Prices high above the Moving Average (MA) or low below it are likely to be remedied in the future by a reverse price movement as stated in the article by Denis Alajbeg, Zoran Bubas and Dina Vasic published in International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management
This study is the third variant that aims to present this idea, and the output of the study is presented as lines that serve as possible support and resistance levels in the future.
1st variant of the idea is presented as an centered oscillator, link to Price Distance to its MA Study, within its description you may find more about the idea and some statistical observations. Also some derivatives with MACD-X, More Than MACD and P-MACD
2nd variant of the idea are presented as colored triangle line (Volatility Colored Price/MA Line), using the same calculation methods and presented in the bottom of price chart.
Link to studies where it is included : Colored Directional Movement and Bollinger Band's Cloud, SuperTrendRange and Pivot Points vX
3rd variant (this study) as stated earlier aims to present the same idea as support and resistance levels.
Options
The users can adjust source and length of the moving average that is used as base for the distance oscillator
Signal triggering options includes length for the deviation bands, multiplier as well as smoothing of the oscillator
Line customization settings
Additionally an alert can be configured to be warned earlier to watch out for probable pullbacks or reversals
Technical details for whom interested
Calculating the price distance to the MA results in a centered oscillator lets call it Distance Oscillator (quite similar to the RSI), as shown in the blow chart
Unlike RSI, oscillations with the distance oscillator are not limited within a specific range, hence identifying overbought and oversold is not as straight forward as it is with RSI. To determine overbought and oversold levels, standard deviation of distance oscillator is calculated and bands generated with the same approach applied with Bollinger Bands.
Once we have the threshold bands then crossing those bands we may assume as important levels and draw a line, if oscillator values keeps above the threshold bands (deviation bands) the logic behind the code will update the line drawing accordingly.
To reduce noise a smoothing can be applied
Alerts :
Please note that the implementation applied here can be applied to any oscillator such as RSI, Stochastic, MFI etc even Volume (if bear candle volumes are multiplied by -1)
Disclaimer:
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
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