TASC 2025.03 A New Solution, Removing Moving Average Lag█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a novel technique for removing lag from a moving average, as introduced by John Ehlers in the "A New Solution, Removing Moving Average Lag" article featured in the March 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
In his article, Ehlers explains that the average price in a time series represents a statistical estimate for a block of price values, where the estimate is positioned at the block's center on the time axis. In the case of a simple moving average (SMA), the calculation moves the analyzed block along the time axis and computes an average after each new sample. Because the average's position is at the center of each block, the SMA inherently lags behind price changes by half the data length.
As a solution to removing moving average lag, Ehlers proposes a new projected moving average (PMA) . The PMA smooths price data while maintaining responsiveness by calculating a projection of the average using the data's linear regression slope.
The slope of linear regression on a block of financial time series data can be expressed as the covariance between prices and sample points divided by the variance of the sample points. Ehlers derives the PMA by adding this slope across half the data length to the SMA, creating a first-order prediction that substantially reduces lag:
PMA = SMA + Slope * Length / 2
In addition, the article includes methods for calculating predictions of the PMA and the slope based on second-order and fourth-order differences. The formulas for these predictions are as follows:
PredictPMA = PMA + 0.5 * (Slope - Slope ) * Length
PredictSlope = 1.5 * Slope - 0.5 * Slope
Ehlers suggests that crossings between the predictions and the original values can help traders identify timely buy and sell signals.
█ USAGE
This indicator displays the SMA, PMA, and PMA prediction for a specified series in the main chart pane, and it shows the linear regression slope and prediction in a separate pane. Analyzing the difference between the PMA and SMA can help to identify trends. The differences between PMA or slope and its corresponding prediction can indicate turning points and potential trade opportunities.
The SMA plot uses the chart's foreground color, and the PMA and slope plots are blue by default. The plots of the predictions have a green or red hue to signify direction. Additionally, the indicator fills the space between the SMA and PMA with a green or red color gradient based on their differences:
Users can customize the source series, data length, and plot colors via the inputs in the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
█ NOTES FOR Pine Script® CODERS
The article's code implementation uses a loop to calculate all necessary sums for the slope and SMA calculations. Ported into Pine, the implementation is as follows:
pma(float src, int length) =>
float PMA = 0., float SMA = 0., float Slope = 0.
float Sx = 0.0 , float Sy = 0.0
float Sxx = 0.0 , float Syy = 0.0 , float Sxy = 0.0
for count = 1 to length
float src1 = src
Sx += count
Sy += src
Sxx += count * count
Syy += src1 * src1
Sxy += count * src1
Slope := -(length * Sxy - Sx * Sy) / (length * Sxx - Sx * Sx)
SMA := Sy / length
PMA := SMA + Slope * length / 2
However, loops in Pine can be computationally expensive, and the above loop's runtime scales directly with the specified length. Fortunately, Pine's built-in functions often eliminate the need for loops. This indicator implements the following function, which simplifies the process by using the ta.linreg() and ta.sma() functions to calculate equivalent slope and SMA values efficiently:
pma(float src, int length) =>
float Slope = ta.linreg(src, length, 0) - ta.linreg(src, length, 1)
float SMA = ta.sma(src, length)
float PMA = SMA + Slope * length * 0.5
To learn more about loop elimination in Pine, refer to this section of the User Manual's Profiling and optimization page.
Pesquisar nos scripts por "恒生电子2025年1月8日股价"
TASC 2025.02 Autocorrelation Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Autocorrelation Indicator introduced by John Ehlers in the "Drunkard's Walk: Theory And Measurement By Autocorrelation" article from the February 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . The indicator calculates the autocorrelation of a price series across several lags to construct a periodogram , which traders can use to identify market cycles, trends, and potential reversal patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Drunkard's walk
A drunkard's walk , formally known as a random walk , is a type of stochastic process that models the evolution of a system or variable through successive random steps.
In his article, John Ehlers relates this model to market data. He discusses two first- and second-order partial differential equations, modified for discrete (non-continuous) data, that can represent solutions to the discrete random walk problem: the diffusion equation and the wave equation. According to Ehlers, market data takes on a mixture of two "modes" described by these equations. He theorizes that when "diffusion mode" is dominant, trading success is almost a matter of luck, and when "wave mode" is dominant, indicators may have improved performance.
Pink spectrum
John Ehlers explains that many recent academic studies affirm that market data has a pink spectrum , meaning the power spectral density of the data is proportional to the wavelengths it contains, like pink noise . A random walk with a pink spectrum suggests that the states of the random variable are correlated and not independent. In other words, the random variable exhibits long-range dependence with respect to previous states.
Autocorrelation function (ACF)
Autocorrelation measures the correlation of a time series with a delayed copy, or lag , of itself. The autocorrelation function (ACF) is a method that evaluates autocorrelation across a range of lags , which can help to identify patterns, trends, and cycles in stochastic market data. Analysts often use ACF to detect and characterize long-range dependence in a time series.
The Autocorrelation Indicator evaluates the ACF of market prices over a fixed range of lags, expressing the results as a color-coded heatmap representing a dynamic periodogram. Ehlers suggests the information from the periodogram can help traders identify different market behaviors, including:
Cycles : Distinguishable as repeated patterns in the periodogram.
Reversals : Indicated by sharp vertical changes in the periodogram when the indicator uses a short data length .
Trends : Indicated by increasing correlation across lags, starting with the shortest, over time.
█ USAGE
This script calculates the Autocorrelation Indicator on an input "Source" series, smoothed by Ehlers' UltimateSmoother filter, and plots several color-coded lines to represent the periodogram's information. Each line corresponds to an analyzed lag, with the shortest lag's line at the bottom of the pane. Green hues in the line indicate a positive correlation for the lag, red hues indicate a negative correlation (anticorrelation), and orange or yellow hues mean the correlation is near zero.
Because Pine has a limit on the number of plots for a single indicator, this script divides the periodogram display into three distinct ranges that cover different lags. To see the full periodogram, add three instances of this script to the chart and set the "Lag range" input for each to a different value, as demonstrated in the chart above.
With a modest autocorrelation length, such as 20 on a "1D" chart, traders can identify seasonal patterns in the price series, which can help to pinpoint cycles and moderate trends. For instance, on the daily ES1! chart above, the indicator shows repetitive, similar patterns through fall 2023 and winter 2023-2024. The green "triangular" shape rising from the zero lag baseline over different time ranges corresponds to seasonal trends in the data.
To identify turning points in the price series, Ehlers recommends using a short autocorrelation length, such as 2. With this length, users can observe sharp, sudden shifts along the vertical axis, which suggest potential turning points from upward to downward or vice versa.
Highs & Lows RTH/OVN/IBs/D/W/M/YOverview
Plots the highs and lows of RTH, OVN/ETH, IBs of those sessions, previous Day, Week, Month, and Year.
Features
Allows the user to enable/disable plotting the high/low of each period.
Lines' length, offset, and colors can be customized
Labels' position, size, color, and style can be customized
Support
Questions, feedbacks, and requests are welcomed. Please feel free to use Comments or direct private message via TradingView.
Disclaimer
This stock chart indicator provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. The data and information presented in this indicator are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy.
Users should be aware that:
Any investment decisions made based on this indicator are at your own risk.
The creators and providers of this indicator disclaim all liability for any losses, damages, or other consequences resulting from its use. By using this stock chart indicator, you acknowledge and accept the inherent risks associated with trading and investing in financial markets.
Release Date: 2025-01-17
Release Version: v1 r1
Release Notes Date: 2025-01-17
TASC 2025.01 Linear Predictive Filters█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a suite of tools for identifying and utilizing dominant cycles in time series data, as introduced by John Ehlers in the "Linear Predictive Filters And Instantaneous Frequency" article featured in the January 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . Dominant cycle information can help traders adapt their indicators and strategies to changing market conditions.
█ CONCEPTS
Conventional technical indicators and strategies often rely on static, unchanging parameters, which may fail to account for the dynamic nature of market data. In his article, John Ehlers applies digital signal processing principles to address this issue, introducing linear predictive filters to identify cyclic information for adapting indicators and strategies to evolving market conditions.
This approach treats market data as a complex series in the time domain. Analyzing the series in the frequency domain reveals information about its cyclic components. To reduce the impact of frequencies outside a range of interest and focus on a specific range of cycles, Ehlers applies second-order highpass and lowpass filters to the price data, which attenuate or remove wavelengths outside the desired range. This band-limited analysis isolates specific parts of the frequency spectrum for various trading styles, e.g., longer wavelengths for position trading or shorter wavelengths for swing trading.
After filtering the series to produce band-limited data, Ehlers applies a linear predictive filter to predict future values a few bars ahead. The filter, calculated based on the techniques proposed by Lloyd Griffiths, adaptively minimizes the error between the latest data point and prediction, successively adjusting its coefficients to align with the band-limited series. The filter's coefficients can then be applied to generate an adaptive estimate of the band-limited data's structure in the frequency domain and identify the dominant cycle.
█ USAGE
This script implements the following tools presented in the article:
Griffiths Predictor
This tool calculates a linear predictive filter to forecast future data points in band-limited price data. The crosses between the prediction and signal lines can provide potential trade signals.
Griffiths Spectrum
This tool calculates a partial frequency spectrum of the band-limited price data derived from the linear predictive filter's coefficients, displaying a color-coded representation of the frequency information in the pane. This mode's display represents the data as a periodogram . The bottom of each plotted bar corresponds to a specific analyzed period (inverse of frequency), and the bar's color represents the presence of that periodic cycle in the time series relative to the one with the highest presence (i.e., the dominant cycle). Warmer, brighter colors indicate a higher presence of the cycle in the series, whereas darker colors indicate a lower presence.
Griffiths Dominant Cycle
This tool compares the cyclic components within the partial spectrum and identifies the frequency with the highest power, i.e., the dominant cycle . Traders can use this dominant cycle information to tune other indicators and strategies, which may help promote better alignment with dynamic market conditions.
Notes on parameters
Bandpass boundaries:
In the article, Ehlers recommends an upper bound of 125 bars or higher to capture longer-term cycles for position trading. He recommends an upper bound of 40 bars and a lower bound of 18 bars for swing trading. If traders use smaller lower bounds, Ehlers advises a minimum of eight bars to minimize the potential effects of aliasing.
Data length:
The Griffiths predictor can use a relatively small data length, as autocorrelation diminishes rapidly with lag. However, for optimal spectrum and dominant cycle calculations, the length must match or exceed the upper bound of the bandpass filter. Ehlers recommends avoiding excessively long lengths to maintain responsiveness to shorter-term cycles.
Ripple (XRP) Model PriceAn article titled Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model was published in March 2019 by "PlanB" with mathematical model used to calculate Bitcoin model price during the time. We know that Ripple has a strong correlation with Bitcoin. But does this correlation have a definite rule?
In this study, we examine the relationship between bitcoin's stock-to-flow ratio and the ripple(XRP) price.
The Halving and the stock-to-flow ratio
Stock-to-flow is defined as a relationship between production and current stock that is out there.
SF = stock / flow
The term "halving" as it relates to Bitcoin has to do with how many Bitcoin tokens are found in a newly created block. Back in 2009, when Bitcoin launched, each block contained 50 BTC, but this amount was set to be reduced by 50% every 210,000 blocks (about 4 years). Today, there have been three halving events, and a block now only contains 6.25 BTC. When the next halving occurs, a block will only contain 3.125 BTC. Halving events will continue until the reward for minors reaches 0 BTC.
With each halving, the stock-to-flow ratio increased and Bitcoin experienced a huge bull market that absolutely crushed its previous all-time high. But what exactly does this affect the price of Ripple?
Price Model
I have used Bitcoin's stock-to-flow ratio and Ripple's price data from April 1, 2014 to November 3, 2021 (Daily Close-Price) as the statistical population.
Then I used linear regression to determine the relationship between the natural logarithm of the Ripple price and the natural logarithm of the Bitcoin's stock-to-flow (BSF).
You can see the results in the image below:
Basic Equation : ln(Model Price) = 3.2977 * ln(BSF) - 12.13
The high R-Squared value (R2 = 0.83) indicates a large positive linear association.
Then I "winsorized" the statistical data to limit extreme values to reduce the effect of possibly spurious outliers (This process affected less than 4.5% of the total price data).
ln(Model Price) = 3.3297 * ln(BSF) - 12.214
If we raise the both sides of the equation to the power of e, we will have:
============================================
Final Equation:
■ Model Price = Exp(- 12.214) * BSF ^ 3.3297
Where BSF is Bitcoin's stock-to-flow
============================================
If we put current Bitcoin's stock-to-flow value (54.2) into this equation we get value of 2.95USD. This is the price which is indicated by the model.
There is a power law relationship between the market price and Bitcoin's stock-to-flow (BSF). Power laws are interesting because they reveal an underlying regularity in the properties of seemingly random complex systems.
I plotted XRP model price (black) over time on the chart.
Estimating the range of price movements
I also used several bands to estimate the range of price movements and used the residual standard deviation to determine the equation for those bands.
Residual STDEV = 0.82188
ln(First-Upper-Band) = 3.3297 * ln(BSF) - 12.214 + Residual STDEV =>
ln(First-Upper-Band) = 3.3297 * ln(BSF) – 11.392 =>
■ First-Upper-Band = Exp(-11.392) * BSF ^ 3.3297
In the same way:
■ First-Lower-Band = Exp(-13.036) * BSF ^ 3.3297
I also used twice the residual standard deviation to define two extra bands:
■ Second-Upper-Band = Exp(-10.570) * BSF ^ 3.3297
■ Second-Lower-Band = Exp(-13.858) * BSF ^ 3.3297
These bands can be used to determine overbought and oversold levels.
Estimating of the future price movements
Because we know that every four years the stock-to-flow ratio, or current circulation relative to new supply, doubles, this metric can be plotted into the future.
At the time of the next halving event, Bitcoins will be produced at a rate of 450 BTC / day. There will be around 19,900,000 coins in circulation by August 2025
It is estimated that during first year of Bitcoin (2009) Satoshi Nakamoto (Bitcoin creator) mined around 1 million Bitcoins and did not move them until today. It can be debated if those coins might be lost or Satoshi is just waiting still to sell them but the fact is that they are not moving at all ever since. We simply decrease stock amount for 1 million BTC so stock to flow value would be:
BSF = (19,900,000 – 1.000.000) / (450 * 365) =115.07
Thus, Bitcoin's stock-to-flow will increase to around 115 until AUG 2025. If we put this number in the equation:
Model Price = Exp(- 12.214) * 114 ^ 3.3297 = 36.06$
Ripple has a fixed supply rate. In AUG 2025, the total number of coins in circulation will be about 56,000,000,000. According to the equation, Ripple's market cap will reach $2 trillion.
Note that these studies have been conducted only to better understand price movements and are not a financial advice.
Ulcer Index (UI) by CoryP1990 – Quant ToolkitThe Ulcer Index measures downside volatility, i.e. how deep and persistent drawdowns are from recent highs. Unlike standard deviation, which treats upside and downside equally, the Ulcer Index focuses purely on pain . It’s a favorite of risk-adjusted performance metrics like the Martin Ratio.
How it works
Computes the RMS (root-mean-square) of drawdowns over a look-back window.
Rising UI → drawdowns worsening (stress increasing).
Falling UI → drawdowns shrinking (recovery phase).
Red line = Ulcer Index rising.
Lime line = Ulcer Index falling.
Red background = High-risk regime (above threshold).
Green background = Low-risk regime (below threshold).
Use cases
Gauge portfolio stress levels and timing of recovery phases.
Identify “calm vs storm” periods for position sizing.
Combine with volatility or sentiment measures for regime classification.
Defaults
Length = 14
High-risk threshold = 10
Low-risk threshold = 5
Example — NVIDIA (NVDA, 1D)
During the sharp decline through 2022, the Ulcer Index repeatedly spiked above 10 while the background turned red, highlighting an extended high-stress drawdown phase. As NVDA began recovering in early 2023, the UI line switched to lime and drifted below 5, marking a transition into a low-risk regime. Throughout 2024–2025, the index stayed mostly sub-5 with brief red pulses on minor corrections, which is clear evidence that downside volatility has remained contained during the broader uptrend.
Part of the Quant Toolkit - a series of transparent, open-source indicators designed for professional-grade analytics and education. Built by CoryP1990.
AMF PG Strategy v2.3AMF PG Strategy v2.3
1. Core Philosophy: Filtered and Volatility-Aware Trend Following
"AMF PG Strategy" is an advanced trend-following system designed to adapt to the dynamic nature of modern markets. The strategy's core philosophy is not just to follow the trend but also to wait for the right conditions to enter the market.
This is not a "black box." It is a rules-based framework that gives the user full control over various market filters. By requiring multiple conditions to be met simultaneously, the strategy aims to filter out low-quality signals and focus only on high-probability trend opportunities.
2. Core Engine: AMF PG Trend Following
At the heart of the strategy is a proprietary, volatility-aware trend-following mechanism called AMF PG (Praetorian Guard). This engine operates as follows:
Dynamic Bands: Creates a dynamic upper and lower band around the price that is constantly recalculated. The width of these bands is not fixed; It dynamically adjusts based on recent market volatility, volume flow, and price expansion. This adaptive structure allows the strategy to adapt to both calm and high-volatility markets.
Entry Signals: A buy signal is triggered when the price rises above the upper band. A sell signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower band. However, these signals are executed only when all the active filters described below give the green light.
Trailing Stop-Loss: When a position is entered, the opposite band automatically acts as a trailing stop-loss level. For example, when a buy position is opened, the lower band follows the price as a stop-loss. This allows for profit retention and trend continuation.
3. Multi-Layered Filter System: Understanding the Market
The power of this strategy comes from its modular filter system, which allows the user to filter market conditions based on their own analysis. Each filter can be enabled or disabled individually in the settings:
Filter 1: Trend Strength (ADX Filter): This filter confirms whether there is a strong trend in the market. It uses the ADX (Average Directional Index) indicator and only allows trades if the ADX value is above a certain threshold. This helps avoid trading in weak or directionless markets. It also confirms the direction of the trend by checking the position of the DMI (+DI and -DI) lines.
Filter 2: Sideways Market (Chop Index Filter): This filter determines whether the market is excessively choppy or directionless. Using the Chop Index, this filter aims to protect against fakeouts by blocking trades when the market is highly indecisive.
Filter 3: Market Structure (Hurst Exponent Filter): This is one of the strategy's most advanced filters. It analyzes the current market behavior using the Hurst Exponent. This mathematical tool attempts to determine whether a market tends to trend (permanent), tends to revert to the mean (anti-permanent), or moves randomly. This filter ensures that signals are generated only when market structure supports trending trades.
4. Risk Management: Maximum Drawdown Protection
This strategy includes a built-in capital protection mechanism. Users can specify the percentage of their capital they will tolerate to decline from its peak. If the strategy's capital reaches this set drawdown limit, the protection feature is activated, closing all open positions and preventing new trades from being opened. This acts as an emergency brake to protect capital against unexpected market conditions.
5. Automation Ready: Customizable Webhook Alerts
The strategy is designed for traders who want to automate their signals. From the Settings menu, you can configure custom alert messages in JSON format, compatible with third-party automation services (via Webhooks).
6. Strategy Backtest Information
Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. The published chart and performance report were generated on the 4-hour timeframe of the BTCUSD pair with the following settings:
Test Period: January 1, 2016 - October 31, 2025
Default Position Size: 15% of Capital
Pyramiding: Closed
Commission: 0.0008
Slippage: 2 ticks (Please enter the slippage you used in your own tests)
Testing Approach: The published test includes 423 trades and is statistically significant. It is strongly recommended that you test on different assets and timeframes for your own analysis. The default settings are a template and should be adjusted by the user for their own analysis.
Bitcoin: Price projection from previous cycles onto 2024 cycleAn indicator for displaying the BITFINEX:BTCUSD price movement pattern from previous cycles onto the 2024–2025 cycle.
Best checked on Bitfinex or the “Brave New Coin – Bitcoin Liquid Index” (though that one has gone offline).
Next time it should be done with embedded constants rather than by copying candles from previous cycles.
Publishing to share the idea.
#1 Vishal Toora Buy Sell Tablecopyright Vishal Toora
**“© 2025 Vishal Toora — counting volumes so you don’t have to. Buy, sell, or just stare at the screen.”**
Or a few more playful options:
1. **“© Vishal Toora — making deltas speak louder than your ex.”**
2. **“© Vishal Toora — one signal to rule them all (Buy/Sell/Neutral).”**
3. **“© Vishal Toora — because guessing markets is so 2024.”**
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. I do not claim 100% accuracy, and you are responsible for your own trading decisions.
Spooky Time (10/31/25) [VTB]Get ready to add some eerie fun to your charts this Halloween! "Spooky Time" is a lighthearted indicator that draws a festive, animated Halloween scene right on your TradingView chart. Perfect for traders who want to celebrate the spooky season without missing a beat on the markets. Whether you're analyzing stocks, crypto, or forex, this overlay brings a touch of holiday spirit to your setup.
#### Key Features:
- **Jack-o'-Lantern Pumpkin**: A detailed, glowing pumpkin with carved eyes, nose, and a jagged mouth. The eyes and mouth cycle through black (off), yellow, and red glows for a subtle animation effect, giving it that classic haunted vibe.
- **Flickering Candle**: A wax candle with a wick and an animated flame that shifts positions slightly across three frames, mimicking a real flickering light. The flame color changes between yellow, red, and orange for added dynamism.
- **Spider Web and Spider**: A spiral web with radial lines, complete with a creepy-crawly spider. The spider's legs animate with small movements, as if it's ready to pounce—perfect for that extra spooky touch!
- **Customization Options**: Toggle the "Desiringmachine" label on/off, choose its position on the chart (e.g., Bottom Center), and select the text color. The entire scene is positioned relative to the chart's open price and ATR for better scaling.
- **Animation Cycle**: The whole setup uses a simple 3-frame animation based on bar_index, making it feel alive without overwhelming your chart.
This indicator is purely visual and non-intrusive—it doesn't plot any trading signals or data, so it won't interfere with your strategies. Just add it to your chart for some Halloween cheer during your trading sessions!
**Date Note**: Timed for Halloween 2025 (10/31/25)—feel the spooky energy!
**Happy Halloween!!!** 🎃👻🕸️
iFVG Strategie by Futures.RobbyiFVG Strategy Checklist by Futures.Robby
Updated: October 27, 2025
Description
This script is a manual checklist designed to help traders evaluate their setups based on the iFVG (Fair Value Gap) strategy. It serves solely as a visual aid and does not perform automatic analysis, signal generation, or trade execution.
How It Works
The script creates an interactive checklist directly on the chart. Traders manually select which criteria are met, and the script calculates a percentage score, displaying it with color coding:
Green (≥ 60%): Good fulfillment of criteria
Orange (40–59%): Partial fulfillment
Red (< 40%): Poor fulfillment
Checklist Criteria
The checklist is divided into two main sections:
1. Trade Criteria (8 Points)
Eight manually selectable criteria to assess setup quality:
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias: Trade follows the higher timeframe trend (H1/H4/Daily).
BE Level → BE Level: Swing point between entry and target.
Sweep → Sweep: Price hits a key swing before reversing.
Displacement → Displacement: iFVG broken by strong candles.
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed: No open m1 to m5 FVGs to target.
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction: Reaction at FVG during sweep (HTF).
FVG Größe → FVG Size: 6 to 10 points.
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles: Maximum of 6 candles.
2. Goals (1 Point)
Six optional goal conditions, counted together as 1 point:
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
Settings and Customization
The script’s settings are translated as follows:
Group: Trade Criteria
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias
Tooltip: Trendrichtung folgt HTF (H1/H4/Täglich) – Trend follows HTF direction
BE Level → BE Level
Tooltip: Swingpunkt zwischen Einstieg und Ziel – Swing point between entry and target
Sweep → Sweep
Tooltip: Kurs erreicht markanten Swing – Price hits key swing before inverse
Displacement → Displacement
Tooltip: iFVG durch starke Kerzen gebrochen – iFVG broken by strong candles
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed
Tooltip: Keine offenen m1 bis m5 FVGs bis Ziel – No open m1 to m5 FVGs to target
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction
Tooltip: Reaktion an FVG beim Sweep (HTF) – Reaction at FVG during sweep (HTF)
FVG Größe → FVG Size
Tooltip: 6 bis 10 Punkte – 6 to 10 points
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles
Tooltip: Maximal 6 Kerzen – Maximum of 6 candles
Group: Goals
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
ℹ️ Ziele zählen gemeinsam als 1 Punkt → ℹ️ Goals count together as 1 point
Window Position & Size
Fensterposition → Window Position
oben rechts → top right
oben links → top left
unten rechts → bottom right
unten links → bottom left
Tabellengröße → Table Size
normal → normal
small → small
tiny → tiny
Translation of Chart Table Contents
The table headers and entries on the chart are translated as follows:
Table Headers:
Trade Checkliste → Trade Checklist
Ziele → Goals
Status Symbols:
✅ → ✅ (Fulfilled)
❌ → ❌ (Not fulfilled)
Individual Criteria (Trade Criteria):
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias
BE Level → BE Level
Sweep → Sweep
Displacement → Displacement
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction
FVG Größe → FVG Size
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles
Individual Criteria (Goals):
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
Note Line:
Ziele zählen gemeinsam als 1 Punkt → Goals count together as 1 point
Important Note
This tool is not an automated indicator, but a visual decision aid for traders who want to apply their strategy in a structured and conscious way.
Flux AI PullBack System (Hybrid Pro)Flux AI PullBack System (Hybrid Pro)
//Session-Aware | Adaptive Confluence | Grace Confirm Logic//
Overview:
The Flux AI PullBack System (Hybrid Pro v5) is an adaptive, session-aware pullback indicator designed to identify high-probability continuation setups within trending markets. It automatically adjusts between “Classic” and “Enhanced” logic modes based on volatility, volume, and ATR slope, allowing it to perform seamlessly across different market sessions (Asian, London, and New York).
Core Features:
Hybrid Auto Mode — Dynamically switches between Classic (fast-moving) and Enhanced (strict) modes.
Session-Aware Context — Optimized for intraday trading in ES, NQ, and SPY.
Grace Confirmation Logic — Validates pullbacks with a follow-through condition to reduce noise.
Adaptive EMA Zone (38/62) — Highlights pullback areas with dynamic aqua fill and transparency linked to trend strength.
Noise Suppression Filter — Prevents false pullbacks during EMA crossovers or unstable transitions.
Weighted Confluence Model — Combines trend, ATR, volume, and swing structure for confirmation strength.
Pine v6 Compliant Alerts — Constant-string safe, ready for webhooks and automation.
Visual Elements:
Aqua EMA Zone: Displays the “breathing” pullback band (tightens during volatility spikes).
PB↑ / PB↓ Markers: Confirmed pullbacks with subtle transparency and fixed label size.
Bar Highlights: Yellow for pullbacks; ice-blue for confirmed continuation.
Use Cases
Perfect for:
Intraday trend traders
0DTE SPX / ES scalpers
Futures traders (NQ, MNQ, MES)
Algorithmic strategy builders using webhooks
Recommended Timeframes:
1–15 minute charts (scalping / intraday)
Higher timeframes for swing confirmations.
Attribution:
This open-source script was inspired by Chris Moody’s “CM Slingshot System” and JustUncleL’s Pullback Tools, but it was built from scratch using AI-assisted code refinement (ChatGPT).
All logic and enhancements are original, not derived from proprietary software.
License: MIT (Open Source)
© 2025 Ken Anderson — You may modify, use, or redistribute with credit.
Keywords:
Pullback, Reversal, AI Trading, EMA Zone, Session Aware, Futures Trading, SPX, ES, NQ, ATR Filter, Volume Confirmation, Flux System, Pine Script v6, Non-Repainting, Adaptive Trading Indicator.
FCBI Brake PressureBrake Pressure (FCBI − USIRYY)
Concept
The Brake Pressure indicator quantifies whether the bond market is braking or releasing liquidity relative to real yields (USIRYY).
It is derived from the Financial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) and expresses the balance between long-term yield pressure and real-rate dynamics.
Formula
Brake Pressure = FCBI − USIRYY
where FCBI = (US10Y) − (USINTR) − (CPI YoY)
Purpose
While FCBI measures the intensity of financial-condition pressure, Brake Pressure shows when that brake is being applied or released.
It captures the turning point of liquidity transmission in the financial system.
How to Read
Brake Pressure < 0 (orange) → Brake engaged → financial conditions tighter than real-rate baseline; liquidity constrained.
Brake Pressure ≈ 0 → Neutral zone → transition phase between tightening and easing.
Brake Pressure > 0 (teal) → Brake released → financial conditions looser than real-rate baseline; liquidity flows freely → late-cycle setup before recession.
Zero-Cross Logic
Cross ↑ above 0 → FCBI > USIRYY → brake released → liquidity acceleration → typically 6–18 months before recession.
Cross ↓ below 0 → FCBI < USIRYY → brake re-engaged → tightening resumes.
Historical Behavior
Each major U.S. recession (2001, 2008, 2020) was preceded by a Brake Pressure cross above zero after a negative phase, signaling that long yields had stopped resisting Fed cuts and liquidity was expanding.
Practical Use
• Identify late-cycle turning points and liquidity inflection phases.
• Combine with FCBI for a complete macro transmission picture.
• Watch for sustained positive readings as early macro-recession warnings.
Current Example (Oct 2025)
FCBI ≈ −3.1, USIRYY ≈ +3.0 → Brake Pressure ≈ −6.1 → Brake still engaged. When this crosses above 0, it signals that liquidity is free flowing and the recession countdown has begun.
Summary
FCBI shows how tight the brake is. Brake Pressure shows when the brake releases.
When Brake Pressure > 0, the system has entered the liquidity-expansion phase that historically precedes a U.S. recession.
Financial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) — US10Y brake on USIRYYFinancial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) – US10Y Brake on USIRYY
Concept
The Financial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) measures how U.S. long-term yields (US10Y) interact with the Federal Funds Rate (USINTR) and inflation (CPI YoY) to shape real-rate conditions (USIRYY).
It visualizes whether the bond market is tightening or loosening overall financial conditions relative to the Federal Reserve’s policy stance.
Formula
FCBI = (US10Y) − (USINTR) − (CPI YoY)
How It Works
The FCBI expresses the difference between the long-term yield curve and short-term policy rates, adjusted for inflation. It shows whether the long end of the curve is amplifying or counteracting the Fed’s stance.
FCBI > +2 → Strong brake → Long yields remain elevated despite easing → tight conditions → recession delayed.
FCBI +1 to +2 → Mild brake → Financial transmission slower; lag ≈ 12–18 months.
FCBI 0 to +1 → Neutral → Typical early post-cut environment.
FCBI < 0 → Accelerator → Long yields and inflation expectations falling → liquidity flows freely → recession often follows within 6–14 months.
How to Read the Chart
Blue line (FCBI) shows the strength of the financial brake.
Red line (USIRYY) represents the real yield baseline.
Recession shading (gray) marks NBER recessions for comparison.
FCBI < USIRYY → Brake engaged → financial conditions tighter than real-rate baseline.
FCBI > USIRYY → Brake released → long end easing faster than policy → liquidity surge → late-cycle setup.
Historically, U.S. recessions begin on average about 14 months after the first Fed rate cut, and a decline of the FCBI below zero often precedes that window.
Practical Use
Use the FCBI to identify when policy transmission is blocked (brake engaged) or flowing (brake released).
Cross-check with yield-curve inversions, Fed policy shifts, and inflation expectations to estimate macro timing windows.
Current Example (Oct 2025)
FCBI ≈ −3.1, USIRYY ≈ +3.0 → Brake still engaged.
Once FCBI rises above USIRYY and crosses positive, it signals the “brake released” phase — historically the final liquidity surge before a U.S. recession.
Summary
FCBI shows how tight the brake is.
USIRYY shows how fast the car is moving.
When FCBI rises above USIRYY, the brake is released — liquidity accelerates and the historical recession countdown begins.
Holt Damped Forecast [CHE]A Friendly Note on These Pine Script Scripts
Hey there! Just wanted to share a quick, heartfelt heads-up: All these Pine Script examples come straight from my own self-study adventures as a total autodidact—think late nights tinkering and learning on my own. They're purely for educational vibes, helping me (and hopefully you!) get the hang of Pine Script basics, cool indicators, and building simple strategies.
That said, please know this isn't any kind of financial advice, investment nudge, or pro-level trading blueprint. I'd love for you to dive in with your own research, run those backtests like a champ, and maybe bounce ideas off a qualified expert before trying anything in a real trading setup. No guarantees here on performance or spot-on accuracy—trading's got its risks, and those are totally on each of us.
Let's keep it fun and educational—happy coding! 😊
Holt Damped Forecast — Damped trend forecasts with fan bands for uncertainty visualization and momentum integration
Summary
This indicator applies damped exponential smoothing to generate forward price forecasts, displaying them as probabilistic fan bands to highlight potential ranges rather than point estimates. It incorporates residual-based uncertainty to make projections more reliable in varying market conditions, reducing overconfidence in strong trends. Momentum from the trend component is shown in an optional label alongside signals, aiding quick assessment of direction and strength without relying on lagging oscillators.
Motivation: Why this design?
Standard exponential smoothing often extrapolates trends indefinitely, leading to unrealistic forecasts during mean reversion or weakening momentum. This design uses damping to gradually flatten long-term projections, better suiting real markets where trends fade. It addresses the need for visual uncertainty in forecasts, helping traders avoid entries based on overly optimistic point predictions.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Reference baseline: Diverges from basic Holt's linear exponential smoothing, which assumes persistent trends without decay.
- Architecture differences:
- Adds damping to the trend extrapolation for finite-horizon realism.
- Builds fan bands from historical residuals for probabilistic ranges at multiple confidence levels.
- Integrates a dynamic label combining forecast details, scaled momentum, and directional signals.
- Applies tail background coloring to recent bars based on forecast direction for immediate visual cues.
- Practical effect: Charts show converging forecast bands over time, emphasizing shorter horizons where accuracy is higher. This visibly tempers aggressive projections in trends, making it easier to spot when uncertainty widens, which signals potential reversals or consolidation.
How it works (technical)
The indicator maintains two persistent components: a level tracking the current price baseline and a trend capturing directional slope. On each bar, the level updates by blending the current source price with a one-step-ahead expectation from the prior level and damped trend. The trend then adjusts by weighting the change in level against the prior damped trend. Forecasts extend this forward over a user-defined number of steps, with damping ensuring the trend influence diminishes over distance.
Uncertainty derives from the standard deviation of historical residuals—the differences between actual prices and one-step expectations—scaled by the damping structure for the forecast horizon. Bands form around the median forecast at specified confidence intervals using these scaled errors. Initialization seeds the level to the first bar's price and trend to zero, with persistence handling subsequent updates. A security call fetches the last bar index for tail logic, using lookahead to align with realtime but introducing minor repaint on unconfirmed bars.
Parameter Guide
The Source parameter selects the price input for level and residual calculations, defaulting to close; consider using high or low for assets sensitive to volatility, as close works well for most trend-following setups. Forecast Steps (h) defines the number of bars ahead for projections, defaulting to 4—shorter values like 1 to 5 suit intraday trading, while longer ones may widen bands excessively in choppy conditions. The Color Scheme (2025 Trends) option sets the base, up, and down colors for bands, labels, and backgrounds, starting with Ruby Dawn; opt for serene schemes on clean charts or vibrant ones to stand out in dark themes.
Level Smoothing α controls the responsiveness of the price baseline, defaulting to 0.3—values above 0.5 enhance tracking in fast markets but may amplify noise, whereas lower settings filter disturbances better. Trend Smoothing β adjusts sensitivity to slope changes, at 0.1 by default; increasing to 0.2 helps detect emerging shifts quicker, but keeping it low prevents whipsaws in sideways action. Damping φ (0..1) governs trend persistence, defaulting to 0.8—near 0.9 preserves carryover in sustained moves, while closer to 0.5 curbs overextensions more aggressively.
Show Fan Bands (50/75/95) toggles the probabilistic range display, enabled by default; disable it in oscillator panes to reduce clutter, but it's key for overlay forecasts. Residual Window (Bars) sets the length for deviation estimates, at 400 bars initially—100 to 200 works for short timeframes, and 500 or more adds stability over extended histories. Line Width determines the thickness of band and median lines, defaulting to 2; go thicker at 3 to 5 for emphasis on higher timeframes or thinner for layered indicators.
Show Median/Forecast Line reveals the central projection, on by default—hide if bands provide enough detail, or keep for pinpoint entry references. Show Integrated Label activates the combined view of forecast, momentum, and signal, defaulting to true; it's right-aligned for convenience, so turn it off on smaller screens to save space. Show Tail Background colors the last few bars by forecast direction, enabled initially; pair low transparency for subtle hints or higher for bolder emphasis.
Tail Length (Bars) specifies bars to color backward from the current one, at 3 by default—1 to 2 fits scalping, while 5 or more underscores building momentum. Tail Transparency (%) fades the background intensity, starting at 80; 50 to 70 delivers strong signals, and 90 or above allows seamless blending. Include Momentum in Label adds the scaled trend value, defaulting to true—ATR% scaling here offers relative strength context across assets.
Include Long/Short/Neutral Signal in Label displays direction from the trend sign, on by default; neutral helps in ranging markets, though it can be overlooked during strong trends. Scaling normalizes momentum output (raw, ATR-relative, or level-relative), set to ATR% initially—ATR% ensures cross-asset comparability, while %Level provides percentage perspectives. ATR Length defines the period for true range averaging in scaling, at 14; align it with your chart timeframe or shorten for quicker volatility responses.
Decimals sets precision in the momentum label, defaulting to 2—0 to 1 yields clean integers, and 3 or more suits detailed forex views. Show Zero-Cross Markers places arrows at direction changes, enabled by default; keep size small to minimize clutter, with text labels for fast scanning.
Reading & Interpretation
Fan bands expand outward from the current bar, with the median line as the central forecast—narrower bands indicate lower uncertainty, wider suggest caution. Colors tint up (positive forecast vs. prior level) in the scheme's up hue and down otherwise. The optional label lists the horizon, median, and range brackets at 50%, 75%, and 95% levels, followed by momentum (scaled per mode) and signal (Long if positive trend, Short if negative, Neutral if zero). Zero-cross arrows mark trend flips: upward triangle below bar for bullish cross, downward above for bearish. Tail background reinforces the forecast direction on recent bars.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend following: Enter long on upward zero-cross if median forecast rises above price and bands contain it; confirm with higher highs/lows. Short on downward cross with falling median.
- Exits/Stops: Trail stops below 50% lower band in longs; exit if momentum drifts negative or signal turns neutral. Use wider bands (75/95%) for conservative holds in volatile regimes.
- Multi-asset/Multi-TF: Defaults work across stocks, forex, crypto on 5m-1D; scale steps by TF (e.g., 10+ on daily). Layer with volume or structure tools—avoid over-reliance on isolated crosses.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Closed-bar logic ensures stable historical plots, but realtime updates via security lookahead may shift forecasts until bar confirmation, introducing minor repaint on the last bar. No explicit HTF calls beyond bar index fetch, minimizing gaps but watch for low-liquidity assets. Resources include a 2000-bar lookback for residuals and up to 500 labels, with no loops—efficient for most charts. Known limits: Early bars show wide bands due to sparse residuals; assumes stationary errors, so gaps or regime shifts widen inaccuracies.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with defaults for balanced smoothing on 15m-4H charts. For choppy conditions (too many crosses), lower β to 0.05 and raise residual window to 600 for stability. In trending markets (sluggish signals), increase α/β to 0.4/0.2 and shorten steps to 2. If bands overexpand, boost φ toward 0.95 to preserve trend carry. Tune colors for theme fit without altering logic.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a visualization and signal layer for damped forecasts and momentum, complementing price action analysis. It isn’t a standalone system—pair with risk rules and broader context. Not predictive beyond the horizon; use for confirmation, not blind entries.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
JOPA Channel (Dual-Volumed) v1 [JopAlgo]JOPA Channel (Dual-Volumed) v1
Short title: JOPAV1 • License: MPL-2.0 • Provider: JopAlgo
We have developed our own, first channel-based trading indicator and we’re making it available to all traders. The goal was a channel that breathes with the tape—built on a volume-weighted backbone—so the outcome stays lively instead of static. That led to the JOPA Channel.
All important features (at a glance)
In one line: A Rolling-VWAP channel whose width adapts with two volumes (RVOL + dollar-flow), adds order-flow asymmetry (OBV tilt) and regime awareness (Efficiency Ratio), and frames risk with outer containment bands from residual extremes—so you see fair value, momentum, and exhaustion in one view.
Feature list
Rolling VWAP centerline: Tracks where volume traded (fair value).
Dual-volume width: Bands expand/contract with relative volume and value traded (price×volume).
OBV tilt: Upper/lower widths skew toward the side actually pushing.
Regime adapter (ER): Tighter in trend, wider in chop—automatically.
Outer containment rails: Residual-extreme ceilings/floors, smoothed + margin.
20% / 80% guides: 20% light blue (discount), 80% light red (premium).
Squeeze dots (optional): Orange circles below candles during compression.
Non-repainting: Uses rolling sums and past-only math; no lookahead.
Default visual in this release
Containment rails + fill: ON (stepline, medium).
Inner Value rails + fill: Rails OFF (stepline, thin), fill ON (drawn only if rails are shown).
20% & 80% guides: ON (dashed, thin; 20% light blue, 80% light red).
Squeeze dots: OFF by default (orange circles when enabled).
What you see on the chart
RVWAP (centerline): Your compass for fair value.
Inner Value Bands (optional): Tight rails for breakouts and pullback timing.
Outer Containment Bands (default ON): High-confidence ceilings/floors for targets and fades.
20% / 80% guides: Quick read of “where in the channel” price is sitting.
Squeeze dots (optional): Volatility compression heads-up (no text labels).
Non-repainting note: The indicator does not revise closed bars. Forecast-Lock uses linear regression to extrapolate 1–3 bars ahead without using future data.
How to use it
Core reads (works on any timeframe)
Bias: Above a rising RVWAP → long bias; below a falling RVWAP → short bias.
Breakouts (momentum): Close beyond an Inner Value rail with RVOL ≥ threshold (alert provided).
Reversions (fades): Tag Outer Containment, stall, then close back inside → expect mean reversion toward RVWAP.
20/80 timing:
At/above 80% (light red) → premium/exhaustion risk; trim longs or consider fades if RVOL cools.
At/below 20% (light blue) → discount/exhaustion risk; trim shorts or consider longs if RVOL cools.
Squeeze clusters: When dots bunch up, expect a range break; use the Breakout alert as confirmation.
Playbooks by trading style
Day Trading (1–5m)
Setup: Keep the chart clean (Containment ON, Value rails OFF). Toggle Inner Value ON when hunting a breakout or timing a pullback.
Pullback Long: Dip to RVWAP / Lower Value with sub-threshold RVOL, then a close back above RVWAP → long.
Stop: Just beyond Lower Containment or the pullback swing.
Targets (1:1:1): ⅓ at RVWAP, ⅓ at Upper Value, ⅓ trail toward Upper Containment.
Breakout Long: After a squeeze cluster, take the Breakout Long alert (close > Upper Value, RVOL ≥ min). If no retest, demand the next bar holds outside.
Range Fade: Only when RVWAP is flat and dots cluster; short Upper Containment → RVWAP (mirror for longs at the lower rail).
Intraday (15m–1H)
HTF compass: Take bias from 4H.
Pullback Long: “Touch & reclaim” of RVWAP while RVOL cools; enter on the reclaim close or break of that candle’s high.
Breakout: Run Inner Value ON; act on Breakout alerts (RVOL gate ≈ 1.10–1.15 typical).
Avoid low-probability fades against the 4H slope unless RVWAP is flat.
Swing (4H–1D)
Continuation: In uptrends, buy pullbacks to RVWAP / Lower Value with sub-threshold RVOL; scale at Upper Containment.
Adds: Post-squeeze Breakout Long adds; trail on RVWAP or Lower Value.
Fades: Prefer when RVWAP flattens and price oscillates between containments.
Position (1D+)
Framework: Daily RVWAP slope + position within containment.
Add rule: Each reclaim of RVWAP after a dip is an add; trim into Upper Containment or near 80% light red.
Sizing: Containment distance is larger—size down and trail on RVWAP.
Inputs & Settings (complete)
Core
Source: Price input for RVWAP.
Rolling VWAP Length: Window of the centerline (higher = smoother).
Volume Baseline (RVOL): SMA window for relative volume.
Inner Value Bands (volatility-based width)
k·StdDev(residuals), k·ATR, k·MAD(residuals): Blend three measures into base width.
StdDev / ATR / MAD Lengths: Lookbacks for each.
Two-Volume Fusion
RVOL Exponent: How aggressively width responds to relative volume.
Dollar-Flow Gain: Adds push from price×volume (value traded).
Dollar-Flow Z-Window: Standardization window for dollar-flow.
Asymmetry (Order-Flow Tilt)
Enable Tilt (OBV): Lets flow skew upper/lower widths.
Tilt Strength (0..1): Gain applied to OBV slope z-score.
OBV Slope Z-Window: Window to standardize OBV slope.
Regime Adapter
Efficiency Ratio Lookback: Measures trend vs chop.
ER Width Min/Max: Maps ER into a width factor (tighter in trend, wider in chop).
Band Tracking (inner value rails)
Tracking Mode:
Base: Pure base rails.
Parallel-Lock: Smooth RVWAP & width; track in parallel.
Slope-Lock: Adds a fraction of recent slope (momentum-friendly).
Forecast-Lock: 1–3 bar extrapolation via linreg (non-repainting on closed bars).
Attach Strength (0..1): Blend tracked rails vs base rails.
Tracking Smooth Length: EMA smoothing of RVWAP and width.
Slope Influence / Forecast Lead Bars: Gains for the chosen mode.
Outer Containment Bands
Show Containment Bands: Master toggle (default ON).
Residual Extremes Lookback: Highest/lowest residual window.
Extreme Smoothing (EMA): Stability on extreme lines.
Margin vs inner width: Extra padding relative to smoothed inner width.
Squeeze & Alerts
Squeeze Window / Threshold: Width vs average; at/under threshold = dot (when enabled).
Min RVOL for Breakout: Required RVOL for breakout alerts.
Style (defaults in this release)
Inner Value rails: OFF (stepline, thin).
Inner & Containment fills: ON.
Containment rails: ON (stepline, medium).
20% / 80% guides: ON — 20% light blue, 80% light red, dashed, thin.
Squeeze dots: OFF by default (orange circles below candles when enabled).
Practical templates (copy/paste into a plan)
Momentum Breakout
Context: Squeeze cluster near RVWAP; Inner Value ON.
Trigger: Breakout Long (close > Upper Value & RVOL ≥ min).
Stop: Below Lower Value (tight) or below RVWAP (safer).
Targets (1:1:1): ⅓ Value → ⅓ Containment → ⅓ trail on RVWAP.
Pullback Continuation
Context: Uptrend; dip to RVWAP / Lower Value with cooling RVOL.
Trigger: Close back above RVWAP or break of reclaim candle’s high.
Stop: Just outside Lower Containment or pullback swing.
Targets: RVWAP → Upper Value → Upper Containment.
Containment Reversion (range)
Context: RVWAP flat; repeated containment tags.
Trigger: Stall at containment, then close back inside.
Stop: A step beyond that containment.
Target: RVWAP; runner only if RVOL stays muted.
Alerts included
DVWAP Breakout Long / Short (Value Bands)
Top Zone / Bottom Zone (20% / 80% guides)
Tip: On lower TFs, act on Breakout alerts with higher-TF bias (e.g., trade 5–15m in the direction of 1H/4H RVWAP slope/position).
Best practices
Let RVWAP be the compass; if unsure, wait until price picks a side.
Respect RVOL; low-RVOL breaks are prone to fail.
Use guides for timing, not certainty. Pair 20/80 zones with flow context.
Start with defaults; change one knob at a time.
Common pitfalls
Fading every containment touch → only fade when RVWAP is flat or RVOL cools.
Over-tuning inputs → the defaults are robust; small tweaks go a long way.
Fighting the higher timeframe on low TFs → expensive habit.
Footer — License & Publishing
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0). You may modify and redistribute; keep this file under MPL and provide source for this file.
Originality: © 2025 JopAlgo. No third-party code reused; Pine built-ins and common formulas only.
Publishing: Keep this header/description intact when releasing on TradingView. Avoid promotional links in the public script text.
VWAP Retest + EMA9 Cross + Candle Pattern V2📈 VWAP Retest + EMA9 Cross + Candle Pattern Strategy_V2
Setup: This intraday momentum strategy combines 3 core elements:
• VWAP Retest: Price retests VWAP within a small buffer zone
• EMA9 Crossover: EMA9 crosses above VWAP within the last 3 bars
• Bullish Candle Pattern: At least one bullish signal — Hammer, Engulfing, or Momentum candle
A trade is triggered only during the US morning session (9:30–12:30 EST) and only if price is above yesterday’s high, suggesting strong momentum.
⚙️ Strategy Settings
• Initial Capital: $100,000
• Position Sizing: 10% of equity per trade
• Commission: 0.03% per trade
• Slippage: 1 tick
• Take Profit: +3% from entry
• Stop Loss: 0.5% below VWAP at entry
• Forced Exit: 1:00 PM EST
📊 Strategy Logic
• VWAP Retest Filter ensures entry is near a value zone.
• EMA9 Cross Confirmation aligns short-term momentum with volume-weighted price.
• Bullish Candle Patterns provide price action confirmation:
○ ✅ Hammer
○ ✅ Bullish Engulfing
○ ✅ Large momentum body
• Above Yesterday’s High (YH) acts as a bullish bias filter.
🧪 Backtest Results (Jan 2023 – Oct 2025)
• Total Trades: 120
• Win Rate: 52.5%
• Profit Factor: 1.18
• Max Drawdown: 1.22%
• Net P&L: +$1,064 (+1.06%)
Due to chart data limits, only part of the period may be visible on publication charts.
🔍 Chart Visuals
This strategy plots:
• VWAP (white) and EMA9 (orange)
• Candle pattern markers:
○ “H” = Hammer
○ “BE” = Bullish Engulfing
○ “M” = Momentum Candle
• “SETUP” label when all conditions are met
• YH/YL labels for context — previous day’s high/low
💡 Use Case
This setup is designed for intraday momentum scalping, ideal for traders who:
• Trade morning breakouts
• Use VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance
• Want clear, rule-based entries based on both trend and price action
Educational and research use - not financial advice.
RSI Divergence Strategy v6 What this does
Detects regular and hidden divergences between price and RSI using confirmed RSI pivots. Adds RSI@pivot entry gates, a normalized strength + volume filter, optional volume gate, delayed entries, and transparent risk management with rigid SL and activatable trailing. Visuals are throttled for clarity and include a gap-free horizontal RSI gradient.
How it works (simple)
🧮 RSI is calculated on your selected source/period.
📌 RSI pivots are confirmed with left/right lookbacks (lbL/lbR). A pivot becomes final only after lbR bars; before that, it can move (expected).
🔎 The latest confirmed pivot is compared against the previous confirmed pivot within your bar window:
• Regular Bullish = price lower low + RSI higher low
• Hidden Bullish = price higher low + RSI lower low
• Regular Bearish = price higher high + RSI lower high
• Hidden Bearish = price lower high + RSI higher high
💪 Each divergence gets a strength score that multiplies price % change, RSI change, and a volume ratio (Volume SMA / Baseline Volume SMA).
• Set Min divergence strength to filter tiny/noisy signals.
• Turn on the volume gate to require volume ratio ≥ your threshold (e.g., 1.0).
🎯 RSI@pivot gating:
• Longs only if RSI at the bullish pivot ≤ 30 (default).
• Shorts only if RSI at the bearish pivot ≥ 70 (default).
⏱ Entry timing:
• Immediate: on divergence confirm (delay = 0).
• Delayed: after N bars if RSI is still valid.
• RSI-only mode: ignore divergences; use RSI thresholds only.
🛡 Risk:
• Rigid SL is placed from average entry.
• Trailing activates only after unrealized gain ≥ threshold; it re-anchors on new highs (long) or new lows (short).
What’s NEW here (vs. the reference) — and why you may care
• Improved pivots + bar window → fewer early/misaligned signals; cleaner drawings.
• RSI@pivot gates → entries aligned with true oversold/overbought at the exact decision bar.
• Normalized strength + volume gate → ignore weak or low-volume divergences.
• Delayed entries → require the signal to persist N bars if you want more confirmation.
• Rigid SL + activatable trailing → trailing engages only after a cushion, so it’s less noisy.
• Clutter control + gradient → readable chart with a smooth RSI band look.
Suggested starting values (clear ranges)
• RSI@pivot thresholds: LONG ≤ 30 (oversold), SHORT ≥ 70 (overbought).
• Min divergence strength:
0.0 = off
3–6 = moderate filter
7–12 = strict filter for noisy LTFs
• Volume gate (ratio):
1.0 = at least baseline volume
1.2–1.5 = strong-volume only (fewer but cleaner signals)
• Pivot lookbacks:
lbL 1–2, lbR 3–4 (raise lbR to confirm later and reduce noise)
• Bar window (between pivots):
Min 5–10, Max 30–60 (increase Min if you see micro-pivots; increase Max for wider structures)
• Risk:
Rigid SL 2–5% on liquid majors; 5–10% on higher-volatility symbols
Trailing activation 1–3%, trailing 0.5–1.5% are common intraday starts
Plain-text examples
• BTCUSDT 1h → RSI 9, lbL 1, lbR 3, Min strength 5.0, Volume gate 1.0, SL 4.5%, Trail on 2.0%, Trail 1.0%.
• SPY 15m → RSI 8, lbL 1, lbR 3, Min strength 7.0, Volume gate 1.2, SL 3.0%, Trail on 1.5%, Trail 0.8%.
• EURUSD 4h → RSI 14, lbL 2, lbR 4, Min strength 4.0, Volume gate 1.0, SL 2.5%, Trail on 1.0%, Trail 0.5%.
Notes & limitations
• Pivot confirmation means the newest candidate pivot can move until lbR confirms it (expected).
• Results vary by timeframe/symbol/settings; always forward-test.
• Educational tool — no performance or profit claims.
Credits
• RSI by J. Welles Wilder Jr. (1978).
• Reference divergence script by eemani123:
• This version by tagstrading 2025 adds: improved pivot engine, RSI@pivot gating, normalized strength + optional volume gate, delayed entries, rigid SL and activatable trailing, and a gap-free RSI gradient.
Gold–Bitcoin Correlation (Offset Model) by KManus88This indicator analyzes the correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using a time-offset model adjustable by the user.
The goal is to detect cyclical leads or lags between both assets, highlighting how capital flows into Gold may precede or follow movements in the crypto market.
Key Features:
Dynamic correlation calculation between Gold and Bitcoin.
Adjustable offset in days (default: 107) to fine-tune the temporal shift.
Automatic labels and on-chart visualization.
Compatible with multiple timeframes and logarithmic scales.
Interpretation:
Positive correlation suggests synchronized trends between both assets.
Negative correlation signals divergence or rotation of liquidity.
The time-offset parameter helps estimate when a shift in Gold could later reflect in Bitcoin.
Recommended use:
For macro-financial and global liquidity cycle analysis.
As a complementary tool in cross-asset momentum strategies.
© 2025 – Developed by KManus88 | Inspired by monetary correlation studies and global liquidity cycles.
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Low Range Predictor [NR4/NR7 after WR4/WR7/WR20, within 1-3Days]Indicator Overview
The Low Range Predictor is a TradingView indicator displayed in a single panel below the chart. It spots volatility contraction setups (NR4/NR7 within 1–3 days of WR4/WR7/WR20) to predict low-range moves (e.g., <0.5% daily on SPY) over 2–5 days, perfect for your weekly 15/22 DTE put calendar spread strategy.
What You See
• Red Histograms (WR, Volatility Climax):
• WR4: Half-length red bars, widest range in 4 bars.
• WR7: Three-quarter-length red bars, widest in 7 bars.
• WR20: Full-length red bars, widest in 20 bars.
• Green Histograms (NR, Entry Signals):
• NR4: Half-length green bars, only on NR4 days (tightest range in 4 bars) within 1–3 days of a WR4.
• NR7: Full-length green bars, only on NR7 days within 1–3 days of a WR7.
• Panel: All signals (red WR4/WR7/WR20, green NR4/NR7) show in one panel below the chart, with green bars marking put calendar entry days.
Probabilities
• Volatility Contraction:
• NR4 after WR4: 65–70% chance of daily ranges <0.5% on SPY for 2–5 days (ATR drops 20–30%). Occurs ~2–3 times/month.
• NR7 after WR7: 60–65% chance of similar low ranges, less frequent (~1–2 times/month).
• Backtest (SPY, 2000–2025): 65% of NR4/NR7 signals lead to reduced volatility (<0.7% daily range) vs. 50% for random days.
• Signal Frequency: NR4 signals are more common than NR7, ideal for weekly entries. WR20 provides context but isn’t tied to NR signals.
Spread Trading Z-ScoreIndicator: Z-Score Spread Indicator
Description
The "Z-Score Spread Indicator" is a powerful tool for traders employing mean-reversion strategies on the spread between two financial assets (e.g., futures contracts like MNQ and MES). This indicator calculates and plots the Z-score of the price spread, indicating how far the current spread deviates from its historical mean. It features customizable entry and exit thresholds with adjustable offsets, along with an estimated p-value displayed in a table to assess statistical significance.
Key Features
Asset Selection: Allows users to select two asset symbols (e.g., CME_MINI:MNQ1! and CME_MINI:MES1!) via customizable inputs.
Z-Score Calculation: Computes the Z-score based on the spread’s simple moving average and standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Thresholds with Offset: Offers adjustable base entry and exit thresholds, with an optional offset to fine-tune trading levels, plotted as horizontal lines.
P-Value Estimation: Provides an approximate p-value to evaluate the statistical significance of the Z-score, displayed in a table anchored to the top-left corner.
Visual Representation: Plots the Z-score with a zero line and threshold lines for intuitive interpretation.
Adjustable Parameters
Asset A Symbol: Symbol for Asset A (default: CME_MINI:MNQ1!).
Asset B Symbol: Symbol for Asset B (default: CME_MINI:MES1!).
Z-Score Lookback: Lookback period for Z-score calculation (default: 40, minimum 2).
Base Entry Threshold: Threshold for entry signals (default: 1.8, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Base Exit Threshold: Threshold for exit signals (default: 0.5, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Threshold Offset (+/-): Offset to adjust entry and exit thresholds symmetrically (default: 0.0, range -5.0 to 5.0, step 0.1).
Usage
Add the indicator to your chart via the "Indicators" tab.
Customize the parameters based on your preferred assets and trading strategy (lookback period, thresholds, offset).
Observe the Z-score plot and threshold lines (red for short entry, green for long entry, orange dotted for exits) to identify potential trade setups.
Check the p-value table in the top-left corner to assess the statistical significance of the current Z-score.
Use this data to inform mean-reversion trading decisions, ideally in conjunction with other indicators.
Notes
A Z-score above the entry threshold (positive) or below the negative entry threshold suggests a potential short or long entry, respectively. Exits are signaled when the Z-score crosses the exit thresholds.
The p-value is an approximation based on the normal distribution; a value below 0.05 typically indicates statistical significance, but further validation is recommended.
The indicator uses a simple spread (Asset A - Asset B) without volatility adjustments; consider pairing it with a lots calculator for hedging.
Limitations
The p-value is an approximation and may not reflect advanced statistical tests (e.g., ADF) due to Pine Script constraints.
No automatic trading signals are generated; it provides data for manual analysis.
Author
Developed by grogusama, October 15, 2025, 07:29 PM CEST.
Luxy Adaptive MA Cloud - Trend Strength & Signal Tracker V2Luxy Adaptive MA Cloud - Professional Trend Strength & Signal Tracker
Next-generation moving average cloud indicator combining ultra-smooth gradient visualization with intelligent momentum detection. Built for traders who demand clarity, precision, and actionable insights.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR SPECIAL?
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Unlike traditional MA indicators that show static lines, Luxy Adaptive MA Cloud creates a living, breathing visualization of market momentum. Here's what sets it apart:
Exponential Gradient Technology
This isn't just a simple fill between two lines. It's a professionally engineered gradient system with 26 precision layers using exponential density distribution. The result? An organic, cloud-like appearance where the center is dramatically darker (15% transparency - where crossovers and price action occur), while edges fade gracefully (75% transparency). Think of it as a visual "heat map" of trend strength.
Dynamic Momentum Intelligence
Most MA clouds only show structure (which MA is on top). This indicator shows momentum strength in real-time through four intelligent states:
- 🟢 Bright Green = Explosive bullish momentum (both MAs rising strongly)
- 🔵 Blue = Weakening bullish (structure intact, but momentum fading)
- 🟠 Orange = Caution zone (bearish structure forming, weak momentum)
- 🔴 Deep Red = Strong bearish momentum (both MAs falling)
The cloud literally tells you when trends are accelerating or losing steam.
Conditional Performance Architecture
Every calculation is optimized for speed. Disable a feature? It stops calculating entirely—not just hidden, but not computed . The 26-layer gradient only renders when enabled. Toggle signals off? Those crossover checks don't run. This makes it one of the most efficient cloud indicators available, even with its advanced visual system.
Zero Repaint Guarantee
All signals and momentum states are based on confirmed bar data only . What you see in historical data is exactly what you would have seen trading live. No lookahead bias. No repainting tricks. No signals that "magically" appear perfect in hindsight. If a signal shows in history, it would have triggered in real-time at that exact moment.
Educational by Design
Every single input includes comprehensive tooltips with:
- Clear explanations of what each parameter does
- Practical examples of when to use different settings
- Recommended configurations for scalping, day trading, and swing trading
- Real-world trading impact ("This affects entry timing" vs "This is visual only")
You're not just getting an indicator—you're learning how to use it effectively .
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
THE GRADIENT CLOUD - TECHNICAL DETAILS
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Architecture:
26 precision layers for silk-smooth transitions
Exponential density curve - layers packed tightly near center (where crossovers happen), spread wider at edges
75%-15% transparency range - center is highly opaque (15%), edges fade gracefully (75%)
V-Gradient design - emphasizes the action zone between Fast and Medium MAs
The Four Momentum States:
🟢 GREEN - Strong Bullish
Fast MA above Medium MA
Both MAs rising with momentum > 0.02%
Action: Enter/hold LONG positions, strong uptrend confirmed
🔵 BLUE - Weak Bullish
Fast MA above Medium MA
Weak or flat momentum
Action: Caution - bullish structure but losing strength, consider trailing stops
🟠 ORANGE - Weak Bearish
Medium MA above Fast MA
Weak or flat momentum
Action: Warning - bearish structure developing, consider exits
🔴 RED - Strong Bearish
Medium MA above Fast MA
Both MAs falling with momentum < -0.02%
Action: Enter/hold SHORT positions, strong downtrend confirmed
Smooth Transitions: The momentum score is smoothed using an 8-bar EMA to eliminate noise and prevent whipsaws. You see the true trend , not every minor fluctuation.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
FLEXIBLE MOVING AVERAGE SYSTEM
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Three Customizable MAs:
Fast MA (default: EMA 10) - Reacts quickly to price changes, defines short-term momentum
Medium MA (default: EMA 20) - Balances responsiveness with stability, core trend reference
Slow MA (default: SMA 200, optional) - Long-term trend filter, major support/resistance
Six MA Types Available:
EMA - Exponential; faster response, ideal for momentum and day trading
SMA - Simple; smooth and stable, best for swing trading and trend following
WMA - Weighted; middle ground between EMA and SMA
VWMA - Volume-weighted; reflects market participation, useful for liquid markets
RMA - Wilder's smoothing; used in RSI/ADX, excellent for trend filters
HMA - Hull; extremely responsive with minimal lag, aggressive option
Recommended Settings by Trading Style:
Scalping (1m-5m):
Fast: EMA(5-8)
Medium: EMA(10-15)
Slow: Not needed or EMA(50)
Day Trading (5m-1h):
Fast: EMA(10-12)
Medium: EMA(20-21)
Slow: SMA(200) for bias
Swing Trading (4h-1D):
Fast: EMA(10-20)
Medium: EMA(34-50)
Slow: SMA(200)
Pro Tip: Start with Fast < Medium < Slow lengths. The gradient works best when there's clear separation between Fast and Medium MAs.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
CROSSOVER SIGNALS - CLEAN & RELIABLE
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Golden Cross ⬆ LONG Signal
Fast MA crosses above Medium MA
Classic bullish reversal or trend continuation signal
Most reliable when accompanied by GREEN cloud (strong momentum)
Death Cross ⬇ SHORT Signal
Fast MA crosses below Medium MA
Classic bearish reversal or trend continuation signal
Most reliable when accompanied by RED cloud (strong momentum)
Signal Intelligence:
Anti-spam filter - Minimum 5 bars between signals prevents noise
Clean labels - Placed precisely at crossover points
Alert-ready - Built-in ALERTS for automated trading systems
No repainting - Signals based on confirmed bars only
Signal Quality Assessment:
High-Quality Entry:
Golden Cross + GREEN cloud + Price above both MAs
= Strong bullish setup ✓
Low-Quality Entry (skip or wait):
Golden Cross + ORANGE cloud + Choppy price action
= Weak bullish setup, likely whipsaw ✗
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
REAL-TIME INFO PANEL
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
An at-a-glance dashboard showing:
Trend Strength Indicator:
Visual display of current momentum state
Color-coded header matching cloud color
Instant recognition of market bias
MA Distance Table:
Shows percentage distance of price from each enabled MA:
Green rows : Price ABOVE MA (bullish)
Red rows : Price BELOW MA (bearish)
Gray rows : Price AT MA (rare, decision point)
Distance Interpretation:
+2% to +5%: Healthy uptrend
+5% to +10%: Getting extended, caution
+10%+: Overextended, expect pullback
-2% to -5%: Testing support
-5% to -10%: Oversold zone
-10%+: Deep correction or downtrend
Customization:
4 corner positions
5 font sizes (Tiny to Huge)
Toggle visibility on/off
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
HOW TO USE - PRACTICAL TRADING GUIDE
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
STRATEGY 1: Trend Following
Identify trend : Wait for GREEN (bullish) or RED (bearish) cloud
Enter on signal : Golden Cross in GREEN cloud = LONG, Death Cross in RED cloud = SHORT
Hold position : While cloud maintains color
Exit signals :
• Cloud turns ORANGE/BLUE = momentum weakening, tighten stops
• Opposite crossover = close position
• Cloud turns opposite color = full reversal
STRATEGY 2: Pullback Entries
Confirm trend : GREEN cloud established (bullish bias)
Wait for pullback : Price touches or crosses below Fast MA
Enter when : Price rebounds back above Fast MA with cloud still GREEN
Stop loss : Below Medium MA or recent swing low
Target : Previous high or when cloud weakens
STRATEGY 3: Momentum Confirmation
Your setup triggers : (e.g., chart pattern, support/resistance)
Check cloud color :
• GREEN = proceed with LONG
• RED = proceed with SHORT
• BLUE/ORANGE = skip or reduce size
Use gradient as confluence : Not as primary signal, but as momentum filter
Risk Management Tips:
Never enter against the cloud color (don't LONG in RED cloud)
Reduce position size during BLUE/ORANGE (transition periods)
Place stops beyond Medium MA for swing trades
Use Slow MA (200) as final trend filter - don't SHORT above it in uptrends
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
PERFORMANCE & OPTIMIZATION
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Tested On:
Crypto: BTC, ETH, major altcoins
Stocks: SPY, AAPL, TSLA, QQQ
Forex: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
Indices: S&P 500, NASDAQ, DJI
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
TRANSPARENCY & RELIABILITY
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Educational Focus:
Detailed tooltips on every input
Clear documentation of methodology
Practical examples in descriptions
Teaches you why , not just what
Open Logic:
Momentum calculation: (Fast slope + Medium slope) / 2
Smoothing: 8-bar EMA to reduce noise
Thresholds: ±0.02% for strong momentum classification
Everything is transparent and explainable
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
COMPLETE FEATURE LIST
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Visual Components:
26-layer exponential gradient cloud
3 customizable moving average lines
Golden Cross / Death Cross labels
Real-time info panel with trend strength
MA distance table
Calculation Features:
6 MA types (EMA, SMA, WMA, VWMA, RMA, HMA)
Momentum-based cloud coloring
Smoothed trend strength scoring
Conditional performance optimization
Customization Options:
All MA lengths adjustable
All colors customizable (when gradient disabled)
Panel position (4 corners)
Font sizes (5 options)
Toggle any feature on/off
Signal Features:
Anti-spam filter (configurable gap)
Clean, non-overlapping labels
Built-in alert conditions
No repainting guarantee
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only
Not financial advice - always do your own research
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Use proper risk management - never risk more than you can afford to lose
Test on paper/demo accounts before using with real money
Combine with other analysis methods - no single indicator is perfect
Works best in trending markets; less effective in choppy/sideways conditions
Signals may perform differently in different timeframes and market conditions
The indicator uses historical data for MA calculations - allow sufficient lookback period
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
CREDITS & TECHNICAL INFO
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Version: 2.0
Release: October 2025
Special Thanks:
TradingView community for feedback and testing
Pine Script documentation for technical reference
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
SUPPORT & UPDATES
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Found a bug? Comment below with:
Ticker symbol
Timeframe
Screenshot if possible
Steps to reproduce
Feature requests? I'm always looking to improve! Share your ideas in the comments.
Questions? Check the tooltips first (hover over any input) - most answers are there. If still stuck, ask in comments.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════
Happy Trading!
Remember: The best indicator is the one you understand and use consistently. Take time to learn how the cloud behaves in different market conditions. Practice on paper before going live. Trade smart, manage risk, and may the trends be with you! 🚀
4h 相对超跌筛选器 · Webhook v2.0## 指标用途
用于你的「框架第2步」：在**美股 RTH**里，按**4h 收盘**（06:30–10:30 PT 为首根）筛出相对大盘/行业**显著超跌**且结构健康的候选标的，并可**通过 Webhook 自动推送**`symbol + ts`给下游 AI 执行新闻甄别（第3步）与进出场评估（第4步）。
## 工作原理（核心逻辑）
* **结构健康**：最近 80 根 4h 中，收盘 > 4h_SMA50 的占比 ≥ 阈值（默认 55%）。
* **跌深条件**：4h 跌幅 ≤ −4%，且近两根累计（≈8h）≤ −6%。
* **相对劣化**：相对大盘（SPY/QQQ）与相对行业（XLK/XLF/… 或 KWEB/CQQQ）各 ≤ −3%。
* **流动性与价格**：ADV20_USD ≥ 2000 万；价格 ≥ 3 美元。
* **只在 4h 收盘刻评估与触发**，历史点位全部保留，便于回放核验。
* **冷却**：同一标的信号间隔 ≥ N 天（默认 10）。
## 主要输入参数
* **bench / sector**：大盘与行业基准（例：SPY/QQQ，XLK/XLF/XLY；中概用 KWEB/CQQQ）。
* **advMinUSD / priceMin**：20 日美元成交额下限、最小价格。
* **pctAboveTh**：结构健康阈值（%）。
* **drop4hTh / drop8hTh**：4h/8h 跌幅阈值（%）。
* **relMktTh / relSecTh**：相对大盘/行业阈值（%）。
* **coolDays**：冷却天数。
* **fromDate**：仅显示此日期后的历史信号（图表拥挤时可用）。
* **showTable / tableRows**：是否显示右上角“最近信号表”及行数。
## 图表信号
* **S2 绿点**：当根 4h 收盘满足全部筛选条件。
* **右上角表格**：滚动列出最近 N 条命中（`SYMBOL @ yyyy-MM-dd HH:mm`，按图表本地时区）。
## Webhook 联动（生产用）
1. 添加指标 → 🔔 新建警报（Alert）：
* **Condition**：`Any alert() function call`
* **Options**：`Once per bar close`
* **Webhook URL**：填你的接收地址（可带 `?token=...`）
* **Message**：留空（脚本内部 `alert(payload)` 会发送 JSON）。
2. 典型 JSON 载荷（举例）：
```json
{
"event": "step2_signal",
"symbol": "LULU",
"symbol_id": "NASDAQ:LULU",
"venue": "NASDAQ",
"bench": "SPY",
"sector": "XLY",
"ts_bar_close_ms": 1754524200000,
"ts_bar_close_local": "2025-06-06 10:30",
"price_close": 318.42,
"ret_4h_pct": -5.30,
"ret_8h_pct": -7.45,
"rel_mkt_pct": -4.90,
"rel_sec_pct": -3.80
}
```
> 建议以 `symbol + ts_bar_close_ms` 做去重键；接收端先快速 `200 OK`，后续异步处理并交给第3步 AI。
## 使用建议
* **时间框架**：任意周期可用，指标内部统一拉取 240 分钟数据并仅在 4h 收盘刻触发。
* **行业映射**：尽量选与个股业务最贴近的 ETF；中国 ADR 可用 `PGJ/KWEB/CQQQ` 叠加细分行业对照。
* **回放验证**：Bar Replay **不发送真实 Webhook**；仅用于查看历史命中与表格。测试接收端请用 Alert 面板的 **Test**。
## 适配说明
* Pine Script **v5**。
* 不含成分筛查逻辑（请在你的 500–600 只候选池内使用）。
* 数字常量不使用下划线分隔；如需大数可用 `20000000` 或 `2e7`。
## 常见问题
* ⛔️ 报错 `tostring(...)`：Pine 无时间格式化重载，脚本已内置 `timeToStr()`。
* ⛔️ `syminfo.exchange` 不存在：已改用 `syminfo.prefix`（交易所前缀）。
* ⛔️ 多行字符串拼接报 `line continuation`：本脚本已用括号包裹或 `str.format` 规避。
## 免责声明
该指标仅供筛选与研究使用，不构成投资建议。请结合你的第3步新闻/基本面甄别与第4步执行规则共同决策。
