📈 ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)
Ticker:
ADBE (Adobe Inc.)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: ~$416.06
• Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
• IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release
• Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
• Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $420
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
💵 Entry Price: $12.65
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%)
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk)
⚠️ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops
💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Ticker:
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: ~$416.06
• Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
• IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release
• Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
• Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $420
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
💵 Entry Price: $12.65
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%)
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk)
⚠️ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops
💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
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Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.