M2 Money StockViés de baixa
M2SL/SPX vs inflation and interest rate
Indicator under study:
- M2SL (dollar supply)
- SPX500 (standard & poor 500)
- USINTR (interest rate)
- USIRYY (inflation)
Consideration on how the market could move:
- M2SL Up
- SPX500 Down
- USINTR Up
- USIRYY Up
- Inflation should be at peak
- Interest rate not at peak and the prevision tell they can double during the next month
- The Fed start to increase interest rate late respect the growth of inflation
- The Dollar supply is 27% over the trendline
Until the interest rate reach a peak it's difficult to see green candle in SPX. Because now it's more important slow down the inflation.
In history high interest rate imply bear market and recesion
- M2SL (dollar supply)
- SPX500 (standard & poor 500)
- USINTR (interest rate)
- USIRYY (inflation)
Consideration on how the market could move:
- M2SL Up
- SPX500 Down
- USINTR Up
- USIRYY Up
- Inflation should be at peak
- Interest rate not at peak and the prevision tell they can double during the next month
- The Fed start to increase interest rate late respect the growth of inflation
- The Dollar supply is 27% over the trendline
Until the interest rate reach a peak it's difficult to see green candle in SPX. Because now it's more important slow down the inflation.
In history high interest rate imply bear market and recesion
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.