Reinforced RSI - The Quant Science This strategy was designed and written with the goal of showing and motivating the community how to integrate our 'Probabilities' module with their own script.
We have recreated one of the simplest strategies used by many traders. The strategy only trades long and uses the overbought and oversold levels on the RSI indicator.
We added stop losses and take profits to offer more dynamism to the strategy. Then the 'Probabilities' module was integrated to create a probabilistic reinforcement on each trade.
Specifically, each trade is executed, only if the past probabilities of making a profitable trade is greater than or equal to 51%. This greatly increased the performance of the strategy by avoiding possible bad trades.
The backtesting was calculated on the NASDAQ:TSLA , on 15 minutes timeframe.
The strategy works on Tesla using the following parameters:
1. Lenght: 13
2. Oversold: 40
3. Overbought: 70
4. Lookback: 50
5. Take profit: 3%
6. Stop loss: 3%
Time period: January 2021 to date.
Our Probabilities Module, used in the strategy example:
Statisticalprobability
Inferential Statistics And Quick Metrics For Strategy Analysis.Part of this script is used to calculate inferential statistics and metrics not available through the built in variables in the strategy tester.
A label will be created on the last bar displaying important strategy results, so you can test and analyze strategies quicker.
The built in strategy itself is just an example. You can copy and paste the metrics into any existing version 4 strategy and instantly use it**
**Just be sure all the variable names are unique in your target script.
I am looking for critique and would appreciate input on the statistical functions. I am aware that some of these functions are based on the assumption that the data is normally distributed. It's not meant to be perfect, but it is meant to be helpful. So if you think I can add or improve something to make it more helpful, let me know.
