Clock&Flow: Elements of Cycle Analysis 2nd partClock&Flow – Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) | Complete Suite
Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) is an advanced cyclic analysis suite designed to interpret the market through time, structure, strength, and energy, combining cycles, volatility, and participation into a single operational framework.
The suite consists of two complementary modules:
🔹ECA 1 – Cycles, Structure, and Volatility (Overlay: True)
ECA 1 is dedicated to the structural and temporal analysis of the market.
Cyclic SMAs (Cyclic Ratio) Moving averages are calibrated according to nominal cycles and timeframes to monitor multiple cycles simultaneously (from the lower cycle to the upper cycles). Crossovers between fast and slow SMAs certify the closing or transition of the cycle related to the faster SMA. The specific cycle is identified in the Info Table at the bottom right (for 15m - 1h - 2h - 1D timeframes). You can select the number of cycles to observe and the asset type to apply them to:
Index: Standard quotes (e.g., Cash sessions).
Future: Extended quotes (24h).
50-200: Classic institutional references for the medium-long term.
ATR-based Dynamic Cyclic Channels The channels represent a lower cycle and its upper counterpart; their width is determined by the observed timeframe and calculated based on average volatility (ATR). Volatility is not treated as noise but as a structural component of the cycle, essential for contextualizing excesses, compressions, and expansions.
Info Table and Quick Guide Dynamic tables automatically link SMAs, timeframes, and time cycles, providing an immediate reading of the current cyclic context.
Time Bands (Weekly / Daily) Temporal visualization helps identify cyclic pivots and rhythm transitions.
🔹 ECA 2 – Market Excesses, Strength, and Energy
ECA 2 analyzes how the market moves within the cyclic structure.
Excesses and Divergences (Cyclic Stochastic) An oscillator calibrated on the same cyclic ratio as the suite. Crossovers between the lower cycle (blue) and upper cycle (red) signal potential phase changes. In areas of excess, divergences often confirm the closing and restart of a cycle.
Directional Movement System (DMS) The ADX measures the strength of the movement, while +DI and -DI indicate direction. A simultaneous crossover of ADX, +DI, and -DI signals imminent acceleration, even before the strength is fully expressed.
Market Pulse – Real Market Energy The Market Pulse measures the amount of real energy moving through the market by relating three factors:
Price Velocity
Normalized Volume
Volatility (ATR relative to price)
These three factors are combined multiplicatively: if one is missing, the impulse weakens. The zero line represents a state of energy equilibrium; values above or below indicate a real imbalance (bullish or bearish). Note: Market Pulse is not a classic oscillator and should not be interpreted as overbought or oversold; it is used to evaluate the energetic quality of a movement.
Operational Convergence
The maximum operational effectiveness of the ECA suite is achieved when all modules converge on the same market phase.
When cyclic timing, volatility, price structure, trend strength, and movement energy align, the context signals a high-probability operational phase. The system is applicable to any timeframe or asset because it is not bound by dogmatic or subjective interpretations of technical or fundamental analysis; instead, it leverages what is actually happening in the market. Major chart patterns and Volume Profile (technically not includable in this specific suite) provide further confirmation.
Under these conditions, the signal does not originate from a single indicator but from the consistency of the entire system: time, volatility, and energy moving in the same direction.
Entries should always be accompanied by proper risk management.
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Clock&Flow – Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) | Suite Completa
Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) è una suite avanzata di analisi ciclica progettata per leggere il mercato attraverso tempo, struttura, forza ed energia, combinando cicli, volatilità e partecipazione in un unico framework operativo.
La suite è composta da due moduli complementari:
🔹 ECA 1 – Cicli, Struttura e Volatilità (overlay true)
ECA 1 è dedicato all’analisi strutturale e temporale del mercato.
SMA cicliche (ratio ciclica)
Le medie mobili sono calibrate in funzione dei cicli nominali e del timeframe per monitorare più cicli simultaneamente (dal ciclo inferiore fino ai cicli superiori).
Gli incroci tra SMA veloci e lente certificano la chiusura o transizione del ciclo correlato alla SMA più veloce. Il ciclo in questione è segnalato nella info table in basso a destra (per i time frame 15’ - 1h - 2h - 1D) Puoi selezionare il numero dei cicli da osservare e su quali asset applicarle (Index = quotazioni standard / Future = quotazioni estese / 50-200 i classici riferimenti istituzionali per il medio-lungo periodo
Canali ciclici dinamici basati su ATR
I canali rappresentano un ciclo inferiore e il suo superiore, l’ampiezza è data dal time frame osservato e calcolata sulla volatilità media (ATR).
La volatilità non è trattata come rumore, ma come componente strutturale del ciclo, utile per contestualizzare eccessi, compressioni ed espansioni.
Info Table e Quick Guide
Tabelle dinamiche collegano automaticamente SMA, timeframe e cicli temporali, fornendo una lettura immediata del contesto ciclico in corso.
Time Bands (Weekly / Daily)
La visualizzazione temporale aiuta a individuare pivot ciclici e transizioni di ritmo.
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
🔹 ECA 2 – Eccessi, Forza ed Energia del Mercato
ECA 2 analizza come il mercato si muove all’interno della struttura ciclica.
Eccessi e divergenze (Stochastic ciclico)
Oscillatore calibrato sulla stessa ratio ciclica della suite.
Gli incroci tra ciclo inferiore (blu) e superiore (rosso) segnalano potenziali cambi di fase; in area di eccesso, le divergenze certificano spesso la chiusura e ripartenza del ciclo.
Directional Movement System (DMS)
L’ADX misura la forza del movimento, mentre +DI e –DI ne indicano la direzione.
L’incrocio simultaneo di ADX, +DI e –DI segnala un’accelerazione imminente, anche in assenza di forza già espressa.
Market Pulse – Energia reale del mercato
Il Market Pulse misura quanta energia reale sta attraversando il mercato mettendo in relazione:
velocità del prezzo
volume normalizzato
volatilità (ATR rapportato al prezzo)
I tre fattori sono combinati in modo moltiplicativo: se uno manca, l’impulso si indebolisce.
La linea dello zero rappresenta una condizione di equilibrio energetico; valori sopra o sotto indicano uno sbilanciamento reale, rialzista o ribassista.
Il Market Pulse non è un oscillatore classico e non va interpretato in termini di ipercomprato o ipervenduto: serve a valutare la qualità energetica del movimento.
La massima efficacia operativa della suite ECA si ottiene quando tutti i moduli convergono sulla stessa fase di mercato.
Quando tempi ciclici, volatilità, struttura del prezzo, forza del trend ed energia del movimento risultano allineati, il contesto segnala una fase ad alta probabilità operativa.
È applicabile su qualunque time frame o asset perché non è vincolato a dogmatiche e soggettive interpretazioni di analisi tecnica - fondamentale ma sfrutta ciò che realmente sta accadendo sul mercato.
I principali pattern grafici e il Volume Profile (in questa suite tecnicamente non inseribili) forniscono ulteriori conferme e/o indicazioni.
In queste condizioni il segnale non nasce da un singolo indicatore, ma dalla coerenza dell’intero sistema: tempo, volatilità ed energia si muovono nella stessa direzione.
Gli ingressi vanno sempre accompagnati da una corretta gestione del rischio.
Ciclos
XAU Seasonality + Setup Quality + Month Strength | WarRoomXYZXAU Seasonality Engine is a technical analysis indicator developed for the study of recurring, calendar-based behavior on XAUUSD (Gold).
The tool blends month-of-year seasonality statistics with higher-timeframe context and a setup-quality gate to help users observe when market conditions historically lean strong, weak, or neutral — and how strict trade selection should be during each regime.
Indicator Concept
An indicator for XAUUSD that combines:
1. Seasonality Regime (Month-of-Year Bias)
► Classifies the current month as Strong / Weak / Neutral based on either:
• Preset months (user-defined)
or
• Auto mode (computed from historical monthly performance)
► Strong months suggest a bullish tailwind (not a signal).
► Weak months suggest headwind / caution and require stricter setup quality.
2. Monthly Performance Engine (Under the Hood)
► Uses the symbol’s monthly timeframe data to compute, per calendar month:
• Average monthly return (%)
• Win rate (%) — how often that month closes positive
• Month Strength Score (0–100) — a blended score derived from performance data
► The score is designed to provide a relative strength snapshot of seasonality by month.
3. Month Strength Histogram
► Plots a histogram (0–100) of the current month’s strength score.
• Higher bars = historically stronger month tendency
• Lower bars = historically weaker month tendency
► Optional horizontal reference lines mark “strong” and “weak” zones to make regimes obvious at a glance.
4. Setup Quality Meter (Confluence Filter)
► The indicator calculates a Setup Quality Score (0–100) using market structure and momentum components, such as:
• EMA trend alignment
• Momentum confirmation (EMA fast vs slow)
• Structure break confirmation (BOS)
• Liquidity sweep behavior
• Candle confirmation logic
► This score is intended as a trade-selectivity filter , not a trade executor.
5. Adaptive Rules for Weak Months (Strict Mode)
► When the indicator detects a weak seasonal regime, conditions automatically tighten:
• The A+ threshold increases (adaptive thresholding)
• Optional rule: Weak months require BOS + Sweep + FVG simultaneously before any A+ condition is considered valid
This forces the user into “higher-quality-only” behavior during historically weaker seasonal periods.
🔹1 Visual Components Included
• Seasonality regime label (Strong / Weak / Neutral)
• Optional background shading based on regime
• Month Strength Score histogram (0–100)
• Current month stats: Avg return + win rate
• Setup Quality Meter value (0–100)
• Adaptive A+ threshold display
• Weak-month confluence gate status (BOS / Sweep / FVG pass/fail)
• Optional alerts when strict criteria are met
➣What Means in the XAU Indicator
🔹 Definition (in THIS indicator)
Win Rate = the percentage of historical months that closed positive for the same calendar month.
It is NOT:
trade win rate ❌
signal accuracy ❌
It is a s tatistical seasonality metric .
How It’s Calculated
For each calendar month (January, February, etc.), the indicator:
1.Looks at historical monthly candles (Monthly timeframe).
2. Counts how many times that month:
•Closed higher than it opened (or higher than previous month close).
3. Divides:
Number of positive months
÷
Total number of observed months
× 100
Example: September
If over the last 20 years:
September closed green 14 times
September closed red 6 times
Then:
Win Rate = (14 / 20) × 100 = 70%
That’s what you see as in the dashboard.
What the Win Rate Is Used For
1️⃣ Part of the Month Strength Score
The indicator blends:
•Average Monthly Return (%) → measures magnitude
•Win Rate (%) → measures consistency
Combined into:
Month Strength Score (0–100)
This avoids a common trap:
•A month with 1 huge rally but many losses ≠ reliable
•A month with steady positive closes = higher quality environment
What Win Rate Tells You
High Win Rate (e.g. 65–75%)
•Gold more often closes higher in this month
•Continuation is statistically more likely
•Pullbacks are more likely to resolve in trend direction
Low Win Rate (e.g. 35–45%)
•Gold more often fails to close higher
•More chop, deeper retracements, false breakouts
•Continuation trades statistically struggle
What It Does NOT Tell You
🚫 It does NOT mean:
•“You will win 70% of your trades”
•“Every setup in this month works”
•“Direction is guaranteed”
Seasonality is context, not prediction.
Why This Is Powerful When Combined With Your System
On its own, win rate is just data.
But in your indicator, it’s used to:
•🔒 Raise the A+ threshold in weak months
•🧠 Force BOS + Sweep + FVG confluence
•❌ Block marginal setups automatically
So instead of guessing:
-“Why is gold so choppy this month?”
You know:
-“This month historically underperforms SO I must be stricter.”
➣What Means in the XAU Seasonality Indicator
🔹 Definition (in THIS indicator)
Avg Monthly Return = the average percentage gain or loss of XAUUSD for a specific calendar month, calculated across many years.
It measures magnitude , not frequency.
It is NOT:
•trade profit ❌
•expected return for the next month ❌
•guaranteed performance ❌
It is a historical seasonality tendency.
How It’s Calculated
For each calendar month (January, February, etc.), the indicator:
1.Takes every historical occurrence of that month.
2.Calculates the percentage change of the monthly candle:
(Monthly Close − Previous Monthly Close)
÷ Previous Monthly Close × 100
3. Adds all those percentage changes together.
4. Divides by the total number of observations.
Example: September
Assume over 20 years:
+2.4%, +1.1%, −0.6%, +3.0%, +1.8%, ...
If the sum of all September returns = +28% across 20 years:
Avg Monthly Return = +1.40%
That’s the number displayed in the indicator.
What Avg Monthly Return Is Used For
1️⃣ Measuring Strength of Movement
•Win Rate → “How often does it close green?”
•Avg Monthly Return → “How big are the moves when it works?”
Both are needed.
A month can:
•Win often but move very little
•Move a lot but only occasionally
The indicator combines both to avoid misleading conclusions.
How to Interpret Avg Monthly Return
Positive Avg Return (e.g. +0.8% to +2.0%)
•Gold tends to expand during this month
•Continuation phases are more likely
•Pullbacks are often absorbed
Near-Zero Avg Return (e.g. −0.2% to +0.2%)
•Market is statistically balanced
•Expect chop, rotations, false breaks
•Continuation is less reliable
Negative Avg Return (e.g. −0.5% or worse)
•Downward pressure or heavy mean reversion
•Rallies often fade
•Risk of aggressive stop hunts
What Avg Monthly Return Does NOT Mean
🚫 It does NOT mean:
•“Price will move +1.4% this month”
•“You should buy because the number is positive”
•“This is a guaranteed edge”
It describes historical behavior, not future certainty.
Why Avg Monthly Return Matters More Than People Think
Two months can have the same win rate but behave very differently:
Example:
Month Win Rate Avg Return Reality
Month A 65% +0.2% Small, choppy wins
Month B 55% +1.6% Fewer wins, but strong expansions
Your indicator would rank Month B as stronger, which is correct for continuation-based strategies.
How It Feeds the Month Strength Score
The indicator blends:
•60% Avg Monthly Return (normalized)
•40% Win Rate
This means:
•Big moves matter more than small consistency
•But consistency still matters enough to prevent distortion
Result:
Month Strength Score (0–100)
Which is then used to:
•tighten or relax A+ thresholds
•activate weak-month strict rules
•control trade frequency
🔹2. Intended Use
The indicator is designed as a discretionary analysis tool to support study of:
• seasonal bias and calendar tendencies
• relative strength/weakness across months
• how strict trade selection should be across different regimes
• confluence behavior when seasonal conditions are unfavorable
The tool does not generate forecasts, does not guarantee outcomes, and should not be relied upon as a stand-alone decision mechanism.
🔹3.How to Use XAU Seasonality Engine
Recommended charts: XAUUSD, intraday (5m–15m) with a HTF context (1H–4H).
1. Identify the Seasonal Regime
• Strong month → you can allow more continuation bias (still require structure).
• Neutral month → trade normally, standard criteria.
• Weak month → tighten selection, demand clean A+ conditions only.
2. Read the Month Strength Histogram
• If the score is high (e.g., 70+), the month has historically shown stronger tendency.
• If the score is low (e.g., 40 and below), expect slower conditions, deeper pullbacks, or more chop — and reduce marginal trades.
3. Use the Setup Quality Meter as the Gate
► In normal/strong months:
• A+ threshold is moderate (e.g., 70)
► In weak months:
• A+ threshold is higher (e.g., 80+)
• Optional strict mode: must also pass BOS + Sweep + FVG alignment
4. Example Trade Logic (Framework, Not Signals)
► Bullish framework in a Strong Month:
• Seasonal regime = Strong (tailwind)
• Structure supports bullish continuation (trend alignment)
• Sweep occurs into demand / liquidity grab
• Setup Quality reaches A+ threshold
• Entry: confirmation candle or retrace to key level
• SL: beyond sweep low / invalidation
• TP: nearest liquidity / prior highs / HTF level
► Weak Month rule-set (Strict Mode):
• Seasonal regime = Weak (headwind)
• Only consider trades if:
✅ BOS confirms direction
✅ Sweep occurs and rejects cleanly
✅ FVG exists recently (or is mitigated if you choose that model)
✅ Setup Quality exceeds the elevated adaptive threshold
If any one is missing → no trade
This is not meant to “predict” gold — it’s meant to enforce discipline when seasonality historically underperforms.
🔹4.Limitations and User Responsibility
► The indicator does not represent financial advice or imply performance expectations.
► Seasonality is statistical tendency, not certainty — macro conditions can override it.
► Results vary by broker feed, timeframe, and settings.
► Users should test thoroughly in simulation before applying to live markets.
► All trading decisions, risk management, and execution remain solely the responsibility of the user.
🔹5. Alerts
Optional alerts can notify when:
• a new month begins and the seasonal regime changes
• A+ criteria are met
• weak-month strict conditions pass (BOS + Sweep + FVG)
Alerts are informational only and do not constitute actionable recommendations.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for informational and educational purposes only . It does not provide financial, investment, or trading advice, and it does not guarantee profits or future performance. All decisions made based on this script are solely the responsibility of the user.
This script does not execute trades, manage risk, or replace the need for trader discretion. Market behavior can change quickly, and past behavior detected by the script does not ensure similar future outcomes.
Users should test the script on demo or simulation environments before applying it to live markets and must maintain full responsibility for their own risk management, position sizing, and trade execution.
Trading involves risk, and losses can exceed deposits. By using this script, you acknowledge that you understand and accept all associated risks.
Clock&Flow: Elements of Cycle Analysis 1st partClock&Flow – Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) | Complete Suite
Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) is an advanced cyclic analysis suite designed to interpret the market through time, structure, strength, and energy, combining cycles, volatility, and participation into a single operational framework.
The suite consists of two complementary modules:
🔹 ECA 1 – Cycles, Structure, and Volatility (Overlay: True)
ECA 1 is dedicated to the structural and temporal analysis of the market.
Cyclic SMAs (Cyclic Ratio) Moving averages are calibrated according to nominal cycles and timeframes to monitor multiple cycles simultaneously (from the lower cycle to the upper cycles). Crossovers between fast and slow SMAs certify the closing or transition of the cycle related to the faster SMA. The specific cycle is identified in the Info Table at the bottom right (for 15m - 1h - 2h - 1D timeframes). You can select the number of cycles to observe and the asset type to apply them to:
Index: Standard quotes (e.g., Cash sessions).
Future: Extended quotes (24h).
50-200: Classic institutional references for the medium-long term.
ATR-based Dynamic Cyclic Channels The channels represent a lower cycle and its upper counterpart; their width is determined by the observed timeframe and calculated based on average volatility (ATR). Volatility is not treated as noise but as a structural component of the cycle, essential for contextualizing excesses, compressions, and expansions.
Info Table and Quick Guide Dynamic tables automatically link SMAs, timeframes, and time cycles, providing an immediate reading of the current cyclic context.
Time Bands (Weekly / Daily) Temporal visualization helps identify cyclic pivots and rhythm transitions.
🔹 ECA 2 – Market Excesses, Strength, and Energy
ECA 2 analyzes how the market moves within the cyclic structure.
Excesses and Divergences (Cyclic Stochastic) An oscillator calibrated on the same cyclic ratio as the suite. Crossovers between the lower cycle (blue) and upper cycle (red) signal potential phase changes. In areas of excess, divergences often confirm the closing and restart of a cycle.
Directional Movement System (DMS) The ADX measures the strength of the movement, while +DI and -DI indicate direction. A simultaneous crossover of ADX, +DI, and -DI signals imminent acceleration, even before the strength is fully expressed.
Market Pulse – Real Market Energy The Market Pulse measures the amount of real energy moving through the market by relating three factors:
Price Velocity
Normalized Volume
Volatility (ATR relative to price)
These three factors are combined multiplicatively: if one is missing, the impulse weakens. The zero line represents a state of energy equilibrium; values above or below indicate a real imbalance (bullish or bearish). Note: Market Pulse is not a classic oscillator and should not be interpreted as overbought or oversold; it is used to evaluate the energetic quality of a movement.
Operational Convergence
The maximum operational effectiveness of the ECA suite is achieved when all modules converge on the same market phase.
When cyclic timing, volatility, price structure, trend strength, and movement energy align, the context signals a high-probability operational phase. The system is applicable to any timeframe or asset because it is not bound by dogmatic or subjective interpretations of technical or fundamental analysis; instead, it leverages what is actually happening in the market. Major chart patterns and Volume Profile (technically not includable in this specific suite) provide further confirmation.
Under these conditions, the signal does not originate from a single indicator but from the consistency of the entire system: time, volatility, and energy moving in the same direction.
Entries should always be accompanied by proper risk management.
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Clock&Flow – Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) | Suite Completa
Elements of Cycle Analysis (ECA) è una suite avanzata di analisi ciclica progettata per leggere il mercato attraverso tempo, struttura, forza ed energia, combinando cicli, volatilità e partecipazione in un unico framework operativo.
La suite è composta da due moduli complementari:
🔹 ECA 1 – Cicli, Struttura e Volatilità (overlay true)
ECA 1 è dedicato all’analisi strutturale e temporale del mercato.
SMA cicliche (ratio ciclica)
Le medie mobili sono calibrate in funzione dei cicli nominali e del timeframe per monitorare più cicli simultaneamente (dal ciclo inferiore fino ai cicli superiori).
Gli incroci tra SMA veloci e lente certificano la chiusura o transizione del ciclo correlato alla SMA più veloce. Il ciclo in questione è segnalato nella info table in basso a destra (per i time frame 15’ - 1h - 2h - 1D) Puoi selezionare il numero dei cicli da osservare e su quali asset applicarle (Index = quotazioni standard / Future = quotazioni estese / 50-200 i classici riferimenti istituzionali per il medio-lungo periodo
Canali ciclici dinamici basati su ATR
I canali rappresentano un ciclo inferiore e il suo superiore, l’ampiezza è data dal time frame osservato e calcolata sulla volatilità media (ATR).
La volatilità non è trattata come rumore, ma come componente strutturale del ciclo, utile per contestualizzare eccessi, compressioni ed espansioni.
Info Table e Quick Guide
Tabelle dinamiche collegano automaticamente SMA, timeframe e cicli temporali, fornendo una lettura immediata del contesto ciclico in corso.
Time Bands (Weekly / Daily)
La visualizzazione temporale aiuta a individuare pivot ciclici e transizioni di ritmo.
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
🔹 ECA 2 – Eccessi, Forza ed Energia del Mercato
ECA 2 analizza come il mercato si muove all’interno della struttura ciclica.
Eccessi e divergenze (Stochastic ciclico)
Oscillatore calibrato sulla stessa ratio ciclica della suite.
Gli incroci tra ciclo inferiore (blu) e superiore (rosso) segnalano potenziali cambi di fase; in area di eccesso, le divergenze certificano spesso la chiusura e ripartenza del ciclo.
Directional Movement System (DMS)
L’ADX misura la forza del movimento, mentre +DI e –DI ne indicano la direzione.
L’incrocio simultaneo di ADX, +DI e –DI segnala un’accelerazione imminente, anche in assenza di forza già espressa.
Market Pulse – Energia reale del mercato
Il Market Pulse misura quanta energia reale sta attraversando il mercato mettendo in relazione:
velocità del prezzo
volume normalizzato
volatilità (ATR rapportato al prezzo)
I tre fattori sono combinati in modo moltiplicativo: se uno manca, l’impulso si indebolisce.
La linea dello zero rappresenta una condizione di equilibrio energetico; valori sopra o sotto indicano uno sbilanciamento reale, rialzista o ribassista.
Il Market Pulse non è un oscillatore classico e non va interpretato in termini di ipercomprato o ipervenduto: serve a valutare la qualità energetica del movimento.
La massima efficacia operativa della suite ECA si ottiene quando tutti i moduli convergono sulla stessa fase di mercato.
Quando tempi ciclici, volatilità, struttura del prezzo, forza del trend ed energia del movimento risultano allineati, il contesto segnala una fase ad alta probabilità operativa.
È applicabile su qualunque time frame o asset perché non è vincolato a dogmatiche e soggettive interpretazioni di analisi tecnica - fondamentale ma sfrutta ciò che realmente sta accadendo sul mercato.
I principali pattern grafici e il Volume Profile (in questa suite tecnicamente non inseribili) forniscono ulteriori conferme e/o indicazioni.
In queste condizioni il segnale non nasce da un singolo indicatore, ma dalla coerenza dell’intero sistema: tempo, volatilità ed energia si muovono nella stessa direzione.
Gli ingressi vanno sempre accompagnati da una corretta gestione del rischio.
BTC Valuation ZonesBTC Valuation – Distance From 200 MA
This indicator provides a simple but powerful Bitcoin valuation framework based on how far price is from the 200-period Moving Average, a level that has historically acted as Bitcoin’s long-term equilibrium.
Instead of predicting tops or bottoms, this tool focuses on mean-reversion behavior:
When price deviates too far above the 200 MA → risk increases
When price deviates deeply below the 200 MA → long-term opportunity increases
New York Sessions High/Low with Liquidity Purge CriteriaDisplays horizontal lines at the highest high and lowest low of the NY AM (09:30–12:00) and NY PM (13:30–16:00) sessions in New York time.
Lines extend forward until price strongly breaks them by a user-defined threshold (N points), at which point they cease extending - liquidity purged.
Option to show only active lines (unpurged liquidity) - toggle to hide old liquidity pools for a cleaner chart.
Customizable colors, line styles, width, lookback days and purge threshold.
Intraday Sessions Ranges with Time SegmentationSession Ranges indicator overlays customizable range boxes on major trading sessions (e.g. London, Premarket, NY AM and NY PM) using New York time.
Toggle visibility, add evenly spaced vertical segment lines, and highlight key time zones. Perfect for traders marking price action and levels across multiple historical days.
Gann Octave Pro - Angles & Time Cycles 🎯 Gann Octave Pro - Angles & Time Cycles
## Complete Gann Trading System - Price, Angles & Time in One Indicator
A professional-grade Gann analysis tool combining **Octave Price Levels**, **Gann Angles (1x1, 2x1, 1x2)**, and **Advanced Time Cycle Projections**. Perfect for traders seeking precision market timing through geometric confluence.
---
## 🌟 Key Features
### 📐 Octave Price Levels
- **5 Key Levels**: 0%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 100%
- **Color-Coded**: Green (support) → Blue (50% pivot) → Red (resistance) → Black (boundaries)
- **Dynamic Updates**: Auto-adjusts to swing structure
- **Trading Edge**: 50% level is the most powerful reversal zone
### 📏 Gann Angles
- **1x1 Angle** (Black) - Natural 45° trend line
- **2x1 Angle** (Red) - Steep acceleration zone
- **1x2 Angle** (Red) - Gradual support/resistance
- **Customizable Extension**: Fixed bars or % of swing length
### ⏰ Advanced Time Cycles
**Three Calculation Methods:**
1. **Angle-Level Confluence** ⭐ (Recommended)
- Calculates intersections of Gann angles with octave levels
- Most sophisticated timing system
- Based on price-time geometry
2. **Swing Duration** - Uses actual swing bar length
3. **Harmonic (Swing/8)** - Classic Gann harmonic division
**Cycle Visualization:**
- **Full Cycles** (Purple, solid) - Major turning points, labeled "◆ FC1 (176 bars) "
- **Sub-Cycles** (Blue, dotted) - Minor pivots, labeled "S1 "
- **Mid-Cycles** (Orange, dashed) - Half-cycle inflection points
- **Past Display**: Shows 4 complete past cycles for validation
- **Future Projection**: Projects 8 future cycles for anticipation
---
## 🎯 How to Use
### Quick Start
1. Apply to chart (works all timeframes/instruments)
2. Select period: Default 44 bars (adjust based on timeframe)
3. Choose cycle method: "Angle-Level Confluence" for best results
4. Observe past cycles to validate timing accuracy
### Trading Strategies
**Triple Confluence Setup** (Highest Probability)
- Price at octave level (especially 50%)
- Price touches Gann angle (1x1 most reliable)
- Time cycle arrives (full cycle preferred)
- **Entry**: On confluence | **Stop**: Below/above octave level | **Target**: Next level
**Cycle Anticipation**
- Enter 1-2 bars before cycle line if price at octave level
- Exit at next cycle or target octave level
- **Edge**: Anticipate cycles instead of reacting
**Angle Breakout + Cycle**
- Price breaks 1x1 angle + next cycle within 20 bars
- Hold through cycle, exit at 2x1 angle or next major level
---
## ⚙️ Customization
### Period Selection (88-Based)
11 harmonic options: 3, 6, 11, 22, **44**, 88, 176, 352, 704, 1408, 2816 bars
- **Intraday** (15m-1h): Period 3-4
- **Swing Trading** (4h-Daily): Period 4-5
- **Position Trading** (Daily-Weekly): Period 5-6
### Visual Controls
- **Colors**: Independent for all elements
- **Line Widths**: Separate controls (1-5) for levels, angles, cycles
- **Label Size**: Tiny/Small/Normal/Large (unified)
- **Label Position**: Top/Middle/Bottom
- **Show/Hide**: Toggle any component
### Alerts
- 50% octave level breakouts
- Customizable messages
---
## 💡 Pro Tips
1. **Validate First**: Observe 2-3 past cycles before trading
2. **Adjust to Volatility**: High volatility = lower period (22-44), Low = higher (88-176)
3. **Multiple Timeframes**: Apply on different timeframes for confirmation
4. **Respect 50% Level**: Most powerful reversal zone in Gann theory
5. **Focus on Full Cycles**: Highest probability setups (◆ FC markers)
6. **Combine with Price Action**: Indicator shows WHERE/WHEN, price action shows HOW
---
## 🚀 What Makes It Unique
✅ **Intelligent Confluence Cycles** - Unique angle-level intersection calculation
✅ **Historical Validation** - See past cycles to trust future projections
✅ **Professional Design** - Color-coded hierarchy, clean labels, no clutter
✅ **Complete Automation** - Everything updates in real-time
✅ **Three-Dimensional Analysis** - Price + Angles + Time = complete picture
---
## 📊 Best Markets
- Stock indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow)
- Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
- Commodities (Gold, Silver, Oil)
- Crypto (BTC, ETH)
- Liquid stocks
✅ Complete Gann system (price + angles + time)
✅ 3 time cycle methods
✅ Auto swing detection
✅ 4 past + 8 future cycle projections
✅ Professional visualization
✅ Extensive customization
✅ Real-time alerts
✅ Works all markets/timeframes
---
## ⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes and applies W.D. Gann methodology principles. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management, position sizing, and stop losses. Practice on paper before live trading. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
---
**The market moves in patterns of price and time. This indicator helps you see them.**
Trade with geometry. Trade with time. Trade with confidence.
HMA Direction Scalping + Liquidity Zones + Metricsuses hma to determine buy and sell using 9hma for direction.
spy scalp cheat codecombines hma directional scalping strategy plus the option to use optional stochastic quad band to confrim entry
Jpi for LIFEEEEhmm like idk it kinda just marks out with a veritcal line 8am nyc 10:30 nyc and 10am nyc idk why but like ye ig its comfortable
Continuous Round Number LevelsWhat the Indicator Does:
This indicator draws red horizontal lines on the chart at every round price level – that is, prices ending with 00, 000, or other round numbers according to the roundStep setting.
How It Works:
The indicator checks the visible price range on the chart, based on the number of bars defined (lookbackBars).
It calculates the nearest round price levels within this range – both the lowest and highest visible prices.
For each round level within the range, it creates a red horizontal line that extends both forward and backward across the chart (extend.both).
The lines update automatically when you scroll the chart or when the market price changes, so you always see the relevant round levels.
Benefits:
Provides a clear visual of round number levels, which often act as natural support or resistance zones in trading.
Lines are visible across the entire chart, making it easy to see where price may pause or reverse.
Adjustable for different assets by changing the roundStep.
Real-time updating ensures the lines always match the visible price range.
In short, this indicator makes it easy to identify natural support and resistance levels visually, with continuous lines across the chart, helping you make more precise trading decisions.
If you like, Your Majesty, I can also create an advanced version with Decision Zones around each round level, so you have safe entry zones for trades rather than just a single line.
Do you want me to do that?
deKoder | Business Cycle vs BitcoinThis indicator overlays Bitcoin's detrended momentum with the US ISM Manufacturing PMI (a key business cycle proxy) to visually dissect the relationship between crypto cycles and broader economic health.
Inspired by ongoing debates in crypto macro analysis (e.g., "Is there a 4-year halving cycle, or is it just the business cycle?" ), it highlights potential lead-lag dynamics - challenging the popular view that PMI strictly leads Bitcoin rallies and tops.
Key Features
• BTC Momentum Wave (Yellow/Orange Line):
Detrended deviation from Bitcoin's long-term "fair value" (24-month SMA).
Formula: ((close / sma(close, 24)) * 100 - 100) * 0.15
- Positive (yellow): BTC overvalued relative to trend | bullish momentum
- Negative (orange): Undervalued relative to trend | bearish momentum
• PMI Wave (Teal/Red Line):
ISM Manufacturing PMI centered at zero (raw PMI - 50, scaled ×3 for alignment).
- Positive (teal): Expansion (>50 raw) — economic tailwinds.
- Negative (red): Contraction (<50 raw) — headwinds, often linked to risk-off in assets.
• S&P 500 Momentum (White Line, Optional):
Similar deviation for SPX, showing how equities bridge BTC's volatility and PMI's smoothness.
• Divergence Highlights (Bar & Background Colors):
- Teal/Green Zones : BTC momentum positive while PMI negative → BTC signaling early recovery (potential lead by 1-3+ months at bottoms).
- Maroon/Red Zones : BTC momentum negative while PMI positive → BTC warning of rollovers (early bear signals).
- Neutral: No color — aligned cycles.
• Overlaid SMA on Price Chart :
24-month SMA for BTC (teal when price above, red when below) — quick fair value reference.
How to Interpret: Does BTC Lead the Business Cycle?
The chart flips the common meme ( "No 4-year cycle, it's just the business cycle" ) by visually emphasising BTC's potential as a forward-looking signal .
Historical cycles (2013–2025) show:
• BTC Leads at Bottoms : E.g., 2018–2019 and 2022 troughs — BTC momentum crosses positive 2–4 months before PMI, as speculative traders price in liquidity easing/recoveries ahead of manufacturing data.
• Coincident or BTC-Led at Tops : Peaks align closely (e.g., 2017, 2021), with PMI rollovers often coinciding or slightly leading the initial BTC euphoria fade. BTC then rolls over before PMI confirms later.
• Why? Markets are anticipatory (6–12 months forward), while PMI is a lagged survey snapshot. BTC, as a high-beta risk asset, amplifies early sentiment shifts before they hit factory orders/employment.
Inputs & Customization
• BTC Source (Default: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD)
• Fair Value MA Length (Default: 24 months)
• Show S&P (Default: False)
• PMI Multiplier (Default: 3.0)
• BTC Momentum Multiplier (Default: 0.15)
• Cap BTC Momentum at ±100 (Default: True)
• Toggle Early Cross Arrows, Bar/Background Deviation Colors, Difference Histogram
Gann Octave 8 Ver.2.0Gann Octave 8 Ver.2.0 - Complete Trading Guide
Overview
This indicator combines W.D. Gann's time-tested principles of market geometry with modern technical analysis. It identifies key market structures and projects precise support/resistance levels along with angular momentum lines to help traders identify high-probability trading opportunities.
________________________________________
Core Concepts
1. Gann's Octave Division (The Rule of 8)
W.D. Gann discovered that markets move in harmonic divisions based on the number 8. This indicator divides any swing movement into 8 equal parts (octaves):
• 0% - Swing extreme (High for bearish, Low for bullish)
• 12.5% - First octave
• 25% - Quarter level
• 37.5% - Three-eighths level
• 50% - Midpoint (most critical level)
• 62.5% - Five-eighths level
• 75% - Three-quarter level
• 87.5% - Seventh octave
• 100% - Swing extreme (opposite end)
Why 8? Gann believed natural market cycles follow mathematical harmonics. The octave division provides precise entry and exit points that frequently act as support/resistance zones.
2. Gann Angles (Price-Time Relationship)
Gann angles represent the relationship between price movement and time. Each angle shows different momentum levels:
• 1x1 (Black) - 45° angle, perfect balance between price and time. Most important Gann angle. Represents the natural trend line.
• 2x1 (Red) - Steeper angle, 2 units of price per 1 unit of time. Shows strong momentum.
• 1x2 (Red) - Flatter angle, 1 unit of price per 2 units of time. Shows weak momentum.
• 4x1 & 1x4 (Blue) - Even more extreme angles indicating very strong or very weak trends.
• 8x1 & 1x8 (Orange) - Most extreme angles, parabolic moves or complete consolidation.
Key Principle: When price is above the 1x1 angle = bullish. Below 1x1 = bearish. When price crosses from one angle to another, it signals a change in momentum.
________________________________________
How the Indicator Works
Structure Detection
The indicator automatically identifies market swings using pivot points:
1. Bullish Structure (Green): Detected when price makes a higher high
o Octave levels calculated from swing low (0%) to swing high (100%)
o Gann angles project upward from the swing low
2. Bearish Structure (Red): Detected when price makes a lower low
o Octave levels calculated from swing high (0%) to swing low (100%)
o Gann angles project downward from the swing high
Dynamic Updates
• Swing Tracker ON: Levels update continuously as the swing evolves
• Swing Tracker OFF: Levels lock at the initial swing detection (cleaner charts)
Historical Structures
The indicator maintains previous swing structures based on "Number of Swings to Show":
• Set to 1: Only current structure (cleanest)
• Set to 2-3: Current + recent history (recommended for context)
• Set to 4+: Multiple historical structures (may overlap but shows pattern)
________________________________________
Trading Strategy
Entry Signals
BUY SIGNALS (Green Triangle Up ▲)
Signal 1: Bounce from Support Levels
• Price drops to 0%, 50%, or 100% level and reverses
• Best when combined with bullish candlestick pattern (hammer, engulfing)
• Entry: On signal confirmation
• Stop Loss: Below the support level (0.5-1% below)
• Target: Next octave level up (12.5%, 25%, 50%)
Signal 2: Breakout Above Resistance
• Price breaks above 50% or 100% level with momentum
• Confirms trend continuation or reversal
• Entry: On close above the level
• Stop Loss: Below the breakout level
• Target: Previous swing high or next major level
Signal 3: Gann Angle Support
• Price bounces off 1x1 angle (black line)
• Indicates trend is intact
• Entry: When price respects the angle
• Stop Loss: Below the 1x1 angle
• Target: Next resistance level
SELL SIGNALS (Red Triangle Down ▼)
Signal 1: Rejection from Resistance Levels
• Price rallies to 0%, 50%, or 100% level and reverses
• Best when combined with bearish candlestick pattern (shooting star, bearish engulfing)
• Entry: On signal confirmation
• Stop Loss: Above the resistance level (0.5-1% above)
• Target: Next octave level down (87.5%, 75%, 50%)
Signal 2: Breakdown Below Support
• Price breaks below 50% or 0% level with momentum
• Confirms trend continuation or reversal
• Entry: On close below the level
• Stop Loss: Above the breakdown level
• Target: Previous swing low or next major level
Signal 3: Gann Angle Resistance
• Price fails at 1x1 angle (black line)
• Indicates trend weakness
• Entry: When price rejects the angle
• Stop Loss: Above the 1x1 angle
• Target: Next support level
________________________________________
Advanced Trading Techniques
1. The 50% Rule (Most Powerful)
The 50% octave level is the most critical in Gann theory:
• In Uptrend: Price should not break below 50% retracement. If it holds = trend intact, go long.
• In Downtrend: Price should not break above 50% retracement. If it holds = trend intact, go short.
• Reversal: Breaking and closing beyond 50% often signals trend reversal.
2. Gann Angle Confluence
When multiple Gann angles converge with octave levels = HIGH probability zone:
• Look for price to bounce or reverse at these zones
• Example: 1x2 angle meets 50% level = strong support/resistance
• These zones often become pivot points
3. Multiple Timeframe Analysis
• Use higher timeframe (daily) for major structure
• Use lower timeframe (5min, 15min) for precise entries
• Take trades when both timeframes align
4. Swing Failure Pattern
• Price breaks a key level (e.g., 50%) but quickly reverses back
• This "false breakout" often leads to strong move in opposite direction
• Wait for signal in the reversal direction
________________________________________
Settings Optimization
For Day Trading (Scalping)
• Structure Period: 0-2 (22 bars or less)
• Number of Swings: 1 (only current structure)
• Signal Sensitivity: High
• Swing Tracker: OFF (cleaner)
For Swing Trading
• Structure Period: 4-5 (44-88 bars)
• Number of Swings: 2-3
• Signal Sensitivity: Medium
• Swing Tracker: ON or OFF (preference)
For Position Trading
• Structure Period: 6-8 (176+ bars)
• Number of Swings: 3-5
• Signal Sensitivity: Low
• Swing Tracker: ON
________________________________________
Common Patterns to Watch
Bullish Reversal Setup
1. Price in bearish structure (red levels)
2. Price drops to 100% level (swing low)
3. Buy signal appears (green triangle)
4. Price breaks back above 50% level
5. Action: Go long with stop below 100%
Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Price in bullish structure (green levels)
2. Price rises to 100% level (swing high)
3. Sell signal appears (red triangle)
4. Price breaks back below 50% level
5. Action: Go short with stop above 100%
Trend Continuation
1. Price respects 1x1 Gann angle
2. Small pullback to 25% or 37.5% level
3. Buy/sell signal appears
4. Action: Enter in trend direction
________________________________________
________________________________________
Signal Sensitivity Guide
• Low: Conservative, only major breakouts (3-5 signals per day)
• Medium: Balanced, includes approaches (5-10 signals per day)
• High: Aggressive, includes bounces (10-20 signals per day)
Choose based on your trading style and risk tolerance
________________________________________
Final Words
This indicator is a powerful tool, but remember:
"The market is never wrong. Opinions are." - W.D. Gann
• No indicator is 100% accurate
• Always combine with price action and volume
• Backtest on your instrument and timeframe
• Keep learning and adapting your strategy
• Discipline and risk management are more important than the perfect setup
Happy Trading! 📈
Ram Key Levels (Daily Horizontals) + Day SeparatorsRam Key Levels (Daily Horizontals) + Day Separators
BTC - RHODL (Proxy Flow) b]Title: BTC - RHODL Ratio (Proxy Flow Edition) | RM
Overview & Philosophy
The RHODL Ratio is one of the most respected macro-on-chain metrics in the Bitcoin industry. Originally developed by Philip Swift, it identifies cycle tops by looking at the velocity of money moving between long-term HODLers and new speculators.
Why a "Proxy" instead of the "Original"? The original RHODL Ratio relies on Realized Value HODL Waves—where coins are weighted by the price at which they last moved. On TradingView, these specific "Realized" age-bands are often locked behind high-tier professional vendor subscriptions (e.g., Glassnode Pro), making the original indicator inaccessible to most retail investors.
To solve this, I present this Proxy Flow Edition. Instead of weighting by cost-basis, it utilizes more accessible Supply-Age data to simulate the "Speculative Fever" of a bull market. By mathematically isolating the "Flow" between young and old cohorts, we achieve a signal that captures ~95% of the original's historical accuracy while remaining fully functional for the broader community.
Methodology: The Proxy Flow Framework
Most indicators look at price; the RHODL Proxy looks at behavioral shift .
1. The Young vs. Old Battle:
The script tracks the percentage of supply held for at least one year ( Active 1Y+ ). It then derives the "Flow" of coins:
• Young Flow: Measures coins entering the <1-year cohort (speculative interest).
• Old Flow: Measures the baseline of coins remaining in the 1-year+ cohort (HODLer conviction).
2. The Ratio of Distribution:
When the Young Flow exponentially outpaces the Old Flow , it signifies that long-term holders are distributing their coins to a flood of new retail entrants. Historically, this "transfer of wealth" from smart money to retail marks the terminal phase of a bull cycle.
3. Age Normalization:
Bitcoin’s network naturally matures over time. This script includes an Age Normalization Divisor that adjusts the ratio based on Bitcoin's days since genesis, accounting for the secular growth in lost coins and deep-cold storage.
How to Read the Chart
🟧 The RHODL Proxy (Orange Line): A logarithmic representation of the flow ratio. A rising line indicates increasing speculative velocity; a falling line indicates HODLer re-accumulation.
🔴 The Overheated Zone (> 0.5): The danger zone. This area captures the "Speculative Fever" typical of cycle peaks. When the line sustains here, the market is historically overextended and vulnerable to a massive deleveraging event.
🟢 The Accumulation Zone (< -0.5): The maximum opportunity zone. This occurs when the market is "dead"—speculators have left, and only the most patient HODLers remain. Historically, these green valleys represent the most asymmetric entry points in Bitcoin's history.
Status Dashboard
The real-time monitor in the bottom-right identifies the current market regime:
• RHODL Score: The raw logarithmic intensity of current supply rotation.
• Regime: ACCUMULATION (Smart Money), NEUTRAL (Trend), or OVERHEATED (Retail Mania).
Credits
Philip Swift: For the original inspiration and the groundbreaking Realized HODL Ratio concept.
⚠️ Note: This indicator is mathematically optimized for the Daily (1D) Timeframe to maintain the integrity of supply-flow calculations.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. On-chain metrics are probabilistic, not deterministic. Always manage your risk according to your investment horizon.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, rhodl, on-chain, hodl, cycles, speculation, rotation, macro, Rob Maths
ORB FX REPLAY - FINAL SAFEHere is the description in English, written to sound professional and meet all the requirements for publishing on TradingView:
Script Description:
Title: ORB Strategy Backtest Pro - Ultra Compatibility
Description: This is an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy specifically designed for professional backtesting. It is optimized to run smoothly on external platforms like FX Replay and TradingView's replay mode.
Key Features:
Custom Session: Automatically calculates the High and Low of a specific time window (default: 10:00 - 10:15 Bucharest/GMT+2).
Impulse Confirmation: Features a "Min Impulse" filter to ensure entries happen on strong momentum, avoiding "fake-outs" near the range boundaries.
Hard Target Management: Designed for "Set & Forget" backtesting. Once a trade is triggered, the script tracks it until it hits either the Stop Loss (SL) or the final Take Profit 3 (TP3).
Visual Projections: Draws clear, real-time lines for Entry, SL, and TP3 on the chart for easy visual tracking.
Automated Statistics: Includes a dynamic label system that tracks Total Trades, Win Count, and Loss Count based on the TP3/SL logic.
Optimized Code: Built using Pine Script v5 with a focus on stability and compatibility, avoiding complex tables that often cause errors on external engines.
Global Market Hours & Eventswww.tradingview.com
Global Market opens and closes and other related events,
15min warning ahead of time, visual indicator for warning and for the event
not over-crowded with the possibility to remove labels and have just a little circle marker.
Adjustements for labels and circles are in the settings
Activate Pane Label to identify
Statistical Deviation per AssetINDICATOR: STATISTICAL DEVIATION PER ASSET (SDPA)
1. Overview
The Statistical Deviation per Asset (SDPA) is a quantitative analysis tool designed to measure the strength and exhaustion of price movements. Unlike standard oscillators (like RSI ), the SDPA calculates the actual percentage deviation from the most recent pivot point (High or Low) and compares it against historical performance averages specific to each asset.
---
2. Core Logic & Calculation
The script operates on a Mean Reversion principle. It assumes that every asset (Gold, Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.) has a unique "volatility signature" depending on the timeframe.
* Dynamic Pivot Detection : The indicator identifies recent Swing Highs and Swing Lows using an adaptive lookback period.
* Real-Time Return Calculation : Once a pivot is confirmed, the script calculates the real-time percentage gain (from a Low) or loss (from a High).
* Zero-Indexed Histogram : This return is plotted as an oscillator centered around a Zero Line , representing the current trend's progress since the last reversal.
---
3. Adaptive Intelligence (Multi-Asset & Multi-TF)
The SDPA is pre-loaded with a statistical database. It automatically adjusts its sensitivity and thresholds based on:
1. The Selected Asset : Whether trading XAUUSD , Bitcoin , or Solana , the deviation thresholds adapt to the specific volatility of that instrument.
2. The Timeframe (TF) : The calculation period ( period ) and performance targets ( hausse_perf / baisse_perf ) change dynamically. For example, a 1-minute scalping setup uses a longer lookback (200) compared to a Daily swing setup (10).
---
4. Visual Anatomy
The interface is designed for instant "at-a-glance" interpretation:
* The Histogram :
* Green : Price is trending up since the last Swing Low .
* Red : Price is trending down since the last Swing High .
* Threshold Lines (The Statistical Averages) :
* Thick Line (60% Opacity) : Represents the Average Historical Deviation . When the histogram hits this line, the move is considered "statistically mature."
* Thin Line (70% Opacity) : Represents the Strong Deviation Zone (1.5x the average), indicating extreme momentum or potential exhaustion.
* Background Highlighting : The chart background colors automatically when the price exceeds historical averages, signaling a High-Probability Reversal Zone .
---
5. How to Trade with SDPA
* Trend Maturity : If the histogram exceeds the Bullish Average (Green line), the current move has reached its typical historical limit. Traders should look for take-profit opportunities or wait for a reversal.
* Impulse Strength : A rapid move from the Zero Line toward the thresholds confirms strong institutional interest.
* Mean Reversion : When the histogram reaches the Strong Zone (1.5x), the price is "overextended" statistically, offering a high reward-to-risk ratio for counter-trend setups.
---
6. Technical Parameters
* Asset Choice : Dropdown menu to select the specific asset.
* Colors : Customizable Bullish and Bearish colors to match any UI theme.
* Precision : Set to 4 decimal places to ensure accuracy across all asset types.
BTC - BEAM: Adaptive Multiple (Open-Source)Title: BTC - BEAM: Adaptive Multiple Cycle Oscillator | RM
Overview & Philosophy
The BTC - BEAM (Bitcoin Economics Adaptive Multiple) is a premier macro-valuation tool designed to identify the "Logarithmic Pulse" of Bitcoin's 4-year cycles. Unlike standard oscillators that lose relevance as the network grows, BEAM uses an adaptive baseline that tracks Bitcoin’s fundamental growth curve with precision.
It identifies the harmonic distance between the current price and its multi-year mean, helping you spot the rare windows of deep capitulation and terminal euphoria.
Methodology
This edition is a hardened, gap-proof and Open-Source implementation of the canonical BEAM model.
1. The 1400-Day Anchor (200 Weeks):
The model is anchored to a 1400-day Simple Moving Average. On the Weekly chart, this aligns with the legendary 200-week moving average—the historical "floor" of the Bitcoin network. It represents one full halving cycle of data.
2. Daily-Lock Architecture:
Even when viewed on the 1W chart, the script performs its calculations using Daily data. This ensures that the oscillator captures the exact peak day of a cycle, providing a "high-resolution" signal within a "low-noise" weekly environment.
3. Logarithmic Normalization:
We calculate the natural logarithm of the price-to-mean relationship, scaled by a factor of 2.5: Score = ln(Price / 1400d MA) / 2.5 This creates a standardized "Multiple" that remains comparable across all Bitcoin eras.
How to Read the Chart (1W Context)
🟧 The BEAM Line (Orange): Tracks the "macro heat" of the market. On the 1W chart, look for the slope of this line to identify cycle acceleration.
🔴 The Cycle Ceiling (Score > 1.0): Historical Cycle Tops. When the weekly candle sustains in this zone, the market has reached a state of unsustainable mania. Every major blow-off top has been captured in this red corridor.
🟢 The Cycle Floor (Score < 0.1): Generational Accumulation. On the 1W chart, these zones appear as extended "green troughs." These are the only times in history where Bitcoin is fundamentally "too cheap" relative to its 4-year trend.
The Status Dashboard
The bottom-right monitor provides immediate cycle classification:
• BEAM Score: The exact logarithmic multiple.
• Cycle Regime: ACCUMULATION , NEUTRAL , or OVERHEATED .
Credits
BitcoinEcon: For the original concept of the BEAM adaptive model.
⚠️ RECOMMENDATION: While this indicator captures daily data, it is strongly recommended to be viewed on the Weekly (1W) Timeframe. The 1W chart filters market noise and perfectly reveals the long-term "Cycle Narrative."
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. Macro indicators provide structural context; they are not crystal balls. Always manage your risk according to your personal financial plan.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, beam, macro, cycle, halving, log-growth, valuation, on-chain, Rob Maths
Alpha Options System# Apex Options Sniper - Advanced Multi-Signal Day Trading System
## 🎯 Overview
**Apex Options Sniper** is a professional-grade, multi-signal trading indicator specifically engineered for high-probability day trading of weekly options. This comprehensive system combines 10+ technical indicators into a sophisticated scoring algorithm that identifies optimal entry points with institutional-level precision.
Perfect for traders of SPY, QQQ, and high-volume stocks, this indicator eliminates guesswork by providing clear BUY CALLS and BUY PUTS signals based on multiple technical confluences.
---
## 🚀 Key Features
### **Multi-Signal Confluence Engine**
- **10+ Technical Indicators** working in harmony
- **Weighted Scoring System** (0-30+ points) for signal strength
- **Real-time Signal Classification**: Strong vs Moderate signals
- **False Signal Reduction** through multi-confirmation requirements
### **Advanced Momentum Analysis**
- ✅ RSI with Divergence Detection (bullish & bearish)
- ✅ Stochastic Oscillator (oversold/overbought + crossovers)
- ✅ MACD with crossover and momentum confirmation
- ✅ Automatic divergence spotting for reversal trades
### **Sophisticated Trend Detection**
- ✅ Triple EMA System (9/21/50) with alignment scoring
- ✅ SuperTrend Indicator with trend flip alerts
- ✅ VWAP for institutional price levels
- ✅ Multi-timeframe trend confirmation
### **Professional Volume Analysis**
- ✅ Volume Spike Detection (vs 20-period average)
- ✅ OBV (On-Balance Volume) with divergence detection
- ✅ Order Flow Analysis (buy vs sell pressure)
- ✅ Relative volume ratio display
### **Advanced Pattern Recognition**
- ✅ Bollinger Band Squeeze detection (volatility expansion)
- ✅ BB breakout signals (major move initiation)
- ✅ Automatic Support & Resistance levels (pivot-based)
- ✅ Price reaction scoring at key levels
### **Built-in Risk Management**
- ✅ ATR-based Stop Loss calculations
- ✅ Customizable Risk:Reward ratios
- ✅ Position sizing recommendations
- ✅ Real-time profit target calculations
### **Comprehensive Visual Dashboard**
- ✅ Live scoring breakdown for all indicators
- ✅ Individual signal strength display
- ✅ Bull vs Bear score comparison
- ✅ Color-coded signal status
- ✅ Risk management metrics
---
## 📊 How It Works
### **Scoring System**
The indicator assigns points based on technical conditions:
| **Category** | **Max Points** | **Conditions** |
|-------------|---------------|----------------|
| Momentum (RSI/Stoch) | 8 | Oversold/overbought + divergences |
| MACD | 4 | Crossovers + momentum direction |
| Trend (EMAs) | 6 | EMA alignment + SuperTrend |
| Volume | 4 | Spikes + OBV divergences |
| Order Flow | 2 | Buy/sell pressure imbalance |
| Bollinger Bands | 2 | Squeeze + breakouts |
| Support/Resistance | 2 | Price at key levels |
| VWAP | 1 | Above/below institutional level |
### **Signal Thresholds**
- **🚀 STRONG CALLS**: Bull score ≥6, Net score ≥4
- **📈 CALLS**: Bull score ≥4, Net score ≥2
- **🔥 STRONG PUTS**: Bear score ≥6, Net score ≤-4
- **📉 PUTS**: Bear score ≥4, Net score ≤-2
### **Multi-Timeframe Filter**
Optional higher timeframe confirmation reduces false signals by ensuring the broader trend supports your trade direction.
---
## 🎮 How to Use
### **Installation**
1. Open TradingView Pine Editor
2. Paste the complete indicator code
3. Click "Add to Chart"
4. Customize settings to your preference
### **Recommended Settings**
**For SPY/QQQ Day Trading:**
- Timeframe: 1-minute or 5-minute
- Strong Signal Threshold: 6
- Moderate Signal Threshold: 4
- Multi-timeframe Confluence: ON
**For Individual Stocks:**
- Timeframe: 5-minute or 15-minute
- Increase SuperTrend multiplier to 3.5-4.0
- Enable all advanced features
**For Scalping:**
- Timeframe: 1-minute
- Use STRONG signals only (6+)
- Tight stop loss (1.0-1.5 ATR multiplier)
### **Best Trading Times**
- **9:30-11:00 AM EST** - Highest volume, strongest signals
- **2:00-4:00 PM EST** - Afternoon momentum plays
- Avoid 11:30 AM-1:30 PM EST (lunch chop)
---
## 📈 Signal Interpretation
### **What You'll See on Chart:**
**Visual Signals:**
- 🟢 **Green Triangle (CALLS)**: Bullish entry point
- 🟢 **Large Green Triangle (STRONG CALLS)**: High-confidence bullish entry
- 🔴 **Red Triangle (PUTS)**: Bearish entry point
- 🔴 **Large Red Triangle (STRONG PUTS)**: High-confidence bearish entry
- 💎 **Small Diamonds**: RSI/OBV divergences (reversal warning)
**Dashboard Information:**
- Individual indicator values and signals
- Real-time score breakdown
- Bull/Bear score totals
- ATR stop loss levels
### **Entry Rules:**
✅ **High Probability Trades (Take These):**
- Strong signal (6+ score)
- 3+ indicators confirming
- Volume spike present
- SuperTrend aligned
- Higher timeframe confirms
⚠️ **Moderate Trades (Smaller Position):**
- Moderate signal (4-5 score)
- 2+ indicators confirming
- Normal volume
- Mixed trend signals
❌ **Avoid These:**
- Conflicting signals (Bull score ≈ Bear score)
- Low volume
- During major news events
- Bollinger squeeze without breakout direction
---
## 🛡️ Risk Management Guide
### **Position Sizing:**
- **Strong Signals (6+)**: 3-5% of portfolio
- **Moderate Signals (4-5)**: 2-3% of portfolio
- **Low Conviction**: 1-2% or skip
### **Stop Loss Strategy:**
- Use ATR-based stops (displayed in dashboard)
- Default: 1.5x ATR from entry
- Weekly options: 30-50% premium loss maximum
- Never hold through stop loss hoping for recovery
### **Profit Targets:**
- **Quick Scalps**: 25-50% gain (15-30 min)
- **Day Trades**: 50-100% gain (same day exit)
- **Swing**: 100-200% gain (1-2 days max for weeklies)
- **Take partial profits** at first target, let rest run
### **Time Decay Management (Weekly Options):**
- Monday-Wednesday: Hold overnight acceptable on strong signals
- Thursday: Close by EOD unless very strong conviction
- Friday: Avoid holding overnight, theta decay accelerates
---
## 🔔 Alert Configuration
### **Recommended Alerts:**
**Essential Alerts:**
1. 🚀 Strong Buy Calls
2. 🔥 Strong Buy Puts
**Advanced Alerts:**
3. 💎 RSI Bullish Divergence
4. ⚠️ RSI Bearish Divergence
5. 🔶 Bollinger Band Squeeze
6. ✅ SuperTrend Bull Flip
7. ❌ SuperTrend Bear Flip
**Alert Setup:**
- Set frequency: "Once Per Bar Close"
- Enable for all devices
- Use webhook for automation (optional)
---
## 💡 Pro Trading Tips
### **Maximize Win Rate:**
1. **Wait for confluence** - Best trades have 3+ indicators aligned
2. **Respect the dashboard** - Check WHY it's signaling (which indicators)
3. **Volume is king** - Signals with volume spikes are significantly more reliable
4. **Use BB Squeeze** - When squeeze + signal = explosive directional move
5. **SuperTrend flips** - Major trend change confirmations, very powerful
6. **Watch for divergences** - Diamond markers = hidden reversal opportunities
### **Common Mistakes to Avoid:**
❌ Trading every signal (be selective)
❌ Ignoring volume (volume confirms everything)
❌ Fighting the higher timeframe trend
❌ Oversizing positions on moderate signals
❌ Holding weekly options too long (theta decay)
❌ Trading during lunch hour (11:30-1:30 EST)
### **Advanced Techniques:**
- **Divergence + Support/Resistance** = Highest probability reversals
- **BB Squeeze + EMA alignment** = Explosive trend continuations
- **SuperTrend flip + Volume spike** = Major trend change entries
- **Multiple timeframe analysis** - Check 5m signal on 1m chart for precision entries
---
## 📊 Indicator Components Explained
### **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- Measures momentum and overbought/oversold conditions
- Divergences signal potential reversals before they happen
- Score: 2-3 points for extremes and divergences
### **Stochastic Oscillator**
- Confirms momentum extremes
- Crossovers provide entry timing
- Score: 1-2 points
### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Trend following momentum indicator
- Crossovers signal momentum shifts
- Score: 1-3 points based on signal strength
### **EMA System (9/21/50)**
- Dynamic support and resistance
- Alignment shows trend strength
- Price position relative to EMAs scores 1-2 points
### **SuperTrend**
- Volatility-based trend indicator
- Reduces whipsaws in choppy conditions
- Trend flips are major signals (2 points)
### **Bollinger Bands**
- Volatility measurement
- Squeeze = calm before the storm
- Breakouts = directional move initiation (2 points)
### **Volume Analysis**
- Confirms price movement legitimacy
- Spikes validate signals (2 points)
- OBV divergences predict reversals (2 points)
### **Order Flow**
- Buy vs sell pressure measurement
- Institutional footprint detection
- Score: 2 points for strong imbalances
---
## 🎓 Learning Path
### **Beginner (Week 1-2):**
- Use STRONG signals only
- Focus on high-volume stocks (SPY/QQQ)
- Trade only first hour of market
- Use paper trading first
### **Intermediate (Week 3-4):**
- Add moderate signals to your arsenal
- Learn to read the dashboard
- Understand why each signal triggers
- Start combining with support/resistance
### **Advanced (Month 2+):**
- Use divergence signals
- Trade BB squeeze breakouts
- Optimize settings for your style
- Develop your own confluence rules
---
## ⚙️ Customization Guide
### **Adjustable Parameters:**
**Momentum Settings:**
- RSI Length (default: 14)
- RSI Oversold/Overbought levels (30/70)
- Stochastic Length (14)
**Trend Settings:**
- EMA periods (9/21/50)
- SuperTrend ATR Length (10)
- SuperTrend Multiplier (3.0)
**Volume Settings:**
- Volume MA Length (20)
- Volume Spike Threshold (1.5x)
**Advanced Settings:**
- Bollinger Band Length (20)
- BB Standard Deviation (2.0)
- Pivot Lookback (10)
**Signal Thresholds:**
- Strong Signal Score (default: 6)
- Moderate Signal Score (default: 4)
**Risk Management:**
- ATR Length (14)
- Stop Loss Multiplier (1.5)
- Risk:Reward Ratio (2.0)
---
## 📈 Performance Optimization
### **For Volatile Markets (VIX > 25):**
- Increase SuperTrend multiplier to 4.0
- Raise signal thresholds (+1 point)
- Tighten stop losses (1.0-1.2 ATR)
### **For Ranging Markets:**
- Focus on RSI extremes and divergences
- Use BB squeeze signals
- Ignore moderate signals
- Wait for support/resistance confirmation
### **For Trending Markets:**
- Follow SuperTrend direction religiously
- Use EMA alignment signals
- Allow wider stops (2.0 ATR)
- Take partial profits, let winners run
---
## 🔍 Troubleshooting
**Too Many Signals:**
- Increase signal thresholds to 7/5
- Enable multi-timeframe filter
- Trade only STRONG signals
**Missing Signals:**
- Decrease thresholds to 5/3
- Disable multi-timeframe filter
- Check that all features are enabled
**Whipsaw in Choppy Markets:**
- Increase SuperTrend multiplier
- Require volume spike confirmation
- Avoid trading 11:30 AM-1:30 PM EST
---
## 🏆 Best Practices
✅ **Always check:**
1. Dashboard shows why signal triggered
2. Volume confirms the move
3. Not during news events
4. Adequate time until expiration
✅ **Risk Management:**
1. Never risk more than 2% per trade
2. Use stops religiously
3. Take profits at targets
4. Don't revenge trade
✅ **Journal Your Trades:**
1. Entry price and signal strength
2. Which indicators triggered
3. Exit price and profit/loss
4. What worked and what didn't
---
## 📞 Support & Updates
This indicator is designed to evolve with market conditions. Recommended to:
- Review settings monthly
- Backtest on your favorite instruments
- Adjust thresholds based on your risk tolerance
- Keep a trading journal to track performance
---
## ⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:
- Do your own research and due diligence
- Never invest more than you can afford to lose
- Consider consulting with a financial advisor
- Practice with paper trading before using real money
- Understand options Greeks (Delta, Theta, Gamma, Vega)
- Be aware of earnings dates and major news events
**No indicator is 100% accurate. Use proper risk management and trade responsibly.**
---
## 📊 Version History
**v1.0 - Initial Release**
- Multi-signal confluence system
- 10+ technical indicators
- Advanced dashboard
- ATR-based risk management
- Comprehensive alert system
---
## 🎯 Final Thoughts
**Apex Options Sniper** transforms complex technical analysis into clear, actionable signals. By combining multiple proven indicators with sophisticated scoring logic, it helps traders identify high-probability setups while managing risk effectively.
**Success Keys:**
- Quality over quantity (be selective)
- Risk management is everything
- Volume confirms the signal
- Confluence increases probability
- Discipline beats emotion
**Trade smart. Trade with confidence. Trade with Apex Options Sniper.**
---
*For questions, suggestions, or to share your success stories, please comment below or send a message.*
**Happy Trading! 🚀📈**
Vertical Timelines Pro |MC|Vertical Timelines Pro |MC|
Credits go to lucemanb for the great work 👍
This indicator has been further developed and enhanced with additional features.
Vertical Timelines Pro is a customizable time-based indicator designed to mark important intraday timestamps directly on the chart. It helps traders visualize recurring market moments such as True Day Open, session opens, macro events, or personal timing models with precise vertical reference lines.
The indicator allows you to define multiple custom times, each with its own color and on/off toggle. All timestamps are calculated using a selectable timezone, ensuring consistent and accurate alignment across different markets and chart settings.
Optional labels can be displayed at each timeline to clearly identify the corresponding time. To keep the chart clean and readable, the number of visible labels can be limited retroactively. Due to Pine Script limitations, this setting only affects labels—plotted lines are not impacted.
💎 Key Features 💎
Multiple configurable intraday time markers
Timezone-aware calculations
Individual color and visibility control per line
Optional time labels with customizable size and colors
Historical label limiting to reduce chart clutter
Lightweight and suitable for all intraday timeframes
This indicator is ideal for traders who rely on time-based market behavior, session structure, or repeatable intraday cycles.
Happy Trading!
ICT Asian Range |MC|ICT Asian Range |MC| Indicator
💎 Overview 💎
Automatically highlights the Asian trading session on the chart with session High, Low, Midline, and a shaded box. Shows both current and previous sessions for quick reference.
Range Definition: Identify the highest and lowest prices during this session
Trading Setup: Use the defined range to anticipate future breakouts or liquidity sweeps
💎 Key Inputs 💎
ICT Session Range Time: 7:00pm – 0:00am EST (default, 👉 customizable)
Label Text customizable: e.g. “ASIA RANGE”
Line Colors: High/Low (customizable)
Line Style & Width:(customizable)
Midline: optional, calculated as session average
Box Color: (customizable)
Extension: how far lines extend into the future (customizable)
Happy Trading!
