xyse

Stock to Flow Model with Standard Deviation Bands

This Study takes the Stock to Flow Model for Bitcoin as presented by @100trillionUSD and smoothes it using an SMA . Then it calculates the close's standard deviation from it and displays the 2-Sigma Bands.

The stock to flow model seems to be one of the best predictions of Bitcoins price as shown by the following medium articles.
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/model...
https://medium.com/@phraudsta/falsifying...

The standard deviation bands are supposed to show situations in which Bitcoin is significantly over- or under-bought.

Notas de Lançamento: Added option to change the standard stock to flow model values.
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Comentários

Hello Xyse, many thanks for this script, it works like a charm (have been using it for months!).
I just have a question: why did you pick the default parameters 0.4 and 3 for the multiplier and exponent respectively?
I had a look at Plan B (@100trillionusd) methodology and wasn't able to find those figures.
Thank you in advance for you reply. Admire your work
+1 Resposta
xyse gon1111
@gon1111, Check Plan B's inital post about the model on his Medium (https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25). There is this Picture with the Parameters of the Equation. (https://miro.medium.com/max/700/1*YvqgE9q1UBOKT_rPAFH4Ew.png)
Resposta
@xyse, Awesome, many thanks for the prompt and helpful reply!
Resposta
Very interesting. If I remember correctly the S2F used a couple of parameters. Like the exponent at which it should be elevated to, and so on. How did you handle that? Would it be possible to have that as a parameter?
+1 Resposta
xyse piespe
@piespe, Yeah, its in line 17. I'll make an update so you can adjust the values. Have a nice day! (After the update its line 19)
+1 Resposta
@xyse, Thanks!
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