way of knowing the exact level at which the price magically bounce every time. It is hard to tell where and which EMA will be respected. How can we know it will be 21 EMA every time? or 34 EMA or 10 EMA or 100 SMA or 50 DMA ... Single MA does not make a trend. This is the reason why scailing is so important. Scailing can make a difference.
2. Nothing is Perfect
- Same as any other study, nothing works 100% perfectly. Sometimes the setup will go right against you and sometimes the price will fade away sideways and breaks off the structure of the trend. This is not a magic certainty tool. This is just another probability tool.
3. Point of Validity & Other Studies
- Even though the pullback arrows can be a stand-alone strategy. It is important to use other indicators that visualize the actual trend. Whether its EMA Cloud or EMAs or DMI Bars or Keltner Channels, there should be something that validates the trend, something that tells the trend is over. (Pullback Arrows are not showing the actual stops!).
Hope it helps.
Notas de Lançamento
Update - Added Pullback StopLineEven though it may look like a parabolic SAR, the StopLine is actually calculated on the Keltner Channels ATR. I found through the testing that the -1.0 ATR Keltner Channel is actually one of the best stop zones when it comes to daily pullbacks since it usually adapts faster than any ema (ema cloud) which means the max. risk per trade can be limited. The length of the ATR stopline can be adjusted in the StopLine Factor (default = 1.0)
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