COT (Legacy): Open InterestOpen Interest from legacy commitment of traders (COT) report. For the main symbol but also allows to override it. Also allows to include options in consideration.
Pesquisar nos scripts por "sentiment"
CFTC: COT (Legacy)Commitment of Traders based on legacy format taken from quandl.com. In this version you need to select product when applying the indicator. In future version there might be some kind of auto mapping based on current symbol.
Volume Profile Grid [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated volume distribution analysis system that transforms market activity into institutional-grade visual profiles, revealing hidden support/resistance zones and market participant behavior. Utilizing advanced price level segmentation, bullish/bearish volume separation, and dynamic range analysis, the Volume Profile Grid delivers comprehensive market structure insights with Point of Control (POC) identification, Value Area boundaries, and volume delta analysis. The system features intelligent visualization modes, real-time sentiment analysis, and flexible range selection to provide traders with clear, actionable volume-based market context.
🔶 Dynamic Range Analysis Engine
Implements dual-mode range selection with visible chart analysis and fixed period lookback, automatically adjusting to current market view or analyzing specified historical periods. The system intelligently calculates optimal bar counts while maintaining performance through configurable maximum limits, ensuring responsive profile generation across all timeframes with institutional-grade precision.
// Dynamic period calculation with intelligent caching
get_analysis_period() =>
if i_use_visible_range
chart_start_time = chart.left_visible_bar_time
current_time = last_bar_time
time_span = current_time - chart_start_time
tf_seconds = timeframe.in_seconds()
estimated_bars = time_span / (tf_seconds * 1000)
range_bars = math.floor(estimated_bars)
final_bars = math.min(range_bars, i_max_visible_bars)
math.max(final_bars, 50) // Minimum threshold
else
math.max(i_periods, 50)
🔶 Advanced Bull/Bear Volume Separation
Employs sophisticated candle classification algorithms to separate bullish and bearish volume at each price level, with weighted distribution based on bar intersection ratios. The system analyzes open/close relationships to determine volume direction, applying proportional allocation for doji patterns and ensuring accurate representation of buying versus selling pressure across the entire price spectrum.
🔶 Multi-Mode Volume Visualization
Features three distinct display modes for bull/bear volume representation: Split mode creates mirrored profiles from a central axis, Side by Side mode displays sequential bull/bear segments, and Stacked mode separates volumes vertically. Each mode offers unique insights into market participant behavior with customizable width, thickness, and color parameters for optimal visual clarity.
// Bull/Bear volume calculation with weighted distribution
for bar_offset = 0 to actual_periods - 1
bar_high = high
bar_low = low
bar_volume = volume
// Calculate intersection weight
weight = math.min(bar_high, next_level) - math.max(bar_low, current_level)
weight := weight / (bar_high - bar_low)
weighted_volume = bar_volume * weight
// Classify volume direction
if bar_close > bar_open
level_bull_volume += weighted_volume
else if bar_close < bar_open
level_bear_volume += weighted_volume
else // Doji handling
level_bull_volume += weighted_volume * 0.5
level_bear_volume += weighted_volume * 0.5
🔶 Point of Control & Value Area Detection
Implements institutional-standard POC identification by locating the price level with maximum volume accumulation, providing critical support/resistance zones. The Value Area calculation uses sophisticated sorting algorithms to identify the price range containing 70% of trading volume, revealing the market's accepted value zone where institutional participants concentrate their activity.
🔶 Volume Delta Analysis System
Incorporates real-time volume delta calculation with configurable dominance thresholds to identify significant bull/bear imbalances. The system visually highlights price levels where buying or selling pressure exceeds threshold percentages, providing immediate insight into directional volume flow and potential reversal zones through color-coded delta indicators.
// Value Area calculation using 70% volume accumulation
total_volume_sum = array.sum(total_volumes)
target_volume = total_volume_sum * 0.70
// Sort volumes to find highest activity zones
for i = 0 to array.size(sorted_volumes) - 2
for j = i + 1 to array.size(sorted_volumes) - 1
if array.get(sorted_volumes, j) > array.get(sorted_volumes, i)
// Swap and track indices for value area boundaries
// Accumulate until 70% threshold reached
for i = 0 to array.size(sorted_indices) - 1
accumulated_volume += vol
array.push(va_levels, array.get(volume_levels, idx))
if accumulated_volume >= target_volume
break
❓How It Works
🔶 Weighted Volume Distribution
Implements proportional volume allocation based on the percentage of each bar that intersects with price levels. When a bar spans multiple levels, volume is distributed proportionally based on the intersection ratio, ensuring precise representation of trading activity across the entire price spectrum without double-counting or volume loss.
🔶 Real-Time Profile Generation
Profiles regenerate on each bar close when in visible range mode, automatically adapting to chart zoom and scroll actions. The system maintains optimal performance through intelligent caching mechanisms and selective line updates, ensuring smooth operation even with maximum resolution settings and extended analysis periods.
🔶 Market Sentiment Analysis
Features comprehensive volume analysis table displaying total volume metrics, bullish/bearish percentages, and overall market sentiment classification. The system calculates volume dominance ratios in real-time, providing immediate insight into whether buyers or sellers control the current price structure with percentage-based sentiment thresholds.
🔶 Visual Profile Mapping
Provides multi-layered visual feedback through colored volume bars, POC line highlighting, Value Area boundaries, and optional delta indicators. The system supports profile mirroring for alternative perspectives, line extension for future reference, and customizable label positioning with detailed price information at critical levels.
Why Choose Volume Profile Grid
The Volume Profile Grid represents the evolution of volume analysis tools, combining traditional volume profile concepts with modern visualization techniques and intelligent analysis algorithms. By integrating dynamic range selection, sophisticated bull/bear separation, and multi-mode visualization with POC/Value Area detection, it provides traders with institutional-quality market structure analysis that adapts to any trading style. The comprehensive delta analysis and sentiment monitoring system eliminates guesswork while the flexible visualization options ensure optimal clarity across all market conditions, making it an essential tool for traders seeking to understand true market dynamics through volume-based price discovery.
US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84(5), 1397-1408.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147-180.
Cochrane, J. H. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton University Press.
Cormen, T. H., Leiserson, C. E., Rivest, R. L., & Stein, C. (2009). Introduction to algorithms. MIT Press.
Doz, C., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2011). A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering. Journal of Econometrics, 164(1), 188-205.
Dzeng, R. J., & Lin, Y. C. (2004). Intelligent agents for supporting construction procurement negotiation. Expert Systems with Applications, 27(1), 107-119.
Elliot, A. J., & Maier, M. A. (2014). Color psychology: Effects of perceiving color on psychological functioning in humans. Annual Review of Psychology, 65, 95-120.
Few, S. (2006). Information dashboard design: The effective visual communication of data. O'Reilly Media.
Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. Macmillan.
Foley, J. D., van Dam, A., Feiner, S. K., & Hughes, J. F. (1995). Computer graphics: Principles and practice. Addison-Wesley.
Gordon, M. J. (1962). The investment, financing, and valuation of the corporation. Richard D. Irwin.
Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economics, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
Koenig, E. F. (2002). Using the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy. Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1(6), 1-14.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstfeld, M. (2009). International economics: Theory and policy. Pearson.
Ludvigson, S. C. (2004). Consumer confidence and consumer spending. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(2), 29-50.
Macaulay, F. R. (1938). Some theoretical problems suggested by the movements of interest rates, bond yields and stock prices in the United States since 1856. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Mishkin, F. S. (2012). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Pearson.
Nielsen, J. (1993). Usability engineering. Academic Press.
Norman, D. A. (2013). The design of everyday things: Revised and expanded edition. Basic Books.
OECD (2008). Handbook on constructing composite indicators: Methodology and user guide. OECD Publishing.
Oppenheim, A. V., & Schafer, R. W. (2009). Discrete-time signal processing. Prentice Hall.
Sahm, C. (2019). Direct stimulus payments to individuals. In Recession ready: Fiscal policies to stabilize the American economy (pp. 67-92). The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution.
Siegel, J. J. (2002). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns and long-term investment strategies. McGraw-Hill.
Sommerville, I. (2016). Software engineering. Pearson.
Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (1989). New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 4, 351-394.
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Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
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Yardeni, E. (2003). Stock valuation models. Topical Study, 38. Yardeni Research.
RSI Shift Zone [ChartPrime]OVERVIEW
RSI Shift Zone is a sentiment-shift detection tool that bridges momentum and price action. It plots dynamic channel zones directly on the price chart whenever the RSI crosses above or below critical thresholds (default: 70 for overbought, 30 for oversold). These plotted zones reveal where market sentiment likely flipped, helping traders pinpoint powerful support/resistance clusters and breakout opportunities in real time.
⯁ HOW IT WORKS
When the RSI crosses either the upper or lower level:
A new Shift Zone channel is instantly formed.
The channel’s boundaries anchor to the high and low of the candle at the moment of crossing.
A mid-line (average of high and low) is plotted for easy visual reference.
The channel remains visible on the chart for at least a user-defined minimum number of bars (default: 15) to ensure only meaningful shifts are highlighted.
The channel is color-coded to reflect bullish or bearish sentiment, adapting dynamically based on whether the RSI breached the upper or lower level. Labels with actual RSI values can also be shown inside the zone for added context.
⯁ KEY TECHNICAL DETAILS
Uses a standard RSI calculation (default length: 14).
Detects crossovers above the upper level (trend strength) and crossunders below the lower level (oversold exhaustion).
Applies the channel visually on the main chart , rather than only in the indicator pane — giving traders a precise map of where sentiment shifts have historically triggered price reactions.
Auto-clears the zone when the minimum bar length is satisfied and a new shift is detected.
⯁ USAGE
Traders can use these RSI Shift Zones as powerful tactical levels:
Treat the channel’s high/low boundaries as dynamic breakout lines — watch for candles closing beyond them to confirm fresh trend continuation.
Use the midline as an equilibrium reference for pullbacks within the zone.
Visual RSI value labels offer quick checks on whether the zone formed due to extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
CONCLUSION
RSI Shift Zone transforms a simple RSI threshold crossing into a meaningful structural tool by projecting sentiment flips directly onto the price chart. This empowers traders to see where momentum-based turning points occur and leverage those levels for breakout plays, reversals, or high-confidence support/resistance zones — all in one glance.
Liquidity Break Probability [PhenLabs]📊 Liquidity Break Probability
Version: PineScript™ v6
The Liquidity Break Probability indicator revolutionizes how traders approach liquidity levels by providing real-time probability calculations for level breaks. This advanced indicator combines sophisticated market analysis with machine learning inspired probability models to predict the likelihood of high/low breaks before they happen.
Unlike traditional liquidity indicators that simply draw lines, LBP analyzes market structure, volume profiles, momentum, volatility, and sentiment to generate dynamic break probabilities ranging from 5% to 95%. This gives traders unprecedented insight into which levels are most likely to hold or break, enabling more confident trading decisions.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Advanced 6-factor probability model weighing market structure, volatility, volume, momentum, patterns, and sentiment
Real-time probability updates that adjust as market conditions change
Intelligent trading style presets (Scalping, Day Trading, Swing Trading) with optimized parameters
Dynamic color-coded probability labels showing break likelihood percentages
Professional tiered input system - from quick setup to expert-level customization
Smart volume filtering that only highlights levels with significant institutional interest
🔧 Core Components
Market Structure Analysis: Evaluates trend alignment, level strength, and momentum buildup using EMA crossovers and price action
Volatility Engine: Incorporates ATR expansion, Bollinger Band positioning, and price distance calculations
Volume Profile System: Analyzes current volume strength, smart money proxies, and level creation volume ratios
Momentum Calculator: Combines RSI positioning, MACD strength, and momentum divergence detection
Pattern Recognition: Identifies reversal patterns (doji, hammer, engulfing) near key levels
Sentiment Analysis: Processes fear/greed indicators and market breadth measurements
🔥 Key Features
Dynamic Probability Labels: Real-time percentage displays showing break probability with color coding (red >70%, orange >50%, white <50%)
Trading Style Optimization: One-click presets automatically configure sensitivity and parameters for your trading timeframe
Professional Dashboard: Live market state monitoring with nearest level tracking and active level counts
Smart Alert System: Customizable proximity alerts and high-probability break notifications
Advanced Level Management: Intelligent line cleanup and historical analysis options
Volume-Validated Levels: Only displays levels backed by significant volume for institutional-grade analysis
🎨 Visualization
Recent Low Lines: Red lines marking validated support levels with probability percentages
Recent High Lines: Blue lines showing resistance zones with break likelihood indicators
Probability Labels: Color-coded percentage labels that update in real-time
Professional Dashboard: Customizable panel showing market state, active levels, and current price
Clean Display Modes: Toggle between active-only view for clean charts or historical view for analysis
📖 Usage Guidelines
Quick Setup
Trading Style Preset
Default: Day Trading
Options: Scalping, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Custom
Description: Automatically optimizes all parameters for your preferred trading timeframe and style
Show Break Probability %
Default: True
Description: Displays percentage labels next to each level showing break probability
Line Display
Default: Active Only
Options: Active Only, All Levels
Description: Choose between clean active-only view or comprehensive historical analysis
Level Detection Settings
Level Sensitivity
Default: 5
Range: 1-20
Description: Lower values show more levels (sensitive), higher values show fewer levels (selective)
Volume Filter Strength
Default: 2.0
Range: 0.5-5.0
Description: Controls minimum volume threshold for level validation
Advanced Probability Model
Market Trend Influence
Default: 25%
Range: 0-50%
Description: Weight given to overall market trend in probability calculations
Volume Influence
Default: 20%
Range: 0-50%
Description: Impact of volume analysis on break probability
✅ Best Use Cases
Identifying high-probability breakout setups before they occur
Determining optimal entry and exit points near key levels
Risk management through probability-based position sizing
Confluence trading when multiple high-probability levels align
Scalping opportunities at levels with low break probability
Swing trading setups using high-probability level breaks
⚠️ Limitations
Probability calculations are estimations based on historical patterns and current market conditions
High-probability setups do not guarantee successful trades - risk management is essential
Performance may vary significantly across different market conditions and asset classes
Requires understanding of support/resistance concepts and probability-based trading
Best used in conjunction with other analysis methods and proper risk management
💡 What Makes This Unique
Probability-Based Approach: First indicator to provide quantitative break probabilities rather than simple S/R lines
Multi-Factor Analysis: Combines 6 different market factors into a comprehensive probability model
Adaptive Intelligence: Probabilities update in real-time as market conditions change
Professional Interface: Tiered input system from beginner-friendly to expert-level customization
Institutional-Grade Filtering: Volume validation ensures only significant levels are displayed
🔬 How It Works
1. Level Detection:
Identifies pivot highs and lows using configurable sensitivity settings
Validates levels with volume analysis to ensure institutional significance
2. Probability Calculation:
Analyzes 6 key market factors: structure, volatility, volume, momentum, patterns, sentiment
Applies weighted scoring system based on user-defined factor importance
Generates probability score from 5% to 95% for each level
3. Real-Time Updates:
Continuously monitors price action and market conditions
Updates probability calculations as new data becomes available
Adjusts for level touches and changing market dynamics
💡 Note: This indicator works best on timeframes from 1-minute to 4-hour charts. For optimal results, combine with proper risk management and consider multiple timeframe analysis. The probability calculations are most accurate in trending markets with normal to high volatility conditions.
Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM)Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM): A Multi-Factor Fundamental Analysis Framework for Oil Market Assessment
## 1. Introduction
The petroleum market represents one of the most complex and globally significant commodity markets, characterized by intricate supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, and substantial price volatility (Hamilton, 2009). Traditional fundamental analysis approaches often struggle to synthesize the multitude of relevant indicators into actionable insights due to data heterogeneity, temporal misalignment, and subjective weighting schemes (Baumeister & Kilian, 2016).
The Advanced Petroleum Market Model addresses these limitations through a systematic, quantitative approach that integrates 16 verified fundamental indicators across five critical market dimensions. The model builds upon established financial engineering principles while incorporating petroleum-specific market dynamics and adaptive learning mechanisms.
## 2. Theoretical Framework
### 2.1 Market Efficiency and Information Integration
The model operates under the assumption of semi-strong market efficiency, where fundamental information is gradually incorporated into prices with varying degrees of lag (Fama, 1970). The petroleum market's unique characteristics, including storage costs, transportation constraints, and geopolitical risk premiums, create opportunities for fundamental analysis to provide predictive value (Kilian, 2009).
### 2.2 Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Theory
Drawing from Ross's (1976) Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the model treats petroleum prices as driven by multiple systematic risk factors. The five-factor decomposition (Supply, Inventory, Demand, Trade, Sentiment) represents economically meaningful sources of systematic risk in petroleum markets (Chen et al., 1986).
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Data Sources and Quality Framework
The model integrates 16 fundamental indicators sourced from verified TradingView economic data feeds:
Supply Indicators:
- US Oil Production (ECONOMICS:USCOP)
- US Oil Rigs Count (ECONOMICS:USCOR)
- API Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USACR)
Inventory Indicators:
- US Crude Stock Changes (ECONOMICS:USCOSC)
- Cushing Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCCOS)
- API Crude Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCSC)
- API Gasoline Stocks (ECONOMICS:USGS)
- API Distillate Stocks (ECONOMICS:USDS)
Demand Indicators:
- Refinery Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USRCR)
- Gasoline Production (ECONOMICS:USGPRO)
- Distillate Production (ECONOMICS:USDFP)
- Industrial Production Index (FRED:INDPRO)
Trade Indicators:
- US Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCOI)
- US Oil Exports (ECONOMICS:USOE)
- API Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCI)
- Dollar Index (TVC:DXY)
Sentiment Indicators:
- Oil Volatility Index (CBOE:OVX)
### 3.2 Data Quality Monitoring System
Following best practices in quantitative finance (Lopez de Prado, 2018), the model implements comprehensive data quality monitoring:
Data Quality Score = Σ(Individual Indicator Validity) / Total Indicators
Where validity is determined by:
- Non-null data availability
- Positive value validation
- Temporal consistency checks
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization Framework
#### 3.3.1 Z-Score Normalization
The model employs robust Z-score normalization as established by Sharpe (1994) for cross-indicator comparability:
Z_i,t = (X_i,t - μ_i) / σ_i
Where:
- X_i,t = Raw value of indicator i at time t
- μ_i = Sample mean of indicator i
- σ_i = Sample standard deviation of indicator i
Z-scores are capped at ±3 to mitigate outlier influence (Tukey, 1977).
#### 3.3.2 Percentile Rank Transformation
For intuitive interpretation, Z-scores are converted to percentile ranks following the methodology of Conover (1999):
Percentile_Rank = (Number of values < current_value) / Total_observations × 100
### 3.4 Exponential Smoothing Framework
Signal smoothing employs exponential weighted moving averages (Brown, 1963) with adaptive alpha parameter:
S_t = α × X_t + (1-α) × S_{t-1}
Where α = 2/(N+1) and N represents the smoothing period.
### 3.5 Dynamic Threshold Optimization
The model implements adaptive thresholds using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Dynamic_Threshold = μ ± (k × σ)
Where k is the threshold multiplier adjusted for market volatility regime.
### 3.6 Composite Score Calculation
The fundamental score integrates component scores through weighted averaging:
Fundamental_Score = Σ(w_i × Score_i × Quality_i)
Where:
- w_i = Normalized component weight
- Score_i = Component fundamental score
- Quality_i = Data quality adjustment factor
## 4. Implementation Architecture
### 4.1 Adaptive Parameter Framework
The model incorporates regime-specific adjustments based on market volatility:
Volatility_Regime = σ_price / μ_price × 100
High volatility regimes (>25%) trigger enhanced weighting for inventory and sentiment components, reflecting increased market sensitivity to supply disruptions and psychological factors.
### 4.2 Data Synchronization Protocol
Given varying publication frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly), the model employs forward-fill synchronization to maintain temporal alignment across all indicators.
### 4.3 Quality-Adjusted Scoring
Component scores are adjusted for data quality to prevent degraded inputs from contaminating the composite signal:
Adjusted_Score = Raw_Score × Quality_Factor + 50 × (1 - Quality_Factor)
This formulation ensures that poor-quality data reverts toward neutral (50) rather than contributing noise.
## 5. Usage Guidelines and Best Practices
### 5.1 Configuration Recommendations
For Short-term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
- Lookback Period: 26 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 3-5 periods
- Confidence Period: 13 weeks
- Increase inventory and sentiment weights
For Medium-term Analysis (1-3 months):
- Lookback Period: 52 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 5-8 periods
- Confidence Period: 26 weeks
- Balanced component weights
For Long-term Analysis (3+ months):
- Lookback Period: 104 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 8-12 periods
- Confidence Period: 52 weeks
- Increase supply and demand weights
### 5.2 Signal Interpretation Framework
Bullish Signals (Score > 70):
- Fundamental conditions favor price appreciation
- Consider long positions or reduced short exposure
- Monitor for trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Bearish Signals (Score < 30):
- Fundamental conditions suggest price weakness
- Consider short positions or reduced long exposure
- Evaluate downside protection strategies
Neutral Range (30-70):
- Mixed fundamental environment
- Favor range-bound or volatility strategies
- Wait for clearer directional signals
### 5.3 Risk Management Considerations
1. Data Quality Monitoring: Continuously monitor the data quality dashboard. Scores below 75% warrant increased caution.
2. Regime Awareness: Adjust position sizing based on volatility regime indicators. High volatility periods require reduced exposure.
3. Correlation Analysis: Monitor correlation with crude oil prices to validate model effectiveness.
4. Fundamental-Technical Divergence: Pay attention when fundamental signals diverge from technical indicators, as this may signal regime changes.
### 5.4 Alert System Optimization
Configure alerts conservatively to avoid false signals:
- Set alert threshold at 75+ for high-confidence signals
- Enable data quality warnings to maintain system integrity
- Use trend reversal alerts for early regime change detection
## 6. Model Validation and Performance Metrics
### 6.1 Statistical Validation
The model's statistical robustness is ensured through:
- Out-of-sample testing protocols
- Rolling window validation
- Bootstrap confidence intervals
- Regime-specific performance analysis
### 6.2 Economic Validation
Fundamental accuracy is validated against:
- Energy Information Administration (EIA) official reports
- International Energy Agency (IEA) market assessments
- Commercial inventory data verification
## 7. Limitations and Considerations
### 7.1 Model Limitations
1. Data Dependency: Model performance is contingent on data availability and quality from external sources.
2. US Market Focus: Primary data sources are US-centric, potentially limiting global applicability.
3. Lag Effects: Some fundamental indicators exhibit publication lags that may delay signal generation.
4. Regime Shifts: Structural market changes may require model recalibration.
### 7.2 Market Environment Considerations
The model is optimized for normal market conditions. During extreme events (e.g., geopolitical crises, pandemics), additional qualitative factors should be considered alongside quantitative signals.
## References
Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2016). Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us. *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 30(1), 139-160.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. McGraw-Hill.
Brown, R. G. (1963). *Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series*. Prentice-Hall.
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. *Journal of Business*, 59(3), 383-403.
Conover, W. J. (1999). *Practical Nonparametric Statistics* (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. *Journal of Finance*, 25(2), 383-417.
Hamilton, J. D. (2009). Understanding crude oil prices. *Energy Journal*, 30(2), 179-206.
Kilian, L. (2009). Not all oil price shocks are alike: Disentangling demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market. *American Economic Review*, 99(3), 1053-1069.
Lopez de Prado, M. (2018). *Advances in Financial Machine Learning*. John Wiley & Sons.
Ross, S. A. (1976). The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. *Journal of Economic Theory*, 13(3), 341-360.
Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. *Journal of Portfolio Management*, 21(1), 49-58.
Tukey, J. W. (1977). *Exploratory Data Analysis*. Addison-Wesley.
Two Candle Theory (Filtered) - Labels & ColorsOverview
This Pine Script classifies each candle into one of nine sentiment categories based on how the candle closes within its own range and in relation to the previous candle’s high and low. It optionally filters the strongest bullish and bearish signals based on volume spikes.
The script is designed to help traders visually interpret market sentiment through configurable labels and candle colors.
⸻
Classification Logic
Each candle is assessed using two metrics:
1. Close Position – where the candle closes within its own high-low range (High, Mid, Low).
2. Close Comparison – how the current close compares to the previous candle’s high and low (Bull, Bear, or Range).
Based on this, a short label is assigned:
• Bullish Bias: Strongest (SBu), Moderate (MBu), Weak (WBu), Slight (SlB)
• Neutral: Neutral (N)
• Bearish Bias: Slight (SlS), Weak (WBa), Moderate (MBa), Strongest (SBa)
⸻
Volume Filter
A volume spike filter can be applied to the strongest signals:
• SBu and SBa are only shown if volume is significantly higher than the average (SMA × threshold).
• The filter is optional and user-configurable.
⸻
Display Options
Users can control:
• Whether to show labels, bar colors, or both.
• Which of the nine label types are visible.
• Custom colors for each label and corresponding bar.
⸻
Visual Output
• Labels appear above or below candles depending on bullish or bearish classification.
• Bar colors reflect sentiment for quicker visual scanning.
⸻
Use Case
Ideal for identifying momentum shifts, validating trade entries, and highlighting candles that break out of previous ranges with conviction and/or volume.
⸻
Summary
This script simplifies price action by translating each candle into an interpretable sentiment label and color. With optional volume filtering and full display customization, it offers a practical tool for discretionary and systematic traders alike.
COT3 - Flip Strength Index - Invincible3This indicator uses the TradingView COT library to visualize institutional positioning and potential sentiment or trend shifts. It compares the long% vs short% of commercial and non-commercial traders for both Pair A and Pair B, helping traders identify trend strength, market overextension, and early reversal signals.
🔷 COT RSI
The COT RSI normalizes the net positioning difference between non-commercial and commercial traders over (N=13, 26, and 52)-week periods. It ranges from 0 to 100, highlighting when sentiment is at bullish or bearish extremes.
COT RSI (N)= ((NC - C)−min)/(max-min) x100
🟡 COT Index
The COT Index tracks where the current non-commercial net position lies within its 1-year and 3-year historical range. It reflects institutional accumulation or distribution phases.
Strength represents the magnitude of that positioning bias, visualized through normalized RSI-style metrics.
COT Index (N)= (NC net)/(max-min) x100
🔁 Flip Detection
Flip refers to the crossovers between long% and short%, indicating a change in directional bias among trader groups. When long positions exceed shorts (or vice versa), it signals a possible market flip in sentiment or trend.
For example, Pair B commercial flip is calculated as:
Long% = (Long/Open Interest)×100
Short% = (Short/Open Interest)×100
Flip = Long%−Short%
A bullish flip occurs when long% overtakes short%, and vice versa for a bearish flip. These flips often precede price trend changes or confirm sentiment breakouts.
Flip captures how far current positioning deviates from historical norms — highlighting periods of institutional overconfidence or exhaustion, often leading to significant market turns.
This combination offers a multi-layered edge for identifying when smart money is flipping direction, and whether that flip has strong conviction or is likely to fade.
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Options Volume ProfileOptions Volume Profile
Introduction
Unlock institutional-level options analysis directly on your charts with Options Volume Profile - a powerful tool designed to visualize and analyze options market activity with precision and clarity. This indicator bridges the gap between technical price action and options flow, giving you a comprehensive view of market sentiment through the lens of options activity.
What Is Options Volume Profile?
Options Volume Profile is an advanced indicator that analyzes call and put option volumes across multiple strikes for any symbol and expiration date available on TradingView. It provides a real-time visual representation of where money is flowing in the options market, helping identify potential support/resistance levels, market sentiment, and possible price targets.
Key Features
Comprehensive Options Data Visualization
Dynamic strike-by-strike volume profile displayed directly on your chart
Real-time tracking of call and put volumes with custom visual styling
Clear display of important value areas including POC (Point of Control)
Value Area High/Low visualization with customizable line styles and colors
BK Daily Range Identification
Secondary lines marking significant volume thresholds
Visual identification of key strike prices with substantial options activity
Value Area Cloud Visualization
Configurable cloud overlays for value areas
Enhanced visual identification of high-volume price zones
Detailed Summary Table
Complete breakdown of call and put volumes per strike
Percentage analysis of call vs put activity for sentiment analysis
Color-coded volume data for instant pattern recognition
Price data for both calls and puts at each strike
Custom Strike Selection
Configure strikes above and below ATM (At The Money)
Flexible strike spacing and rounding options
Custom base symbol support for various options markets
Use Cases
1. Identifying Key Support & Resistance
Visualize where major options activity is concentrated to spot potential support and resistance zones. The POC and Value Area lines often act as magnets for price.
2. Analyzing Market Sentiment
Compare call versus put volume distribution to gauge directional bias. Heavy call volume suggests bullish sentiment, while heavy put volume indicates bearish positioning.
3. Planning Around Institutional Activity
Volume profile analysis reveals where professional traders are positioning themselves, allowing you to align with or trade against smart money.
4. Setting Precise Targets
Use the POC and Value Area High/Low lines as potential profit targets when planning your trades.
5. Spotting Unusual Options Activity
The color-coded volume table instantly highlights anomalies in options flow that may signal upcoming price movements.
Customization Options
The indicator offers extensive customization capabilities:
Symbol & Data Settings : Configure base symbol and data aggregation
Strike Selection : Define number of strikes above/below ATM
Expiration Date Settings : Set specific expiry dates for analysis
Strike Configuration : Customize strike spacing and rounding
Profile Visualization : Adjust offset, width, opacity, and height
Labels & Line Styles : Fully configurable text and visual elements
Value Area Settings : Customize POC and Value Area visualization
Secondary Line Settings : Configure the BK Daily Range appearance
Cloud Visualization : Add colored overlays for enhanced visibility
How to Use
Apply the indicator to your chart
Configure the expiration date to match your trading timeframe
Adjust strike selection and spacing to match your instrument
Use the volume profile and summary table to identify key levels
Trade with confidence knowing where the real money is positioned
Perfect for options traders, futures traders, and anyone who wants to incorporate institutional-level options analysis into their trading strategy.
Take your trading to the next level with Options Volume Profile - where price meets institutional positioning.
Dix$on's Weighted Volume FlowDixson's Weighted Volume Flow
Dixson's Weighted Volume Flow is a technical indicator designed to analyze and visualize the distribution of buy and sell volume within a given timeframe. It dynamically calculates the proportional allocation of volume based on price action within each bar, providing insights into market sentiment and activity. This indicator displays horizontal volume bars in a separate pane and annotates them with precise volume values.
How It Works
1. Volume Allocation:
- The indicator calculates buy and sell volume using the following formulas:
- Buy Volume = (Close - Low) / (High - Low) Total Volume
- Sell Volume = (High - Close) / (High - Low) Total Volume
- These formulas allocate volume proportionally based on the bar's price range, attributing more volume to buying or selling depending on the relationship between the close, high, and low prices.
2. Dynamic Scaling:
- The buy and sell volumes are scaled relative to their combined total for the period.
- The resulting values determine the length of the horizontal bars, providing a comparative view of buy and sell activity.
3. Bar Visualization:
- Buy Volume Bars: Displayed as green horizontal bars.
- Sell Volume Bars: Displayed as red horizontal bars.
- The lengths of the bars represent the dominance of buy or sell volume, scaled dynamically within the pane.
4. Labels:
- Each bar is annotated with a label showing its calculated buy or sell volume value.
5. Timeframe Adjustment:
- The indicator uses the request.security() function to fetch data from the selected timeframe, allowing users to customize their analysis for intraday, daily, or longer-term trends.
6. Customization Options:
- Enable or disable the indicator using a toggle.
- Adjust colors for the buy/sell bars and text labels to suit your chart theme.
How to Use It
1. Enable the Indicator:
- Activate the indicator using the "Enable/Disable" toggle in the settings.
2. Select a Timeframe:
- Choose the timeframe for analysis (e.g., 1-minute, 1-hour, daily). The indicator fetches volume data specific to the selected timeframe.
3. Interpret the Visualization:
- Compare Bar Lengths:
- Longer buy volume bars (green) indicate stronger buying activity.
- Longer sell volume bars (red) suggest dominant selling pressure.
- Labels:
- Use the labels to view the exact buy and sell volume values for precise analysis.
4. Combine with Other Tools:
- Use the indicator alongside price action analysis, support/resistance levels, or trend indicators to confirm market sentiment and detect potential reversals.
5. Monitor Imbalances:
- Significant disparities between buy and sell volume can signal shifts in market sentiment, such as the end of a trend or the start of a breakout.
Practical Applications
- Trend Confirmation:
- Align the dominance of buy or sell volume with price trends to confirm market direction.
- Reversal Signals:
- Watch for volume imbalances or a sudden shift in the dominance of buy or sell volume to identify potential reversals.
- High-Activity Zones:
- Identify areas with increased volume to anticipate significant price movements or key support/resistance interactions.
Dixson's Weighted Volume Flow provides a clear and systematic way to analyze market activity by visualizing the dynamics of buy and sell volume. It is particularly useful for traders looking to enhance their understanding of volume-based sentiment and its impact on price movements.
Day Open vs Previous Day CloseThe concept of comparing the **Day Open** to the **Previous Day Close** is used frequently in technical analysis to gauge the sentiment or momentum at the start of a new trading day.
### Key Terms:
- **Day Open**: The first traded price of an asset when the market opens for the day.
- **Previous Day Close**: The last traded price of an asset when the market closed on the previous day.
### Importance of Day Open vs. Previous Day Close
1. **Market Sentiment Indicator**:
- If the **Day Open** is **higher** than the **Previous Day Close**, it suggests **bullish** sentiment (buyers are willing to pay more than yesterday's closing price).
- If the **Day Open** is **lower** than the **Previous Day Close**, it suggests **bearish** sentiment (sellers are driving prices down compared to the last price from the previous day).
2. **Potential Gaps**:
- A **gap** occurs when there is a significant difference between the Day Open and Previous Day Close, often due to events or news released after the market closed. This gap can indicate strong momentum in either direction.
- **Gap Up**: Open > Close (bullish).
- **Gap Down**: Open < Close (bearish).
3. **Trend Continuation or Reversal**:
- If the market opens above the previous day’s close and continues to rise, it often signals a **continuation of an upward trend**.
- Conversely, if the market opens below and keeps falling, it suggests **downward momentum** is still strong.
4. **Trading Strategies**:
- **Opening Range Breakout**: Traders may look for the price to break above or below the opening range (the price range between the Day Open and the first few candles) to confirm a strong bullish or bearish move.
- **Reversals**: Some traders look for price reversals if the price spikes far above or below the previous day's close, expecting that the market might correct itself and return towards the previous day’s closing levels.
In the context of your **Opening Range Indicator**, the concept of the Day Open sweeping and closing above or below the Previous Day Close is used to identify whether the new day is setting up for a **buy (bullish)** or **sell (bearish)** opportunity.
COT INDEX v2The **Commitment of Traders (COT)** report is a valuable tool for analyzing market sentiment, providing insight into the positions of futures traders at the close of the Tuesday trading session. Prepared by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the report is published every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time, and the data is freely available on the CFTC website.
Traders are categorized into three groups: **Commercial Traders**, **Non-Commercial Traders** (large speculators), and **Nonreportable** (small speculators). This information can be applied to charts to visualize the direction of the positions held by major market participants and to receive key COT signals.
The **COT index** ranges from 0% to 100%, reflecting market sentiment over the past 26 weeks. Extreme values, below 25% or above 75%, represent bearish or bullish sentiment, respectively. However, it is important to note that the COT index is not a timing tool but rather an indicator of the overall sentiment of major market players.
For a more tailored analysis, you can adjust the period for index calculation, customize chart styles, and highlight extreme areas.
Fear/Greed Zone Reversals [UAlgo]The "Fear/Greed Zone Reversals " indicator is a custom technical analysis tool designed for TradingView, aimed at identifying potential reversal points in the market based on sentiment zones characterized by fear and greed. This indicator utilizes a combination of moving averages, standard deviations, and price action to detect when the market transitions from extreme fear to greed or vice versa. By identifying these critical turning points, traders can gain insights into potential buy or sell opportunities.
🔶 Key Features
Customizable Moving Averages: The indicator allows users to select from various types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA) for both fear and greed zone calculations, enabling flexible adaptation to different trading strategies.
Fear Zone Settings:
Fear Source: Select the price data point (e.g., close, high, low) used for Fear Zone calculations.
Fear Period: This defines the lookback window for calculating the Fear Zone deviation.
Fear Stdev Period: This sets the period used to calculate the standard deviation of the Fear Zone deviation.
Greed Zone Settings:
Greed Source: Select the price data point (e.g., close, high, low) used for Greed Zone calculations.
Greed Period: This defines the lookback window for calculating the Greed Zone deviation.
Greed Stdev Period: This sets the period used to calculate the standard deviation of the Greed Zone deviation.
Alert Conditions: Integrated alert conditions notify traders in real-time when a reversal in the fear or greed zone is detected, allowing for timely decision-making.
🔶 Interpreting Indicator
Greed Zone: A Greed Zone is highlighted when the price deviates significantly above the chosen moving average. This suggests market sentiment might be leaning towards greed, potentially indicating a selling opportunity.
Fear Zone Reversal: A Fear Zone is highlighted when the price deviates significantly below the chosen moving average of the selected price source. This suggests market sentiment might be leaning towards fear, potentially indicating a buying opportunity. When the indicator identifies a reversal from a fear zone, it suggests that the market is transitioning from a period of intense selling pressure to a more neutral or potentially bullish state. This is typically indicated by an upward arrow (▲) on the chart, signaling a potential buy opportunity. The fear zone is characterized by high price volatility and overselling, making it a crucial point for traders to consider entering the market.
Greed Zone Reversal: Conversely, a Greed Zone is highlighted when the price deviates significantly above the chosen moving average. This suggests market sentiment might be leaning towards greed, potentially indicating a selling opportunity. When the indicator detects a reversal from a greed zone, it indicates that the market may be moving from an overbought condition back to a more neutral or bearish state. This is marked by a downward arrow (▼) on the chart, suggesting a potential sell opportunity. The greed zone is often associated with overconfidence and high buying activity, which can precede a market correction.
🔶 Why offer multiple moving average types?
By providing various moving average types (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA) , the indicator offers greater flexibility for traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies and market preferences. Different moving averages react differently to price data and can produce varying signals.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Provides an equal weighting to all data points within the specified period.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Gives more weight to recent data points, making it more responsive to price changes.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Allows for custom weighting of data points, providing more flexibility in the calculation.
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average): Considers both price and volume data, giving more weight to periods with higher trading volume.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): A combination of weighted moving averages designed to reduce lag and provide a smoother curve.
Offering multiple options allows traders to:
Experiment: Traders can try different moving averages to see which one produces the most accurate signals for their specific market.
Adapt to different market conditions: Different market conditions may require different moving average types. For example, a fast-moving market might benefit from a faster moving average like an EMA, while a slower-moving market might be better suited to a slower moving average like an SMA.
Personalize: Traders can choose the moving average that best aligns with their personal trading style and risk tolerance.
In essence, providing a variety of moving average types empowers traders to create a more personalized and effective trading experience.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
SVMKR_VIX_Based_LevelsThe "SVMKR_VIX_Based_Levels" script is a Pine Script indicator designed to assist intraday traders in identifying dynamic support and resistance levels based on the Volatility Index (VIX). Here's a breakdown of the script and its uses for intraday traders:
### Script Description:
1. **Data Retrieval**:
- The script fetches daily closing prices of the India VIX (volatility index) and a specified security using `request.security()`.
2. **Input Parameters**:
- Intraday traders can customize the indicator using input parameters such as the number of levels above and below the Pivot Day Close (PDC), line offset lengths, line extension options, and color and width settings for plotted lines.
3. **Plotting**:
- The script plots the PDC and VIX as hidden lines (`display=display.none`).
- Support and resistance levels are calculated based on the VIX and PDC, and plotted above and below the PDC with customizable colors and widths.
- Each level can be labeled with its corresponding price.
4. **Customization**:
- Intraday traders can choose to display or hide prices on the plotted lines.
- Colors and widths of plotted lines are customizable.
- Options to show minor and mild support levels provide additional flexibility.
5. **Labels**:
- Labels are added to indicate the PDC and the plotted levels, displaying corresponding prices if enabled.
### Uses for Intraday Traders:
1. **Dynamic Support and Resistance**: Intraday traders can benefit from dynamically adjusted support and resistance levels that respond to changes in market volatility, providing more accurate levels for trade planning.
2. **Market Sentiment Analysis**: By incorporating the VIX, a measure of market volatility and sentiment, the indicator provides insights into market sentiment, helping intraday traders gauge market mood and potential direction.
3. **Confirmation of Price Action**: The plotted support and resistance levels can serve as confirmation signals for intraday traders, helping validate trading decisions and enhance trading confidence.
4. **Adaptability to Changing Market Conditions**: Intraday traders often face rapidly changing market conditions. The indicator's ability to adapt to changes in volatility ensures that plotted levels remain relevant and responsive, aiding traders in adjusting their strategies accordingly.
5. **Trade Planning and Execution**: Intraday traders can use the plotted support and resistance levels to identify potential entry and exit points, set profit targets and stop-loss levels, and plan their trades more effectively.
Overall, the "SVMKR_VIX_Based_Levels" indicator provides intraday traders with a valuable tool for dynamic support and resistance identification, market sentiment analysis, confirmation of price action, and trade planning and execution, ultimately assisting them in making more informed and profitable trading decisions in the intraday timeframe.
True stock performance based on EY Bar divergenceI created this indicator to be used in conjunction with my other indicator "True stock performance based on Earnings Yield". I've detailed in that description how true performance is calculated. In short it measures how much EY is moving in relation to the stock price. The theory is that if stock price is moving heavily while EY isn't you have a sentiment driven trend and the stock isn't traded on fundamentals.
This indicators marks bars when stock performance divergences from true performance.
Green upward triangle = The true performance closes lower than previous while stock price is closing higher. This indicates a optimistic sentiment as stock price is pushed up even though price based on EY is moving down.
Red downward triangle = The true performance closes higher than previous while stock price closing lower. This indicates a negative sentiment as stock price is pushed down even though price based on EY is moving up.
How do I use it?
I use it to confirm when sentiment has taken taken over a stock. If you have a fair uptrend (when both stock performance and true performance are doing higher highs), optimistic divergencies are welcome. I've used NVIDIA from 2017 to 2019 to demonstrate.
But if true performance starts to make lower highs while stock performance keeps going up and you see optimistic divergencies, you can tell that the market is getting overoptimistic.
When the stock had crashed it eventually bottomed and started to make higher lows together with an uptrend of true performance, which I count as a fair uptrend. Regardless of that you start to see some negative divergencies indicating that people are scared that the stock will drop again and oversell. These opportunities can be good places to buy more.
But i don't care about earnings, I'm a technical trader. Do i have any use for it?
You possibly could, yes. If you want to follow the crowd, optimistic divergencies confirms that the market is still interested in the stock and may keep pushing the price up. But be careful. Negative divergencies almost never marks any tops, it often confirms downtrends and may indicate bottoms. Often the optimistic divergencies marks the top so don't buy more blindly using this indicator.
True stock performance based on Earnings YieldThe whole basis of the stock market is that you invest your money into a business that can use that money to increase it's earnings and pay you back for that investment with dividends and increased stock value. But because we are human the market often overbuy stocks that cant keep up their earnings with the current inflow of investments. We can also oversell a stock that is keeping up with earnings in regards to the stock price but we don't care because of the sentiment we have.
Earnings Yield is simply the percentage of Earnings Per Share in relation to the stock price. Alone, it's a great fundamental indicator to analyze a company. But I wanted to use it in another way and got tired of using the calculator all the time so that's why I made this indicator.
The goal is to see if the STOCK price is moving accordingly to the BUSINESS earnings. It works by calculating the difference of EY (TTM) previous close (1 bar) to the close thereafter. It then calculates the stock performance of the latest bar and divides that to get decimal form instead of percent. Then it divides the stock performance in decimal form with the difference of EY calculated before. The result shows how much the stock prices moves in relation to how much EY is moving. The theory is that if EY barely moves but the stock price moves heavily, you have a sentiment driven trend.
Example: Week 1 EY = 1.201. Week 2 EY = 1.105.
1.201 - 1.105 = 0.096
Week 2 performed a 11,2% increase in stock price. = 0.112 in decimal form.
0.112 / 0.096 = 1.67
1.67 is the multiple that plots this indicator.
Here is an good example of a stock that's currently in a highly sentiment driven trend, NVIDIA! (Posted 2024-03-30)
Here is an example of a Swedish stock that retail investors flocked to that have been blowned out completely.
When do I buy and sell?
This indicator is not meant to give exact entries or exits. The purpose is to scout the current and past sentiment, possible divergencies and see if a stock is over or under valued. I did add a 50 EMA to get some form of mean plotted. One could buy when true performance is low and sell when true performance drops below the 50 EMA. You could also just sell a part of your position and set a trailing exit with a ordinary 50 EMA or something like that. Often the sentiment will keep driving the price up. But if it last for 1 month or 1 year is impossible to tell.
Try it out and learn how it works and use it as you like. Cheers!
MUJBOT - Multi-TF RSI Table
The "Multi-TF RSI Table" indicator is a comprehensive tool designed to present traders with a quick visual summary of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) across multiple timeframes, all within a single glance. It is crafted for traders who incorporate multi-timeframe analysis into their trading strategy, aiming to enhance decision-making by identifying overall market sentiment and trend direction. Here's a rundown of its features:
User Inputs: The indicator includes customizable inputs for the RSI and Moving Average (MA) lengths, allowing users to tailor the calculations to their specific trading needs. Additionally, there is an option to display or hide the RSI & MA table as well as to position it in various places on the chart for optimal visibility.
Multi-Timeframe RSI & MA Calculations: It fetches RSI and MA values from different timeframes, such as 1 minute (1m), 5 minutes (5m), 15 minutes (15m), 1 hour (1h), 4 hours (4h), and 1 day (1D). This multi-timeframe approach provides a thorough perspective of the momentum and trend across different market phases.
Trend and Sentiment Analysis: For each timeframe, the script determines whether the average RSI is above or below the MA, categorizing the trend as "Rising", "Falling", or "Neutral". Moreover, it infers market sentiment as "Bullish" or "Bearish", based on the relationship between the RSI and its MA.
Dynamic Color-Coding: The indicator uses color-coding to convey information quickly. It highlights the trend and sentiment cells in the table with green for "Bullish" and red for "Bearish" conditions. It also shades the timeframe cells based on the RSI value, with varying intensities of green for "Oversold" conditions and red for "Overbought" conditions, providing an immediate visual cue of extreme market conditions.
Customization and Adaptability: The script is designed with customization in mind, enabling users to adjust the RSI and MA lengths according to their trading strategy. Its adaptable interface, which offers the option to display or hide the RSI & MA table, ensures that the tool fits into different trading setups without cluttering the chart.
Ease of Use: By consolidating critical information into a simple table, the "Multi-TF RSI Table" indicator saves time and simplifies the analysis process for traders. It eliminates the need to switch between multiple charts or timeframes, thus streamlining the trading workflow.
In essence, the "Multi-TF RSI Table" is a powerful indicator for Pine Script users on TradingView, offering a multi-dimensional view of market dynamics. It is ideal for both novice and experienced traders who seek to enhance their technical analysis with an at-a-glance summary of RSI trends and market sentiment across various timeframes.
Cross Period Comparison IndicatorReally excited to be sharing this indicator!
This is the cross-period comparison indicator, AKA the comparison indicator.
What does it do?
The cross-period comparison indicator permits for the qualitative assessment of two points in time on a particular equity.
What is its use?
At first, I was looking for a way to determine the degree of similarity between two points, such as using Cosine similarity values, Euclidean distances, etc. However, these tend to trigger a lot of similarities but without really any context. Context matters in trading and thus what I wanted really was a qualitative assessment tool to see what exactly was happening at two points in time (i.e. How many buyers were there? What was short interest like? What was volume like? What was the volatility like? RSI? Etc.)
This indicator permits that qualitative assessment, displaying things like total buying volume during each period, total selling volume, short interest via Put to Call ratio activity, technical information such as Stochastics and RSI, etc.
How to use it?
The indicator is fairly self explanatory, but some things require a little more in-depth discussion.
The indicator will display the Max and Min technical values of a period, as well as a breakdown in the volume information and put to call information. The user can then make the qualitative determination of degrees of similarity. However, I have included some key things to help ascertain similarity in a more quantitative way. These include:
1. Adding average period Z-Score
2. Adding CDF probability distributions for each respective period
3. Adding Pearson correlations for each respective period over time
4. Providing the linear regression equation for each period
So let us discuss these 4 quantitative measures a bit more in-depth.
Adding Period Z-Score
For those who do not know, Z-Score is a measure of the distance from a mean. It generally spans 0 (at the mean) to 3 (3 standard deviations away from the mean). Z-Score in the stock market is very powerful because it is actually our indicator of volatility. Z-Score forms the basis of IV for option traders and it generally is the go to, to see where the market is in relation to its overall mean.
Adding Z-Score lets the user make 2 big determinations. First and foremost, it’s a measure of overall volatility during the period. If you are getting a Z-Score that is crazy high (1.5 or greater), you know there was a lot of volatility in that period marked by frequent deviations from its mean (since on average it was trading 1.5 standard deviations away from its mean).
The other thing it tells you is the overall sentiment of that time. If the average Z Score was 1.5 for example, we know that buying interest was high and the sentiment was somewhat optimistic, as the stock was trading, on average, + 1.5 SDs away from its mean.
If, on the other hand, the average was, say, - 1.2, then we know the sentiment was overall pessimistic. There was frequent selling and the stock was frequently being pushed below its mean with heavy selling pressure.
We can also check these assumptions of buying / selling buy verifying the volume information. The indicator will list the Buy to Sell Ratio (number of Buyers to Sellers), as well as the total selling volume and total buying volume. Thus, the user can see, objectively, whether sellers or buyers led a particular period.
Adding CDF Probability
CDF probabilities simply mean the extent a stock traded above or below its normal distribution levels.
To help you understand this, the indicator lists the average close price for a period. Directly below that, it lists the CDF probabilities. What this is telling you, is how often and how likely, during that period, the stock was trading below its average. For example, in the main chart, the average close price for BTC in Period A is 29869. The CDF probability is 0.51. This means, during Period A, 51% of the time, BTC was trading BELOW 29869. Thus, the other 49% of the time it was trading ABOVE 29869.
CDF probabilities also help us to assess volatility, similar to Z-Score. Generally speaking, the CDF should consistently be reading about 0.50 to 0.51. This is the point of an average value, half the values should be above the average and half the values should be below. But in times of heightened volatility, you may actually see the CDF creep up to 0.54 or higher, or 0.48 or lower. This means that there was extremely extensive volatility and is very indicative of true “whipsaw” type price action history where a stock refuses to average itself out in one general area and frequently jumps up and down.
Adding Pearson Correlation
Most know what this is, but just in case, the Pearson correlation is a measure of statistical significance. It ranges from 0 (not significant) to 1 (very significant). It can be positive or negative. A positive signifies a positive relationship (i.e. as one value increases so too does the other value being compared). If it is a negative value, it means an inverse relationship (i.e. one value increases proportionately to the other’s decline).
In this indicator, the Pearson correlation is measured against time. A strong positive relationship (a value of 0.5 or greater) indicates that the stock is trading positive to time. As time goes by, the stock goes up. This is a normal relationship and signifies a healthy uptrend.
Inversely, if the Pearson correlation is negative, it means that as time increases, the stock is going down proportionately. This signifies a strong downtrend.
This is another way for the user to interpret sentiment during a specific period.
IF the Pearson correlation is less than 0.5 or -0.5, this signifies an area of indecision. No real trend formed and there was no real strong relationship to time.
Adding Linear Regression Equation
A linear regression equation is simply the slope and the intercept. It is expressed with the formula y= mx + b.
The indicator does a regression analysis on each period and presents this formula accordingly. The user can see the slope and intercept.
Generally speaking, when two periods share the same slope (m value) but different intercept (b value), it can be said that the relationship to time is identical but the starting point is different.
If the slope and intercept are different, as you see in the BTC chart above, it represents a completely different relationship to time and trajectory.
Indicator Specific Information:
The indicator retains the customizability you would expect. You can customize all of your lengths for technical, change and Z-Score. You can toggle on or off Period data, if you want to focus on a single period. You can also toggle on a difference table that directly compares the % difference between Period A to Period B (see image below):
You will also see on the input menu a input for “Threshold” assessments. This simply modifies the threshold parameters for the technical readings. It is defaulted to 3, which means when two technical (for example Max Stochastics) are within +/- 3 of each other, the indicator will light these up as green to indicate similarities. They just clue the user visually to areas where there are similarities amongst the qualitative technical data.
Timeframes
This is best used on the daily timeframe. You can use it on the smaller timeframe but the processing time may take a bit longer. I personally like it for the Daily, Weekly and 4 hour charts.
And this is the indicator in a nutshell!
I will provide a tutorial video in the coming day on how to use it, so check back later!
As always, leave your comments/questions and suggestions below. I have been slowly modifying stuff based on user suggestions so please keep them coming but be patient as it does take some time and I am by no means a coder or expert on this stuff.
Safe trades to all!
Active AddressesIndicator Overview
By comparing the 28 day change in price (%) with the 28 day change in active addresses (%) for Bitcoin we are able to create a short-term sentiment indicator called AASI (Active Address Sentiment Indicator).
Grey lines on the chart show the change in active addresses.
On the outer boundaries of those grey lines are standard deviation bands.
Dotted red line = upper boundary
Dotted green line = lower boundary
Orange line is the 28 day price change (%).
When the orange line reaches the upper boundary (red dotted line) it is indicating that short term market sentiment is overheated. Because the rate of increase in price is outstripping the rate of increase in active addresses.
Zooming in on the chart (left click and drag) we can see that this often corresponds with CRYPTOCAP:BTC price (blue line) stalling and/or retracing.
The opposite is true when the 28 day price change hits the lower boundary (green dotted line). Here market sentiment is overly bearish and we often see CRYPTOCAP:BTC price then increasing thereafter.
In extreme market conditions the 28 day price change (orange line) aggressively breaks out beyond the dotted red and green bands. This is typically in a major market crash or in the latter stages of a bull market. I may add additional standard deviation bands to catch these moves but for now have left them off to keep the chart clean.
Pre 2015 data is quite volatile and messy so this charts starts at 01 January 2015.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool
Unlike many of the other Bitcoin live charts, this live chart examines lower time frames and attempts to provide a Bitcoin price prediction in terms of directional moves on weekly timeframes. So it tries to do a Bitcoin price forecast by highlighting where price may pullback or where it may bounce using price and active address data.
Volume DashboardReleasing Volume Dashboard indicator.
What it does:
The volume dashboard indicator pulls volume from the current session. The current session is defaulted to NYSE trading hours (9:30 - 1600).
It cumulates buying and selling volume.
Buying volume is defined as volume associated with a green candle.
Selling volume is defined as volume associated with a red candle.
It also pulls Put to Call Ratio data from the Ticker PCC (Total equity put to call ratios).
With this data, the indicator displays the current Buy Volume and the Current Sell Volume.
It then uses this to calculate a "Buyer to Seller Ratio". The Buy to Sell ratio is calculated by Buy Volume divided by Sell Volume.
This gives a ratio value and this value will be discussed below.
The Indicator also displays the current Put to Call Ratio from PCC, as well as displays the SMA.
Buy to Sell Ratio:
The hallmark of this indicator is its calculation of the buy to sell ratio.
A buy to sell ratio of 1 or greater means that buyers are generally surpassing sellers.
However, a buy to sell ratio below 1 generally means that sellers are outpacing buyers (0 buyers to 0.xyx sellers).
The SMA is also displayed for buy to sell ratio. Generally speaking, a buy to sell SMA of greater than or equal to 1 means that there are consistent buyers showing up. Below this, means there is inconsistent buying.
Change Analysis:
The indicator also displays the current change of Volume and Put to Call.
Put to Call Change:
A negative change in Put to Call is considered positive, as puts are declining (i.e. sentiment is bullish).
A positive change in Put to Call is considered negative, as puts are increasing (i.e. sentiment is bearish).
The Put to Call change is also displayed in an SMA to see if the negative or positive change is consistent.
Volume Change :
A negative volume change is negative, as buyers are leaving (i.e. sentiment is bearish).
A positive volume change is positive, as buyers are coming in (i.e. sentiment is bullish).
The volume change is also displayed as an SMA to see if the negative or positive change is consistent.
Indicator breakdown:
The indicator displays the total cumulative Buy vs Sell volume at the top.
From there, it displays the Ratio and various other variables it tracks.
The colour scheme will change to signal bearish vs bullish variables. If a box is red, the indicator is assessing it as a bearish indicator.
If it is green, it is considered a bullish indicator.
The indicator will also plot a green up arrow when buying volume surpasses selling volume and a red down arrow when selling volume surpasses buying volume:
Customization:
The indicator is defaulted to regular market hours of the NYSE. If you are using this for trading Futures, or trading pre-market, you will need to manually adjust the session time to include these time periods.
The indicator is defaulted to read volume data on the 1 minute timeframe. My suggestion is to leave it as such, even if you are viewing this on the 5 minute timeframe.
The volume data is best accumulated over the 1 minute timeframe. This permits more reliable reading of volume data.
However, you do have the ability to manually modify this if you wish.
As well, the user can toggle on or off the SMA assessments. If you do not wish to view the SMAs, simply toggle off "Show SMAs" in the settings menu.
The user can also choose what time period the SMA is using. It is defaulted to a 14 candle lookback, but you can modify this to your liking, simply input the desired lookback time in the SMA lookback input box on the settings menu. Please note, the SMA Length setting will apply to ALL of the SMAs.
That is the bulk of the indicator!
As always, let me know your questions or feedback on the indicator below.
Thank you for taking the time to check it out and safe trades!
Normalized Oscillators Spider Chart [LuxAlgo]This indicator displays a spider chart overlaid on the user’s current chart allowing the visualization of information given by various normalized oscillators. It is possible to customize the spider chart by hiding certain oscillators from within the settings which removes their corresponding spokes from the chart.
Users can control the length settings of each oscillator individually or use a global length setting that applies to every oscillator. An additional meter element is displayed and aims to give the overall sentiment returned by the oscillators. This can also be used to gauge whether the market is trending or ranging.
This is a relatively simple application of a spider chart but can prove to be useful to some users.
1. Settings
RSI: Displays the Relative Strength Index spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
%K: Displays the Stochastic Oscillator "%K" spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
COR: Displays the Correlation Oscillator spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
MFI: Displays the Money Flow Index oscillator spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
WPR: Displays the Williams Percent Rank oscillator spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
%UP: Displays the percentage of upward variations spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
CMO: Displays the Chande Momentum Oscillator spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
AOS: Displays the Aroon oscillator spoke on the spider chart, includes the length setting on the right of the toggle.
Global Oscillators Length: Determines whether all oscillators should use the same length settings, determined by the setting on the right of the toggle.
1.1 Style Settings
Spider Chart Length: Determines the horizontal width of the spider chart.
Spider Chart Offset: Offset between the most recent bar and the left extremity of the spider chart.
2. Usage
A spider chart can be a very useful visualization tool when it comes to seeing the individual characteristics of various variables at the same time.
Here, the tool can give a general sentiment on the direction of the trend without adding each indicator to your chart. It is also possible to determine when an oscillator is considered overbought or oversold with this indicator.
The dashed line represents the central value for each oscillator.
Disabling any of the oscillators from the settings will return a spider chart using fewer spokes.
The script also displays a meter that can be used to determine the overall sentiment given by all oscillators. This metric is based on the average value between each oscillator. An overall sentiment closer to 50 would indicate a ranging market.
RVC-Trade-With-Pivot-LevelsHow to Use PIVOT Levels for Trading
Always remember ->: *Trade with trend*
About script:
1. Daily and Weekly close above Pivot Level.
-- Sentiment is highly positive. Pivot Level acts as strong support.
2. Daily Close above Pivot and Weekly Close Below Pivot
-- Sentiment is positive.Weekly Pivot Level may act as strong resistance.
3. Daily close below Pivot and weekly close above Pivot
-- Sentiment is negative but weekly Pivot Level can acts as strong support.
4. Daily and Weekly Close below Pivot Level
-- Sentiment is highly Negative. Pivot Level acts as strong resistance.
BUY/SELL -- ENTRY
BUY ABOVE 23.6% UPWARD
IF Trend is positive and price cross and sustains above 23.6%(R1) upside, then it will be entry from BUY perspective.
If R1 is entry, R2/R3/R4/R5 ... will be targets.
SELL Below 23.6% Downward
IF Trend is negative and price cross and sustains below 23.6%(S1) downside, then it will be entry from SELL perspective.
If S1 is Sell side entry, S2/S3/S4/S5 will be targets.
Before taking ENTRY on BUY or SELL Side, please know your risk levels, Stop Loss and trade EXECUTION process.
Finally:
My view is my view and remains with me only. Once you accept it and trade it, it becomes your view. So credit or blame all yours.:)
