RVOL - R4RocketRelative volume or RVOL for short is an indicator that is used to measure how 'In Play' the stock is. Simply put, it helps to quantify how interested everybody is in the given stock - higher the value, higher the interest and hence higher is the probability for movement in the stock.
I have tried to create RVOL (Relative Volume ) Indicator as per the description that I read on SMB Capital blog. The blog is a great resource.
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How to use the indicator - The indicator is meant for INTRADAY ONLY.
The indicator has following inputs -
1. RVOL Period - Value from 3 to 14 (Default Value = 4)
This is used to calculate the average volume over the given period of days. e.g. average volume for the last 5 days, last 3 days, last 10 days etc. NOTE - If you use higher RVOL Period on smaller timeframes, the code will give an error. So I recommend using 4 or lower for 5 min timeframe. (Nothing will work on 1 min chart and you can experiment for other timeframes.)
2. RVOL Sectional - True / False (Default Value = False)
If you check this box then you will be able to calculate the RVOL for a particular session (or between particular sessions) in that trading day.
What do I mean by session?
Well I have divided the trading day into 6 (almost) equally spaced sessions in time, i.e. 6 hours and 15 mins (for NSE - India) of trading day is divided into 1 hr - 1st session, 1 hr - 2nd session, 1 hr - 3rd session, 1 hr - 4th session, 1 hr - 5th session, 1 hr and 15 min - 6th session.
Before using 3rd and 4th inputs of indicator, RVOL Sectional box MUST BE CHECKED FIRST.
3. RVOL From Session - 1 to 6 (Default Value = 1)
4. RVOL To Session - 1 to 6 (Default Value = 2)
Now if you select 2 in "RVOL From Session" input and 3 in "RVOL To Session" input, the indicator will calculate RVOL for the 2nd and 3rd hour of the trading day. If you select 3 in both the inputs, then the indicator will give RVOL for the 3rd hour of the trading day.
5. RVOL Trigger - 0.2 to 10 (Default Value = 2)
Filter to find days having RVOL above that value. The indicator turns green (or colour of your choice) when RVOL is more than "RVOL Trigger".
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Hope this indicator will add some value in your trading endeavor.
“Only The Game, Can Teach You The Game” – Jesse Livermore
Yours sincerely,
R4Rocket
**If you have some awesome idea for improvement of the indicator - request you to update the code and share the same.
Pesquisar nos scripts por "session"
Overnight ES Strategy: CBC + Fractal + RSI + ATR FilterThis script is designed for overnight trading of the E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES) between 6 PM and 11 PM EST.
It combines multiple technical confluences to generate high-probability buy and sell signals, focusing on volatility-rich, low-liquidity evening sessions.
Key Features:
Candle Body Confluence (CBC) Approximation:
Identifies candles with small real bodies compared to total range, simulating consolidation zones where price is likely to reverse.
Williams Fractal Confirmation:
Detects local tops and bottoms based on 5-bar fractal reversal patterns, helping validate breakout or reversal points.
RSI Filter:
Ensures momentum is supportive — buys only when RSI < 35 (oversold) and sells only when RSI > 65 (overbought).
ATR Volatility Filter:
Trades are only allowed if the Average True Range (ATR) exceeds a user-defined threshold, filtering out low-volatility, risky environments.
Time Session Control:
Signals are only generated during the user-defined evening session (default: 6 PM to 11 PM EST) to match market behavior.
Real-Time Alerts Enabled:
Alerts can be set for BUY or SELL conditions, enabling mobile notifications, emails, or pop-ups without constant chart monitoring.
Recommended Settings:
Chart Timeframe: 15-minute or 30-minute candles
Assets: ES Mini (ES1!), NQ Mini, or other CME futures
Session: New York Time (EST)
ATR Threshold: Adjust based on market conditions; 5.0 suggested starting point for ES Mini on 15m.
Important:
This script only plots signals, it does not auto-execute trades.
Always backtest and paper trade before using live capital.
Volatility can vary; consider adjusting RSI and ATR filters based on market environment.
Credits:
Script designed based on confluence of price action, momentum, reversal structure, and volatility filtering principles used by professional traders.
Inspired by Candle Body Confluence (CBC) theory and Williams fractal techniques.
DC History & Daily Cross CountOkay, here is a technical document for the Pine Script indicator we developed. This can be used as a guide or description when publishing the script on TradingView or elsewhere.
Technical Document: SMA Cross Signals & Static DC History (Death Cross)
Version: 1.0
Date: April 14, 2025
Indicator Name: Specific Static DC History + Live Signals
Pine Script Version: 5
1. Overview
This TradingView indicator is designed to provide traders with visual signals for Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossovers, specifically focusing on the "Death Cross", while also presenting relevant historical context via a static data table and a real-time daily cross counter.
It combines several features:
Plotting of a fast and a slow Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Visual identification and marking of "Death Cross" events (Fast SMA crossing below Slow SMA) directly on the price chart.
A customizable table displaying static, pre-defined historical performance data of the S&P 500 following specific Death Crosses that occurred between 2016 and 2022.
An optional label that counts the total number of SMA crosses (both Golden Crosses and Death Crosses) occurring during the current trading day/session, including extended hours if enabled by the user on their chart.
2. Features
Customizable SMA Lengths: User-defined periods for both the Fast (default 50) and Slow (default 200) SMAs.
Death Cross Signals: Clear visual markers (red triangles above the bar and optional background shading) when the Fast SMA closes below the Slow SMA.
Optional SMA Plotting: Ability to show or hide the SMA lines themselves.
Static Historical Performance Table: Displays fixed historical return data (1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 6 Months, 1 Year) following specific S&P 500 Death Crosses that occurred on 1/11/2016, 12/7/2018, 3/30/2020, and 3/14/2022. Note: This data is static and does not change based on the current chart.
Customizable Table Position: User can select the on-screen corner for the data table.
Daily SMA Cross Counter: Optionally displays a label showing the cumulative number of times the Fast SMA has crossed above (Golden Cross) or below (Death Cross) the Slow SMA during the current trading day/session.
Extended Hours Compatibility: The Daily Cross Counter includes crosses from pre-market and after-hours sessions if the user has "Extended Trading Hours" enabled on their TradingView chart settings.
3. Technical Explanation
SMA Calculation: The script uses the built-in ta.sma(source, length) function, calculating the Simple Moving Average based on the close price of each bar for the user-defined fastLen and slowLen.
Death Cross Detection: A Death Cross is detected using ta.crossunder(fastMA, slowMA). This function returns true on the first bar where the value of fastMA is less than the value of slowMA, after previously being greater than or equal to it. The comparison is based on the calculated SMA values at the close of each bar.
Golden Cross Detection: Similarly, ta.crossover(fastMA, slowMA) is used to detect Golden Crosses for the daily counter.
Visual Signals: The plotshape() function draws a red triangle above the bar where deathCross is true. The bgcolor() function applies a transparent red background to the bar where deathCross is true.
Static Table Data: The historical performance data for the 4 specified dates (Jan 2016 - Mar 2022) is hardcoded into array variables within the script. This data was derived from a prior analysis (based on the initially provided image, source likely Dow Jones Market Data or similar) and is not calculated dynamically from the chart. The script iterates through these arrays and populates a table object on the last bar.
Daily Cross Counter:
A var int dailyCrossCount variable holds the count, ensuring persistence across bars within a day.
ta.change(time("D")) detects the start of a new daily session based on the chart's symbol and session settings. When true, the dailyCrossCount is reset to 0.
On each bar, if either deathCross or goldenCross is true, the dailyCrossCount is incremented.
A label object displays the dailyCrossCount and is updated on the last bar (barstate.islast).
Extended Hours Inclusion: The script inherently uses the data series provided by the chart. If the chart is configured to include Extended Trading Hours (ETH), the close prices used for SMA calculations will reflect ETH data, and crosses occurring during ETH will be detected and counted.
4. Settings (Inputs)
Show Static Data Table (2016-2022) (Checkbox): Toggles the visibility of the table containing the fixed historical performance data. (Default: On)
Table Position (Dropdown): Selects the corner or side of the chart where the static data table will be displayed. (Default: top_right)
Plot 50/200 SMAs (Checkbox): Toggles the visibility of the Fast and Slow SMA lines on the chart. (Default: On)
Fast MA Length (Integer Input): Sets the lookback period for the Fast Simple Moving Average. (Default: 50)
Slow MA Length (Integer Input): Sets the lookback period for the Slow Simple Moving Average. (Default: 200)
Show Daily Cross Count (Checkbox): Toggles the visibility of the label displaying the number of SMA crosses detected during the current day's session. (Default: On)
5. How to Use / Interpretation
Apply the indicator to your desired chart (e.g., SPY, QQQ, /ES).
Use the plotted SMA lines (if enabled) and the red triangle/background signals to identify potential trend changes indicated by Death Crosses based on your chosen MA lengths. Remember that these are lagging indicators.
Refer to the static data table for historical context only. It shows how the S&P 500 performed following specific Death Crosses between 2016 and 2022. This data is fixed and does not predict future performance.
Use the "Today's SMA Crosses" label (if enabled) to gauge the frequency of interaction between the chosen SMAs during the current session. A higher number might indicate choppier conditions or potential shifts on the chart's timeframe.
Important: For the Daily Cross Counter to reflect pre-market/after-hours activity, ensure "Extended Trading Hours" (ETH) is enabled in your TradingView chart settings.
Be aware that the number of crosses detected by the script (based on bar closes) may differ from visual interpretations of lines touching intraday, especially on lower timeframes.
6. Limitations
Static Table Data: The performance data in the table is fixed to the 4 provided historical instances (2016-2022) and is not calculated dynamically or updated. It serves only as a historical reference point.
Lagging Indicators: Moving Averages and their crosses are lagging indicators and may not signal trend changes precisely at tops or bottoms.
Cross Calculation: Crosses are based on the closing price of each bar. Intraday price movements briefly piercing an SMA may not register as a confirmed cross.
Daily Counter Definition: The definition of "Today" depends on the chart's session timing, which might not align perfectly with a calendar day.
Whipsaws: On lower timeframes or during volatile periods, MA crosses can generate frequent signals (whipsaws) which may be less reliable.
7. Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance (including the historical data presented in the table) is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Bull Bear Pivot by RawstocksThe "Bull Bear Pivot" indicator is a custom Pine Script (v5) tool designed for TradingView to assist traders in identifying key price levels and pivot points on intraday charts (up to 1-hour timeframes). It combines time-based open price markers, pivot high/low detection, and candlestick visualization to provide a comprehensive view of potential support, resistance, and trend reversal levels. Below is a detailed description of the indicator’s functionality, features, and intended use.
Indicator Overview:
The "Bull Bear Pivot" indicator is tailored for intraday trading, focusing on specific times of the day to mark significant price levels (open prices) and detect pivot points. It plots horizontal lines at the open prices of user-defined sessions, identifies pivot highs and lows on the current chart timeframe, and overlays custom candlesticks to highlight price action. The indicator is designed to work on timeframes of 1 hour or less (e.g., 1-minute, 3-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 60-minute) and includes a warning mechanism for invalid timeframes.
Key Features:
Time-Based Open Price Markers:
The indicator allows users to define up to five time-based sessions (e.g., 4:00 AM, 8:30 AM, 9:30 AM, 10:00 AM, and a custom time) to capture the open price at the start of each session.
For each session, it plots a horizontal line at the 1-minute open price, extending from the session start to the market close at 4:00 PM EST.
Each line is accompanied by a label positioned 5 bars to the right of the market close (4:00 PM EST), with the text right-aligned and vertically centered on the line.
Users can enable/disable each marker, customize the session time, label text, line color, and text color via the indicator’s settings.
Pivot Highs and Lows:
The indicator calculates pivot highs and lows on the current chart timeframe using the ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow functions.
Pivot highs are marked with green triangles above the bars, and pivot lows are marked with red triangles below the bars.
The pivot period (lookback/lookforward) is user-configurable, allowing flexibility in detecting short-term or longer-term reversals.
Custom Candlesticks:
The indicator overlays custom candlesticks on the chart, colored green for bullish candles (close > open) and red for bearish candles (close < open).
This feature helps visualize price action alongside the open price markers and pivot points.
Timeframe Restriction:
The indicator is designed to work on timeframes of 1 hour or less. If the chart timeframe exceeds 1 hour (e.g., 4-hour, daily), a warning label ("Timeframe > 1H\nIndicator Disabled") is displayed, and no elements are plotted.
Customizable Appearance:
Users can customize the appearance of the open price marker lines, including the line style (solid, dashed, dotted) and line width.
Labels for the open price markers have no background (transparent) and use customizable text colors.
BIX Candle MarkerBIX Candle Marker (by Bogdan Ilie)
"BIX Candle Marker" is a visual indicator designed to automatically mark the High and Low levels of specific candles at user-defined times and sessions directly on the main chart, facilitating easy intraday analysis.
**How does it work?**
- The indicator automatically fetches the High and Low values from a user-specified timeframe and draws horizontal lines at these levels at precise user-defined session times.
- You can configure up to 4 different sessions per trading day, each with its own customizable color and timing.
- Marked levels are automatically reset at the start of each new trading day.
**Customizable Settings:**
- **Timezone Offset:** Adjust the indicator according to your chart's timezone.
- **Candle Time Frame:** Choose the timeframe from which the candle data will be extracted.
- **Marker Length:** Set the length (number of bars) of the displayed horizontal lines.
- **Line Thickness & Style:** Customize the thickness and style of the lines (solid, dotted, dashed).
- **Sessions (1-4):** Independently configure the hour, minute, and color for each of the four possible sessions.
**Suggested Use:**
- Quickly identify intraday support and resistance levels based on key session candles.
- Ideal for breakout and reversal-based trading strategies.
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**Disclaimer:**
This indicator is intended solely for chart analysis and educational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Always use it in conjunction with your personal trading strategy and risk management practices.
Author: Bogdan Ilie
Pine Script Version: v6
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0
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BIX Candle Marker (by Bogdan Ilie)
"BIX Candle Marker" este un indicator vizual care marchează automat nivelurile High și Low ale lumânărilor specifice din sesiuni predefinite pe graficul principal, facilitând analiza punctelor-cheie intraday.
**Cum funcționează?**
- Indicatorul preia automat nivelurile maxime și minime dintr-un timeframe personalizabil și afișează linii orizontale pentru aceste nivele exact la orele și minutele configurate.
- Permite definirea a până la 4 sesiuni diferite într-o zi, fiecare având culori și setări proprii.
- Liniile marcate se resetează automat la începutul fiecărei zile de tranzacționare.
**Setări personalizabile:**
- **Timezone Offset:** ajustează indicatorul în funcție de fusul orar al graficului.
- **Candle Time Frame:** selectează timeframe-ul din care se vor prelua datele.
- **Marker Length:** stabilește lungimea (numărul de bare) liniilor orizontale afișate.
- **Line Thickness & Style:** grosimea și stilul liniilor pot fi personalizate (solid, punctat, întrerupt).
- **Sesiuni (1-4):** ora, minutul și culoarea fiecărei sesiuni pot fi configurate independent.
**Sugestii de utilizare:**
- Folosește indicatorul pentru a identifica rapid zonele de suport și rezistență create de lumânări-cheie pe parcursul zilei.
- Poate fi util pentru strategii bazate pe breakout sau reversal.
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**Disclaimer:**
Acest indicator este destinat exclusiv analizei grafice și nu reprezintă sfaturi financiare. Utilizează-l împreună cu propriile strategii și tehnici de gestionare a riscului.
Autor: Bogdan Ilie
Versiune Pine Script: v6
Licență: Mozilla Public License 2.0
Killzones & Previous High-Low Liquidity [odnac]This indicator is designed for use in intraday trading to visualize key "Killzones" (specific time windows during different global market sessions) and highlight liquidity levels based on previous highs and lows from the previous day and week.
It helps traders identify potential market entry and exit points based on time-based trading zones and price action levels.
Key Features:
Killzone (Market Session Timeframes):
Asia (2000-0000 UTC): Displays a shaded box over the Asia trading session.
Europe (0200-0500 UTC): Highlights the European trading session.
New York AM (0830-1100 UTC): Represents the morning session of the NY market.
New York PM (1330-1600 UTC): Represents the afternoon session of the NY market.
Each of these timeframes can be customized in terms of session start and end times, and the shaded areas will help identify high liquidity periods when the market tends to be more active.
Previous High-Low Liquidity Zones:
Previous Week's High/Low: Displays lines at the high and low of the previous week.
These are important liquidity levels that can influence price action.
Previous Day's High/Low: Shows the high and low from the previous trading day.
These are also significant levels to watch for potential support and resistance.
Filters and Customization:
Position Filtering: The indicator allows users to filter out previous highs or lows if the current price doesn't align with those levels.
For example, it can filter out previous week highs if the current price is lower than that level.
Vertical Lines: Optional vertical lines to highlight key time points such as the start and end of the previous week and day.
How It Works:
The indicator visually draws "killzones" as shaded regions on the chart, indicating periods of increased market activity.
This can help traders align their strategies with the most liquid periods of the day.
The previous high and low lines (both for the previous week and the previous day) are drawn as solid lines and can be toggled on/off in the settings.
Labels are added to indicate the specific levels and periods.
The indicator provides clear visual cues, helping traders assess if the price is near important liquidity levels and whether the current market conditions align with those levels.
Customizable Settings:
You can control whether each Killzone and liquidity level is shown on the chart.
Color customization for the various zones and lines is also available.
The indicator also lets you decide whether to hide weekend data, set time-frame limits, and choose whether or not to show vertical lines at the beginning and end of each trading session.
This indicator is aimed at traders who want to trade based on high-liquidity periods and understand where key support and resistance levels are likely to emerge based on previous price action.
Momentum Divergence SignalDescription:
The Momentum Divergence Signal is a powerful tool that identifies potential trend reversals by analyzing the interaction between price movements and main oscillators. It highlights moments when price action diverges from the following, which can be a key signal of a trend shift. The most important aspect of this indicator is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences.
Coming to the critical part, it is highly recommended to pair this indicator with another trend confirmation tool for improved decision-making, as it works on catching both trend continuation and reversal signals, but it is always favored to match use it as a trend continuation entry provider.
Core Functionality:
Session-Based Signals:
The indicator limits signals to specific market sessions: the Asian, London, and US sessions, optimizing trade opportunities during active trading hours.
Cooldown Mechanism:
To prevent signal spamming, a cooldown period of at least 8 bars is required between each signal, ensuring that new signals are spaced out and not over-generating.
Divergence with Trend Confirmation:
While the RSI divergence alone can highlight potential trend shifts, this script is best paired with other trend-following indicators to filter out false signals. This ensures that the divergence signal is part of a broader, more reliable trend-following strategy.
Visual Components:
Buy and Sell Arrows: Visual arrows on the chart where the divergence occurs, accompanied by "Buy" and "Sell" labels in white to clearly indicate the signal points.
Advanced Concepts:
Divergence as a Reversal Signal: The key strength of this indicator lies in detecting divergences that can indicate a trend reversal. Divergences often precede significant changes in price direction, offering potential opportunities for traders to enter or exit positions before the trend fully shifts.
Pairing with Trend Confirmation Indicators: Since divergence signals can sometimes produce false positives, the most effective use of this tool comes when paired with a trend-following indicator (such as moving averages or price action analysis) to validate the reversal signals.
Applications:
Trend Reversal Detection: Monitor for divergences between price action and RSI to identify potential trend reversals. These signals are most useful when combined with trend confirmation tools to ensure the validity of the reversal.
Strategic Use in Trend-Following Systems: This indicator is best employed within a trend-following strategy where it serves as an additional confirmation signal for market shifts. While it can identify potential reversal points, its strength lies in its ability to identify shifts in momentum within an ongoing trend.
Real-Time Visual Feedback: The "Buy" and "Sell" signals, that are displayed directly on the chart, providing real-time context for traders.
Disclaimer: This indicator is designed for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders should combine it with other market analysis tools and perform their own research before making trading decisions.
Asian H&L v2 [notRolee]🔥 Asian H&L Indicator:
This indicator is designed to mark the highs and lows of the Asian trading session directly on your chart, helping traders identify key price levels from this important session. The indicator automatically detects the high and low points during the Asian market hours and visually highlights these levels, making it easy to reference them throughout the trading day.
💎 How It Works:
- Asian Session Highs and Lows: The indicator captures the price action within the Asian session (from to in UTC+2) and plots horizontal lines at the highest and lowest price points recorded during that period, but you can change the time zone anytime.
- Dynamic Adjustments: As price action unfolds during the Asian session, the indicator updates the high and low points in real-time, ensuring you are always viewing the most accurate data.
- Visual Customization: The highs and lows are highlighted using distinct colors and line styles to easily distinguish them on your chart, with past session levels optionally being displayed for reference. This makes it simple to identify key zones of support and resistance derived from the Asian session’s price action.
✅ How to Use It:
- Support and Resistance: The Asian session highs and lows often serve as important support and resistance levels throughout the rest of the trading day. Traders can look for price to respect or break these levels, which can signal potential trade opportunities.
- Breakout Strategies: When the price breaks above the Asian high or falls below the Asian low, it may indicate a breakout, suggesting a continuation of the move. Traders can use these breakouts as entry points into trending markets.
- Range-Bound Trading: If the price remains between the Asian high and low, this can indicate a range-bound market. Traders might look for opportunities to trade reversals near these levels, using them as boundaries for taking profits or placing stop-losses.
- Confluence with Other Indicators: The Asian session levels can also be used alongside other indicators to provide confirmation of trade setups. For instance, you could combine this indicator with trend indicators or oscillators to improve your entry and exit points.
🔑 Conclusion:
This indicator offers a structured approach to trading around one of the most critical sessions of the global market. By marking the Asian highs and lows, it helps traders make informed decisions by leveraging key support and resistance zones that influence price action as other sessions (such as London and New York) begin.
If you have any questions about this indicator, let me know in the comment section.
-notRolee
MultiTimeFrame Trends and Candle Bias (by MC) v1This MultiTimeFrame Trends and Candle Bias provides the trader a quick glance on how each timeframe is trending and what the current candle bias is in each timeframe.
Interpreting Candle Bias : Green points to a bullish bias while red, a bearish bias for a given specific timeframe. For instance, if the current 1 hour candle bias is red, it means that the last hour, the bias has been bearish. If the Daily candle bias is red, it means that the day in question has been a bearish for this selected symbol.
Interpreting MTF Trends: Trends for each time frame follows the simple moving average of the closing prices for the X number of candles you enter in the input section. So for example, if you decide to enter 6 for the 1-hour time frame, the trend for the last 6 hours will be shown and tracked; if on the Daily time frame, you enter 7, the trend for the last 7 days or 1 week will be shown and tracked. I have provided below (as well as on tooltips in the input section of this indicator) recommendations of what numbers to use depending on what kind of trader you are.
What is a best setup for MultiTimeFrame Trends?
Considerations Across All Timeframes:
- Trading Style : Scalpers and very short-term intraday traders may prefer fewer candles (like 12 to 20), which allow them to react quickly to price changes. Swing traders or those holding positions for a few hours to a couple of days might prefer more candles (like 50 to 120) to identify more stable trends.
- Market Conditions : In volatile markets, using more candles helps smooth out price fluctuations and provides a clearer trend signal. In trending markets, fewer candles might be sufficient to capture the trend.
- Session-Based Adjustments : Traders may adjust their settings depending on the time of day or session they are trading. For example, during high-volatility periods like market open or close, using fewer candles can help capture quick moves.
The number of preceding candles to use for estimating the recent trend can depend on various factors, including the type of market, the asset being traded, the timeframe, and the specific goals of your analysis. However, here are some general guidelines to help you decide:
### 1. **Short-Term Trends (Fast Moving Averages):**
- **5 to 20 Candles**: If you want to capture a short-term trend, typically in day trading or scalping strategies, you might use 5 to 20 candles. This is common for fast-moving averages like the 9-period or 15-period moving averages. It reacts quickly to price changes, but it can also give more false signals due to market noise.
### 2. **Medium-Term Trends (Moderate Moving Averages):**
- **20 to 50 Candles**: For a more balanced approach that reduces the impact of short-term volatility while still being responsive to trend changes, 20 to 50 candles are commonly used. This range is popular for swing trading strategies, where the goal is to capture trends that last several days to weeks.
### 3. **Long-Term Trends (Slow Moving Averages):**
- **50 to 200 Candles**: To identify long-term trends, such as those seen in position trading or for confirming major trend directions, you might use 50 to 200 candles. The 50-period and 200-period moving averages are particularly well-known and are often used by traders to identify significant trend reversals or confirmations.
### 4. **Adaptive Approach:**
- **Market Conditions**: In trending markets, fewer candles might be needed to identify a trend, while in choppy or range-bound markets, using more candles can help filter out noise.
- **Volatility**: In highly volatile markets, more candles might be necessary to smooth out price action and avoid false signals.
### **Experiment and Backtesting:**
The optimal number of candles can vary significantly based on the asset and strategy. It's often a good idea to backtest different periods to see which provides the best balance between responsiveness and reliability in identifying trends. You can use tools like the strategy tester in TradingView or other backtesting software to compare the performance of different settings.
### **General Recommendation:**
- **For Shorter Timeframes** (e.g., 5m, 15m): 10-20 candles might be effective.
- **For Medium Timeframes** (e.g., 1h, 4h): 20-50 candles are often a good starting point.
- **For Longer Timeframes** (e.g., Daily, Weekly): 50-200 candles help capture major trends.
If you're unsure, a common starting point for many traders is the 20-period moving average, which provides a balance between sensitivity and reliability.
Guidelines for 1-Minute Timeframe:
For the 1-minute (1M) timeframe, trend analysis typically focuses on very short-term price movements, which is crucial for scalping and ultra-short-term trading strategies. Here’s a breakdown of the number of preceding candles you might use:
1. **Very Short-Term Trend:**
- **10 to 20 Candles (10 to 20 Minutes):** Using 10 to 20 candles captures about 10 to 20 minutes of price action. This range is suitable for scalpers who need to identify very short-term trends and make quick trading decisions.
2. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **30 to 60 Candles (30 to 60 Minutes):** This period covers 30 to 60 minutes of trading, making it useful for traders looking to understand the trend over a full trading hour. It helps capture price movements and trends that develop within a single hour.
3. **Intraday Trend:**
- **120 Candles (2 Hours):** Using 120 candles provides a view of the trend over approximately 2 hours. This is useful for traders who want to see how the market is trending throughout a larger portion of the trading day.
4. **Extended Intraday Trend:**
- **240 to 480 Candles (4 to 8 Hours):** This longer period gives a broader view of the intraday trend, covering 4 to 8 hours. It’s helpful for identifying trends that span a significant portion of the trading day, which can be useful for traders looking to align with the broader intraday movement.
**Considerations:**
- **High Sensitivity:** The 1-minute timeframe is highly sensitive to market movements, so shorter periods (10 to 20 candles) can capture rapid price changes but may also generate noise.
- **Market Volatility:** In highly volatile markets, using more candles (like 30 to 60 or more) helps smooth out the noise and provides a clearer trend signal.
- **Trading Style:** Scalpers will typically use shorter periods to make very quick decisions. Traders holding positions for a bit longer, even within the same day, may use more candles to get a clearer picture of the trend.
**Common Approaches:**
- **5-Period Moving Average:** The 5-period moving average on a 1-minute chart can be used for extremely short-term trend signals, reacting quickly to price changes.
- **20-Period Moving Average:** The 20-period moving average is a good choice for capturing short-term trends and can help filter out some of the noise while still being responsive.
- **50-Period Moving Average:** The 50-period moving average provides a broader view of the trend and can help smooth out price movements over a longer intraday period.
**Recommendation:**
- **Start with 10 to 20 Candles:** For the most immediate and actionable signals, especially useful for scalping or very short-term trading.
- **Use 30 to 60 Candles:** For a clearer view of trends that develop over an hour, suitable for those looking to trade within a single trading hour.
- **Consider 120 Candles:** For observing broader intraday trends over 2 hours, helping align trades with more significant intraday movements.
- **Explore 240 to 480 Candles:** For a longer intraday perspective, covering up to 8 hours, which can be useful for strategies that span a larger portion of the trading day.
**Practical Example:**
- **Scalpers:** If you’re executing trades every few minutes, start with 10 to 20 candles to get rapid trend signals.
- **Short-Term Traders:** For trends that last an hour or so, 30 to 60 candles will provide a better sense of direction while still being responsive.
- **Intraday Traders:** For broader trends that span several hours, 120 candles will help you see the overall intraday movement.
Experimentation and backtesting with these settings on historical data will help you fine-tune your approach to the 1-minute timeframe for your specific trading strategy and asset.
Guidelines for 5, 15 and 30 min Timeframes:
For shorter timeframes like 5, 15, and 30 minutes, the number of preceding candles you use will depend on how quickly you want to react to changes in the trend and the specific trading style you’re employing. Here's a breakdown for each:
**5-Minute Timeframe:**
1. **Very Short-Term (Micro Trend):**
- **12 to 20 Candles (60 to 100 Minutes):** Using 12 to 20 candles on a 5-minute chart captures 1 to 1.5 hours of price action. This is ideal for very short-term trades, such as scalping, where quick entries and exits are key.
2. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **30 to 60 Candles (150 to 300 Minutes):** This period covers 2.5 to 5 hours, making it useful for intraday traders who want to identify the trend within a trading session. It helps capture the direction of the market during the most active parts of the day.
3. **Intra-Day Trend:**
- **120 Candles (10 Hours):** Using 120 candles gives you a broad view of the trend over two trading sessions. This is useful for traders who want to understand the trend throughout the entire trading day.
**15-Minute Timeframe:**
1. **Very Short-Term:**
- **12 to 20 Candles (3 to 5 Hours):** On a 15-minute chart, this period covers 3 to 5 hours, making it useful for capturing the morning or afternoon trend within a trading day. It’s often used by intraday traders who need to make quick decisions.
2. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **30 to 60 Candles (7.5 to 15 Hours):** This covers almost a full trading day to a day and a half. It’s popular among day traders who want to align their trades with the trend of the day or the previous trading session.
3. **Intra-Week Trend:**
- **120 Candles (30 Hours):** This period spans about two trading days and is useful for traders looking to capture trends that may extend beyond a single trading day but not necessarily for an entire week.
**30-Minute Timeframe:**
1. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **12 to 20 Candles (6 to 10 Hours):** This period captures the trend over a single trading session. It's useful for day traders who want to understand the market’s direction throughout the day.
2. **Medium-Term Trend:**
- **30 to 50 Candles (15 to 25 Hours):** This period covers about two trading days and is useful for short-term swing traders or intraday traders who are looking for trends that might last a couple of days.
3. **Intra-Week Trend:**
- **100 to 120 Candles (50 to 60 Hours):** This longer period captures about 4 to 5 trading days, making it useful for traders who want to understand the broader trend over the course of the week.
**Summary Recommendations:**
- **5-Minute Chart:**
- **12 to 20 candles** for very short-term trades.
- **30 to 60 candles** for intraday trends within a single session.
- **120 candles** for a broader view of the day’s trend.
- **15-Minute Chart:**
- **12 to 20 candles** for short-term trades within a few hours.
- **30 to 60 candles** for trends lasting a full day or more.
- **120 candles** for trends extending over a couple of days.
- **30-Minute Chart:**
- **12 to 20 candles** for understanding the daily trend.
- **30 to 50 candles** for trends over a couple of days.
- **100 to 120 candles** for an intra-week trend view.
Experimenting with these settings and backtesting on historical data will help you find the optimal number of candles for your specific trading style and the assets you trade.
Guidelines for 1H Timeframes:
When analyzing trends on a 1-hour (1H) timeframe, you're focusing on short to medium-term trends, often used by day traders and short-term swing traders. Here’s how you can approach selecting the number of preceding candles:
1. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **14 to 21 Candles (14 to 21 Hours):** Using 14 to 21 candles on a 1-hour chart captures roughly half a day to a full day of trading activity. This range is ideal for day traders who want to identify short-term momentum and trend changes within a single trading day.
2. **Medium-Term Trend:**
- **50 Candles (2 Days):** A 50-period moving average on a 1-hour chart covers about two days of trading. This period is popular for identifying trends that may last a couple of days, making it useful for short-term swing traders.
3. **Longer-Term Trend:**
- **100 Candles (4 Days):** Using 100 candles gives you a broader view of the trend over about four days of trading. This is helpful for traders who want to align their trades with a more sustained trend that spans the entire week.
4. **Very Short-Term (Micro Trend):**
- **7 to 10 Candles (7 to 10 Hours):** For traders looking to capture micro trends or very short-term price movements, using 7 to 10 candles can provide a quick look at recent price action. This is often used for scalping or very short-term intraday strategies.
**Considerations:**
- **Market Volatility:** In highly volatile markets, using more candles (like 50 or 100) helps smooth out noise and provides a clearer trend signal. In less volatile conditions, fewer candles may suffice to capture trends.
- **Trading Style:** If you are a day trader looking for quick moves, shorter periods (like 7 to 21 candles) might be more suitable. For those who hold positions for a day or two, longer periods (like 50 or 100 candles) can provide better trend confirmation.
- **Asset Class:** The optimal number of candles can vary depending on the asset
Guidelines for 4H Timeframes:
When analyzing trends on a 4-hour (4H) timeframe, you’re generally looking to capture short to medium-term trends. This timeframe is popular among swing traders and intraday traders who want to balance between catching more significant market moves and not being too sensitive to noise. Here's how you can approach selecting the number of preceding candles:
1. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **14 to 21 Candles (2 to 3 Days):** Using 14 to 21 candles on a 4-hour chart covers roughly 2 to 3 days of trading activity. This range is ideal for traders looking to capture short-term momentum, especially in markets where price action can move quickly within a few days.
2. **Medium-Term Trend:**
- **50 Candles (8 to 10 Days):** A 50-period moving average on a 4-hour chart represents approximately 8 to 10 days of trading (considering 6 trading periods per day). This period is popular among swing traders for identifying trends that develop over the course of one to two weeks.
3. **Longer-Term Trend:**
- **100 Candles (16 to 20 Days):** Using 100 candles gives you a broader view of the trend over about 3 to 4 weeks. This is useful for traders who want to align their trades with the more sustained market direction while still remaining responsive to recent changes.
**Considerations:**
- **Market Conditions:** In a trending market, fewer candles (like 14 or 21) may be enough to identify the trend, allowing for quicker responses to price movements. In a more volatile or range-bound market, using more candles (like 50 or 100) can help smooth out noise and avoid false signals.
- **Trading Style:** If you are an intraday trader, shorter periods (14 to 21 candles) may be preferable, as they allow for quick entries and exits. Swing traders might lean towards the 50 to 100 candle range to capture trends that last several days to a few weeks.
- **Volatility:** The higher the volatility of the asset, the more candles you might want to use to ensure that the trend signal is not too erratic.
**Common Approaches:**
- **20-Period Moving Average:** A 20-period moving average on a 4-hour chart is often used by traders to capture short-term trends that align with momentum over the past few days.
- **50-Period Moving Average:** The 50-period moving average is widely used on the 4-hour chart to track medium-term trends. It provides a good balance between reacting to new trends and avoiding too many whipsaws.
- **100-Period Moving Average:** The 100-period moving average offers insight into the longer-term trend on the 4-hour chart, helping to filter out short-term noise and confirm the overall market direction.
**Recommendation:**
- **Start with 20 Candles for Short-Term Trends:** This period is useful for capturing quick movements and short-term trends over a couple of days.
- **Use 50 Candles for Medium-Term Trends:** This is a standard setting that provides a balanced view of the market over about 1 to 2 weeks.
- **Consider 100 Candles for Longer-Term Trends:** This helps to identify more significant trends that have persisted for a few weeks.
**Practical Example:**
- **Intraday Traders:** If you’re focused on shorter-term trades and need to react quickly, using 14 to 21 candles will help you capture the most recent momentum.
- **Swing Traders:** If you’re looking to hold positions for several days to a few weeks, starting with 50 candles will give you a clearer picture of the trend over that period.
- **Position Traders:** For those holding positions for a longer duration within a month, using 100 candles helps to align with the broader trend while still being responsive enough for 4-hour price movements.
Backtesting these settings on your chosen asset and strategy will help refine the optimal number of candles for your specific needs.
Guidelines for Daily Timeframes:
When analyzing trends on a daily timeframe, you're typically focusing on short to medium-term trends. Here’s how you can determine the optimal number of preceding candles:
1. **Short-Term Trend:**
- **10 to 20 Candles (2 to 4 Weeks):** Using 10 to 20 daily candles captures about 2 to 4 weeks of price action. This is commonly used for identifying short-term trends, ideal for swing traders or those looking for quick entries and exits within a month.
2. **Medium-Term Trend:**
- **50 Candles (2 to 3 Months):** The 50-day moving average is a classic choice for capturing medium-term trends. This period covers about 2 to 3 months of trading days and is often used by swing traders and investors to identify the trend over a quarter or a season.
3. **Long-Term Trend:**
- **100 to 200 Candles (4 to 9 Months):** For longer-term trend analysis, using 100 to 200 daily candles gives you a broader perspective, covering approximately 4 to 9 months of price action. The 200-day moving average, in particular, is widely used by investors to determine the overall long-term trend and to assess market health.
**Considerations:**
- **Market Volatility:** In more volatile markets, using a larger number of candles (e.g., 50 or 200) helps smooth out noise and provides a more reliable trend signal. In less volatile markets, fewer candles might be sufficient to capture trends effectively.
- **Trading Style:** Day traders might prefer shorter periods (like 10 or 20 candles) for quicker signals, while position traders and longer-term swing traders might opt for 50 to 200 candles to focus on more sustained trends.
- **Asset Class:** The optimal number of candles can also depend on the asset class. For example, equities might have different optimal settings compared to forex or cryptocurrencies due to different volatility characteristics.
**Common Approaches:**
- **20-Period Moving Average:** The 20-day moving average is a popular choice for short-term trend analysis. It’s widely used by traders to identify the short-term direction and to make quick trading decisions.
- **50-Period Moving Average:** The 50-day moving average is a staple for medium-term trend analysis, often used as a key indicator for both entry and exit points in swing trading.
- **200-Period Moving Average:** The 200-day moving average is crucial for long-term trend identification. It's commonly used by investors and is often seen as a major support or resistance level. When the price is above the 200-day moving average, the market is generally considered to be in a long-term uptrend, and vice versa.
**Recommendation:**
- **Start with 20 Candles for Short-Term Trends:** This period is commonly used for identifying recent trends within the last few weeks.
- **Use 50 Candles for Medium-Term Trends:** This provides a good balance between responsiveness and stability, making it a good fit for most swing trading strategies.
- **Use 200 Candles for Long-Term Trends:** This period is ideal for long-term analysis and is particularly useful for investors looking at the overall market trend.
**Practical Example:**
- If you’re trading equities and want to catch short-term trends, start with 20 candles to identify trends that have developed over the past month.
- If you’re more focused on medium to long-term trends, consider using 50 or 200 candles to ensure you’re aligned with the broader market direction.
Experimenting with these periods and backtesting on historical data will help you determine the best setting for your particular strategy and the asset you're analyzing.
Guidelines for Weekly Timeframes:
When analyzing trends on a weekly timeframe, you're typically looking at intermediate to long-term trends. Here's how you might approach selecting the number of preceding candles:
1. **Intermediate-Term Trend:**
- **13 to 26 Candles (3 to 6 Months):** Using 13 to 26 weekly candles corresponds to a period of 3 to 6 months. This range is effective for identifying intermediate-term trends, which is suitable for swing traders or those looking to hold positions for several weeks to a few months.
2. **Medium-Term Trend:**
- **26 to 52 Candles (6 Months to 1 Year):** For a broader view, you might use 26 to 52 weekly candles. This represents 6 months to 1 year of price data, which is helpful for understanding the market’s behavior over a medium-term period. This range is commonly used by swing traders and position traders who are interested in capturing trends lasting several months.
3. **Long-Term Trend:**
- **104 Candles (2 Years):** Using 104 weekly candles gives you a 2-year perspective. This can be useful for long-term trend analysis, particularly for investors or those looking to identify major trend reversals or continuations over a more extended period.
**Considerations:**
- **Market Type:** In trending markets, fewer candles (like 13 or 26) may work well, capturing the trend more quickly. In choppier or range-bound markets, using more candles can help reduce noise and avoid false signals.
- **Asset Class:** The optimal number of candles can vary depending on the asset class. For example, equities might benefit from a slightly shorter lookback period compared to more volatile assets like commodities or cryptocurrencies.
- **Volatility:** If the market or asset you're analyzing is highly volatile, using a higher number of candles (like 52 or 104) can help smooth out price fluctuations and provide a more stable trend signal.
**Common Approaches:**
- **20-Period Moving Average:** A 20-week moving average is popular among traders for identifying the intermediate trend. It’s responsive enough to capture significant trend changes while filtering out short-term noise.
- **50-Period Moving Average:** The 50-week moving average is often used to identify longer-term trends and is commonly referenced in both technical analysis and by longer-term traders.
- **200-Period Moving Average:** Although less common on weekly charts compared to daily charts, a 200-week moving average can be used to identify very long-term trends, such as multi-year market cycles.
**Recommendation:**
- **Start with 26 Candles:** This gives you a half-year perspective and is a good starting point for most analyses on a weekly timeframe. It balances sensitivity to recent trends with the ability to capture more significant, sustained movements.
- **Adjust Based on Backtesting:** You can increase the number of candles to 52 if you find that you need more stability in the trend signal, or decrease to 13 if you're looking for a more responsive signal.
Experimenting with different periods and backtesting on historical data can help determine the best setting for your specific strategy and asset class.
Guidelines for Monthly Timeframes:
For analyzing trends on monthly timeframes, you would generally be looking at much longer periods to capture the broader, long-term trend. Here's how you can approach it:
1. **Long-Term Trend (Primary Trend):**
- **12 to 24 Candles (1 to 2 Years):** Using 12 to 24 monthly candles corresponds to a period of 1 to 2 years. This is typically sufficient to identify long-term trends and is commonly used by long-term investors or position traders who are interested in the overall direction of the market or asset over multiple years.
2. **Very Long-Term Trend (Secular Trend):**
- **36 to 60 Candles (3 to 5 Years):** To capture very long-term secular trends, you might use 36 to 60 monthly candles. This would represent a time frame of 3 to 5 years and is often used for understanding macroeconomic trends or very long-term investment strategies.
3. **Ultra Long-Term Trend:**
- **120 Candles (10 Years):** In some cases, especially for assets like indices or commodities that are analyzed over decades, using 120 monthly candles can help in identifying ultra long-term trends. This would be appropriate for strategic investors or those looking at generational market cycles.
**Considerations:**
- **Volatility and Stability:** Monthly timeframes generally smooth out short-term volatility, but they can also be slow to react to changes. Using a larger number of candles (e.g., 24 or more) can help ensure that the trend signal is robust and not prone to frequent whipsaws.
- **Asset Class:** The choice of period might also depend on the asset class. For instance, equities might require fewer candles compared to commodities or currencies, which can exhibit different trend dynamics.
- **Market Phases:** In different market phases (bullish, bearish, or sideways), the number of candles might need to be adjusted. For instance, in a strongly trending market, fewer candles might still provide a reliable trend indication, whereas in a more volatile or ranging market, more candles might be needed to smooth out the data.
**Common Approaches:**
- **50-Period Moving Average:** A 50-month moving average is popular among long-term traders and investors for identifying the primary trend. It offers a balance between capturing the overall trend and being responsive enough to significant changes.
- **200-Period Moving Average:** Although rarely used on a monthly chart due to the long timeframe it represents (over 16 years), it can be useful for identifying very long-term secular trends, especially for broad market indices or in macroeconomic analysis.
**Recommendation:**
- **Start with 24 Candles:** This gives you a 2-year perspective on the trend and is a good starting point for most long-term analyses on monthly charts. Adjust upwards if you need a broader trend view, depending on the stability and nature of the asset you're analyzing.
Experimentation and backtesting with your specific asset and strategy can help fine-tune the exact number of candles that work best for your analysis on a monthly timeframe.
Range Projections [TFO]The purpose of this indicator is to see how often price reached certain standard deviations from a selected time range. The inspiration for this was to study ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts regarding the Central Bank Dealer’s Range (CBDR), which is 2:00 pm - 8:00 pm New York local time according to ICT Core Content. However, the idea and data collection could certainly be applied to any range of time.
The main settings of this indicator are session time, range type, and the standard deviation filter. The session time is the window of price that will be utilized for range projections. The range type can be either body or wick (on the current timeframe). The standard deviation filter is used to eliminate sessions whose ranges (from high to low) are greater than the desired/input number of standard deviations from all available session ranges.
In this example, the time range is set to 16:00 - 20:00, or the time between the New York session close and the Asia session open. Our standard deviations are set to 1, 2, 2.5, and 4. Now, by taking this session’s price range and extrapolating these extensions from the initial range, we can use these levels to see if and how price interacts with them before the next 16:00 - 20:00 session.
Furthermore, we can enable the Data Table to analyze how often price trades to these levels for the sessions that are deemed valid (determined by the standard deviation filter). This time our standard deviations are set to 1, 2, 3, and 4.
This concept can theoretically be applied to any window of time. ICT has mentioned that, in instances where the CBDR is too large, the Asia range may be used instead. We can observe that the indicator behaves the same way when we change the session to the Asia range, 20:00 - 00:00.
Expected Move w/ Volatility Panel (advanced) [Loxx]This indicator shows the expected range of movement of price given the assumption that price is log-normally distributed. This includes 3 multiples of standard deviation and 1 user selected level input as a multiple of standard deviation. Expected assumes that volatility remains static on the next bar. In reality, this may or may not be the case, so use caution when making broad assumptions about the levels shown when using this indicator. However, these levels match the same levels on Loxx's backtests and Multi-Panel indicator. These static levels are used as the take profit targets and stoploss on all Loxx's scripts previously posted.
This indicator can be be used on all timeframes, but the internal timeframe must be higher than the current timeframe or an error is thrown. The purpose for internal MTF is so that you can track the deviation range from higher timeframes on lower timeframes. When "current bar" is selected, this indicator will change with live prices changes. This is useful if you wish to enter a trade before the current bar closes and need to know the deviation ranges before the close. Current bar is also useful to see the past ranges of literally that bar. When "past bar" is selected, then the values shown on the current bar are values that were calculated on the last bar. The previous bar setting is useful to track price changes with the assumption that you entered a trade at the close of the previous bar. The default set to the previous bar. (careful, this default setting won't match Loxx's Muti-Panel tool since the Multi-Panel is built using the current bar. To make them match, you must change this setting to current bar)
I've included the ability for you to smooth the output around a moving average. Included are Loxx's Moving Averages. There are 41 to choose from. See more details here:
Smoothing applied yielding Keltner Channels
Also included are various UI options to manipulate line styling and colors.
Volatility Panel
Shows information about user selected volatility included confidence range of the chosen volatility. The following volatility types are included with additional volatility types to added in future releases.
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and most commonly used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility .
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a bigger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility calculated using only stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. But in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump considerably during a trading session, and return to the open value at the end. That means that a big amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility .
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. That is useful as close to close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have happened during the day. Thus Parkinson's volatility is considered to be more precise and requires less data for calculation than the close-close volatility .
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after market close. Hence it systematically undervalues volatility . That drawback is taken into account in the Garman-Klass's volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides a better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. It means an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
We can think of the Yang-Zhang volatility as the combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility ) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility . It considered being 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed as such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights fall exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility . It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1))
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by θ.
θavg(var ;M) + (1 − θ) avg (var ;N) = 2θvar/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-θ)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for θ can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg (var; N) against avg (var; M) - avg (var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as θ.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Chi-squared Confidence Interval:
Confidence interval of volatility is calculated using an inverse CDF of a Chi-Squared Distribution. You can change the volatility input used to either realized, upper confidence interval, or lower confidence interval. This is included in case you'd like to see how far price can extend if volatility hits it's upper or lower confidence levels. Generally, you'd just used realized volatility , so I wouldn't change this setting.
Inverse CDF of a Chi-Squared Distribution
The chi-square distribution is a one-parameter family of curves. The parameter ν is the degrees of freedom.
The icdf of the chi-square distribution is
x=F^−1(p∣ν) = {x:F(x∣ν) = p}
where
p=F(x∣ν)= ∫ (t^(v-2)/2 * e^t/2) / (2^(v/2) / Γ(v/2))
ν is the degrees of freedom, and Γ( · ) is the Gamma function. The result p is the probability that a single observation from the chi-square distribution with ν degrees of freedom falls in the interval .
Related Indicators
Multi-Panel: Trade-Volatility-Probability
Variety Distribution Probability Cone
Multi-Panel: Trade-Volatility-Probability [Loxx]Multi-Panel: Trade-Volatility-Probability shows user selected and volatility-based price levels and probabilities on the chart. This is useful for both options and all styles of up/down trading methods that rely on volatility.
Trading Panel: Shows trading information to take profits and stop-loss based on multiples of volatility. Also shows equity inputs by the user to calculate optimal position size
Key things to note about the Trading Panel
-Trade side: Long or short. you change this this to change the take profit and SL levels in displayed on the table to be used w/ up/down trading styles that rely on volatility stops
-Account size: User enters total balance available for trade
-Risk: Total % of account size you're willing to lose should the SL be hit
-Position size: Size of the position given the SL and your preferred Risk
-Take profit/Stop loss levels: Based on multipliers selected by the user in settings. These shouldn't be changed unless you really know what you're doing with volatility stops
-Entry: Source price. can be 1 of 37 different prices. See Loxx's Expanded Source Types:
Volatility Panel: Shows information about the volatility the user selected to be used to take profit/stop-loss/range calculations. Volatility types included are:
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and most commonly used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility .
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a bigger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility calculated using only stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. But in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump considerably during a trading session, and return to the open value at the end. That means that a big amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility .
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. That is useful as close to close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have happened during the day. Thus Parkinson's volatility is considered to be more precise and requires less data for calculation than the close-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after market close. Hence it systematically undervalues volatility. That drawback is taken into account in the Garman-Klass's volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides a better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. It means an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
We can think of the Yang-Zhang volatility as the combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility ) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility . It considered being 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed as such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights fall exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility . It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1))
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by θ.
θavg(var ;M) + (1 − θ) avg (var ;N) = 2θvar/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-θ)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for θ can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg (var; N) against avg (var; M) - avg (var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as θ.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Chi-squared Confidence Interval:
Confidence interval of volatility is calculated using an inverse CDF of a Chi-Squared Distribution. You can change the volatility input used to either realized, upper confidence interval, or lower confidence interval. This is included in case you'd like to see how far price can extend if volatility hits it's upper or lower confidence levels. Generally, you'd just used realized volatility, so I wouldn't change this setting.
Inverse CDF of a Chi-Squared Distribution
The chi-square distribution is a one-parameter family of curves. The parameter ν is the degrees of freedom.
The icdf of the chi-square distribution is
x=F^−1(p∣ν) = {x:F(x∣ν) = p}
where
p=F(x∣ν)= ∫ (t^(v-2)/2 * e^t/2) / (2^(v/2) / Γ(v/2))
ν is the degrees of freedom, and Γ( · ) is the Gamma function. The result p is the probability that a single observation from the chi-square distribution with ν degrees of freedom falls in the interval .
Additional notes on Volatility Panel
-Shows both current timeframe volatility per candle at whatever date backward you select
-Shows annualized volatility basaed on selected days per year and per bar volatility; this is automaitcally caulculated no matter the timeframe used. This means that it'll calculate annualized volatility for the current candle even on the 1 second timeframe. Days per year should be 252 for everything but cryptocurrency; however, for all types of tradable assets, anything over the 3 day timeframe will calculate on 365 days.
Probability Panel
This panel shows the probability levels of a user selected upper and lower price boundary. This includes the inside range of volatility between the lower and upper price levels and the outside probability below the lower price level and above the upper price level. These values are calculated using the CDF (cumulative density function) of a normal distribution. In simpler terms, CDF returns area under a bell curve between two points left and right, or for our purposes, high and low. This yeilds the probabilities you see in the Probability Panel. See the following graphic to visualize how this works:
The red line is the entry bar; the yellow line is the "mean" but in this case just the chosen source price.
Other things to know
You can turn on/off all labels and levels and fills
Volatility Cone [Loxx]When it comes to forecasting volatility, it seems that the old axiom about weather is applicable: "Everyone talks about it, but no one can do much about it!" Volatility cones are a tool that may be useful in one’s attempt to do something about predicting the future volatility of an asset.
A "volatility cone" is a plot of the range of volatilities within a fixed probability band around the true parameter, as a function of sample length. Volatility cone is a visualization tool for the display of historical volatility term structure. It was introduced by Burghardt and Lane in early 1990 and is popular in the option trading community. This is mostly a static indicator due to processor load and is restricted to the daily time frame.
Why cones?
When we enter the options arena, in an effort to "trade volatility," we want to be able to compare current levels of implied volatility with recent historical volatility in an effort to assess the relative value of the option(s) under consideration Volatility cones can be an effective tool to help us with this assessment. A volatility cone is an analytical application designed to help determine if the current levels of historical or implied volatilities for a given underlying, its options, or any of the new volatility instruments, such as VolContractTM futures, VIX futures, or VXX and VXZ ETNs, are likely to persist in the future. As such, volatility cones are intended to help the user assess the likely volatility that an underlying will go on to display over a certain period. Those who employ volatility cones as a diagnostic tool are relying upon the principle of "reversion to the mean." This means that unusually high levels of volatility are expected to drift or move lower (revert) to their average (mean) levels, while relatively low volatility readings are expected to rise, eventually, to more "normal" values.
How to use
Suppose you want to analyze an options contract expiring in 3-months and this current option has an current implied volatility 25.5%. Suppose also that realized volatility (y-axis) at the 3-month mark (90 on the x-axis) is 45%, median in 35%, the 25th percentile is 30%, and the low is 25%. Comparing this range to the implied volatility you would maybe conclude that this is a relatively "cheap" option contract. To help you visualize implied volatility on the chart given an expiration date in bars, the indicator includes the ability to enter up to three expirations in bars and each expirations current implied volatility
By ascertaining the various historical levels of volatility corresponding to a given time horizon for the options futures under consideration, we’re better prepared to judge the relative "cheapness" or "expensiveness" of the instrument.
Volatility options
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and most commonly used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility .
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a bigger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility calculated using only stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. But in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump considerably during a trading session, and return to the open value at the end. That means that a big amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility .
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. That is useful as close to close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have happened during the day. Thus Parkinson's volatility is considered to be more precise and requires less data for calculation than the close-close volatility. One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after market close. Hence it systematically undervalues volatility. That drawback is taken into account in the Garman-Klass's volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides a better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. It means an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
We can think of the Yang-Zhang volatility as the combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility ) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility . It considered being 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed as such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights fall exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility . It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1))
Sampling periods used
5, 10, 20, 30, 60, 90, 120, 150, 180, 210, 240, 270, 300, 330, and 360
Historical Volatility plot
Purple outer lines: High and low volatility values corresponding to x-axis time
Blue inner lines: 25th and 75th percentiles of volatility corresponding to x-axis time
Green line: Median volatility values corresponding to x-axis time
White dashed line: Realized volatility corresponding to x-axis time
Additional things to know
Due to UI constraints on TradingView it will be easier to visualize this indicator by double-clicking the bottom pane where it appears and then expanded the y- and x-axis to view the entire chart.
You can click on each point on the graph to see what the volatility of that point is.
Option expiration dates will show up as large dots on the graph. You can input your own values in the settings.
Variety Distribution Probability Cone [Loxx]Variety Distribution Probability Cone forecasts price within a range of confidence using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) calculated using selected probability distribution, volatility, and drift. Below is detailed explanation of the inner workings of the indicator and the math involved. While normally this indicator would be used by options traders, this can also be used by regular directional traders who wish to observe a forecast of the confidence interval of possible prices over time.
What is a Random Walk
A random walk is a path which consists of a set of random steps. The starting point is zero and following movement may be one step to the left or to the right with equal probability. In the random walk process, there is no observable trend or pattern which are followed by the objects that is the movements are completely random. That is why the prices of a stock as it moves up and down can be modeled by random a walk process.
Stock Prices and Geometric Brownian Motion
Brownian motion, as first conceived by the botanist Robert Brown (1827), is a mathematical model used to describe random movements of small particles in a fluid or gas. These random movements are observed in the stock markets where the prices move up and down, randomly; hence, Brownian motion is considered as a mathematical model for stock prices.
P(exp(lnS0 + (mu + 1/2*sigma^2)t - z(0.05)*sigma*t^0.5) <= St <= exp(lnS0 + (mu + 1/2*sigma^2)t + z(0.05)*sigma*t^0.5)) = 0.95
Probability Distributions
Typically the normal distribution is used, but for our purposes here we extend this to Student t-distribution, Cauchy, Gaussian KDE, and Laplace
Student's t-Distribution
The probability density function of the Student’s t distribution is given by
g(x) = (L(v+1)/2) / L(v/2) * 1 / L(sqrt(v)) * (1 + x^2/v) ^ (-(v+1)/2)
with v degrees of freedom and v >= 0, denoted by X ~ t(v). The mean is 0 and the variance is v/(v-2). It is known that as v tends to infinity, the Student’s t-distribution tends to a standard normal probability density function, which has a variance of one. Blattberg and Gonedes were the first to propose that stock returns could be modeled by this distribution. (Blattberg and Gonedes, 1974) Platen and Sidorowicz later reaffirmed these findings.(Platen and Rendek, 2007) Finally, Cassidy, Hamp, and Ouyed used these findings to derive the Gosset formula, which is the Student t version of the Black-Scholes model.(Cassidy et al., 2010) They found that v = 2.65 provides the best fit when looking at the past 100 years of returns. They realized that as markets become more turbulent, the degrees of freedom should be adjusted to a smaller value.(Cassidy et al., 2010)
Cauchy Distribution
The probability density function of the Cauchy distribution is given by
f(x) = 1 / (theta*pi*(1 + ((x-n)/v)))
where n is the location parameter and theta is the scale parameter, for -infinity < x < infinity and is denoted by X ~ CAU(L,v). This model is similar to the normal distribution in that it is symmetric about zero, but the tails are fatter. This would mean that the probability of an extreme event occurring lies far out in the distributions tail. Using a crude example, if the normal distribution gave a probability of an extreme event occurring of 0.05% and the “best case” scenario of this event occurring 300 years, then using the Cauchy distribution one would find that the probability of occurring would be around 5% and now the “best case” scenario might have been reduced to only 63 years. Thus giving extreme events more of a likelihood of occurring. The mean, variance, and higher order moments are not defined (they are infinite); this implies that n and theta cannot be related to a mean and standard deviation. The Cauchy distribution is related to the Student’s t distribution T ~ CAU(1,0) when v = 1. In 1963, Benoit Mandelbrot was the first to suggest that stock returns follow a stable distribution, in particular, the Cauchy distribution.(Mandelbrot, 1963) His work was validated by Eugene Fama in 1965.(Fama, 1965) Recent research by Nassim Taleb came to the same conclusion as Mandelbrot, saying that stock returns follow a Cauchy distribution, as reported in his New York Times best-seller book “The Black Swan”.(Taleb, 2010)
Laplace Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the Laplace distribution is a continuous probability distribution named after Pierre-Simon Laplace. It is also sometimes called the double exponential distribution, because it can be thought of as two exponential distributions (with an additional location parameter) spliced together along the abscissa, although the term is also sometimes used to refer to the Gumbel distribution. The difference between two independent identically distributed exponential random variables is governed by a Laplace distribution, as is a Brownian motion evaluated at an exponentially distributed random time. Increments of Laplace motion or a variance gamma process evaluated over the time scale also have a Laplace distribution.
The probability density function of the Cauchy distribution is given by
f(x) = 1/2b * exp(-|x-µ|/b)
Here, µ is a location parameter and b > 0, which is sometimes referred to as the "diversity", is a scale parameter. If µ = 0 and b=1, the positive half-line is exactly an exponential distribution scaled by 1/2.
The probability density function of the Laplace distribution is also reminiscent of the normal distribution; however, whereas the normal distribution is expressed in terms of the squared difference from the mean µ, the Laplace density is expressed in terms of the absolute difference from the mean. Consequently, the Laplace distribution has fatter tails than the normal distribution.
Gaussian Kernel Density Estimation
In statistics, kernel density estimation (KDE) is the application of kernel smoothing for probability density estimation, i.e., a non-parametric method to estimate the probability density function of a random variable based on kernels as weights. KDE is a fundamental data smoothing problem where inferences about the population are made, based on a finite data sample. In some fields such as signal processing and econometrics it is also termed the Parzen–Rosenblatt window method, after Emanuel Parzen and Murray Rosenblatt, who are usually credited with independently creating it in its current form. One of the famous applications of kernel density estimation is in estimating the class-conditional marginal densities of data when using a naive Bayes classifier, which can improve its prediction accuracy.
Let (x1, x2, ..., xn) be independent and identically distributed samples drawn from some univariate distribution with an unknown density f at any given point x. We are interested in estimating the shape of this function f. Its kernel density estimator is:
f(x) = 1/nh * sum(k(x-xi)/h, n)
where K is the kernel—a non-negative function—and h > 0 is a smoothing parameter called the bandwidth. A kernel with subscript h is called the scaled kernel and defined as Kh(x) = 1/h K(x/h). Intuitively one wants to choose h as small as the data will allow; however, there is always a trade-off between the bias of the estimator and its variance.
The probability density function of Gaussian Kernel Density Estimation is given by
f(x) = 1 / (v * 2*pi)^0.5 * exp(-(x - m)^2 / (2 * v))
where v is the bandwidth component h squared
KDE Bandwidth Estimation
Bandwidth selection strongly influences the estimate obtained from the KDE (much more so than the actual shape of the kernel). Bandwidth selection can be done by a "rule of thumb", by cross-validation, by "plug-in methods" or by other means. The default is Scott's Rule.
Scott's Rule
n ^ (-1/(d+4))
with n the number of data points and d the number of dimensions.
In the case of unequally weighted points, this becomes
neff^(-1/(d+4))
with neff the effective number of datapoints.
Silverman's Rule
(n * (d + 2) / 4)^(-1 / (d + 4))
or in the case of unequally weighted points:
(neff * (d + 2) / 4)^(-1 / (d + 4))
With a set of weighted samples, the effective number of datapoints neff
is defined by:
neff = sum(weights)^2 / sum(weights^2)
Manual input
You can provide your own bandwidth input. This is useful for those who wish to run external to TradingView Grid Search Machine Learning algorithms to solve for the bandwidth per ticker.
Inverse CDF of KDE Calculation
1. Create an array of random normalized numbers, using an inverse CDF of a normal distribution of mean of zero
and standard deviation one
2. Create a line space range of values -3 to 3
3. Create a Gaussian Kernel Density Estimate CDF by iterating over the line space array created in step 2. For each line space item, find the mean difference between the line space and the random variable divided by the bandwidth.
4. Derive test statistics from the resulting KDE inverse CDF, we use cubic spline interpolation to solve for line space value for a given alpha computed using the user selected probability percent value in the settings.
Volatility
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and most commonly used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a bigger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility calculated using only stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. But in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump considerably during a trading session, and return to the open value at the end. That means that a big amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. That is useful as close to close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have happened during the day. Thus Parkinson's volatility is considered to be more precise and requires less data for calculation than the close-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after market close. Hence it systematically undervalues volatility. That drawback is taken into account in the Garman-Klass's volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides a better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. It means an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
We can think of the Yang-Zhang volatility as the combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It considered being 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
Researchers Rogers and Satchel have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed as such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights fall exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1))
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by θ.
θavg(var ;M) + (1 − θ)avg(var ;N) = 2θvar/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-θ)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for θ can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as θ.
Manual
User input % value
Drift
Cost of Equity / Required Rate of Return (CAPM)
Standard Capital Asset Pricing Model used to solve for Cost of Equity of Required Rate of Return. Due to the processor overhead required to compute CAPM, the user must plug in values for beta, alpha, and expected market return using Loxx's CAPM indicator series. Used for stocks.
Mean of Log Returns
Average of the log returns for the underlying ticker over the user selected period of evaluation. General purpose use.
Risk-free Rate (r)
10, 20, or 30 year bond yields for the user selected currency. Under equilibrium the drift of the empirical GBM must be the risk-free rate. If the price process is a GBM under the empirical measure, then a consequence of viability is that it is also a GBM under an equivalent (risk-neutral) measure.
Risk-free Rate adjusted for Dividends (r-q)
This is the Risk-free Rate minus the Dividend Yield.
Forex (r-rf)
This is derived from the Garman and Kohlhagen (1983) modified Black-Scholes model can be used to price European currency options. This is simply the diffeence between Risk-free Rate of the Forex currency in question. This is used for Forex pricing.
Martingale (0)
When the drift parameter is 0, geometric Brownian motion is a martingale. In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values. Typically used for futures or margined futures.
Manual
User input % value
Additional notes
Indicator can be used on any timeframe. The T (time) variable used to annualize volatility and inside the GBM formula is automatically calculated based on the timeframe of the chart.
Confidence interval of volatility is calculated using an inverse CDF of a Chi-Squared Distribution. You change the volatility input used to create the probability cones from from realized volatility to upper or lower confidence levels of volatility to better visualize extremes of range. Generally, you'd stick with realized volatility.
Days per year should be 252 for everything but Cryptocurrency. These are days trader per year. Maximum future forecast bars is 365. Forecast bars are limited to the maximum of selected days per year.
Includes the ability to overlay option expiration dates by bars to see the range of prices for that date at that bar
You can select confidence % you wish for both the cone in general and the volatility. There are three levels for the cones, this will show on the three different levels up and down on the chart.
The table on the right displays important calculated values so you don't have to remember what they are or what settings you selected
All values are annualized no matter the timeframe.
Additional distributions and measures of volatility and drift will be added in future releases.
KVKZKVKZ = KV'S KILLZONES
This Indicator, break the charts into session: ASIAN, LONDON, NEW YORK.
-The 1st two vertical lines (red) indicates the ASIAN RANGE
-The 2nd two vertical lines (red & green) indicates the LONDON session
-The 3rd two vertical lines (green & blue) indicates the NEW YORK session
-The will be no trading in between the two red vertical lines
-A fake move is expected to happen in between the 2nd red vertical line and green line, this fake move is known as the JUDAS SWING by ICT, you can YouTube Judas Swing and check out his concepts
-There are two automatically moving horizontal lines (orange), that plots the ASIAN high and lows, these levels are expected to be manipulated in the London session, and this is called the Judas Swing
-the purple lines are known as Institution Zones, basically just levels 30pips above and below the ASIAN range
-this indicator works well with GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDCHF
-this indicator doesn’t work well with USDJPY, AUDUSD, NZDUSD
INPUTS:
HOUR 1: 17
MIN 1 : 0
HOUR 2: 0
MIN 2 : 0
HOUR 3: 6
MIN 3 : 0
HOUR 4: 12
MIN 1 : 0
THIS INDICATOR IS NOT A HOLY GRAIL, BUT IF YOU CAN READ PRICE ACTION WELL, THESE SESSIONS BREAK DOWN COULD BE VERY USEFULL.
Extras:
dot = dotted lines
dsh = dashed lines
sol = solid lines
NOTE: time has to be set to NY time.
Anchored OBV SpaceManBTC Anchored OBV SpaceManBTC
The On Balance Volume indicator (OBV) is used in technical analysis to measure buying and selling pressure.
On Balance volume is primarily used to confirm or identify overall price trends or to anticipate price movements after divergences.
Anchored On Balance Volume unlike traditional OBV resets on your specified sessions: D, W, M, 3M, 4M, 6M, 1Y.
The actionable data is more useful HTF to see a potential long term trend change relative to the session reset chosen.
User can choose to disable highlightable session reset.
Recommended settings:
Daily tf with 3Month session pretty useful for the run so far. But please experiment away and share your results!
ToDo:
Non Reset Functionality,
Perhaps more timeframes
Musashi_BattleTimer-Musashi_Battle Timer-
Four financial sessions presented in a compact way that suits my trading style.
The indicator will do the following:
- Plot Background color separating sessions:
- Highlight Gray since Tokyo open to London open, then a gap.
- Highlight Red from London open to NY open, then a gap.
- Highlight Red from NY open to London Close, then a gap
- Highlight Gray from London close to Sidney open
- Sidney open to Tokio open NO highlight.
- Plot dotted limits for the highest and lowest price of the day.
- Plot a range for the Asian session (Sydney + Tokyo).
- Plot a few day's ADR (Average Daily Range) and extend the current one.
Have a good day.
Enhanced Volume Trend Indicator with BB SqueezeEnhanced Volume Trend Indicator with BB Squeeze: Comprehensive Explanation
The visualization system allows traders to quickly scan multiple securities to identify high-probability setups without detailed analysis of each chart. The progression from squeeze to breakout, supported by volume trend confirmation, offers a systematic approach to identifying trading opportunities.
The script combines multiple technical analysis approaches into a comprehensive dashboard that helps traders make informed decisions by identifying high-probability setups while filtering out noise through its sophisticated confirmation requirements. It combines multiple technical analysis approaches into an integrated visual system that helps traders identify potential trading opportunities while filtering out false signals.
Core Features
1. Volume Analysis Dashboard
The indicator displays various volume-related metrics in customizable tables:
AVOL (After Hours + Pre-Market Volume): Shows extended hours volume as a percentage of the 21-day average volume with color coding for buying/selling pressure. Green indicates buying pressure and red indicates selling pressure.
Volume Metrics: Includes regular volume (VOL), dollar volume ($VOL), relative volume compared to 21-day average (RVOL), and relative volume compared to 90-day average (RVOL90D).
Pre-Market Data: Optional display of pre-market volume (PVOL), pre-market dollar volume (P$VOL), pre-market relative volume (PRVOL), and pre-market price change percentage (PCHG%).
2. Enhanced Volume Trend (VTR) Analysis
The Volume Trend indicator uses adaptive analysis to evaluate buying and selling pressure, combining multiple factors:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) components
Volume-to-SMA (Simple Moving Average) ratio
Price direction and market conditions
Volume change rates and momentum
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) alignment and crossovers
Volatility filtering
VTR Visual Indicators
The VTR score ranges from 0-100, with values above 50 indicating bullish conditions and below 50 indicating bearish conditions. This is visually represented by colored circles:
"●" (Filled Circle):
Green: Strong bullish trend (VTR ≥ 80)
Red: Strong bearish trend (VTR ≤ 20)
"◯" (Hollow Circle):
Green: Moderate bullish trend (VTR 65-79)
Red: Moderate bearish trend (VTR 21-35)
"·" (Small Dot):
Green: Weak bullish trend (VTR 55-64)
Red: Weak bearish trend (VTR 36-45)
"○" (Medium Hollow Circle): Neutral conditions (VTR 46-54), shown in gray
In "Both" display mode, the VTR shows both the numerical score (0-100) alongside the appropriate circle symbol.
Enhanced VTR Settings
The Enhanced Volume Trend component offers several advanced customization options:
Adaptive Volume Analysis (volTrendAdaptive):
When enabled, dynamically adjusts volume thresholds based on recent market volatility
Higher volatility periods require proportionally higher volume to generate significant signals
Helps prevent false signals during highly volatile markets
Keep enabled for most trading conditions, especially in volatile markets
Speed of Change Weight (volTrendSpeedWeight, range 0-1):
Controls emphasis on volume acceleration/deceleration rather than absolute levels
Higher values (0.7-1.0): More responsive to new volume trends, better for momentum trading
Lower values (0.2-0.5): Less responsive, better for trend following
Helps identify early volume trends before they fully develop
Momentum Period (volTrendMomentumPeriod, range 2-10):
Defines lookback period for volume change rate calculations
Lower values (2-3): More responsive to recent changes, better for short timeframes
Higher values (7-10): Smoother, better for daily/weekly charts
Directly affects how quickly the indicator responds to new volume patterns
Volatility Filter (volTrendVolatilityFilter):
Adjusts significance of volume by factoring in current price volatility
High volume during high volatility receives less weight
High volume during low volatility receives more weight
Helps distinguish between genuine volume-driven moves and volatility-driven moves
EMA Alignment Weight (volTrendEmaWeight, range 0-1):
Controls importance of EMA alignments in final VTR calculation
Analyzes multiple EMA relationships (5, 10, 21 period)
Higher values (0.7-1.0): Greater emphasis on trend structure
Lower values (0.2-0.5): More focus on pure volume patterns
Display Mode (volTrendDisplayMode):
"Value": Shows only numerical score (0-100)
"Strength": Shows only symbolic representation
"Both": Shows numerical score and symbol together
3. Bollinger Band Squeeze Detection (SQZ)
The BB Squeeze indicator identifies periods of low volatility when Bollinger Bands contract inside Keltner Channels, often preceding significant price movements.
SQZ Visual Indicators
"●" (Filled Circle): Strong squeeze - high probability setup for an impending breakout
Green: Strong squeeze with bullish bias (likely upward breakout)
Red: Strong squeeze with bearish bias (likely downward breakout)
Orange: Strong squeeze with unclear direction
"◯" (Hollow Circle): Moderate squeeze - medium probability setup
Green: With bullish EMA alignment
Red: With bearish EMA alignment
Orange: Without clear directional bias
"-" (Dash): Gray dash indicates no squeeze condition (normal volatility)
The script identifies squeeze conditions through multiple methods:
Bollinger Bands contracting inside Keltner Channels
BB width falling to bottom 20% of recent range (BB width percentile)
Very narrow Keltner Channel (less than 5% of basis price)
Tracking squeeze duration in consecutive bars
Different squeeze strengths are detected:
Strong Squeeze: BB inside KC with tight BB width and narrow KC
Moderate Squeeze: BB inside KC with either tight BB width or narrow KC
No Squeeze: Normal market conditions
4. Breakout Detection System
The script includes two breakout indicators working in sequence:
4.1 Pre-Breakout (PBK) Indicator
Detects potential upcoming breakouts by analyzing multiple factors:
Squeeze conditions lasting 2-3 bars or more
Significant price ranges
Strong volume confirmation
EMA/MACD crossovers
Consistent price direction
PBK Visual Indicators
"●" (Filled Circle): Detected pre-breakout condition
Green: Likely upward breakout (bullish)
Red: Likely downward breakout (bearish)
Orange: Direction not yet clear, but breakout likely
"-" (Dash): Gray dash indicates no pre-breakout condition
The PBK uses sophisticated conditions to reduce false signals including minimum squeeze length, significant price movement, and technical confirmations.
4.2 Breakout (BK) Indicator
Confirms actual breakouts in progress by identifying:
End of squeeze or strong expansion of Bollinger Bands
Volume expansion
Price moving outside Bollinger Bands
EMA crossovers with volume confirmation
MACD crossovers with significant price range
BK Visual Indicators
"●" (Filled Circle): Confirmed breakout in progress
Green: Upward breakout (bullish)
Red: Downward breakout (bearish)
Orange: Unusual breakout pattern without clear direction
"◆" (Diamond): Special breakout conditions (meets some but not all criteria)
"-" (Dash): Gray dash indicates no breakout detected
The BK indicator uses advanced filters for confirmation:
Requires consecutive breakout signals to reduce false positives
Strong volume confirmation requirements (40% above average)
Significant price movement thresholds
Consistency checks between price action and indicators
5. Market Metrics and Analysis
Price Change Percentage (CHG%)
Displays the current percentage change relative to the previous day's close, color-coded green for positive changes and red for negative changes.
Average Daily Range (ADR%)
Calculates the average daily percentage range over a specified period (default 20 days), helping traders gauge volatility and set appropriate price targets.
Average True Range (ATR)
Shows the Average True Range value, a volatility indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Displays the standard 14-period RSI, a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100.
6. External Market Indicators
QQQ Change
Shows the percentage change in the Invesco QQQ Trust (tracking the Nasdaq-100 Index), useful for understanding broader tech market trends.
UVIX Change
Displays the percentage change in UVIX, a volatility index, providing insight into market fear and potential hedging activity.
BTC-USD
Shows the current Bitcoin price from Coinbase, useful for traders monitoring crypto correlation with equities.
Market Breadth (BRD)
Calculates the percentage difference between ATHI.US and ATLO.US (high vs. low securities), indicating overall market direction and strength.
7. Session Analysis and Volume Direction
Session Detection
The script accurately identifies different market sessions:
Pre-market: 4:00 AM to 9:30 AM
Regular market: 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM
After-hours: 4:00 PM to 8:00 PM
Closed: Outside trading hours
This detection works on any timeframe through careful calculation of current time in seconds.
Buy/Sell Volume Direction
The script analyzes buying and selling pressure by:
Counting up volume when close > open
Counting down volume when close < open
Tracking accumulated volume within the day
Calculating intraday pressure (up volume minus down volume)
Enhanced AVOL Calculation
The improved AVOL calculation works in all timeframes by:
Estimating typical pre-market and after-hours volume percentages
Combining yesterday's after-hours with today's pre-market volume
Calculating this as a percentage of the 21-day average volume
Determining buying/selling pressure by analyzing after-hours and pre-market price changes
Color-coding results: green for buying pressure, red for selling pressure
This calculation is particularly valuable because it works consistently across any timeframe.
Customization Options
Display Settings
The dashboard has two customizable tables: Volume Table and Metrics Table, with positions selectable as bottom_left or bottom_right.
All metrics can be individually toggled on/off:
Pre-market data (PVOL, P$VOL, PRVOL, PCHG%)
Volume data (AVOL, RVOL Day, RVOL 90D, Volume, SEED_YASHALGO_NSE_BREADTH:VOLUME )
Price metrics (ADR%, ATR, RSI, Price Change%)
Market indicators (QQQ, UVIX, Breadth, BTC-USD)
Analysis indicators (Volume Trend, BB Squeeze, Pre-Breakout, Breakout)
These toggle options allow traders to customize the dashboard to show only the metrics they find most valuable for their trading style.
Table and Text Customization
The dashboard's appearance can be customized:
Table background color via tableBgColor
Text color (White or Black) via textColorOption
The indicator uses smart formatting for volume and price values, automatically adding appropriate suffixes (K, M, B) for readability.
MACD Configuration for VTR
The Volume Trend calculation incorporates MACD with customizable parameters:
Fast Length: Controls the period for the fast EMA (default 3)
Slow Length: Controls the period for the slow EMA (default 9)
Signal Length: Controls the period for the signal line EMA (default 5)
MACD Weight: Controls how much influence MACD has on the volume trend score (default 0.3)
These settings allow traders to fine-tune how momentum is factored into the volume trend analysis.
Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel Settings
The Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels used for squeeze detection have preset (hidden) parameters:
BB Length: 20 periods
BB Multiplier: 2.0 standard deviations
Keltner Length: 20 periods
Keltner Multiplier: 1.5 ATR
These settings follow standard practice for squeeze detection while maintaining simplicity in the user interface.
Practical Trading Applications
Complete Trading Strategies
1. Squeeze Breakout Strategy
This strategy combines multiple components of the indicator:
Wait for a strong squeeze (SQZ showing ●)
Look for pre-breakout confirmation (PBK showing ● in green or red)
Enter when breakout is confirmed (BK showing ● in same direction)
Use VTR to confirm volume supports the move (VTR ≥ 65 for bullish or ≤ 35 for bearish)
Set profit targets based on ADR (Average Daily Range)
Exit when VTR begins to weaken or changes direction
2. Volume Divergence Strategy
This strategy focuses on the volume trend relative to price:
Identify when price makes a new high but VTR fails to confirm (divergence)
Look for VTR to show weakening trend (● changing to ◯ or ·)
Prepare for potential reversal when SQZ begins to form
Enter counter-trend position when PBK confirms reversal direction
Use external indicators (QQQ, BTC, Breadth) to confirm broader market support
3. Pre-Market Edge Strategy
This strategy leverages pre-market data:
Monitor AVOL for unusual pre-market activity (significantly above 100%)
Check pre-market price change direction (PCHG%)
Enter position at market open if VTR confirms direction
Use SQZ to determine if volatility is likely to expand
Exit based on RVOL declining or price reaching +/- ADR for the day
Market Context Integration
The indicator provides valuable context for trading decisions:
QQQ change shows tech market direction
BTC price shows crypto market correlation
UVIX change indicates volatility expectations
Breadth measurement shows market internals
This context helps traders avoid fighting the broader market and align trades with overall market direction.
Timeframe Optimization
The indicator is designed to work across different timeframes:
For day trading: Focus on AVOL, VTR, PBK/BK, and use shorter momentum periods
For swing trading: Focus on SQZ duration, VTR strength, and broader market indicators
For position trading: Focus on larger VTR trends and use EMA alignment weight
Advanced Analytical Components
Enhanced Volume Trend Score Calculation
The VTR score calculation is sophisticated, with the base score starting at 50 and adjusting for:
Price direction (up/down)
Volume relative to average (high/normal/low)
Volume acceleration/deceleration
Market conditions (bull/bear)
Additional factors are then applied, including:
MACD influence weighted by strength and direction
Volume change rate influence (speed)
Price/volume divergence effects
EMA alignment scores
Volatility adjustments
Breakout strength factors
Price action confirmations
The final score is clamped between 0-100, with values above 50 indicating bullish conditions and below 50 indicating bearish conditions.
Anti-False Signal Filters
The indicator employs multiple techniques to reduce false signals:
Requiring significant price range (minimum percentage movement)
Demanding strong volume confirmation (significantly above average)
Checking for consistent direction across multiple indicators
Requiring prior bar consistency (consecutive bars moving in same direction)
Counting consecutive signals to filter out noise
These filters help eliminate noise and focus on high-probability setups.
MACD Enhancement and Integration
The indicator enhances standard MACD analysis:
Calculating MACD relative strength compared to recent history
Normalizing MACD slope relative to volatility
Detecting MACD acceleration for stronger signals
Integrating MACD crossovers with other confirmation factors
EMA Analysis System
The indicator uses a comprehensive EMA analysis system:
Calculating multiple EMAs (5, 10, 21 periods)
Detecting golden cross (10 EMA crosses above 21 EMA)
Detecting death cross (10 EMA crosses below 21 EMA)
Assessing price position relative to EMAs
Measuring EMA separation percentage
Recent Enhancements and Evolution
Version 5.2 includes several improvements:
Enhanced AVOL to show buying/selling direction through color coding
Improved VTR with adaptive analysis based on market conditions
AVOL display now works in all timeframes through sophisticated estimation
Removed animal symbols and streamlined code with bright colors for better visibility
Improved anti-false signal filters throughout the system
Optimizing Indicator Settings
For Different Market Types
Range-Bound Markets:
Lower EMA Alignment Weight (0.2-0.4)
Higher Speed of Change Weight (0.8-1.0)
Focus on SQZ and PBK signals for breakout potential
Trending Markets:
Higher EMA Alignment Weight (0.7-1.0)
Moderate Speed of Change Weight (0.4-0.6)
Focus on VTR strength and BK confirmations
Volatile Markets:
Enable Volatility Filter
Enable Adaptive Volume Analysis
Lower Momentum Period (2-3)
Focus on strong volume confirmation (VTR ≥ 80 or ≤ 20)
For Different Asset Classes
Equities:
Standard settings work well
Pay attention to AVOL for gap potential
Monitor QQQ correlation
Futures:
Consider higher Volume/RVOL weight
Reduce MACD weight slightly
Pay close attention to SQZ duration
Crypto:
Higher volatility thresholds may be needed
Monitor BTC price for correlation
Focus on stronger confirmation signals
Integrated Visual System for Trading Decisions
The colored circle indicators create an intuitive visual system for quick market assessment:
Progression Sequence: SQZ (Squeeze) → PBK (Pre-Breakout) → BK (Breakout)
This sequence often occurs in order, with the squeeze leading to pre-breakout conditions, followed by an actual breakout.
VTR (Volume Trend): Provides context about the volume supporting these movements.
Color Coding: Green for bullish conditions, red for bearish conditions, and orange/gray for neutral or undefined conditions.
ZenAlgo - LevelsThis script combines multiple anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) calculations into a single tool, providing a continuous record of past VWAP levels and highlighting when price has tested them. Typically, VWAP indicators show only the current VWAP for a single anchor period, requiring you to either keep re-anchoring manually or juggle multiple instances of different VWAP tools for each timeframe. By contrast, this script automatically tracks both the ongoing VWAP and previously completed VWAP values, along with real-time detection of “tests” (when price crosses a particular VWAP level). It’s especially valuable for traders who want to see how price has interacted with VWAP over several sessions, weeks, or months—without switching between separate indicators or manually setting anchors.
Below is a comprehensive explanation of each component, why multiple VWAP lines working together can be more informative than a single line, and how to adjust the script for various markets and trading styles:
Primary VWAP vs. Historical VWAP Lines - Standard VWAP indicators typically focus on the current line only. This script also calculates a primary VWAP, but it “locks in” each completed VWAP value when a new time anchor is detected (e.g., new weekly bar, new monthly bar, new session). As a result, you retain an ongoing history of VWAP lines for every completed anchored period. This is more powerful than manually setting up multiple VWAP tools—one for each desired timeframe—because everything is handled in a single script. You avoid chart clutter and the risk of forgetting to reset your manual VWAP at the correct bar.
Why Combine Multiple Anchored VWAP Lines in One Script? - Viewing several anchored VWAP lines together offers synergy . You see not only the current VWAP but also previous ones from different sessions or months, all within the same chart pane. This synergy becomes apparent if multiple historical VWAP lines cluster near the same price level, indicating a potentially significant zone of volume-based support or resistance. Handling this manually would involve repeatedly setting separate VWAP indicators, each reset at specific points, which is time-consuming and prone to error. In this script, the process is automated: as soon as the anchor changes, a completed VWAP line is stored so you can observe how price eventually reacts to it, repeatedly or not at all.
Automated “Test” Detection - Once a historical VWAP line is set, the script tracks when price crosses it in subsequent bars. If the high and low of a bar span that line, the script marks it in red (both the line and its label). It also keeps a counter of how many times each line has been tested. This method goes beyond a simple visual approach by quantifying the retests. Because all these lines are created and managed in one place, you don’t have to manually label the lines or check them one by one.
Advantages Over Manually Setting Multiple VWAPs
You save screen space: Instead of layering several VWAP indicators, each with unique settings, this single script plots them all on one overlay.
Automation: When a new anchor period begins, the script “closes out” the old VWAP and starts a new one. You never need to remember to reset it manually.
Retest Visualization: The script not only draws each line but also changes color and updates the label automatically if a line gets tested. Doing this by hand would be labor-intensive.
Unified Parameters: All settings (e.g., array size, max distance, test count limit) apply uniformly. You can manage them from one place, instead of configuring multiple separate tools.
Extended Insight with Multiple VWAP Lines
Since VWAP reflects the volume-weighted average price for each chosen period, historical lines can show zones where the market had a fair-value consensus in previous intervals. When the script preserves these lines, you see potential support/resistance areas more distinctly. If, for instance, price continually pivots around an old VWAP line, that may reveal a strong volume-based level. With several older VWAP lines on the chart, you gain an immediate sense of where these volume-derived averages have appeared and how price reacted over time. This wider perspective often proves more revealing than a single “current” VWAP line that does not reflect previous anchor sessions.
Handling of Illiquid Markets and Volume Limitations
VWAP is inherently tied to volume data, so its reliability decreases if volume reporting is missing or if the asset trades with very low liquidity. In such cases, a single large trade might momentarily skew the VWAP, resulting in “false” test signals when the high/low range intersects an abnormal price swing. If you suspect the data is incomplete or the market is unusually thin, it’s wise to confirm the validity of these VWAP lines before using them for any decision-making. Additionally, unusual market conditions—like after-hours trading or sudden high-volatility events—may cause VWAP to shift quickly, setting up multiple lines in a short time.
Key User-Configurable Settings
Hide VWAP on Day timeframe and above : Lets you disable the primary VWAP plot on daily or higher timeframes for a cleaner view.
Anchor Period : Select from Session, Week, Month, Quarter, Year, Decade or Century. Controls how frequently the script resets and preserves the VWAP line.
Offset : Moves the current VWAP line by a specified number of bars if you need a shifted perspective.
Max Array Size : Caps how many past VWAP lines the script will remember. Prevents clutter if you’re charting very long histories.
Max Distance : Defines how far back (in bar index units) a line is kept. If a line’s start bar is older than this threshold, it’s removed, keeping the chart uncluttered.
Max Red Labels : Limits the number of tested (red) VWAP lines that appear. If price tests a large number of old lines, only the newest red labels remain once you hit the set limit.
Workflow Overview
As soon as a new anchor period begins (e.g., a new weekly candle if “Week” is chosen), the script ends the current VWAP and stores that final value in its internal arrays.
It creates a dotted line and label representing the completed VWAP, and keeps track of whether it has been tested or not.
Subsequent bars may then cross that line. If a bar’s high/low includes the line’s value, it’s flagged as tested, labeled red, and a test counter increases.
As new anchored periods come, old lines remain visible—unless they fall outside your maxDistance or you exceed the maximum stored line count.
Real-World Benefits
Combining multiple VWAP lines—ranging, for example, from session-based lines for intraday perspectives to monthly or quarterly lines for broader context—provides a layered view of the volume-based fair price. This can help you quickly spot zones where price repeatedly intersects old VWAPs, potentially highlighting where bulls or bears took action historically. Because this script automates the management of all these lines and flags their retests, it removes a great deal of repetitive manual work that would typically accompany multiple, separate VWAP indicators set to different anchors.
Limitations & Practical Use
As with any volume-related tool, the script depends on reliable volume data. Assets trading on smaller venues or during illiquid periods may produce spurious signals. The script does not signal buy or sell decisions; rather, it helps visually map out where volume-weighted averages from previous periods might still be relevant to market behavior. Always combine the insight from these historical VWAP lines with your existing analytical approach or other technical and fundamental tools you use.
Conclusion
This script unifies past and present VWAP lines into one overlay, automatically detecting new anchor resets, storing the final VWAP values, and indicating whenever old lines are retested by price. It offers synergy through the simultaneous display of multiple historical VWAP lines, making it quicker and easier to detect potential support/resistance zones and better reflect changing market volumes over time. You no longer need to manually create, configure, or reset multiple VWAP indicators. Instead, the script handles all aspects of line creation, retest detection, and clutter management, giving you a robust framework to observe how historical VWAP data aligns with current price action.
By understanding the significance of multiple anchored VWAP lines, you can assess market structure from multiple angles in a single view. As always, ensure you confirm the reliability of the volume data for your particular asset and use these lines in conjunction with other analyses to form a well-rounded perspective on current market behavior.
BTIC Range MidpointsThis code analyzes and displays price ranges from 15:15-15:44 ET, the Basis Trade at Index Close session.
It draws horizontal lines showing:
The high of each session
The low of each session
The midpoint (50%) of each session
Connections between different session ranges (50% points between highs and lows)
Key features include:
Works only on 15-minute timeframes or lower
Stores up to 20 days of historical sessions (configurable)
Filters out ranges too far from current price
Color-codes different session ranges
Provides customizable line styles and colors
Labels each range with identifiers
The indicator essentially helps traders identify important price levels from BTIC sessions, which could serve as potential support/resistance areas for future price action.
Timezone Highlight v1.0Features Explained:
Customizable Time Settings:
Easily adjust the opening and closing times for each session to fit your local time zone or trading preferences.
Color-Coded Sessions:
New York : Blue
London : Yellow
Tokyo : Red
Sydney : Green
You can modify the colors or transparency in the script.
Dynamic Highlighting:
Automatically highlights the active trading session based on the current time.
This Pine Script is user-friendly and designed to provide immediate visual insights into global market activity. Let me know if you need further enhancements!
Its my first script so please don't be too strict!
ICT Opening Range GapOpening Range Gap
The Opening Range Gap, also known as the Regular Trading Hours (RTH) Gap, is the distance between the first opening tick of a session and the previous session's close, when looking at a chart's Regular Trading Hours (not to be confused with Electronic Trading Hours). This gap is an important element for Futures Market traders that follow the works of The Inner Circle Trader (ICT). To be more specific, the Opening Range Gap occurs between 4:15pm and 9:30am of the next day.
The Opening Range Gap can be viewed easily when switching the session type to "Regular trading hours".
The image above shows an example of an RTH Gap for Wednesday, June 12, 2024 in CME_MINI:ES1!
How To Use Opening Range Gap
The Opening Range Gap can be used like any other form of a gap by extending it into future price action and looking for it to be filled on the same day or the upcoming days.
Looking for 50% of the gap to be filled as an initial target is one of the methodologies taught by ICT. Additionally, the high and low of the gap (as well as the midpoint) can be used as points of dynamic support & resistance, even if the gap is already filled. Therefore, these gaps do not "expire", and they can be used as key price levels extended through to the end of the week.
Disclaimer
This indicator is mainly intended to work for Futures markets, and specifically the following Index Futures markets: E-mini S&P 500 Futures, E-mini NASDAQ-100 Futures, E-mini DOW Futures.
Given that, the indicator still supports various other markets/assets out-of-the-box, such as other types of Futures Markets, Stocks, Options, and more. The main difference will be that other markets may have RTH Gaps forming at different times, rather than the 4:15pm-9:30am gap that occurs in the Index Futures (Regular trading hours).
Indicator Purpose
While RTH Gaps can be labeled by hand, this indicator allows you to quickly plot multiple RTH Gaps and get a quick glimpse at potential gaps that you may have missed, which could end up being useful in your analysis.
This indicator is 100% custom-built, not using code from any other existing indicators that may plot Opening Range Gaps. The main purpose of this indicator was to overcome many shortcomings from other existing indicators, most notably the problem of displaying RTH Gaps while using ETH as the chart session.
Therefore, this indicator has many UNIQUE features, such as:
Ability to maintain accuracy of the closing/opening prices even when changing chart settings (e.g., toggling ETH/RTH sessions, toggling BACK-ADJUSTMENT on futures contracts, toggling SETTLEMENT prices, etc.).
Draw up to 25 previous Opening Range Gaps, even on ultra-low timeframes like the 1-minute or 1-second chart.
Automatically or manually choose which Opening Range Gaps to hide/show on the chart.
Highly customizable, including a different color scheme to easily distinguish between the Current and Previous RTH Gaps.
Modified price values to correctly display prices that use a format like 109'32 (e.g., Bond Futures or Wheat Futures).
Helpful tooltips to provide more detailed information about the RTH Gaps or about the current Input Settings.
Error Messages
There are some conditions which can cause the script to fail and display an error message (by clicking the red exclamation mark next to the indicator.)
Error messages:
Use a Standard Chart Type : this will occur when using a non-standard chart such as Heikin Ashi, Renko, Point & Figure, etc.
Use a Daily or Lower Timeframe : this error will appear when using a higher timeframe chart like weekly or monthly, because it can clutter the chart since RTH Gaps can form every day.
RTH Gap was not detected : this means that no RTH gap was found, which will occur on markets that don't have the option to toggle between ETH and RTH sessions (e.g., Forex or Crypto).
Exceeded the maximum lookback for Bar Replay mode : when using bar replay mode; this can depend on the amount of historical bars available in different account subscription types.
Unable to Activate Bar Replay mode : if the indicator could not be used in Bar Replay mode.
Restart Bar Replay : if the indicator works in Bar Replay but it detected an error that would cause RTH Gaps to be plotted incorrectly.
This is an example of what a script error would look like.
Indicator Settings
Most settings are self-explanatory or have a tooltip with information on what the setting does, but this section will only briefly cover the available settings.
Extend to End of Day : This setting is enabled by default. It will extend each RTH Gap only up to the end of its day (specifically, to the RTH close of the day). The option can be toggled OFF to automatically extend all RTH Gaps to the right-most candle on the chart.
Previous RTH Gaps : Between 1 and 25 previous RTH Gaps can be displayed. The checkbox can be toggled to quickly hide all previous RTH Gaps (but the same effect would be reached by setting the value to 0).
Hide Current RTH Gap : The Current RTH Gap (most recent one), can be optionally hidden from being plotted.
Beginning Anchor Point : Choose the beginning anchor point for all RTH Gaps. The default is "RTH Close", which means that each gap will be drawn on the chart starting from their previous session's RTH close @ 4:15pm. But it will be a more transparent version of the actual gap; this ghost-like image will extend from 4:15pm all the way up to 9:30am where the gap will then be drawn normally from 9:30am onwards. The other option for this setting is "RTH Open" which means that the gap will be drawn starting from the actual 9:30am opening.
Current RTH Gap Style
These settings are used to customize the visual style of the most recent RTH Gap (also known as the "Current" RTH Gap). Note: the exact same set of settings are available for the Previous RTH Gaps. The text label next to each gap can be optionally hidden to clean the chart a little.
Price Table
These are settings to customize the appearance of the Price Table on the right, including the ability to hide it completely. Note: to actually use the color configurations, you must select "Custom Style" in one of the dropdowns, otherwise it will use "Default Style" which means that the Price Table is automatically styled based on the colors chosen in the Current RTH Gap Style and Previous RTH Gap Style settings.
Overlap Handling
One of 7 available overlap handling options can be used to filter which RTH Gaps are plotted on the chart. By default, the "None" option will be selected, meaning that all valid RTH Gaps are plotted on the chart.
Formatting
Date Format : select the format of the date that is shown next to each RTH Gaps.
Timezone : choose the timezone for the RTH Gap closing/opening date-times that are displayed (only in tooltips when you hover over an RTH Gap label).
RTH Gap Label : choose the details to display next to each gap (e.g., date, or gap number, or both).
Price Format : only two options: Auto/Decimal. "Auto" uses custom processing to allow displaying values such as 109'32 for Bond futures.
Tooltips
The indicator provides additional details about an RTH Gap when you hover over a row in the Price Table.
Note: the same information can be found by hovering over the Text Label that is to the right of each RTH Gap (even when the Text Label is disabled via the Settings).
Overlap Handling
The tooltip next to "Select a Strategy" in the options will provide details on each overlap handling strategy. Additionally, when a strategy is selected, a new row in the Price Table will appear; hovering over that will show details about the currently selected strategy, as well as any suggestions in case the inputs were invalid. When a strategy hides an RTH Gap, the number in the Price Table will be replaced with an "Eye" icon, indicating that it is not currently plotted on the chart.
Available strategies are:
Option 1 (Gradients) : select the percentage opacity to shade RTH Gaps in. The more recent RTH Gaps will be closer to the maximum opacity defined, while the older RTH Gaps will appear more transparent, closer to the minimum opacity defined. Note: only affects previous RTH Gaps, not the current RTH Gap.
Option 2 (Day Extension) : select the number of days to extend each RTH Gap up to. Note: this will override the "Extend to End of Day" setting, regardless whether it is toggled ON or OFF.
Option 3 (Nested Gaps) : hides nested gaps, i.e., RTH Gaps that are enclosed within another RTH Gap. Note: this option is only available when the "Extend to End of Day" setting is disabled .
Option 4 (Intersecting Gaps) : hides intersecting/overlapping gaps, i.e., RTH Gaps that overlap one another (this may also include, but is not limited to, nested gaps). The drop-down next to this option allows choosing the priority of which RTH Gaps to hide first. Note: this option is only available when the "Extend to End of Day" setting is disabled .
Option 5 (Gap Width) : the chart will only show RTH Gaps that have a width/size between the defined parameters.
Option 6 (Close Proximity) : the chart will only show the RTH Gaps that are within a certain range from the market price. This can be useful when plotting multiple RTH Gaps while using auto-scaling on the chart. By only showing nearby RTH Gaps, it will prevent the auto-scaling from having to compress the candles to fit the far-away RTH Gaps onto the screen.
Option 7 (CSV) : this option is used if none of the others suit you well; it allows specifically choosing which RTH Gaps to hide or show on the chart.
This is an example that chooses the Overlap Handling Strategy Option 6. Note that in this example, the tooltip in the price table shows a warning that the Input Number should be increased to plot some RTH Gaps on the chart.
Tips
Chart settings can be toggled to "Scale price chart only" to prevent the auto-scaling of TradingView from compressing the chart if there are RTH Gaps that are far away from the current market action.
If you change a lot of indicator settings such as RTH Gap color schemes, you can save the settings as the Default to prevent your settings from resetting the next time you use the indicator.
GOLDEN BOX**Golden Box Trading Strategy Indicator**
The "Golden Box" trading strategy indicator is a visual tool designed to facilitate the execution of the Golden Box trading strategy on the TradingView platform. This strategy involves identifying potential buy and sell signals based on specific price movements within defined trading sessions.
**Features:**
- Custom session definition with adjustable time and time zone settings.
- Real-time tracking of session high, low, open, and close prices.
- Visual representation of trading sessions with highlighted high and low price ranges.
- Condition-based buy and sell signals based on closing prices and session levels.
- Informative tables outlining step-by-step strategy execution for both buy and sell scenarios.
**Strategy Highlights:**
- **Buy Strategy:** Wait for Monday's session completion. If the last candle's closing price is above the session's 50% level, set a pending buy limit order. Stop loss at the session high (100% level), take profits at 75% and 100%.
- **Sell Strategy:** Wait for Monday's session completion. If the last candle's closing price is below the session's 50% level, place a pending sell limit order. Stop loss at the session high (100% level), take profits at 25% and 0%.
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes and does not offer financial advice. Thoroughly understand the strategy and conduct testing before implementing it in live trading.
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Feel free to modify this description to align with your preferences and to add any additional information that you believe will help users understand the indicator and strategy better.
LANZ Strategy 2.0🔷 LANZ Strategy 2.0 — London Breakout Confirmation with Structural Swing Protection
LANZ Strategy 2.0 is a structured trading system that leverages the last confirmed market direction before the London session to define directional bias and manage trades based on key structural swing levels. It is tailored for intraday traders looking to capitalize on early London volatility with built-in risk management and visual clarity.
🧠 Core Components:
Directional Confirmation (Pre-London Bias): Validates the last breakout or structural move from the 15-minute timeframe before 02:15 a.m. New York time (start of the London session), establishing the expected market direction.
Time-Based Execution: Executes potential entries strictly at 02:15 a.m. NY time, using market structure to support Long or Short bias.
Dynamic Swing-Based SL System: Allows user to select between three SL protection models: First Swing (most recent structural point) Second Swing (prior level) Total Coverage (includes both swings + extra buffer) This supports flexibility based on trader profile or market conditions.
Visual Risk Mapping: All SL and TP levels are clearly plotted.
End-of-Session Management: Positions are automatically evaluated for closure at 11:45 a.m. NY time. SL, TP, or manual close outcomes are labeled accordingly.
📊 Visual Features:
Labels for 1st and 2nd swing levels upon entry.
Dynamic lines projecting SL/TP levels toward the end of the session.
Session background coloring for Pre-London, Execution, and NY sessions.
Real-time percentage outcome labels (+2.00%, -1.00%, or net % at session end).
Automatic deletion of previous visuals on new entries for clean charting.
⚙️ How It Works:
Detects last structural breakout on the 15m timeframe before 02:15 a.m. NY.
On the 02:15 a.m. candle, executes a Long or Short logic entry.
Plots corresponding SL and TP based on selected swing model.
Monitors price action: If TP or SL is hit, labels it accordingly. If no exit is hit, trade closes manually at 11:45 a.m. NY with net result shown.
Optional logic to reverse entries if market structure breaks before execution.
🔔 Alerts:
Daily execution alert at 02:15 a.m. NY (prompting manual review or action).
Optional alert logic can be extended for SL/TP hits or structure breaks.
📝 Notes:
Designed for semi-automated or discretionary intraday trading.
Best used on Forex pairs or indices with strong London session behavior.
Adjustable parameters include session hours, swing SL type, and buffer settings.
Credits:
Developed by LANZ, this script combines time-based execution with dynamic structure protection, offering a disciplined framework for participating in the London session breakout with clear visuals and risk logic.