Script_Algo - Double Smoothed CCI Strategy📉 The uniqueness of this non-trending oscillator strategy lies in the combination of two smoothed CCI lines: one signals entry into a position from overbought/oversold zones, and the other serves as a trend filter for entries. The smoothing of the fast and slow CCI lines significantly reduces market noise, allowing the filtering of false signals often generated by the standard CCI.
📚 For those unfamiliar with CCI:
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
It helps traders spot potential trend reversals or confirm trend strength by comparing the current price to its average over a period of time.
1️⃣ General Principle of Operation
⚡ Fast CCI: Generates main signals when exiting oversold and overbought zones.
📈 Slow CCI: Acts as a trend filter. For long positions, the slow CCI must be above zero (confirmation of an uptrend), and for short positions, it must be below zero (confirmation of a downtrend). This prevents the strategy from opening trades against the dominant trend.
🛡️ Dynamic ATR Stop-Loss: Unlike fixed-percentage stop-losses, a stop tied to the Average True Range (ATR) considers market volatility. During calm periods, the stop will be narrower, allowing for more profit capture. In highly volatile periods, the stop becomes wider, protecting against premature closures caused by noise.
📊 Comprehensive Risk Management: The strategy uses not only a take-profit based on signals (exit into the opposite zone) but also a protective ATR stop-loss and a mechanism to close trades upon receiving an opposite signal (e.g., closing a long when a short signal appears).
💡 Usefulness of the Strategy:
👨💻 For traders: Provides clear, mathematically justified entry and exit signals with built-in loss protection.
📉 For analysts: Visualizes the behavior of the double CCI on a separate panel, allowing study of the interaction of the fast and slow lines and their reaction to levels without mandatory trades.
📚 For learning: An excellent example of combining multiple indicators and capital management tools into a single trading system.
2️⃣ Detailed Algorithm Logic
📥 Long Entry Signals:
The fast smoothed CCI was below the oversold level (oversold_level, e.g., -100) and crossed this level upward (fast_exits_oversold).
The slow CCI at this moment is above zero (confirming an uptrend).
If both conditions are met, a long position is opened.
📤 Long Exit: Happens under one of these conditions:
The fast CCI crosses the overbought level (overbought_level) downward (exit_long).
The price reaches a stop-loss level calculated as entry price - (ATR * multiplier).
An opposite short signal appears (enter_short).
📥 Short Entry Signals:
The fast CCI was above the overbought level (overbought_level, e.g., 100) and crossed this level downward (fast_exits_overbought).
The slow CCI at this moment is below zero (confirming a downtrend).
If both conditions are met, a short position is opened.
📤 Short Exit: Happens under one of these conditions:
The fast CCI crosses the oversold level (oversold_level) upward (exit_short).
The price reaches a stop-loss level calculated as entry price + (ATR * multiplier).
An opposite long signal appears (enter_long).
3️⃣ Default Settings Description
⚙️ General Strategy Settings (strategy):
overlay=false: The indicator is displayed in a separate panel below the chart, not overlaid on it.
default_qty_type=strategy.cash, default_qty_value=1000, initial_capital=100000: The strategy manages a virtual capital of 100,000 USD, using 1,000 USD per trade.
commission_value=0.1, slippage=1: Commission (0.1%) and slippage (1 tick) are considered for more realistic testing.
⚡ Fast CCI (Signal Generator):
Length: 8 (short enough for quick price reactions).
Source: hlc3 (average of High, Low, Close).
Smoothing: WMA (Weighted Moving Average) for smoother results than SMA.
Smoothing Length: 5 (removes part of the noise).
📈 Slow CCI (Trend Filter):
Length: 20 (standard mid-term trend period).
Source: close.
Smoothing: WMA.
Smoothing Length: 21 (even stronger smoothing for a clean trend line).
📊 Levels:
Overbought Level: 100 (classic CCI level).
Oversold Level: -100 (classic CCI level).
🛡️ Stop-Loss (ATR):
ATR Length: 6 (short period for quick adaptation).
ATR Multiplier: 10.0 (very wide stop, designed for long-term trade holding and noise filtering).
💰 As seen in backtests, this strategy shows a steadily growing equity curve with minor drawdowns. On the highly liquid crypto pair XRPUSDT, the algorithm demonstrated a fairly high win rate and relatively high profit factor on a 4-hour timeframe over 4 years, though the overall profit is moderate.
⚠️ Important Notes
Always remember: Strategy results may not repeat in the future.
The market constantly changes, so:
✅ Monitor the situation
✅ Backtest regularly
✅ Adjust settings for each asset
Also remember about possible bugs in any algorithmic trading strategy.
Even if a script is well-tested, no one knows what unpredictable events the market may bring tomorrow.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not risk more than 1% of your deposit per trade, otherwise you may lose your account balance, since this strategy works without stop losses.
⚠️ Disclaimer
The author of the strategy does not encourage anyone to use this algorithm and bears no responsibility for any possible financial losses resulting from its application!
Any decision to use this strategy is made personally by the owners of TradingView accounts and cryptocurrency exchange accounts.
📝 Final Notes
This is not the final version. I already have ideas on how to improve it further, so follow me to not miss updates.
🐞 Bug Reports
If you notice any bugs or inconsistencies in my algorithm,
please let me know — I will try to fix them as quickly as possible.
💬 Feedback & Suggestions
If you have any ideas on how this or any of my other strategies can be improved, feel free to write to me. I will try to implement your suggestions in the script.
Wishing everyone good luck and stable profits! 🚀💰
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Greer Gap# Greer Gap Indicator (No mitigation: i.e. removing false signals)
## Summary
The **Greer Gap Indicator** identifies **Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)** and introduces specialized **Greer Bull Gaps (Blue)** and **Greer Bear Gaps (Orange)** to highlight high-probability trading opportunities. Unlike traditional FVG indicators, it avoids hindsight bias by not removing historical gaps based on future price action, ensuring transparency in signal accuracy. Built upon LuxAlgo’s FVG logic, it adds unique filtering: only the first Greer Gap after an opposite gap is plotted if its level (min for Bull, max for Bear) is not higher/lower than the previous Greer Gap of the same type, while all valid gaps are recorded for comparison. Traders can use these gaps as support/resistance or entry signals, customizable via timeframe, look back, and display options.
## Description
This indicator detects and displays **Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)** on the chart, with a focus on specialized **Greer Gaps**:
- **Bullish Gaps (Green)**: Areas where the low of the current candle is above the high of a previous candle (look back period), indicating potential upward momentum.
- **Bearish Gaps (Red)**: Areas where the high of the current candle is below the low of a previous candle, indicating potential downward momentum.
- **Greer Bull Gaps (Blue)**: A bullish gap that is above the latest bearish gap's max. Only the first such gap after a bearish gap is plotted if it meets criteria (not higher than the previous Greer Bull Gap's min), but all valid ones are recorded for comparison.
- **Greer Bear Gaps (Orange)**: A bearish gap that is below the latest bullish gap's min. Only the first such gap after a bullish gap is plotted if it meets criteria (not lower than the previous Greer Bear Gap's max), but all valid ones are recorded.
## How It Works
The script uses a dynamic look back period to detect FVGs. It maintains a record of all detected gaps and applies additional logic for Greer Gaps:
- **Greer Bull Gaps**: Checks if the new bullish gap's min is above the latest bearish gap's max. Plots only if it's the first since the last bearish gap and its min is <= previous Greer Bull min (or first one).
- **Greer Bear Gaps**: Checks if the new bearish gap's max is below the latest bullish gap's min. Plots only if it's the first since the last bullish gap and its max is >= previous Greer Bear max (or first one).
- **Resets**: A new bearish gap resets the Greer Bull Gap flag, and a new bullish gap resets the Greer Bear Gap flag.
## How to Use
- **Timeframe**: Set a higher timeframe (e.g., 'D' for daily) to detect gaps from that timeframe on the current chart.
- **Look back Period**: Adjust to change gap detection sensitivity (default: 34). Use 2 if you want to compare to LuxAlgo
- **Extend**: Controls how far right the gap boxes extend.
- **Show Options**: Toggle visibility of all bullish/bearish gaps or Greer Gaps.
- **Colors**: Customize colors for each gap type.
- **Application**: Use Greer Gaps as potential support/resistance levels or entry signals, but combine with other analysis for confirmation.
## Originality and Credits
This script is inspired by and builds upon the **"Fair Value Gap "** indicator by LuxAlgo (available on TradingView: ()).
**Credits**: Thanks to LuxAlgo for the core FVG detection logic.
**Significant Changes**:
- Added **Greer Bull and Bear Gap** logic for filtered, directional gaps with reset mechanisms.
- Introduced recording of all valid Greer Gaps without plotting all, to compare levels without hindsight bias.
- **No mitigation/removal of gaps**: Unlike LuxAlgo's approach, which mitigates (removes or alters) gaps based on future price action (e.g., when filled), this can create a hindsight bias where incorrect signals disappear over time. If a signal is used for a trade and later removed due to new data, it doesn't reflect real-time performance accurately. The Greer Gap avoids this by using gap comparisons to validate signals without altering historical boxes, ensuring transparency in when signals were right or wrong.
NY Anchored VWAP and Auto SMANY Anchored VWAP and Auto SMA
This script is a versatile trading indicator for the TradingView platform that combines two powerful components: a New York-anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and a dynamic Simple Moving Average (SMA). Designed for traders who utilize VWAP for intraday trend analysis, this tool provides a clear visual representation of average price and volatility-adjusted moving averages, generating automated alerts for key crossover signals.
Indicator Components
1. NY Anchored VWAP
The VWAP is a crucial tool that represents the average price of a security adjusted for volume. This version is "anchored" to the start of the New York trading session, resetting at the beginning of each new session. This provides a clean, session-specific anchor point to gauge market sentiment and trend. The VWAP line changes color to reflect its slope:
Green: When the VWAP is trending upwards, indicating a bullish bias.
Red: When the VWAP is trending downwards, indicating a bearish bias.
2. Auto SMA
The Auto SMA is a moving average with a unique twist: its lookback period is not fixed. Instead, it dynamically adjusts based on market volatility. The script measures volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) and a Z-Score calculation.
When volatility is expanding, the SMA's length shortens, making it more sensitive to recent price changes.
When volatility is contracting, the SMA's length lengthens, smoothing out the price action to filter out noise.
This adaptive approach allows the SMA to react appropriately to different market conditions.
Suggested Trading Strategy
This indicator is particularly effective when used on a one-minute chart for identifying high-probability trade entries. The core of the strategy is to trade the crossover between the VWAP and the Auto SMA, with confirmation from a candle close.
The strategy works best when the entry signal aligns with the overall bias of the higher timeframe market structure. For example, if the daily or 4-hour chart is in an uptrend, you would look for bullish signals on the one-minute chart.
Bullish Entry Signal: A potential entry is signaled when the VWAP crosses above the Auto SMA, and is confirmed when the one-minute candle closes above both the VWAP and the SMA. This indicates a potential continuation of the bullish momentum.
Bearish Entry Signal: A potential entry is signaled when the VWAP crosses below the Auto SMA, and is confirmed when the one-minute candle closes below both the VWAP and the SMA. This indicates a potential continuation of the bearish momentum.
The built-in alerts for these crossovers allow you to receive notifications without having to constantly monitor the charts, ensuring you don't miss a potential setup.
Algo + Trendlines :: Medium PeriodThis indicator helps me to avoid overlooking Trendlines / Algolines. So far it doesn't search explicitly for Algolines (I don't consider volume at all), but it's definitely now already not horribly bad.
These are meant to be used on logarithmic charts btw! The lines would be displayed wrong on linear charts.
The biggest challenge is that there are some technical restrictions in TradingView, f. e. a script stops executing if a for-loop would take longer than 0.5 sec.
So in order to circumvent this and still be able to consider as many candles from the past as possible, I've created multiple versions for different purposes that I use like this:
Algo + Trendlines :: Medium Period : This script looks for "temporary highs / lows" (meaning the bar before and after has lower highs / lows) on the daily chart, connects them and shows the 5 ones that are the closest to the current price (=most relevant). This one is good to find trendlines more thoroughly, but only up to 4 years ago.
Algo + Trendlines :: Long Period : This version looks instead at the weekly charts for "temporary highs / lows" and finds out which days caused these highs / lows and connects them, Taking data from the weekly chart means fewer data points to check whether a trendline is broken, which allows to detect trendlines from up to 12 years ago! Therefore it misses some trendlines. Personally I prefer this one with "Only Confirmed" set to true to really show only the most relevant lines. This means at least 3 candle highs / lows touched the line. These are more likely stronger resistance / support lines compared to those that have been touched only twice.
Very important: sometimes you might see dotted lines that suddenly stop after a few months (after 100 bars to be precise). This indicates you need to zoom further out for TradingView to be able to load the full line. Unfortunately TradingView doesn't render lines if the starting point was too long ago, so this is my workaround. This is also the script's biggest advantage: showing you lines that you might have missed otherwise since the starting bars were outside of the screen, and required you to scroll f. e back to 2015..
One more thing to know:
Weak colored line = only 2 "collision" points with candle highs/lows (= not confirmed)
Usual colored line = 3+ "collision" points (= confirmed)
Make sure to move this indicator above the ticker in the Object Tree, so that it is drawn on top of the ticker's candles!
More infos: www.reddit.com
Algo + Trendlines :: Long PeriodThis indicator helps me to avoid overlooking Trendlines / Algolines. So far it doesn't search explicitly for Algolines (I don't consider volume at all), but it's definitely now already not horribly bad.
These are meant to be used on logarithmic charts btw! The lines would be displayed wrong on linear charts.
The biggest challenge is that there are some technical restrictions in TradingView, f. e. a script stops executing if a for-loop would take longer than 0.5 sec.
So in order to circumvent this and still be able to consider as many candles from the past as possible, I've created multiple versions for different purposes that I use like this:
Algo + Trendlines :: Medium Period : This script looks for "temporary highs / lows" (meaning the bar before and after has lower highs / lows) on the daily chart, connects them and shows the 5 ones that are the closest to the current price (=most relevant). This one is good to find trendlines more thoroughly, but only up to 4 years ago.
Algo + Trendlines :: Long Period : This version looks instead at the weekly charts for "temporary highs / lows" and finds out which days caused these highs / lows and connects them, Taking data from the weekly chart means fewer data points to check whether a trendline is broken, which allows to detect trendlines from up to 12 years ago! Therefore it misses some trendlines. Personally I prefer this one with "Only Confirmed" set to true to really show only the most relevant lines. This means at least 3 candle highs / lows touched the line. These are more likely stronger resistance / support lines compared to those that have been touched only twice.
Very important: sometimes you might see dotted lines that suddenly stop after a few months (after 100 bars to be precise). This indicates you need to zoom further out for TradingView to be able to load the full line. Unfortunately TradingView doesn't render lines if the starting point was too long ago, so this is my workaround. This is also the script's biggest advantage: showing you lines that you might have missed otherwise since the starting bars were outside of the screen, and required you to scroll f. e back to 2015..
One more thing to know:
Weak colored line = only 2 "collision" points with candle highs/lows (= not confirmed)
Usual colored line = 3+ "collision" points (= confirmed)
Make sure to move this indicator above the ticker in the Object Tree, so that it is drawn on top of the ticker's candles!
More infos: www.reddit.com
Cnagda Liquidit Trading SystemCnagda Liquidit Trading System helps spot where price is likely to trap traders and reverse, then gives simple, actionable Level to entry, place SL, and take profits with confidence. It blends imbalance zones, trend bias, order blocks, liquidity pools, high-probability fake Signal, and context-aware candle patterns into one clean workflow.
🟩🟥 Imbalance boxes: “Crowd rushed, gaps left”
What it is: Green/red boxes mark fast, one-sided moves where price “skipped” orders—think FVG-like zones that often get revisited.
Why it helps: Price frequently pulls back to “fill” these zones, creating clean retest entries with logical stops.
⏩How to use:
Green box = potential demand retest; Red box = potential supply retest. Enter on pullback into box, not on first impulse. Put stop on far side of box and aim first targets at recent swing points.
↕️ Swing bias (HH/HL vs LH/LL): “Which way is the road?”
What it is: Higher-highs/higher-lows = up-bias; Lower-highs/lower-lows = down-bias. system plots Buy/Sell OB levels aligned with that bias.
Why it helps: Trading with the broader flow reduces “hero trades” against institutions. Bias gives clearer entries and cleaner drawdowns.
⏩How to use:
Up-bias: look for long on Buy OB retests. Down-bias: look for short on Sell OB retests. Wait for a small rejection/engulfing to confirm before triggering.
🧱Order blocks: “Where big players remember”
What it is: last opposite-colored candle before an impulsive move—these zones often hold memory and reaction. system plots these as Buy/Sell OB lines.
Why it helps: Many breakouts pull back to the origin. Good entries often happen on retest, not on the breakout chase.
⏩ How to use:
Let price return into the OB, show wick rejection, and decent volume. Enter with stop beyond OB; define risk-reward before entry.
📊Volume coloring: “How Volume is move?”
What it is: Bar color reflects relative volume; inside bars are black. The dashboard also shows Volume and “Volume vs Prev.”
Why it helps: Patterns without volume often fade; volume validates strength and intent of moves.
⏩ How to use:
Favor entries where imbalance/OB/liquidity-grab coincide with higher volume. If volume is weak, reduce size or skip.
🧲 BSL/SSL liquidity pools: “Fishing for stops”
What it is: Equal highs cluster stops above (BSL); equal lows cluster stops below (SSL). system plots these and highlights the nearest one (“magnet”).
Why it helps: Price often sweeps these pools to trigger stops before reversing. This is a prime trap-reversal location.
⏩ How to use:
Watch nearest BSL/SSL. If price wicks through and closes back inside, anticipate a reversal. Trade reaction, not first poke. When price closes beyond, consider that pool mitigated and move on.
🟢🔴 Advanced liquidity grab: “Catch fakeout”
What it is: Bullish grab = makes a new low beyond a prior low but closes back above it, with a long lower wick, small body, and higher volume. Bearish is mirror. Labeled automatically.
Why it helps: It exposes trap moves (stop hunts) and often precedes true direction.
⏩ How to use:
Best when it aligns with a nearby imbalance/OB and supportive volume. Enter on reversal candle break or on retest. Stop goes beyond sweep wick.
🧠 Smart candlestick patterns (only in right place)
What it is: Engulfing, Hammer, Shooting Star, Hanging Man, Doji (with high volume), Morning/Evening Star, Piercing—but marked “effective” only if context (swing/trend/location) agrees.
Why it helps: same pattern in the wrong place is noise; in the right place, it’s signal.
⏩ How to use:
Location first (BSL/SSL/OB/imbalance), then pattern. Treat pattern as trigger/confirmation—one fresh label shows to keep chart clean.
🧭 Dashboard: “Context in a glance”
⏩ Reversal Level: current swing anchor—expect turns or reactions nearby; great for alerts and planning.
⏩ Volume vs Prev + Volume: Strength meter for signal candle—higher adds conviction.
⏩ Nearest Pool: next “magnet” area—look for sweeps/rejections there.
🧩Step-by-step trading flow (with mindset)
⏩ Set bias: HH/HL = long bias, LH/LL = short bias. Counter-trend only on clean sweeps with strong confirmation.
⏩ Find magnet: Check Nearest Pool (BSL/SSL). Focus attention there; it saves screen time.
⏩ Wait for event: Look for a sweep/grab label, or sharp rejection at pool/OB/imbalance. Avoid FOMO.
⏩ Add confluence: Stack 2–3 of these—imbalance box, OB, contextual pattern, supportive volume.
⏩Plan entry: Bullish: trigger above reversal candle high or take retest of FVG/OB. Stop below sweep wick/zone. Target at least 1:1.5–1:2.
Bearish: mirror above.
⏩Manage smartly: Take partials, move to breakeven or trail thoughtfully. Don’t drag stops inside zone out of emotion.
🎛️ Parameter tuning (to reduce human error)
⏩ swingLen: Smaller = faster but noisier; larger = cleaner but slower. Backtest first, then go live.
⏩ Tolerance (ATR or percent): ATR tolerance adapts to volatility (good for fast markets and lower TFs). Start around 0.15–0.30. In calm markets, try percent 0.05–0.15%.
⏩ minBarsGap: Start with 3–5 so equal highs/lows are truly equal—reduces false pools.
❌Common mistakes → ✅ Better habits
⏩Chasing every breakout → Wait for sweep/rejection, then confirm.
⏩Ignoring volume → Validate strength; cut size or skip on weak volume.
⏩Losing history of pools → If reviewing/backtesting, keep mitigated pools visible (dashed/faded).
⏩Over-tight tolerance/too small swingLen → Increases false signals; backtest to find balance.
📝 checklist (before entry)
⏩ Is there a nearby BSL/SSL and did a sweep/grab happen there?
⏩ Is there a close imbalance/OB that price can retest?
⏩ Do we have an effective pattern plus supportive volume?
⏩Is the stop beyond the wick/zone and RR ≥ 1:1.5?
•?((¯°·._.• 🎀 𝐻𝒶𝓅𝓅𝓎 𝒯𝓇𝒶𝒹𝒾𝓃𝑔 🎀 •._.·°¯((?•
HorizonSigma Pro [CHE]HorizonSigma Pro
Disclaimer
Not every timeframe will yield good results . Very short charts are dominated by microstructure noise, spreads, and slippage; signals can flip and the tradable edge shrinks after costs. Very high timeframes adapt more slowly, provide fewer samples, and can lag regime shifts. When you change timeframe, you also change the ratios between horizon, lookbacks, and correlation windows—what works on M5 won’t automatically hold on H1 or D1. Liquidity, session effects (overnight gaps, news bursts), and volatility do not scale linearly with time. Always validate per symbol and timeframe, then retune horizon, z-length, correlation window, and either the neutral band or the z-threshold. On fast charts, “components” mode adapts quicker; on slower charts, “super” reduces noise. Keep prior-shift and calibration enabled, monitor Hit Rate with its confidence interval and the Brier score, and execute only on confirmed (closed-bar) values.
For example, what do “UP 61%” and “DOWN 21%” mean?
“UP 61%” is the model’s estimated probability that the close will be higher after your selected horizon—directional probability, not a price target or profit guarantee. “DOWN 21%” still reports the probability of up; here it’s 21%, which implies 79% for down (a short bias). The label switches to “DOWN” because the probability falls below your short threshold. With a neutral-band policy, for example ±7%, signals are: Long above 57%, Short below 43%, Neutral in between. In z-score mode, fixed z-cutoffs drive the call instead of percentages. The arrow length on the chart is an ATR-scaled projection to visualize reach; treat it as guidance, not a promise.
Part 1 — Scientific description
Objective.
The indicator estimates the probability that price will be higher after a user-defined horizon (a chosen number of bars) and emits long, short, or neutral decisions under explicit thresholds. It combines multi‑feature, z‑normalized inputs, adaptive correlation‑based weighting, a prior‑shifted sigmoid mapping, optional rolling probability calibration, and repaint‑safe confirmation. It also visualizes an ATR‑scaled forward projection and prints a compact statistics panel.
Data and labeling.
For each bar, the target label is whether price increased over the past chosen horizon. Learning is deliberately backward‑looking to avoid look‑ahead: features are associated with outcomes that are only known after that horizon has elapsed.
Feature engineering.
The feature set includes momentum, RSI, stochastic %K, MACD histogram slope, a normalized EMA(20/50) trend spread, ATR as a share of price, Bollinger Band width, and volume normalized by its moving average. All features are standardized over rolling windows. A compressed “super‑feature” is available that aggregates core trend and momentum components while penalizing excessive width (volatility). Users can switch between a “components” mode (weighted sum of individual features) and a “super” mode (single compressed driver).
Weighting and learning.
Weights are the rolling correlations between features (evaluated one horizon ago) and realized directional outcomes, smoothed by an EMA and optionally clamped to a bounded range to stabilize outliers. This produces an adaptive, regime‑aware weighting without explicit machine‑learning libraries.
Scoring and probability mapping.
The raw score is either the weighted component sum or the weighted super‑feature. The score is standardized again and passed through a sigmoid whose steepness is user‑controlled. A “prior shift” moves the sigmoid’s midpoint to the current base rate of up moves, estimated over the evaluation window, so that probabilities remain well‑calibrated when markets drift bullish or bearish. Probabilities and standardized scores are EMA‑smoothed for stability.
Decision policy.
Two modes are supported:
- Neutral band: go long if the probability is above one half plus a user‑set band; go short if it is below one half minus that band; otherwise stay neutral.
- Z‑score thresholds: use symmetric positive/negative cutoffs on the standardized score to trigger long/short.
Repaint protection.
All values used for decisions can be locked to confirmed (closed) bars. Intrabar updates are available as a preview, but confirmed values drive evaluation and stats.
Calibration.
An optional rolling linear calibration maps past confirmed probabilities to realized outcomes over the evaluation window. The mapping is clipped to the unit interval and can be injected back into the decision logic if desired. This improves reliability (probabilities that “mean what they say”) without necessarily improving raw separability.
Evaluation metrics.
The table reports: hit rate on signaled bars; a Wilson confidence interval for that hit rate at a chosen confidence level; Brier score as a measure of probability accuracy; counts of long/short trades; average realized return by side; profit factor; net return; and exposure (signal density). All are computed on rolling windows consistent with the learning scheme.
Visualization.
On the chart, an arrowed projection shows the predicted direction from the current bar to the chosen horizon, with magnitude scaled by ATR (optionally scaled by the square‑root of the horizon). Labels display either the decision probability or the standardized score. Neutral states can display a configurable icon for immediate recognition.
Computational properties.
The design relies on rolling means, standard deviations, correlations, and EMAs. Per‑bar cost is constant with respect to history length, and memory is constant per tracked series. Graphical objects are updated in place to obey platform limits.
Assumptions and limitations.
The method is correlation‑based and will adapt after regime changes, not before them. Calibration improves probability reliability but not necessarily ranking power. Intrabar previews are non‑binding and should not be evaluated as historical performance.
Part 2 — Trader‑facing description
What it does.
This tool tells you how likely price is to be higher after your chosen number of bars and converts that into Long / Short / Neutral calls. It learns, in real time, which components—momentum, trend, volatility, breadth, and volume—matter now, adjusts their weights, and shows you a probability line plus a forward arrow scaled by volatility.
How to set it up.
1) Choose your horizon. Intraday scalps: 5–10 bars. Swings: 10–30 bars. The default of 14 bars is a balanced starting point.
2) Pick a feature mode.
- components: granular and fast to adapt when leadership rotates between signals.
- super: cleaner single driver; less noise, slightly slower to react.
3) Decide how signals are triggered.
- Neutral band (probability based): intuitive and easy to tune. Widen the band for fewer, higher‑quality trades; tighten to catch more moves.
- Z‑score thresholds: consistent numeric cutoffs that ignore base‑rate drift.
4) Keep reliability helpers on. Leave prior shift and calibration enabled to stabilize probabilities across bullish/bearish regimes.
5) Smoothing. A short EMA on the probability or score reduces whipsaws while preserving turns.
6) Overlay. The arrow shows the call and a volatility‑scaled reach for the next horizon. Treat it as guidance, not a promise.
Reading the stats table.
- Hit Rate with a confidence interval: your recent accuracy with an uncertainty range; trust the range, not only the point.
- Brier Score: lower is better; it checks whether a stated “70%” really behaves like 70% over time.
- Profit Factor, Net Return, Exposure: quick triage of tradability and signal density.
- Average Return by Side: sanity‑check that the long and short calls each pull their weight.
Typical adjustments.
- Too many trades? Increase the neutral band or raise the z‑threshold.
- Missing the move? Tighten the band, or switch to components mode to react faster.
- Choppy timeframe? Lengthen the z‑score and correlation windows; keep calibration on.
- Volatility regime change? Revisit the ATR multiplier and enable square‑root scaling of horizon.
Execution and risk.
- Size positions by volatility (ATR‑based sizing works well).
- Enter on confirmed values; use intrabar previews only as early signals.
- Combine with your market structure (levels, liquidity zones). This model is statistical, not clairvoyant.
What it is not.
Not a black‑box machine‑learning model. It is transparent, correlation‑weighted technical analysis with strong attention to probability reliability and repaint safety.
Suggested defaults (robust starting point).
- Horizon 14; components mode; weight EMA 10; correlation window 500; z‑length 200.
- Neutral band around seven percentage points, or z‑threshold around one‑third of a standard deviation.
- Prior shift ON, Calibration ON, Use calibrated for decisions OFF to start.
- ATR multiplier 1.0; square‑root horizon scaling ON; EMA smoothing 3.
- Confidence setting equivalent to about 95%.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. HorizonSigma Pro is a decision aid; always combine with solid risk management and your own judgment. Backtest, forward test, and size responsibly.
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Enhance your trading precision and confidence 🚀
Best regards
Chervolino
Adaptive Valuation [BackQuant]Adaptive Valuation
What this is
A composite, zero-centered oscillator that standardizes several classic indicators and blends them into one “valuation” line. It computes RSI, CCI, Demarker, and the Price Zone Oscillator, converts each to a rolling z-score, then forms a weighted average. Optional smoothing, dynamic overbought and oversold bands, and an on-chart table make the inputs and the final score easy to inspect.
How it works
Components
• RSI with its own lookback.
• CCI with its own lookback.
• DM (Demarker) with its own lookback.
• PZO (Price Zone Oscillator) with its own lookback.
Standardization via z-score
Each component is transformed using a rolling z-score over lookback bars:
z = (value − mean) ÷ stdev , where the mean is an EMA and the stdev is rolling.
This puts all inputs on a comparable scale measured in standard deviations.
Weighted blend
The z-scores are combined with user weights w_rsi, w_cci, w_dm, w_pzo to produce a single valuation series. If desired, it is then smoothed with a selected moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, RMA, DEMA, TEMA, LINREG, ALMA, T3). ALMA’s sigma input shapes its curve.
Dynamic thresholds (optional)
Two ways to set overbought and oversold:
• Static : fixed levels at ob_thres and os_thres .
• Dynamic : ±k·σ bands, where σ is the rolling standard deviation of the valuation over dynLen .
Bands can be centered at zero or around the valuation’s rolling mean ( centerZero ).
Visualization and UI
• Zero line at 0 with gradient fill that darkens as the valuation moves away from 0.
• Optional plotting of band lines and background highlights when OB or OS is active.
• Optional candle and background coloring driven by the valuation.
• Summary table showing each component’s current z-score, the final score, and a compact status.
How it can be used
• Bias filter : treat crosses above 0 as bullish bias and below 0 as bearish bias.
• Mean-reversion context : look for exhaustion when the valuation enters the OB or OS region, then watch for exits from those regions or a return toward 0.
• Signal confirmation : use the final score to confirm setups from structure or price action.
• Adaptive banding : with dynamic thresholds, OB and OS adjust to prevailing variability rather than relying on fixed lines.
• Component tuning : change weights to emphasize trend (raise DM, reduce RSI/CCI) or range behavior (raise RSI/CCI, reduce DM). PZO can help in swing environments.
Why z-score blending helps
Indicators often live on different scales. Z-scoring places them on a common, unitless axis, so a one-sigma move in RSI has comparable influence to a one-sigma move in CCI. This reduces scale bias and allows transparent weighting. It also facilitates regime-aware thresholds because the dynamic bands scale with recent dispersion.
Inputs to know
• Component lookbacks : rsilb, ccilb, dmlb, pzolb control each raw signal.
• Standardization window : lookback sets the z-score memory. Longer smooths, shorter reacts.
• Weights : w_rsi, w_cci, w_dm, w_pzo determine each component’s influence.
• Smoothing : maType, smoothP, sig govern optional post-blend smoothing.
• Dynamic bands : dyn_thres, dynLen, thres_k, centerZero configure the adaptive OB/OS logic.
• UI : toggle the plot, table, candle coloring, and threshold lines.
Reading the plot
• Above 0 : composite pressure is positive.
• Below 0 : composite pressure is negative.
• OB region : valuation above the chosen OB line. Risk of mean reversion rises and momentum continuation needs evidence.
• OS region : mirror logic on the downside.
• Band exits : leaving OB or OS can serve as a normalization cue.
Strengths
• Normalizes heterogeneous signals into one interpretable series.
• Adjustable component weights to match instrument behavior.
• Dynamic thresholds adapt to changing volatility and drift.
• Transparent diagnostics from the on-chart table.
• Flexible smoothing choices, including ALMA and T3.
Limitations and cautions
• Z-scores assume a reasonably stationary window. Sharp regime shifts can make recent bands unrepresentative.
• Highly correlated components can overweight the same effect. Consider adjusting weights to avoid double counting.
• More smoothing adds lag. Less smoothing adds noise.
• Dynamic bands recalibrate with dynLen ; if set too short, bands may swing excessively. If too long, bands can be slow to adapt.
Practical tuning tips
• Trending symbols: increase w_dm , use a modest smoother like EMA or T3, and use centerZero dynamic bands.
• Choppy symbols: increase w_rsi and w_cci , consider ALMA with a higher sigma , and widen bands with a larger thres_k .
• Multiday swing charts: lengthen lookback and dynLen to stabilize the scale.
• Lower timeframes: shorten component lookbacks slightly and reduce smoothing to keep signals timely.
Alerts
• Enter and exit of Overbought and Oversold, based on the active band choice.
• Bullish and bearish zero crosses.
Use alerts as prompts to review context rather than as stand-alone trade commands.
Final Remarks
We created this to show people a different way of making indicators & trading.
You can process normal indicators in multiple ways to enhance or change the signal, especially with this you can utilise machine learning to optimise the weights, then trade accordingly.
All of the different components were selected to give some sort of signal, its made out of simple components yet is effective. As long as the user calibrates it to their Trading/ investing style you can find good results. Do not use anything standalone, ensure you are backtesting and creating a proper system.
Inverse Fisher Transform COMBO XThis is a vastly improved version of the indicator "Inverse Fisher Transform COMBO STO+RSI+CCIv2" by KIVANÇ fr3762 and updated previously by lordofcodes.
This script includes all the original oscillators included in the original script including CCI, CCIv2, MFI, RSI, Stochastic, and SMI oscillators. In Inverse Fisher Transform, one looks for the indicator lines of your choosing to be either above or below the centerline as with all oscillators. In addition it has many new features that greatly enhance the variety of uses for this very helpful indicator.
-Updated the script to indicator in pinescript v6.
-An Inverse Fisher Transform of the Heikin Ashi Calculation has been included in the script, with
both a raw Heikin Ashi signal output as well as a smoothed Heikin Ashi calculation are included.
-In addition, bar coloring according to the raw Heikin Ashi calculation is included in order to
allow for a standard bar chart to also give the visual indication of the Heikin Ashi chart type
This allows the trader to maintain the accuracy of price information on the chart that standard candles provide while still being able to reference the smoothed trend calculation of Heikin Ashi candles.
-Updated the script to add smoothing method and length inputs for each indicator.
-Smoothing methods available include the original wma smoothing, as well as sma, ema, dema,
tema, rma, hma, vwma, and t3 moving average calculations.
-Now you can also select the method for calculating the Inverse Fisher Transform using either
the default method of whether the oscillator is above or below the centerline, or to be based
on the oscillator's position in relation to a signal line instead, which can potentially give more
timely and accurate signals.
-The signal line's length and moving average calculation method are also adjustable according to
the same variety as the oscillators themselves. For simplicity the same signal line calculation
will be applied to all oscillators except for the Heikin Ashi since Heikin Ashi is not an oscillator.
In general, a low smoothing input works best for a slower moving average types such as rma and t3 which are my personal preference, while a larger number works better for the faster moving average calculations such as wma, hma, ema, dema, or tema. Though in practice, the combination of different smoothing methods and lengths across the variety of included indicators are greatly variable and can offer a complete trading strategy including long and short term trend analysis as well as volume analysis and Heikin Ashi candle analysis with just this one indicator.
As always, one indicator never guarantees results, which is a problem this script seeks to address, but it still benefits one to look for confirmation from other indicators and methods.
I hope you are able to find this indicator an effect addition to your trading strategy.
AltCoin & MemeCoin Index Correlation [Eddie_Bitcoin]🧠 Philosophy of the Strategy
The AltCoin & MemeCoin Index Correlation Strategy by Eddie_Bitcoin is a carefully engineered trend-following system built specifically for the highly volatile and sentiment-driven world of altcoins and memecoins.
This strategy recognizes that crypto markets—especially niche sectors like memecoins—are not only influenced by individual price action but also by the relative strength or weakness of their broader sector. Hence, it attempts to improve the reliability of trading signals by requiring alignment between a specific coin’s trend and its sector-wide index trend.
Rather than treating each crypto asset in isolation, this strategy dynamically incorporates real-time dominance metrics from custom indices (OTHERS.D and MEME.D) and combines them with local price action through dual exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers. Only when both the asset and its sector are moving in the same direction does it allow for trade entries—making it a confluence-based system rather than a single-signal strategy.
It supports risk-aware capital allocation, partial exits, configurable stop loss and take profit levels, and a scalable equity-compounding model.
✅ Why did I choose OTHERS.D and MEME.D as reference indices?
I selected OTHERS.D and MEME.D because they offer a sector-focused view of crypto market dynamics, especially relevant when trading altcoins and memecoins.
🔹 OTHERS.D tracks the market dominance of all cryptocurrencies outside the top 10 by market cap.
This excludes not only BTC and ETH, but also major stablecoins like USDT and USDC, making it a cleaner indicator of risk appetite across true altcoins.
🔹 This is particularly useful for detecting "Altcoin Season"—periods where capital rotates away from Bitcoin and flows into smaller-cap coins.
A rising OTHERS.D often signals the start of broader altcoin rallies.
🔹 MEME.D, on the other hand, captures the speculative behavior of memecoin segments, which are often driven by retail hype and social media activity.
It's perfect for timing momentum shifts in high-risk, high-reward tokens.
By using these indices, the strategy aligns entries with broader sector trends, filtering out noise and increasing the probability of catching true directional moves, especially in phases of capital rotation and altcoin risk-on behavior.
📐 How It Works — Core Logic and Execution Model
At its heart, this strategy employs dual EMA crossover detection—one pair for the asset being traded and one pair for the selected market index.
A trade is only executed when both EMA crossovers agree on the direction. For example:
Long Entry: Coin's fast EMA > slow EMA and Index's fast EMA > slow EMA
Short Entry: Coin's fast EMA < slow EMA and Index's fast EMA < slow EMA
You can disable the index filter and trade solely based on the asset’s trend just to make a comparison and see if improves a classic EMA crossover strategy.
Additionally, the strategy includes:
- Adaptive position sizing, based on fixed capital or current equity (compound mode)
- Take Profit and Stop Loss in percentage terms
- Smart partial exits when trend momentum fades
- Date filtering for precise backtesting over specific timeframes
- Real-time performance stats, equity tracking, and visual cues on chart
⚙️ Parameters & Customization
🔁 EMA Settings
Each EMA pair is customizable:
Coin Fast EMA: Default = 47
Coin Slow EMA: Default = 50
Index Fast EMA: Default = 47
Index Slow EMA: Default = 50
These control the sensitivity of the trend detection. A wider spread gives smoother, slower entries; a narrower spread makes it more responsive.
🧭 Index Reference
The correlation mechanism uses CryptoCap sector dominance indexes:
OTHERS.D: Dominance of all coins EXCLUDING Top 10 ones
MEME.D: Dominance of all Meme coins
These are dynamically calculated using:
OTHERS_D = OTHERS_cap / TOTAL_cap * 100
MEME_D = MEME_cap / TOTAL_cap * 100
You can select:
Reference Index: OTHERS.D or MEME.D
Or disable the index reference completely (Don't Use Index Reference)
💰 Position Sizing & Risk Management
Two capital allocation models are supported:
- Fixed % of initial capital (default)
- Compound profits, which scales positions as equity grows
Settings:
- Compound profits?: true/false
- % of equity: Between 1% and 200% (default = 10%)
This is critical for users who want to balance growth with risk.
🎯 Take Profit / Stop Loss
Customizable thresholds determine automatic exits:
- TakeProfit: Default = 99999 (disabled)
- StopLoss: Default = 5 (%)
These exits are percentage-based and operate off the entry price vs. current close.
📉 Trend Weakening Exit (Scale Out)
If the position is in profit but the trend weakens (e.g., EMA color signals trend loss), the strategy can partially close a configurable portion of the position:
- Scale Position on Weak Trend?: true/false
- Scaled Percentage: % to close (default = 65%)
This feature is useful for preserving profits without exiting completely.
📆 Date Filter
Useful for segmenting performance over specific timeframes (e.g., bull vs bear markets):
- Filter Date Range of Backtest: ON/OFF
- Start Date and End Date: Custom time range
OTHER PARAMETERS EXPLANATION (Strategy "Properties" Tab):
- Initial Capital is set to 100 USD
- Commission is set to 0.055% (The ones I have on Bybit)
- Slippage is set to 3 ticks
- Margin (short and long) are set to 0.001% to avoid "overspending" your initial capital allocation
📊 Visual Feedback and Debug Tools
📈 EMA Trend Visualization
The slow EMA line is dynamically color-coded to visually display the alignment between the asset trend and the index trend:
Lime: Coin and index both bullish
Teal: Only coin bullish
Maroon: Only index bullish
Red: Both bearish
This allows for immediate visual confirmation of current trend strength.
💬 Real-Time PnL Labels
When a trade closes, a label shows:
Previous trade return in % (first value is the effective PL)
Green background for profit, Red for losses.
📑 Summary Table Overlay
This table appears in a corner of the chart (user-defined) and shows live performance data including:
Trade direction (yellow long, purple short)
Emojis: 💚 for current profit, 😡 for current loss
Total number of trades
Win rate
Max drawdown
Duration in days
Current trade profit/loss (absolute and %)
Cumulative PnL (absolute and %)
APR (Annualized Percentage Return)
Each metric is color-coded:
Green for strong results
Yellow/orange for average
Red/maroon for poor performance
You can select where this appears:
Top Left
Top Right
Bottom Left
Bottom Right (default)
📚 Interpretation of Key Metrics
Equity Multiplier: How many times initial capital has grown (e.g., “1.75x”)
Net Profit: Total gains including open positions
Max Drawdown: Largest peak-to-valley drop in strategy equity
APR: Annualized return calculated based on equity growth and days elapsed
Win Rate: % of profitable trades
PnL %: Percentage profit on the most recent trade
🧠 Advanced Logic & Safety Features
🛑 “Don’t Re-Enter” Filter
If a trade is closed due to StopLoss without a confirmed reversal, the strategy avoids re-entering in that same direction until conditions improve. This prevents false reversals and repetitive losses in sideways markets.
🧷 Equity Protection
No new trades are initiated if equity falls below initial_capital / 30. This avoids overleveraging or continuing to trade when capital preservation is critical.
Keep in mind that past results in no way guarantee future performance.
Eddie Bitcoin
Multi-TF Trend Table (Configurable)1) What this tool does (in one minute)
A compact, multi‑timeframe dashboard that stacks eight timeframes and tells you:
Trend (fast MA vs slow MA)
Where price sits relative to those MAs
How far price is from the fast MA in ATR terms
MA slope (rising, falling, flat)
Stochastic %K (with overbought/oversold heat)
MACD momentum (up or down)
A single score (0%–100%) per timeframe
Alignment tick when trend, structure, slope and momentum all agree
Use it to:
Frame bias top‑down (M→W→D→…→15m)
Time entries on your execution timeframe when the higher‑TF stack is aligned
Avoid counter‑trend traps when the table is mixed
2) Table anatomy (each column explained)
The table renders 9 columns × 8 rows (one row per timeframe label you define).
TF — The label you chose for that row (e.g., Month, Week, 4H). Cosmetic; helps you read the stack.
Trend — Arrow from fast MA vs slow MA: ↑ if fastMA > slowMA (up‑trend), ↓ otherwise (down‑trend). Cell is green for up, red for down.
Price Pos — One‑character structure cue:
🔼 if price is above both fast and slow MAs (bullish structure)
🔽 if price is below both (bearish structure)
– otherwise (between MAs / mixed)
MA Dist — Distance of price from the fast MA measured in ATR multiples:
XS < S < M < L < XL according to your thresholds (see §3.3). Useful for judging stretch/mean‑reversion risk and stop sizing.
MA Slope — The fast MA one‑bar slope:
↑ if fastMA - fastMA > 0
↓ if < 0
→ if = 0
Stoch %K — Rounded %K value (default 14‑1‑3). Background highlights when it aligns with the trend:
Green heat when trend up and %K ≤ oversold
Red heat when trend down and %K ≥ overbought Tooltip shows K and D values precisely.
Trend % — Composite score (0–100%), the dashboard’s confidence for that timeframe:
+20 if trendUp (fast>slow)
+20 if fast MA slope > 0
+20 if MACD up (signal definition in §2.8)
+20 if price above fast MA
+20 if price above slow MA
Background colours:
≥80 lime (strong alignment)
≥60 green (good)
≥40 orange (mixed)
<40 grey (weak/contrary)
MACD — 🟢 if EMA(12)−EMA(26) > its EMA(9), else 🔴. It’s a simple “momentum up/down” proxy.
Align — ✔ when everything is in gear for that trend direction:
For up: trendUp and price above both MAs and slope>0 and MACD up
For down: trendDown and price below both MAs and slope<0 and MACD down Tooltip spells this out.
3) Settings & how to tune them
3.1 Timeframes (TF1–TF8)
Inputs: TF1..TF8 hold the resolution strings used by request.security().
Defaults: M, W, D, 720, 480, 240, 60, 15 with display labels Month, Week, Day, 12H, 8H, 4H, 1H, 15m.
Tips
Keep a top‑down funnel (e.g., Month→Week→Day→H4→H1→M15) so you can cascade bias into entries.
If you scalp, consider D, 240, 120, 60, 30, 15, 5, 1.
Crypto weekends: consider 2D in place of W to reflect continuous trading.
3.2 Moving Average (MA) group
Type: EMA, SMA, WMA, RMA, HMA. Changes both fast & slow MA computations everywhere.
Fast Length: default 20. Shorten for snappier trend/slope & tighter “price above fast” signals.
Slow Length: default 200. Controls the structural trend and part of the score.
When to change
Swing FX/equities: EMA 20/200 is a solid baseline.
Mean‑reversion style: consider SMA 20/100 so trend flips slower.
Crypto/indices momentum: HMA 21 / EMA 200 will read slope more responsively.
3.3 ATR / Distance group
ATR Length: default 14; longer makes distance less jumpy.
XS/S/M/L thresholds: define the labels in column MA Dist. They are compared to |close − fastMA| / ATR.
Defaults: XS 0.25×, S 0.75×, M 1.5×, L 2.5×; anything ≥L is XL.
Usage
Entries late in a move often occur at L/XL; consider waiting for a pullback unless you are trading breakouts.
For stops, an initial SL around 0.75–1.5 ATR from fast MA often sits behind nearby noise; use your plan.
3.4 Stochastic group
%K Length / Smoothing / %D Smoothing: defaults 14 / 1 / 3.
Overbought / Oversold: defaults 70 / 30 (adjust to 80/20 for trendier assets).
Heat logic (column Stoch %K): highlights when a pullback aligns with the dominant trend (oversold in an uptrend, overbought in a downtrend).
3.5 View
Full Screen Table Mode: centers and enlarges the table (position.middle_center). Great for clean screenshots or multi‑monitor setups.
4) Signal logic (how each datapoint is computed)
Per‑TF data (via a single request.security()):
fastMA, slowMA → based on your MA Type and lengths
%K, %D → Stoch(High,Low,Close,kLen) smoothed by kSmooth, then %D smoothed by dSmooth
close, ATR(atrLen) → for structure and distance
MACD up → (EMA12−EMA26) > EMA9(EMA12−EMA26)
fastMA_prev → yesterday/previous‑bar fast MA for slope
TrendUp → fastMA > slowMA
Price Position → compares close to both MAs
MA Distance Label → thresholds on abs(close − fastMA)/ATR
Slope → fastMA − fastMA
Score (0–100) → sum of the five 20‑point checks listed in §2.7
Align tick → conjunction of trend, price vs both MAs, slope and MACD (see §2.9)
Important behaviour
HTF values are sampled at the execution chart’s bar close using Pine v6 defaults (no lookahead). So the daily row updates only when a daily bar actually closes.
5) How to trade with it (playbooks)
The table is a framework. Entries/exits still follow your plan (e.g., S/D zones, price action, risk rules). Use the table to know when to be aggressive vs patient.
Playbook A — Trend continuation (pullback entry)
Look for Align ✔ on your anchor TFs (e.g., Week+Day both ≥80 and green, Trend ↑, MACD 🟢).
On your execution TF (e.g., H1/H4), wait for Stoch heat with the trend (oversold in uptrend or overbought in downtrend), and MA Dist not at XL.
Enter on your trigger (break of pullback high/low, engulfing, retest of fast MA, or S/D first touch per your plan).
Risk: consider ATR‑based SL beyond structure; size so 0.25–0.5% account risk fits your rules.
Trail or scale at M/L distances or when score deteriorates (<60).
Playbook B — Breakout with confirmation
Mixed stack turns into broad green: Trend % jumps to ≥80 on Day and H4; MACD flips 🟢.
Price Pos shows 🔼 across H4/H1 (above both MAs). Slope arrows ↑.
Enter on the first clean base‑break with volume/impulse; avoid if MA Dist already XL.
Playbook C — Mean‑reversion fade (advanced)
Use only when higher TFs are not aligned and the row you trade shows XL distance against the higher‑TF context. Take quick targets back to fast MA. Lower win‑rate, faster management.
Playbook D — Top‑down filter for Supply/Demand strategy
Trade first retests only in the direction where anchor TFs (Week/Day) have Align ✔ and Trend % ≥60. Skip counter‑trend zones when the stack is red/green against you.
6) Reading examples
Strong bullish stack
Week: ↑, 🔼, S/M, slope ↑, %K=32 (green heat), Trend 100%, MACD 🟢, Align ✔
Day: ↑, 🔼, XS/S, slope ↑, %K=45, Trend 80%, MACD 🟢, Align ✔
Action: Look for H4/H1 pullback into demand or fast MA; buy continuation.
Late‑stage thrust
H1: ↑, 🔼, XL, slope ↑, %K=88
Day/H4: only 60–80%
Action: Likely overextended on H1; wait for mean reversion or multi‑TF alignment before chasing.
Bearish transition
Day flips from 60%→40%, Trend ↓, MACD turns 🔴, Price Pos “–” (between MAs)
Action: Stand aside for longs; watch for lower‑high + Align ✔ on H4/H1 to join shorts.
7) Practical tips & pitfalls
HTF closure: Don’t assume a daily row changed mid‑day; it won’t settle until the daily bar closes. For intraday anticipation, watch H4/H1 rows.
MA Type consistency: Changing MA Type changes slope/structure everywhere. If you compare screenshots, keep the same type.
ATR thresholds: Calibrate per asset class. FX may suit defaults; indices/crypto might need wider S/M/L.
Score ≠ signal: 100% does not mean “must buy now.” It means the environment is favourable. Still execute your trigger.
Mixed stacks: When rows disagree, reduce size or skip. The tool is telling you the market lacks consensus.
8) Customisation ideas
Timeframe presets: Save layouts (e.g., Swing, Intraday, Scalper) as indicator templates in TradingView.
Alternative momentum: Replace the MACD condition with RSI(>50/<50) if desired (would require code edit).
Alerts: You can add alert conditions for (a) Align ✔ changes, (b) Trend % crossing 60/80, (c) Stoch heat events. (Not shipped in this script, but easy to add.)
9) FAQ
Q: Why do I sometimes see a dash in Price Pos? A: Price is between fast and slow MAs. Structure is mixed; seek clarity before acting.
Q: Does it repaint? A: No, higher‑TF values update on the close of their own bars (standard request.security behaviour without lookahead). Intra‑bar they can fluctuate; decisions should be made at your bar close per your plan.
Q: Which columns matter most? A: For trend‑following: Trend, Price Pos, Slope, MACD, then Stoch heat for entries. The Score summarises, and Align enforces discipline.
Q: How do I integrate with ATR‑based risk? A: Use the MA Dist label to avoid chasing at extremes and to size stops in ATR terms (e.g., SL behind structure at ~1–1.5 ATR).
MTF Oscillator Stack [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The MTF Oscillator Stack brings powerful multi-timeframe momentum analysis directly into your price chart. You can select one oscillator— RSI , MFI , or Stochastic RSI —and display it across up to 4 different timeframes. Each panel is neatly stacked horizontally above price , offering quick insight into cross-timeframe conditions like trend direction, exhaustion zones, and momentum shifts.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Single Oscillator Mode: Select one oscillator type (RSI, MFI, or Stoch RSI) to analyze across all selected timeframes.
Top-Chart Horizontal Panels: Oscillator plots are aligned horizontally at the top of the chart for seamless top-down reading.
Signal Comparison Arrows: Arrows (🢁 / 🢃) indicate oscillator position relative to its signal line.
Overbought/Oversold Zones: Transparent 30–70 fill zones highlight key reversal areas.
Dynamic Display Logic: Only enabled panels are shown; spacing adjusts based on active timeframes.
Timeframe Tagging: Each oscillator panel is labeled with its corresponding timeframe (e.g., 1H, 2H, 4H).
🔵 FEATURES
Choose one oscillator (RSI, MFI, or Stoch RSI) and apply it across up to 4 timeframes.
Each oscillator panel includes: price-synced plot, signal line, and zone shading.
Scale alignment allows users to place charts at the bottom or top.
Clear arrow signals show whether oscillator is bullish or bearish.
Individual length and signal settings per timeframe.
Toggle for alignment mode: evenly spaced or floating layout.
All panels use a consistent layout for faster decision-making.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Select your preferred oscillator and activate 2–4 key timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H, D1, W1).
Use signal crossovers as a bullish (🢁) or bearish (🢃) trend cue.
Look for aligned extremes (e.g., all timeframes overbought) to spot momentum exhaustion.
Ideal for momentum confluence strategies and top-down confirmation.
Use horizontal layout to stay focused on price while assessing broader structure.
🔵 CONCLUSION
MTF Oscillator Stack simplifies complex multi-timeframe momentum analysis into one clean, actionable visual. Whether you're tracking RSI, MFI, or Stoch RSI, this tool helps you stay aligned with the broader trend—without ever leaving your main chart.
Correlation Heatmap Matrix [TradingFinder] 20 Assets Variable🔵 Introduction
Correlation is one of the most important statistical and analytical metrics in financial markets, data mining, and data science. It measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables.
The correlation coefficient always ranges between +1 and -1 : a perfect positive correlation (+1) means that two assets or currency pairs move together in the same direction and at a constant ratio, a correlation of zero (0) indicates no clear linear relationship, and a perfect negative correlation (-1) means they move in exactly opposite directions.
While the Pearson Correlation Coefficient is the most common method for calculation, other statistical methods like Spearman and Kendall are also used depending on the context.
In financial market analysis, correlation is a key tool for Forex, the Stock Market, and the Cryptocurrency Market because it allows traders to assess the price relationship between currency pairs, stocks, or coins. For example, in Forex, EUR/USD and GBP/USD often have a high positive correlation; in stocks, companies from the same sector such as Apple and Microsoft tend to move similarly; and in crypto, most altcoins show a strong positive correlation with Bitcoin.
Using a Correlation Heatmap in these markets visually displays the strength and direction of these relationships, helping traders make more accurate decisions for risk management and strategy optimization.
🟣 Correlation in Financial Markets
In finance, correlation refers to measuring how closely two assets move together over time. These assets can be stocks, currency pairs, commodities, indices, or cryptocurrencies. The main goal of correlation analysis in trading is to understand these movement patterns and use them for risk management, trend forecasting, and developing trading strategies.
🟣 Correlation Heatmap
A correlation heatmap is a visual tool that presents the correlation between multiple assets in a color-coded table. Each cell shows the correlation coefficient between two assets, with colors indicating its strength and direction. Warm colors (such as red or orange) represent strong negative correlation, cool colors (such as blue or cyan) represent strong positive correlation, and mid-range tones (such as yellow or green) indicate correlations that are close to neutral.
🟣 Practical Applications in Markets
Forex : Identify currency pairs that move together or in opposite directions, avoid overexposure to similar trades, and spot unusual divergences.
Crypto : Examine the dependency of altcoins on Bitcoin and find independent movers for portfolio diversification.
Stocks : Detect relationships between stocks in the same industry or find outliers that move differently from their sector.
🟣 Key Uses of Correlation in Trading
Risk management and diversification: Select assets with low or negative correlation to reduce portfolio volatility.
Avoiding overexposure: Prevent opening multiple positions on highly correlated assets.
Pairs trading: Exploit temporary deviations between historically correlated assets for arbitrage opportunities.
Intermarket analysis: Study the relationships between different markets like stocks, currencies, commodities, and bonds.
Divergence detection: Spot when two typically correlated assets move apart as a possible trend change signal.
Market forecasting: Use correlated asset movements to anticipate others’ behavior.
Event reaction analysis: Evaluate how groups of assets respond to economic or political events.
❗ Important Note
It’s important to note that correlation does not imply causation — it only reflects co-movement between assets. Correlation is also dynamic and can change over time, which is why analyzing it across multiple timeframes provides a more accurate picture. Combining correlation heatmaps with other analytical tools can significantly improve the precision of trading decisions.
🔵 How to Use
The Correlation Heatmap Matrix indicator is designed to analyze and manage the relationships between multiple assets at once. After adding the tool to your chart, start by selecting the assets you want to compare (up to 20).
Then, choose the Correlation Period that fits your trading strategy. Shorter periods (e.g., 20 bars) are more sensitive to recent price movements, making them suitable for short-term trading, while longer periods (e.g., 100 or 200 bars) provide a broader view of correlation trends over time.
The indicator outputs a color-coded matrix where each cell represents the correlation between two assets. Warm colors like red and orange signal strong negative correlation, while cool colors like blue and cyan indicate strong positive correlation. Mid-range tones such as yellow or green suggest correlations that are close to neutral. This visual representation makes it easy to spot market patterns at a glance.
One of the most valuable uses of this tool is in portfolio risk management. Portfolios with highly correlated assets are more vulnerable to market swings. By using the heatmap, traders can find assets with low or negative correlation to reduce overall risk.
Another key benefit is preventing overexposure. For example, if EUR/USD and GBP/USD have a high positive correlation, opening trades on both is almost like doubling the position size on one asset, increasing risk unnecessarily. The heatmap makes such relationships clear, helping you avoid them.
The indicator is also useful for pairs trading, where a trader identifies assets that are usually correlated but have temporarily diverged — a potential arbitrage or mean-reversion opportunity.
Additionally, the tool supports intermarket analysis, allowing traders to see how movements in one market (e.g., crude oil) may impact others (e.g., the Canadian dollar). Divergence detection is another advantage: if two typically aligned assets suddenly move in opposite directions, it could signal a major trend shift or a news-driven move.
Overall, the Correlation Heatmap Matrix is not just an analytical indicator but also a fast, visual alert system for monitoring multiple markets at once. This is particularly valuable for traders in fast-moving environments like Forex and crypto.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Logic
Correlation Period : Number of bars used to calculate correlation between assets.
🟣 Display
Table on Chart : Enable/disable displaying the heatmap directly on the chart.
Table Size : Choose the table size (from very small to very large).
Table Position : Set the table location on the chart (top, middle, or bottom in various alignments).
🟣 Symbol Custom
Select Market : Choose the market type (Forex, Stocks, Crypto, or Custom).
Symbol 1 to Symbol 20: In custom mode, you can define up to 20 assets for correlation calculation.
🔵 Conclusion
The Correlation Heatmap Matrix is a powerful tool for analyzing correlations across multiple assets in Forex, crypto, and stock markets. By displaying a color-coded table, it visually conveys both the strength and direction of correlations — warm colors for strong negative correlation, cool colors for strong positive correlation, and mid-range tones such as yellow or green for near-zero or neutral correlation.
This helps traders select assets with low or negative correlation for diversification, avoid overexposure to similar trades, identify arbitrage and pairs trading opportunities, and detect unusual divergences between typically aligned assets. With support for custom mode and up to 20 symbols, it offers high flexibility for different trading strategies, making it a valuable complement to technical analysis and risk management.
Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy - Portfolio CalculatorTHE ALL WEATHER STRATEGY INDICATOR: A GUIDE TO RAY DALIO'S LEGENDARY PORTFOLIO APPROACH
Introduction: The Genesis of Financial Resilience
In the sprawling corridors of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund managing over 150 billion dollars in assets, Ray Dalio conceived what would become one of the most influential investment strategies of the modern era. The All Weather Strategy, born from decades of market observation and rigorous backtesting, represents a paradigm shift from traditional portfolio construction methods that have dominated Wall Street since Harry Markowitz's seminal work on Modern Portfolio Theory in 1952.
Unlike conventional approaches that chase returns through market timing or stock picking, the All Weather Strategy embraces a fundamental truth that has humbled countless investors throughout history: nobody can consistently predict the future direction of markets. Instead of fighting this uncertainty, Dalio's approach harnesses it, creating a portfolio designed to perform reasonably well across all economic environments, hence the evocative name "All Weather."
The strategy emerged from Bridgewater's extensive research into economic cycles and asset class behavior, culminating in what Dalio describes as "the Holy Grail of investing" in his bestselling book "Principles" (Dalio, 2017). This Holy Grail isn't about achieving spectacular returns, but rather about achieving consistent, risk-adjusted returns that compound steadily over time, much like the tortoise defeating the hare in Aesop's timeless fable.
HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION
The All Weather Strategy's origins trace back to the tumultuous economic periods of the 1970s and 1980s, when traditional portfolio construction methods proved inadequate for navigating simultaneous inflation and recession. Raymond Thomas Dalio, born in 1949 in Queens, New York, founded Bridgewater Associates from his Manhattan apartment in 1975, initially focusing on currency and fixed-income consulting for corporate clients.
Dalio's early experiences during the 1970s stagflation period profoundly shaped his investment philosophy. Unlike many of his contemporaries who viewed inflation and deflation as opposing forces, Dalio recognized that both conditions could coexist with either economic growth or contraction, creating four distinct economic environments rather than the traditional two-factor models that dominated academic finance.
The conceptual breakthrough came in the late 1980s when Dalio began systematically analyzing asset class performance across different economic regimes. Working with a small team of researchers, Bridgewater developed sophisticated models that decomposed economic conditions into growth and inflation components, then mapped historical asset class returns against these regimes. This research revealed that traditional portfolio construction, heavily weighted toward stocks and bonds, left investors vulnerable to specific economic scenarios.
The formal All Weather Strategy emerged in 1996 when Bridgewater was approached by a wealthy family seeking a portfolio that could protect their wealth across various economic conditions without requiring active management or market timing. Unlike Bridgewater's flagship Pure Alpha fund, which relied on active trading and leverage, the All Weather approach needed to be completely passive and unleveraged while still providing adequate diversification.
Dalio and his team spent months developing and testing various allocation schemes, ultimately settling on the 30/40/15/7.5/7.5 framework that balances risk contributions rather than dollar amounts. This approach was revolutionary because it focused on risk budgeting—ensuring that no single asset class dominated the portfolio's risk profile—rather than the traditional approach of equal dollar allocations or market-cap weighting.
The strategy's first institutional implementation began in 1996 with a family office client, followed by gradual expansion to other wealthy families and eventually institutional investors. By 2005, Bridgewater was managing over $15 billion in All Weather assets, making it one of the largest systematic strategy implementations in institutional investing.
The 2008 financial crisis provided the ultimate test of the All Weather methodology. While the S&P 500 declined by 37% and many hedge funds suffered double-digit losses, the All Weather strategy generated positive returns, validating Dalio's risk-balancing approach. This performance during extreme market stress attracted significant institutional attention, leading to rapid asset growth in subsequent years.
The strategy's theoretical foundations evolved throughout the 2000s as Bridgewater's research team, led by co-chief investment officers Greg Jensen and Bob Prince, refined the economic framework and incorporated insights from behavioral economics and complexity theory. Their research, published in numerous institutional white papers, demonstrated that traditional portfolio optimization methods consistently underperformed simpler risk-balanced approaches across various time periods and market conditions.
Academic validation came through partnerships with leading business schools and collaboration with prominent economists. The strategy's risk parity principles influenced an entire generation of institutional investors, leading to the creation of numerous risk parity funds managing hundreds of billions in aggregate assets.
In recent years, the democratization of sophisticated financial tools has made All Weather-style investing accessible to individual investors through ETFs and systematic platforms. The availability of high-quality, low-cost ETFs covering each required asset class has eliminated many of the barriers that previously limited sophisticated portfolio construction to institutional investors.
The development of advanced portfolio management software and platforms like TradingView has further democratized access to institutional-quality analytics and implementation tools. The All Weather Strategy Indicator represents the culmination of this trend, providing individual investors with capabilities that previously required teams of portfolio managers and risk analysts.
Understanding the Four Economic Seasons
The All Weather Strategy's theoretical foundation rests on Dalio's observation that all economic environments can be characterized by two primary variables: economic growth and inflation. These variables create four distinct "economic seasons," each favoring different asset classes. Rising growth benefits stocks and commodities, while falling growth favors bonds. Rising inflation helps commodities and inflation-protected securities, while falling inflation benefits nominal bonds and stocks.
This framework, detailed extensively in Bridgewater's research papers from the 1990s, suggests that by holding assets that perform well in each economic season, an investor can create a portfolio that remains resilient regardless of which season unfolds. The elegance lies not in predicting which season will occur, but in being prepared for all of them simultaneously.
Academic research supports this multi-environment approach. Ang and Bekaert (2002) demonstrated that regime changes in economic conditions significantly impact asset returns, while Fama and French (2004) showed that different asset classes exhibit varying sensitivities to economic factors. The All Weather Strategy essentially operationalizes these academic insights into a practical investment framework.
The Original All Weather Allocation: Simplicity Masquerading as Sophistication
The core All Weather portfolio, as implemented by Bridgewater for institutional clients and later adapted for retail investors, maintains a deceptively simple static allocation: 30% stocks, 40% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, 7.5% commodities, and 7.5% Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). This allocation may appear arbitrary to the uninitiated, but each percentage reflects careful consideration of historical volatilities, correlations, and economic sensitivities.
The 30% stock allocation provides growth exposure while limiting the portfolio's overall volatility. Stocks historically deliver superior long-term returns but with significant volatility, as evidenced by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index's average annual return of approximately 10% since 1926, accompanied by standard deviation exceeding 15% (Ibbotson Associates, 2023). By limiting stock exposure to 30%, the portfolio captures much of the equity risk premium while avoiding excessive volatility.
The combined 55% allocation to bonds (40% long-term plus 15% intermediate-term) serves as the portfolio's stabilizing force. Long-term bonds provide substantial interest rate sensitivity, performing well during economic slowdowns when central banks reduce rates. Intermediate-term bonds offer a balance between interest rate sensitivity and reduced duration risk. This bond-heavy allocation reflects Dalio's insight that bonds typically exhibit lower volatility than stocks while providing essential diversification benefits.
The 7.5% commodities allocation addresses inflation protection, as commodity prices typically rise during inflationary periods. Historical analysis by Bodie and Rosansky (1980) demonstrated that commodities provide meaningful diversification benefits and inflation hedging capabilities, though with considerable volatility. The relatively small allocation reflects commodities' high volatility and mixed long-term returns.
Finally, the 7.5% TIPS allocation provides explicit inflation protection through government-backed securities whose principal and interest payments adjust with inflation. Introduced by the U.S. Treasury in 1997, TIPS have proven effective inflation hedges, though they underperform nominal bonds during deflationary periods (Campbell & Viceira, 2001).
Historical Performance: The Evidence Speaks
Analyzing the All Weather Strategy's historical performance reveals both its strengths and limitations. Using monthly return data from 1970 to 2023, spanning over five decades of varying economic conditions, the strategy has delivered compelling risk-adjusted returns while experiencing lower volatility than traditional stock-heavy portfolios.
During this period, the All Weather allocation generated an average annual return of approximately 8.2%, compared to 10.5% for the S&P 500 Index. However, the strategy's annual volatility measured just 9.1%, substantially lower than the S&P 500's 15.8% volatility. This translated to a Sharpe ratio of 0.67 for the All Weather Strategy versus 0.54 for the S&P 500, indicating superior risk-adjusted performance.
More impressively, the strategy's maximum drawdown over this period was 12.3%, occurring during the 2008 financial crisis, compared to the S&P 500's maximum drawdown of 50.9% during the same period. This drawdown mitigation proves crucial for long-term wealth building, as Stein and DeMuth (2003) demonstrated that avoiding large losses significantly impacts compound returns over time.
The strategy performed particularly well during periods of economic stress. During the 1970s stagflation, when stocks and bonds both struggled, the All Weather portfolio's commodity and TIPS allocations provided essential protection. Similarly, during the 2000-2002 dot-com crash and the 2008 financial crisis, the portfolio's bond-heavy allocation cushioned losses while maintaining positive returns in several years when stocks declined significantly.
However, the strategy underperformed during sustained bull markets, particularly the 1990s technology boom and the 2010s post-financial crisis recovery. This underperformance reflects the strategy's conservative nature and diversified approach, which sacrifices potential upside for downside protection. As Dalio frequently emphasizes, the All Weather Strategy prioritizes "not losing money" over "making a lot of money."
Implementing the All Weather Strategy: A Practical Guide
The All Weather Strategy Indicator transforms Dalio's institutional-grade approach into an accessible tool for individual investors. The indicator provides real-time portfolio tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analytics, eliminating much of the complexity traditionally associated with implementing sophisticated allocation strategies.
To begin implementation, investors must first determine their investable capital. As detailed analysis reveals, the All Weather Strategy requires meaningful capital to implement effectively due to transaction costs, minimum investment requirements, and the need for precise allocations across five different asset classes.
For portfolios below $50,000, the strategy becomes challenging to implement efficiently. Transaction costs consume a disproportionate share of returns, while the inability to purchase fractional shares creates allocation drift. Consider an investor with $25,000 attempting to allocate 7.5% to commodities through the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF (DJP), currently trading around $25 per share. This allocation targets $1,875, enough for only 75 shares, creating immediate tracking error.
At $50,000, implementation becomes feasible but not optimal. The 30% stock allocation ($15,000) purchases approximately 37 shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at current prices around $400 per share. The 40% long-term bond allocation ($20,000) buys 200 shares of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at approximately $100 per share. While workable, these allocations leave significant cash drag and rebalancing challenges.
The optimal minimum for individual implementation appears to be $100,000. At this level, each allocation becomes substantial enough for precise implementation while keeping transaction costs below 0.4% annually. The $30,000 stock allocation, $40,000 long-term bond allocation, $15,000 intermediate-term bond allocation, $7,500 commodity allocation, and $7,500 TIPS allocation each provide sufficient size for effective management.
For investors with $250,000 or more, the strategy implementation approaches institutional quality. Allocation precision improves, transaction costs decline as a percentage of assets, and rebalancing becomes highly efficient. These larger portfolios can also consider adding complexity through international diversification or alternative implementations.
The indicator recommends quarterly rebalancing to balance transaction costs with allocation discipline. Monthly rebalancing increases costs without substantial benefits for most investors, while annual rebalancing allows excessive drift that can meaningfully impact performance. Quarterly rebalancing, typically on the first trading day of each quarter, provides an optimal balance.
Understanding the Indicator's Functionality
The All Weather Strategy Indicator operates as a comprehensive portfolio management system, providing multiple analytical layers that professional money managers typically reserve for institutional clients. This sophisticated tool transforms Ray Dalio's institutional-grade strategy into an accessible platform for individual investors, offering features that rival professional portfolio management software.
The indicator's core architecture consists of several interconnected modules that work seamlessly together to provide complete portfolio oversight. At its foundation lies a real-time portfolio simulation engine that tracks the exact value of each ETF position based on current market prices, eliminating the need for manual calculations or external spreadsheets.
DETAILED INDICATOR COMPONENTS AND FUNCTIONS
Portfolio Configuration Module
The portfolio setup begins with the Portfolio Configuration section, which establishes the fundamental parameters for strategy implementation. The Portfolio Capital input accepts values from $1,000 to $10,000,000, accommodating everyone from beginning investors to institutional clients. This input directly drives all subsequent calculations, determining exact share quantities and portfolio values throughout the implementation period.
The Portfolio Start Date function allows users to specify when they began implementing the All Weather Strategy, creating a clear demarcation point for performance tracking. This feature proves essential for investors who want to track their actual implementation against theoretical performance, providing realistic assessment of strategy effectiveness including timing differences and implementation costs.
Rebalancing Frequency settings offer two options: Monthly and Quarterly. While monthly rebalancing provides more precise allocation control, quarterly rebalancing typically proves more cost-effective for most investors due to reduced transaction costs. The indicator automatically detects the first trading day of each period, ensuring rebalancing occurs at optimal times regardless of weekends, holidays, or market closures.
The Rebalancing Threshold parameter, adjustable from 0.5% to 10%, determines when allocation drift triggers rebalancing recommendations. Conservative settings like 1-2% maintain tight allocation control but increase trading frequency, while wider thresholds like 3-5% reduce trading costs but allow greater allocation drift. This flexibility accommodates different risk tolerances and cost structures.
Visual Display System
The Show All Weather Calculator toggle controls the main dashboard visibility, allowing users to focus on chart visualization when detailed metrics aren't needed. When enabled, this comprehensive dashboard displays current portfolio value, individual ETF allocations, target versus actual weights, rebalancing status, and performance metrics in a professionally formatted table.
Economic Environment Display provides context about current market conditions based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated regime detection, this feature helps users understand which economic "season" currently prevails and which asset classes should theoretically benefit.
Rebalancing Signals illuminate when portfolio drift exceeds user-defined thresholds, highlighting specific ETFs that require adjustment. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency: green for balanced allocations, yellow for moderate drift, and red for significant deviations requiring immediate attention.
Advanced Label System
The rebalancing label system represents one of the indicator's most innovative features, providing three distinct detail levels to accommodate different user needs and experience levels. The "None" setting displays simple symbols marking portfolio start and rebalancing events without cluttering the chart with text. This minimal approach suits experienced investors who understand the implications of each symbol.
"Basic" label mode shows essential information including portfolio values at each rebalancing point, enabling quick assessment of strategy performance over time. These labels display "START $X" for portfolio initiation and "RBL $Y" for rebalancing events, providing clear performance tracking without overwhelming detail.
"Detailed" labels provide comprehensive trading instructions including exact buy and sell quantities for each ETF. These labels might display "RBL $125,000 BUY 15 SPY SELL 25 TLT BUY 8 IEF NO TRADES DJP SELL 12 SCHP" providing complete implementation guidance. This feature essentially transforms the indicator into a personal portfolio manager, eliminating guesswork about exact trades required.
Professional Color Themes
Eight professionally designed color themes adapt the indicator's appearance to different aesthetic preferences and market analysis styles. The "Gold" theme reflects traditional wealth management aesthetics, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional appearance. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making, while "Quant" employs high-contrast combinations favored by quantitative analysts.
"Ocean," "Fire," "Matrix," and "Arctic" themes provide distinctive visual identities for traders who prefer unique chart aesthetics. Each theme automatically adjusts for dark or light mode optimization, ensuring optimal readability across different TradingView configurations.
Real-Time Portfolio Tracking
The portfolio simulation engine continuously tracks five separate ETF positions: SPY for stocks, TLT for long-term bonds, IEF for intermediate-term bonds, DJP for commodities, and SCHP for TIPS. Each position's value updates in real-time based on current market prices, providing instant feedback about portfolio performance and allocation drift.
Current share calculations determine exact holdings based on the most recent rebalancing, while target shares reflect optimal allocation based on current portfolio value. Trade calculations show precisely how many shares to buy or sell during rebalancing, eliminating manual calculations and potential errors.
Performance Analytics Suite
The indicator's performance measurement capabilities rival professional portfolio analysis software. Sharpe ratio calculations incorporate current risk-free rates obtained from Treasury yield data, providing accurate risk-adjusted performance assessment. Volatility measurements use rolling periods to capture changing market conditions while maintaining statistical significance.
Portfolio return calculations track both absolute and relative performance, comparing the All Weather implementation against individual asset classes and benchmark indices. These metrics update continuously, providing real-time assessment of strategy effectiveness and implementation quality.
Data Quality Monitoring
Sophisticated data quality checks ensure reliable indicator operation across different market conditions and potential data interruptions. The system monitors all five ETF price feeds plus economic data sources, providing quality scores that alert users to potential data issues that might affect calculations.
When data quality degrades, the indicator automatically switches to fallback values or alternative data sources, maintaining functionality during temporary market data interruptions. This robust design ensures consistent operation even during volatile market conditions when data feeds occasionally experience disruptions.
Risk Management and Behavioral Considerations
Despite its sophisticated design, the All Weather Strategy faces behavioral challenges that have derailed countless well-intentioned investment plans. The strategy's conservative nature means it will underperform growth stocks during bull markets, potentially by substantial margins. Maintaining discipline during these periods requires understanding that the strategy optimizes for risk-adjusted returns over absolute returns.
Behavioral finance research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that investors feel losses approximately twice as intensely as equivalent gains. This loss aversion creates powerful psychological pressure to abandon defensive strategies during bull markets when aggressive portfolios appear more attractive. The All Weather Strategy's bond-heavy allocation will seem overly conservative when technology stocks double in value, as occurred repeatedly during the 2010s.
Conversely, the strategy's defensive characteristics provide psychological comfort during market stress. When stocks crash 30-50%, as they periodically do, the All Weather portfolio's modest losses feel manageable rather than catastrophic. This emotional stability enables investors to maintain their investment discipline when others capitulate, often at the worst possible times.
Rebalancing discipline presents another behavioral challenge. Selling winners to buy losers contradicts natural human tendencies but remains essential for the strategy's success. When stocks have outperformed bonds for several quarters, rebalancing requires selling high-performing stock positions to purchase seemingly stagnant bond positions. This action feels counterintuitive but captures the strategy's systematic approach to risk management.
Tax considerations add complexity for taxable accounts. Frequent rebalancing generates taxable events that can erode after-tax returns, particularly for high-income investors facing elevated capital gains rates. Tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs provide ideal vehicles for All Weather implementation, eliminating tax friction from rebalancing activities.
Capital Requirements and Cost Analysis
Comprehensive cost analysis reveals the capital requirements for effective All Weather implementation. Annual expenses include management fees for each ETF, transaction costs from rebalancing, and bid-ask spreads from trading less liquid securities.
ETF expense ratios vary significantly across asset classes. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF charges 0.09% annually, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.20%. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.15%, the Schwab US TIPS ETF charges 0.05%, and the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF charges 0.75%. Weighted by the All Weather allocations, total expense ratios average approximately 0.19% annually.
Transaction costs depend heavily on broker selection and account size. Premium brokers like Interactive Brokers charge $1-2 per trade, resulting in $20-40 annually for quarterly rebalancing. Discount brokers may charge higher per-trade fees but offer commission-free ETF trading for selected funds. Zero-commission brokers eliminate explicit trading costs but often impose wider bid-ask spreads that function as hidden fees.
Bid-ask spreads represent the difference between buying and selling prices for each security. Highly liquid ETFs like SPY maintain spreads of 1-2 basis points, while less liquid commodity ETFs may exhibit spreads of 5-10 basis points. These costs accumulate through rebalancing activities, typically totaling 10-15 basis points annually.
For a $100,000 portfolio, total annual costs including expense ratios, transaction fees, and spreads typically range from 0.35% to 0.45%, or $350-450 annually. These costs decline as a percentage of assets as portfolio size increases, reaching approximately 0.25% for portfolios exceeding $250,000.
Comparing costs to potential benefits reveals the strategy's value proposition. Historical analysis suggests the All Weather approach reduces portfolio volatility by 35-40% compared to stock-heavy allocations while maintaining competitive returns. This volatility reduction provides substantial value during market stress, potentially preventing behavioral mistakes that destroy long-term wealth.
Alternative Implementations and Customizations
While the original All Weather allocation provides an excellent starting point, investors may consider modifications based on personal circumstances, market conditions, or geographic considerations. International diversification represents one potential enhancement, adding exposure to developed and emerging market bonds and equities.
Geographic customization becomes important for non-US investors. European investors might replace US Treasury bonds with German Bunds or broader European government bond indices. Currency hedging decisions add complexity but may reduce volatility for investors whose spending occurs in non-dollar currencies.
Tax-location strategies optimize after-tax returns by placing tax-inefficient assets in tax-advantaged accounts while holding tax-efficient assets in taxable accounts. TIPS and commodity ETFs generate ordinary income taxed at higher rates, making them candidates for retirement account placement. Stock ETFs generate qualified dividends and long-term capital gains taxed at lower rates, making them suitable for taxable accounts.
Some investors prefer implementing the bond allocation through individual Treasury securities rather than ETFs, eliminating management fees while gaining precise maturity control. Treasury auctions provide access to new securities without bid-ask spreads, though this approach requires more sophisticated portfolio management.
Factor-based implementations replace broad market ETFs with factor-tilted alternatives. Value-tilted stock ETFs, quality-focused bond ETFs, or momentum-based commodity indices may enhance returns while maintaining the All Weather framework's diversification benefits. However, these modifications introduce additional complexity and potential tracking error.
Conclusion: Embracing the Long Game
The All Weather Strategy represents more than an investment approach; it embodies a philosophy of financial resilience that prioritizes sustainable wealth building over speculative gains. In an investment landscape increasingly dominated by algorithmic trading, meme stocks, and cryptocurrency volatility, Dalio's methodical approach offers a refreshing alternative grounded in economic theory and historical evidence.
The strategy's greatest strength lies not in its potential for extraordinary returns, but in its capacity to deliver reasonable returns across diverse economic environments while protecting capital during market stress. This characteristic becomes increasingly valuable as investors approach or enter retirement, when portfolio preservation assumes greater importance than aggressive growth.
Implementation requires discipline, adequate capital, and realistic expectations. The strategy will underperform growth-oriented approaches during bull markets while providing superior downside protection during bear markets. Investors must embrace this trade-off consciously, understanding that the strategy optimizes for long-term wealth building rather than short-term performance.
The All Weather Strategy Indicator democratizes access to institutional-quality portfolio management, providing individual investors with tools previously available only to wealthy families and institutions. By automating allocation tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analysis, the indicator removes much of the complexity that has historically limited sophisticated strategy implementation.
For investors seeking a systematic, evidence-based approach to long-term wealth building, the All Weather Strategy provides a compelling framework. Its emphasis on diversification, risk management, and behavioral discipline aligns with the fundamental principles that have created lasting wealth throughout financial history. While the strategy may not generate headlines or inspire cocktail party conversations, it offers something more valuable: a reliable path toward financial security across all economic seasons.
As Dalio himself notes, "The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist, and they design their portfolios accordingly." The All Weather Strategy's enduring appeal lies in its rejection of this recency bias, instead embracing the uncertainty of markets while positioning for success regardless of which economic season unfolds.
STEP-BY-STEP INDICATOR SETUP GUIDE
Setting up the All Weather Strategy Indicator requires careful attention to each configuration parameter to ensure optimal implementation. This comprehensive setup guide walks through every setting and explains its impact on strategy performance.
Initial Setup Process
Begin by adding the indicator to your TradingView chart. Search for "Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy" in the indicator library and apply it to any chart. The indicator operates independently of the underlying chart symbol, drawing data directly from the five required ETFs regardless of which security appears on the chart.
Portfolio Configuration Settings
Start with the Portfolio Capital input, which drives all subsequent calculations. Enter your exact investable capital, ranging from $1,000 to $10,000,000. This input determines share quantities, trade recommendations, and performance calculations. Conservative recommendations suggest minimum capitals of $50,000 for basic implementation or $100,000 for optimal precision.
Select your Portfolio Start Date carefully, as this establishes the baseline for all performance calculations. Choose the date when you actually began implementing the All Weather Strategy, not when you first learned about it. This date should reflect when you first purchased ETFs according to the target allocation, creating realistic performance tracking.
Choose your Rebalancing Frequency based on your cost structure and precision preferences. Monthly rebalancing provides tighter allocation control but increases transaction costs. Quarterly rebalancing offers the optimal balance for most investors between allocation precision and cost control. The indicator automatically detects appropriate trading days regardless of your selection.
Set the Rebalancing Threshold based on your tolerance for allocation drift and transaction costs. Conservative investors preferring tight control should use 1-2% thresholds, while cost-conscious investors may prefer 3-5% thresholds. Lower thresholds maintain more precise allocations but trigger more frequent trading.
Display Configuration Options
Enable Show All Weather Calculator to display the comprehensive dashboard containing portfolio values, allocations, and performance metrics. This dashboard provides essential information for portfolio management and should remain enabled for most users.
Show Economic Environment displays current economic regime classification based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated models, this feature provides useful context for understanding current market conditions.
Show Rebalancing Signals highlights when portfolio allocations drift beyond your threshold settings. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency levels, helping prioritize rebalancing activities.
Advanced Label Customization
Configure Show Rebalancing Labels based on your need for chart annotations. These labels mark important portfolio events and can provide valuable historical context, though they may clutter charts during extended time periods.
Select appropriate Label Detail Levels based on your experience and information needs. "None" provides minimal symbols suitable for experienced users. "Basic" shows portfolio values at key events. "Detailed" provides complete trading instructions including exact share quantities for each ETF.
Appearance Customization
Choose Color Themes based on your aesthetic preferences and trading style. "Gold" reflects traditional wealth management appearance, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional styling. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making.
Enable Dark Mode Optimization if using TradingView's dark theme for optimal readability and contrast. This setting automatically adjusts all colors and transparency levels for the selected theme.
Set Main Line Width based on your chart resolution and visual preferences. Higher width values provide clearer allocation lines but may overwhelm smaller charts. Most users prefer width settings of 2-3 for optimal visibility.
Troubleshooting Common Setup Issues
If the indicator displays "Data not available" messages, verify that all five ETFs (SPY, TLT, IEF, DJP, SCHP) have valid price data on your selected timeframe. The indicator requires daily data availability for all components.
When rebalancing signals seem inconsistent, check your threshold settings and ensure sufficient time has passed since the last rebalancing event. The indicator only triggers signals on designated rebalancing days (first trading day of each period) when drift exceeds threshold levels.
If labels appear at unexpected chart locations, verify that your chart displays percentage values rather than price values. The indicator forces percentage formatting and 0-40% scaling for optimal allocation visualization.
COMPREHENSIVE BIBLIOGRAPHY AND FURTHER READING
PRIMARY SOURCES AND RAY DALIO WORKS
Dalio, R. (2017). Principles: Life and work. New York: Simon & Schuster.
Dalio, R. (2018). A template for understanding big debt crises. Bridgewater Associates.
Dalio, R. (2021). Principles for dealing with the changing world order: Why nations succeed and fail. New York: Simon & Schuster.
BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES RESEARCH PAPERS
Jensen, G., Kertesz, A. & Prince, B. (2010). All Weather strategy: Bridgewater's approach to portfolio construction. Bridgewater Associates Research.
Prince, B. (2011). An in-depth look at the investment logic behind the All Weather strategy. Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations.
Bridgewater Associates. (2015). Risk parity in the context of larger portfolio construction. Institutional Research.
ACADEMIC RESEARCH ON RISK PARITY AND PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Ang, A. & Bekaert, G. (2002). International asset allocation with regime shifts. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(4), 1137-1187.
Bodie, Z. & Rosansky, V. I. (1980). Risk and return in commodity futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 36(3), 27-39.
Campbell, J. Y. & Viceira, L. M. (2001). Who should buy long-term bonds? American Economic Review, 91(1), 99-127.
Clarke, R., De Silva, H. & Thorley, S. (2013). Risk parity, maximum diversification, and minimum variance: An analytic perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 39(3), 39-53.
Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (2004). The capital asset pricing model: Theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(3), 25-46.
BEHAVIORAL FINANCE AND IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGES
Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-292.
Thaler, R. H. & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Montier, J. (2007). Behavioural investing: A practitioner's guide to applying behavioural finance. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY AND QUANTITATIVE METHODS
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
Black, F. & Litterman, R. (1992). Global portfolio optimization. Financial Analysts Journal, 48(5), 28-43.
PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION AND ETF ANALYSIS
Gastineau, G. L. (2010). The exchange-traded funds manual. 2nd ed. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Poterba, J. M. & Shoven, J. B. (2002). Exchange-traded funds: A new investment option for taxable investors. American Economic Review, 92(2), 422-427.
Israelsen, C. L. (2005). A refinement to the Sharpe ratio and information ratio. Journal of Asset Management, 5(6), 423-427.
ECONOMIC CYCLE ANALYSIS AND ASSET CLASS RESEARCH
Ilmanen, A. (2011). Expected returns: An investor's guide to harvesting market rewards. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
Swensen, D. F. (2009). Pioneering portfolio management: An unconventional approach to institutional investment. Rev. ed. New York: Free Press.
Siegel, J. J. (2014). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns & long-term investment strategies. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. New York: Random House.
Lowenstein, R. (2000). When genius failed: The rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management. New York: Random House.
Stein, D. M. & DeMuth, P. (2003). Systematic withdrawal from retirement portfolios: The impact of asset allocation decisions on portfolio longevity. AAII Journal, 25(7), 8-12.
CONTEMPORARY DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS
Asness, C. S., Frazzini, A. & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Leverage aversion and risk parity. Financial Analysts Journal, 68(1), 47-59.
Roncalli, T. (2013). Introduction to risk parity and budgeting. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
Ibbotson Associates. (2023). Stocks, bonds, bills, and inflation 2023 yearbook. Chicago: Morningstar.
PERIODICALS AND ONGOING RESEARCH
Journal of Portfolio Management - Quarterly publication featuring cutting-edge research on portfolio construction and risk management
Financial Analysts Journal - Bi-monthly publication of the CFA Institute with practical investment research
Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations - Regular market commentary and research from the creators of the All Weather Strategy
RECOMMENDED READING SEQUENCE
For investors new to the All Weather Strategy, begin with Dalio's "Principles" for philosophical foundation, then proceed to the Bridgewater research papers for technical details. Supplement with Markowitz's original portfolio theory work and behavioral finance literature from Kahneman and Tversky.
Intermediate students should focus on academic papers by Ang & Bekaert on regime shifts, Clarke et al. on risk parity methods, and Ilmanen's comprehensive analysis of expected returns across asset classes.
Advanced practitioners will benefit from Roncalli's technical treatment of risk parity mathematics, Asness et al.'s academic critique of leverage aversion, and ongoing research in the Journal of Portfolio Management.
Information-Geometric Market DynamicsInformation-Geometric Market Dynamics
The Information Field: A Geometric Approach to Market Dynamics
By: DskyzInvestments
Foreword: Beyond the Shadows on the Wall
If you have traded for any length of time, you know " the feeling ." It is the frustration of a perfect setup that fails, the whipsaw that stops you out just before the real move, the nagging sense that the chart is telling you only half the story. For decades, technical analysis has relied on interpreting the shadows—the patterns left behind by price. We draw lines on these shadows, apply indicators to them, and hope they reveal the future.
But what if we could stop looking at the shadows and, instead, analyze the object casting them?
This script introduces a new paradigm for market analysis: Information-Geometric Market Dynamics (IGMD) . The core premise of IGMD is that the price chart is merely a one-dimensional projection of a much richer, higher-dimensional reality—an " information field " generated by the collective actions and beliefs of all market participants.
This is not just another collection of indicators. It is a unified framework for measuring the geometry of the market's information field—its memory, its complexity, its uncertainty, its causal flows—and making high-probability decisions based on that deeper reality. By fusing advanced mathematical and informational concepts, IGMD provides a multi-faceted lens through which to view market behavior, moving beyond simple price action into the very structure of market information itself.
Prepare to move beyond the flatland of the price chart. Welcome to the information field.
The IGMD Framework: A Multi-Kernel Approach
What is a Kernel? The Heart of Transformation
In mathematics and data science, a kernel is a powerful and elegant concept. At its core, a kernel is a function that takes complex, often inscrutable data and transforms it into a more useful format. Think of it as a specialized lens or a mathematical "probe." You cannot directly measure abstract concepts like "market memory" or "trend quality" by looking at a price number. First, you must process the raw price data through a specific mathematical machine—a kernel—that is designed to output a measurement of that specific property. Kernels operate by performing a sort of "similarity test," projecting data into a higher-dimensional space where hidden patterns and relationships become visible and measurable.
Why do creators use them? We use kernels to extract features —meaningful pieces of information—that are not explicitly present in the raw data. They are the essential tools for moving beyond surface-level analysis into the very DNA of market behavior. A simple moving average can tell you the average price; a suite of well-chosen kernels can tell you about the character of the price action itself.
The Alchemist's Challenge: The Art of Fusion
Using a single kernel is a challenge. Using five distinct, computationally demanding mathematical engines in unison is an immense undertaking. The true difficulty—and artistry—lies not just in using one kernel, but in fusing the outputs of many . Each kernel provides a different perspective, and they can often give conflicting signals. One kernel might detect a strong trend, while another signals rising chaos and uncertainty. The IGMD script's greatest strength is its ability to act as this alchemist, synthesizing these disparate viewpoints through a weighted fusion process to produce a single, coherent picture of the market's state. It required countless hours of testing and calibration to balance the influence of these five distinct analytical engines so they work in harmony rather than cacophony.
The Five Kernels of Market Dynamics
The IGMD script is built upon a foundation of five distinct kernels, each chosen to probe a unique and critical dimension of the market's information field.
1. The Wavelet Kernel (The "Microscope")
What it is: The Wavelet Kernel is a signal processing function designed to decompose a signal into different frequency scales. Unlike a Fourier Transform that analyzes the entire signal at once, the wavelet slides across the data, providing information about both what frequencies are present and when they occurred.
The Kernels I Use:
Haar Kernel: The simplest wavelet, a square-wave shape defined by the coefficients . It excels at detecting sharp, sudden changes.
Daubechies 2 (db2) Kernel: A more complex and smoother wavelet shape that provides a better balance for analyzing the nuanced ebb and flow of typical market trends.
How it Works in the Script: This kernel is applied iteratively. It first separates the finest "noise" (detail d1) from the first level of trend (approximation a1). It then takes the trend a1 and repeats the process, extracting the next level of cycle (d2) and trend (a2), and so on. This hierarchical decomposition allows us to separate short-term noise from the long-term market "thesis."
2. The Hurst Exponent Kernel (The "Memory Gauge")
What it is: The Hurst Exponent is derived from a statistical analysis kernel that measures the "long-term memory" or persistence of a time series. It is the definitive measure of whether a series is trending (H > 0.5), mean-reverting (H < 0.5), or random (H = 0.5).
How it Works in the Script: The script employs a method based on Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis. It calculates the average range of price movements over increasingly larger time lags (m1, m2, m4, m8...). The slope of the line plotting log(range) vs. log(lag) is the Hurst Exponent. Applying this complex statistical analysis not to the raw price, but to the clean, wavelet-decomposed trend lines, is a key innovation of IGMD.
3. The Fractal Dimension Kernel (The "Complexity Compass")
What it is: This kernel measures the geometric complexity or "jaggedness" of a price path, based on the principles of fractal geometry. A straight line has a dimension of 1; a chaotic, space-filling line approaches a dimension of 2.
How it Works in the Script: We use a version based on Ehlers' Fractal Dimension Index (FDI). It calculates the rate of price change over a full lookback period (N3) and compares it to the sum of the rates of change over the two halves of that period (N1 + N2). The formula d = (log(N1 + N2) - log(N3)) / log(2) quantifies how much "longer" and more convoluted the price path was than a simple straight line. This kernel is our primary filter for tradeable (low complexity) vs. untradeable (high complexity) conditions.
4. The Shannon Entropy Kernel (The "Uncertainty Meter")
What it is: This kernel comes from Information Theory and provides the purest mathematical measure of information, surprise, or uncertainty within a system. It is not a measure of volatility; a market moving predictably up by 10 points every bar has high volatility but zero entropy .
How it Works in the Script: The script normalizes price returns by the ATR, categorizes them into a discrete number of "bins" over a lookback window, and forms a probability distribution. The Shannon Entropy H = -Σ(p_i * log(p_i)) is calculated from this distribution. A low H means returns are predictable. A high H means returns are chaotic. This kernel is our ultimate gauge of market conviction.
5. The Transfer Entropy Kernel (The "Causality Probe")
What it is: This is by far the most advanced and computationally intensive kernel in the script. Transfer Entropy is a non-parametric measure of directed information flow between two time series. It moves beyond correlation to ask: "Does knowing the past of Volume genuinely reduce our uncertainty about the future of Price?"
How it Works in the Script: To make this work, the script discretizes both price returns and the chosen "driver" (e.g., OBV) into three states: "up," "down," or "neutral." It then builds complex conditional probability tables to measure the flow of information in both directions. The Net Transfer Entropy (TE Driver→Price minus TE Price→Driver) gives us a direct measure of causality . A positive score means the driver is leading price, confirming the validity of the move. This is a profound leap beyond traditional indicator analysis.
Chapter 3: Fusion & Interpretation - The Field Score & Dashboard
Each kernel is a specialist providing a piece of the puzzle. The Field Score is where they are fused into a single, comprehensive reading. It's a weighted sum of the normalized scores from all five kernels, producing a single number from -1 (maximum bearish information field) to +1 (maximum bullish information field). This is the ultimate "at-a-glance" metric for the market's net state, and it is interpreted through the dashboard.
The Dashboard: Your Mission Control
Field Score & Regime: The master metric and its plain-English interpretation ("Uptrend Field", "Downtrend Field", "Transitional").
Kernel Readouts (Wave Align, H(w), FDI, etc.): The live scores of each individual kernel. This allows you to see why the Field Score is what it is. A high Field Score with all components in agreement (all green or red) is a state of High Coherence and represents a high-quality setup.
Market Context: Standard metrics like RSI and Volume for additional confluence.
Signals: The raw and adjusted confluence counts and the final, calculated probability scores for potential long and short entries.
Pattern: Shows the dominant candlestick pattern detected within the currently forming APEX range box and its calculated confidence percentage.
Chapter 4: Mastering the Controls - The Inputs Menu
Every parameter is a lever to fine-tune the IGMD engine.
📊 Wavelet Transform: Kernel ( Haar for sharp moves, db2 for smooth trends) and Scales (depth of analysis) let you tune the script's core microscope to your asset's personality.
📈 Hurst Exponent: The Window determines if you're assessing short-term or long-term market memory.
🔍 Fractal Dimension & ⚡ Entropy Volatility: Adjust the lookback windows to make these kernels more or less sensitive to recent price action. Always keep "Normalize by ATR" enabled for Entropy for consistent results.
🔄 Transfer Entropy: Driver lets you choose what causal force to measure (e.g., OBV, Volume, or even an external symbol like VIX). The throttle setting is a crucial performance tool, allowing you to balance precision with script speed.
⚡ Field Fusion • Weights: This is where you can customize the model's "brain." Increase the weights for the kernels that best align with your trading philosophy (e.g., w_hurst for trend followers, w_fdi for chop avoiders).
📊 Signal Engine: Mode offers presets from Conservative to Aggressive . Min Confluence sets your evidence threshold. Dynamic Confluence is a powerful feature that automatically adapts this threshold to the market regime.
🎨 Visuals & 📏 Support/Resistance: These inputs give you full control over the chart's appearance, allowing you to toggle every visual element for a setup that is as clean or as data-rich as you desire.
Chapter 5: Reading the Battlefield - On-Chart Visuals
Pattern Boxes (The Large Rectangles): These are not simple range boxes. They appear when the Field Score crosses a significance threshold, signaling a potential ignition point.
Color: The color reflects the dominant candlestick pattern that has occurred within that box's duration (e.g., green for Bull Engulf).
Label: Displays the dominant pattern, its duration in bars, and a calculated Confidence % based on field strength and pattern clarity.
Bar Pattern Boxes (The Small Boxes): If enabled, these highlight individual, significant candlestick patterns ( BE for Bull Engulf, H for Hammer) on a bar-by-bar basis.
Signal Markers (▲ and ▼): These appear only when the Signal Engine's criteria are all met. The number is the calculated Probability Score .
RR Rails (Dashed Lines): When a signal appears, these lines automatically plot the Entry, Stop Loss (based on ATR), and two Take Profit targets (based on Risk/Reward ratios). They dynamically break and disappear as price touches each level.
Support & Resistance Lines: Plots of the highest high ( Resistance ) and lowest low ( Support ) over a lookback, providing key structural levels.
Chapter 6: Development Philosophy & A Final Word
One single question: " What is the market really doing? " It represents a triumph of complexity, blending concepts from signal processing, chaos theory, and information theory into a cohesive framework. It is offered for educational and analytical purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Its goal is to elevate your analysis from interpreting flat shadows to measuring the rich, geometric reality of the market's information field.
As the great mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot , father of fractal geometry, noted:
"Clouds are not spheres, mountains are not cones, coastlines are not circles, and bark is not smooth, nor does lightning travel in a straight line."
Neither does the market. IGMD is a tool designed to navigate that beautiful, complex, and fractal reality.
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
The Daily Bias Dashboard📜 Overview
This indicator is a powerful statistical tool designed to provide traders with a probable Daily Bias based on historical price action. It is built upon the concepts of Quarterly Theory, which divides the 24-hour trading day into 4 distinct sessions to analyze market behavior.
This tool analyzes how the market has behaved in the past to give you a statistical edge. It answers the question: "Based on the last X number of days, what is the most likely way the price will move during the Newyork AM & PM Sessions based on Asian & London Sessions?"
⚙️ How It Works
The indicator divides the 24-hour day (based on the America/New_York timezone) into two 12-hour halves:
First Half - 12 Hour Candle: The Accumulation/Manipulation or Asian/London Sessions (6 PM to 6 AM NY Time)
This period covers the Asian session and the start of the London session.
The indicator's only job here is to identify the highest high and lowest low of this 12-hour block, establishing the initial daily range.
Second Half - 12 Hour Candle: The Distribution/Continuation or NY AM/PM Sessions (6 AM to 6 PM NY Time)
This period covers the main London session and the full New York session.
The indicator actively watches to see if, and in what order, the price breaks out of the range established in Session 1 (FIrst Half of the day).
By tracking this behavior over hundreds of days, the indicator compiles statistics on four possible daily scenarios.
📊 The Four Scenarios & The Dashboard
The indicator presents its findings in a clean, easy-to-read dashboard, calculating the historical probability of each of the following scenarios:
↓ Low, then ↑ High: The price first breaks the low of Session 1 (often a liquidity sweep or stop hunt) before reversing to break the high of Session 1. This suggests a "sweep and reverse" bullish day.
↑ High, then ↓ Low: The price first breaks the high of Session 1 before reversing to break the low of Session 1. This suggests a "sweep and reverse" bearish day.
One-Sided Breakout: The price breaks only one of the boundaries (either the high or the low) and continues in that direction without taking the other side. This indicates a strong, trending day.
No Breakout (Inside Bar): The price fails to break either the high or the low of Session 1, remaining contained within its range. This indicates a day of consolidation and low volatility.
🧠 How to Use This Indicator
This is a confluence tool, not a standalone trading system. Its purpose is to help you frame a high-probability narrative for the trading day.
Establish a Bias: Start checking the dashboard at 06:00 AM Newyork time, which is the start of next half day trading session. If one scenario has a significantly higher probability (e.g., "One-Sided Breakout" at 89%), you have a statistically-backed directional bias in the direction of Breakout.
🔧 Features & Settings
Historical Days to Analyze: Set how many past days the indicator should use for its statistical analysis (default is 500).
Session Timezone : The calculation is locked to America/New_York as it is central to the Quarterly Theory concept, but this setting ensures correct alignment.
Dashboard Display: Fully customize the on-screen table, including its position and text size, or hide it completely.
⚠️ Important Notes
For maximum accuracy, use this indicator on hourly (H1) or lower timeframes.
The statistical probabilities are based on past performance and are not a guarantee of future results.
This tool is designed to sharpen your analytical skills and provide a robust, data-driven framework for your daily trading decisions. Use it to build confidence in your directional bias and to better understand the rhythm of the market.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk.
LANZ Strategy 7.0🔷 LANZ Strategy 7.0 — Multi-Session Breakout Logic with Midnight-Cross Support, Dynamic SL/TP, Multi-Account Lot Sizing & Real-Time Visual Tracking
LANZ Strategy 7.0 is a robust, visually-driven trading indicator designed to capture high-probability breakouts from a customizable market session.
It includes full support for sessions that cross midnight, dynamic calculation of Entry Price (EP), Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels, and a multi-account lot sizing panel for precise risk management.
The system is built to only trigger one trade per day and manages the full trade lifecycle with automated visual cleanup and detailed alerts.
📌 This is an indicator, not a strategy — it does not place trades automatically, but provides exact entry setups, SL/TP levels, risk-based lot size guidance, and real-time alerts for execution.
🧠 Core Logic & Features
🚀 Entry Signal (BUY/SELL)
The trading day begins with a Decision Session (yellow box) where the high/low range is recorded.
Once the Operative Session starts (blue zone), the first touch of the session’s high triggers a BUY setup, and the first touch of the session’s low triggers a SELL setup.
Only one valid trade can be triggered per day — the system locks after the first signal.
⚙️ Dynamic Stop Loss & Take Profit
SL levels are derived from the Decision Session high/low using customizable Fibonacci multipliers (independent for BUY and SELL).
TP is dynamically calculated from the EP–SL distance using a user-defined Risk:Reward ratio (R:R).
All EP, SL, and TP levels are drawn as independent lines with customizable colors, label text size, and style.
⏳ Session & Midnight-Cross Support
Works with any custom Decision/Operative session hours, including sessions that start one day and end the next.
Properly tracks time zones using New York session time for consistency.
Includes Cutoff Time: after this limit, no new entries are allowed, and all visuals are auto-cleared if no trade was triggered.
💰 Multi-Account Risk-Based Lot Sizing
Supports up to 5 independent accounts.
Each account can have:
Own capital
Own risk percentage per trade
Lot size is auto-calculated based on:
SL distance (in pips or points)
Pip value (auto-detected for Forex or manually set for indices/commodities)
Results are displayed in a clean lot size info panel.
🖼️ Real-Time Visual Tracking
Dynamic updates to all levels during the Decision Session.
EP, SL, TP lines update if the session high/low changes before the Operative Session starts.
Trade result labels:
SL hit → “–1.00%” in red
TP hit → “+X.XX%” in green
Manual close at Operative End → shows actual % result in blue or purple.
🔔 Alerts for Every Key Event
Session start notification
EP entry triggered
SL or TP hit
Manual close at session end
Missed entry due to cutoff
🧭 Execution Flow
Decision Session (Yellow) — Capture high/low range.
Operative Session (Blue) — First touch of high = BUY setup; first touch of low = SELL setup.
Plot EP, SL, TP lines + calculate lot sizes for all active accounts.
Track trade until SL, TP, or Operative End.
If no entry triggered by Cutoff Time → clean all visuals and notify.
💡 Ideal For:
Traders who operate breakout logic on specific sessions (NY, London, Asian, or custom).
Those managing multiple accounts with strict risk per trade.
Anyone trading assets with sessions crossing midnight.
👨💻 Credits:
Developer: LANZ
Logic Design: LANZ
Built For: Multi-timeframe session breakouts with high precision.
Purpose: One-shot trade per day, risk consistency, and total visual clarity.
Multi-Timeframe SMTSummery
The Multi-Timeframe SMT indicator is designed to identify and visualize Higher Timeframe (HTF) data on a Lower Timeframe (LTF) chart, allowing traders to see the broader market context without changing their current chart's resolution. It accurately draws pivots and SMT divergences from higher timeframes on the corresponding candles of your current lower timeframe chart.
Its core features include:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Configure and monitor pivots on up to four independent timeframes, from intraday to monthly.
Customizable Pivot Detection: Define the strength of pivots by adjusting the number of bars to the left and right.
SMT Divergence: Automatically identifies bullish and bearish SMT divergences by comparing the price action of the main chart symbol with a chosen correlated asset.
Early SMT Detection: A unique feature that monitors a lower "detection timeframe" to provide early warnings of potential SMT setups before they're confirmed on the main timeframe. Note that this early detection is only shown on timeframes equal to or lower than the "Detection timeframe" you have set.
Visual Cues & Alerts: Clear on-chart labels, lines, and fully customizable alerts notify you of confirmed pivots and SMT divergences, ensuring you don't miss key opportunities.
Important Nuance Regarding Pivot Label Display
Due to a self-imposed limit within this script's drawing management logic, the indicator might quickly reach its drawing capacity if you enable pivot crosses for multiple timeframes simultaneously. When this internal drawing limit is exceeded, the script is designed to automatically remove the oldest drawings to make space for new ones.
Therefore, to ensure optimal performance and visibility of the most recent and relevant pivots, it's highly recommended to only enable the "Show Pivot Crosses" option for one timeframe at a time. If you wish to view pivots for a different timeframe, simply disable the pivot crosses for the currently active timeframe and then enable them for your desired one. This approach prevents the rapid cycling and disappearance of pivot labels, providing a clearer and more stable visual experience.
In-Depth Explanation of the Logic
This script is built on two primary concepts: pivot points and Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence. It systematically collects historical data on multiple timeframes, identifies pivots, and then compares them between two assets to find divergences.
Pivot Point Identification
A pivot is a turning point in the market. A pivot high is a candle that has a higher high than the candles to its immediate left and right. Conversely, a pivot low is a candle with a lower low than its neighbors.
How it Works in the Script:
The script tracks the highest high and lowest low for each period of the selected timeframe (e.g., for each 4-hour candle). When a new high-timeframe candle closes, it stores that high/low value and its bar index in an array. The checkForPivot() function then checks if a recently stored high or low qualifies as a pivot.
Key Inputs:
Left Strength (leftBars1): The number of candles to the left that must have a lower high (for a pivot high) or higher low (for a pivot low).
Right Strength (rightBars1): The number of candles to the right that must meet the same criteria.
For example, with Left Strength and Right Strength both set to 3, a pivot high is only confirmed when its high is greater than the highs of the 3 previous high-timeframe candles and the 3 subsequent high-timeframe candles. Increasing these values will identify more significant, longer-term pivots.
Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence
SMT Divergence is a concept popularized by The Inner Circle Trader (ICT). It occurs when two closely correlated assets fail to move in sync. For instance, if Asset A makes a higher high but Asset B fails to do so and instead makes a lower high, this creates a bearish SMT divergence. It suggests that the "smart money" may not be supporting the move in Asset A, signaling a potential reversal.
Bearish SMT: Main asset makes a higher high, while the correlated asset makes a lower high. This is a potential sell signal.
Bullish SMT: Main asset makes a lower low, while the correlated asset makes a higher low. This is a potential buy signal.
How it Works in the Script:
Data Request: For each timeframe, the script uses the request.security() function to fetch the high and low data for both the main chart symbol (syminfo.tickerid) and the chosen Comparison Asset.
Pivot Comparison: When a new pivot is confirmed on the main asset, the script checks if a corresponding pivot also formed on the comparison asset at the same time.
Divergence Check: It then compares the direction of the pivots. For a bearish SMT, it checks if the main asset's new pivot high is higher than its previous pivot high, while the comparison asset's new pivot high is lower than its previous one. The logic is reversed for bullish SMT.
Visualization: If a divergence is found, the script draws a red (bearish) or green (bullish) line connecting the two pivots on your chart and places an "SMT" label.
Early SMT Detection
This is a proactive feature designed to give you a heads-up. Waiting for a 4-hour or daily pivot to form can take a long time. The early detection system looks for SMT divergences on a much smaller, user-defined Detection timeframe (e.g., 15-minute).
How it Works in the Script:
Awaiting Setup: After a primary pivot (Pivot A) is formed on the main timeframe (e.g., a Daily pivot high), the script begins monitoring.
Intraday Monitoring: It then watches the Detection timeframe (e.g., 15-minute) for smaller intraday pivots.
Potential Divergence: It looks for an intraday pivot that forms a divergence against the primary Pivot A.
Watchline & Alert: When this "potential" divergence occurs, the script draws a dashed white line and triggers a "Potential SMT" alert. This isn't a confirmed SMT on the main timeframe yet, but it's a powerful early warning that one may be forming.
Drawing & Object Management
To keep the chart clean and prevent performance issues, the script manages its drawings (lines and labels) efficiently. It stores them in arrays and uses a drawing limit to automatically delete the oldest drawings as new ones are created, ensuring your TradingView remains responsive.
How to Use the Indicator
Configuration
Enable Timeframes: Use the checkboxes (Enable Timeframe 1, Enable Timeframe 2, etc.) to activate the timeframes you want to monitor. It's often best to start with one or two to keep the chart clean.
Select Timeframes: Choose the higher timeframes you want to analyze (e.g., 240 for 4-hour, D for Daily, W for Weekly).
Set Pivot Strength: The default of 3 for Left/Right strength is a good starting point. Increase it to find more significant market structure points or decrease it for more frequent, shorter-term pivots.
Configure SMT:
Check Enable SMT for the timeframes where you want to detect divergence.
Enter a Comparison Asset . This is crucial. Ensure the assets are correlated.
To use the early warning system, check Enable early SMT detection and select an appropriate Detection timeframe (e.g., 15 or 60 minutes for a Daily analysis).
Universal Valuation | Lyro RSUniversal Valuation
⚠️Disclaimer: This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and does not provide guaranteed results. It should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods and proper risk management practices. The creators of this indicator are not responsible for any financial decisions made based on its signals.
Overview
The Universal Valuation indicator helps identify whether the market is undervalued/cheap or overvalued/expensive. And another mode this indicator offers is This cutting-edge tool works flawlessly ACROSS ALL TIMEFRAMES & TICKERS/CHARTS.
By combining regular TradingView indicators & some of our valuation indicators basic/simple with advanced statistical functions, this indicator offers a powerful, universal valuation tool.
Key Features
INPUTS: The Universal Valuation indicator offers flexibility through its customizable input sections. The "Indicator Settings" let you adjust lengths for the raw indicators and statistical functions. The "Signals" section defines thresholds for background color changes, helping you visually spot key market moments. The "Colors" section allows you to pick from pre-defined schemes or personalize colors for better clarity. Lastly, the "Tables" section gives you full control over the UV table’s size and positioning, including options to overlay it on the chart or place it in the allocated space.
A DEEPER INSIGHT: This indicator is built around three distinct categories: "UVM Andromeda," "UVM Sentinel," and "UVM Nexus." Each category has three different drivers. The statistical function powering this indicator is the Z-score. The Z-score is an incredibly powerful tool that helps determine if the market is overvalued/expensive or undervalued/cheap, offering critical insights for traders."
Plotting: The plotted value represents the average of all the drivers. In other words, it is the combined average of all 9 Z-scored indicators, providing a balanced and comprehensive market valuation.
What is Z-score? & Why does this system use it?
Z-score is an advanced statistical function used to measure how far a value deviates from the average in a data set. The formula for Z-score is: (x - h) / o, where x is the observed value, h is the average (mean) of the data set, and o is the standard deviation.
This system uses the Z-score because it helps determine whether the market is overvalued or undervalued based on historical data and how we apply the calculation. By measuring how far a value deviates from the average, the Z-score provides a clearer and more objective valuation of market conditions. In our case, a Z-score of -3 indicates an undervalued market, while a Z-score of 3 signals an overvalued market.
UVM Andromeda:
UVM stands for Universal Valuation Model, which is the core of this indicator. Andromeda, one of the most stunning galaxies in the universe, inspired by its name. We chose this name because a powerful indicator should not only be effective but also visually appealing.
You might be wondering what drives UVM Andromeda. The three key drivers are Price, RSI, and ROC. These indicators are pre-defined, while the "Indicator Settings" allow you to adjust the length of the Z-score calculation, refining how the model analyzes market conditions.
UVM Sentinel:
Sentinel, refers to a guard or watchman, someone or something that keeps watch and provides protection. In our case this name refers to a model that actively observes market conditions, acting as a vigilant tool that signals important shifts in valuation.
Wondering what drives UVM Sentinel? The three key drivers are BB%, CCI, and Crosby. While these indicators are simple on their own, applying our Z-score function elevates them to a whole new level, enhancing their ability to detect market conditions with greater accuracy.
UVM Nexus:
We chose the name Nexus simply because it sounds cool—there’s no deeper meaning behind it for us. However, the word itself does have a meaning; it refers to a connection or link between multiple things.
The three key drivers for UVM Nexus are the Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega ratios. These are all asset performance metrics, but by applying the Z-score, we transform them into powerful valuation indicators/drivers, giving you a deeper insight into market conditions.
Why do we use 9 different indicators instead of 1?
That's a great question, and the answer is quite simple. Think of it like this: if you have one super soldier, and they miss a shot, it’s game over. But if you have many soldiers, even if one misses, the others can step in and take the shot. The strength of using multiple indicators lies in their collective power – if one misses, the others still provide valuable insights, making the overall system more reliable.
Final Thoughts:
In our Universal Valuation indicator, you have the flexibility to customize it however you like using our inputs. The system is divided into three distinct categories, with each category containing three indicators. The value plotted on the chart is the average of all nine indicators. We apply the Z-score, an advanced statistical function, to each of these nine indicators. The final plotted average is the average of all the Z-scores, giving you a comprehensive and refined market valuation. This indicator can work on any timeframe & chart ticker.
VoVix DEVMA🌌 VoVix DEVMA: A Deep Dive into Second-Order Volatility Dynamics
Welcome to VoVix+, a sophisticated trading framework that transcends traditional price analysis. This is not merely another indicator; it is a complete system designed to dissect and interpret the very fabric of market volatility. VoVix+ operates on the principle that the most powerful signals are not found in price alone, but in the behavior of volatility itself. It analyzes the rate of change, the momentum, and the structure of market volatility to identify periods of expansion and contraction, providing a unique edge in anticipating major market moves.
This document will serve as your comprehensive guide, breaking down every mathematical component, every user input, and every visual element to empower you with a profound understanding of how to harness its capabilities.
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: THE MATHEMATICS OF MARKET DYNAMICS
VoVix+ is built upon a multi-layered mathematical engine designed to measure what we call "second-order volatility." While standard indicators analyze price, and first-order volatility indicators (like ATR) analyze the range of price, VoVix+ analyzes the dynamics of the volatility itself. This provides insight into the market's underlying state of stability or chaos.
1. The VoVix Score: Measuring Volatility Thrust
The core of the system begins with the VoVix Score. This is a normalized measure of volatility acceleration or deceleration.
Mathematical Formula:
VoVix Score = (ATR(fast) - ATR(slow)) / (StDev(ATR(fast)) + ε)
Where:
ATR(fast) is the Average True Range over a short period, representing current, immediate volatility.
ATR(slow) is the Average True Range over a longer period, representing the baseline or established volatility.
StDev(ATR(fast)) is the Standard Deviation of the fast ATR, which measures the "noisiness" or consistency of recent volatility.
ε (epsilon) is a very small number to prevent division by zero.
Market Implementation:
Positive Score (Expansion): When the fast ATR is significantly higher than the slow ATR, it indicates a rapid increase in volatility. The market is "stretching" or expanding.
Negative Score (Contraction): When the fast ATR falls below the slow ATR, it indicates a decrease in volatility. The market is "coiling" or contracting.
Normalization: By dividing by the standard deviation, we normalize the score. This turns it into a standardized measure, allowing us to compare volatility thrust across different market conditions and timeframes. A score of 2.0 in a quiet market means the same, relatively, as a score of 2.0 in a volatile market.
2. Deviation Analysis (DEV): Gauging Volatility's Own Volatility
The script then takes the analysis a step further. It calculates the standard deviation of the VoVix Score itself.
Mathematical Formula:
DEV = StDev(VoVix Score, lookback_period)
Market Implementation:
This DEV value represents the magnitude of chaos or stability in the market's volatility dynamics. A high DEV value means the volatility thrust is erratic and unpredictable. A low DEV value suggests the change in volatility is smooth and directional.
3. The DEVMA Crossover: Identifying Regime Shifts
This is the primary signal generator. We take two moving averages of the DEV value.
Mathematical Formula:
fastDEVMA = SMA(DEV, fast_period)
slowDEVMA = SMA(DEV, slow_period)
The Core Signal:
The strategy triggers on the crossover and crossunder of these two DEVMA lines. This is a profound concept: we are not looking at a moving average of price or even of volatility, but a moving average of the standard deviation of the normalized rate of change of volatility.
Bullish Crossover (fastDEVMA > slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is increasing relative to the long-term measure. This often precedes a significant market expansion and is interpreted as a bullish volatility regime.
Bearish Crossunder (fastDEVMA < slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is decreasing. The market is settling down or contracting, often leading to trending moves or range consolidation.
⚙️ INPUTS MENU: CONFIGURING YOUR ANALYSIS ENGINE
Every input has been meticulously designed to give you full control over the strategy's behavior. Understanding these settings is key to adapting VoVix+ to your specific instrument, timeframe, and trading style.
🌀 VoVix DEVMA Configuration
🧬 Deviation Lookback: This sets the lookback period for calculating the DEV value. It defines the window for measuring the stability of the VoVix Score. A shorter value makes the system highly reactive to recent changes in volatility's character, ideal for scalping. A longer value provides a smoother, more stable reading, better for identifying major, long-term regime shifts.
⚡ Fast VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the fastDEVMA. It represents the short-term trend of volatility's chaos. A smaller number will result in a faster, more sensitive signal line that reacts quickly to market shifts.
🐌 Slow VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the slowDEVMA. It represents the long-term, baseline trend of volatility's chaos. A larger number creates a more stable, slower-moving anchor against which the fast line is compared.
How to Optimize: The relationship between the Fast and Slow lengths is crucial. A wider gap (e.g., 20 and 60) will result in fewer, but potentially more significant, signals. A narrower gap (e.g., 25 and 40) will generate more frequent signals, suitable for more active trading styles.
🧠 Adaptive Intelligence
🧠 Enable Adaptive Features: When enabled, this activates the strategy's performance tracking module. The script will analyze the outcome of its last 50 trades to calculate a dynamic win rate.
⏰ Adaptive Time-Based Exit: If Enable Adaptive Features is on, this allows the strategy to adjust its Maximum Bars in Trade setting based on performance. It learns from the average duration of winning trades. If winning trades tend to be short, it may shorten the time exit to lock in profits. If winners tend to run, it will extend the time exit, allowing trades more room to develop. This helps prevent the strategy from cutting winning trades short or holding losing trades for too long.
⚡ Intelligent Execution
📊 Trade Quantity: A straightforward input that defines the number of contracts or shares for each trade. This is a fixed value for consistent position sizing.
🛡️ Smart Stop Loss: Enables the dynamic stop-loss mechanism.
🎯 Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: Determines the distance of the stop loss from the entry price, calculated as a multiple of the current 14-period ATR. A higher multiplier gives the trade more room to breathe but increases risk per trade. A lower multiplier creates a tighter stop, reducing risk but increasing the chance of being stopped out by normal market noise.
💰 Take Profit ATR Multiplier: Sets the take profit target, also as a multiple of the ATR. A common practice is to set this higher than the Stop Loss multiplier (e.g., a 2:1 or 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
🏃 Use Trailing Stop: This is a powerful feature for trend-following. When enabled, instead of a fixed stop loss, the stop will trail behind the price as the trade moves into profit, helping to lock in gains while letting winners run.
🎯 Trail Points & 📏 Trail Offset ATR Multipliers: These control the trailing stop's behavior. Trail Points defines how much profit is needed before the trail activates. Trail Offset defines how far the stop will trail behind the current price. Both are based on ATR, making them fully adaptive to market volatility.
⏰ Maximum Bars in Trade: This is a time-based stop. It forces an exit if a trade has been open for a specified number of bars, preventing positions from being held indefinitely in stagnant markets.
⏰ Session Management
These inputs allow you to confine the strategy's trading activity to specific market hours, which is crucial for day trading instruments that have defined high-volume sessions (e.g., stock market open).
🎨 Visual Effects & Dashboard
These toggles give you complete control over the on-chart visuals and the dashboard. You can disable any element to declutter your chart or focus only on the information that matters most to you.
📊 THE DASHBOARD: YOUR AT-A-GLANCE COMMAND CENTER
The dashboard centralizes all critical information into one compact, easy-to-read panel. It provides a real-time summary of the market state and strategy performance.
🎯 VOVIX ANALYSIS
Fast & Slow: Displays the current numerical values of the fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA. The color indicates their direction: green for rising, red for falling. This lets you see the underlying momentum of each line.
Regime: This is your most important environmental cue. It tells you the market's current state based on the DEVMA relationship. 🚀 EXPANSION (Green) signifies a bullish volatility regime where explosive moves are more likely. ⚛️ CONTRACTION (Purple) signifies a bearish volatility regime, where the market may be consolidating or entering a smoother trend.
Quality: Measures the strength of the last signal based on the magnitude of the DEVMA difference. An ELITE or STRONG signal indicates a high-conviction setup where the crossover had significant force.
PERFORMANCE
Win Rate & Trades: Displays the historical win rate of the strategy from the backtest, along with the total number of closed trades. This provides immediate feedback on the strategy's historical effectiveness on the current chart.
EXECUTION
Trade Qty: Shows your configured position size per trade.
Session: Indicates whether trading is currently OPEN (allowed) or CLOSED based on your session management settings.
POSITION
Position & PnL: Displays your current position (LONG, SHORT, or FLAT) and the real-time Profit or Loss of the open trade.
🧠 ADAPTIVE STATUS
Stop/Profit Mult: In this simplified version, these are placeholders. The primary adaptive feature currently modifies the time-based exit, which is reflected in how long trades are held on the chart.
🎨 THE VISUAL UNIVERSE: DECIPHERING MARKET GEOMETRY
The visuals are not mere decorations; they are geometric representations of the underlying mathematical concepts, designed to give you an intuitive feel for the market's state.
The Core Lines:
FastDEVMA (Green/Maroon Line): The primary signal line. Green when rising, indicating an increase in short-term volatility chaos. Maroon when falling.
SlowDEVMA (Aqua/Orange Line): The baseline. Aqua when rising, indicating a long-term increase in volatility chaos. Orange when falling.
🌊 Morphism Flow (Flowing Lines with Circles):
What it represents: This visualizes the momentum and strength of the fastDEVMA. The width and intensity of the "beam" are proportional to the signal strength.
Interpretation: A thick, steep, and vibrant flow indicates powerful, committed momentum in the current volatility regime. The floating '●' particles represent kinetic energy; more particles suggest stronger underlying force.
📐 Homotopy Paths (Layered Transparent Boxes):
What it represents: These layered boxes are centered between the two DEVMA lines. Their height is determined by the DEV value.
Interpretation: This visualizes the overall "volatility of volatility." Wider boxes indicate a chaotic, unpredictable market. Narrower boxes suggest a more stable, predictable environment.
🧠 Consciousness Field (The Grid):
What it represents: This grid provides a historical lookback at the DEV range.
Interpretation: It maps the recent "consciousness" or character of the market's volatility. A consistently wide grid suggests a prolonged period of chaos, while a narrowing grid can signal a transition to a more stable state.
📏 Functorial Levels (Projected Horizontal Lines):
What it represents: These lines extend from the current fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA values into the future.
Interpretation: Think of these as dynamic support and resistance levels for the volatility structure itself. A crossover becomes more significant if it breaks cleanly through a prior established level.
🌊 Flow Boxes (Spaced Out Boxes):
What it represents: These are compact visual footprints of the current regime, colored green for Expansion and red for Contraction.
Interpretation: They provide a quick, at-a-glance confirmation of the dominant volatility flow, reinforcing the background color.
Background Color:
This provides an immediate, unmistakable indication of the current volatility regime. Light Green for Expansion and Light Aqua/Blue for Contraction, allowing you to assess the market environment in a split second.
📊 BACKTESTING PERFORMANCE REVIEW & ANALYSIS
The following is a factual, transparent review of a backtest conducted using the strategy's default settings on a specific instrument and timeframe. This information is presented for educational purposes to demonstrate how the strategy's mechanics performed over a historical period. It is crucial to understand that these results are historical, apply only to the specific conditions of this test, and are not a guarantee or promise of future performance. Market conditions are dynamic and constantly change.
Test Parameters & Conditions
To ensure the backtest reflects a degree of real-world conditions, the following parameters were used. The goal is to provide a transparent baseline, not an over-optimized or unrealistic scenario.
Instrument: CME E-mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ1!)
Timeframe: 5-Minute Chart
Backtesting Range: March 24, 2024, to July 09, 2024
Initial Capital: $100,000
Commission: $0.62 per contract (A realistic cost for futures trading).
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade (A conservative setting to account for potential price discrepancies between order placement and execution).
Trade Size: 1 contract per trade.
Performance Overview (Historical Data)
The test period generated 465 total trades , providing a statistically significant sample size for analysis, which is well above the recommended minimum of 100 trades for a strategy evaluation.
Profit Factor: The historical Profit Factor was 2.663 . This metric represents the gross profit divided by the gross loss. In this test, it indicates that for every dollar lost, $2.663 was gained.
Percent Profitable: Across all 465 trades, the strategy had a historical win rate of 84.09% . While a high figure, this is a historical artifact of this specific data set and settings, and should not be the sole basis for future expectations.
Risk & Trade Characteristics
Beyond the headline numbers, the following metrics provide deeper insight into the strategy's historical behavior.
Sortino Ratio (Downside Risk): The Sortino Ratio was 6.828 . Unlike the Sharpe Ratio, this metric only measures the volatility of negative returns. A higher value, such as this one, suggests that during this test period, the strategy was highly efficient at managing downside volatility and large losing trades relative to the profits it generated.
Average Trade Duration: A critical characteristic to understand is the strategy's holding period. With an average of only 2 bars per trade , this configuration operates as a very short-term, or scalping-style, system. Winning trades averaged 2 bars, while losing trades averaged 4 bars. This indicates the strategy's logic is designed to capture quick, high-probability moves and exit rapidly, either at a profit target or a stop loss.
Conclusion and Final Disclaimer
This backtest demonstrates one specific application of the VoVix+ framework. It highlights the strategy's behavior as a short-term system that, in this historical test on NQ1!, exhibited a high win rate and effective management of downside risk. Users are strongly encouraged to conduct their own backtests on different instruments, timeframes, and date ranges to understand how the strategy adapts to varying market structures. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all trading involves significant risk.
🔧 THE DEVELOPMENT PHILOSOPHY: FROM VOLATILITY TO CLARITY
The journey to create VoVix+ began with a simple question: "What drives major market moves?" The answer is often not a change in price direction, but a fundamental shift in market volatility. Standard indicators are reactive to price. We wanted to create a system that was predictive of market state. VoVix+ was designed to go one level deeper—to analyze the behavior, character, and momentum of volatility itself.
The challenge was twofold. First, to create a robust mathematical model to quantify these abstract concepts. This led to the multi-layered analysis of ATR differentials and standard deviations. Second, to make this complex data intuitive and actionable. This drove the creation of the "Visual Universe," where abstract mathematical values are translated into geometric shapes, flows, and fields. The adaptive system was intentionally kept simple and transparent, focusing on a single, impactful parameter (time-based exits) to provide performance feedback without becoming an inscrutable "black box." The result is a tool that is both profoundly deep in its analysis and remarkably clear in its presentation.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER AND BEST PRACTICES
VoVix+ is an advanced analytical tool, not a guarantee of future profits. All financial markets carry inherent risk. The backtesting results shown by the strategy are historical and do not guarantee future performance. This strategy incorporates realistic commission and slippage settings by default, but market conditions can vary. Always practice sound risk management, use position sizes appropriate for your account equity, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. It is recommended to use this strategy as part of a comprehensive trading plan. This was developed specifically for Futures
"The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite view. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis."
— George Soros
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
log.info() - 5 Exampleslog.info() is one of the most powerful tools in Pine Script that no one knows about. Whenever you code, you want to be able to debug, or find out why something isn’t working. The log.info() command will help you do that. Without it, creating more complex Pine Scripts becomes exponentially more difficult.
The first thing to note is that log.info() only displays strings. So, if you have a variable that is not a string, you must turn it into a string in order for log.info() to work. The way you do that is with the str.tostring() command. And remember, it's all lower case! You can throw in any numeric value (float, int, timestamp) into str.string() and it should work.
Next, in order to make your output intelligible, you may want to identify whatever value you are logging. For example, if an RSI value is 50, you don’t want a bunch of lines that just say “50”. You may want it to say “RSI = 50”.
To do that, you’ll have to use the concatenation operator. For example, if you have a variable called “rsi”, and its value is 50, then you would use the “+” concatenation symbol.
EXAMPLE 1
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
//@version=6
indicator("log.info()")
rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
log.info(“RSI= ” + str.tostring(rsi))
Example Output =>
RSI= 50
Here, we use double quotes to create a string that contains the name of the variable, in this case “RSI = “, then we concatenate it with a stringified version of the variable, rsi.
Now that you know how to write a log, where do you view them? There isn’t a lot of documentation on it, and the link is not conveniently located.
Open up the “Pine Editor” tab at the bottom of any chart view, and you’ll see a “3 dot” button at the top right of the pane. Click that, and right above the “Help” menu item you’ll see “Pine logs”. Clicking that will open that to open a pane on the right of your browser - replacing whatever was in the right pane area before. This is where your log output will show up.
But, because you’re dealing with time series data, using the log.info() command without some type of condition will give you a fast moving stream of numbers that will be difficult to interpret. So, you may only want the output to show up once per bar, or only under specific conditions.
To have the output show up only after all computations have completed, you’ll need to use the barState.islast command. Remember, barState is camelCase, but islast is not!
EXAMPLE 2
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//@version=6
indicator("log.info()")
rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
if barState.islast
log.info("RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi))
plot(rsi)
However, this can be less than ideal, because you may want the value of the rsi variable on a particular bar, at a particular time, or under a specific chart condition. Let’s hit these one at a time.
In each of these cases, the built-in bar_index variable will come in handy. When debugging, I typically like to assign a variable “bix” to represent bar_index, and include it in the output.
So, if I want to see the rsi value when RSI crosses above 0.5, then I would have something like
EXAMPLE 3
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//@version=6
indicator("log.info()")
rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
bix = bar_index
rsiCrossedOver = ta.crossover(rsi,0.5)
if rsiCrossedOver
log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi))
plot(rsi)
Example Output =>
bix=19964 - RSI=51.8449459867
bix=19972 - RSI=50.0975830828
bix=19983 - RSI=53.3529808079
bix=19985 - RSI=53.1595745146
bix=19999 - RSI=66.6466337654
bix=20001 - RSI=52.2191767466
Here, we see that the output only appears when the condition is met.
A useful thing to know is that if you want to limit the number of decimal places, then you would use the command str.tostring(rsi,”#.##”), which tells the interpreter that the format of the number should only be 2 decimal places. Or you could round the rsi variable with a command like rsi2 = math.round(rsi*100)/100 . In either case you’re output would look like:
bix=19964 - RSI=51.84
bix=19972 - RSI=50.1
bix=19983 - RSI=53.35
bix=19985 - RSI=53.16
bix=19999 - RSI=66.65
bix=20001 - RSI=52.22
This would decrease the amount of memory that’s being used to display your variable’s values, which can become a limitation for the log.info() command. It only allows 4096 characters per line, so when you get to trying to output arrays (which is another cool feature), you’ll have to keep that in mind.
Another thing to note is that log output is always preceded by a timestamp, but for the sake of brevity, I’m not including those in the output examples.
If you wanted to only output a value after the chart was fully loaded, that’s when barState.islast command comes in. Under this condition, only one line of output is created per tick update — AFTER the chart has finished loading. For example, if you only want to see what the the current bar_index and rsi values are, without filling up your log window with everything that happens before, then you could use the following code:
EXAMPLE 4
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//@version=6
indicator("log.info()")
rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
bix = bar_index
if barstate.islast
log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi))
Example Output =>
bix=20203 - RSI=53.1103309071
This value would keep updating after every new bar tick.
The log.info() command is a huge help in creating new scripts, however, it does have its limitations. As mentioned earlier, only 4096 characters are allowed per line. So, although you can use log.info() to output arrays, you have to be aware of how many characters that array will use.
The following code DOES NOT WORK! And, the only way you can find out why will be the red exclamation point next to the name of the indicator. That, and nothing will show up on the chart, or in the logs.
// CODE DOESN’T WORK
//@version=6
indicator("MW - log.info()")
var array rsi_arr = array.new()
rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
bix = bar_index
rsiCrossedOver = ta.crossover(rsi,50)
if rsiCrossedOver
array.push(rsi_arr, rsi)
if barstate.islast
log.info("rsi_arr:" + str.tostring(rsi_arr))
log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi))
plot(rsi)
// No code errors, but will not compile because too much is being written to the logs.
However, after putting some time restrictions in with the i_startTime and i_endTime user input variables, and creating a dateFilter variable to use in the conditions, I can limit the size of the final array. So, the following code does work.
EXAMPLE 5
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// CODE DOES WORK
//@version=6
indicator("MW - log.info()")
i_startTime = input.time(title="Start", defval=timestamp("01 Jan 2025 13:30 +0000"))
i_endTime = input.time(title="End", defval=timestamp("1 Jan 2099 19:30 +0000"))
var array rsi_arr = array.new()
dateFilter = time >= i_startTime and time <= i_endTime
rsi = ta.rsi(close,14)
bix = bar_index
rsiCrossedOver = ta.crossover(rsi,50) and dateFilter // <== The dateFilter condition keeps the array from getting too big
if rsiCrossedOver
array.push(rsi_arr, rsi)
if barstate.islast
log.info("rsi_arr:" + str.tostring(rsi_arr))
log.info("bix=" + str.tostring(bix) + " - RSI=" + str.tostring(rsi))
plot(rsi)
Example Output =>
rsi_arr:
bix=20210 - RSI=56.9030578034
Of course, if you restrict the decimal places by using the rounding the rsi value with something like rsiRounded = math.round(rsi * 100) / 100 , then you can further reduce the size of your array. In this case the output may look something like:
Example Output =>
rsi_arr:
bix=20210 - RSI=55.6947486019
This will give your code a little breathing room.
In a nutshell, I was coding for over a year trying to debug by pushing output to labels, tables, and using libraries that cluttered up my code. Once I was able to debug with log.info() it was a game changer. I was able to start building much more advanced scripts. Hopefully, this will help you on your journey as well.
CoffeeShopCrypto Supertrend Liquidity EngineMost SuperTrend indicators use fixed ATR multipliers that ignore context—forcing traders to constantly tweak settings that rarely adapt well across timeframes or assets.
This Supertrend is a nodd to and a more completion of the work
done by Olivier Seban ( @olivierseban )
This version replaces guesswork with an adaptive factor based on prior session volatility, dynamically adjusting stops to match current conditions. It also introduces liquidity-aware zones, real-time strength histograms, and a visual control panel—making your stoploss smarter, more responsive, and aligned with how the market actually moves.
📏 The Multiplier Problem & Adaptive Factor Solution
Traditional SuperTrend indicators rely on fixed ATR multipliers—often arbitrary numbers like 1.5, 2, or 3. The issue? No logical basis ties these values to actual market conditions. What works on a 5-minute Nasdaq chart fails on a daily EUR/USD chart. Traders spend hours tweaking multipliers per asset, timeframe, or volatility phase—and still end up with stoplosses that are either too tight or too loose. Worse, the market doesn’t care about your setting—it behaves according to underlying volatility, not your parameter.
This version fixes that by automating the multiplier selection entirely. It uses a 4-zone model based on the current ATR relative to the previous session’s ATR, dynamically adjusting the SuperTrend factor to match current volatility. It eliminates guesswork, adapts to the asset and timeframe, and ensures you’re always using a context-aware stoploss—one that evolves with the market instead of fighting it.
ATR EXAMPLE
Let’s say prior session ATR = 2.00
Now suppose current ATR = 0.32
This places us in Zone 1 (Very Low Volatility)
It doesn’t imply "overbought" or "oversold" — it tells you the market is moving very little, which often means:
Lower risk | Smaller stops | Smaller opportunities (and losses)
🔁 Liquidity Zones vs. Arbitrary Pullbacks
The standard SuperTrend stop loss line often looks like price “barely misses it” before continuing its trend. Traders call this "stop hunting," but what’s really happening is liquidity collection—price pulls back into a zone rich in orders before continuing. The problem? The old SuperTrend doesn’t show this zone. It only draws the outer limit, leaving no visual cue for where entries or continuation moves might realistically originate.
This script introduces 2 levels in the Liquidity Zone. One for Support and one for Stophunts, which draw dynamically between the current price and the SuperTrend line. These levels reflect where the market is most likely to revisit before resuming the trend. By visualizing the area just above the Supertrend stop loss, you can anticipate pullbacks, spot ideal re-entries, and avoid premature exits. This bridges the gap between mechanical stoploss logic and real-world liquidity behavior.
⏳ Prior Session ATR vs. Live ATR
Using real-time ATR to determine movement potential is like driving by looking in your rearview mirror. It’s reactive, not predictive. Traders often base decisions on live ATR, unaware that today’s range is still unfolding —creating volatility mismatches between what’s calculated and what actually matters. Since ATR reflects range, calculating it mid-session gives an incomplete and misleading picture of true volatility.
Instead, this system uses the ATR from the previous session , anchoring your volatility assumptions in a fully-formed price structure . It tells you how far price moved in the last full market phase—be it London, New York, or Tokyo—giving you a more reliable gauge of expected range today. This is a smarter way to estimate how far price could move rather than how far it has moved.
The Smoothing function will take the ATR, Support, Resistance, Stophunt Levels, and the Moving Avearage and smooth them by the calculation you choose.
It will also plot a moving average on your chart against closing prices by the smoothing function you choose.
🧭 Scalping vs. Trending Modes
The market moves in at least 4 phases. Trending, Ranging, Consolidation, Distribution.
Every trader has a different style —some scalp low-volatility moves during off-hours, while others ride macro trends across days. The problem with classic SuperTrend? It treats every market condition the same. A fixed system can’t possibly provide proper stoploss spacing for both a fast scalp and a long-term swing. Traders are forced to rebuild their system every time the market changes character or the session shifts.
This version solves that with a simple toggle:
Scalping or Trend Mode . With one switch, it inverts the logic of the adaptive factor to either tighten or loosen your trailing stops. During low-liquidity hours or consolidation phases, Scalping Mode offers snug stoplosses. During expansion or clear directional bias.
Trend Mode lets the trade breathe. This is flexibility built directly into the logic—not something you have to recalibrate manually.
📉 Histogram Oscillator for Move Strength
In legacy indicators, there’s no built-in way to gauge when the move is losing power . Traders rely on price action or momentum indicators to guess if a trend is fading. But this adds clutter, lag, and often contradiction. The classic SuperTrend doesn’t offer insight into how strong or weak the current trend leg is—only whether price has crossed a line.
This version includes a Trending Liquidity Histogram —a histogram that shows whether the liquidity in the SuperTrend zone is expanding or compressing. When the bars weaken or cross toward zero, it signals liquidity exhaustion . This early warning gives you time to prep for reversals or anticipate pullbacks. It even adapts visually depending on your trading mode, showing color-coded signals for scalping vs. trending behavior. It's both a strength gauge and a trade timing tool—built into your stoploss logic.
Histogram in Scalping Mode
Histogram in Trending Mode
📊 Visual Table for Real-Time Clarity
A major issue with custom indicators is opacity —you don’t always know what settings or values are currently being used. Even worse, if your dynamic logic changes mid-trade, you may not notice unless you go digging into the code or logs. This can create confusion, especially for discretionary traders.
This SuperTrend solves it with a clean visual summary table right on your chart. It shows your current ATR value, adaptive multiplier, trailing stop level, and whether a new zone size is active. That means no surprises and no second-guessing—everything important is visible and updated in real-time.
WLSMA: fast approximation🙏🏻 Sup TV & @alexgrover
O(N) algocomplexity, just one loop inside. No, you can't do O(1) @ updates in moving window mode, only expanding window will allow that.
Now I have time series & stats models of my own creation, nowhere else available, just TV and my github for now, ain’t no legacy academic industry I always have fun about, but back in 2k20 when I consciously ain’t known much about quant, I remember seeing post by @alexgrover recreating Moving Regression Endpoint dropped on price chart (called LSMA here) as a linear filter combination of filters (yea yeah DSP terms) as 3WMA - 2SMA. Now it’s my time to do smth alike aye?
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This script is remake of my 1st degree WLSMA via linear filter combo. It’s much faster, we aint calculate moving regression per se, we just match its freq response. You can see it on the screen (WLSMAfa) almost perfectly matching the original one (WLSMA).
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While humans like to overfit, I fw generalizations. So your lovely WMA is actually just one case of a more general weight pattern: pow(len - i, e), where pow is the power function and e is the exponent itself. So:
- If e = 0, then we have SMA (every number in 0th power is one)
- If e = 1, we get WMA
- If e = 2, we get quadratic weights.
We can recreate WLSMA freq response then by combining 2 filters with e = 1 and e = 2.
This is still an approximation, even tho enormously precise for the tasks you’ve shared with me. Due to the non-linear nature of the thing it’s all we can do, and as window size grows, even this small discrepancy converges with true WLSMA value, so we’re all good. Pls don’t try to model this 0.00xxxx discrepancy, it’s not natural.
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DSP approach is unnatural for prices, but you can put this thing on volume delta and be happy, or on other metrics of yours, if for some reason u dont wanna estimate thresholds by fitting a distro.
All good TV
∞
P.S.: strangely, the first script made & dropped in the location in Saint P where my actual quant way has started ~5 years ago xD, very thankful
