Mohsen-Razavi

Yearly analysis: I see decades of bearish...

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OANDA:XAUUSD   Ouro/Dólar Americano
On the yearly timeframe, we're witnessing formation of a massive double top. A double in the area of ~1900 (±50).
There's a high probability that Gold will move towards the neckline of this probable double top (1200-1300 area).

Everything depends on the next few years:

Strong breakout of the neckline (1200-1300), aligned with vigorous US funds and DXY in a good shape, means investors of the new world have finally found industries and social/national investments far more profitable than safe haven assets. In this scenario, I see some targets around 600-700 for XAU.

In another scenario, 1200-1300 area lowers the momentum, meaning safe haven assets are not so east-to-defeat ! Takes a longer time.

Anyway, in both scenarios, I see really high probability of retesting 1200-1300 area. However, it's on the yearly timeframe, slow, but steady...
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