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GBPAUD – Double bottom or just a pull back? - the week of 09 May

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FX:GBPAUD   Libra Esterlina/Dólar Australiano
In my opinion this pair is still strongly bearish. Yes, the candle of Thu made a lot of ground pulling back all of what it lost, but note how small the Fri candle is. The bulls just did not have much momentum, could not follow through - and this was NFP day when spikes and large moves happened on many pairs. Price is below the 200dma, I am ignoring the double bottom and staying with the bearish bias

We could see some continuation to the upside, but I don’t expect much ground to be covered before we continue to the downside. There may be a better entry possible, but I will stay with 1.7400 and target the 1.7140 region. This could be a potentially +2R trade.

If however, price continues to the upside with momentum, that would negate my analysis. I will not be interested in going long, instead would wait and watch – perhaps PA in the 1.7770 area would provide a short opportunity.

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Trade ativo:
Price did not turn around, instead went up to the 1.7770 as I anticipated. I took a short and that trade is still active (in profit).

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