INVITE-ONLY SCRIPT
Atualizado The Probability Swing
🎯 The Probability Swing: Institutional Logic & Macro Bias
The Probability Swing is not just a signal indicator; it is a complete trading ecosystem. It combines Macro-Economic Fundamentals, Institutional Volume Analysis, and Market Structure to calculate a real-time "Win Probability" for every trade setup.
Stop guessing. Let the script calculate the math, the money management, and the macro bias for you.
🌍 1. The Fundamental Macro Dashboard
Most indicators ignore the real world. This script connects to external economic data (DXY, US10Y, VIX, SPX) to give you a directional Fundamental Bias.
How the Bias Works (What changes it?):
The dashboard in the bottom-left adapts automatically based on what asset you are trading:
Forex (USD Pairs): Watches the DXY (Dollar Index).
Bias Shift: If DXY breaks above its 200 SMA, the Bias turns BEARISH for pairs like EURUSD. If DXY weakens, Bias turns BULLISH.
Gold (XAUUSD): Watches Real Yields (US10Y) and Dollar Strength.
Bias Shift: Gold hates high yields. If US10Y and DXY are rising, the Bias will turn Red (Bear). If Yields crash, the Bias turns Green (Bull).
Indices/Crypto (Risk Assets): Watches VIX (Volatility) and SPX.
Bias Shift: If VIX spikes (Fear), the Bias turns Risk Off (Bear). If SPX is trending up (Greed), the Bias turns Risk On (Bull).
Note: The "Fund Bias" on the dashboard tells you strictly which direction the economy suggests you should trade.
📊 2. Institutional Volume & Traps
The script analyzes volume relative to the average to detect "Smart Money" activity vs. "Retail" activity.
💎 BLUE TRAP (Shakeout): This appears at lows. It indicates that price was pushed down to hit retail stop-losses, but volume suggests institutions are absorbing the selling. Potential Bullish Entry.
⚠️ RED TRAP (Fake Pump): This appears at highs. It indicates a breakout with weak volume or a "stop hunt" into resistance. Potential Bearish Entry.
🟡 INSTITUTIONAL VOL: Yellow bars/text indicate volume is significantly higher than average (2x+), suggesting a major move is imminent.
🚀 3. The "A+ Sniper" Signal
The script calculates a probability score (0-99%) based on 7 factors (Trend, Htf Trend, VWAP, Volatility, Divergence, Structure, and Fundamentals).
A+ SNIPER BUY: Requires >75% Probability + Institutional Volume + Fundamental Alignment.
A+ SNIPER SELL: Requires >75% Probability + Institutional Volume + Fundamental Alignment.
💰 4. Built-in Money Management (Auto-Risk)
Stop calculating lot sizes manually. The dashboard displays the exact Lot Size you should use for the current setup.
Go to Settings > Money Management.
Enter your Account Balance and Risk % (e.g., 1%).
The Dashboard (bottom left) will calculate the Lot Size automatically based on the current volatility (ATR) of the asset.
🛠️ How to Trade This System
Check the Dashboard: Look at "Fund Bias." Is it Green (Bull) or Red (Bear)? Try to trade in the direction of the macro bias.
Wait for Structure: Wait for price to enter a Green Zone (Support) or Red Zone (Resistance).
Spot the Trap: Look for a Blue Trap (at support) or Red Trap (at resistance).
Execute on Signal: If you see an A+ SNIPER label, enter the trade.
Place Stops: The script automatically plots a Dotted Line for your Stop Loss based on ATR. If a "Trap" is detected, the Stop Loss tightens to the trap candle (Solid Line).
⚙️ Settings Overview
Money Management: Set your account size here for the Lot Calculator.
Fundamental: Toggle Macro Bias on/off.
Institutional Tools: Turn on/off Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and Session VWAP.
Session Filter: "Only Allow Snipers in High Liquidity Sessions" ensures you don't get signals during low-volume hours (Asian session/Lunch).
Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. This tool uses historical data and probabilities to assist in decision-making but does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
The Probability Swing is not just a signal indicator; it is a complete trading ecosystem. It combines Macro-Economic Fundamentals, Institutional Volume Analysis, and Market Structure to calculate a real-time "Win Probability" for every trade setup.
Stop guessing. Let the script calculate the math, the money management, and the macro bias for you.
🌍 1. The Fundamental Macro Dashboard
Most indicators ignore the real world. This script connects to external economic data (DXY, US10Y, VIX, SPX) to give you a directional Fundamental Bias.
How the Bias Works (What changes it?):
The dashboard in the bottom-left adapts automatically based on what asset you are trading:
Forex (USD Pairs): Watches the DXY (Dollar Index).
Bias Shift: If DXY breaks above its 200 SMA, the Bias turns BEARISH for pairs like EURUSD. If DXY weakens, Bias turns BULLISH.
Gold (XAUUSD): Watches Real Yields (US10Y) and Dollar Strength.
Bias Shift: Gold hates high yields. If US10Y and DXY are rising, the Bias will turn Red (Bear). If Yields crash, the Bias turns Green (Bull).
Indices/Crypto (Risk Assets): Watches VIX (Volatility) and SPX.
Bias Shift: If VIX spikes (Fear), the Bias turns Risk Off (Bear). If SPX is trending up (Greed), the Bias turns Risk On (Bull).
Note: The "Fund Bias" on the dashboard tells you strictly which direction the economy suggests you should trade.
📊 2. Institutional Volume & Traps
The script analyzes volume relative to the average to detect "Smart Money" activity vs. "Retail" activity.
💎 BLUE TRAP (Shakeout): This appears at lows. It indicates that price was pushed down to hit retail stop-losses, but volume suggests institutions are absorbing the selling. Potential Bullish Entry.
⚠️ RED TRAP (Fake Pump): This appears at highs. It indicates a breakout with weak volume or a "stop hunt" into resistance. Potential Bearish Entry.
🟡 INSTITUTIONAL VOL: Yellow bars/text indicate volume is significantly higher than average (2x+), suggesting a major move is imminent.
🚀 3. The "A+ Sniper" Signal
The script calculates a probability score (0-99%) based on 7 factors (Trend, Htf Trend, VWAP, Volatility, Divergence, Structure, and Fundamentals).
A+ SNIPER BUY: Requires >75% Probability + Institutional Volume + Fundamental Alignment.
A+ SNIPER SELL: Requires >75% Probability + Institutional Volume + Fundamental Alignment.
💰 4. Built-in Money Management (Auto-Risk)
Stop calculating lot sizes manually. The dashboard displays the exact Lot Size you should use for the current setup.
Go to Settings > Money Management.
Enter your Account Balance and Risk % (e.g., 1%).
The Dashboard (bottom left) will calculate the Lot Size automatically based on the current volatility (ATR) of the asset.
🛠️ How to Trade This System
Check the Dashboard: Look at "Fund Bias." Is it Green (Bull) or Red (Bear)? Try to trade in the direction of the macro bias.
Wait for Structure: Wait for price to enter a Green Zone (Support) or Red Zone (Resistance).
Spot the Trap: Look for a Blue Trap (at support) or Red Trap (at resistance).
Execute on Signal: If you see an A+ SNIPER label, enter the trade.
Place Stops: The script automatically plots a Dotted Line for your Stop Loss based on ATR. If a "Trap" is detected, the Stop Loss tightens to the trap candle (Solid Line).
⚙️ Settings Overview
Money Management: Set your account size here for the Lot Calculator.
Fundamental: Toggle Macro Bias on/off.
Institutional Tools: Turn on/off Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and Session VWAP.
Session Filter: "Only Allow Snipers in High Liquidity Sessions" ensures you don't get signals during low-volume hours (Asian session/Lunch).
Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. This tool uses historical data and probabilities to assist in decision-making but does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
Notas de Lançamento
Update: Leverage adjustment added in settings. Notas de Lançamento
Update to trap logicScript sob convite
Somente usuários aprovados pelo autor podem acessar este script. Você precisará solicitar e obter permissão para usá-lo. Normalmente, essa permissão é concedida após o pagamento. Para obter mais detalhes, siga as instruções do autor abaixo ou entre em contato diretamente com TakingFromTheRich.
A TradingView NÃO recomenda pagar ou usar um script, a menos que você confie totalmente em seu autor e entenda como ele funciona. Você também pode encontrar alternativas gratuitas e de código aberto em nossos scripts da comunidade.
Instruções do autor
Contact me
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.
Script sob convite
Somente usuários aprovados pelo autor podem acessar este script. Você precisará solicitar e obter permissão para usá-lo. Normalmente, essa permissão é concedida após o pagamento. Para obter mais detalhes, siga as instruções do autor abaixo ou entre em contato diretamente com TakingFromTheRich.
A TradingView NÃO recomenda pagar ou usar um script, a menos que você confie totalmente em seu autor e entenda como ele funciona. Você também pode encontrar alternativas gratuitas e de código aberto em nossos scripts da comunidade.
Instruções do autor
Contact me
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.