Munich's Momentum Wave V2MUNICH'S MOMENTUM WAVE VERSION 2 IS LIVE!!!
There are a few big things to note with this one.
I decided to upload this as an entirely new script due to the number of changes differing from the first version, but as the last one, this will still work on ANY TIMEFRAME, ANY ASSET CLASS, ANY PRICE! .
This momentum wave indicator now will give you data for when trend could turn, and two momentum indicators to help you decide when to take an entry.
First off,
*I have added an alma ma (alma) that will track momentum alongside price action and further lead the indicator consisting of the Munich waves.
* The background feature will track the price using a method derived from the Bollinger bands, after calculations, it will color the background based on the average of the momentum's ema's, the alma ma, and also the alma in comparison to the alma's value pre offset ( the offset is 3, following the basis).
*There are now 5 basis values given from the increase in ema samples.
If anyone has any questions feel free to pm me or comment below. Thank you guys for the support! :)
INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:NDQ AMEX:SPY BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT FX:USDJPY NASDAQ:AAPL
Trend
SKYtrend Bruteforce Open Source✨SKYtrend Bruteforce Now Open Source✨
📌This indicator analyzes the trend and calls Long/Short which is fully custom to fit your style of trading.
📌Custom Take Profit Levels currently have 3 TP levels for Long and Short you can decide which % each TP will be in settings.
📌2 Custom Stoploss levels. For Long or Short. Can Enable or Disable either.
📌Can set alert For Long, Short , TP Long 1-3, TP Short 1-3, SL 1-2
📌Has built in ichimoku cloud
If you like it, like it. :)
Trend Friendly RSITrend Friendly RSI
Unlike the standard RSI, "Trend Friendly RSI" adapts to the trend. RSI and other momentum-based oscillators cannot give a buy signal in uptrends and a sell signal in downtrends because they do not take into account the momentum of the trend and behave as if the price is in a constant sideways trend. "Trend Friendly RSI", on the other hand, takes into account the momentum of the trend of your chosen length and subtracts it from the current momentum, thus giving more realistic buy and sell signals.
use it to identify your long-term investments and trading entry points for hodl. It would be wise to use this indicator for assets that you have done fundamental analysis and are sure of the trend direction. it doesn't know what the price will do, it just shows the points that are suitable for you.
remember this indicator will fail in horizontal trends.
MFI StrategyThis indicator is based on MFI25 and EMA55 and optimized for 1 day graph and slow swing trading to show large moves and tops and bottoms.
You can change the MFI and EMA settings according to your style of trading.
The change from green to red and visa versa are the buying and selling moments.
The yellow line indicates that a change is possibly comming or not really sollid, so with yellow it's your own feeling that is leading.
Always combine this graph with others. F.i. a RSI14 to look for divergenses.
Ps. I'm not a professional or very experienced trader, but this indicator works perfect for me.
Succes.
Donchian Channels OscillatorIf we take the difference between Donchian Channels upper and lower, we can get a lot of information on the trend. I made it into a percentage and used a color system to make it easy to look at.
> green color = bullish trend
> red color = bearish trend
> white color = consolidation OR trend is about to change (low percentage)
The percentage value tells us about the strength of the trend. The highest, the strongest the trend is.
PrevHighLow Trend IndicatorPrevHighLow Trend Indicator which is calculated by using prev lowest and highest of p1 -period and p2 -period for two MAs.
First MA is made of prev highest of p1-period / prev lowest of p1-period.
Second MA is faster, made up of p2(<p1)- period(same formula).
Can be used in the next way: slower MA(straight line) shows main trend, faster shows temporary trend.
BUY, when first MA and second MA are green; Exit: second MA changes from green to red.
SELL, when first MA and second MA are red; Exit: second MA changes from red to green.
RSI Assistant basically filtres signals in the way, when signals from RSI and Faster MA are similar? it signals about it with labels: BUY for long, SELL for short. You can either enable or disable it. Also customizable so you can find your setup. RSI Assistant, depending on you customize it, can help you either follow trend or show reversals. Just find your own setup and watch things happen!
Feel free to leave valuable feedback and your setups which you consider to be good.
Hope you PHLTI usefull. Good luck!
TriexDev - SuperBuySellTrendMinimal but powerful.
Have been using this for myself, so thought it would be nice to share publicly. Of course no script is correct 100% of the time, but this is one of if not the best in my basic tools.
Two indicators will appear, the default ATR multipliers are already set for what I believe to be perfect for this particular (double indicator) strategy.
If you want to break it yourself (I couldn't find anything that tested more accurately myself), you can do so in the settings.
Basic rundown:
A single Buy/Sell indicator in the dim colour; may be setting a direction change, or just healthy movement.
When the brighter Buy/Sell indicator appears; it often means that a change in direction (uptrend or downtrend) is confirmed.
You can see here, there was a (brighter) green indicator which flipped down then up into a (brighter) red sell indicator which set the downtrend. Once you understand the basics of how it works - it can become a very useful tool in your trading arsenal.
Typically I will use this and other indicators to confirm likeliness of a direction change prior to the brighter/confirmation one appearing - but just going by the 2nd(brighter) indicators, have found it to be surprisingly accurate.
Tends to work well on virtually all timeframes, but personally prefer to use it on 5min,15min,1hr, 4hr, daily, weekly. Will still work for shorter/other timeframes, but may be more accurate on mid ones.
CCMA - Count Condition MA (560 Indicators In One) Do you like using moving averages?
Why do you think a pair of moving averages on a chart will help you?
What is the probability that once two moving averages have crossed, you will successfully enter the trade?
So why not use 100+ moving averages at once to increase the probability of a successful trade?
And all this can be seen in a single oscillator as a histogram!
I want to introduce you to a system that takes into account 560 moving averages movements. And that's just for a second, 560 potential indicators.
Specifically:
- 22 types of MA (EMA, SMA, RMA and others).
- 176 moving averages.
- 310 crossover checks.
- 252 checks of trend following.
The indicator makes the most of the opportunities provided by television. Therefore, it can take a long time to load it.
How does it work ?
In general, the indicator counts the number of fulfilled conditions.
It checks if MA #1 and MA #2 have crossed. If so, it adds +1 to the statistics. It also checks if price is above or below the moving average. There are a total of 560 such checks. (This is about the maximum the TV allowed me).
The default is 8 lengths of moving averages, I took the Fibonacci numbers thinking they were the optimal solution. You can take any of your favorites.
If the "Ratio MOD" feature is on. Then you can see how many MAs are showing signals to enter a long or short position.
You can also see the indication at the bottom as dots. They show which signals are longer/shorter. If the number of signals is the same, the dot will be yellow. The first line of dots counts the number of crossings. The second line counts the number of crossovers + checks whether the price is above or below the average slippage.
If the "Differ MOD" function is enabled. Then you can see the difference between long and short signals. With the same indication as in RATIO MOD.
If "Show all" is on, then the bar graph shows all 560 accounting options. If it is off, only the number of crossovers is displayed. (This does not apply to the display as points)
If the script shows an error, try to change the timeframe and go back. Or add it again.
You can also disable the histogram in the stats settings and leave only the points that help in determining the trend.
Regression Channel Trend DetectionThis is a regression channel that uses ichimoku to determine trend. The sensitivity is customizable. The centerline will change color according to the trend detected by ichimoku, and each line can act as support/resistance. The bands of the channel also change colors according to how far price is getting away from them. If you notice in this example, the lower band is turning orange when the price is getting too far away from it, suggesting that it may have risen too fast and too soon. This is still in testing so feel free to comment with any suggestions or fixes.
Mtf Supertrend Table
english
It is a study of how the supertrend indicator looks on multiple timeframes. You can see the Supertrend direction in Multiple Timeframes by looking at the chart
Türkçe
supertrend indikatörünün çoklu zaman dilimdlerinde nasıl göründüğü yönünde bir çalışmadır. Tabloya bakarak Çoklu Zaman dilimlerinde Supertrend yönünü görebilirsiniz
Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price w/ Linear Regression [Loxx]Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price w/ Linear Regression is a indicator that implements a Real-Fast Fourier Transform on Price and modifies the output by a measure of Linear Regression. The solid line is the Linear Regression Trend of the windowed data, The green/red line is the Real FFT of price.
What is the Discrete Fourier Transform?
In mathematics, the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) converts a finite sequence of equally-spaced samples of a function into a same-length sequence of equally-spaced samples of the discrete-time Fourier transform (DTFT), which is a complex-valued function of frequency. The interval at which the DTFT is sampled is the reciprocal of the duration of the input sequence. An inverse DFT is a Fourier series, using the DTFT samples as coefficients of complex sinusoids at the corresponding DTFT frequencies. It has the same sample-values as the original input sequence. The DFT is therefore said to be a frequency domain representation of the original input sequence. If the original sequence spans all the non-zero values of a function, its DTFT is continuous (and periodic), and the DFT provides discrete samples of one cycle. If the original sequence is one cycle of a periodic function, the DFT provides all the non-zero values of one DTFT cycle.
What is the Complex Fast Fourier Transform?
The complex Fast Fourier Transform algorithm transforms N real or complex numbers into another N complex numbers. The complex FFT transforms a real or complex signal x in the time domain into a complex two-sided spectrum X in the frequency domain. You must remember that zero frequency corresponds to n = 0, positive frequencies 0 < f < f_c correspond to values 1 ≤ n ≤ N/2 −1, while negative frequencies −fc < f < 0 correspond to N/2 +1 ≤ n ≤ N −1. The value n = N/2 corresponds to both f = f_c and f = −f_c. f_c is the critical or Nyquist frequency with f_c = 1/(2*T) or half the sampling frequency. The first harmonic X corresponds to the frequency 1/(N*T).
The complex FFT requires the list of values (resolution, or N) to be a power 2. If the input size if not a power of 2, then the input data will be padded with zeros to fit the size of the closest power of 2 upward.
What is Real-Fast Fourier Transform?
Has conditions similar to the complex Fast Fourier Transform value, except that the input data must be purely real. If the time series data has the basic type complex64, only the real parts of the complex numbers are used for the calculation. The imaginary parts are silently discarded.
Inputs:
src = source price
uselreg = whether you wish to modify output with linear regression calculation
Windowin = windowing period, restricted to powers of 2: "4", "8", "16", "32", "64", "128", "256", "512", "1024", "2048"
Treshold = to modified power output to fine tune signal
dtrendper = adjust regression calculation
barsback = move window backward from bar 0
mutebars = mute bar coloring for the range
Further reading:
Real-valued Fast Fourier Transform Algorithms IEEE Transactions on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, June 1987
Related indicators utilizing Fourier Transform
Fourier Extrapolator of Variety RSI w/ Bollinger Bands
Fourier Extrapolation of Variety Moving Averages
Fourier Extrapolator of Price w/ Projection Forecast
Ultimate IndicatorThis is a combination of all the price chart indicators I frequently switch between. It contains my day time highlighter (for day trading), multi-timeframe long-term trend indicator for current commodity in the bottom right, customizable trend EMA which also has multi-timeframe drawing capabilities, VWAP, customizable indicators with separate settings from the trend indicator including: EMA, HL2 over time, Donchian Channels, Keltner Channels, Bollinger Bands, and Super Trend. The settings for these are right below the trend settings and can have their length and multiplier adjusted. All of those also have multi-timeframe capabilities separate from the trend multi-time settings.
The Day Trade Highlight option will draw faint yellow between 9:15-9:25, red between 9:25-9:45, yellow between 9:45-10:05. There will be one white background at 9:30am to show the opening of the market. while the market is open there will be a very faint blue background. For the end of the day there will be yellow between 15:45-15:50, red between 15:50-16:00, and yellow between 16:00-16:05. During the night hours, there is no coloring. The purpose of this highlight is to show the opening / closing times of the market and the hot times for large moves.
The indicators can also be colored in the following ways:
1. Simple = Makes all colors for the indicator Gray
2. Trend = Will use the Donchian Channels to get the short-trend direction and by default will color the short-term direction as Blue or Red. Unless using Super Trend, the Donchian Channel is used to find short-term trend direction.
3. Trend Adv = Will use the Donchian Channels to get the short-trend direction and by default will color the short-term direction as Blue or Red. Unless using Super Trend, the Donchian Channel is used to find short-term trend direction. If there is a short-term up-trend during a long-term down-trend, the Blue will become Navy. If short-term down-trend during long-term up-trend, the Red will be Brown.
4. Squeeze = Compares the Bollinger Bands width to the Keltner Channels width and will color based on relative squeeze of the market: Teal = no squeeze. Yellow = little squeeze. Red = decent squeeze. White = huge squeeze. if you do not understand this one, try drawing the Bollinger Bands while using the Squeeze color option and it should become more apparent how this works. I also recommend leaving the length and multiplier to the default 20 and 2 if using this setting and only changing the timeframe to get longer/shorter lengths as I've seen that changing the length or multiplier can more or less make it not work at all.
Along with the indicator settings are options to draw lines/labels/fills for the indicator. I enjoy having only fills for a cleaner look.
The Labels option will show Buy/Sell signals when the short-term trend flips to agree with the long-term trend.
The Trend Bars option will do the same as the Labels option but instead will color the bars white when a Buy/Sell option is given.
The Range Bars option shows will color a bar white when the Close of a candle is outside of a respective ranging indicator option (Bollinger or Keltner).
The Trend Bars will draw white candles no matter which indicator selection you make (even "Off"). However, Range Bars will only draw white when either Bollinger or Keltner are selected.
The Donchian Channels and Super Trend are trending indicators and should be used during trending markets. I like to use the MACD in conjunction with these indicators for possibly earlier entries.
The Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel are ranging indicators and should be used during ranging markets. I like to use the RSI in conjunction with these indicators and will use 60/40 for overbought and oversold areas rather than 70/30. During a range, I wait for an overbought or oversold indication and will buy/sell when it crosses back into the middle area and close my position when it touches the opposite band.
I have a MACD/RSI combination indicator if you'd like that as well :D
As always, trade at your own risk. This is not some secret indicator that will 100% win. As always, the trades you see in the picture use a 1:1.5 or 1:2 risk to reward ratio, for today (August 8, 2022) it won 5/6 times with one trade still open at the end of the day. Manage your account correctly and you'll win in the long term. Hit me up with any questions or suggestions. Happy Trading!
Swing Trend StrategyThis script is a trend following system which uses a long term Moving Average to spot the trend in combination with the Average True Range to filter out Fakeouts, limiting the overall drawdown.
Default Settings and Calculation:
- The trend is detected using the Exponential Moving Average on 200 periods.
- The Average True Range is calculated on 10 periods.
- The Market is considered in an Uptrend when the price closes above the EMA + ATR.
- The Market is considered in a Downtrend when the price closes below the EMA - ATR.
- The strategy will open a LONG position when the market is in an Uptrend.
- The strategy will close its LONG positions when the price closes below the EMA.
- The strategy will open a SHORT position when the market is in a Downtrend.
- The strategy will close its SHORT positions when the price closes above the EMA.
This script is best suited for the 4h timeframe, and shows good results on BTC and ETH especially.
The options allow to modify the type of moving average to use, the period of the moving average, the ATR multiplier to add as well as the possibility to open short trades or not.
Strategy - Trend Chaser - PSeTrend Chaser for Philippine Stock Exchange - LONG ONLY
-Elvin Kennedy Latayan 2022
3LS | 3 Line Strike Strategy [Kintsugi Trading]What is the 3LS | 3 Line Strike Strategy?
Incorporating the 3 Line Strike candlestick pattern into our strategy was inspired by Arty at The Moving Average and the amazing traders at TheTrdFloor .
The Three Line Strike is a trend continuation candlestick pattern consisting of four candles. Depending on their heights and collocation, a bullish or a bearish trend continuation can be predicted.
In a symphony of trend analysis, price action, and volume we can find and place high-probability trades with the 3LS Strategy.
How to use it!
----- First, start by choosing a Stop-Loss Strategy, Stop PIP Size, and Risk/Reward Ratio -----
- Stop-Loss Strategy
Fixed PIP Size – This uses the top/bottom of the indicator candle and places a TP based on the chosen Risk:Reward ratio.
ATR Trail (No set Target Profit, only uses ATR Stop)
ATR Trail-Stop (Has set Target Profit, however, stop is based on ATR inputs)
**If you choose an ATR Stop-Loss Strategy - input the desired ATR period and Multiple you would like the stop to be calculated at**
**ATR Stop-Loss Strategies have a unique alert setup for Auto-Trading. See Auto-Trading Section**
- Risk/Reward Ratio = If you have a .5 risk/reward, it means you are risking $100 to make $50.
- Additional Stop PIP Size = Number of PIPs over the default stop location of the top or bottom of the indicator candle.
----- Next, we set the Session Filter -----
Set the Timezone and Trade Session you desire. If no specific session is desired, simply set the Trade Session to 00:00 - 00:00.
----- Next, we set the Moving Average Cloud Fill -----
Enter the Fast and Slow Moving Average Length used to calculate trend direction:
MA Period Fast
MA Period Slow
These inputs will determine whether the strategy looks for Long or Short positions.
----- Next, we set the VSA – Volume Spread Analysis Settings -----
Check the box to show the indicator at the bottom of the chart if desired.
This is just a different visual output of the VSA | Volume Spread Analysis indicator available for free under the community indicators tab. You can add that indicator to your chart and see the same output in candle format.
In combination with the Moving Average Cloud, the Volume Spread Analysis will help us determine when to take a trade and in what direction.
The strategy is essentially looking for small reversals going against the overall trend and placing a trade once that reversal ends and the price moves back in the direction of the overall trend.
The 3LS Strategy utilizes confirmation between trend, volume, and price action to place high probability trades.
The VSA is completely customizable by:
Moving Average Length
MA-1 Multiplier
MA-2 Multiplier
MA-3 Multiplier
Check out the VSA | Volume Spread Analysis indicator in the community scripts section under the indicators tab to use this awesome resource on other strategies.
----- Next, we have the option to view the automated KT Bull/Bear Signals -----
Check the boxes to show the buy-sell signal on the chart if desired.
----- Next, we set the risk we want to use if Auto Trading the strategy -----
I always suggest using no more than 1-3% of your total account balance per trade. Remember, if you have multiple strategies triggering per day with each using 1%, the total percent at risk will be much larger.
For Example – if you have 10 strategies each risking 1% your total risk is 10% of your account, not 1%! Be mindful to only use 1-3% of your total account balance across all strategies, not just each individual one.
----- Finally, we backtest our ideas -----
After using the 'Strategy Tester' tab on TradingView to thoroughly backtest your predictions you are ready to take it to the next level - Automated Trading!
This was my whole reason for creating the script. If you work a full-time job, live in a time zone that is hard to trade, or just don't have the patience, this will be a game-changer for you as it was for me.
Auto-Trading
When it comes to auto-trading this strategy I have included two options in the script that utilize the alert messages generated by TradingView.
*Note: Please trade on a demo account until you feel comfortable enough to use real money, and then please stick to 1%-2% of your total account value in risk per trade.*
AutoView
PineConnector
**ATR Auto-Trading Alert Setup**
How to create alerts on 3 Line Strike Strategy
For Trailing Stops:
1) Adjust autoview/pineconnector settings
2) Click "add alert"
3) Select "Condition" = Strategy Name
4) Select "Order Fills Only" from the drop-down
3) Remove template message text from "message" box and place the exact text. '{{strategy.order.alert_message}}'
4) Click "create"
For Fixed Pip Stop:
1) Adjust autoview/pineconnector settings
2) Click "add alert"
3) Select "Condition" = Strategy Name
4) Select "alert() function calls only"
5) I like to title my Alert Name the same thing I named it as an Indicator Template to keep track
Good luck with your trading!
Refracted EMARefracted EMA is a price based indicator with bands that is built on moving average.
The price range between the bands directly depends on relationship of Average True Range to Moving Average. This gives us very valuable variable constant that changes with the market moves.
So the bands expand and contract due to changes in volatility of the market, which makes this tool very flexible exposing psychological levels.
TF Segmented Polynomial Regression [LuxAlgo]This indicator displays polynomial regression channels fitted using data within a user selected time interval.
The model is fitted using the same method described in our previous script:
Settings
Degree: Degree of the fitted polynomial
Width: Multiplicative factor of the model RMSE. Controls the width of the polynomial regression's channels
Timeframe: Fits the polynomial regression using data within the selected timeframe interval
Show fit for new bars: If selected, will fit the regression model for newly generated bars, else the previous fitted value is displayed.
Src: Input source
Usage
Segmented (or piecewise) models yield multiple fits by first partitioning the data into multiple intervals from specific partitioning conditions. In this script this partitioning condition is for a user selected timeframe to change.
Segmented models can be particularly pertinent for market prices, which often describes a series of local trends.
Segmented polynomial regressions can describe the nature of underlying trends in the price from their fit, such as if an underlying trend is more linear (trending) or constant (ranging), and if a trend is monotonic.
The above chart shows a monthly partitioning on SPX 15m, using a polynomial regression of degree 3. Channel extremities allows highlighting local tops/bottoms.
For real time applications users can choose to fit a current model to incoming price data using the Show fit for new bars settings.
Details
The script does not make use of line.new to display the segmented linear regressions, which allows showing a higher number of historical fits. Each channel extremity as well as the model fit is displayed from the plot function, as such user can more easily set alerts on them.
It is important to note that achieving this requires accessing future price data, as such this script is subject to lookahead bias, historical results differ from the results one could have obtained in real-time.
ADXVMA iTrend [Loxx]ADXVMA iTrend is an iTrend indicator with ADXVMA smoothing. Trend is used to determine where the trend starts and ends. Adjust the period inputs accordingly to suit your backtest requirements. This is also useful for scalping lower timeframes.
What is the ADXvma - Average Directional Volatility Moving Average?
Linnsoft's ADXvma formula is a volatility-based moving average, with the volatility being determined by the value of the ADX indicator.The ADXvma has the SMA in Chande's CMO replaced with an EMA , it then uses a few more layers of EMA smoothing before the "Volatility Index" is calculated.
Included
Bar coloring
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
VHF-Adaptive T3 iTrend [Loxx]VHF-Adaptive T3 iTrend is an iTrend indicator with T3 smoothing and Vertical Horizontal Filter Adaptive period input. iTrend is used to determine where the trend starts and ends. You'll notice that the noise filter on this one is extreme. Adjust the period inputs accordingly to suit your take and your backtest requirements. This is also useful for scalping lower timeframes. Enjoy!
What is VHF Adaptive Period?
Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) was created by Adam White to identify trending and ranging markets. VHF measures the level of trend activity, similar to ADX DI. Vertical Horizontal Filter does not, itself, generate trading signals, but determines whether signals are taken from trend or momentum indicators. Using this trend information, one is then able to derive an average cycle length.
What is the T3 moving average?
Better Moving Averages Tim Tillson
November 1, 1998
Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
Introduction
"Digital filtering includes the process of smoothing, predicting, differentiating, integrating, separation of signals, and removal of noise from a signal. Thus many people who do such things are actually using digital filters without realizing that they are; being unacquainted with the theory, they neither understand what they have done nor the possibilities of what they might have done."
This quote from R. W. Hamming applies to the vast majority of indicators in technical analysis . Moving averages, be they simple, weighted, or exponential, are lowpass filters; low frequency components in the signal pass through with little attenuation, while high frequencies are severely reduced.
"Oscillator" type indicators (such as MACD , Momentum, Relative Strength Index ) are another type of digital filter called a differentiator.
Tushar Chande has observed that many popular oscillators are highly correlated, which is sensible because they are trying to measure the rate of change of the underlying time series, i.e., are trying to be the first and second derivatives we all learned about in Calculus.
We use moving averages (lowpass filters) in technical analysis to remove the random noise from a time series, to discern the underlying trend or to determine prices at which we will take action. A perfect moving average would have two attributes:
It would be smooth, not sensitive to random noise in the underlying time series. Another way of saying this is that its derivative would not spuriously alternate between positive and negative values.
It would not lag behind the time series it is computed from. Lag, of course, produces late buy or sell signals that kill profits.
The only way one can compute a perfect moving average is to have knowledge of the future, and if we had that, we would buy one lottery ticket a week rather than trade!
Having said this, we can still improve on the conventional simple, weighted, or exponential moving averages. Here's how:
Two Interesting Moving Averages
We will examine two benchmark moving averages based on Linear Regression analysis.
In both cases, a Linear Regression line of length n is fitted to price data.
I call the first moving average ILRS, which stands for Integral of Linear Regression Slope. One simply integrates the slope of a linear regression line as it is successively fitted in a moving window of length n across the data, with the constant of integration being a simple moving average of the first n points. Put another way, the derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. Note that ILRS is not the same as a SMA ( simple moving average ) of length n, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
We can measure the lag of moving averages with respect to a linear trend by computing how they behave when the input is a line with unit slope. Both SMA (n) and ILRS(n) have lag of n/2, but ILRS is much smoother than SMA .
Our second benchmark moving average is well known, called EPMA or End Point Moving Average. It is the endpoint of the linear regression line of length n as it is fitted across the data. EPMA hugs the data more closely than a simple or exponential moving average of the same length. The price we pay for this is that it is much noisier (less smooth) than ILRS, and it also has the annoying property that it overshoots the data when linear trends are present.
However, EPMA has a lag of 0 with respect to linear input! This makes sense because a linear regression line will fit linear input perfectly, and the endpoint of the LR line will be on the input line.
These two moving averages frame the tradeoffs that we are facing. On one extreme we have ILRS, which is very smooth and has considerable phase lag. EPMA has 0 phase lag, but is too noisy and overshoots. We would like to construct a better moving average which is as smooth as ILRS, but runs closer to where EPMA lies, without the overshoot.
A easy way to attempt this is to split the difference, i.e. use (ILRS(n)+EPMA(n))/2. This will give us a moving average (call it IE /2) which runs in between the two, has phase lag of n/4 but still inherits considerable noise from EPMA. IE /2 is inspirational, however. Can we build something that is comparable, but smoother? Figure 1 shows ILRS, EPMA, and IE /2.
Filter Techniques
Any thoughtful student of filter theory (or resolute experimenter) will have noticed that you can improve the smoothness of a filter by running it through itself multiple times, at the cost of increasing phase lag.
There is a complementary technique (called twicing by J.W. Tukey) which can be used to improve phase lag. If L stands for the operation of running data through a low pass filter, then twicing can be described by:
L' = L(time series) + L(time series - L(time series))
That is, we add a moving average of the difference between the input and the moving average to the moving average. This is algebraically equivalent to:
2L-L(L)
This is the Double Exponential Moving Average or DEMA , popularized by Patrick Mulloy in TASAC (January/February 1994).
In our taxonomy, DEMA has some phase lag (although it exponentially approaches 0) and is somewhat noisy, comparable to IE /2 indicator.
We will use these two techniques to construct our better moving average, after we explore the first one a little more closely.
Fixing Overshoot
An n-day EMA has smoothing constant alpha=2/(n+1) and a lag of (n-1)/2.
Thus EMA (3) has lag 1, and EMA (11) has lag 5. Figure 2 shows that, if I am willing to incur 5 days of lag, I get a smoother moving average if I run EMA (3) through itself 5 times than if I just take EMA (11) once.
This suggests that if EPMA and DEMA have 0 or low lag, why not run fast versions (eg DEMA (3)) through themselves many times to achieve a smooth result? The problem is that multiple runs though these filters increase their tendency to overshoot the data, giving an unusable result. This is because the amplitude response of DEMA and EPMA is greater than 1 at certain frequencies, giving a gain of much greater than 1 at these frequencies when run though themselves multiple times. Figure 3 shows DEMA (7) and EPMA(7) run through themselves 3 times. DEMA^3 has serious overshoot, and EPMA^3 is terrible.
The solution to the overshoot problem is to recall what we are doing with twicing:
DEMA (n) = EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))
The second term is adding, in effect, a smooth version of the derivative to the EMA to achieve DEMA . The derivative term determines how hot the moving average's response to linear trends will be. We need to simply turn down the volume to achieve our basic building block:
EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))*.7;
This is algebraically the same as:
EMA (n)*1.7-EMA( EMA (n))*.7;
I have chosen .7 as my volume factor, but the general formula (which I call "Generalized Dema") is:
GD (n,v) = EMA (n)*(1+v)-EMA( EMA (n))*v,
Where v ranges between 0 and 1. When v=0, GD is just an EMA , and when v=1, GD is DEMA . In between, GD is a cooler DEMA . By using a value for v less than 1 (I like .7), we cure the multiple DEMA overshoot problem, at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay. Now we can run GD through itself multiple times to define a new, smoother moving average T3 that does not overshoot the data:
T3(n) = GD ( GD ( GD (n)))
In filter theory parlance, T3 is a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter. Kalman filters are ones which use the error (in this case (time series - EMA (n)) to correct themselves. In Technical Analysis , these are called Adaptive Moving Averages; they track the time series more aggressively when it is making large moves.
Included
Bar coloring
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Donchian Channels+Standard Donchian Channels, this includes a Trend EMA which can be configured and the channels will use to give buy and sell signals. The channels are also colored in such a way to indicate a trend reversals. My favorite part that sets this apart from others is, if using the bClose option (which I recommend you do) the trend will not reverse until there is a close above/below the previous channel high/low. i.e. a reversal into an uptrend requires the current bar to close above the previous upper channel rather than just a new high.
The coloring of the current trend allows for a quick read of current market conditions and I use this on any timeframe across all forms of charts (forex stock, futures , crypto, etc). When taking one of the signals I use the opposite channel as the stop loss (when buying use bottom, and selling use top channel)
Update 1:
- Added my name to the code
- Updated the picture to show off the indicator better
- Raised the brightness of the fill color a bit, looks nicer I think
As a warning: I have obviously hand picked this picture to really show off this indicator's power to work in a trending market. Donchian Channels are a trending indicator and work best in trending markets with decent pull backs. If there are multiple signals going in each direction, it is a choppy market and you should stay out until it starts trending again. I generally use a 1:1.5 risk to reward ratio but sometimes will stretch it to 1:2 if it is a nice trade and I feel the market is in my favor as you can see from the trades placed in the picture (and I use that method for any commodity / chart and timeframe). I use the close of the white candle and then (since they are trades going short) I use the upper Donchian Channel as my stop loss.
I personally like to have the lines and labels turned off and enable all other options. Labels are just there to really stand out so you don't miss the white candle indication for a trade. OH! Also, I've had comments from friends that the white candles are hard to see, I turn off my candle borders in settings; makes it super easy to see them then. I turn lines off as the fill does the job well enough and it seems cleaner in my eyes.
If you'd like to see this picture on your chart, it is Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures from July 10, 2022 @ 18:00 on the 1-min chart.
just now
Update 2:
- Added day trading time highlights
- Added ranging market indicator (This I'm still working on so use at your own discretion, it's intended purpose is to tell when the Donchian Channels are not going to give great signals and to use a ranging indicator instead)
- Added multi-timeframe trend screener (handy if you want to quickly see the trend direction (based on the Trend EMA you set) of several time frames without having to change charts). It will draw in the bottom right of the chart.
Mark MinerviniHi everyone,
Just sharing a script that I made when I began to be interested in Mark Minervini, Wiliam O'Neil, Nicolas Darvas,.. trading style.
This script displays :
- 10 EMA (orange)
- 20 EMA (blue light)
- 50 SMA (blue)
-150 SMA (green)
-200 SMA (red)
- Shows when the stock is "extended" from EMA10 to high of the candle (Works in Daily, you can adjust the % to make it match with the stock's volatility)
(Shows a red area between price and 10 EMA)
- Shows when Mark Minervini's trend template is respected by highlighting green between 150 & 200 SMA.
I Although added bollinger bands and 5 EMA for very strong stocks. (I never use them)
Have fun
EMA Cross CloudSimple ema cross trading alerts, completely customizable fast and slow crossovers with rendered cloud.
This cross indicator attempts to filter counter trend trades by added additional ema market and if crossunder/over occurs opposite of ema market the cloud will turn gray, otherwise if it's with the overall trend then red/green.
The last ema is a trailing stop guideline that is rendered with yellow crosses, could also utilize other stops such as the top or bottom of the cloud.
Alerts are baked in for ema crosses, trend breaks into stops.
Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on Chart - TraderHalai BACKTESTSmoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on chart - Backtest
This is a backtest of the Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend indicator, which computes the reverse candle close price required to flip a Heikin Ashi trend from red to green and vice versa. The original indicator can be found in the scripts section of my profile.
This particular back test uses this indicator with a Trend following paradigm with a percentage-based stop loss.
Note, that backtesting performance is not always indicative of future performance, but it does provide some basis for further development and walk-forward / live testing.
Testing was performed on Bitcoin , as this is a primary target market for me to use this kind of strategy.
Sample Backtesting results as of 10th June 2022:
Backtesting parameters:
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 1% below entry
Short stop: 1% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1046
Gross Return: 249.27 %
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 28.01 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.019
Average Loss: 0.33 %
Average Win: 1.69 %
Average Time for Loss: 1 day
Average Time for Win: 5.33 days
1 Day:
Number of Trades: 429
Gross Return: 458.4 %
CAGR Return: 15.76 %
Max Drawdown: 6.37 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.804
Average Loss: 0.8 %
Average Win: 7.2 %
Average Time for Loss: 3 days
Average Time for Win: 16 days
5 Day:
Number of Trades: 69
Gross Return: 1614.9 %
CAGR Return: 26.7 %
Max Drawdown: 5.7 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 10.451
Average Loss: 3.64 %
Average Win: 81.17 %
Average Time for Loss: 15 days
Average Time for Win: 85 days
Analysis:
The strategy is typical amongst trend following strategies with a less regular win rate, but where profits are more significant than losses. Most of the losses are in sideways, low volatility markets. This strategy performs better on higher timeframes, where it shows a positive expectancy of the strategy.
The average win was positively impacted by Bitcoin’s earlier smaller market cap, as the percentage wins earlier were higher.
Overall the strategy shows potential for further development and may be suitable for walk-forward testing and out of sample analysis to be considered for a demo trading account.
Note in an actual trading setup, you may wish to use this with volatility filters, combined with support resistance zones for a better setup.
As always, this post/indicator/strategy is not financial advice, and please do your due diligence before trading this live.
Original indicator links:
On chart version -
Oscillator version -
Update - 27/06/2022
Unfortunately, It appears that the original script had been taken down due to auto-moderation because of concerns with no slippage / commission. I have since adjusted the backtest, and re-uploaded to include the following to address these concerns, and show that I am genuinely trying to give back to the community and not mislead anyone:
1) Include commission of 0.1% - to match Binance's maker fees prior to moving to a fee-less model.
2) Include slippage of 10 ticks (This is a realistic slippage figure from searching online for most crypto exchanges)
3) Adjust account balance to 10,000 - since most of us are not millionaires.
The rest of the backtesting parameters are comparable to previous results:
Backtesting parameters:
Initial capital: 10000 dollars
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 2% below entry
Short stop: 2% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
Slippage: 10 ticks
Commission: 0.1%
This script still remains to shows viability / profitablity on higher term timeframes (with slightly higher drawdown), and I have included the backtest report below to document my findings:
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1082
Gross Return: 233.02%
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 25.6%
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 1.627
Average Loss: 0.46 %
Average Win: 2.18 %
Average Time for Loss: 1.33 day
Average Time for Win: 7.33 days
Once again, please do your own research and due dillegence before trading this live. This post is for education and information purposes only, and should not be taken as financial advice.
