China's stock market Limit up / Limit downThe price limit system in China’s stock market is a regulatory measure implemented by the Chinese securities authorities to curb excessive speculation. It refers to the maximum allowable daily price fluctuation of a stock, which cannot exceed a certain percentage of the previous trading day's closing price. For regular stocks, the daily price movement limit is 10%. For stocks under special treatment (ST stocks), the maximum daily price movement is restricted to 5%. There is no price limit on the listing day of newly issued stocks or stocks undergoing a rights issue. This indicator highlights the K-lines (candlesticks) of stocks that have hit the upper or lower price limits with different background colors and lists the recent number of instances of limit-up and limit-down occurrences in a table format.
Statistics
Info DisplayThis indicator can display the code, time period and current date of the selected commodity in real time in the upper right corner of the screen.
The display size of the 3 display fonts can be adjusted in the options.
Winning and Losing StreaksThe Pine Script indicator "Winning and Losing Streaks" tracks and visualizes the length of consecutive winning and losing streaks in a financial series, such as stock prices. Here’s a detailed description of the indicator, including the relevance of statistical analysis and streak tracking.
Indicator Description
The "Winning and Losing Streaks" indicator in Pine Script is designed to analyze and display streaks of consecutive winning and losing days in trading data. It helps traders and analysts understand the persistence of trends in price movements.
Here’s how it functions:
Streak Calculation:
Winning Streak: A series of consecutive days where the closing price is higher than the previous day's closing price.
Losing Streak: A series of consecutive days where the closing price is lower than the previous day's closing price.
Doji Candles: The indicator also considers Doji candles, where the difference between the opening and closing prices is minimal relative to the high-low range, and excludes these from being counted as winning or losing days.
Statistical Analysis:
The indicator computes the maximum and average lengths of winning and losing streaks.
It also tracks the current streak lengths and maintains arrays to store the historical streak data.
Visualization:
Histograms: Winning and losing streaks are visualized using histograms, which provide a clear graphical representation of streak lengths over time.
Relevance of Statistical Analysis and Streak Tracking
1. Statistical Significance of Streaks
Tracking winning and losing streaks has significant statistical implications for trading strategies and risk management:
Autocorrelation: Streaks in financial time series can reveal autocorrelation, where past returns influence future returns. Studies have shown that financial time series often exhibit autocorrelation, which can be used to forecast future price movements (Lo, 1991; Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). Understanding streaks helps in identifying and leveraging these patterns.
Behavioral Finance: Streak analysis aligns with concepts from behavioral finance, such as the "hot-hand fallacy," where investors may perceive trends as more persistent than they are (Gilovich, Vallone, & Tversky, 1985). Statistical streak analysis provides a more objective view of trend persistence, helping to avoid biases.
2. Risk Management and Strategy Development
Risk Assessment: Identifying the length and frequency of losing streaks is crucial for managing risk and adjusting trading strategies. Long losing streaks can indicate potential strategy weaknesses or market regime changes, prompting a reassessment of trading rules and risk management practices (Brock, Lakonishok, & LeBaron, 1992).
Strategy Optimization: Statistical analysis of streaks can aid in optimizing trading strategies. For example, understanding the average length of winning and losing streaks can help in setting more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels, as well as in determining the optimal position sizing (Fama & French, 1993).
Scientific References:
Lo, A. W. (1991). "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices." Econometrica, 59(5), 1279-1313. This paper discusses the presence of long-term memory in stock prices, which is relevant for understanding the persistence of streaks.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency." Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91. This study explores momentum and reversal strategies, which are related to the concept of streaks.
Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., & Tversky, A. (1985). "The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences." Cognitive Psychology, 17(3), 295-314. This paper provides insight into the psychological aspects of streaks and persistence.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764. This research examines the effectiveness of technical trading rules, relevant for streak-based strategies.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). "Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds." Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. This paper provides a foundation for understanding risk factors and strategy performance.
By analyzing streaks, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics and refine their trading strategies based on empirical evidence.
OrderFlow [Adjustable] | FractalystWhat's the indicator's purpose and functionality?
This indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying real-time probabilities of buyside and sellside liquidity .
It allows for an adjustable pivot level , enabling traders to customize the level they want to use for their entries.
By doing so, traders can evaluate whether their chosen entry point would yield a positive expected value over a large sample size, optimizing their strategy for long-term profitability.
For advanced traders looking to enhance their analysis, the indicator supports the incorporation of up to 7 higher timeframe biases .
Additionally, the higher timeframe pivot level can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences,
Offering maximum adaptability to different strategies and needs, further helping to maximize positive EV.
EV=(P(Win)×R(Win))−(P(Loss)×R(Loss))
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What's the purpose of these levels? What are the underlying calculations?
1. Understanding Swing highs and Swing Lows
Swing High: A Swing High is formed when there is a high with 2 lower highs to the left and right.
Swing Low: A Swing Low is formed when there is a low with 2 higher lows to the left and right.
2. Understanding the purpose and the underlying calculations behind Buyside, Sellside and Pivot levels.
3. Identifying Discount and Premium Zones.
4. Importance of Risk-Reward in Premium and Discount Ranges
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How does the script calculate probabilities?
The script calculates the probability of each liquidity level individually. Here's the breakdown:
1. Upon the formation of a new range, the script waits for the price to reach and tap into pivot level level. Status: "⏸" - Inactive
2. Once pivot level is tapped into, the pivot status becomes activated and it waits for either liquidity side to be hit. Status: "▶" - Active
3. If the buyside liquidity is hit, the script adds to the count of successful buyside liquidity occurrences. Similarly, if the sellside is tapped, it records successful sellside liquidity occurrences.
4. Finally, the number of successful occurrences for each side is divided by the overall count individually to calculate the range probabilities.
Note: The calculations are performed independently for each directional range. A range is considered bearish if the previous breakout was through a sellside liquidity. Conversely, a range is considered bullish if the most recent breakout was through a buyside liquidity.
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What does the multi-timeframe functionality offer?
In the adjustable version of the orderflow indicator, you can incorporate up to 7 higher timeframe probabilities directly into the table.
This feature allows you to analyze the probabilities of buyside and sellside liquidity across multiple timeframes, without the need to manually switch between them.
By viewing these higher timeframe probabilities in one place, traders can spot larger market trends and refine their entries and exits with a better understanding of the overall market context.
This multi-timeframe functionality helps traders:
1. Simplify decision-making by offering a comprehensive view of multiple timeframes at once.
2. Identify confluence between timeframes, enhancing the confidence in trade setups.
3. Adapt strategies more effectively, as the higher timeframe pivot levels can be customized to meet individual preferences and goals.
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What are the multi-timeframe underlying calculations?
The script uses the same calculations (mentioned above) and uses security function to request the data such as price levels, bar time, probabilities and booleans from the user-input timeframe.
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How does the Indicator Identifies Positive Expected Values?
OrderFlow indicator instantly calculates whether a trade setup has the potential for positive expected value (EV) in the long run.
To determine a positive EV setup, the indicator uses the formula:
EV=(P(Win)×R(Win))−(P(Loss)×R(Loss))
where:
P(Win) is the probability of a winning trade.
R(Win) is the reward or return for a winning trade, determined by the current risk-to-reward ratio (RR).
P(Loss) is the probability of a losing trade.
R(Loss) is the loss incurred per losing trade, typically assumed to be -1.
By calculating these values based on historical data and the current trading setup, the indicator helps you understand whether your trade has a positive expected value over a large sample size.
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How can I know that the setup I'm going to trade with has a postive EV?
If the indicator detects that the adjusted pivot and buy/sell side probabilities have generated positive expected value (EV) in historical data, the risk-to-reward (RR) label within the range box will be colored blue and red .
If the setup does not produce positive EV, the RR label will appear gray.
This indicates that even the risk-to-reward ratio is greater than 1:1, the setup is not likely to yield a positive EV because, according to historical data, the number of losses outweighs the number of wins relative to the RR gain per winning trade.
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What is the confidence level in the indicator, and how is it determined?
The confidence level in the indicator reflects the reliability of the probabilities calculated based on historical data. It is determined by the sample size of the probabilities used in the calculations. A larger sample size generally increases the confidence level, indicating that the probabilities are more reliable and consistent with past performance.
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How does the confidence level affect the risk-to-reward (RR) label?
The confidence level (★) is visually represented alongside the probability label. A higher confidence level indicates that the probabilities used to determine the RR label are based on a larger and more reliable sample size.
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How can traders use the confidence level to make better trading decisions?
Traders can use the confidence level to gauge the reliability of the probabilities and expected value (EV) calculations provided by the indicator. A confidence level above 95% is considered statistically significant and indicates that the historical data supporting the probabilities is robust. This high confidence level suggests that the probabilities are reliable and that the indicator’s recommendations are more likely to be accurate.
In data science and statistics, a confidence level above 95% generally means that there is less than a 5% chance that the observed results are due to random variation. This threshold is widely accepted in research and industry as a marker of statistical significance. Studies such as those published in the Journal of Statistical Software and the American Statistical Association support this threshold, emphasizing that a confidence level above 95% provides a strong assurance of data reliability and validity.
Conversely, a confidence level below 95% indicates that the sample size may be insufficient and that the data might be less reliable . In such cases, traders should approach the indicator’s recommendations with caution and consider additional factors or further analysis before making trading decisions.
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How does the sample size affect the confidence level, and how does it relate to my TradingView plan?
The sample size for calculating the confidence level is directly influenced by the amount of historical data available on your charts. A larger sample size typically leads to more reliable probabilities and higher confidence levels.
Here’s how the TradingView plans affect your data access:
Essential Plan
The Essential Plan provides basic data access with a limited amount of historical data. This can lead to smaller sample sizes and lower confidence levels, which may weaken the robustness of your probability calculations. Suitable for casual traders who do not require extensive historical analysis.
Plus Plan
The Plus Plan offers more historical data than the Essential Plan, allowing for larger sample sizes and more accurate confidence levels. This enhancement improves the reliability of indicator calculations. This plan is ideal for more active traders looking to refine their strategies with better data.
Premium Plan
The Premium Plan grants access to extensive historical data, enabling the largest sample sizes and the highest confidence levels. This plan provides the most reliable data for accurate calculations, with up to 20,000 historical bars available for analysis. It is designed for serious traders who need comprehensive data for in-depth market analysis.
PRO+ Plans
The PRO+ Plans offer the most extensive historical data, allowing for the largest sample sizes and the highest confidence levels. These plans are tailored for professional traders who require advanced features and significant historical data to support their trading strategies effectively.
For many traders, the Premium Plan offers a good balance of affordability and sufficient sample size for accurate confidence levels.
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What is the HTF probability table and how does it work?
The HTF (Higher Time Frame) probability table is a feature that allows you to view buy and sellside probabilities and their status from timeframes higher than your current chart timeframe.
Here’s how it works:
Data Request : The table requests and retrieves data from user-defined higher timeframes (HTFs) that you select.
Probability Display: It displays the buy and sellside probabilities for each of these HTFs, providing insights into the likelihood of price movements based on higher timeframe data.
Detailed Tooltips: The table includes detailed tooltips for each timeframe, offering additional context and explanations to help you understand the data better.
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What do the different colors in the HTF probability table indicate?
The colors in the HTF probability table provide visual cues about the expected value (EV) of trading setups based on higher timeframe probabilities:
Blue: Suggests that entering a long position from the HTF user-defined pivot point, targeting buyside liquidity, is likely to result in a positive expected value (EV) based on historical data and sample size.
Red: Indicates that entering a short position from the HTF user-defined pivot point, targeting sellside liquidity, is likely to result in a positive expected value (EV) based on historical data and sample size.
Gray: Shows that neither long nor short trades from the HTF user-defined pivot point are expected to generate positive EV, suggesting that trading these setups may not be favorable.
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How to use the indicator effectively?
For Amateur Traders:
Start Simple: Begin by focusing on one timeframe at a time with the pivot level set to the default (50%). This helps you understand the basic functionality of the indicator.
Entry and Exit Strategy: Focus on entering trades at the pivot level while targeting the higher probability side for take profit and the lower probability side for stop loss.
Use simulation or paper trading to practice this strategy.
Adjustments: Once you have a solid understanding of how the indicator works, you can start adjusting the pivot level to other values that suit your strategy.
Ensure that the RR labels are colored (blue or red) to indicate positive EV setups before executing trades.
For Advanced Traders:
1. Select Higher Timeframe Bias: Choose a higher timeframe (HTF) as your main bias. Start with the default pivot level and ensure the confidence level is above 95% to validate the probabilities.
2. Align Lower Timeframes: Switch between lower timeframes to identify which ones align with your predefined HTF bias. This helps in synchronizing your trading decisions across different timeframes.
3. Set Entries with Current Pivot Level: Use the current pivot level for trade entries. Ensure the HTF status label is active, indicating that the probabilities are valid and in play.
4. Target HTF Liquidity Level: Aim for liquidity levels that correspond to the higher timeframe, as these levels are likely to offer better trading opportunities.
5. Adjust Pivot Levels: As you gain experience, adjust the pivot levels to further optimize your strategy for high EV. Fine-tune these levels based on the aggregated data from multiple timeframes.
6. Practice on Paper Trading: Test your strategies through paper trading to eliminate discretion and refine your approach without financial risk.
7. Focus on Trade Management: Ultimately, effective trade management is crucial. Concentrate on managing your trades well to ensure long-term success. By aiming for setups that produce positive EV, you can position yourself similarly to how a casino operates.
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🎲 Becoming the House (Gaining Edge Over the Market):
In American roulette, the house has a 5.26% edge due to the 0 and 00. This means that while players have a 47.37% chance of winning on even-money bets, the true odds are 50%. The discrepancy between the true odds and the payout ensures that, statistically, the casino will win over time.
From the Trader's Perspective: In trading, you gain an edge by focusing on setups with positive expected value (EV). If you have a 55.48% chance of winning with a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, your setup has a higher probability of profitability than the losing side. By consistently targeting such setups and managing your trades effectively, you create a statistical advantage, similar to the casino’s edge.
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🎰 Applying the Concept to Trading:
Just as casinos rely on their mathematical edge, you can achieve long-term success in trading by focusing on setups with positive EV. By ensuring that your probabilities and risk-to-reward (RR) ratios are in your favor, you create an edge similar to that of the house.
And by systematically targeting trades with favorable probabilities and managing your trades effectively, you improve your chances of profitability over the long run. Which is going to help you “become the house” in your trading, leveraging statistical advantages to enhance your overall performance.
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What makes this indicator original?
Real-Time Probability Calculations: The indicator provides real-time calculations of buy and sell probabilities based on historical data, allowing traders to assess the likelihood of positive expected value (EV) setups instantly.
Adjustable Pivot Levels: It features an adjustable pivot level that traders can modify according to their preferences, enhancing the flexibility to align with different trading strategies.
Multi-Timeframe Integration: The indicator supports up to 7 higher timeframes, displaying their probabilities and biases in a single view, which helps traders make informed decisions without switching timeframes.
Confidence Levels: It includes confidence levels based on sample sizes, offering insights into the reliability of the probabilities. Traders can gauge the strength of the data before making trades.
Dynamic EV Labels: The indicator provides color-coded EV labels that change based on the validity of the setup. Blue indicates positive EV in a long bias, red indicates positive EV in a short bias and gray signals caution, making it easier for traders to identify high-quality setups.
HTF Probability Table: The HTF probability table displays buy and sell probabilities from user-defined higher timeframes, helping traders integrate broader market context into their decision-making process.
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Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Statistical Anomaly IndicatorThe Statistical Anomaly Indicator is a sophisticated tool designed for traders to detect and highlight candles that significantly deviate from the expected price action based on statistical analysis. By leveraging historical price data, this indicator calculates an anticipated price range using a pricing model rooted in the mean and standard deviation of historical returns. When the actual price moves outside these statistical boundaries, the corresponding candles are marked on the chart, providing traders with unique insights into potential market anomalies.
Purpose and Unique Insights
The primary purpose of the Statistical Anomaly Indicator is to aid traders in identifying periods of abnormal price movements that may signify overbought or oversold conditions, potential reversals, or trend continuations. By highlighting these statistical outliers, the indicator offers:
Early Detection of Market Anomalies: Spot unusual price actions promptly.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Make more informed trading decisions by understanding when prices deviate from historical norms.
Versatility Across Markets: Applicable in various market contexts, whether trending or ranging.
This tool benefits both novice traders, by simplifying complex statistical concepts into visual cues, and experienced traders, by adding a quantitative edge to their analysis.
Methodology
Calculate the return of the period
return(t) = (close - close )/close
Calculate the mean of past returns within a specified window
mean = ta.sma(return , period)
Calculate the standard deviation of past returns within a specified window
stdev = ta.stdev(return , period)
Establish price upper and lower bound using the last close, mean and standard deviation
upper_bound = close * (1 + mean + stdev)
lower_bound = close * (1 + mean - stdev)
Mark the candles where the close price exceeds the established price range
close > upper_bound or close < lower_bound
Visual Presentation on the Chart
Color-Coded Triangles: The indicator places color-coded triangles below the bars of the candles that exceed the expected price range.
Green Triangles: Indicate a close above the upper bound (potential overbought condition).
Red Triangles: Indicate a close below the lower bound (potential oversold condition).
Immediate Recognition: These visual cues enable traders to quickly identify statistical anomalies without sifting through numerical data.
Practical Applications for Traders
Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Recognize when the asset price may have moved too far in one direction and could be due for a correction.
Spotting Potential Reversals: Use deviations as early signals of possible market reversals.
Confirming Trend Continuations: In strong trends, deviations might indicate momentum is continuing rather than reversing.
Identifying historical trends in the price action.
Combining with Other Tools and Analysis
To maximize the effectiveness of the Statistical Anomaly Indicator:
Pair with the Mean and Standard Deviation Lines Indicator:
Provides additional context by displaying the mean and standard deviation levels directly on the chart.
Use in Conjunction with Fundamental Analysis:
Validate whether statistical anomalies are supported by underlying economic factors or news events.
Integrate with Other Technical Indicators.
Limitations and Caveats
Not a Standalone Tool: Should not be used in isolation; always consider the broader market context.
Statistical Assumptions: Based on historical data; past performance does not guarantee future results.
False Signals: Like all indicators, it may generate false positives, especially in highly volatile or low-volume markets which is why context is needed to interpret the signals.
Parameter Selection: The chosen period for calculating mean and standard deviation can significantly affect the indicator's sensitivity.
Conclusion
The Statistical Anomaly Indicator offers a quantitative approach to identifying unusual price movements in the market. By transforming complex statistical data into simple visual signals, it empowers traders to make more informed decisions. Whether you're a novice trader seeking to understand market dynamics or an experienced trader looking to refine your strategy, this indicator provides practical benefits. Remember to integrate it with fundamental analysis and other technical tools to validate signals and enhance your trading decisions.
FED and ECB Interest RatesFED and ECB Interest Rates Indicator
This indicator provides a clear visual representation of the Federal Reserve (FED) and European Central Bank (ECB) interest rates, offering traders and analysts a quick way to track these crucial economic metrics.
• Displays both FED (red) and ECB (blue) interest rates on a single chart
• Shows rates in basis points in the status line for precise reading
• Uses daily data for up-to-date rate information
• Features robust error handling for consistent performance
How It Works:
• Fetches FED rate from FRED and ECB rate from ECONOMICS database
• Plots rates as percentage values on the chart
• Displays rates in basis points when hovering over the chart
Use Cases:
• Monitor central bank policies and their potential impact on markets
• Compare FED and ECB rate trends over time
• Analyze correlation between interest rates and asset prices
• Assist in fundamental analysis for forex, equities, and fixed income trading
Note:
This indicator is for informational purposes only. Always combine this data with other forms of analysis and stay informed about central bank announcements and economic events.
Enhance your trading strategy with real-time insights into two of the world's most influential interest rates!
[BRAIN] Absolute Volatility of Price
Hello traders!
Today I want to share with you a series of scripts and strategies that I developed a few years ago. This is one of my first works, born from the curiosity of seeing a candlestick representation in a different way, without considering the price movement along the y-axis.
Imagine observing the price movement in dollars and percentages, always starting from the same reference point: the 0 axis. This approach can offer new insights and ideas on how and how much prices move.
To explain it better, the open of each candle does not start from the previous close negotiations but always starts from the 0 axis . In this way, it is possible to clearly compare the bodies of the candles with each other.
Script Visualization Methods and Input
- Study Normal: Simply reports the prices, including the negative ones of the red candles, on the same scale in absolute terms (ABS), as shown in the first indicator above.
- Study Normal Neg: In this version, the red candles vary negatively below zero, instead of in absolute terms above zero, as shown in the second indicator above.
- Study Perc: Similar to "Study Normal" but uses percentage values instead of dollars, useful for very low timeframes and low variations with many decimals, such as 1 minute on EUR/USD.
- Study Perc Neg: Similar to "Study Normal Neg" but uses percentage values.
Additionally, I have added the possibility to display or not, through two buttons, an average of the candle bodies adjustable in length via input and the range of each candle, always correlated in dollars or percentages, as per the main study setting.
I hope this work can be useful to many of you. I invite you to like if you appreciate my scripts and want to see more like these. Do not hesitate to comment or contact me for any doubts or questions.
PS: If you notice that in the script the sum of the percentage values between the shadow and the body of the candle does not correspond to the range, it is only a rounding issue. Change the precision setting to a lower value and you will see that the rounding disappears.
PS: In the script, to better visualize the percentage growth and decline of the instrument on very high timeframes, I decided to represent it as follows:
- If close ≥ open: (high - low) / low * 100
- If close < open: (high - low) / high * 100
The same method is also applied for calculating the percentage variations of the shadows relative to themselves.
I hope you like this version! If you need any further modifications or adjustments, let me know. Good luck with your project!
(In the photos below I show 3 versions of the indicator open on 3 different tickers as an example: from top to bottom in the 3 indicators are set these Study: Study Normal, Study Perc and Study Perc Neg)
Currency Futures StatisticsThe "Currency Futures Statistics" indicator provides comprehensive insights into the performance and characteristics of various currency futures. This indicator is crucial for portfolio management as it combines multiple metrics that are instrumental in evaluating currency futures' risk and return profiles.
Metrics Included:
Historical Volatility:
Definition: Historical volatility measures the standard deviation of returns over a specified period, scaled to an annual basis.
Importance: High volatility indicates greater price fluctuations, which translates to higher risk. Investors and portfolio managers use volatility to gauge the stability of a currency future and to make informed decisions about risk management and position sizing (Hull, J. C. (2017). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives).
Open Interest:
Definition: Open interest represents the total number of outstanding futures contracts that are held by market participants.
Importance: High open interest often signifies liquidity in the market, meaning that entering and exiting positions is less likely to impact the price significantly. It also reflects market sentiment and the degree of participation in the futures market (Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities).
Year-over-Year (YoY) Performance:
Definition: YoY performance calculates the percentage change in the futures contract's price compared to the same week from the previous year.
Importance: This metric provides insight into the long-term trend and relative performance of a currency future. Positive YoY performance suggests strengthening trends, while negative values indicate weakening trends (Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets: II).
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) Position:
Definition: This metric indicates whether the current price of the currency future is above or below its 200-day simple moving average.
Importance: The 200-day SMA is a widely used trend indicator. If the price is above the SMA, it suggests a bullish trend, while being below indicates a bearish trend. This information is vital for trend-following strategies and can help in making buy or sell decisions (Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands).
Why These Metrics are Important for Portfolio Management:
Risk Assessment: Historical volatility and open interest provide essential information for assessing the risk associated with currency futures. Understanding the volatility helps in estimating potential price swings, which is crucial for managing risk and setting appropriate stop-loss levels.
Liquidity and Market Participation: Open interest is a critical indicator of market liquidity. Higher open interest usually means tighter bid-ask spreads and better liquidity, which facilitates smoother trading and better execution of trades.
Trend Analysis: YoY performance and the SMA position help in analyzing long-term trends. This analysis is crucial for making strategic investment decisions and adjusting the portfolio based on changing market conditions.
Informed Decision-Making: Combining these metrics allows for a holistic view of the currency futures market. This comprehensive view helps in making informed decisions, balancing risks and returns, and optimizing the portfolio to align with investment goals.
In summary, the "Currency Futures Statistics" indicator equips investors and portfolio managers with valuable data points that are essential for effective risk management, liquidity assessment, trend analysis, and overall portfolio optimization.
Larry Conners Vix Reversal II Strategy (approx.)This Pine Script™ strategy is a modified version of the original Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy, designed for short-term trading in market indices like the S&P 500. The strategy utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the VIX (Volatility Index) to identify potential overbought or oversold market conditions. The logic is based on the assumption that extreme levels of market volatility often precede reversals in price.
How the Strategy Works
The strategy calculates the RSI of the VIX using a 25-period lookback window. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is often used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in assets.
Overbought Signal: When the RSI of the VIX rises above 61, it signals a potential overbought condition in the market. The strategy looks for a RSI downtick (i.e., when RSI starts to fall after reaching this level) as a trigger to enter a long position.
Oversold Signal: Conversely, when the RSI of the VIX drops below 42, the market is considered oversold. A RSI uptick (i.e., when RSI starts to rise after hitting this level) serves as a signal to enter a short position.
The strategy holds the position for a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 12 days, after which it exits automatically.
Larry Connors: Background
Larry Connors is a prominent figure in quantitative trading, specializing in short-term market strategies. He is the co-author of several influential books on trading, such as Street Smarts (1995), co-written with Linda Raschke, and How Markets Really Work. Connors' work focuses on developing rules-based systems using volatility indicators like the VIX and oscillators such as RSI to exploit mean-reversion patterns in financial markets.
Risks of the Strategy
While the Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy can capture reversals in volatile market environments, it also carries significant risks:
Over-Optimization: This modified version adjusts RSI levels and holding periods to fit recent market data. If market conditions change, the strategy might no longer be effective, leading to false signals.
Drawdowns in Trending Markets: This is a mean-reversion strategy, designed to profit when markets return to a previous mean. However, in strongly trending markets, especially during extended bull or bear phases, the strategy might generate losses due to early entries or exits.
Volatility Risk: Since this strategy is linked to the VIX, an instrument that reflects market volatility, large spikes in volatility can lead to unexpected, fast-moving market conditions, potentially leading to larger-than-expected losses.
Scientific Literature and Supporting Research
The use of RSI and VIX in trading strategies has been widely discussed in academic research. RSI is one of the most studied momentum oscillators, and numerous studies show that it can capture mean-reversion effects in various markets, including equities and derivatives.
Wong et al. (2003) investigated the effectiveness of technical trading rules such as RSI, finding that it has predictive power in certain market conditions, particularly in mean-reverting markets .
The VIX, often referred to as the “fear index,” reflects market expectations of volatility and has been a focal point in research exploring volatility-based strategies. Whaley (2000) extensively reviewed the predictive power of VIX, noting that extreme VIX readings often correlate with turning points in the stock market .
Modified Version of Original Strategy
This script is a modified version of Larry Connors' original VIX Reversal II strategy. The key differences include:
Adjusted RSI period to 25 (instead of 2 or 4 commonly used in Connors’ other work).
Overbought and oversold levels modified to 61 and 42, respectively.
Specific holding period (7 to 12 days) is predefined to reduce holding risk.
These modifications aim to adapt the strategy to different market environments, potentially enhancing performance under specific volatility conditions. However, as with any system, constant evaluation and testing in live markets are crucial.
References
Wong, W. K., Manzur, M., & Chew, B. K. (2003). How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), 543-551.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
STRX - Macro TimesSTRX - Macro Times
The STRX - Macro Times is an advanced indicator designed to highlight key moments in financial markets based on specific macroeconomic time frames for Forex, Indices, and Gold. With this tool, you can optimize your trading decisions by monitoring periods of increased volatility and activity in the markets, leveraging the most strategic time windows to operate.
Key Features:
Highlighting Forex, Indices, and Gold Sessions:
The STRX - Macro Times automatically colors the candles on the chart during crucial time intervals for Forex, Indices, and Gold markets, helping you easily spot periods of heightened economic and financial activity. This allows you to focus on times when the market is most liquid and volatile, enhancing your trading performance.
Pre-set Macro Times:
The indicator is programmed to highlight three different key time windows for each market:
Forex: Major sessions from 8:30 to 10:00, 12:00 to 13:00, and 15:00 to 15:30.
Indices: Key times from 9:00 to 10:00, 15:45 to 16:15, and 19:00 to 20:00.
Gold: Strategic moments from 8:30 to 10:00, 14:30 to 16:00, and 20:00 to 21:30.
Total Customization:
You can enable or disable the coloring for different markets (Forex, Indices, Gold) based on your trading preferences. This allows you to focus only on the markets you follow, simplifying chart analysis and optimizing your response time to market changes.
Clear and Intuitive Visual Coloring:
The chart bars are colored in white, creating a clear visual distinction to recognize the most relevant time windows. This makes it easy to identify macroeconomic periods without wasting time manually calculating opportunity windows.
With STRX - Macro Times, you’ll have a strategic advantage in trading by focusing on periods of high volatility and improving the efficiency of your operations in the most active markets. This indicator is perfect for those looking to enhance their strategy and operate in sync with the key moments of the global market.
Global Liquidity Index and DEMA1001. Global Liquidity Index:
The code calculates global liquidity from economic data from multiple countries and regions. Specifically, it aggregates money supply data from major economies such as the United States, Europe, China, and Japan, and sums and adjusts them to get a global liquidity index.
This index is calculated by summing data from different sources and subtracting the impact of some financial instruments (such as reverse repurchase agreements, etc.), and then converting the result into a number in trillions. This can help analyze the liquidity conditions in global money markets.
2. ROC SMA (Simple Moving Average of Rate of Change):
The code calculates the rate of change (ROC) of the global liquidity index, which is a way to measure the speed of change of the index.
Then, a simple moving average (SMA) is applied to the rate of change, which helps smooth the data and identify trends.
The ROC SMA curve is displayed in yellow to help users observe the trend of liquidity changes.
3. DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average):
DEMA is a more complex moving average that attempts to reduce the lag of the moving average and provide a more sensitive trend response.
The calculation method is to first calculate a standard exponential moving average (EMA), then calculate the EMA of this EMA, and use these two results to calculate DEMA.
The code allows users to set the period length of DEMA (default is 100), which can adjust the speed of DEMA's response to price changes.
The DEMA curve is displayed in blue, helping users to more accurately capture the trends and changes of global liquidity indicators.
Korean Exchange Relative Volume BarchartKorean Exchange Relative Volume Barchart
The Korean Exchange Relative Volume Barchart indicator compares the trading volume of a cryptocurrency on any symbol with the combined volumes of major Korean exchanges, Upbit and Bithumb. This tool helps traders understand regional trading activities, offering insights into market sentiment influenced by Korean markets.
For example 0.5 would indicate that the Korean exchanges are doing 50% of the volume of the selected symbol.
Features:
Exchange Selection: Include or exclude Upbit and Bithumb in the comparison.
Automatic Symbol Mapping: Automatically maps the current chart's symbol to equivalent symbols on Upbit and Bithumb.
Stacked Bar Chart Visualization: Plots a stacked bar chart showing the relative volume contributions of Binance, Upbit, and Bithumb.
Usage:
Add the Indicator: Apply it to a cryptocurrency chart on TradingView.
Configure Settings: Toggle inclusion of Upbit and Bithumb in the settings.
Interpret the Chart: The stacked bar chart displays the proportion of trading volumes from each exchange.
Notes:
Symbol Compatibility: Ensure the cryptocurrency is listed on the Korean exchanges for accurate comparison.
Data Accuracy: Volumes are compared in the same base currency (e.g., BTC), so no exchange rate conversion is necessary.
Enhance your trading analysis by understanding the influence of Korean exchanges on cryptocurrency volumes with the Korean Exchange Volume Comparison indicator.
VIX Composite MeterThe VIX Composite Meter is a custom trading indicator designed to help identify potential buy and sell signals based on market volatility, specifically through VIX options. The VIX, also known as the "fear gauge," measures market expectations of future volatility. This meter combines several factors — the VIX-to-SPX ratio, moving average deviation, Z-score, and momentum oscillators — to create a single, easy-to-read score that guides trading decisions.
How It Works
Composite Score: The meter calculates a composite score that ranges from 0 to 1 by weighing four metrics:
VIX/SPX Ratio: Indicates relative volatility compared to the S&P 500.
Moving Average Deviation: Shows how far the VIX is from its typical range.
Z-Score: Measures how extreme the current VIX value is relative to its historical average.
Momentum Oscillator (RSI): Helps identify overbought or oversold conditions in the VIX.
Color-Coded Signals:
Green Background: If the score drops below 0.3, the meter suggests buying VIX calls, indicating a low-volatility environment with potential for increase.
Red Background: If the score rises above 0.7, the meter suggests buying VIX puts, indicating a high-volatility environment likely to decrease.
Use Cases
Buy VIX Calls: When the meter turns green, signaling potential future volatility spikes.
Buy VIX Puts: When the meter turns red, suggesting current high volatility is expected to revert lower.
By using the VIX Composite Meter, traders can better time their entries and exits in VIX options, aligning with market conditions for potential profits in periods of changing volatility.
buysellsignal-yashgode9The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator utilizes a signal library to generate buy and sell signals based on price action, allowing traders to make informed decisions in their trading strategies.
Overview of the Indicator
The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator is a technical analysis tool that identifies potential buying and selling points in the market. It does this by leveraging a signal library imported from `yashgode9/signalLib/2`, which contains predefined algorithms for analyzing market trends based on specified parameters.
Key Features
1.Input Parameters: The indicator allows users to customize several parameters:
- Depth: Determines the number of bars to look back for price analysis (default is 150).
- Deviation: Sets the threshold for price movement (default is 120).
- Backstep: Defines how many bars to step back when evaluating signals (default is 100).
- Label Transparency: Adjusts the transparency of labels displayed on the chart.
- Color Customization: Users can specify colors for buy and sell signals.
2.Signal Generation: The core functionality is driven by the `signalLib.signalLib` function, which analyzes the low and high prices over the specified depth and deviation. It returns a direction indicator along with price points (`zee1` and `zee2`) that are used to determine whether to issue a buy or sell signal.
3. Labeling and Visualization:
- The indicator creates labels on the chart to indicate buy and sell points based on the direction of the signal.
- Labels are color-coded according to user-defined settings, enhancing visual clarity.
- The indicator also manages the deletion of previous labels and lines to avoid clutter on the chart.
4. Repainting Logic: The script includes a repainting option, allowing it to update signals in real-time as new price data comes in. This can be beneficial for traders who want to see the most current signals but may also lead to misleading signals if not used cautiously.
Conclusion:-
The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator is a versatile tool for traders looking to enhance their decision-making process by identifying key market entry and exit points. By allowing customization of parameters and colors, it caters to individual trading preferences while providing clear visual signals based on price action analysis. This indicator is particularly useful for those who rely on technical analysis in their trading strategies, as it combines automated signal generation with user-friendly visual cues.
Benefits and Applications:
1.Intraday Trading: The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator is particularly well-suited for intraday trading, as it provides accurate and timely buy and sell signals based on the current market dynamics.
2.Trend-following Strategies: Traders who employ trend-following strategies can leverage the indicator's ability to identify the overall market direction, allowing them to align their trades with the dominant trend.
3.Swing Trading: The dynamic price tracking and signal generation capabilities of the indicator can be beneficial for swing traders, who aim to capture medium-term price movements.
Security Measures:
1. The code includes a security notice at the beginning, indicating that it is subject to the Mozilla Public License 2.0, which is a reputable open-source license.
2. The code does not appear to contain any obvious security vulnerabilities or malicious content that could compromise user data or accounts.
NOTE:- This indicator is provided under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and is subject to its terms and conditions.
Disclaimer: The usage of "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator might or might not contribute to your trading capital(money) profits and losses and the author is not responsible for the same.
IMPORTANT NOTICE:
While the indicator aims to provide reliable buy and sell signals, it is crucial to understand that the market can be influenced by unpredictable events, such as natural disasters, political unrest, changes in monetary policies, or economic crises. These unforeseen situations may occasionally lead to false signals generated by the "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator.
Users should exercise caution and diligence when relying on the indicator's signals, as the market's behavior can be unpredictable, and external factors may impact the accuracy of the signals. It is recommended to thoroughly backtest the indicator's performance in various market conditions and to use it as one of the many tools in a comprehensive trading strategy, rather than solely relying on its output.
Ultimately, the success of the "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator will depend on the user's ability to adapt it to their specific trading style, market conditions, and risk management approach. Continuous monitoring, analysis, and adjustment of the indicator's settings may be necessary to maintain its effectiveness in the ever-evolving financial markets.
Author:- yashgode9
PineScript-version:- 5
This indicator aims to enhance trading decision-making by combining DEPTH, DEVIATION, BACKSTEP with custom signal generation, offering a comprehensive tool for traders seeking clear buy and sell signals on the TradingView platform.
Stationarity Test: Dickey-Fuller & KPSS [Pinescriptlabs]
📊 Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin Model Indicator & Dickey-Fuller Test 📈
This algorithm performs two statistical tests on the price spread between two selected instruments: the first from the current chart and the second determined in the settings. The purpose is to determine if their relationship is stationary. It then uses this information to generate **visual signals** based on how far the current relationship deviates from its historical average.
⚙️ Key Components:
• 🧪 ADF Test (Augmented Dickey-Fuller):** Checks if the spread between the two instruments is stationary.
• 🔬 KPSS Test (Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin):** Another test for stationarity, complementing the ADF test.
• 📏 Z-Score Calculation:** Measures how many standard deviations the current spread is from its historical mean.
• 📊 Dynamic Threshold:** Adjusts the trading signal threshold based on recent market volatility.
🔍 What the Values Mean:
The indicator displays several key values in a table:
• 📈 ADF Stationarity:** Shows "Stationary" or "Non-Stationary" based on the ADF test result.
• 📉 KPSS Stationarity:** Shows "Stationary" or "Non-Stationary" based on the KPSS test result.
• 📏 Current Z-Score:** The current Z-score of the spread.
• 🔗 Hedge Ratio:** The relationship coefficient between the two instruments.
• 🌐 Market State:** Describes the current market condition based on the Z-score.
📊 How to Interpret the Chart:
• The main chart displays the Z-score of the spread over time.
• The green and red lines represent the upper and lower thresholds for trading signals.
• The area between the **Z-score** and the thresholds is filled when a trading signal is active.
• Additional charts show the **statistics of the ADF and KPSS tests** and their critical values.
**📉 Practical Example: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)**
Looking at the chart for **NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)**, we can see how the indicator applies in a real case:
1. **Main Chart (Top):**
• Shows the **historical price** of NVIDIA on a weekly scale.
• A general **uptrend** is observed with periods of consolidation.
2. **KPSS & ADF Indicator (Bottom):**
• The lower chart shows the KPSS & ADF Model indicator applied to NVIDIA.
• The **green line** represents the Z-score of the spread.
• The **green shaded areas** indicate periods where the Z-score exceeded the thresholds, generating trading signals.
3. **📋 Current Values in the Table:**
• **ADF Stationarity:** Non-Stationary
• **KPSS Stationarity:** Non-Stationary
• **Current Z-Score:** 3.45
• **Hedge Ratio:** -164.8557
• **Market State:** Moderate Volatility
4. **🔍 Interpretation:**
• A Z-score of **3.45** suggests that NVIDIA’s price is significantly above its historical average relative to **EURUSD**.
• Both the **ADF** and **KPSS** tests indicate **non-stationarity**, suggesting **caution** when using mean reversion signals at this moment.
• The market state "Moderate Volatility" indicates noticeable deviation, but not extreme.
---
**💡 Usage:**
• **When Both Tests Show Stationarity:**
• **🔼 If Z-score > Upper Threshold:** Consider **buying the first instrument** and **selling the second**.
• **🔽 If Z-score < Lower Threshold:** Consider **selling the first instrument** and **buying the second**.
• **When Either Test Shows Non-Stationarity:**
• Wait for the relationship to become **stationary** before trading.
• **Market State:**
• Use this information to evaluate **general market conditions** and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
**Mirror Comparison of the Same as Symbol 2 🔄📊**
**📊 Table Values:**
• **Extreme Volatility Threshold:** This value is displayed when the **Z-score** exceeds **100%**, indicating **extreme deviation**. It signals a potential **trading opportunity**, as the spread has reached unusually high or low levels, suggesting a **reversion or correction** in the market.
• **Mean Reversion Threshold:** Appears when the **Z-score** begins returning towards the mean after a period of **high or extreme volatility**. It indicates that the spread between the assets is returning to normal levels, suggesting a phase of **stabilization**.
• **Neutral Zone:** Displayed when the **Z-score** is near **zero**, signaling that the spread between assets is within expected limits. This indicates a **balanced market** with no significant volatility or clear trading opportunities.
• **Low Volatility Threshold:** Appears when the **Z-score** is below **70%** of the dynamic threshold, reflecting a period of **low volatility** and market stability, indicating fewer trading opportunities.
Español:
📊 Indicador del Modelo Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin & Prueba de Dickey-Fuller 📈
Este algoritmo realiza dos pruebas estadísticas sobre la diferencia de precios (spread) entre dos instrumentos seleccionados: el primero en el gráfico actual y el segundo determinado en la configuración. El objetivo es determinar si su relación es estacionaria. Luego utiliza esta información para generar señales visuales basadas en cuánto se desvía la relación actual de su promedio histórico.
⚙️ Componentes Clave:
• 🧪 Prueba ADF (Dickey-Fuller Aumentada): Verifica si el spread entre los dos instrumentos es estacionario.
• 🔬 Prueba KPSS (Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin): Otra prueba para la estacionariedad, complementando la prueba ADF.
• 📏 Cálculo del Z-Score: Mide cuántas desviaciones estándar se encuentra el spread actual de su media histórica.
• 📊 Umbral Dinámico: Ajusta el umbral de la señal de trading en función de la volatilidad reciente del mercado.
🔍 Qué Significan los Valores:
El indicador muestra varios valores clave en una tabla:
• 📈 Estacionariedad ADF: Muestra "Estacionario" o "No Estacionario" basado en el resultado de la prueba ADF.
• 📉 Estacionariedad KPSS: Muestra "Estacionario" o "No Estacionario" basado en el resultado de la prueba KPSS.
• 📏 Z-Score Actual: El Z-score actual del spread.
• 🔗 Ratio de Cobertura: El coeficiente de relación entre los dos instrumentos.
• 🌐 Estado del Mercado: Describe la condición actual del mercado basado en el Z-score.
📊 Cómo Interpretar el Gráfico:
• El gráfico principal muestra el Z-score del spread a lo largo del tiempo.
• Las líneas verdes y rojas representan los umbrales superior e inferior para las señales de trading.
• El área entre el Z-score y los umbrales se llena cuando una señal de trading está activa.
• Los gráficos adicionales muestran las estadísticas de las pruebas ADF y KPSS y sus valores críticos.
📉 Ejemplo Práctico: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
Observando el gráfico para NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), podemos ver cómo se aplica el indicador en un caso real:
Gráfico Principal (Superior): • Muestra el precio histórico de NVIDIA en escala semanal. • Se observa una tendencia alcista general con períodos de consolidación.
Indicador KPSS & ADF (Inferior): • El gráfico inferior muestra el indicador Modelo KPSS & ADF aplicado a NVIDIA. • La línea verde representa el Z-score del spread. • Las áreas sombreadas en verde indican períodos donde el Z-score superó los umbrales, generando señales de trading.
📋 Valores Actuales en la Tabla: • Estacionariedad ADF: No Estacionario • Estacionariedad KPSS: No Estacionario • Z-Score Actual: 3.45 • Ratio de Cobertura: -164.8557 • Estado del Mercado: Volatilidad Moderada
🔍 Interpretación: • Un Z-score de 3.45 sugiere que el precio de NVIDIA está significativamente por encima de su promedio histórico en relación con EURUSD. • Tanto la prueba ADF como la KPSS indican no estacionariedad, lo que sugiere precaución al usar señales de reversión a la media en este momento. • El estado del mercado "Volatilidad Moderada" indica una desviación notable, pero no extrema.
💡 Uso:
• Cuando Ambas Pruebas Muestran Estacionariedad:
• 🔼 Si Z-score > Umbral Superior: Considera comprar el primer instrumento y vender el segundo.
• 🔽 Si Z-score < Umbral Inferior: Considera vender el primer instrumento y comprar el segundo.
• Cuando Alguna Prueba Muestra No Estacionariedad:
• Espera a que la relación se vuelva estacionaria antes de operar.
• Estado del Mercado:
• Usa esta información para evaluar las condiciones generales del mercado y ajustar tu estrategia de trading en consecuencia.
Comparativo en Espejo del Mismo Como Símbolo 2 🔄📊
📊 Valores de la Tabla:
• Umbral de Volatilidad Extrema: Este valor se muestra cuando el Z-score supera el 100%, indicando desviación extrema. Señala una posible oportunidad de trading, ya que el spread entre los activos ha alcanzado niveles inusualmente altos o bajos, lo que podría indicar una reversión o corrección en el mercado.
• Umbral de Reversión a la Media: Aparece cuando el Z-score comienza a volver hacia la media tras un período de alta o extrema volatilidad. Indica que el spread entre los activos está regresando a niveles normales, sugiriendo una fase de estabilización.
• Zona Neutral: Se muestra cuando el Z-score está cerca de cero, señalando que el spread entre activos está dentro de lo esperado. Esto indica un mercado equilibrado con ninguna volatilidad significativa ni oportunidades claras de trading.
• Umbral de Baja Volatilidad: Aparece cuando el Z-score está por debajo del 70% del umbral dinámico, reflejando un período de baja volatilidad y estabilidad del mercado, indicando menos oportunidades de trading.
Correlation with AveragesThe "Correlation with Averages" indicator is designed to visualize and analyze the correlation between a selected asset's price and a base symbol's price, such as the S&P 500 (SPY). This indicator allows users to evaluate how closely an asset’s price movements align with those of the base symbol over various time periods, providing insights into market trends and potential portfolio adjustments.
Key Features:
Base Symbol and Correlation Period:
Users can specify the base symbol (default is SPY) and the period for correlation measurement (default is 252 trading days, approximating one year).
Correlation Calculation:
The indicator computes the correlation between the asset’s closing price and the base symbol’s closing price for the defined period.
Visualization:
The correlation value is plotted on the chart, with conditional background colors indicating the strength and direction of the correlation:
Red for negative correlation (below -0.5)
Green for positive correlation (above 0.5)
Yellow for neutral correlation (between -0.5 and 0.5)
Average Correlation Over Time:
Average correlations are calculated and displayed for various periods: one week, one month, one year, and five years.
A table on the chart provides dynamic updates of these average values with color-coded backgrounds to indicate correlation strength.
The Role of Correlation in Portfolio Management
Correlation is a crucial concept in portfolio management because it measures the degree to which two securities move in relation to each other. Understanding correlation helps investors construct diversified portfolios that balance risk and return. Here's why correlation is important:
Diversification:
By including assets with low or negative correlation in a portfolio, investors can reduce overall portfolio volatility and risk. For instance, if one asset is negatively correlated with another, when one performs poorly, the other may perform well, thus smoothing the overall returns.
Risk Management:
Correlation analysis helps in identifying the potential impact of one asset’s performance on the entire portfolio. Assets with high correlation can lead to concentrated risk, while those with low correlation offer better risk management.
Performance Analysis:
Correlation measures the degree to which asset returns move together. This can inform strategic decisions, such as whether to adjust positions based on expected market conditions.
Scientific References
Markowitz, H. M. (1952). "Portfolio Selection." Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
This foundational paper introduced Modern Portfolio Theory, highlighting the importance of diversification and correlation in reducing portfolio risk.
Jorion, P. (2007). Financial Risk Manager Handbook. Wiley.
This handbook provides an in-depth exploration of risk management techniques, including the use of correlation in portfolio management.
Elton, E. J., Gruber, M. J., Brown, S. J., & Goetzmann, W. N. (2014). Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis. Wiley.
This book elaborates on the concepts of correlation and diversification, offering practical insights into portfolio construction and risk management.
By utilizing the "Correlation with Averages" indicator, traders and portfolio managers can make informed decisions based on the relationship between asset prices and the base symbol, ultimately enhancing their investment strategies.
FXN1 COT Net Positions + OscillatorThe FXN1 COT Net Positions Oscillator is a versatile tool designed for traders to analyze Commitment of Traders (COT) data with both raw net positions and oscillator-style visualization. This script allows users to visualize the net positions of Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retailers Small Speculators to identify potential market turning points or trends based on the positioning of different market participants.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Time Frame:
The script allows users to select the number of months (6 months, 12 months, 18 months, or 24 months) for calculating the COT net positions. This flexibility helps in analyzing longer or shorter-term trends in the market.
2. Oscillator and Raw Net Positions View:
- Users can choose to view the net positions as a normalized oscillator (scaled between 0 and 100) or as raw net positions. The oscillator view helps to identify overbought and oversold conditions, while the raw view provides direct insights into the net positioning of each group.
- The oscillator is created using a stochastic-like normalization, where the net position is plotted relative to its high/low over the selected time period.
3. Toggle Between Oscillator and Raw Data:
- A simple input toggle allows users to switch between the oscillator and raw net positions view with ease.
- In oscillator mode, overbought and oversold levels are displayed to help identify potential reversal points in the market.
4. Clear Visualization:
- Commercials Net: Shown in blue, representing the positions of commercial traders (hedgers).
- Large Speculators Net: Shown in red, indicating the positions of large institutional traders (fund managers).
- Retailers Small Speculators Net: Shown in yellow, representing the positions of small retail traders.
- Overbought and oversold levels in oscillator mode are customizable, allowing for more flexible trading signals.
5. Overbought and Oversold Levels:
- In oscillator mode, the script includes customizable overbought and oversold levels, making it easier to spot extreme conditions that may signal a market reversal.
- These levels are hidden when the raw net position view is active, offering a clean and clear visualization.
6. Works Across Multiple Markets:
The script is designed to work with a wide variety of futures markets, adapting to different symbols with automatic COT data adjustments based on the root symbol.
How It Works:
COT Data Sources: The script pulls commercial, large speculator, and small speculator data from the Legacy COT report.
Net Positions: It calculates the net long positions by subtracting the short positions from the long positions for each group.
Oscillator Mode: The net positions are normalized to oscillate between 0 and 100, where 100 represents the most extreme net long position and 0 represents the most extreme net short position over the selected time period.
Raw Mode: The net positions are plotted directly, providing the actual number of net positions held by each group without normalization.
Use Cases:
Trend Identification: Analyze the positioning of commercial traders (hedgers) vs. large speculators (fund managers) and retail traders to identify potential trend reversals or continuations.
Reversal Signals: In oscillator mode, overbought and oversold conditions can provide potential signals for market reversals.
Sentiment Analysis: Gauge market sentiment by comparing the positions of different market participants and using the insights to build contrarian strategies or confirm trend-following strategies.
Parameters:
Number of Months: Choose between 6, 12, 18, and 24 months for the calculation period.
Overbought Level: Customizable level to define when the market may be considered overbought in oscillator mode (default: 80).
Oversold Level: Customizable level to define when the market may be considered oversold in oscillator mode (default: 20).
Show Net Positions as Oscillator: Toggle to switch between raw net positions and oscillator view.
This script is a powerful tool for traders who want to incorporate COT data into their analysis in a more flexible and customizable way. Whether you're a swing trader looking for reversal points or a trend follower analyzing market sentiment, the FXN1 COT Net Positions Oscillator provides deep insights into the behavior of different market participants.
Bull/Bear Ratio By Month Table [MsF]Japanese below / 日本語説明は英文の後にあります。
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This is an indicator that shows monthly bull-bear ratio in a table.
By specifying the start year and end year, the ratio will be calculated and showed based on the number of bullish and bearish lines in the monthly bar. It allows you to analyze the trend of each symbol and month (bullish / bearish). Up to 10 symbols can be specified.
You can take monthly bull-bear ratio for the past 10 or 20 years on the web, but with this indicator, you can narrow it down to the period in which you want to see the symbols you want to see. It is very convenient because you can take statistics at will.
Furthermore, if the specified ratio is exceeded, the font color can be changed to any color, making it very easy to read.
=== Parameter description ===
- From … Year of start of aggregation
- To … Year of end of aggregation
- Row Background Color … Row title background color
- Col Background Color … Column title background color
- Base Text Color … Text color
- Background Color … Background Color
- Border Color … Border Color
- Location … Location
- Text Size … Text Size
- Highlight Threshold … Ratio threshold, and color
- Display in counter? … Check if you want to show the number of times instead of the ratio
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月別陰陽確率をテーブル表示するインジケータです。
開始年から終了年を指定することで、月足における陽線数および陰線数を元に確率を計算して表示します。
この機能により各シンボルおよび各月の特徴(買われやすい/売られやすい)を認識することができアノマリー分析が可能です。
シンボルは10個まで指定可能です。
過去10年、20年の月別陰陽確率は、Web上でよく見かけますが、このインジケータでは見たいシンボルを見たい期間に絞って、
自由自在に統計を取ることができるため大変便利です。
なお、指定した確率を上回った場合、文字色を任意の色に変更することができるため、大変見やすくなっています。
=== パラメータの説明 ===
- From … 集計開始年
- To … 集計終了年
- Row Background Color … 行タイトルの背景色
- Col Background Color … 列タイトルの背景色
- Base Text Color … テキストカラー
- Background Color … 背景色
- Border Color … 区切り線の色
- Location … 配置
- Text Size … テキストサイズ
- Highlight Threshold … 色変更する確率の閾値、および色
- Display in counter? … 確率ではなく回数表示する場合はチェックする
Smoothed Wma Z-score | viResearchSmoothed Wma Z-score | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "Smoothed Wma Z-score" indicator from viResearch integrates the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) with Z-score analysis, providing traders with a precise tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversions. The WMA gives more weight to recent data, making it highly responsive to short-term price fluctuations, while the Z-score standardizes this price action relative to its historical mean and volatility. By smoothing the WMA and applying Z-score analysis, this indicator helps traders detect when the market is either overbought or oversold, offering actionable signals for mean reversion or trend continuation strategies.
The combination of WMA smoothing and Z-score analysis allows traders to better evaluate the strength of market trends while pinpointing moments when price may be stretched beyond its typical range.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "Smoothed Wma Z-score" script consists of two primary components: the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and the Z-score. The WMA is calculated using a user-defined period, applying more weight to recent price data to provide a smoothed representation of the price trend. The Z-score is then derived by measuring how far the current WMA deviates from its historical mean, normalized by its standard deviation over a specified lookback period. This calculation gives a standardized measure of price extremes, allowing traders to determine whether the current price is statistically far from its norm.
The script compares the Z-score with customizable threshold levels to generate buy and sell signals. A Z-score exceeding the upper threshold suggests potential overbought conditions, while a Z-score below the lower threshold may indicate oversold conditions. Additionally, the script highlights areas where price is in the "mean reversion zone," helping traders anticipate when price might revert back to its average.
Features and User Inputs
The "Smoothed Wma Z-score" script offers several customizable inputs, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies. The WMA Length determines the sensitivity of the WMA to price changes, while the Lookback Period controls the range over which the mean and standard deviation of the WMA are calculated for the Z-score. Traders can also adjust the thresholds to define the sensitivity of overbought and oversold conditions. Furthermore, the script includes alert conditions that notify traders when trend shifts occur, allowing for timely responses to market movements.
Practical Applications
The "Smoothed Wma Z-score" indicator is designed for traders who focus on identifying price extremes and potential mean reversion opportunities. By combining WMA smoothing with Z-score analysis, this tool can be particularly effective for detecting points of overextension in the market, where a reversion to the mean is likely. The indicator is valuable for traders who seek to capitalize on:
Detecting Overbought and Oversold Conditions: The Z-score measures how far the price has deviated from its norm, allowing traders to identify overbought or oversold conditions with precision. Timing Market Reversals: The indicator provides early signals of potential market reversals by highlighting when the price has moved too far away from its average, helping traders anticipate reversion opportunities. Improving Trend Continuation Strategies: The WMA’s responsiveness to recent price changes, combined with the Z-score’s ability to measure deviations, offers traders a clearer understanding of whether a trend is likely to continue or if it’s overextended.
Advantages and Strategic Value
The "Smoothed Wma Z-score" script provides significant value by integrating WMA smoothing with Z-score analysis, delivering a powerful combination for traders seeking to identify extreme price movements. The ability to smooth price data while detecting statistically significant deviations ensures that traders are better equipped to spot reversals or continuation signals. This dual approach helps reduce noise in price data while offering a robust method for timing entries and exits, making the "Smoothed Wma Z-score" a versatile tool for both mean reversion and trend-following strategies.
Alerts and Visual Cues
The script includes alert conditions that notify traders when key thresholds are crossed. The "Smoothed Wma Z-score Long" alert is triggered when the Z-score moves above the upper threshold, signaling potential overbought conditions. The "Smoothed Wma Z-score Short" alert is activated when the Z-score drops below the lower threshold, indicating possible oversold conditions. Visual cues, such as color changes in the Z-score plot and highlighted mean reversion zones, help traders quickly identify critical market conditions and make timely decisions.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "Smoothed Wma Z-score | viResearch" indicator provides traders with a powerful tool for analyzing price extremes and identifying mean reversion opportunities. By incorporating this script into your trading strategy, you can improve your ability to spot overbought and oversold conditions, timing market reversals with greater accuracy. The "Smoothed Wma Z-score" is a reliable and customizable solution for traders focused on both mean reversion and trend-following strategies in volatile market environments.
Note: Backtests are based on past results and are not indicative of future performance.
Solar System in 3D [Astro Tool w/ Zodiac]Hello Traders and Developers,
I am excited to announce my latest Open Source indicator. At the core, this is a demonstration of PineScript’s capabilities in Rendering 3D Animations, while at the same time being a practical tool for Financial Astrologists.
This 3D Engine dynamically renders all the major celestial bodies with their individual orbits, rotation speeds, polar inclinations and astrological aspects, all while maintaining accurate spatial relationships and perspective.
This is a Geocentric model of the solar system (viewed from the perspective of Earth), since that is what most Astrologists use. Thanks to the AstroLib Library created by @BarefootJoey, this model uses the real coordinates of cosmic bodies for every timestamp.
This script truly comes to life when using the “Bar Replay” mode in TradingView, as you can observe the relationships between planets and price action as time progresses, with the full animation capabilities as mentioned above.
In addition to what I have described, this indicator also displays the orbital trajectories for each cosmic body, and has labels for everything. I have also added the ability to hover on all the labels, and see a short description of what they imply in Astrology.
Optional Planetary Aspect Computation
This indicator supports all the Major Planetary Aspects, with an accuracy defined by the user (1° by default).
Conjunction: 0° Alignment. This draws a RED line starting from the center, and going through both planets.
Sextile: 60° Alignment. This draws three YELLOW lines, connecting the planets to each other and to the center.
Square: 90° Alignment. This draws three BLUE lines, connecting the planets to each other and to the center.
Trine: 120° Alignment. This draws three PURPLE lines, connecting the planets to each other and to the center.
Opposition: 180° Alignment. This draws a GREEN line starting from one planet, passing through the center and ending on the second planet.
The below image depicts a Top-Down view of the system, with the Moon in Opposition to Venus and with Mars in Square with Neptune .
Retrograde Computation
This indicator also displays when a planet enters Retrograde (Apparent Backward Motion) by making its orbital trajectory dashed and the planet name getting a red background.
The image below displays an example of Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and Pluto in Retrograde Motion, from the camera perspective of a 65 degree inclination.
Optional Zodiac Computation (Tropical and Sidereal)
Zodiac represents the relatively stationary star formations that rest along the ecliptic plane, with planets transitioning from one to the next, each with a 30° separation (making 12 in total). I have implemented the option to switch between Tropical mode (where these stars were 2,000 years ago) and Sidereal (where these stars are today).
The image below displays the Zodiac labels with clear lines denoting where each planet falls into.
While this indicator is deployed in a separate pane, it is trivial to transfer it onto your price chart, just by clicking and dragging the graphics. After that, you can adjust the visuals by dragging the scale on the side, or optimizing model settings. You can also drag the model above or below the price, as shown in the following image:
Of course, there are a lot of options to customize this planetary model to your tastes and analytical needs. Aside from visual changes for the labels, colors or resolution you can also disable certain planets that don’t meet your needs as shown below:
Once can also infer the current lunar phases using the Aspects between the Sun and Moon. When the Moon is Opposite the Sun that is a Full Moon, while when they are Conjunct that is a New Moon (and sometimes Eclipse).
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I have made this indicator open source to help PineScript programmers understand how to approach 3D graphics rendering, enabling them to develop ever more capable scripts and continuously push the boundaries of what's possible on TradingView.
The code is well documented with comments and has a clear naming convention for functions and variables, to aid developers understand how everything operates.
For financial astrologists, this indicator offers a new way to visualize and correlate planetary movements, adding depth and ease to astrological market analysis.
Regards,
Hawk
[DarkTrader] Swing OrderflowSwing Orderflow is a indicator that helps traders detect key swing highs and lows in price action. It is designed to enhance your charting experience by highlighting important support and resistance levels while providing clear visual cues on market structure changes. By tracking swing pivots and price trends, this indicator enables traders to make more informed decisions regarding potential entry and exit points in the market.
This indicator is inspired by @Fractalyst Indicator :
The core functionality of the script revolves around detecting swing highs and lows based on a customizable swing period. It identifies these pivots by comparing price movements over a specific time window, marking the points where price either peaks or bottoms out. Swing highs are plotted as resistance levels when the price breaks above a certain threshold, while swing lows are plotted as support levels when price breaks below it. These key points are represented with dotted lines and labels on the chart for easy reference.
Indicator In Use :
Swing High Calculation
A swing high occurs when the high of a specific bar (or candle) is greater than the highs of the surrounding bars within a defined range (called the swing period).
Function used to find the highest price within a specified range : ta.highest(period)
If the current price is greater than the highest price of this period, it's marked as a potential swing high.
A swing high generally represents a resistance level, where the price has reached a peak before declining.
Swing Low Calculation
A swing low occurs when the low of a specific bar is lower than the lows of the surrounding bars within the swing period.
Function used to find the lowest price within a specified range : ta.lowest(period)
If the current price is lower than this lowest price, it's identified as a swing low.
Swing lows represent support levels, where the price reaches a bottom before bouncing back.
These points are plotted on the chart, and the script also tracks whether price breaks above the swing high or below the swing low to determine trends or possible reversals.
BSL (Buy Side Liquidity)
BSL represents the Buy Side Liquidity, where traders are expected to have their buy orders (usually stop-loss orders for short positions).
When the price reaches a swing high, traders who are short may have stop orders placed above this level. Once these levels are breached, the script identifies this as a liquidity area where stop orders get triggered, causing potential upward price movement.
The script marks the swing high with a "BSL" label and line to indicate this key resistance and liquidity zone.
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity)
SSL refers to the Sell Side Liquidity, where traders place sell orders (usually stop-loss orders for long positions).
Swing lows are important levels where traders holding long positions place their stop orders. When the price drops below a swing low, it triggers these sell orders, causing potential downward price movement.
The script marks the swing low with an "SSL" label and line, signaling this key support and liquidity zone.
In essence, BSL and SSL represent areas where liquidity is pooled, making them critical points in price action. These liquidity areas, when breached, often lead to aggressive price moves, allowing traders to anticipate trends.
[ALGOA+] Markov Chains Library by @metacamaleoLibrary "MarkovChains"
Markov Chains library by @metacamaleo. Created in 09/08/2024.
This library provides tools to calculate and visualize Markov Chain-based transition matrices and probabilities. This library supports two primary algorithms: a rolling window Markov Chain and a conditional Markov Chain (which operates based on specified conditions). The key concepts used include Markov Chain states, transition matrices, and future state probabilities based on past market conditions or indicators.
Key functions:
- `mc_rw()`: Builds a transition matrix using a rolling window Markov Chain, calculating probabilities based on a fixed length of historical data.
- `mc_cond()`: Builds a conditional Markov Chain transition matrix, calculating probabilities based on the current market condition or indicator state.
Basically, you will just need to use the above functions on your script to default outputs and displays.
Exported UDTs include:
- s_map: An UDT variable used to store a map with dummy states, i.e., if possible states are bullish, bearish, and neutral, and current is bullish, it will be stored
in a map with following keys and values: "bullish", 1; "bearish", 0; and "neutral", 0. You will only use it to customize your own script, otherwise, it´s only for internal use.
- mc_states: This UDT variable stores user inputs, calculations and MC outputs. As the above, you don´t need to use it, but you may get features to customize your own script.
For example, you may use mc.tm to get the transition matrix, or the prob map to customize the display. As you see, functions are all based on mc_states UDT. The s_map UDT is used within mc_states´s s array.
Optional exported functions include:
- `mc_table()`: Displays the transition matrix in a table format on the chart for easy visualization of the probabilities.
- `display_list()`: Displays a map (or array) of string and float/int values in a table format, used for showing transition counts or probabilities.
- `mc_prob()`: Calculates and displays probabilities for a given number of future bars based on the current state in the Markov Chain.
- `mc_all_states_prob()`: Calculates probabilities for all states for future bars, considering all possible transitions.
The above functions may be used to customize your outputs. Use the returned variable mc_states from mc_rw() and mc_cond() to display each of its matrix, maps or arrays using mc_table() (for matrices) and display_list() (for maps and arrays) if you desire to debug or track the calculation process.
See the examples in the end of this script.
Have good trading days!
Best regards,
@metacamaleo
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KEY FUNCTIONS
mc_rw(state, length, states, pred_length, show_table, show_prob, table_position, prob_position, font_size)
Builds the transition matrix for a rolling window Markov Chain.
Parameters:
state (string) : The current state of the market or system.
length (int) : The rolling window size.
states (array) : Array of strings representing the possible states in the Markov Chain.
pred_length (int) : The number of bars to predict into the future.
show_table (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the transition matrix table.
show_prob (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the probability table.
table_position (string) : Position of the transition matrix table on the chart.
prob_position (string) : Position of the probability list on the chart.
font_size (string) : Size of the table font.
Returns: The transition matrix and probabilities for future states.
mc_cond(state, condition, states, pred_length, show_table, show_prob, table_position, prob_position, font_size)
Builds the transition matrix for conditional Markov Chains.
Parameters:
state (string) : The current state of the market or system.
condition (string) : A string representing the condition.
states (array) : Array of strings representing the possible states in the Markov Chain.
pred_length (int) : The number of bars to predict into the future.
show_table (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the transition matrix table.
show_prob (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the probability table.
table_position (string) : Position of the transition matrix table on the chart.
prob_position (string) : Position of the probability list on the chart.
font_size (string) : Size of the table font.
Returns: The transition matrix and probabilities for future states based on the HMM.
Investments Follower Table
🔸 Investments Follower Table is a useful tool to visualize the performance of your investments, regardless of which graph you are viewing.
🔸 By entering the name and the quantities of the stock you own, and your average purchase price, you can view the percentage changes and the profit/loss of your investments, regardless of the graph you’re viewing.
🔸 This indicator allows you to follow 4 stocks at the same time.
🔸 When you first open the indicator, you won’t see the table until you’ll fill the fields necessary to show the data.
🔸 Explanation of the menu:
- % TABLE toggle: Turns On and Off the table
- $ TABLE toggle: This function removes the column of the profit or loss in $. The percentage one will be kept.
- TICKER 1/2/3/4: It’s the part of the settings in which you put the name of the share you own.
- ONLY VALUES toggle: Reduces the table by removing the name of the ticker.
- REDUCED TABLE toggle: Removes all the rows of the table associated to the single investment, to just keep the summery of all the investments active
🔸If you turn off a toggle, but keeping some values inside the menu, the table will also consider that values in the calculation of the summery into the table. To avoid this, you just need to put in the A.P.P. and in the QTY the value “0”.
🔸If you want to reset the indicator, you just have to click “Defaults” in the bottom left corner, and then “Reset settings”.
Stoch RSI Time StatisticsThe “Stochastic RSI Time Statistics” is a comprehensive tool designed to enhance your trading decisions by combining the traditional Stochastic RSI with additional metrics and visual aids. This indicator can be used to detect overbought and oversold conditions, issue long and short alerts based on crossovers, and help you analyse market movements by providing detailed statistical insights.
The Stochastic RSI is an open source script that was developed by Tushar Chande and Stanley Kroll and introduced in their book "The New Technical Trader" in 1994. It combines two popular indicators: the “Relative Strength Index (RSI)” and the “Stochastic Oscillator”.
The “Stochastic RSI Time Statistics” uses the stochastic RSI calculations and additionally calculates various probability and frequency statistics to better understand the momentum oscillator’s behaviour and guide our strategies and risk management.
Statistics & Probabilities:
The indicator calculates important time and frequency-based metrics that provide deeper insight into the behaviour of the Stochastic RSI. These are displayed in a text box on the indicator panel, including:
Avg Long: The average number of bars between the last long signal before exiting the critical zone and the next short signal in the overbought critical zone, including the standard deviation and the sample size within the relevant time frame.
Avg Short: The average number of bars between the last short signal before exiting the critical zone and the next long signal in the oversold critical zone, including the standard deviation and the sample size within the relevant time frame.
Avg Consecutive Longs: The average number of consecutive long signals before the first proceeding short signal occurs, with standard deviation.
Avg Consecutive Shorts: The average number of consecutive short signals before the first proceeding long signal occurs, with standard deviation.
Time in Oversold: The average time (in bars/candle sticks) that the Stochastic RSI lines (K & D Lines both in critical zone) spends in the oversold region (below the buy signal level) after entering the oversold region and until both K & D lines depart from the oversold region, along with the standard deviation.
Time in Overbought: The average time (in bars/candle sticks) that the Stochastic RSI lines (K & D Lines both in critical zone) spends in the overbought region (above the sell signal level), after entering the overbought region and until both K & D lines depart from the overbought region, along with the standard deviation.
Signal Frequency: It calculates the percentage of a single, double, triple, and more than triple long or short signals that occur consecutively within the critical zone before the opposing signal occurs (e.g., 1Long: 40.54%, 2 Long:28.55%, 3Long 17.4%, >3 Long:13.51%, 1Short:36.15%, 2Short:30.41%, 3Short:17.57%, >3Short:15.88%).
Key Features:
Oversold: When the Stochastic RSI is below 20, it indicates that the RSI is in a low range, and the asset may be oversold, potentially signalling a buying opportunity.
Overbought: When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it suggests the RSI is in a high range, meaning the asset may be overbought and a downturn might be near.
The Stochastic RSI Slope indicates the prominent trend direction within a relevant time period.
Customizable Buy Signal Level (typically below 20-25 percentile) to detect oversold conditions. Customizable Sell Signal Level (typically above 75-80 percentile) to detect overbought conditions. These levels help you spot potential reversal zones where long or short trades might be initiated.
Crossover Alerts:
The indicator tracks crossovers between the K and D lines, generating long signals when a crossover occurs below the buy signal level (indicating oversold conditions) and short signals when a cross under occurs above the sell signal level (indicating overbought conditions). The signals are visualized as labels on the chart:
**L** for potential long (buy) signals: Marked below the bars when the K line crosses above the D line.
**S** for potential short (sell) signals: Marked above the bars when the K line crosses below the D line.
Visual Alerts are generated based on these signals.
Risk Management
Although the Stochastic RSI is typically regarded as presenting trend direction and overbought and oversold conditions when in the extreme zones, the RSI can linger and cross over or under numerous times while in the critical zone. The statistics added to the Stochastic RSI indicator allows one to assess the statistical probability of numerous crossover signals occurring on an asset or at various time frames. Signal levels, or preferred definitions of the critical zones can be adjusted while the statistics are automatically updated to the relevant ticker or time frame. Colours and Signal shapes are adjustable to suite your visual preferences.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge and agree that:
No Guarantees: The indicator is provided "as-is" without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for a particular purpose. The outcomes or performance of trades executed using this indicator are not guaranteed to be successful or profitable.
User Responsibility: You are solely responsible for any trading decisions you make based on the use of this indicator. All trading and investment activities involve risk, and it is essential to conduct your own research, analysis, and due diligence before making any financial decisions.
No Liability: The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses, direct or indirect, incurred as a result of using this indicator. This includes, but is not limited to, loss of profits, loss of capital, or any other negative financial outcomes.
Market Risks: Markets are volatile, and prices may fluctuate significantly. Trading and investing carry inherent risks, and there is always the potential for loss. You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose.
Independent Advice: It is strongly recommended that you seek independent financial advice from a qualified and licensed professional before making any trading or investment decisions based on the use of this indicator.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you fully understand and accept the risks involved, and you agree to indemnify and hold harmless the creator of this indicator from any claims, damages, or liabilities arising from its use.
The author of this script has made every effort to ensure that the code is an original interpretation and application of the open-source Stochastic RSI, as developed by the original authors, Tushar Chande and Stanley Kroll. The script reflects a unique adaptation aimed at enhancing trading strategies through advanced statistical analysis and trade management features. The author does not claim any proprietary rights over the foundational concepts of the Stochastic RSI and does not intend to infringe upon any existing copyrights. Should any copyright infringement be identified, the author commits to removing the indicator immediately and forfeits any rights to further or intended financial gain from its use.