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GBP/CAD at a crossroads: this key level could trigger the drop!

My visual analysis highlights a strong multi-timeframe resistance zone (weekly and monthly) between 1.8662 and 1.8779, where price has reacted sharply multiple times. This area, marked in dark burgundy, signals a significant supply zone.
Currently, price is trading back in the 1.8350–1.8400 region. Based on my note on the chart ("Looking for a short opportunity on H1"), I’m anticipating a potential short entry from lower timeframes—likely triggered by a structural break or bearish candlestick confirmation.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If I get a short confirmation around the current area, I’ll be targeting the 1.7900–1.7677 demand zone (highlighted in deep blue), which has previously shown strong bullish reactions.
The RSI is also showing signs of potential divergence or overextension, adding weight to the bearish thesis.
🟢 Alternative Scenario:
If price decisively breaks above the 1.8780 monthly resistance, we could see an extended bullish move towards levels not currently visible on this chart.
📌 Operational Note:
I’ll be looking for entry confirmations on lower timeframes (like H1), with valid reversal patterns or price action triggers, and will manage the position dynamically depending on how price behaves around the 1.79 zone.
Currently, price is trading back in the 1.8350–1.8400 region. Based on my note on the chart ("Looking for a short opportunity on H1"), I’m anticipating a potential short entry from lower timeframes—likely triggered by a structural break or bearish candlestick confirmation.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If I get a short confirmation around the current area, I’ll be targeting the 1.7900–1.7677 demand zone (highlighted in deep blue), which has previously shown strong bullish reactions.
The RSI is also showing signs of potential divergence or overextension, adding weight to the bearish thesis.
🟢 Alternative Scenario:
If price decisively breaks above the 1.8780 monthly resistance, we could see an extended bullish move towards levels not currently visible on this chart.
📌 Operational Note:
I’ll be looking for entry confirmations on lower timeframes (like H1), with valid reversal patterns or price action triggers, and will manage the position dynamically depending on how price behaves around the 1.79 zone.
📈 Nicola | EdgeTradingJourney
Documenting my path to $1M in prop capital through real trading, discipline, and analysis.
Documenting my path to $1M in prop capital through real trading, discipline, and analysis.
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.
📈 Nicola | EdgeTradingJourney
Documenting my path to $1M in prop capital through real trading, discipline, and analysis.
Documenting my path to $1M in prop capital through real trading, discipline, and analysis.
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.