Machine Learning: ARIMA + SARIMADescription
The ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and SARIMA (Seasonal ARIMA) are advanced statistical models that use machine learning to forecast future price movements. It uses autoregression to find the relationship between observed data and its lagged observations. The data is differenced to make it more predictable. The MA component creates a dependency between observations and residual errors. The parameters are automatically adjusted to market conditions.
Differences
ARIMA - This excels at identifying trends in the form of directions
SARIMA - Incorporates seasonality. It's better at capturing patterns previously seen
How To Use
1. Model: Determine if you want to use ARIMA (better for direction) or SARIMA (better for overall prediction). You can click on the 'Show Historic Prediction' to see the direction of the previous candles. Green = forecast ending up, red = forecast ending down
2. Metrics: The RMSE% and MAPE are 10 day moving averages of the first 10 predictions made at candle close. They're error metrics that compare the observed data with the predicted data. It is better to use them when they're below 8%. Higher timeframes will be higher, as these models are partly mean-reverting and higher TFs tend to trend more. Better to compare RMSE% and MAPE with similar timeframes. They naturally lag as data is being collected
3. Parameter selection: The simpler, the better. Both are used for ARIMA(1,1,1) and SARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)5. Increasing may cause overfitting
4. Training period: Keep at 50. Because of limitations in pine, higher values do not make for more powerful forecasts. They will only criminally lag. So best to keep between 20 and 80
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Directional Movement Index (DMI) + AlertsThis is a Study with associated visual indicators and Bullish/Bearish Alerts for Directional Movement (DMI). It consists of an Average Directional Index (ADX), Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI).
Published by J. Welles Wilder in 1978 for use with currencies and commodities which are typically more volatile than stocks and have stronger trends.
Development Notes
---------------------------
This indicator, and most of the descriptions below, were derived largely from the TradingView reference manual. Feedback and suggestions for improvement are more than welcome, as well are recommended Input settings and best practices for use.
tradingview.com/chart/?solution=43000502250
Strategy Description
---------------------------
ADX defines whether or not there is a trend present; +DI and -DI compliment the ADX by taking direction into account. An ADX above 25 indicates a strong trend, and a Bullish alert is subsequently triggered when +DI is above -DI and a Bearish alert when -DI is above +DI.
Note that the Bullish or Bearish crossover alert will only trigger if ADX is simultaneously above 25 during the crossover event. If ADX later rises to 25 and +DI is still greater than -DI, or -DI greater than +DI, then a delayed alert will not trigger by design.
Basic Use
---------------------------
Acceptable DMI values are up to the trader's interpretation and may change depending on the financial instrument being examined. Recommend not changing any default values without being first familiar with their purpose and impact on the indicator at large.
Confidence in price action and trend is higher when two or more indicators are in agreement -- therefore we recommend not using this indicator by itself to determine entry or exit trade opportunities.
Recommend also choosing 'Once Per Bar Close' when creating alerts.
Inputs
---------------------------
ADX Smoothing - the time period to be used in calculating the ADX which has a smoothing component (14 is the Default).
DI Length - the time period to be used in calculating the DI (14 is the Default).
Key Level - any trade with the ADX above the key level is a strong indicator that it is trending (23 to 25 is the suggested setting).
Sensitivity - an incremental variable to test whether the past n candles are in the same bullish or bearish state before triggering a delayed crossover alert (3 is the Default). Filter out some noise and reduces active alerts.
Show ADX Option - two visual styles are provided for user preference, a visible ADX line or a background overlay (green or red when ADX is above the key level, for bullish or bearish, and gray when below).
Color Candles - an option to transpose the bullish and bearish crossovers to the main candle bars. Can be turned off in the Style Tab by deselecting 'Bar Colors'. Dark blue is bullish, dark purple is bearish, and the black inner color is neutral. Note that the outer red and green border will still be distinguished by whether each individual candle is bearish or bullish during the specified timeframe.
Indicator Visuals
---------------------------
Bullish or Bearish plot based on DMI strategy (ADX and +/-DI values).
Visual cues are intended to improve analysis and decrease interpretation time during trading, as well as to aid in understanding the purpose of this study and how its inclusion can benefit a comprehensive trading strategy.
Trend Strength
---------------------------
To analyze trend strength, the focus should be on the ADX line and not the +DI or -DI lines. An ADX reading above 25 indicates a strong trend, while a reading below 20 indicates a weak or non-existent trend. A reading between those two values would be considered indeterminable. Though what is truly a strong trend or a weak trend depends on the financial instrument being examined; historical analysis can assist in determining appropriate values.
Bullish DI Cross
---------------------------
1. ADX must be over 25 (strong trend) (value is determined by the trader)
2. +DI cross above -DI
3. Set Stop Loss at the current day's low (any +DI cross-backs below -DI should be ignored)
4. Set trailing stop if ADX strengthens (i.e., signal rises)
Bearish DI Cross
---------------------------
1. ADX must be over 25 (strong trend) (value is determined by the trader)
2. -DI cross above +DI
3. Set Stop Loss at the current day's high (any -DI cross-backs below +DI should be ignored)
4. Set trailing stop if ADX strengthens (i.e., signal rises)
Disclaimer
---------------------------
This post and the script are not intended to provide any financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
No known repainting.
Version 1.1
-------------------------
- Added multi-timeframe resolution using PineCoders secure security function to eliminate repainting.
- Cleaned up option for selecting ADX view; and added a colored line as a choice, based on same bullish, bearish, or neutral colors as the background.
- Added exit crossover indicator to aid in an overall strategy development. This ability pairs better with my CHOP Zone Entry Strategy which relies on DMI Exits. Note that exit conditions don't employ the sensitivity variable. Green labels are for Bullish exits and red are for Bearish.
-- Exit condition is triggered if in an active Bullish or Bearish position and ADX drops below 25, Or if either the -DI crosses above +DI (for previously Bullish) or +DI crosses above -DI (for previously Bearish).
- Added reverse position determination. Triggers when a Bullish entry occurs on the same candle as a Bearish exit, or vice versa. Green labels are for Bullish reverses and red are for Bearish.
- Added selectable option to choose visible labels -- Bearish, Bullish, Both, Exits, Reverses, or All.
-- Note that a reverse label will only show if the opposing entry and exit labels are set to show, otherwise the reverse will revert to the appropriate entry or exit on the chart.
- Added alerts to account for new conditions.
-- Note that alerts for crossovers, exits, and reverses will only be triggered if the associated labels are selected to be shown (i.e., what you choose to see on the chart is what you will be alerted to).
Version 1.2
-------------------------
- Changed exit condition to be decided on by whether ADX is below 25 and on a +/-DI crossover. Versus being either or. The previous version had too many false triggers. This variety can now show multiple Bullish or Bearish alerts before an Exit condition too. I'm tempted to simply make this condition based on ADX, and not DI … thoughts? See lines 138 and 139.
- Updated the Background view to have deeper shades of colors dependent upon the ADX trend strength.
- Added an Oscillator view for the ADX and momentum computations to color the histogram by trend. DI lines are hidden.
-- If ADX is Bullish, then the oscillator is colored light green in an uptrend and dark green in a downtrend; if Bearish, then its light red in an uptrend and dark redin a downtrend; if adx is below key level, then it is light gray in a downtrend and dark grey in the uptrend.
- Added option to Hide ADX in case only the Directional lines are desired. This could be useful if you would like to have the ADX oscillator in one panel and +/-DI crossovers in another.
- Added a Columnar view for the ADX. DI lines are hidden. This view is really simple and compact, with the trend strength still easily understood. Colors are the same as for the oscillator -- the deeper the shade of green or red, then the higher the ADX trend strength level.
- Added a Trend Strength label.
ADX Trend Strength Trade (Y/N) Setup Types
0 to 10 = Barely Breathing N N/A
10 to 20 = Weak Trend Y Range/Pre-Breakout
20 to 30 = Potentially Starting to Trend Y Early Stage Trend
30 to 50 = Strong Trend Y Ride the Wave
50 to 75 = Very Strong Trend N Exhaustion
75 to 100 = Extremely Strong Trend N N/A
Version 1.3
-------------------------
Updated to Pine Script v5 to resolve errors from the deprecated v4 version.
This is a reissue of a previously published script that was hidden due to a v4 compatibility issue.
'https://www.tradingview.com/script/9OoEHrv5-Directional-Movement-Index-DMI-Alerts/'
Pivot Candle PatternsPivot Candle Patterns Indicator
Overview
The PivotCandlePatterns indicator is a sophisticated trading tool that identifies high-probability candlestick patterns at market pivot points. By combining Williams fractals pivot detection with advanced candlestick pattern recognition, this indicator targets the specific patterns that statistically show the highest likelihood of signaling reversals at market tops and bottoms.
Scientific Foundation
The indicator is built on extensive statistical analysis of historical price data using a 42-period Williams fractal lookback period. Our research analyzed which candlestick patterns most frequently appear at genuine market reversal points, quantifying their occurrence rates and subsequent success in predicting reversals.
Key Research Findings:
At Market Tops (Pivot Highs):
- Three White Soldiers: 28.3% occurrence rate
- Spinning Tops: 13.9% occurrence rate
- Inverted Hammers: 11.7% occurrence rate
At Market Bottoms (Pivot Lows):
- Three Black Crows: 28.4% occurrence rate
- Hammers: 13.3% occurrence rate
- Spinning Tops: 13.1% occurrence rate
How It Works
1. Pivot Point Detection
The indicator uses a non-repainting implementation of Williams fractals to identify potential market turning points:
- A pivot high is confirmed when the middle candle's high is higher than surrounding candles within the lookback period
- A pivot low is confirmed when the middle candle's low is lower than surrounding candles within the lookback period
- The default lookback period is 2 candles (user adjustable from 1-10)
2. Candlestick Pattern Recognition
At identified pivot points, the indicator analyzes candle properties using these parameters:
- Body percentage threshold for Spinning Tops: 40% (adjustable from 10-60%)
- Shadow percentage threshold for Hammer patterns: 60% (adjustable from 40-80%)
- Maximum upper shadow for Hammer: 10% (adjustable from 5-20%)
- Maximum lower shadow for Inverted Hammer: 10% (adjustable from 5-20%)
3. Pattern Definitions
The indicator recognizes these specific patterns:
Single-Candle Patterns:
- Spinning Top : Small body (< 40% of total range) with significant upper and lower shadows (> 25% each)
- Hammer : Small body (< 40%), very long lower shadow (> 60%), minimal upper shadow (< 10%), closing price above opening price
- Inverted Hammer : Small body (< 40%), very long upper shadow (> 60%), minimal lower shadow (< 10%)
Multi-Candle Patterns:
- Three White Soldiers : Three consecutive bullish candles, each closing higher than the previous, with each open within the previous candle's body
- Three Black Crows : Three consecutive bearish candles, each closing lower than the previous, with each open within the previous candle's body
4. Visual Representation
The indicator provides multiple visualization options:
- Highlighted candle backgrounds for pattern identification
- Text or dot labels showing pattern names and success rates
- Customizable colors for different pattern types
- Real-time alert functionality on pattern detection
- Information dashboard displaying pattern statistics
Why It Works
1. Statistical Edge
Unlike traditional candlestick pattern indicators that simply identify patterns regardless of context, PivotCandlePatterns focuses exclusively on patterns occurring at statistical pivot points, dramatically increasing signal quality.
2. Non-Repainting Design
The pivot detection algorithm only uses confirmed data, ensuring the indicator doesn't repaint or provide false signals that disappear on subsequent candles.
3. Complementary Pattern Selection
The selected patterns have both:
- Statistical significance (high frequency at pivots)
- Logical market psychology (reflecting institutional supply/demand changes)
For example, Three White Soldiers at a pivot high suggests excessive bullish sentiment reaching exhaustion, while Hammers at pivot lows indicate rejection of lower prices and potential buying pressure.
Practical Applications
1. Reversal Trading
The primary use is identifying potential market reversals with statistical probability metrics. Higher percentage patterns (like Three White Soldiers at 28.3%) warrant more attention than lower probability patterns.
2. Confirmation Tool
The indicator works well when combined with other technical analysis methods:
- Support/resistance levels
- Trend line breaks
- Divergences on oscillators
- Volume analysis
3. Risk Management
The built-in success rate metrics help traders properly size positions based on historical pattern reliability. The displayed percentages reflect the probability of the pattern successfully predicting a reversal.
Optimized Settings
Based on extensive testing, the default parameters (Body: 40%, Shadow: 60%, Shadow Maximums: 10%, Lookback: 2) provide the optimal balance between:
- Signal frequency
- False positive reduction
- Early entry opportunities
- Pattern clarity
Users can adjust these parameters based on their timeframe and trading style, but the defaults represent the statistically optimal configuration.
Complementary Research: Reclaim Analysis
Additional research on "reclaim" scenarios (where price briefly breaks a level before returning) showed:
- Fast reclaims (1-2 candles) have 70-90% success rates
- Reclaims with increasing volume have 53.1% success rate vs. decreasing volume at 22.6%
This complementary research reinforces the importance of candle patterns and timing at critical market levels.
ICT Macro and Daye QT ShiftEST Vertical Lines - Auto DST Adjustment
Overview
This indicator draws customizable vertical lines at specific Eastern Time (EST/EDT) points throughout the trading day, automatically adjusting for daylight savings time. Designed for precision trading on 1-minute and 5-minute charts, it highlights key intraday moments when price action tends to accelerate.
Features
- **18 pre-configured NY session times** (09:50-15:45 ET)
- **Auto timezone conversion** - Always shows correct EST/EDT regardless of your local timezone
- **3 line styles** - Choose between solid/dashed/dotted lines
- **Clean labeling** - Optional time markers above each line
- **1m/5m optimized** - Perfect for scalpers and day traders
- **Visual alerts** - "TOUCH" labels when price interacts with lines
Inputs
| Parameter | Description | Default |
|-----------|-------------|---------|
| Line Times | Comma-separated HH:MM times | 09:50,10:10,...15:45 |
| Line Color | Line color | Black |
| Line Width | 1-5px thickness | 2 |
| Line Style | Solid/Dashed/Dotted | Solid |
| Show Labels | Display time markers | true |
How To Use
1. Apply to 1m or 5m charts
2. Lines appear automatically at specified EST times
3. Watch for price reactions at these key levels
4. Customize styles via indicator settings
Ideal For
- NY open/London close traders
- Earnings/News traders
- Breakout traders
- Market open/close strategies
Updates
v1.1 - Added line style customization
v1.0 - Initial release
QuantumTrend SwiftEdgeQuantumTrend SwiftEdge - A Trend-Following Indicator for TradingView
Overview:
QuantumTrend SwiftEdge is a visually engaging and customizable trend-following indicator that combines the power of Supertrend, Keltner Channels, and a 100-period EMA to generate precise buy and sell signals. Designed to help traders identify trends and breakouts, this indicator offers a unique blend of technical tools with a modern gradient color effect, making it both functional and visually appealing.
What It Does:
This indicator identifies trend directions and potential entry/exit points:
- Supertrend determines the overall trend direction, showing a green line below the price during uptrends and a red line above the price during downtrends. The line only appears when the price is close to it, indicating an active trend.
- Keltner Channels highlight volatility and breakouts, with the upper and lower bands dynamically adjusting to market conditions.
- A 100-period EMA provides a longer-term trend perspective, helping to filter out noise.
- Buy and sell signals are generated when specific conditions align across these indicators, ensuring robust trade setups.
How It Works:
The indicator uses three components to generate signals:
1. **Supertrend**: Calculates trend direction using the Average True Range (ATR) and a multiplier. It switches between uptrend (green) and downtrend (red) based on price movements relative to the Supertrend line.
2. **Keltner Channels**: Consists of an EMA (default 20 periods) with upper and lower bands based on ATR. A breakout above the upper band signals potential buying opportunities, while a breakout below the lower band signals potential selling opportunities.
3. **100-period EMA**: Acts as a trend filter, ensuring signals align with the broader market direction.
**Buy Signal**:
- Price is above the 100-period EMA (bullish market).
- Price breaks above the Keltner Channel upper band (indicating a breakout).
- Supertrend switches to an uptrend (trend changes from down to up).
**Sell Signal**:
- Price is below the 100-period EMA (bearish market).
- Price breaks below the Keltner Channel lower band (indicating a breakout).
- Supertrend switches to a downtrend (trend changes from up to down).
Visual Features:
- **Gradient Colors**: Supertrend lines and Keltner Channels use a smooth gradient color transition between green (uptrend) and red (downtrend), reflecting the trend's strength. The gradient is based on a smoothed trend value, creating a visually appealing effect.
- **Keltner Channel Fill**: The area between the upper and lower Keltner Channels is filled with a transparent gradient, enhancing the trend visualization.
- **Dynamic Supertrend Visibility**: Supertrend lines only appear when the price is close to the line (within an ATR-based threshold), indicating an active trend.
How to Use:
1. Add the "QuantumTrend SwiftEdge" indicator to your chart in TradingView.
2. Customize the settings:
- **Signal Sensitivity (1=Low, 5=High)**: Default is 3. Lower values (e.g., 1) make signals less frequent by using wider parameters, while higher values (e.g., 5) make signals more frequent by tightening parameters.
- **Use Manual Settings**: If enabled, you can manually adjust all parameters (ATR Period, ATR Multiplier, Keltner Channel Length, Keltner Channel Multiplier, Keltner ATR Length, EMA Length) to fine-tune the indicator.
- **Change ATR Calculation Method**: Toggle between standard ATR calculation and a simple moving average of true range.
- **Show Buy/Sell Signals**: Toggle to show or hide buy (green "Buy" label) and sell (red "Sell" label) signals.
- **Highlighter On/Off**: Toggle to show or hide the gradient fill between the price and Supertrend line when the line is visible.
3. Interpret the signals:
- A green "Buy" label below the price indicates a potential buying opportunity.
- A red "Sell" label above the price indicates a potential selling opportunity.
- Use the Keltner Channel gradient fill and Supertrend lines to confirm the trend direction and strength.
Why This Combination?
- **Supertrend** provides a robust trend-following mechanism, ensuring signals align with the market direction.
- **Keltner Channels** add a volatility component, identifying breakouts that often precede significant price movements.
- **100-period EMA** filters out noise, ensuring signals are generated in the context of the broader trend.
Together, these indicators create a balanced approach: Supertrend and EMA confirm the trend, while Keltner Channels pinpoint actionable entry and exit points. The gradient visuals and dynamic visibility make it easier to focus on active trends.
Originality:
QuantumTrend SwiftEdge stands out with its unique features:
- Gradient color transitions for a modern, dynamic look.
- A filled gradient between Keltner Channels, visually emphasizing the trend.
- Supertrend lines that only appear when the price is close, reducing clutter and focusing on active trends.
- Flexible settings with both sensitivity-based and manual adjustments for maximum customization.
Default Settings:
The default sensitivity is set to 3, providing a balanced approach for most markets and timeframes (e.g., 5-minute charts for crypto like BTC/USD). This setting uses moderate parameters (ATR Period=10, ATR Multiplier=3.0, Keltner Channel Length=20, Keltner Channel Multiplier=1.5, Keltner ATR Length=10, EMA Length=100). Users can adjust the sensitivity or switch to manual settings for more control.
Important Notes:
- This indicator is a tool to assist in identifying trends and potential entry/exit points. It does not guarantee profits and should be used in conjunction with other analysis and risk management practices.
- The signals are based on historical price data and do not predict future performance. Always test the indicator on a demo account before using it in live trading.
- The gradient effect is purely visual and does not affect the signal logic.
EMA/SMA Combo + ADR (v6)This script combines popular moving averages with a clean, info-rich ADR table – perfect for traders who trade breakouts.
✳️ Features:
• 🟦 EMA 10 / 20 / 50 / 100 / 200 → shown as dotted points
• 🔷 SMA 10 / 20 / 50 / 100 / 200 → shown as solid lines
• 🎛️ All lines can be individually toggled on/off
• 📊 ADR info table shows average range, today’s range & % of ADR
🎯 Ideal for:
• Intraday traders looking for clean MAs & volatility reference
• Swing traders seeking strong confluence zones
• Anyone who prefers a minimalistic, customizable overlay
🧠 Pro Tip: The ADR table is styled for light charts – black text, no background. You can customize the MA display exactly as you like.
Trade smart, stay sharp! 🚀
C&B Auto MK5C&B Auto MK5.2ema BullBear
Overview
The C&B Auto MK5.2ema BullBear is a versatile Pine Script indicator designed to help traders identify bullish and bearish market conditions across various timeframes. It combines Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Average True Range (ATR), and customizable time filters to generate actionable signals. The indicator overlays on the price chart, displaying EMAs, a dynamic cloud, scaled RSI levels, bull/bear signals, and market condition labels, making it suitable for swing trading, day trading, or scalping in trending or volatile markets.
What It Does
This indicator generates bull and bear signals based on the interaction of two EMAs, filtered by RSI thresholds, ATR-based volatility, a 50/200 EMA trend filter, and user-defined time windows. It adapts to market volatility by adjusting EMA lengths and RSI thresholds. A dynamic cloud highlights trend direction or neutral zones, with candlestick coloring in neutral conditions. Market condition labels (current and historical) provide real-time trend and volatility context, displayed above the chart.
How It Works
The indicator uses the following components:
EMAs: Two EMAs (short and long) are calculated on a user-selected timeframe (1, 5, 15, 30, or 60 minutes). Their crossover or crossunder triggers potential bull/bear signals. EMA lengths adjust based on volatility (e.g., 10/20 for volatile markets, 5/10 for non-volatile).
Dynamic Cloud: The area between the EMAs forms a cloud, colored green for bullish trends, red for bearish trends, or a user-defined color (default yellow) for neutral zones (when EMAs are close, determined by an ATR-based threshold). Users can widen the cloud for visibility.
RSI Filter: RSI is scaled to price levels and plotted on the chart (optional). Signals are filtered to ensure RSI is within volatility-adjusted bull/bear thresholds and not in overbought/oversold zones.
ATR Volatility Filter: An optional filter ensures signals occur during sufficient volatility (ATR(14) > SMA(ATR, 20)).
50/200 EMA Trend Filter: An optional filter restricts bull signals to bullish trends (50 EMA > 200 EMA) and bear signals to bearish trends (50 EMA < 200 EMA).
Time Filter: Signals are restricted to a user-defined UTC time window (default 9:00–15:00), aligning with active trading sessions.
Market Condition Labels: Labels above the chart display the current trend (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) and optionally volatility (e.g., “Bullish Volatile”). Up to two historical labels persist for a user-defined number of bars (default 5) to show recent trend changes.
Visual Aids: Bull signals appear as green triangles/labels below the bar, bear signals as red triangles/labels above. Candlesticks in neutral zones are colored (default yellow).
The indicator ensures compatibility with standard chart types (e.g., candlestick or bar charts) to produce realistic signals, avoiding non-standard types like Heikin Ashi or Renko.
How to Use It
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to a candlestick or bar chart on TradingView.
Configure Settings:
Timeframe: Choose a timeframe (1, 5, 15, 30, or 60 minutes) to match your trading style.
Filters:
Enable/disable the ATR volatility filter to focus on high-volatility periods.
Enable/disable the 50/200 EMA trend filter to align signals with the broader trend.
Enable the time filter and set custom UTC hours/minutes (default 9:00–15:00).
Cloud Settings: Adjust the cloud width, neutral zone threshold, color, and transparency.
EMA Colors: Use default trend-based colors or set custom colors for short/long EMAs.
RSI Display: Toggle the scaled RSI and its thresholds, with customizable colors.
Signal Settings: Toggle bull/bear labels and set signal colors.
Market Condition Labels: Toggle current/historical labels, include/exclude volatility, and adjust decay period.
Interpret Signals:
Bull Signal: A green triangle or “Bull” label below the bar indicates potential bullish momentum (EMA crossover, RSI above bull threshold, within time window, passing filters).
Bear Signal: A red triangle or “Bear” label above the bar indicates potential bearish momentum (EMA crossunder, RSI below bear threshold, within time window, passing filters).
Neutral Zone: Yellow candlesticks and cloud (if enabled) suggest a lack of clear trend; consider range-bound strategies or avoid trading.
Market Condition Labels: Check labels above the chart for real-time trend (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) and volatility status to confirm market context.
Monitor Context: Use the cloud, RSI, and labels to assess trend strength and volatility before acting on signals.
Unique Features
Volatility-Adaptive EMAs: Automatically adjusts EMA lengths based on ATR to suit volatile or non-volatile markets, reducing manual configuration.
Neutral Zone Detection: Uses an ATR-based threshold to identify low-trend periods, helping traders avoid choppy markets.
Scaled RSI Visualization: Plots RSI and thresholds directly on the price chart, simplifying momentum analysis relative to price.
Flexible Time Filtering: Supports precise UTC-based trading windows, ideal for day traders targeting specific sessions.
Historical Market Labels: Displays recent trend changes (up to two) with a decay period, providing context for market shifts.
50/200 EMA Trend Filter: Aligns signals with the broader market trend, enhancing signal reliability.
Notes
Use on standard candlestick or bar charts to ensure accurate signals.
Test the indicator on a demo account to optimize settings for your market and timeframe.
Combine with other analysis (e.g., support/resistance, volume) for better decision-making.
The indicator is not a standalone system; use it as part of a broader trading strategy.
Limitations
Signals may lag in fast-moving markets due to EMA-based calculations.
Neutral zone detection may vary in extremely volatile or illiquid markets.
Time filters are UTC-based; ensure your platform’s timezone settings align.
This indicator is designed for traders seeking a customizable, trend-following tool that adapts to volatility and provides clear visual cues with robust filtering for bullish and bearish market conditions.
BTC Markup/Markdown Zones by Koenigsegg📈 BTC Markup/Markdown Zones
A handcrafted indicator designed to mark Bitcoin's most critical High Time Frame (HTF) structure shifts. This tool overlays true institutional-level Markup and Markdown Zones, selected manually after deep market review. Whether you're testing strategies or actively trading, this tool gives you the bigger picture at all times.
🔍 Key Features:
✅ HTF Markup & Markdown Zones
Every zone is manually selected — no indicators, no repainting. Just raw market history and real structure.
✅ Two Display Modes
• Background Zones — soft overlays with low opacity for visual context — with the option to increase opacity manually if desired.
• Start Candle Highlight — sharply highlighted candle marking the final pivot before a macro reversal.
✅ Custom Color Controls (Style Tab)
All visual styling lives in the Style tab, with clearly labeled fields:
• Markup Zone
• Markdown Zone
• Start Candle Highlight Markup
• Start Candle Highlight Markdown
✅ Minimal Input Section
Just one toggle: display mode. Everything else is kept clean and intuitive.
🧠 Purpose:
This script is made for any timeframe:
• Zoom into lower timeframes to know whether you're trading inside a Markup or Markdown
• Use it during strategy testing for true structural awareness
📅 Handpicked Macro Turning Points:
Each zone originates from a manually confirmed candle — the last meaningful candle before a shift in control between bulls and bears:
• FRI 19 AUG 2011 12PM – MARK DOWN
• THU 20 OCT 2011 12AM – MARK UP
• WED 10 APR 2013 12PM – MARK DOWN
• FRI 12 APR 2013 12PM – MARK UP
• SAT 30 NOV 2013 12AM – MARK DOWN
• WED 14 JAN 2015 12PM – MARK UP
• SUN 17 DEC 2017 12PM – MARK DOWN
• SAT 15 DEC 2018 12PM – MARK UP
• WED 14 APR 2021 4AM – MARK DOWN
• TUE 22 JUN 2021 12PM – MARK UP
• WED 10 NOV 2021 12PM – MARK DOWN
• MON 21 NOV 2022 8PM – MARK UP
• THU 14 MAR 2024 4AM – MARK DOWN
• MON 5 AUG 2024 12PM – MARK UP
• MON 20 JAN 2025 4AM – MARK DOWN
💡 Zones are manually updated by me after each new confirmed Markup or Markdown.
🧬 Fractal Structure for MTF Systems
Price is fractal — meaning the same principles of structure repeat across all timeframes. In Version 2, this tool evolves by introducing manually selected sub-zones inside each High Time Frame (HTF) Markup or Markdown. These sub-zones reflect Medium Timeframe (MTF) structure shifts, offering precision for traders who operate on both intraday and swing levels.
This makes the indicator ideal for low timeframe (LTF) Markup/Markdown awareness — whether you're managing 15m entries or building multi-timeframe confluence systems.
No auto-zones. No guesswork. Just clean, intentional structure division within the broader trend, handpicked for maximum clarity and edge.
💡 Pro Tip:
When price is inside a Markup Zone, shorting becomes riskier — you're trading against a macro bullish structure.
When inside a Markdown Zone, longing becomes riskier — you're fighting against confirmed bearish momentum.
Use this tool to stay aligned with the broader move, especially when zoomed into smaller timeframes or managing entries/exits during intraday setups.
📈 Markup Phase – Bullish Sentiment
Definition: A period where price makes higher highs and higher lows — the uptrend is in full force.
Why sentiment is bullish:
- Institutions and smart money are already positioned long.
- Public/institutional demand drives prices up.
- Momentum is supported by positive news, breakouts, and FOMO.
- Higher highs confirm buyers are in control.
📉 Markdown Phase – Bearish Sentiment
Definition: A period where price makes lower lows and lower highs — clear downtrend.
Why sentiment is bearish:
- Distribution has already occurred, and supply outweighs demand.
- Smart money is short or sidelined, waiting for deeper prices.
- Panic selling or trend-following traders add downside momentum.
- Lower lows confirm sellers are in control.
❌ Trading Against the Trend — Consequences:
-Reduced Probability of Success
-You’re fighting the dominant flow. Most participants are pushing in the opposite direction.
-Drawdowns & Stop-Outs
-Countertrend trades often get wicked or flushed before any meaningful move, especially without structure-based entries.
-Low Risk-Reward Ratio
-Trends offer sustained moves. Countertrend trades may have small take-profit zones or chop.
-Mental Drain & Doubt
-Fighting momentum causes anxiety, second-guessing, and emotional reactions.
-Missed Opportunities
-Focusing on fighting the trend makes you blind to the high-probability setups with the trend.
-Increased Transaction Costs
-More stop-outs and re-entries mean more fees, more friction.
-FOMO from Watching the Trend Run
-Entering countertrend means you might watch the trend explode without you.
-Confirmation Bias & Stubbornness
-Countertrend traders often look for reasons to justify staying in the wrong direction — leading to bigger losses.
🧠 Summary
In markup = bulls dominate → you swim with the current.
In markdown = bears dominate → going long is like pushing a rock uphill.
Trading with the trend is not just safer, it's smarter. The edge lives in momentum — not ego.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and analytical use only. It is not financial advice and should not be relied on for decision-making without personal analysis.
This is not a predictive tool. No indicator can forecast upcoming price movements.
What you see here is based purely on past market behavior — specifically, historical tops and bottoms that marked the start of confirmed reversals.
This script does not know where the next reversal begins, nor can it determine where a new Markup or Markdown starts or ends. It is designed to provide context, not prediction.
Always trade with responsibility and perform your own due diligence.
Zweig Breadth ThrustZweig Breadth Thrust Detector
This indicator tracks one of the rarest and most powerful bullish signals in market history: the Zweig Breadth Thrust.
It calculates the 10-day moving average of NYSE advancing stocks divided by the sum of advancing and declining stocks. When the breadth reading surges from deeply oversold (<0.40) to explosively bullish (>0.615) within just 10 trading days, it signals a momentum reset so intense that it often marks the start of major new bull runs.
Zweig Thrusts are extremely rare — but when they occur, historical odds favor significant market gains over the next 6 to 12 months.
This tool doesn't just chase price — it measures raw internal strength across the entire market.
When the masses panic, and the army of stocks surges together — that's when legends are made.
Williams R Zone Scalper v1.0[BullByte]Originality & Usefulness
Unlike standard Williams R cross-over scripts, this strategy layers five dynamic filters—moving-average trend, Supertrend, Choppiness Index, Bollinger Band Width, and volume validation —and presents a real-time dashboard with equity, PnL, filter status, and key indicator values. No other public Pine script combines these elements with toggleable filters and a custom dashboard. In backtests (BTC/USD (Binance), 5 min, 24 Mar 2025 → 28 Apr 2025), adding these filters turned a –2.09 % standalone Williams R into a +5.05 % net winner while cutting maximum drawdown in half.
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What This Script Does
- Monitors Williams R (length 14) for overbought/oversold reversals.
- Applies up to five dynamic filters to confirm trend strength and volatility direction:
- Moving average (SMA/EMA/WMA/HMA)
- Supertrend line
- Choppiness Index (CI)
- Bollinger Band Width (BBW)
- Volume vs. its 50-period MA
- Plots blue arrows for Long entries (R crosses above –80 + all filters green) and red arrows for Short entries (R crosses below –20 + all filters green).
- Optionally sets dynamic ATR-based stop-loss (1.5×ATR) and take-profit (2×ATR).
- Shows a dashboard box with current position, equity, PnL, filter status, and real-time Williams R / MA/volume values.
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Backtest Summary (BTC/USD(Binance), 5 min, 24 Mar 2025 → 28 Apr 2025)
• Total P&L : +50.70 USD (+5.05 %)
• Max Drawdown : 31.93 USD (3.11 %)
• Total Trades : 198
• Win Rate : 55.05 % (109/89)
• Profit Factor : 1.288
• Commission : 0.01 % per trade
• Slippage : 0 ticks
Even in choppy March–April, this multi-filter approach nets +5 % with a robust risk profile, compared to –2.09 % and higher drawdown for Williams R alone.
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Williams R Alone vs. Multi-Filter Version
• Total P&L :
– Williams R alone → –20.83 USD (–2.09 %)
– Multi-Filter → +50.70 USD (+5.05 %)
• Max Drawdown :
– Williams R alone → 62.13 USD (6.00 %)
– Multi-Filter → 31.93 USD (3.11 %)
• Total Trades : 543 vs. 198
• Win Rate : 60.22 % vs. 55.05 %
• Profit Factor : 0.943 vs. 1.288
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Inputs & What They Control
- wrLen (14): Williams R look-back
- maType (EMA): Trend filter type (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA)
- maLen (20): Moving-average period
- useChop (true): Toggle Choppiness Index filter
- ciLen (12): CI look-back length
- chopThr (38.2): CI threshold (below = trending)
- useVol (true): Toggle volume-above-average filter
- volMaLen (50): Volume MA period
- useBBW (false): Toggle Bollinger Band Width filter
- bbwMaLen (50): BBW MA period
- useST (false): Toggle Supertrend filter
- stAtrLen (10): Supertrend ATR length
- stFactor (3.0): Supertrend multiplier
- useSL (false): Toggle ATR-based SL/TP
- atrLen (14): ATR period for SL/TP
- slMult (1.5): SL = slMult × ATR
- tpMult (2.0): TP = tpMult × ATR
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How to Read the Chart
- Blue arrow (Long): Williams R crosses above –80 + all enabled filters green
- Red arrow (Short) : Williams R crosses below –20 + all filters green
- Dashboard box:
- Top : position and equity
- Next : cumulative PnL in USD & %
- Middle : green/white dots for each filter (green=passing, white=disabled)
- Bottom : Williams R, MA, and volume current values
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Usage Tips
- Add the script : Indicators → My Scripts → Williams R Zone Scalper v1.0 → Add to BTC/USD chart on 5 min.
- Defaults : Optimized for BTC/USD.
- Forex majors : Raise `chopThr` to ~42.
- Stocks/high-beta : Enable `useBBW`.
- Enable SL/TP : Toggle `useSL`; stop-loss = 1.5×ATR, take-profit = 2×ATR apply automatically.
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Common Questions
- * Why not trade every Williams R reversal?*
Raw Williams R whipsaws in sideways markets. Choppiness and volume filters reduce false entries.
- *Can I use on 1 min or 15 min?*
Yes—adjust ATR length or thresholds accordingly. Defaults target 5 min scalping.
- *What if all filters are on?*
Fewer arrows, higher-quality signals. Expect ~10 % boost in average win size.
---
Disclaimer & License
Trading carries risk of loss. Use this script “as is” under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (mozilla.org). Always backtest, paper-trade, and adjust risk settings to your own profile.
---
Credits & References
- Pine Script v6, using TradingView’s built-in `ta.supertrend()`.
- TradingView House Rules: www.tradingview.com
Goodluck!
BullByte
Cointegration Buy and Sell Signals [EdgeTerminal]The Cointegration Buy And Sell Signals is a sophisticated technical analysis tool to spot high-probability market turning points — before they fully develop on price charts.
Most reversal indicators rely on raw price action, visual patterns, or basic and common indicator logic — which often suffer in noisy or trending markets. In most cases, they lag behind the actual change in trend and provide useless and late signals.
This indicator is rooted in advanced concepts from statistical arbitrage, mean reversion theory, and quantitative finance, and it packages these ideas in a user-friendly visual format that works on any timeframe and asset class.
It does this by analyzing how the short-term and long-term EMAs behave relative to each other — and uses statistical filters like Z-score, correlation, volatility normalization, and stationarity tests to issue highly selective Buy and Sell signals.
This tool provides statistical confirmation of trend exhaustion, allowing you to trade mean-reverting setups. It fades overextended moves and uses signal stacking to reduce false entries. The entire indicator is based on a very interesting mathematically grounded model which I will get into down below.
Here’s how the indicator works at a high level:
EMAs as Anchors: It starts with two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) — one short-term and one long-term — to track market direction.
Statistical Spread (Regression Residuals): It performs a rolling linear regression between the short and long EMA. Instead of using the raw difference (short - long), it calculates the regression residual, which better models their natural relationship.
Normalize the Spread: The spread is divided by historical price volatility (ATR) to make it scale-invariant. This ensures the indicator works on low-priced stocks, high-priced indices, and crypto alike.
Z-Score: It computes a Z-score of the normalized spread to measure how “extreme” the current deviation is from its historical average.
Dynamic Thresholds: Unlike most tools that use fixed thresholds (like Z = ±2), this one calculates dynamic thresholds using historical percentiles (e.g., top 10% and bottom 10%) so that it adapts to the asset's current behavior to reduce false signals based on market’s extreme volatility at a certain time.
Z-Score Momentum: It tracks the direction of the Z-score — if Z is extreme but still moving away from zero, it's too early. It waits for reversion to start (Z momentum flips).
Correlation Check: Uses a rolling Pearson correlation to confirm the two EMAs are still statistically related. If they diverge (low correlation), no signal is shown.
Stationarity Filter (ADF-like): Uses the volatility of the regression residual to determine if the spread is stationary (mean-reverting) — a key concept in cointegration and statistical arbitrage. It’s not possible to build an exact ADF filter in Pine Script so we used the next best thing.
Signal Control: Prevents noisy charts and overtrading by ensuring no back-to-back buy or sell signals. Each signal must alternate and respect a cooldown period so you won’t be overwhelmed and won’t get a messy chart.
Important Notes to Remember:
The whole idea behind this indicator is to try to use some stat arb models to detect shifting patterns faster than they appear on common indicators, so in some cases, some assumptions are made based on historic values.
This means that in some cases, the indicator can “jump” into the conclusion too quickly. Although we try to eliminate this by using stationary filters, correlation checks, and Z-score momentum detection, there is still a chance some signals that are generated can be too early, in the stock market, that's the same as being incorrect. So make sure to use this with other indicators to confirm the movement.
How To Use The Indicator:
You can use the indicator as a standalone reversal system, as a filter for overbought and oversold setups, in combination with other trend indicators and as a part of a signal stack with other common indicators for divergence spotting and fade trades.
The indicator produces simple buy and sell signals when all criteria is met. Based on our own testing, we recommend treating these signals as standalone and independent from each other . Meaning that if you take position after a buy signal, don’t wait for a sell signal to appear to exit the trade and vice versa.
This is why we recommend using this indicator with other advanced or even simple indicators as an early confirmation tool.
The Display Table:
The floating diagnostic table in the top-right corner of the chart is a key part of this indicator. It's a live statistical dashboard that helps you understand why a signal is (or isn’t) being triggered, and whether the market conditions are lining up for a potential reversal.
1. Z-Score
What it shows: The current Z-score value of the volatility-normalized spread between the short EMA and the regression line of the long EMA.
Why it matters: Z-score tells you how statistically extreme the current relationship is. A Z-score of:
0 = perfectly average
> +2 = very overbought
< -2 = very oversold
How to use it: Look for Z-score reaching extreme highs or lows (beyond dynamic thresholds). Watch for it to start reversing direction, especially when paired with green table rows (see below)
2. Z-Score Momentum
What it shows: The rate of change (ROC) of the Z-score:
Zmomentum=Zt − Zt − 1
Why it matters: This tells you if the Z-score is still stretching out (e.g., getting more overbought/oversold), or reverting back toward the mean.
How to use it: A positive Z-momentum after a very low Z-score = potential bullish reversal A negative Z-momentum after a very high Z-score = potential bearish reversal. Avoid signals when momentum is still pushing deeper into extremes
3. Correlation
What it shows: The rolling Pearson correlation coefficient between the short EMA and long EMA.
Why it matters: High correlation (closer to +1) means the EMAs are still statistically connected — a key requirement for cointegration or mean reversion to be valid.
How to use it: Look for correlation > 0.7 for reliable signals. If correlation drops below 0.5, ignore the Z-score — the EMAs aren’t moving together anymore
4. Stationary
What it shows: A simplified "Yes" or "No" answer to the question:
“Is the spread statistically stable (stationary) and mean-reverting right now?”
Why it matters: Mean reversion strategies only work when the spread is stationary — that is, when the distance between EMAs behaves like a rubber band, not a drifting cloud.
How to use it: A "Yes" means the indicator sees a consistent, stable spread — good for trading. "No" means the market is too volatile, disjointed, or chaotic for reliable mean reversion. Wait for this to flip to "Yes" before trusting signals
5. Last Signal
What it shows: The last signal issued by the system — either "Buy", "Sell", or "None"
Why it matters: Helps avoid confusion and repeated entries. Signals only alternate — you won’t get another Buy until a Sell happens, and vice versa.
How to use it: If the last signal was a "Buy", and you’re watching for a Sell, don’t act on more bullish signals. Great for systems where you only want one position open at a time
6. Bars Since Signal
What it shows: How many bars (candles) have passed since the last Buy or Sell signal.
Why it matters: Gives you context for how long the current condition has persisted
How to use it: If it says 1 or 2, a signal just happened — avoid jumping in late. If it’s been 10+ bars, a new opportunity might be brewing soon. You can use this to time exits if you want to fade a recent signal manually
Indicator Settings:
Short EMA: Sets the short-term EMA period. The smaller the number, the more reactive and more signals you get.
Long EMA: Sets the slow EMA period. The larger this number is, the smoother baseline, and more reliable trend bases are generated.
Z-Score Lookback: The period or bars used for mean & std deviation of spread between short and long EMAs. Larger values result in smoother signals with fewer false positives.
Volatility Window: This value normalizes the spread by historical volatility. This allows you to prevent scale distortion, showing you a cleaner and better chart.
Correlation Lookback: How many periods or how far back to test correlation between slow and long EMAs. This filters out false positives when EMAs lose alignment.
Hurst Lookback: The multiplier to approximate stationarity. Lower leads to more sensitivity to regime change, higher produces a more stricter filtering.
Z Threshold Percentile: This value sets how extreme Z-score must be to trigger a signal. For example, 90 equals only top/bottom 10% of extremes, 80 = more frequent.
Min Bars Between Signals: This hard stop prevents back-to-back signals. The idea is to avoid over-trading or whipsaws in volatile markets even when Hurst lookback and volatility window values are not enough to filter signals.
Some More Recommendations:
We recommend trying different EMA pairs (10/50, 21/100, 5/20) for different asset behaviors. You can set percentile to 85 or 80 if you want more frequent but looser signals. You can also use the Z-score reversion monitor for powerful confirmation.
PumpC Opening Range Breakout (ORB) 5min Range📄 PumpC ORB 5-Minute Opening Range Breakout Indicator
✨ Overview
The PumpC ORB 5-Minute Opening Range Breakout indicator captures early session price action by tracking the high, low, and open of a defined 5-minute window at market open (customized for Futures or Stocks).
It plots breakout levels, extension targets, average range calculations, volume tracking, and provides visual and table-based data summaries.
This indicator is designed for traders seeking a complete, clean visualization of Opening Range Breakouts (ORB) with flexible customization.
⚙️ Main Features
Opening Range Box (ORB Box) Draws a box around the high and low of the first 5-minute session (8:30–8:35 ET for Futures, 9:30–9:35 ET for Stocks). Box extends from the session open to the session close (4:00 PM ET). Option to enable/disable historical boxes. Box color and opacity are customizable. Core ORB Levels Open Level: Plots the open price of the 5-minute ORB window. ORB Levels: Plots breakout levels at multiples: +0.5x the range +1.5x the range (customizable factor) Each level has independent color settings and visibility toggles. Option to show or hide historic extension levels. Table Display Compact table in the top-right corner showing: ORB ATR (average range) ORB ATR in ticks Today's ORB range ORB Volume ATR (average volume during ORB) Today's ORB Volume Volume is formatted automatically into "K" (thousands) or "M" (millions) for readability. Background Highlights After the ORB window closes: Blue highlight if today's ORB range is greater than the 10-day ATR average. Orange highlight if today's ORB range is smaller than the 10-day ATR average. Helps quickly assess relative strength or weakness compared to historical behavior. Alerts Breakout Confirmations: Fires when price closes above ORB High or below ORB Low. Fallout Traps: Alerts when price wick crosses ORB High/Low but closes back inside the range. Alerts use clean titles and simple messages for easy identification.
🔧 Inputs and Customization
Mode Toggle: Choose between Futures (8:30 ET open) or Stocks (9:30 ET open). Show/Hide Labels: Control label visibility for ORB and extension levels. Line Width Control: Customize thickness for ORB lines and extension levels. ORB Level Level Visibility: Independently enable or disable each extension line. Table Appearance: Customize table background color, font color, and padding. ORB Box Settings: Customize box color and control whether historical boxes are drawn.
📚 How to Use
Select Mode: Choose Futures or Stocks depending on your instrument. Observe the Opening Range: Focus on the ORB High and ORB Low during the first 5 minutes after the open. Monitor Breakouts: Breakout alerts will fire when price closes outside the ORB range, signaling potential continuation. Watch for Fallout Traps: Fallout alerts signal when price briefly wicks above/below but closes back inside the ORB range. Use Table Metrics: Instantly compare today's ORB range and volume versus historical averages to assess session strength or weakness.
🛡️ Notes
Best used on the 1-minute or 5-minute chart for intraday trading. Ensure your TradingView chart time zone is set to New York for correct functioning. Alerts must be manually configured after adding the indicator to your chart.
Smart Market Matrix Smart Market Matrix
This indicator is designed for intraday, scalping, providing automated detection of price pivots, liquidity traps, and breakout confirmations, along with a context dashboard featuring volatility, trend, and volume.
## Summary Description
### Menu Settings & Their Roles
- **Swing Pivot Strength**: Controls the sensitivity for detecting High/Low pivots.
- **Show Pivot Points**: Toggles the display of HH/LL markers on the chart.
- **VWMA Length for Trap Volume** & **Volume Spike Multiplier**: Identify concentrated volume spikes for liquidity traps.
- **Wick Ratio Threshold** & **Max Body Size Ratio**: Detect candles with disproportionate wicks and small bodies (doji-ish) for traps.
- **ATR Length for Trap**: Measures volatility specific to trap detection.
- **VWMA Length for Breakout Volume**, **ATR Multiplier for Breakout**, **ATR Length for Breakout**, **Min Body/Range Ratio**: Set adaptive breakout thresholds based on volatility and volume.
- **OBV Smooth Length**: Smooths OBV momentum for breakout confirmation.
- **Enable VWAP Filter for Confirmations**: Optionally validate breakouts against the VWAP.
- **Enable Higher-TF Trend Filter** & **Trend Filter Timeframe**: Align breakout signals with the 1h/4h/Daily trend.
- **ADX Length**, **EMA Fast/Slow Length for Context**: Parameters for the context dashboard (Volatility, Trend, Volume).
- **Show Intraday VWAP Line**, **VWAP Line Color/Width**: Display the intraday VWAP line with custom style.
### Signal Interpretation Map
| Signal | Description | Recommended Action |
|--------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------|
| 📌 **HH / LL (pivot)** | Market structure (support/resistance) | Note key levels |
| **Bull Trap(green diamond)** | Sweep down + volume spike + wick + rejection | Go long with trend filter
| **Bear Trap(red diamond)** | Sweep up + volume spike + wick + rejection | Go short with trend filter
| 🔵⬆️ **Breakout Confirmed Up** | Close > ATR‑scaled high + volume + OBV↑ | Go long with trend filter |
| 🔵⬇️ **Breakout Confirmed Down** | Close < ATR‑scaled low + volume + OBV↓ | Go short with trend filter |
| 📊 **VWAP Line** | Intraday reference to guide price | Use as dynamic support/resistance |
| ⚡ **Volatility** | ATR ratio High/Med/Low | Adjust position size |
| 📈 **Trend Context** | ADX+EMA Strong/Moderate/Weak | Confirm trend direction |
| 🔍 **Volume Context** | Breakout / Rising / Falling / Calm | Check volume momentum |
*This summary gives you a quick overview of the key settings and how to interpret signals for efficient intraday scalping.*
### Suggested Settings
- **Intraday Scalping (5m–15m)**
- `Swing Pivot Strength = 5`
- `VWMA Length for Trap Volume = 10`, `Volume Spike Multiplier = 1.6`
- `ATR Length for Trap = 7`
- `VWMA Length for Breakout Volume = 12`, `ATR Length for Breakout = 9`, `ATR Multiplier for Breakout = 0.5`
- `Min Body/Range Ratio for Breakout = 0.5`, `OBV Smooth Length = 7`
- `Enable Higher-TF Trend Filter = true` (TF = 60)
- `Show Intraday VWAP Line = true` (Color = orange, Width = 2)
- **Swing Trading (4h–Daily)**
- `Swing Pivot Strength = 10`
- `VWMA Length for Trap Volume = 20`, `Volume Spike Multiplier = 2.0`
- `ATR Length for Trap = 14`
- `VWMA Length for Breakout Volume = 30`, `ATR Length for Breakout = 14`, `ATR Multiplier for Breakout = 0.8`
- `Min Body/Range Ratio for Breakout = 0.7`, `OBV Smooth Length = 14`
- `Enable Higher-TF Trend Filter = true` (TF = D)
- `Show Intraday VWAP Line = false`
*Adjust these values based on the symbol and market volatility for optimal performance.*
Clenow MomentumClenow Momentum Method
The Clenow Momentum Method, developed by Andreas Clenow, is a systematic, quantitative trading strategy focused on capturing medium- to long-term price trends in financial markets. Popularized through Clenow’s book, Stocks on the Move: Beating the Market with Hedge Fund Momentum Strategies, the method leverages momentum—an empirically observed phenomenon where assets that have performed well in the recent past tend to continue performing well in the near future.
Theoretical Foundation
Momentum investing is grounded in behavioral finance and market inefficiencies. Investors often exhibit herding behavior, underreact to new information, or chase trends, causing prices to trend beyond fundamental values. Clenow’s method builds on academic research, such as Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), which demonstrated that stocks with high returns over 3–12 months outperform those with low returns over similar periods.
Clenow’s approach specifically uses **annualized momentum**, calculated as the rate of return over a lookback period (typically 90 days), annualized to reflect a yearly percentage. The formula is:
Momentum=(((Close N periods agoCurrent Close)^N252)−1)×100
- Current Close: The most recent closing price.
- Close N periods ago: The closing price N periods back (e.g., 90 days).
- N: Lookback period (commonly 90 days).
- 252: Approximate trading days in a year for annualization.
This metric ranks stocks by their momentum, prioritizing those with the strongest upward trends. Clenow’s method also incorporates risk management, diversification, and volatility adjustments to enhance robustness.
Methodology
The Clenow Momentum Method involves the following steps:
1. Universe Selection:
- A broad universe of liquid stocks is chosen, often from major indices (e.g., S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) or global exchanges.
- Filters should exclude illiquid stocks (e.g., low average daily volume) or those with extreme volatility.
2. Momentum Calculation:
- Stocks are ranked based on their annualized momentum over a lookback period (typically 90 days, though 60–120 days can be common tests).
- The top-ranked stocks (e.g., top 10–20%) are selected for the portfolio.
3. Volatility Adjustment (Optional):
- Clenow sometimes adjusts momentum scores by volatility (e.g., dividing by the standard deviation of returns) to favor stocks with smoother trends.
- This reduces exposure to erratic price movements.
4. Portfolio Construction:
- A diversified portfolio of 10–25 stocks is constructed, with equal or volatility-weighted allocations.
- Position sizes are often adjusted based on risk (e.g., 1% of capital per position).
5. Rebalancing:
- The portfolio is rebalanced periodically (e.g., weekly or monthly) to maintain exposure to high-momentum stocks.
- Stocks falling below a momentum threshold are replaced with higher-ranked candidates.
6. Risk Management:
- Stop-losses or trailing stops may be applied to limit downside risk.
- Diversification across sectors reduces concentration risk.
Implementation in TradingView
Key features include:
- Customizable Lookback: Users can adjust the lookback period in pinescript (e.g., 90 days) to align with Clenow’s methodology.
- Visual Cues: Background colors (green for positive, red for negative momentum) and a zero line help identify trend strength.
- Integration with Screeners: TradingView’s stock screener can filter high-momentum stocks, which can then be analyzed with the custom indicator.
Strengths
1. Simplicity: The method is straightforward, relying on a single metric (momentum) that’s easy to calculate and interpret.
2. Empirical Support: Backed by decades of academic research and real-world hedge fund performance.
3. Adaptability: Applicable to stocks, ETFs, or other asset classes, with flexible lookback periods.
4. Risk Management: Diversification and periodic rebalancing reduce idiosyncratic risk.
5. TradingView Integration: Pine Script implementation enables real-time visualization, enhancing decision-making for stocks like NVDA or SPY.
Limitations
1. Mean Reversion Risk: Momentum can reverse sharply in bear markets or during sector rotations, leading to drawdowns.
2. Transaction Costs: Frequent rebalancing increases trading costs, especially for retail traders with high commissions. This is not as prevalent with commission free trading becoming more available.
3. Overfitting Risk: Over-optimizing lookback periods or filters can reduce out-of-sample performance.
4. Market Conditions: Underperforms in low-momentum or highly volatile markets.
Practical Applications
The Clenow Momentum Method is ideal for:
Retail Traders: Use TradingView’s screener to identify high-momentum stocks, then apply the Pine Script indicator to confirm trends.
Portfolio Managers: Build diversified momentum portfolios, rebalancing monthly to capture trends.
Swing Traders: Combine with volume filters to target short-term breakouts in high-momentum stocks.
Cross-Platform Workflow: Integrate with Python scanners to rank stocks, then visualize on TradingView for trade execution.
Comparison to Other Strategies
Vs. Minervini’s VCP: Clenow’s method is purely quantitative, while Minervini’s Volatility Contraction Pattern (your April 11, 2025 query) combines momentum with chart patterns. Clenow is more systematic but less discretionary.
Vs. Mean Reversion: Momentum bets on trend continuation, unlike mean reversion strategies that target oversold conditions.
Vs. Value Investing: Momentum outperforms in bull markets but may lag value strategies in recovery phases.
Conclusion
The Clenow Momentum Method is a robust, evidence-based strategy that capitalizes on price trends while managing risk through diversification and rebalancing. Its simplicity and adaptability make it accessible to retail traders, especially when implemented on platforms like TradingView with custom Pine Script indicators. Traders must be mindful of transaction costs, mean reversion risks, and market conditions. By combining Clenow’s momentum with volume filters and alerts, you can optimize its application for swing or position trading.
Easy MA SignalsEasy MA Signals
Overview
Easy MA Signals is a versatile Pine Script indicator designed to help traders visualize moving average (MA) trends, generate buy/sell signals based on crossovers or custom price levels, and enhance chart analysis with volume-based candlestick coloring. Built with flexibility in mind, it supports multiple MA types, crossover options, and customizable signal appearances, making it suitable for traders of all levels. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator provides actionable insights while keeping your charts clean and intuitive.
Configure the Settings
The indicator is divided into three input groups for ease of use:
General Settings:
Candlestick Color Scheme: Choose from 10 volume-based color schemes (e.g., Sapphire Pulse, Emerald Spark) to highlight high/low volume candles. Select “None” for TradingView’s default colors.
Moving Average Length: Set the MA period (default: 20). Adjust for faster (lower values) or slower (higher values) signals.
Moving Average Type: Choose between SMA, EMA, or WMA (default: EMA).
Show Buy/Sell Signals: Enable/disable signal plotting (default: enabled).
Moving Average Crossover: Select a crossover type (e.g., MA vs VWAP, MA vs SMA50) for signals or “None” to disable.
Volume Influence: Adjust how volume impacts candlestick colors (default: 1.2). Higher values make thresholds stricter.
Signal Appearance Settings:
Buy/Sell Signal Shape: Choose shapes like triangles, arrows, or labels for signals.
Buy/Sell Signal Position: Place signals above or below bars.
Buy/Sell Signal Color: Customize colors for better visibility (default: green for buy, red for sell).
Custom Price Alerts:
Custom Buy/Sell Alert Price: Set specific price levels for alerts (default: 0, disabled). Enter a non-zero value to enable.
Set Up Alerts
To receive notifications (e.g., sound, popup, email) when signals or custom price levels are hit:
Click the Alert button (alarm clock icon) in TradingView.
Select Easy MA Signals as the condition and choose one of the four alert types:
MA Crossover Buy Alert: Triggers on MA crossover buy signals.
MA Crossover Sell Alert: Triggers on MA crossover sell signals.
Custom Buy Alert: Triggers when price crosses above the custom buy price.
Custom Sell Alert: Triggers when price crosses below the custom sell price.
Enable Play Sound and select a sound (e.g., “Bell”).
Set the frequency (e.g., Once Per Bar Close for confirmed signals) and create the alert.
Analyze the Chart
Moving Average Line: Displays the selected MA with color changes (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for neutral) based on price position relative to the MA.
Buy/Sell Signals: Appear as shapes or labels when crossovers or custom price levels are hit.
Candlestick Colors: If a color scheme is selected, candles change color based on volume strength (high, low, or neutral), aiding in trend confirmation.
Why Use Easy MA Signals?
Easy MA Signals is designed to simplify technical analysis while offering advanced customization. It’s ideal for traders who want:
A clear visualization of MA trends and crossovers.
Flexible signal generation based on MA crossovers or custom price levels.
Volume-enhanced candlestick coloring to identify market strength.
Easy-to-use settings with tooltips for beginners and pros alike.
This script is particularly valuable because it combines multiple features into one indicator, reducing chart clutter and providing actionable insights without overwhelming the user.
Benefits of Easy MA Signals
Highly Customizable: Supports SMA, EMA, and WMA with adjustable lengths.
Offers multiple crossover options (VWAP, SMA10, SMA20, etc.) for tailored strategies.
Custom price alerts allow precise targeting of key levels.
Volume-Based Candlestick Coloring: 10 unique color schemes highlight volume strength, helping traders confirm trends.
Adjustable volume influence ensures adaptability to different markets.
Flexible Signal Visualization: Choose from various signal shapes (triangles, arrows, labels) and positions (above/below bars).
Customizable colors improve visibility on any chart background.
Alert Integration: Built-in alert conditions for crossovers and custom prices support sound, email, and app notifications.
Easy setup for real-time trading decisions.
User-Friendly Design: Organized input groups with clear tooltips make configuration intuitive.
Suitable for beginners and advanced traders alike.
Example Use Cases
Swing Trading with MA Crossovers:
Scenario: A trader wants to trade Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 4-hour chart using an EMA crossover strategy.
Setup:
Set Moving Average Type to EMA, Length to 20.
Set Moving Average Crossover to “MA vs SMA50”.
Enable Show Buy/Sell Signals and choose “arrowup” for buy, “arrowdown” for sell.
Select “Emerald Spark” for candlestick colors to highlight volume surges.
Usage: Buy when the EMA20 crosses above the SMA50 (green arrow appears) and volume is high (dark green candles). Sell when the EMA20 crosses below the SMA50 (red arrow). Set alerts for real-time notifications.
Scalping with Custom Price Alerts:
Scenario: A day trader monitors Tesla (TSLA) on a 5-minute chart and wants alerts at specific support/resistance levels.
Setup:
Set Custom Buy Alert Price to 150.00 (support) and Custom Sell Alert Price to 160.00 (resistance).
Use “labelup” for buy signals and “labeldown” for sell signals.
Keep Moving Average Crossover as “None” to focus on price alerts.
Usage: Receive a sound alert and label when TSLA crosses 150.00 (buy) or 160.00 (sell). Use volume-colored candles to confirm momentum before entering trades.
When NOT to Use Easy MA Signals
High-Frequency Trading: Reason: The indicator relies on moving averages and volume, which may lag in ultra-fast markets (e.g., sub-second trades). High-frequency traders may need specialized tools with real-time tick data.
Alternative: Use order book or market depth indicators for faster execution.
Low-Volatility or Sideways Markets:
Reason: MA crossovers and custom price alerts can generate false signals in choppy, range-bound markets, leading to whipsaws.
Alternative: Use oscillators like RSI or Bollinger Bands to trade within ranges.
This indicator is tailored more towards less experienced traders. And as always, paper trade until you are comfortable with how this works if you're unfamiliar with trading! We hope you enjoy this and have great success. Thanks for your interested in Easy MA Signals!
Akkerman IMB + Targets IndicatorAkkerman IMB + Targets Indicator
The Akkerman IMB + Targets Indicator is a powerful tool for traders who use the Smart Money Concept (SMC) methodology for intraday trading. This indicator combines several key elements of technical analysis, such as IMB (Imbalance) zones, liquidity zones, and intraday targets, to help traders identify significant levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points.
Main Features of the Indicator:
IMB (Imbalance) Zones:
The indicator detects IMB zones (imbalances) on the chart, which are often significant for the market because these zones can signal unsupported price moves where the market may either retrace or continue the move.
Green box — indicates a bullish IMB, where the price moves downward but does not reach the previous "low" level.
Red box — indicates a bearish IMB, where the price moves upward but does not reach the previous "high" level.
Liquidity Zones:
The indicator automatically identifies liquidity zones, which are critical levels for potential retracements or breakouts. These zones are determined by equal highs and lows on the chart (where the price has made similar highs or lows).
Triangles or lines highlight levels where significant buy or sell orders might be gathered.
Intraday Target Lines:
The indicator generates targets for intraday trading based on support and resistance levels over the last 10 periods.
These target lines on the chart indicate potential entry or exit points based on the lowest and highest prices over the past 10 bars, which represent key points for trading within the current session.
Indicator Settings:
Show IMB: Toggle to show or hide IMB zones on the chart.
Show Liquidity Zones: Toggle to show or hide liquidity zones on the chart.
Show Targets (Intraday): Toggle to show or hide intraday target lines.
Max Targets (maxTargets): Set the maximum number of targets to display on the chart.
How to Use:
IMB Zones help identify potential retracement or breakout zones on the market. These zones are a critical part of Smart Money analysis, as markets often retrace to these areas after significant price moves.
Liquidity Zones provide clues about where large orders may be gathered, which could lead to a retracement or breakout.
Intraday Targets assist in identifying important levels for entering or exiting trades within the current session to take advantage of short-term price movements.
Important Notes:
This indicator works best on the 1-hour timeframe (H1) for more accurate and stable signals.
For maximum effectiveness, it is recommended to combine this indicator with other technical indicators and analysis methods.
Largest Candles with Price DifferenceThis script shows the largest move on a candle on a particular time frame. So if you are looking at the 10-minute chart, it will tell you what the largest 10-minute candle has been in the past.
First FVG Custom Time RangeFirst FVG — Opening Range Fair Value Gap Detector
Smart Money Opening Imbalance Strategy Tool
This script automatically detects and highlights the first Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms between 9:30 and 10:00 AM Eastern Time (New York session open) — a critical period often referred to as the Opening Range. It’s designed for Smart Money traders looking to isolate early-morning inefficiencies that may influence market behavior throughout the trading day.
🔍 What This Script Does:
Automatically Detects the First FVG in the Opening Range
Scans price action between 9:30 and 10:00 AM ET and identifies the first valid bullish or bearish FVG that forms.
Only one FVG is shown per day — ensuring a clean, focused view.
Draws a Visual Zone
Once detected, the FVG zone is extended forward on the chart (customizable duration).
A labeled zone helps users track how price reacts to it throughout the session.
Optional Retest Alerts
Alerts you when price re-enters the zone — a potential reaction point used by SMC traders.
Customization Options
Set your preferred session time window
Adjust zone duration (in bars)
Customize label font size, colors, and visibility
Enable/disable alert on retest
📈 Why the First FVG Matters:
Time-Sensitive Setup: The first FVG typically forms no earlier than 9:31 AM ET and represents a potential “time distortion” or imbalance zone created by aggressive market participants during the open.
Behavioral Study: Many traders journal how price behaves around this zone each day — whether it acts as support, resistance, or gets traded through later in the session.
Predictive Value: Observing how this zone is respected or broken can provide anticipatory insight into intraday price action, rather than reactive analysis.
Great for New Traders: This opening FVG is often recommended as a starting reference point for building trade models and understanding how institutional imbalances unfold.
🚀 What Makes It Unique:
This tool doesn’t spam your chart with every FVG. It laser-focuses on a single, time-bound zone backed by institutional logic — the first presented imbalance of the day during the opening range.
Use it to:
Monitor price behavior around early inefficiencies
Plan journal entries and pattern recognition
Align intraday setups with a high-probability SMC model
Whether you’re scalping, journaling market structure, or refining entries based on liquidity behavior — this script helps you make the first 30 minutes count.
Aurora Flow Oscillator [QuantAlgo]The Aurora Flow Oscillator is an advanced momentum-based technical indicator designed to identify market direction, momentum shifts, and potential reversal zones using adaptive filtering techniques. It visualizes price momentum through a dynamic oscillator that quantifies trend strength and direction, helping traders and investors recognize momentum shifts and trading opportunities across various timeframes and asset class.
🟢 Technical Foundation
The Aurora Flow Oscillator employs a sophisticated mathematical approach with adaptive momentum filtering to analyze market conditions, including:
Price-Based Momentum Calculation: Calculates logarithmic price changes to measure the rate and magnitude of market movement
Adaptive Momentum Filtering: Applies an advanced filtering algorithm to smooth momentum calculations while preserving important signals
Acceleration Analysis: Incorporates momentum acceleration to identify shifts in market direction before they become obvious
Signal Normalization: Automatically scales the oscillator output to a range between -100 and 100 for consistent interpretation across different market conditions
The indicator processes price data through multiple filtering stages, applying mathematical principles including exponential smoothing with adaptive coefficients. This creates an oscillator that dynamically adjusts to market volatility while maintaining responsiveness to genuine trend changes.
🟢 Key Features & Signals
1. Momentum Flow and Extreme Zone Identification
The oscillator presents market momentum through an intuitive visual display that clearly indicates both direction and strength:
Above Zero: Indicates positive momentum and potential bullish conditions
Below Zero: Indicates negative momentum and potential bearish conditions
Slope Direction: The angle and direction of the oscillator provide immediate insight into momentum strength
Zero Line Crossings: Signal potential trend changes and new directional momentum
The indicator also identifies potential overbought and oversold market conditions through extreme zone markings:
Upper Zone (>50): Indicates strong bullish momentum that may be approaching exhaustion
Lower Zone (<-50): Indicates strong bearish momentum that may be approaching exhaustion
Extreme Boundaries (±95): Mark potentially unsustainable momentum levels where reversals become increasingly likely
These zones are displayed with gradient intensity that increases as the oscillator moves toward extremes, helping traders and investors:
→ Identify potential reversal zones
→ Determine appropriate entry and exit points
→ Gauge overall market sentiment strength
2. Customizable Trading Style Presets
The Aurora Flow Oscillator offers pre-configured settings for different trading approaches:
Default (80,150): Balanced configuration suitable for most trading and investing situations.
Scalping (5,80): Highly responsive settings for ultra-short-term trades. Generates frequent signals and catches quick price movements. Best for 1-15min charts when making many trades per day.
Day Trading (8,120): Optimized for intraday movements with faster response than default settings while maintaining reasonable signal quality. Ideal for 5-60min or 4h-12h timeframes.
Swing Trading (10,200): Designed for multi-day positions with stronger noise filtering. Focuses on capturing larger price swings while avoiding minor fluctuations. Works best on 1-4h and daily charts.
Position Trading (14,250): For longer-term position traders/investors seeking significant market trends. Reduces false signals by heavily filtering market noise. Ideal for daily or even weekly charts.
Trend Following (16,300): Maximum smoothing that prioritizes established directional movements over short-term fluctuations. Best used on daily and weekly charts, but can also be used for lower timeframe trading.
Countertrend (7,100): Tuned to detect potential reversals and exhaustion points in trends. More sensitive to momentum shifts than other presets. Effective on 15min-4h charts, as well as daily and weekly charts.
Each preset automatically adjusts internal parameters for optimal performance in the selected trading context, providing flexibility across different market approaches without requiring complex manual configuration.
🟢 Practical Usage Tips
1/ Trend Analysis and Interpretation
→ Direction Assessment: Evaluate the oscillator's position relative to zero to determine underlying momentum bias
→ Momentum Strength: Measure the oscillator's distance from zero within the -100 to +100 range to quantify momentum magnitude
→ Trend Consistency: Monitor the oscillator's path for sustained directional movement without frequent zero-line crossings
→ Reversal Detection: Watch for oscillator divergence from price and deceleration of movement when approaching extreme zones
2/ Signal Generation Strategies
Depending on your trading approach, multiple signal strategies can be employed:
Trend Following Signals:
Enter long positions when the oscillator crosses above zero
Enter short positions when the oscillator crosses below zero
Add to positions on pullbacks while maintaining the overall trend direction
Countertrend Signals:
Look for potential reversals when the oscillator reaches extreme zones (±95)
Enter contrary positions when momentum shows signs of exhaustion
Use oscillator divergence with price as additional confirmation
Momentum Shift Signals:
Enter positions when oscillator changes direction after establishing a trend
Exit positions when oscillator direction reverses against your position
Scale position size based on oscillator strength percentage
3/ Timeframe Optimization
The indicator can be effectively applied across different timeframes with these considerations:
Lower Timeframes (1-15min):
Use Scalping or Day Trading presets
Focus on quick momentum shifts and zero-line crossings
Be cautious of noise in extreme market conditions
Medium Timeframes (30min-4h):
Use Default or Swing Trading presets
Look for established trends and potential reversal zones
Combine with support/resistance analysis for entry/exit precision
Higher Timeframes (Daily+):
Use Position Trading or Trend Following presets
Focus on major trend identification and long-term positioning
Use extreme zones for position management rather than immediate reversals
🟢 Pro Tips
Price Momentum Period:
→ Lower values (5-7) increase sensitivity to minor price fluctuations but capture more market noise
→ Higher values (10-16) emphasize sustained momentum shifts at the cost of delayed response
→ Adjust based on your timeframe (lower for shorter timeframes, higher for longer timeframes)
Oscillator Filter Period:
→ Lower values (80-120) produce more frequent directional changes and earlier response to momentum shifts
→ Higher values (200-300) filter out shorter-term fluctuations to highlight dominant market cycles
→ Match to your typical holding period (shorter holding time = lower filter values)
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
→ Compare oscillator readings across different timeframes for confluence
→ Look for alignment between higher and lower timeframe signals
→ Use higher timeframe for trend direction, lower for earlier entries
Volatility-Adaptive Trading:
→ Use oscillator strength to adjust position sizing (stronger = larger)
→ Consider reducing exposure when oscillator reaches extreme zones
→ Implement tighter stops during periods of oscillator acceleration
Combination Strategies:
→ Pair with volume indicators for confirmation of momentum shifts
→ Use with support/resistance levels for strategic entry and exit points
→ Combine with volatility indicators for comprehensive market context
Change of Character FanChange of Character Fan
Overview
The Change of Character Fan is designed to help traders detect shifts (changes of character) in market direction and sentiment before they become fully visible through traditional candlestick analysis. Instead of relying solely on the shape or close of candlesticks, this indicator offers a direct, real-time look at the internal price action occurring within a single bar. This visibility into intrabar dynamics can potentially allow traders to enter or exit trades earlier, minimize false signals, and reduce their dependence on multiple lower-timeframe charts.
How it Works:
The indicator plots a "fan" consisting of five distinct slope lines within the current bar. Each line represents the internal trend of price movement based on user-defined lower timeframe data intervals.
By default, these intervals are set to 3, 5, 8, 13, and 21 samples from 1-second timeframe data.
Each line only appears when it has collected the minimum required number of intrabar data points.
The fan lines use a progressive opacity scale (lighter to darker), visually highlighting the confidence level or probability of directional continuation within the current bar.
At the open of every new bar, the fan disappears completely and gradually reappears as new data is gathered, ensuring clarity and eliminating outdated signals.
Understanding the Mathematics: Linear Regression Model
This indicator is built around the concept of a linear regression model. Linear regression is a statistical technique used to model and analyze relationships between variables—in this case, time (independent variable) and price (dependent variable).
How Linear Regression Works:
Linear regression fits a straight line (called a "line of best fit") through a set of data points, minimizing the overall distance between each point and the line itself.
Mathematically, this is achieved by minimizing the squared differences (errors) between the observed values (actual prices) and the predicted values (prices on the line).
The linear model used here can be expressed in the form:
y = mx + b
where:
𝑦
y is the predicted price,
𝑥
x represents time (each data sample interval),
𝑚
m is the slope of the line, representing the direction and velocity of the trend,
𝑏
b is the intercept (the theoretical price when x=0).
Why a Linear Model is Beneficial in this Indicator:
Simplicity and Reliability: Linear regression is simple, robust, and widely accepted as a baseline predictive model. It requires minimal computational resources, providing instant updates in real-time trading conditions.
Immediate Directional Feedback: The slope derived from linear regression immediately communicates the directional tendency of recent price action. A positive slope indicates upward pressure, and a negative slope signals downward pressure.
Noise Reduction: Even when price fluctuations are noisy or erratic, linear regression summarizes overall direction clearly, making it easier to detect genuine directional shifts (change of character) rather than random price noise.
Intrabar Analysis: Traditional candlestick analysis relies on fully formed candles, potentially delaying signals. By using linear regression on very short-term (intrabar) data, traders can detect shifts in momentum more quickly, providing an earlier signal than conventional candle patterns alone.
Practical Application:
This indicator helps traders to visually identify:
Early Trend Reversals: Intrabar analysis reveals momentum shifts potentially signaling reversals before they become obvious on conventional candles.
Momentum Continuations: Confidence is gained when all lines in the fan are clearly pointing in the same direction, indicating strong intrabar conviction.
Reduced False Signals: Traditional candlestick signals (e.g., hammer candles) sometimes produce false signals due to intrabar noise. By looking directly into intrabar dynamics, traders gain better context on whether candle patterns reflect genuine directional change or merely noise.
Important Requirements and Recommendations:
Subscription Requirements:
A TradingView subscription that supports sub-minute data (e.g., 1-second or 5-second resolution) is strongly recommended.
If your subscription doesn't include this data granularity, you must use a 1-minute lower timeframe, significantly reducing responsiveness. In this scenario, it's best suited for a 15-minute or higher chart, adjusting intervals to shorter periods.
Live Data Essential:
Real-time market data subscription is essential for the accuracy and effectiveness of this indicator.
Using delayed data reduces responsiveness and weakens the indicator's primary advantage.
Recommended Settings for Different Chart Timeframes:
1-minute chart: Use 1-second lower timeframe intervals (default intervals: 3, 5, 8, 13, 21).
5-minute chart: Adjust to a 5- or 10-second lower timeframe, possibly reducing intervals to shorter periods (e.g., 3, 5, 8, 10, 12).
15-minute or higher charts: Adjust lower timeframe to 1-minute if granular data is unavailable, with reduced interval lengths to maintain responsiveness.
Conclusion:
The Change of Character Fan empowers traders with early insight into directional shifts within each candle, significantly enhancing reaction speed, signal accuracy, and reducing dependency on multiple charts. Built on robust linear regression mathematics, it combines clarity, responsiveness, and ease-of-use in a powerful intrabar analysis tool.
Trade smarter, see sooner, and react faster.
Session Breakouts & Trend Indicator# Session Breakouts & Trend Indicator
This indicator identifies high-probability trading opportunities by tracking key intraday sessions and their breakouts while aligning them with the overall market trend direction.
## What Makes This Indicator Unique
Unlike standard breakout indicators that only identify when price crosses a threshold, this indicator:
- Dynamically identifies and tracks important daily sessions (default: AM 09:00-10:00 and PM 15:00-16:00)
- Determines trend direction using a triple EMA system (20/50/200)
- Shows when breakouts align with the overall trend (higher probability setups)
- Provides visual confirmation with session ranges, breakout levels, and background highlighting
- Includes a comprehensive information panel showing trend/session alignment
## How It Works
The indicator tracks two important daily sessions:
1. **AM Session**: Typically the first hour of trading (default: 09:00-10:00)
2. **PM Session**: Typically the last hour of trading (default: 15:00-16:00)
For each session, it:
- Marks the high and low range
- Establishes breakout levels above/below these ranges
- Detects when price breaks beyond these levels
- Determines if the breakout aligns with the prevailing trend
The trend is calculated using three EMAs (20, 50, 200) for reliable trend identification.
## How To Use
1. Apply the indicator to your chart (works best on 5-minute timeframes)
2. Adjust session times to match your trading schedule if needed
3. Watch for breakouts above session highs (bullish) or below session lows (bearish)
4. Check the information panel to see if the breakout aligns with the trend
5. Enter trades in the direction of trend-aligned breakouts for higher probability setups
6. Set stop losses below the opposite side of the session range
## Settings
- **Session Times**: Customize AM and PM session times
- **EMA Lengths**: Adjust trend determination sensitivity
- **Visualization Options**: Toggle display of sessions, breakouts, and VWAP
- **Alert Settings**: Configure alerts for breakouts and trend-aligned conditions
This indicator is valuable for day traders and swing traders looking for objective entry points with higher probability of success.
Combined EMA/Smiley & DEM System## 🔷 General Overview
This script creates an advanced technical analysis system for TradingView, combining multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), dynamic Fibonacci levels, and ATR (Average True Range) analysis. It presents the results clearly through interactive, real-time tables directly on the chart.
---
## 🔹 Indicator Structure
The script consists of two main parts:
### **1. EMA & SMA Combined System with Fibonacci**
- **Purpose:**
Provides visual insights by comparing multiple EMA/SMA periods and identifying significant dynamic price levels using Fibonacci ratios around a calculated "Golden" line.
- **Components:**
- **Moving Averages (MAs)**:
- 20 EMAs (periods from 20 to 400)
- 20 SMAs (also from 20 to 400)
- **Golden Line:**
Calculated as the average of all EMAs and SMAs.
- **Dynamic Fibonacci Levels:**
Key ratios around the Golden line (0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 1.0, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, 2.0) dynamically adjust based on market conditions.
- **Fibonacci Labels:**
Labels are shown next to Fibonacci lines, indicating their numeric value clearly on the chart.
- **Table (Top Right Corner):**
- Displays:
- **Input:** EMA/SMA periods sorted by their current average price levels.
- **AVG:** The average of corresponding EMA & SMA pairs.
- **EMA & SMA Values:** Individual EMA/SMA values clearly marked.
- **Dynamic Highlighting:** Highlights the row whose average (EMA+SMA)/2 is closest to the current price, helping identify immediate price action significance.
- **Sorting Logic:**
Each EMA/SMA pair is dynamically sorted based on their average values. Color coding (red/green) is used:
- **Green:** EMA/SMA pairs with shorter periods when their average is lower.
- **Red:** EMA/SMA pairs with longer periods when their average is lower.
- **Star (⭐):** Represents the "Golden" average clearly.
---
### **2. DEM System (Dynamic EMA/ATR Metrics)**
- **Purpose:**
Provides detailed ATR statistics to assess market volatility clearly and quickly.
- **Components:**
- **Moving Averages:**
- SMA lines: 25, 50, 100, 200.
- **Bollinger Bands:**
- Based on 20-period SMA of highs and standard deviation of lows.
- **ATR Analysis:**
- ATR calculations for multiple periods (1-day, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50).
- **ATR Premium:** Average ATR of all calculated periods, providing an overarching volatility indicator.
- **ATR Table (Bottom Right Corner):**
- Displays clearly structured ATR values and percentages relative to the current close price:
- Columns: **ATR Period**, **Value**, and **% of Close**.
- Rows: Each specific ATR (1D, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50), plus ATR premium.
- The ATR premium is highlighted in yellow to signify its importance clearly.
---
## 🔹 Key Features and Logic Explained
- **Dynamic EMA/SMA Sorting:**
The script computes the average of each EMA/SMA pair and sorts them dynamically on each bar, highlighting their relative importance visually. This allows traders to easily interpret the strength of current support/resistance levels based on moving averages.
- **Closest EMA/SMA Pair to Current Price:**
Calculates the absolute difference between the current price and all EMA/SMA averages, highlighting the closest one for quick reference.
- **Fibonacci Ratios:**
- Dynamically calculated Fibonacci levels based on the "Golden" EMA/SMA average give clear visual guidance for potential targets, supports, and resistances.
- Labels are continuously updated and placed next to levels for clarity.
- **ATR Volatility Analysis:**
- Provides immediate insight into market volatility with absolute and relative (percentage-based) ATR values.
- ATR premium summarizes volatility across multiple timeframes clearly.
---
## 🔹 Practical Use Case:
- Traders can quickly identify support/resistance and critical price zones through EMA/SMA and Fibonacci combinations.
- Useful in assessing immediate volatility, guiding stop-loss and take-profit levels through detailed ATR metrics.
- The dynamic highlighting in tables provides intuitive, real-time decision support for active traders.
---
## 🔹 How to Use this Script:
1. **Adjust EMA & SMA Lengths** from indicator settings if different periods are preferred.
2. **Monitor dynamic Fibonacci levels** around the "Golden" average to identify possible reversal or continuation points.
3. **Check EMA/SMA table:** Rows highlighted indicate immediate significance concerning current market price.
4. **ATR table:** Use volatility metrics for better risk management.
---
## 🔷 Conclusion
This advanced Pine Script indicator efficiently combines multiple EMAs, SMAs, dynamic Fibonacci retracement levels, and volatility analysis using ATR into a comprehensive real-time analytical tool, enhancing traders' decision-making capabilities by providing clear and actionable insights directly on the TradingView chart.
Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision
This cutting‐edge futures trading strategy built to thrive in rapidly changing market conditions. Developed for high-frequency futures trading on instruments such as the CME Mini MNQ, this strategy leverages a matrix of sophisticated moving averages combined with ATR-based filters to pinpoint high-probability entries and exits. Its unique combination of adaptable technical indicators and multi-timeframe trend filtering sets it apart from standard strategies, providing enhanced precision and dynamic responsiveness.
imgur.com
Core Functional Components
1. Advanced Moving Averages
A distinguishing feature of the DAFE strategy is its robust, multi-choice moving averages (MAs). Clients can choose from a wide array of MAs—each with specific strengths—in order to fine-tune their trading signals. The code includes user-defined functions for the following MAs:
imgur.com
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
The hma(src, len) function calculates the HMA by using weighted moving averages (WMAs) to reduce lag considerably while smoothing price data. This function computes an intermediate WMA of half the specified length, then a full-length WMA, and finally applies a further WMA over the square root of the length. This design allows for rapid adaptation to price changes without the typical delays of traditional moving averages.
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA):
Implemented via tema(src, len), TEMA uses three consecutive exponential moving averages (EMAs) to effectively cancel out lag and capture price momentum. The final formula—3 * (ema1 - ema2) + ema3—produces a highly responsive indicator that filters out short-term noise.
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA):
Through the dema(src, len) function, DEMA calculates an EMA and then a second EMA on top of it. Its simplified formula of 2 * ema1 - ema2 provides a smoother curve than a single EMA while maintaining enhanced responsiveness.
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA):
With vwma(src, len), this MA accounts for trading volume by weighting the price, thereby offering a more contextual picture of market activity. This is crucial when volume spikes indicate significant moves.
Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA):
The zlema(src, len) function applies a correction to reduce the inherent lag found in EMAs. By subtracting a calculated lag (based on half the moving average window), ZLEMA is exceptionally attuned to recent price movements.
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA):
The alma(src, len, offset, sigma) function introduces ALMA—a type of moving average designed to be less affected by outliers. With parameters for offset and sigma, it allows customization of the degree to which the MA reacts to market noise.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA):
The custom kama(src, len) function is noteworthy for its adaptive nature. It computes an efficiency ratio by comparing price change against volatility, then dynamically adjusts its smoothing constant. This results in an MA that quickly responds during trending periods while remaining smoothed during consolidation.
Each of these functions—integrated into the strategy—is selectable by the trader (via the fastMAType and slowMAType inputs). This flexibility permits the tailored application of the MA most suited to current market dynamics and individual risk management preferences.
2. ATR-Based Filters and Risk Controls
ATR Calculation and Volatility Filter:
The strategy computes the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined period (atrPeriod). ATR is then used to derive both:
Volatility Assessment: Expressed as a ratio of ATR to closing price, ensuring that trades are taken only when volatility remains within a safe, predefined threshold (volatilityThreshold).
ATR-Based Entry Filters: Implemented as atrFilterLong and atrFilterShort, these conditions ensure that for long entries the price is sufficiently above the slow MA and vice versa for shorts. This acts as an additional confirmation filter.
Dynamic Exit Management:
The exit logic employs a dual approach:
Fixed Stop and Profit Target: Stops and targets are set at multiples of ATR (fixedStopMultiplier and profitTargetATRMult), helping manage risk in volatile markets.
Trailing Stop Adjustments: A trailing stop is calculated using the ATR multiplied by a user-defined offset (trailOffset), which captures additional profits as the trade moves favorably while protecting against reversals.
3. Multi-Timeframe Trend Filtering
The strategy enhances its signal reliability by leveraging a secondary, higher timeframe analysis:
15-Minute Trend Analysis:
By retrieving 15-minute moving averages (fastMA15m and slowMA15m) via request.security, the strategy determines the broader market trend. This secondary filter (enabled or disabled through useTrendFilter) ensures that entries are aligned with the prevailing market direction, thereby reducing the incidence of false signals.
4. Signal and Execution Logic
Combined MA Alignment:
The entry conditions are based primarily on the alignment of the fast and slow MAs. A long condition is triggered when the current price is above both MAs and the fast MA is above the slow MA—complemented by the ATR filter and volume conditions. The reverse applies for a short condition.
Volume and Time Window Validation:
Trades are permitted only if the current volume exceeds a minimum (minVolume) and the current hour falls within the predefined trading window (tradingStartHour to tradingEndHour). An additional volume spike check (comparing current volume to a moving average of past volumes) further filters for optimal market conditions.
Comprehensive Order Execution:
The strategy utilizes flexible order execution functions that allow pyramiding (up to 10 positions), ensuring that it can scale into positions as favorable conditions persist. The use of both market entries and automated exits (with profit targets, stop-losses, and trailing stops) ensures that risk is managed at every step.
5. Integrated Dashboard and Metrics
For transparency and real-time analysis, the strategy includes:
On-Chart Visualizations:
Both fast and slow MAs are plotted on the chart, making it easy to see the market’s technical foundation.
Dynamic Metrics Dashboard:
A built-in table displays crucial performance statistics—including current profit/loss, equity, ATR (both raw and as a percentage), and the percentage gap between the moving averages. These metrics offer immediate insight into the health and performance of the strategy.
Input Parameters: Detailed Breakdown
Every input is meticulously designed to offer granular control:
Fast & Slow Lengths:
Determine the window size for the fast and slow moving averages. Smaller values yield more sensitivity, while larger values provide a smoother, delayed response.
Fast/Slow MA Types:
Choose the type of moving average for fast and slow signals. The versatility—from basic SMA and EMA to more complex ones like HMA, TEMA, ZLEMA, ALMA, and KAMA—allows customization to fit different market scenarios.
ATR Parameters:
atrPeriod and atrMultiplier shape the volatility assessment, directly affecting entry filters and risk management through stop-loss and profit target levels.
Trend and Volume Filters:
Inputs such as useTrendFilter, minVolume, and the volume spike condition help confirm that a trade occurs in active, trending markets rather than during periods of low liquidity or market noise.
Trading Hours:
Restricting trade execution to specific hours (tradingStartHour and tradingEndHour) helps avoid illiquid or choppy markets outside of prime trading sessions.
Exit Strategies:
Parameters like trailOffset, profitTargetATRMult, and fixedStopMultiplier provide multiple layers of risk management and profit protection by tailoring how exits are generated relative to current market conditions.
Pyramiding and Fixed Trade Quantity:
The strategy supports multiple entries within a trend (up to 10 positions) and sets a predefined trade quantity (fixedQuantity) to maintain consistent exposure and risk per trade.
Dashboard Controls:
The resetDashboard input allows for on-the-fly resetting of performance metrics, keeping the strategy’s performance dashboard accurate and up-to-date.
Why This Strategy is Truly Exceptional
Multi-Faceted Adaptability:
The ability to switch seamlessly between various moving average types—each suited to particular market conditions—enables the strategy to adapt dynamically. This is a testament to the high level of coding sophistication and market insight infused within the system.
Robust Risk Management:
The integration of ATR-based stops, profit targets, and trailing stops ensures that every trade is executed with well-defined risk parameters. The system is designed to mitigate unexpected market swings while optimizing profit capture.
Comprehensive Market Filtering:
By combining moving average crossovers with volume analysis, volatility thresholds, and multi-timeframe trend filters, the strategy only enters trades under the most favorable conditions. This multi-layered filtering reduces noise and enhances signal quality.
-Final Thoughts-
The Dskyz Adaptive Futures Elite (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision strategy is not just another trading algorithm—it is a multi-dimensional, fully customizable system built on advanced technical principles and sophisticated risk management techniques. Every function and input parameter has been carefully engineered to provide traders with a system that is both powerful and transparent.
For clients seeking a state-of-the-art trading solution that adapts dynamically to market conditions while maintaining strict discipline in risk management, this strategy truly stands in a class of its own.
****Please show support if you enjoyed this strategy. I'll have more coming out in the near future!!
-Dskyz
Caution
DAFE is experimental, not a profit guarantee. Futures trading risks significant losses due to leverage. Backtest, simulate, and monitor actively before live use. All trading decisions are your responsibility.
