I compare the charts of YS Treasury Yield Spread between 10 years and 2 years and SPX.
In the chart, it shows that everytime the spread comes out from negative area, the SPX falls (crash).
This is the reason why Economist say that Yield Spread is the predictor of Recession that leads to Market Crash
In the chart, it shows that everytime the spread comes out from negative area, the SPX falls (crash).
This is the reason why Economist say that Yield Spread is the predictor of Recession that leads to Market Crash