3 Actionable FX Strategies — With Real Trade Examples

24 de ago.

👋 Below are three practical strategies you can plug into your playbook today:

1. swing reversals (80+ pips), 2) short-term scalps (20–40 pips), and 3) the London range breakout (≈40 pips). Each section includes rules of engagement, risk management, and three real-market case studies on EURUSD and GBPUSD with conservative stops.
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🔁 Strategy 1 — 4H Swing Reversals (Target: 80–120 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Identify exhaustion into a higher-timeframe S/R zone (4H/Day).
• Look for a reversal signal (engulfing/pin bar, momentum shift, or divergence) and a confirmation close.
• Conservative stop: beyond the swing extreme or ~1× ATR(14) on the entry timeframe.
• Take-profit: next HTF level or ≥ 1.8R, aiming for 80+ pips.
Case study A — EURUSD long (Jackson Hole boost) 📈
• When: Aug 22, 2025, NY session after Powell; EURUSD pushed above 1.1700 on broad USD weakness.
• Plan: After a 4H close back above 1.1700, buy a retest ~1.1705.
• Stop: 1.1650 (≈55 pips).
• Target: 1.1790 (≈85 pips).
Case study B — GBPUSD short (post-CPI fade) 📉
• When: May 21, 2025, UK CPI spike ran to 1.34695 then faded.
• Plan: After a 15–30m lower high below 1.3460, sell break of 1.3435.
• Stop: 1.3490 (≈55 pips).
• Target: 1.3345 (≈90 pips).
Case study C — EURUSD short (overextended pullback) 🔻
• When: Jul 1, 2025, EURUSD briefly poked above 1.1800 then eased.
• Plan: Sell 1.1775 after a 1H bearish engulfing.
• Stop: 1.1825 (≈50 pips).
• Target: 1.1690 (≈85 pips).
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⚡ Strategy 2 — Short-Term Scalping (Target: 20–40 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Trade during high liquidity (London open or London/NY overlap).
• Use 1–5m charts: micro S/R + round numbers, quick momentum bursts.
• Conservative stop: 8–15 pips (just beyond the micro structure).
• Take-profit: 20–40 pips or to next intraday level.
Case study D — EURUSD scalp long (pre-Jackson Hole range) ⏱️
• When: Aug 21, 2025, Europe a.m.; EURUSD near 1.1650.
• Plan: Buy break-and-retest 1.1665.
• Stop: 1.1652 (≈13 pips).
• Target: 1.1687 (≈22 pips).
Case study E — GBPUSD scalp long (soft US CPI pop) 💥
• When: May 13, 2025, post-US CPI tone lifted risk; GBPUSD ~1.3226.
• Plan: Buy 1.3218 → 1.3242 after higher-low.
• Stop: 1.3208 (≈10 pips).
• Target: +24 pips.
Case study F — EURUSD scalp long (grind to 1.09) 🚀
• When: Mar 11, 2025, London morning; EURUSD nudged to 1.0890 / kissed 1.0900.
• Plan: Buy 1.0885 on retest.
• Stop: 1.0875 (≈10 pips).
• Target: 1.0905 (≈20 pips).
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🕘 Strategy 3 — London Range Breakout (Target: ~40 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Mark the Asian/Late-Asia range before 08:00 London.
• Trade the first clean break/close outside the box.
• Entry: stop order beyond the box high/low.
• Conservative stop: opposite side of the box or box size + buffer (≤40–50 pips).
• Take-profit: ~40 pips (scale at 20 pips).
Case study G — GBPUSD upside break (calm pre-CPI session) 📦➡️📈
• When: Mar 25, 2025, London a.m.; GBPUSD drifted toward 1.2950.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~22 pips.
• Plan: Buy box high +3 pips (≈1.2953).
• Stop: 1.2930 (≈23 pips).
• Target: 1.2993 (≈40 pips).
Case study H — EURUSD downside break (trend day toward 1.09) 📦➡️📉
• When: May 12, 2025, EURUSD bias turned lower and eyed the 1.09 handle.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~28 pips.
• Plan: Sell box low −3 pips (≈1.0978).
• Stop: 1.1008 (≈30 pips).
• Target: 1.0938 (≈40 pips).
Case study I — GBPUSD downside break (inflation-week nerves) 📦➡️🔻
• When: Aug 12, 2025, London a.m.; GBPUSD softened from a two-week high.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~24 pips.
• Plan: Sell box low −2 pips (≈1.3446).
• Stop: 1.3472 (≈26 pips).
• Target: 1.3406 (≈40 pips).
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🛡️ Risk Management (applies to all three)
• Risk small per trade (e.g., 0.5–1%).
• Stops beyond structure: previous swing/box edge or ATR-based to avoid noise.
• News filter: avoid fresh entries seconds before major economic data.
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🧰 Quick Checklists
Swing reversal (4H) ✅
🎯 Level picked • 📉 Reversal signal • 🛑 Stop beyond swing/ATR • 📐 ≥1.8R • 📰 No imminent shock
Scalp (1–5m) ✅
⏱️ Active session • 🔍 Micro S/R & round numbers • 🛑 8–15 pip stop • 🎯 20–40 pips • ✂️ Partial at +10–15
London breakout ✅
🕗 Box 05:00–08:00 • 📦 Reasonable width • 🚀 First break/close • 🛑 Stop other side • 🎯 ≈40 pips
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⚠️ Final word
These examples show how setups map onto real market context. Adapt entries/levels to your feed and spreads. Nothing here is financial advice—test and size appropriately.
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