Dynamic Volatility EnvelopeDynamic Volatility Envelope: Indicator Overview
The Dynamic Volatility Envelope is an advanced, multi-faceted technical indicator designed to provide a comprehensive view of market trends, volatility, and potential future price movements. It centers around a customizable linear regression line, enveloped by dynamically adjusting volatility bands. The indicator offers rich visual feedback through gradient coloring, candle heatmaps, a background volatility pulse, and an on-chart trend strength meter.
Core Calculation Mechanism
Linear Regression Core :
-A central linear regression line is calculated based on a user-defined source (e.g., close, hl2) and lookback period.
-The regression line can be optionally smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to reduce noise.
-The slope of this regression line is continuously calculated to determine the current trend direction and strength.
Volatility Channel :
-Dynamic bands are plotted above and below a central basis line. This basis is typically the calculated regression line but shifts to an EMA in Keltner mode.
-The width of these bands is determined by market volatility, using one of three user-selectable modes:
ATR Mode : Bandwidth is a multiple of the Average True Range (ATR).
Standard Deviation Mode : Bandwidth is a multiple of the Standard Deviation of the source data.
Keltner Mode (EMA-based ATR) : ATR-based bands are plotted around a central Keltner EMA line, offering a smoother channel.
The channel helps identify dynamic support and resistance levels and assess market volatility.
Future Projection :
The indicator can project the current regression line and its associated volatility bands into the future for a user-defined number of bars. This provides a visual guide for potential future price pathways based on current trend and volatility characteristics.
Candle Heatmap Coloring :
-Candle bodies and/or wicks/borders can be colored based on the price's position within the upper and lower volatility bands.
-Colors transition in a gradient from bearish (when price is near the lower band) through neutral (mid-channel) to bullish (when price is near the upper band), providing an intuitive visual cue of price action relative to the dynamic envelope.
Background Volatility Pulse :
The chart background color can be set to dynamically shift based on a ratio of short-term to long-term ATR. This creates a "pulse" effect, where the background subtly changes color to indicate rising or falling market volatility.
Trend Strength Meter :
An on-chart text label displays the current trend status (e.g., "Strong Bullish", "Neutral", "Bearish") based on the calculated slope of the regression line relative to user-defined thresholds for normal and strong trends.
Key Features & Components
-Dynamic Linear Regression Line: Core trend indicator with optional smoothing and slope-based gradient coloring.
-Multi-Mode Volatility Channel: Choose between ATR, Standard Deviation, or Keltner (EMA-based ATR) calculations for band width.
-Customizable Vertical Gradient Channel Fills: Visually distinct fills for upper and lower channel segments with user-defined top/bottom colors and gradient spread.
-Future Projection: Extrapolates regression line and volatility bands to forecast potential price paths.
-Price-Action Based Candle Heatmap: Intuitive candle coloring based on position within the volatility channel, with adjustable gradient midpoint.
-Volatility-Reactive Background Gradient: Subtle background color shifts to reflect changes in market volatility.
-On-Chart Trend Strength Meter: Clear textual display of current trend direction and strength.
-Extensive Visual Customization: Fine-tune colors, line styles, widths, and gradient aggressiveness for most visual elements.
-Comprehensive Tooltips: Detailed explanations for every input setting, ensuring ease of use and understanding.
Visual Elements Explained
Regression Line : The primary trend line. Its color dynamically changes (e.g., green for uptrend, red-pink for downtrend, neutral for flat) based on its slope, with smooth gradient transitions.
Volatility Channel :
Upper & Lower Bands : These lines form the outer boundaries of the envelope, acting as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Channel Fill : The area between the band center and the outer bands is filled with a vertical gradient. For example, the upper band fill might transition from a darker green near the center to a lighter green at the upper band.
Band Borders : The lines outlining the upper and lower bands, with customizable color and width.
Future Projection Lines & Fill :
Projected Regression Line : An extension of the current regression line into the future, typically styled differently (e.g., dashed).
Projected Channel Bands : Extensions of the upper and lower volatility bands.
Projected Area Fill : A semi-transparent fill between the projected upper and lower bands.
Candle Heatmap Coloring : When enabled, candles are colored based on their closing price's relative position within the channel. Bullish colors appear when price is in the upper part of the channel, bearish in the lower, and neutral in the middle. Users can choose to color the entire candle body or just the wicks and borders.
Background Volatility Pulse : The chart's background color subtly shifts (e.g., between a calm green and an agitated red-pink) to reflect the current volatility regime.
Trend Strength Meter : A text label (e.g., "TREND: STRONG BULLISH") positioned on the chart, providing an at-a-glance summary of the trend.
Configuration Options
Users can tailor the indicator extensively via the settings panel, with options logically grouped:
Core Analysis Engine : Adjust regression source data, lookback period, and EMA smoothing for the regression line.
Regression Line Visuals : Control visibility, line width, trend-based colors (uptrend, downtrend, flat), slope thresholds for trend definition, strong slope multiplier (for Trend Meter), and color gradient sharpness.
Volatility Channel Configuration : Select band calculation mode (ATR, StdDev, Keltner), set relevant periods and multipliers. Customize colors for vertical gradient fills (upper/lower, top/bottom), border line colors, widths, and the gradient spread factor for fills.
Future Projection Configuration : Toggle visibility, set projection length (number of bars), line style, and colors for projected regression and band areas.
Appearance & Candle Theme : Set default bull/bear candle colors, enable/disable candle heatmap, choose if body color matches heatmap, and configure heatmap gradient target colors (bull, neutral, bear) and the gradient's midpoint.
Background Volatility Pulse : Enable/disable the background effect and configure short/long ATR periods for the volatility calculation.
Trend Strength Meter : Enable/disable the meter, and choose its on-chart position and text size.
Interpretation Notes
-The Regression Line is the primary indicator of trend direction. Its slope and color provide immediate insight.
-The Volatility Bands serve as dynamic support and resistance zones. Price approaching or touching these bands may indicate potential turning points or breakouts. The width of the channel itself reflects market volatility – widening suggests increasing volatility, while narrowing suggests consolidation.
Future Projections are not predictions but rather an extension of current conditions. They can help visualize potential areas where price might interact with projected support/resistance if the current trend and volatility persist.
Candle Heatmap Coloring offers a quick visual assessment of where price is trading within the dynamic envelope, highlighting strength or weakness relative to the channel.
The Background Volatility Pulse gives a contextual feel for overall market agitation or calmness.
This indicator is designed to be a comprehensive analytical tool. Its signals and visualizations are best used in conjunction with other technical analysis techniques, price action study, and robust risk management practices. It is not intended as a standalone trading system.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The Dynamic Volatility Envelope indicator is provided for analytical and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use sound risk management practices and never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose. The developers assume no liability for any financial losses incurred based on the use of this indicator.
Volatilidade
Polarity-VoVix Fusion Index (PVFI) Polarity-VoVix Fusion Index (PVFI) - Order Flow and Volatility Regime Detector
The PVFI is a next-generation indicator that fuses the Order Flow Polarity Index (OFPI) with a proprietary VoVix Volume Delta (VVD) engine. This tool is designed for traders who want to see not just how much volume is trading, but who is in control and how volatility is shifting beneath the surface.
What Makes PVFI Standout from the rest?
- Dual Engine: PVFI combines two advanced signals:
* OFPI: Measures real-time buy/sell pressure using candle body position and volume, then smooths it with a T3 moving average for clarity and responsiveness.
* VVD: Captures the "volatility of volume delta" - a normalized, memory-boosted measure of aggressive buying/selling, with a custom non-linear clamp for organic, non-pegged signals.
- Visual Clarity: Neon-glow OFPI line and shadowed, color-gradient VVD area make regime shifts and momentum instantly visible.
- Adaptive Dashboard: Toggle between a full-featured dashboard (desktop) and a compact info line (mobile) for seamless use on any device.
- Universal: Works on any asset - crypto, stocks, futures, forex - and any timeframe.
- No Chart Clutter: Clean, modern visuals and toggles for a pro look.
Inputs:
OFPI Lookback Length (ofpi_len): Sets the window for order flow pressure calculation. Shorter = more sensitive, longer = smoother. For scalping, try 5-10. For swing trading, 15-30. Crypto often benefits from shorter windows due to volatility.
OFPI T3 Smoothing Length (t3_len): Controls the smoothness of the OFPI line. Lower = more responsive, higher = smoother. Use 3-7 for fast markets, 8-15 for slow or higher timeframes.
OFPI T3 Volume Factor (t3_vf): Adjusts the T3’s sensitivity. Higher = more responsive, lower = more stable. 0.6-0.8 is typical. Raise for more “snappy” signals, lower for less noise.
VVD Delta Lookback (delta_len): Sets the window for VVD’s volume delta calculation. 10-20 for most assets. Shorter for high-volatility, longer for slow markets.
VVD Volatility Normalization Length (vol_norm_len): Normalizes VVD by recent volume. 15-30 is typical. Use higher for assets with wild volume swings.
VVD Momentum Memory (momentum_mem): Adds a “memory” boost to VVD, amplifying persistent buying/selling. 2-5 is common. Lower for choppy markets, higher for trending.
Show Dashboard (showDash): Toggles the full dashboard table (best for desktop). Turn off for a minimalist or mobile setup.
Show Compact Info Line (showInfoLabel): Toggles a single-line info label (best for mobile). Turn on for mobile or minimalist setups.
How PVFI Works:
- OFPI Calculation: Splits each candle’s volume into buy/sell pressure based on where the close is within the range. Aggregates over your chosen lookback, then smooths with a T3 moving average for a neon, lag-minimized signal.
- VVD Calculation: Measures the “aggression” of volume (body-weighted), normalizes by recent volume, and applies a memory boost for persistent trends. Uses a custom tanh clamp for a natural, non-pegged range.
- Visuals: OFPI is plotted as a neon line (with glow). VVD is a color-gradient area with a soft shadow, instantly showing regime shifts.
- Dashboard/Info Line: Desktop: Full dashboard with all key stats, color-coded and branded. Mobile: Compact info line with arrows for quick reads.
How you'll use PVFI:
- Bullish OFPI (Teal Neon, Up Arrow): Buyers are dominating. Look for breakouts, trend continuations, or confirmation with your own system.
- Bearish OFPI (Green Neon, Down Arrow): Sellers are in control. Watch for breakdowns or short setups.
- VVD Positive (Teal Area): Aggressive buying is increasing. Confirm with price action.
- VVD Negative (Purple Area): Aggressive selling is increasing. Use for risk management or short bias.
- Neutral/Flat: Market is balanced or indecisive. Consider waiting for a clear regime shift.
- Dashboard/Info Line: Use the dashboard for full context, or the info line for a quick glance on mobile.
Tips:
- For scalping, use lower lookbacks and smoothing.
- For swing trading, increase lookbacks and smoothing for stability.
- Works on all assets and timeframes - tune to your style.
Why PVFI is Unique:
- Fusion of Order Flow and Volatility: No other indicator combines body-based order flow with a volatility-of-volume delta, both visualized with modern, pro-grade graphics.
- Adaptive, Not Static: PVFI adapts to market regime, not just price movement.
- Mobile-Ready: Dashboard and info line toggles for any device.
- No Chart Clutter: Clean, color-coded, and easy to read.
For Educational Use Only
PVFI is a research and educational tool, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own strategy.
Trade with clarity. Trade with edge.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
50-Week High Entry / 40-Week Low Exit StrategyThis is a simple long term strategy
Entry condition : You will enter the market when the stock’s current high exceeds its 50-week high. This condition enables you to identify upward momentum and capitalize on potential price surges.
Exit condition
Conversely, you will exit the market when the stock’s current low drops below its 40-week low. This exit strategy helps protect your capital by ensuring you withdraw from losing positions before further declines in price occur.
This trading strategy relies on the Donchian Channel indicator to monitor the relevant 50-week high and 40-week low levels. Given that this is a weekly trading strategy, all backtesting will be conducted using weekly timeframes.
(DAFE) DEVMA - Crossover (Deviation Moving Average) (DAFE) DEVMA - Crossover (Deviation Moving Average)
Let’s keep pushing the edge. After the breakthrough of Deviation over Deviation (DoD)—which gave traders a true lens into volatility’s hidden regime shifts—many asked: “What’s next?” The answer is DEVMA: a crossover engine built not on price, but on the heartbeat of the market itself.
Why is this different?
DEVMA isn’t just a moving average crossover. It’s a regime detector that tracks the expansion and contraction of deviation—giving you a real-time readout of when the market’s energy is about to shift. This is the next step for anyone who wants to anticipate volatility, not just react to it.
What sets DEVMA apart:
Volatility-First Logic:Both fast and slow lines are moving averages of deviation, not price. You’re tracking the market’s “energy,” not just its direction. This is the quant edge that most scripts miss.
Regime-Colored Lines:
The fast and slow DEVMA lines change color in real time—green/aqua for expansion, maroon/orange for contraction—so you can see regime shifts at a glance.
Quant-Pro Visuals:
Subtle glow, clean cross markers, and a minimalist dashboard keep your focus on what matters: the regime, not the noise.
Static Regime Thresholds:
Reference lines at 1.5 and 0.5 (custom colors) give you instant context for “normal” vs. “extreme” volatility states.
No Price Chasing:
This isn’t about following price. It’s about anticipating the next volatility regime—before the crowd even knows what’s coming.
How this builds on DoD:
DoD showed you when volatility itself was about to change. DEVMA takes that insight and turns it into a crossover engine—so you can see, filter, and act on regime shifts in real time. If DoD was the radar, DEVMA is the navigation system.
Inputs/Signals—explained for clarity:
Deviation Lookback:
Controls the sensitivity of the regime detector. Shorter = more signals, longer = only the rarest events.
Fast/Slow DEVMA Lengths:
Fine-tune how quickly the regime lines react. Fast for scalping, slow for swing trading.
Source Selection:
Choose from price, volume, volatility, or VoVix. Each source gives you a different lens on market stress. VoVix is for those who want to see the “regime quake” before the aftershocks.
VoVix Parameters:
Fine-tune the volatility-of-volatility engine for your market. Lower ATR Fast = more responsive; higher ATR Slow = more selective.
Bottom line:
DEVMA is for those who want to see the market’s heartbeat, not just its shadow. Use it to filter your trades, time your entries, or simply understand the market’s true rhythm. Every input is there for a reason. Every plot is a direct readout of the quant logic. Use with discipline, and make it your own.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky. This script is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
*Updated the Dashboard/Metrics Display for better visibility
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
UT Bot + Hull MA Confirmed Signal DelayOverview
This indicator is designed to detect high-probability reversal entry signals by combining "UT Bot Alerts" (UT Bot Alerts script adapted from QuantNomad - Originally developed by Yo_adriiiiaan and idea of original code for "UT Bot Alerts" from HPotter ) with confirmation from a Hull Moving Average (HMA) Developed by Alan Hull . It focuses on capturing momentum shifts that often precede trend reversals, helping traders identify potential entry points while filtering out false signals.
🔍 How It Works
This strategy operates in two stages:
1. UT Bot Momentum Trigger
The foundation of this script is the "UT Bot Alerts" , which uses an ATR-based trailing stop to detect momentum changes. Specifically:
The script calculates a dynamic stop level based on the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a user-defined sensitivity factor (Key Value).
When price closes above this trailing stop and the short-term EMA crosses above the stop, a potential buy setup is triggered.
Conversely, when price closes below the trailing stop and the short-term EMA crosses below, a potential sell setup is triggered.
These UT Bot alerts are designed to identify the initial shift in market direction, acting as the first filter in the signal process.
2. Hull MA Confirmation
To reduce noise and false triggers from the UT Bot alone, this script delays the entry signal until price confirms the move by crossing the Hull Moving Average (or its variants: HMA, THMA, EHMA) in the same direction as the UT Bot trigger:
A Buy Signal is generated only when:
A UT Bot Buy condition is active, and
The price closes above the Hull MA.
Or, if a UT Bot Buy condition was recently triggered but price hadn’t yet crossed above the Hull MA, a delayed buy is signaled when price finally breaks above it.
A Sell Signal is generated only when:
A UT Bot Sell condition is active, and
The price closes below the Hull MA.
Similarly, a delayed sell signal can occur if price breaks below the Hull MA shortly after a UT Bot Sell trigger.
This dual-confirmation process helps traders avoid premature entries and improves the reliability of reversal signals.
📈 Best Use Cases
Reversal Trading: This strategy is particularly well-suited for catching early trend reversals rather than trend continuations. It excels at identifying momentum pivots that occur after pullbacks or exhaustion moves.
Heikin Ashi Charts Recommended: The script offers a Heikin Ashi mode for smoothing out noise and enhancing visual clarity. Using Heikin Ashi candles can further reduce whipsaws and highlight cleaner shifts in trend direction.
MACD Alignment: For best results, trade in the direction of the MACD trend or use it as a filter to avoid counter-trend trades.
⚠️ Important Notes
Entry Signals Only: This indicator only plots entry points (Buy and Sell signals). It does not define exit strategies, so users should manage trades manually using trailing stops, profit targets, or other exit indicators.
No Signal = No Confirmation: You may see a UT Bot trigger without a corresponding Buy/Sell signal. This means the price did not confirm the move by crossing the Hull MA, and therefore the setup was considered too weak or incomplete.
⚙️ Customization
UT Bot Sensitivity: Adjust the “Key Value” and “ATR Period” to make the UT Bot more or less reactive to price action.
Use Heikin Ashi: Toggle between standard candles or Heikin Ashi in the indicator settings for a smoother trading experience.
The HMA length may also be modified in the indicator settings from its standard 55 length to increase or decrease the sensitivity of signal.
This strategy is best used by traders looking for a structured, logic-based way to enter early into reversals with added confirmation to reduce risk. By combining two independent systems—momentum detection (UT Bot) and trend confirmation (Hull MA)—it aims to provide high-confidence entries without overwhelming complexity.
Let the indicator guide your entries—you manage the exits.
Examples of use:
Futures:
Stock:
Crypto:
As shown in the snapshots this strategy, like most, works the best when price action has a sizeable ATR and works the least when price is choppy. Therefore it is always best to use this system when price is coming off known support or resistance levels and when it is seen to respect short term EMA's like the 9 or 15.
My personal preference to use this system is for day trading on a 3 or 5 minute chart. But it is valid for all timeframes and simply marks a high probability for a new trend to form.
Sources:
Quant Nomad - www.tradingview.com
Yo_adriiiiaan - www.tradingview.com
HPotter - www.tradingview.com
Hull Moving Average - alanhull.com
Circuit % Marker w/ Mirrored Arrows📈 Indian Market Circuit Limit Change Tracker
This indicator automatically tracks circuit limit changes (price bands) as applied in NSE/BSE stocks.
🧠 How It Works:
Start from a user-defined initial circuit limit (e.g. 10%)
If the upper or lower limit is hit, the script waits for a user-defined cooling period (e.g. 5 trading days)
After that, it automatically adjusts to the next lower or higher band (e.g. from 10% to 5%)
Shows a visual label with the current circuit % right on the chart — placed above or below candles for better visibility
🔧 Custom Inputs:
Starting Circuit % — choose between standard NSE/BSE values (20%, 10%, 5%, 2%)
Cooling Days — how many days must pass after a circuit hit before it’s allowed to change again
Label Positioning, Color, and Size — fully customizable to suit your chart style
🚫 No Clutter:
Doesn’t draw circuit limit lines
Just clean, small labels at key turning points — as seen in real trading dashboards
🔍 Notes:
NSE and BSE manually assign circuit bands — this script does not fetch live exchange data
Use it as a visual tracker and simulator of how circuit behavior would evolve under fixed rules
JPMorgan G7 Volatility IndexThe JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index: Scientific Analysis and Professional Applications
Introduction
The JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index (G7VOL) represents a sophisticated metric for monitoring currency market volatility across major developed economies. This indicator functions as an approximation of JPMorgan's proprietary volatility indices, providing traders and investors with a normalized measurement of cross-currency volatility conditions (Clark, 2019).
Theoretical Foundation
Currency volatility is fundamentally defined as "the statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index" (Hull, 2018, p.127). In the context of G7 currencies, this volatility measurement becomes particularly significant due to the economic importance of these nations, which collectively represent more than 50% of global nominal GDP (IMF, 2022).
According to Menkhoff et al. (2012, p.685), "currency volatility serves as a global risk factor that affects expected returns across different asset classes." This finding underscores the importance of monitoring G7 currency volatility as a proxy for global financial conditions.
Methodology
The G7VOL indicator employs a multi-step calculation process:
Individual volatility calculation for seven major currency pairs using standard deviation normalized by price (Lo, 2002)
- Weighted-average combination of these volatilities to form a composite index
- Normalization against historical bands to create a standardized scale
- Visual representation through dynamic coloring that reflects current market conditions
The mathematical foundation follows the volatility calculation methodology proposed by Bollerslev et al. (2018):
Volatility = σ(returns) / price × 100
Where σ represents standard deviation calculated over a specified timeframe, typically 20 periods as recommended by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS, 2020).
Professional Applications
Professional traders and institutional investors employ the G7VOL indicator in several key ways:
1. Risk Management Signaling
According to research by Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016), elevated currency volatility often precedes broader market stress. When the G7VOL breaches its high volatility threshold (typically 1.5 times the 100-period average), portfolio managers frequently reduce risk exposure across asset classes. As noted by Borio (2019, p.17), "currency volatility spikes have historically preceded equity market corrections by 2-7 trading days."
2. Counter-Cyclical Investment Strategy
Low G7 volatility periods (readings below the lower band) tend to coincide with what Shin (2017) describes as "risk-on" environments. Professional investors often use these signals to increase allocations to higher-beta assets and emerging markets. Campbell et al. (2021) found that G7 volatility in the lowest quintile historically preceded emerging market outperformance by an average of 3.7% over subsequent quarters.
3. Regime Identification
The normalized volatility framework enables identification of distinct market regimes:
- Readings above 1.0: Crisis/high volatility regime
- Readings between -0.5 and 0.5: Normal volatility regime
- Readings below -1.0: Unusually calm markets
According to Rey (2015), these regimes have significant implications for global monetary policy transmission mechanisms and cross-border capital flows.
Interpretation and Trading Applications
G7 currency volatility serves as a barometer for global financial conditions due to these currencies' centrality in international trade and reserve status. As noted by Gagnon and Ihrig (2021, p.423), "G7 currency volatility captures both trade-related uncertainty and broader financial market risk appetites."
Professional traders apply this indicator in multiple contexts:
- Leading indicator: Research from the Federal Reserve Board (Powell, 2020) suggests G7 volatility often leads VIX movements by 1-3 days, providing advance warning of broader market volatility.
- Correlation shifts: During periods of elevated G7 volatility, cross-asset correlations typically increase what Brunnermeier and Pedersen (2009) term "correlation breakdown during stress periods." This phenomenon informs portfolio diversification strategies.
- Carry trade timing: Currency carry strategies perform best during low volatility regimes as documented by Lustig et al. (2011). The G7VOL indicator provides objective thresholds for initiating or exiting such positions.
References
Adrian, T. and Brunnermeier, M.K. (2016) 'CoVaR', American Economic Review, 106(7), pp.1705-1741.
Bank for International Settlements (2020) Monitoring Volatility in Foreign Exchange Markets. BIS Quarterly Review, December 2020.
Bollerslev, T., Patton, A.J. and Quaedvlieg, R. (2018) 'Modeling and forecasting (un)reliable realized volatilities', Journal of Econometrics, 204(1), pp.112-130.
Borio, C. (2019) 'Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement', BIS Working Papers, No. 706.
Brunnermeier, M.K. and Pedersen, L.H. (2009) 'Market liquidity and funding liquidity', Review of Financial Studies, 22(6), pp.2201-2238.
Campbell, J.Y., Sunderam, A. and Viceira, L.M. (2021) 'Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds', Critical Finance Review, 10(2), pp.303-336.
Clark, J. (2019) 'Currency Volatility and Macro Fundamentals', JPMorgan Global FX Research Quarterly, Fall 2019.
Gagnon, J.E. and Ihrig, J. (2021) 'What drives foreign exchange markets?', International Finance, 24(3), pp.414-428.
Hull, J.C. (2018) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. 10th edn. London: Pearson.
International Monetary Fund (2022) World Economic Outlook Database. Washington, DC: IMF.
Lo, A.W. (2002) 'The statistics of Sharpe ratios', Financial Analysts Journal, 58(4), pp.36-52.
Lustig, H., Roussanov, N. and Verdelhan, A. (2011) 'Common risk factors in currency markets', Review of Financial Studies, 24(11), pp.3731-3777.
Menkhoff, L., Sarno, L., Schmeling, M. and Schrimpf, A. (2012) 'Carry trades and global foreign exchange volatility', Journal of Finance, 67(2), pp.681-718.
Powell, J. (2020) Monetary Policy and Price Stability. Speech at Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, August 27, 2020.
Rey, H. (2015) 'Dilemma not trilemma: The global financial cycle and monetary policy independence', NBER Working Paper No. 21162.
Shin, H.S. (2017) 'The bank/capital markets nexus goes global', Bank for International Settlements Speech, January 15, 2017.
ADR & ATR Extension from EMAThis indicator helps identify how extended the current price is from a chosen Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in terms of both Average Daily Range (ADR) and Average True Range (ATR).
It calculates:
ADR Extension = (Price - EMA) / ADR
ATR Extension = (Price - EMA) / ATR
The results are shown in a floating table on the chart.
The ADR line turns red if the price is more than 4 ADRs above the selected EMA
Customization Options:
- Select EMA length
- Choose between close or high as price input
- Set ADR and ATR periods
- Customize the label’s position, color, and transparency
- Use the chart's timeframe or a fixed timeframe
India VIX TableThis indicator gives you the India Vix value in real time on your chart. You can change the position on the chart as per your preference.
ADX EMA's DistanceIt is well known to technical analysts that the price of the most volatile and traded assets do not tend to stay in the same place for long. A notable observation is the recurring pattern of moving averages that tend to move closer together prior to a strong move in some direction to initiate the trend, it is precisely that distance that is measured by the blue ADX EMA's Distance lines on the chart, normalized and each line being the distance between 2, 3 or all 4 moving averages, with the zero line being the point where the distance between them is zero, but it is also necessary to know the direction of the movement, and that is where the modified ADX will be useful.
This is the well known Directional Movement Indicator (DMI), where the +DI and -DI lines of the ADX will serve to determine the direction of the trend.
(FVC) Fractal Volatility Compression (DAFE) (FVC) Fractal Volatility Compression
See the Market’s Volatility DNA.
The Fractal Volatility Compression (FVC) is a next-generation tool for traders who want to see volatility compression and expansion across multiple timeframes and volatility engines—not just price, but the very structure of volatility itself.
What Makes FVC Unique?
Dual-Engine Volatility:
Plots both classic price-based (Stdev) and meta-volatility (VoVix) compression/expansion, so you can see when the market is “coiling” or “exploding” on multiple levels.
Fractal, Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Measures volatility on short, medium, and long timeframes, then normalizes each as a Z-score. The result: a true “coiled spring” detector that works on any asset, any timeframe.
Threshold Lines You Control:
Yellow center line: Your neutral baseline.
Green compression line: When crossed, the market is “spring-loading.”
Red expansion line: When crossed, volatility is breaking out.
All lines are solid, clean, and end before the dashboard for a professional look.
Agreement Fill: When both engines agree (both above or both below the center line), a bright fill highlights the zone—red for expansion, green for compression.
Signature Dashboard & Info Line:
Dashboard (right-middle) shows all Z-scores and FVC values, color-coded for instant clarity.
Compact info label for mobile or minimalist users.
Inputs & Customization
Thresholds: Set the yellow, green, and red lines to match your asset, timeframe, and risk tolerance.
Timeframes & Lengths: Tune the short, medium, and long volatility windows for your style.
Toggle Lines: Show/hide Stdev or VoVix FVC lines independently.
Dashboard & Info Line: Toggle for your workflow and screen size.
How to Use
Compression (below green): Market is “coiling” across timeframes—watch for explosive moves.
Expansion (above red): Volatility is breaking out—expect regime shifts or trend acceleration.
Agreement Fill: When both lines agree, the signal is strongest.
Not a Buy/Sell Signal: These are regime and structure signals—combine with your own
strategy and risk management.
Why should you use FVC?
See what others can’t:
Most tools show only one dimension of volatility. FVC reveals the fractal DNA of market compression and expansion. Works on any asset, any timeframe. Professional, clean, and fully customizable.
Fractal Volatility Compression (FVC):
Because the next big move is born in the market’s hidden compression.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
ADR, ATR & VOL OverlayThis is a combined version of 2 of my other indicators:
ADR / ATR Overlay
VOL / AVG Overlay
This indicator will display the following as an overlay on your chart:
ADR
% of ADR
ADR % of Price
ATR
% of ATR
ATR % of Price
Custom Session Volume
Average For Selected Session
Volume Percentage Comparison
Description:
ADR : Average Day Range
% of ADR : Percentage that the current price move has covered its average.
ADR % of Price : The percentage move implied by the average range.
ATR : Average True Range
% of ATR : Percentage that the current price move has covered its average.
ATR % of Price : The percentage move implied by the average true range.
Custom Session Volume : User chosen time frame to monitor volume
Average For Selected Session : Average for the custom session volume
Volume Percentage Comparison : Current session compared to the average (calculated at session close)
Options:
ADR/ATR:
Time Frame
Length
Smoothing
Volume:
Set Custom Time Frame For Calculations
Set Custom Time Frame For Average Comparison
Set Custom Time Zone
Table:
Enable / Disable Each Value
Change Text Color
Change Background Color
Change Table location
Add/Remove extra row for placement
ADR / ATR Example:
The ADR and ATR can be used to provide information about average price moves to help set targets, stop losses, entries and exits based on the potential average moves.
Example: If the "% of ADR" is reading 100%, then 100% of the asset's average price range has been covered, suggesting that an additional move beyond the range has a lower probability.
Example: "ADR % of Price" provides potential price movement in percentage which can be used to asses R/R for asset.
Example: ADR (D) reading is 100% at market close but ATR (D) is at 70% at close. This suggests that there is a potential (coverage) move of 30% in Pre/Post market as suggested by averages.
Custom Volume Session Example:
Set indicator to 30 period average. Set custom time frame to 9:30am to 10:30am Eastern/New York.
When the time frame for the calculation is closed, the indicator will provide a comparison of the current days volume compared to the average of 30 previous days for that same time frame and display it as a percentage in the table.
In this example you could compare how the first hour of the trading day compares to the previous 30 day's average, aiding in evaluating the potential volume for the remainder of the day.
Notes:
Times must be entered in 24 hour format. (1pm = 13:00 etc.)
Volume indicator is for Intra-day time frames, not > Day.
How I use these values:
I use these calculations to determine if a ticker symbol has the necessary range to achieve target gains, to determine if the price oscillation is within "normal" ranges to determine if the trading day will be choppy, and to determine placement of stops and targets within average ranges in combination with support, resistance and retracement levels.
(MVD) Meta-Volatility Divergence (DAFE) Meta-Volatility Divergence (MVD)
Reveal the Hidden Tension in Volatility.
The Meta-Volatility Divergence (MVD) indicator is a next-generation tool designed to expose the disagreement between multiple volatility measures—helping you spot when the market’s “volatility engines” are out of sync, and a regime shift or volatility event may be brewing.
What Makes MVD Unique?
Multi-Source Volatility Analysis:
Unlike traditional volatility indicators that rely on a single measure, MVD fuses four distinct volatility signals:
ATR (Average True Range): Captures the average range of price movement.
Stdev (Standard Deviation): Measures the dispersion of closing prices.
Range: The average difference between high and low.
VoVix: A proprietary “volatility of volatility” metric, quantifying the difference between fast and slow ATR, normalized by ATR’s own volatility.
Divergence Engine:
The core MVD line (yellow) represents the mean absolute deviation (MAD) of these volatility measures from their average. When the line is flat, all volatility measures are in agreement. When the line rises, it means the market’s volatility signals are diverging—often a precursor to regime shifts, volatility expansions, or hidden stress.
Dynamic Z-Score Normalization:
The MVD line is normalized as a Z-score, so you can easily spot when current divergence is rare or extreme compared to recent history.
Visual Clarity:
Yellow center line: Tracks the real-time divergence of volatility measures.
Green dashed thresholds: Mark the ±2.00 Z-score levels, highlighting when divergence is unusually high and action may be warranted.
Dashboard: Toggleable panel shows all key metrics (ATR, Stdev, VoVix, MVD Z) and your custom branding.
Compact Info Label : For mobile or minimalist users, a single-line summary keeps you informed without clutter.
What Makes The MVD line move?
- The MVD line rises when the included volatility measures (ATR, Stdev, Range, VoVix) are moving in different directions or at different magnitudes. For example, if ATR is rising but Stdev is falling, the line will move up, signaling disagreement.
- The line falls or flattens when all volatility measures are in sync, indicating a consensus in the market’s volatility regime.
- VoVix adds a unique dimension, making the indicator especially sensitive to sudden changes in volatility structure that most tools miss.
Inputs & Settings
ATR Length: Sets the lookback for ATR calculation. Shorter = more sensitive, longer = smoother.
Stdev Length: Sets the lookback for standard deviation. Adjust for your asset’s volatility.
Range Length: Sets the lookback for the average high-low range.
MVD Lookback: Controls the window for Z-score normalization. Higher values = more historical context, lower = more responsive.
Show Dashboard: Toggle the full dashboard panel on/off.
Show Compact Info Label: Toggle the mobile-friendly info line on/off.
Tip:
Adjust these settings to match your asset’s volatility and your trading timeframe. There is no “one size fits all”—tuning is key to extracting the most value from MVD.
How to make MVD work for you:
Threshold Crosses: When the MVD line crosses above or below the green dashed thresholds (±2.00), it signals that volatility measures are diverging more than usual. This is a heads-up that a volatility event, regime shift, or hidden market stress may be developing.
Not a Buy/Sell Signal: A threshold cross is not a direct buy or sell signal. It is an indication that the market’s volatility structure is changing. Use it as a filter, confirmation, or alert in combination with your own strategy and risk management.
Dashboard & Info Line: Use the dashboard for a full view of all metrics, or the info label for a quick glance—especially useful on mobile.
Chart: MNQ! on 5min frames
ATR: 14
StDev L: 11
Range L: 13
MDV LB: 13
Important Note
MVD is a market structure and volatility regime tool.
It is designed to alert you to potential changes in market conditions, not to provide direct trade entries or exits. Always combine with your own analysis and risk management.
Meta-Volatility Divergence:
See the market’s hidden tension. Anticipate the next wave.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Horizontal ATR LinesDisclaimer:
This script was generated using OpenAI’s ChatGPT. I take no responsibility for the correctness, performance, or financial impact of this indicator. Use it at your own risk and discretion.
This indicator draws horizontal ATR-based levels from the last closed candle on a user-selected timeframe. It is designed for traders who want to visualize realistic volatility zones for setting dynamic support/resistance, take-profit, or stop-loss levels.
What it does:
Calculates the Average True Range (ATR) using a customizable period and timeframe.
Plots four horizontal lines:
+1 ATR and –1 ATR from the last closed candle’s close
+X ATR and –X ATR, where X is a second custom multiplier
Each level includes a compact label showing:
The price of the level
The percentage distance from the close price
Use cases:
Identify realistic intraday or swing price movement boundaries
Build volatility-aware take-profit and stop-loss zones
Visually track market compression or expansion in context
Customization:
ATR period and timeframe
Two independent ATR multipliers
Custom color settings for each group of levels
Trend Volatility Index (TVI)Trend Volatility Index (TVI)
A robust nonparametric oscillator for structural trend volatility detection
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What is this?
TVI is a volatility oscillator designed to measure the strength and emergence of price trends using nonparametric statistics.
It calculates a U-statistic based on the Gini mean difference across multiple simple moving averages.
This allows for objective, robust, and unbiased quantification of trend volatility in tick-scale values.
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What can it do?
• Quantify trend strength as a continuous value aligned with tick price scale
• Detect trend breakouts and volatility expansions
• Identify range-bound market states
• Detect early signs of new trends with minimal lag
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What can’t it do?
• Predict future price levels
• Predict trend direction before confirmation
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How it works
TVI computes a nonparametric dispersion metric (Gini mean difference) from multiple SMAs of different lengths.
As this metric shares the same dimension as price ticks, it can be directly interpreted on the chart as a volatility gauge.
The output is plotted using candlestick-style charts to enhance visibility of change rate and trend behavior.
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Disclaimer
TVI does not predict price. It is a structural indicator designed to support discretionary judgment.
Trading carries inherent risk, and this tool does not guarantee profitability. Use at your own discretion.
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Innovation
This indicator introduces a novel approach to trend volatility by applying U-statistics over time series
to produce a nonparametric, unbiased, and robust estimate of structural volatility.
日本語要約
Trend Volatility Index (TVI) は、ノンパラメトリックなU統計量（Gini平均差）を使ってトレンドの強度を客観的に測定することを目的に開発されたボラティリティ・オシレーターです。
ティック単位で連続的に変化し、トレンドのブレイク・レンジ・初動の予兆を定量的に検出します。
未来の価格や方向は予測せず、現在の構造的ばらつきだけをロバストに評価します。
Retail Pain Index (RPIx) (RPIx) Retail Pain Index (DAFE)
See the Market’s Pain. Trade the Edge.
The Retail Pain Index (RPIx) is a next-generation volatility and sentiment tool designed to reveal the hidden moments when retail traders are most likely being squeezed, stopped out, or forced to capitulate. This is not just another oscillator—it’s a behavioral market scanner that quantifies “pain” as price rips away from the average entry zone, often marking the fuel for the next big move.
Why is RPIx so Unique?
Behavioral Volatility Engine:
RPIx doesn’t just track price or volume. It measures how far price is moving away from where the crowd has recently entered (using a rolling VWAP average), then normalizes this “distance” into a Z-score. The result? You see when the market is inflicting maximum pain on the most participants.
Dynamic, Intuitive Coloring:
The main RPIx line is purple in normal conditions, but instantly turns red when pain is extreme to the upside (+2.00 or higher) and green when pain is extreme to the downside (-2.00 or lower). This makes it visually obvious when the market is entering a “max pain” regime.
Threshold Lines for Clarity:
Dashed red and green lines at +2.00 and -2.00 Z-score levels make it easy to spot rare, high-pain events at a glance.
Signature Dashboard & Info Line:
Dashboard: A compact, toggleable panel in the top right of the indicator pane shows the current Z-score, threshold, and status—perfect for desktop users who want a quick read on market stress.
Info Line: For mobile or minimalist traders, a single-line info label gives you the essentials without cluttering your screen.
Inputs & Customization
Entry Cluster Lookback: Adjusts how many bars are used to calculate the “entry zone” (VWAP average). A higher value smooths the signal, a lower value makes it more responsive.
Pain Z-Score Threshold:
Sets the sensitivity for what counts as “extreme pain.” Default is ±2.00, but you can fine-tune this to match your asset’s volatility or your own risk appetite.
Show Dashboard / Show Compact Info Label:
Toggle these features on or off to fit your workflow and screen size.
How to utilize RPIx's awesomeness:
Extreme Readings = Opportunity:
When RPIx spikes above +2.00 (red) or below -2.00 (green), the market is likely running stops, liquidating weak hands, or forcing retail traders to capitulate. These moments often precede sharp reversals, trend accelerations, or volatility expansions.
Combine with Price Action:
Use RPIx as a confirmation tool for your existing strategy, or as a standalone alert for “pain points” where the crowd is most vulnerable.
Visual Edge:
The color-coded line and threshold levels make it easy to spot regime shifts and rare events—no more squinting at numbers or guessing when the market is about to snap.
Why RPIx?
Works on Any Asset, Any Timeframe:
Stocks, futures, crypto, forex—if there’s a crowd, there’s pain, and RPIx will find it.
Behavioral Alpha:
Most indicators lag. RPIx quantifies the psychological stress in the market, giving you a real-time edge over the herd.
Customizable, Clean, and Powerful:
Designed for both power users and mobile traders, with toggles for every workflow.
See the pain. Trade the edge.
Retail Pain Index: Because the market’s next move is written in the crowd’s discomfort.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems, for DAFE Trading Systems
Stop Cascade Detector Stop Cascade Detector (DAFE)
Unlock the Hidden Triggers of Market Momentum!
The Stop Cascade Detector (Bull & Bear, Info Bubble) is a next-generation tool designed for traders who want to see what the crowd can’t: the precise moments when clusters of stop orders are being triggered, unleashing explosive moves in either direction. The reason for this is traders taking there position too early. We on the other hand will take our positions once the less informed traders have been liquidated.
What Makes This Indicator Unique?
Not Just Another Volatility Tool:
This script doesn’t just measure volatility or volume. It detects the chain reactions that occur when price and volume spikes combine to trigger stop-loss clusters—events that often precede the most powerful surges and reversals in any market.
Directional Intelligence:
Unlike generic “spike” detectors, this tool distinguishes between bullish stop cascades (green, above the bar) and bearish stop cascades (red, below the bar), giving you instant clarity on which side of the market is being liquidated.
Visual Precision:
Each event is marked with a color-coded info bubble and a triangle, clearly separated from the price bars for maximum readability. No more guessing where the action is—see it, trade it, and stay ahead.
Universal Application:
Works on any asset, any timeframe, and in any market—futures, stocks, crypto, forex. If there are stops, this indicator will find the cascade.
What makes it work?
Momentum + Volume Spike:
The detector identifies bars where both price momentum and volume are simultaneously extreme (using Z-scores). This combination is a classic signature of stop runs and forced liquidations.
Bull & Bear Detection:
Bull Stop Cascade : Price plunges downward with a volume spike—likely longs getting stopped out.
Bear Stop Cascade: Price surges upward with a volume spike—likely shorts getting stopped out.
Info Bubbles:
Each event is labeled with the exact Z-scores for momentum and volume, so you can gauge the intensity of the cascade at a glance.
What will it do for you?
Front-Run the Crowd:
Most traders react after the move. This tool helps you spot the cause of the move—giving you a tactical edge to fade exhaustion, ride momentum, or avoid getting trapped.
Perfect for Scalpers, Day Traders, and Swing Traders:
Whether you’re looking for high-probability reversals or want to ride the wave, knowing when stops are being triggered is a game-changer.
No More Blind Spots:
Stop cascades are the hidden fuel behind many of the market’s biggest moves. Now you can see them in real time.
How to Use
Red Bubble Above Bar: Bear stop cascade detected—watch for possible trend acceleration or reversal.
Green Bubble Below Bar: Bull stop cascade detected—watch for possible trend acceleration or reversal.
Combine with Your Strategy : Use as a confirmation tool, a reversal signal, or a filter for high-volatility environments. Level up your trading. See the market’s hidden triggers.
Stop Cascade Detector: Because the real edge is knowing what sets the market on fire.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Gap Reversal Signal with Indicators🔍 Gap Reversal Signal with Indicators — 結合 KD、MACD、SAR 與背離分析的多功能指標
🔍 Gap Reversal Signal with Indicators — A Multi-Tool Signal Indicator Combining KD, MACD, SAR, and Divergence Analysis
中文說明：
本指標結合多種常用技術分析工具，包括 KD 隨機指標、MACD 動能交叉、SAR 趨勢方向、以及 MACD 背離偵測，用以辨識潛在的價格反轉區域。適用於日內交易與波段操作，支援各類市場，如加密貨幣、股票與外匯等。
English Description:
This indicator combines several popular technical tools: Stochastic KD, MACD momentum crossovers, SAR trend direction, and MACD divergence detection. It helps traders identify potential reversal areas and is ideal for both intraday and swing trading. Works well on crypto, stocks, and forex markets.
🧠 功能特點 | Key Features
✅ KD指標（慢速隨機指標）檢測超買超賣並提供%K與%D交叉訊號
✅ Stochastic KD (slow) to detect overbought/oversold zones and crossover signals
✅ MACD金叉/死叉與零軸突破捕捉趨勢轉變與動能反轉
✅ MACD Crossovers + Zero-Line Breaks to capture trend changes and momentum reversals
✅ SAR指標即時顯示多空方向
✅ Parabolic SAR for real-time trend direction indication
✅ MACD背離偵測協助辨識潛在反轉區域
✅ MACD Divergence Detection for identifying hidden trend reversals
✅ 圖形提示與標籤提示可視化呈現各類訊號
✅ Visual Alerts and Labels for easy and quick signal recognition
📈 支援市場 | Supported Markets
📊 台股 / 美股 / 外匯 / 加密貨幣
📊 Taiwan Stocks / US Stocks / Forex / Cryptocurrencies (e.g. BTC, ETH)
🔧 推薦用法 | Recommended Use
搭配缺口策略與支撐壓力位使用
Use with gap-trading strategies and support/resistance zones
用於盤整末期或趨勢反轉的提示
Helpful for end-of-consolidation signals or trend reversals
支援短線與波段交易風格
Suitable for scalping and swing trading styles
💡 把這個指標加入你的圖表，立即體驗多重技術分析所帶來的交易優勢！
💡 Add this indicator to your chart now and experience the power of multi-tool technical analysis!
Macd, Wt Cross & HVPMacd Wt Cross & HVP – Advanced Multi-Signal Indicator
This script is a custom-designed multi-signal indicator that brings together three proven concepts to provide a complete view of market momentum, reversals, and volatility build-ups. It is built for traders who want to anticipate key market moves, not just react to them.
Why This Combination ?
While each tool has its strengths, their combined use creates powerful signal confluence.
Instead of juggling multiple indicators separately, this script synchronizes three key perspectives into a single, intuitive display—helping you trade with greater clarity and confidence.
1. MACD Histogram – Momentum and Trend Clarity
At the core of the indicator is the MACD histogram, calculated as the difference between two exponential moving averages (EMAs).
Color-coded bars represent momentum direction and intensity:
Green / blue bars: bullish momentum
Red / pink bars: bearish momentum
Color intensity shows acceleration or weakening of trend.
This visual makes it easy to detect trend shifts and momentum divergence at a glance.
2. WT Cross Signals – Early Reversal Detection
Overlaid on the histogram are green and red dots, based on the logic of the WaveTrend oscillator cross:
Green dots = potential bullish cross (buy signal)
Red dots = potential bearish cross (sell signal)
These signals are helpful for identifying reversal points during both trending and ranging phases.
3. Historical Volatility Percentile (HVP) – Volatility Compression Zones
Behind the histogram, purple vertical zones highlight periods of low historical volatility, based on the HVP:
When volatility compresses below a specific threshold, these zones appear.
Such periods are often followed by explosive price moves, making them prime areas for pre-breakout positioning.
By integrating HVP, the script doesn’t just tell you where the trend is—it tells you when the trend is likely to erupt.
How to Use This Script
Use the MACD histogram to confirm the dominant trend and its strength.
Watch for WT Cross dots as potential entry/exit signals in alignment or divergence with the MACD.
Monitor HVP purple zones as warnings of incoming volatility expansions—ideal moments to prepare for breakout trades.
Best results occur when all three elements align, offering a high-probability trade setup.
What Makes This Script Original?
Unlike many mashups, this script was not created by simply merging indicators. Each component was carefully integrated to serve a specific, complementary purpose:
MACD detects directional bias
WT Cross adds precision timing
HVP anticipates volatility-based breakout timing
This results in a strategic tool for traders, useful on multiple timeframes and adaptable to different trading styles (trend-following, breakout, swing).
Anchored Probability Cone by TenozenFirst of all, credit to @nasu_is_gaji for the open source code of Log-Normal Price Forecast! He teaches me alot on how to use polylines and inverse normal distribution from his indicator, so check it out!
What is this indicator all about?
This indicator draws a probability cone that visualizes possible future price ranges with varying levels of statistical confidence using Inverse Normal Distribution , anchored to the start of a selected timeframe (4h, W, M, etc.)
Feutures:
Anchored Cone: Forecasts begin at the first bar of each chosen higher timeframe, offering a consistent point for analysis.
Drift & Volatility-Based Forecast: Uses log returns to estimate market volatility (smoothed using VWMA) and incorporates a trend angle that users can set manually.
Probabilistic Price Bands: Displays price ranges with 5 customizable confidence levels (e.g., 30%, 68%, 87%, 99%, 99,9%).
Dynamic Updating: Recalculates and redraws the cone at the start of each new anchor period.
How to use:
Choose the Anchored Timeframe (PineScript only be able to forecast 500 bars in the future, so if it doesn't plot, try adjusting to a lower anchored period).
You can set the Model Length, 100 sample is the default. The higher the sample size, the higher the bias towards the overall volatility. So better set the sample size in a balanced manner.
If the market is inside the 30% conifidence zone (gray color), most likely the market is sideways. If it's outside the 30% confidence zone, that means it would tend to trend and reach the other probability levels.
Always follow the trend, don't ever try to trade mean reversions if you don't know what you're doing, as mean reversion trades are riskier.
That's all guys! I hope this indicator helps! If there's any suggestions, I'm open for it! Thanks and goodluck on your trading journey!
The VoVix Experiment The VoVix Experiment
The VoVix Experiment is a next-generation, regime-aware, volatility-adaptive trading strategy for futures, indices, and more. It combines a proprietary VoVix (volatility-of-volatility) anomaly detector with price structure clustering and critical point logic, only trading when multiple independent signals align. The system is designed for robustness, transparency, and real-world execution.
Logic:
VoVix Regime Engine: Detects pre-move volatility anomalies using a fast/slow ATR ratio, normalized by Z-score. Only trades when a true regime spike is detected, not just random volatility.
Cluster & Critical Point Filters: Price structure and volatility clustering must confirm the VoVix signal, reducing false positives and whipsaws.
Adaptive Sizing: Position size scales up for “super-spikes” and down for normal events, always within user-defined min/max.
Session Control: Trades only during user-defined hours and days, avoiding illiquid or high-risk periods.
Visuals: Aurora Flux Bands (From another Original of Mine (Options Flux Flow): glow and change color on signals, with a live dashboard, regime heatmap, and VoVix progression bar for instant insight.
Backtest Settings
Initial capital: $10,000
Commission: Conservative, realistic roundtrip cost:
15–20 per contract (including slippage per side) I set this to $25
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade
Symbol: CME_MINI:NQ1!
Timeframe: 15 min (but works on all timeframes)
Order size: Adaptive, 1–2 contracts
Session: 5:00–15:00 America/Chicago (default, fully adjustable)
Why these settings?
These settings are intentionally strict and realistic, reflecting the true costs and risks of live trading. The 10,000 account size is accessible for most retail traders. 25/contract including 3 ticks of slippage are on the high side for MNQ, ensuring the strategy is not curve-fit to perfect fills. If it works here, it will work in real conditions.
Forward Testing: (This is no guarantee. I've provided these results to show that executions perform as intended. Test were done on Tradovate)
ALL TRADES
Gross P/L: $12,907.50
# of Trades: 64
# of Contracts: 186
Avg. Trade Time: 1h 55min 52sec
Longest Trade Time: 55h 46min 53sec
% Profitable Trades: 59.38%
Expectancy: $201.68
Trade Fees & Comm.: $(330.95)
Total P/L: $12,576.55
Winning Trades: 59.38%
Breakeven Trades: 3.12%
Losing Trades: 37.50%
Link: www.dropbox.com
Inputs & Tooltips
VoVix Regime Execution: Enable/disable the core VoVix anomaly detector.
Volatility Clustering: Require price/volatility clusters to confirm VoVix signals.
Critical Point Detector: Require price to be at a statistically significant distance from the mean (regime break).
VoVix Fast ATR Length: Short ATR for fast volatility detection (lower = more sensitive).
VoVix Slow ATR Length: Long ATR for baseline regime (higher = more stable).
VoVix Z-Score Window: Lookback for Z-score normalization (higher = smoother, lower = more reactive).
VoVix Entry Z-Score: Minimum Z-score for a VoVix spike to trigger a trade.
VoVix Exit Z-Score: Z-score below which the regime is considered decayed (exit).
VoVix Local Max Window: Bars to check for local maximum in VoVix (higher = stricter).
VoVix Super-Spike Z-Score: Z-score for “super” regime events (scales up position size).
Min/Max Contracts: Adaptive position sizing range.
Session Start/End Hour: Only trade between these hours (exchange time).
Allow Weekend Trading: Enable/disable trading on weekends.
Session Timezone: Timezone for session filter (e.g., America/Chicago for CME).
Show Trade Labels: Show/hide entry/exit labels on chart.
Flux Glow Opacity: Opacity of Aurora Flux Bands (0–100).
Flux Band EMA Length: EMA period for band center.
Flux Band ATR Multiplier: Width of bands (higher = wider).
Compliance & Transparency
* No hidden logic, no repainting, no pyramiding.
* All signals, sizing, and exits are fully explained and visible.
* Backtest settings are stricter than most real accounts.
* All visuals are directly tied to the strategy logic.
* This is not a mashup or cosmetic overlay; every component is original and justified.
Disclaimer
Trading is risky. This script is for educational and research purposes only. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test in simulation before live trading.
Proprietary Logic & Originality Statement
This script, “The VoVix Experiment,” is the result of original research and development. All core logic, algorithms, and visualizations—including the VoVix regime detection engine, adaptive execution, volatility/divergence bands, and dashboard—are proprietary and unique to this project.
1. VoVix Regime Logic
The concept of “volatility of volatility” (VoVix) is an original quant idea, not a standard indicator. The implementation here (fast/slow ATR ratio, Z-score normalization, local max logic, super-spike scaling) is custom and not found in public TradingView scripts.
2. Cluster & Critical Point Logic
Volatility clustering and “critical point” detection (using price distance from a rolling mean and standard deviation) are general quant concepts, but the way they are combined and filtered here is unique to this script. The specific logic for “clustered chop” and “critical point” is not a copy of any public indicator.
3. Adaptive Sizing
The adaptive sizing logic (scaling contracts based on regime strength) is custom and not a standard TradingView feature or public script.
4. Time Block/Session Control
The session filter is a common feature in many strategies, but the implementation here (with timezone and weekend control) is written from scratch.
5. Aurora Flux Bands (From another Original of Mine (Options Flux Flow)
The “glowing” bands are inspired by the idea of volatility bands (like Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels), but the visual effect, color logic, and integration with regime signals are original to this script.
6. Dashboard, Watermark, and Metrics
The dashboard, real-time Sharpe/Sortino, and VoVix progression bar are all custom code, not copied from any public script.
What is “standard” or “common quant practice”?
Using ATR, EMA, and Z-score are standard quant tools, but the way they are combined, filtered, and visualized here is unique. The structure and logic of this script are original and not a mashup of public code.
This script is 100% original work. All logic, visuals, and execution are custom-coded for this project. No code or logic is directly copied from any public or private script.
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Dskyz (DAFE) GENESIS Dskyz (DAFE) GENESIS: Adaptive Quant, Real Regime Power
Let’s be honest: Most published strategies on TradingView look nearly identical—copy-paste “open-source quant,” generic “adaptive” buzzwords, the same shallow explanations. I’ve even fallen into this trap with my own previously posted strategies. Not this time.
What Makes This Unique
GENESIS is not a black-box mashup or a pre-built template. It’s the culmination of DAFE’s own adaptive, multi-factor, regime-aware quant engine—built to outperform, survive, and visualize live edge in anything from NQ/MNQ to stocks and crypto.
True multi-factor core: Volume/price imbalances, trend shifts, volatility compression/expansion, and RSI all interlock for signal creation.
Adaptive regime logic: Trades only in healthy, actionable conditions—no “one-size-fits-all” signals.
Momentum normalization: Uses rolling, percentile-based fast/slow EMA differentials, ALWAYS normalized, ALWAYS relevant—no “is it working?” ambiguity.
Position sizing that adapts: Not fixed-lot, not naive—not a loophole for revenge trading.
No hidden DCA or pyramiding—what you see is what you trade.
Dashboard and visual system: Directly connected to internal logic. If it’s shown, it’s used—and nothing cosmetic is presented on your chart that isn’t quantifiable.
📊 Inputs and What They Mean (Read Carefully)
Maximum Raw Score: How many distinct factors can contribute to regime/trade confidence (default 4). If you extend the quant logic, increase this.
RSI Length / Min RSI for Shorts / Max RSI for Longs: Fine-tunes how “overbought/oversold” matters; increase the length for smoother swings, tighten floors/ceilings for more extreme signals.
⚡ Regime & Momentum Gates
Min Normed Momentum/Score (Conf): Raise to demand only the strongest trends—your filter to avoid algorithmic chop.
🕒 Volatility & Session
ATR Lookback, ATR Low/High Percentile: These control your system’s awareness of when the market is dead or ultra-volatile. All sizing and filter logic adapts in real time.
Trading Session (hours): Easy filter for when entries are allowed; default is regular trading hours—no surprise overnight fills.
📊 Sizing & Risk
Max Dollar Risk / Base-Max Contracts: All sizing is adaptive, based on live regime and volatility state—never static or “just 1 contract.” Control your max exposures and real $ risk. ATR will effect losses in high volatility times.
🔄 Exits & Scaling
Stop/Trail/Scale multipliers: You choose how dynamic/flexible risk controls and profit-taking need to be. ATR-based, so everything auto-adjusts to the current market mode.
Visuals That Actually Matter
Dashboard (Top Right): Shows only live, relevant stats: scoring, status, position size, win %, win streak, total wins—all from actual trade engine state (not “simulated”).
Watermark (Bottom Right): Momentum bar visual is always-on, regime-aware, reflecting live regime confidence and momentum normalization. If the bar is empty, you’re truly in no-momentum. If it glows lime, you’re riding the strongest possible edge.
*No cosmetics, no hidden code distractions.
Backtest Settings
Initial capital: $10,000
Commission: Conservative, realistic roundtrip cost:
15–20 per contract (including slippage per side) I set this to $25
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade
Symbol: CME_MINI:NQ1!
Timeframe: 1 min (but works on all timeframes)
Order size: Adaptive, 1–3 contracts
No pyramiding, no hidden DCA
Why these settings?
These settings are intentionally strict and realistic, reflecting the true costs and risks of live trading. The 10,000 account size is accessible for most retail traders. 25/contract including 3 ticks of slippage are on the high side for NQ, ensuring the strategy is not curve-fit to perfect fills. If it works here, it will work in real conditions.
Why It Wins
While others put out “AI-powered” strategies with little logic or soul, GENESIS is ruthlessly practical. It is built around what keeps traders alive:
- Context-aware signals, not just patterns
- Tight, transparent risk
- Inputs that adapt, not confuse
- Visuals that clarify, not distract
- Code that runs clean, efficient, and with minimal overfitting risk (try it on QQQ, AMD, SOL, etc. out of the box)
Disclaimer (for TradingView compliance):
Trading is risky. Futures, stocks, and crypto can result in significant losses. Do not trade with funds you cannot afford to lose. This is for educational and informational purposes only. Use in simulation/backtest mode before live trading. No past performance is indicative of future results. Always understand your risk and ownership of your trades.
This will not be my last—my goal is to keep raising the bar until DAFE is a brand or I’m forced to take this private.
Use with discipline, use with clarity, and always trade smarter.
— Dskyz , powered by DAFE Trading Systems.
REVELATIONS (VoVix - PoC) REVELATIONS (VoVix - POC): True Regime Detection Before the Move
Let’s not sugarcoat it: Most strategies on TradingView are recycled—RSI, MACD, OBV, CCI, Stochastics. They all lag. No matter how many overlays you stack, every one of these “standard” indicators fires after the move is underway. The retail crowd almost always gets in late. That’s never been enough for my team, for DAFE, or for anyone who’s traded enough to know the real edge vanishes by the time the masses react.
How is this different?
REVELATIONS (VoVix - POC) was engineered from raw principle, structured to detect pre-move regime change—before standard technicals even light up. We built, tested, and refined VoVix to answer one hard question:
What if you could see the spike before the trend?
Here’s what sets this system apart, line-by-line:
o True volatility-of-volatility mathematics: It’s not just "ATR of ATR" or noise smoothing. VoVix uses normalized, multi-timeframe v-vol spikes, instantly detecting orderbook stress and "outlier" market events—before the chart shows them as trends.
o Purist regime clustering: Every trade is enabled only during coordinated, multi-filter regime stress. No more signals in meaningless chop.
o Nonlinear entry logic: No trade is ever sent just for a “good enough” condition. Every entry fires only if every requirement is aligned—local extremes, super-spike threshold, regime index, higher timeframe, all must trigger in sync.
o Adaptive position size: Your contracts scale up with event strength. Tiny size during nominal moves, max leverage during true regime breaks—never guesswork, never static exposure.
o All exits governed by regime decay logic: Trades are closed not just on price targets but at the precise moment the market regime exhausts—the hardest part of systemic trading, now solved.
How this destroys the lag:
Standard indicators (RSI, MACD, OBV, CCI, and even most “momentum” overlays) simply tell you what already happened. VoVix triggers as price structure transitions—anyone running these generic scripts will trade behind the move while VoVix gets in as stress emerges. Real alpha comes from anticipation, not confirmation.
The visuals only show what matters:
Top right, you get a live, live quant dashboard—regime index, current position size, real-time performance (Sharpe, Sortino, win rate, and wins). Bottom right: a VoVix "engine bar" that adapts live with regime stress. Everything you see is a direct function of logic driving this edge—no cosmetics, no fake momentum.
Inputs/Signals—explained carefully for clarity:
o ATR Fast Length & ATR Slow Length:
These are the heart of VoVix’s regime sensing. Fast ATR reacts to sharp volatility; Slow ATR is stability baseline. Lower Fast = reacts to every twitch; higher Slow = requires more persistent, “real” regime shifts.
Tip: If you want more signals or faster markets, lower ATR Fast. To eliminate noise, raise ATR Slow.
o ATR StdDev Window: Smoothing for volatility-of-volatility normalization. Lower = more jumpy, higher = only the cleanest spikes trigger.
Tip: Shorten for “jumpy” assets, raise for indices/futures.
o Base Spike Threshold: Think of this as your “minimum event strength.” If the current move isn’t volatile enough (normalized), no signal.
Tip: Higher = only biggest moves matter. Lower for more signals but more potential noise.
o Super Spike Multiplier: The “are you sure?” test—entry only when the current spike is this multiple above local average.
Tip: Raise for ultra-selective/swing-trading; lower for more active style.
Regime & MultiTF:
o Regime Window (Bars):
How many bars to scan for regime cluster “events.” Short for turbo markets, long for big swings/trends only.
o Regime Event Count: Only trade when this many spikes occur within the Regime Window—filters for real stress, not isolated ticks.
Tip: Raise to only ever trade during true breakouts/crashes.
o Local Window for Extremes:
How many bars to check that a spike is a local max.
Tip: Raise to demand only true, “clearest” local regime events; lower for early triggers.
o HTF Confirm:
Higher timeframe regime confirmation (like 45m on an intraday chart). Ensures any event you act on is visible in the broader context.
Tip: Use higher timeframes for only major moves; lower for scalping or fast regimes.
Adaptive Sizing:
o Max Contracts (Adaptive): The largest size your system will ever scale to, even on extreme event.
Tip: Lower for small accounts/conservative risk; raise on big accounts or when you're willing to go big only on outlier events.
o Min Contracts (Adaptive): The “toe-in-the-water.” Smallest possible trade.
Tip: Set as low as your broker/exchange allows for safety, or higher if you want to always have meaningful skin in the game.
Trade Management:
o Stop %: Tightness of your stop-loss relative to entry. Lower for tighter/safer, higher for more breathing room at cost of greater drawdown.
o Take Profit %: How much you'll hold out for on a win. Lower = more scalps. Higher = only run with the best.
o Decay Exit Sensitivity Buffer: Regime index must dip this far below the trading threshold before you exit for “regime decay.”
Tip: 0 = exit as soon as stress fails, higher = exits only on stronger confirmation regime is over.
o Bars Decay Must Persist to Exit: How long must decay be present before system closes—set higher to avoid quick fades and whipsaws.
Backtest Settings
Initial capital: $10,000
Commission: Conservative, realistic roundtrip cost:
15–20 per contract (including slippage per side) I set this to $25
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade
Symbol: CME_MINI:NQ1!
Timeframe: 1 min (but works on all timeframes)
Order size: Adaptive, 1–3 contracts
No pyramiding, no hidden DCA
Why these settings?
These settings are intentionally strict and realistic, reflecting the true costs and risks of live trading. The 10,000 account size is accessible for most retail traders. 25/contract including 3 ticks of slippage are on the high side for NQ, ensuring the strategy is not curve-fit to perfect fills. If it works here, it will work in real conditions.
Tip: Set to 1 for instant regime exit; raise for extra confirmation (less whipsaw risk, exits held longer).
________________________________________
Bottom line: Tune the sensitivity, selectivity, and risk of REVELATIONS by these inputs. Raise thresholds and windows for only the best, most powerful signals (institutional style); lower for activity (scalpers, fast cryptos, signals in constant motion). Sizing is always adaptive—never static or martingale. Exits are always based on both price and regime health. Every input is there for your control, not to sell “complexity.” Use with discipline, and make it your own.
This strategy is not just a technical achievement: It’s a statement about trading smarter, not just more.
* I went back through the code to make sure no the strategy would not suffer from repainting, forward looking, or any frowned upon loopholes.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky and carries the risk of substantial loss. Do not use funds you aren’t prepared to lose. This is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Expect more: We’ll keep pushing the standard, keep evolving the bar until “quant” actually means something in the public code space.
Use with clarity, use with discipline, and always trade your edge.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Deviation over Deviation (DoD) (DAFE) Deviation over Deviation (DoD)
Let’s call it out: The vast majority of “volatility” tools on TradingView are just new wrappers on old math—ATR, bands, and basic deviation, all chasing the same tired after-the-fact moves. They’re built to describe the aftermath, not the ignition. If you’re still relying on these, you’re trading in the rearview mirror while the real edge is already gone. That’s not our game, and it shouldn’t be yours.
Deviation over Deviation (DoD) is built for one purpose:
To expose the hidden regime shifts—the moments when volatility itself becomes volatile, when the market’s “normal” deviation is no longer normal, and when the next move is about to erupt. This isn’t just another overlay. This is a quant-grade anomaly detector, engineered to show you the probability surface before the crowd even knows it’s changed.
What sets this apart:
Deviation over Deviation (DoD):
Not just “how much did price move,” but “how unusual is the current volatility compared to its own history?” This is the Z-score of Z-scores—a true rarity detector for market stress, lull, or impending breakout.
VoVix Integration:
Select VoVix as your source and you’re not just tracking price, but the volatility of volatility—the same math that powers institutional regime models. This is the edge that front-runs the move, not follows it.
Multi-Timeframe Comparative Engine:
Instantly compare current and higher timeframe DoD Z-scores. See when the micro and macro regimes align—or when they’re about to collide.
Professional, Adaptive Dashboard:
No cosmetic fluff, always showing you the real quant state: current DoD Z, HTF DoD Z, and regime warnings. Every color, every plot, every signal is a direct function of the logic—no distractions, no lag.
How this destroys the lag:
Standard deviation, ATR, and “volatility bands” are always late. They tell you what just happened. DoD and VoVix show you when the nature of volatility itself is changing—when the market is about to leave the old regime behind. This is the difference between trading the past and trading the future.
Inputs/Signals—explained for clarity:
Deviation Lookback & DoD Lookback:
Control the sensitivity and selectivity of the regime detector. Shorter = more signals, longer = only the rarest events.
Source Selection:
Choose from price, volume, volatility, or VoVix. Each source gives you a different lens on market stress. VoVix is for those who want to see the “regime quake” before the aftershocks.
HTF (Comparative Timeframe):
Set your higher timeframe for macro regime confirmation. When both DoD Z-scores align, you’re seeing a true market inflection.
VoVix Parameters:
Fine-tune the volatility-of-volatility engine for your market. Lower ATR Fast = more responsive; higher ATR Slow = more selective. Adjust for your asset, your timeframe, your edge.
Bottom line:
This isn’t just another “volatility” script. This is a regime anomaly detector, built for traders who want to anticipate, not react. Every input is there for a reason. Every plot is a direct readout of the quant logic. Use it to filter your entries, to time your exits, or to simply see the market’s hidden structure in real time.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky. This script is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
*Updated the Dashboard/Metrics Display for better visibility
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
