MBOR Mongoose Blow-Off Risk Dashboard

MBOR (Mongoose Blow-Off Risk Dashboard) is a multi-timeframe risk and regime awareness indicator designed to identify late-stage trend exhaustion and structural instability.

The tool does not generate buy or sell signals. Instead, it provides contextual information about whether a trend is healthy, extended, or entering a high-risk phase.

MBOR is fully asset-agnostic and works across futures, equities, ETFs, crypto, and forex.

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HOW IT WORKS

MBOR combines normalized momentum, trend extension, and instability measurements into a composite risk score.

This score is evaluated across multiple higher timeframes (Daily, 3D, Weekly, Monthly) and displayed in a compact dashboard for quick situational awareness.

The primary output answers one question:

“Is this trend stable, aging, or structurally fragile?”

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REGIME STATES

Normal
Balanced conditions with no structural stress.

Late
Trend is extended but still stable. Risk begins to rise.

Exhaustion
Momentum is stretched and instability increases. Trend continuation is possible, but risk asymmetry grows.

Risk
Structural instability is elevated. Trend failure becomes possible, though not guaranteed.

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HOW TO USE MBOR

MBOR is best used as a higher-timeframe filter and risk framework.

Common use cases:
- Assessing whether late trend entries carry elevated risk
- Scaling exposure during extended moves
- Avoiding new positions during structurally fragile conditions
- Adding macro context to execution-based strategies

MBOR does not attempt to predict tops or bottoms and should be used alongside price structure and execution tools.

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VISUAL EXAMPLE

The published chart example uses Silver Futures (SI1!) on a 3-Day timeframe to demonstrate how MBOR identifies exhaustion and risk during strong upside trends.

Despite continued price appreciation, MBOR highlights increasing structural fragility and late-cycle conditions.

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FEATURES

- Multi-timeframe alignment (D / 3D / W / M)
- Composite risk and exhaustion scoring
- Flow-style cloud visualization
- Regime zone framework
- Compact, toggleable dashboard
- Clean, non-repainting calculations

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NOTES

- Pine Script v6 only
- No repainting
- No external data
- Publication-safe and chart-clean

This indicator is published in protected mode.

MBOR is a risk and regime awareness tool designed to provide higher-timeframe context. It does not generate trade signals and should be used alongside price structure and execution tools.

If you have questions about interpretation or usage, please leave a comment on the script page.