VIX Statistical Sentiment Index [Nasan]** THIS IS ONLY FOR US STOCK MARKET**
The indicator analyzes market sentiment by computing the Rate of Change (ROC) for the VIX and S&P 500, visualizing the data as histograms with conditional coloring. It measures the correlation between the VIX, the specific stock, and the S&P 500, displaying the results on the chart. The reliability measure combines these correlations, offering an overall assessment of data robustness. One can use this information to gauge the inverse relationship between VIX and S&P 500, the alignment of the specific stock with the market, and the overall reliability of the correlations for informed decision-making based on the inverse relationship of VIX and price movement.
**WHEN THE VIX ROC IS ABOVE ZERO (RED COLOR) AND RASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE DOWNWARDS, WHEN THE VIX ROC IS BELOW ZERO (GREEN)AND DECREASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE UPWARDS"
Understanding the VIX Concept:
The VIX, or Volatility Index, is a widely used indicator in finance that measures the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Here are key points about the VIX:
Fear Gauge:
Often referred to as the "fear gauge," the VIX tends to rise during periods of market uncertainty or fear and fall during calmer market conditions.
Inverse Relationship with Market:
The VIX typically has an inverse relationship with the stock market. When the stock market experiences a sell-off, the VIX tends to rise, indicating increased expected volatility.
Implied Volatility:
The VIX is derived from the prices of options on the S&P 500. It represents the market's expectations for future volatility and is often referred to as "implied volatility."
Contrarian Indicator:
Extremely high VIX levels may indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential market rebound. Conversely, very low VIX levels may signal complacency and a potential reversal.
VIX vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the VIX (Volatility Index) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
A negative correlation indicates an inverse relationship. When the VIX goes up, the SPX tends to go down, and vice versa.
The correlation value closer to -1 suggests a stronger inverse relationship between VIX and SPX.
Stock vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the closing price of the stock (retrieved using src1) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
This correlation helps assess how closely the stock's price movements align with the broader market represented by the S&P 500.
A positive correlation suggests that the stock tends to move in the same direction as the S&P 500, while a negative correlation indicates an opposite movement.
Reliability Measure:
Combines the squared values of the VIX vs. SPX and Stock vs. SPX correlations and takes the square root to create a reliability measure.
This measure provides an overall assessment of how reliable the correlation information is in guiding decision-making.
Interpretation:
A higher reliability measure implies that the correlations between VIX and SPX, as well as between the stock and SPX, are more robust and consistent.
One can use this reliability measure to gauge the confidence they can place in the correlations when making decisions about the specific stock based on VIX data and its correlation with the broader market.
Pesquisar nos scripts por "implied"
Rule of 16 - LowerThe "Rule of 16" is a simple guideline used by traders and investors to estimate the expected annualized volatility of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) based on the level of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). The VIX, often referred to as the "fear gauge" or "fear index," measures the market's expectations for future volatility. It is calculated using the implied volatility of a specific set of S&P 500 options.
The Rule of 16 provides a rough approximation of the expected annualized percentage change in the S&P 500 based on the VIX level. Here's how it works:
Find the VIX level: Look up the current value of the VIX. Let's say it's currently at 20.
Apply the Rule of 16: Divide the VIX level by 16. In this example, 20 divided by 16 equals 1.25.
Result: The result of this calculation represents the expected annualized percentage change in the S&P 500. In this case, 1.25% is the estimated annualized volatility.
So, according to the Rule of 16, a VIX level of 20 suggests an expected annualized volatility of approximately 1.25% in the S&P 500.
Here's how you can use the Rule of 16:
Market Sentiment: The VIX is often used as an indicator of market sentiment. When the VIX is high (above its historical average), it suggests that investors expect higher market volatility, indicating potential uncertainty or fear in the markets. Conversely, when the VIX is low, it suggests lower expected volatility and potentially more confidence in the markets.
Risk Management: Traders and investors can use the Rule of 16 to estimate the potential risk associated with their portfolios. For example, if you have a portfolio of S&P 500 stocks and the VIX is at 20, you can use the Rule of 16 to estimate that the annualized volatility of your portfolio may be around 1.25%. This information can help you make decisions about position sizing and risk management.
Option Pricing: Options traders may use the Rule of 16 to get a quick estimate of the implied annualized volatility priced into S&P 500 options. It can help them assess whether options are relatively expensive or cheap based on the VIX level.
It's important to note that the Rule of 16 is a simplification and provides only a rough estimate of expected volatility. Market conditions and the relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500 can change over time. Therefore, it should be used as a guideline rather than a precise forecasting tool. Traders and investors should consider other factors and use additional analysis to make informed decisions.
[blackcat] L1 Dynamic Volatility IndicatorThe volatility indicator (Volatility) is used to measure the magnitude and instability of price changes in financial markets or a specific asset. This thing is usually used to assess how risky the market is. The higher the volatility, the greater the fluctuation in asset prices, but brother, the risk is also relatively high! Here are some related terms and explanations:
- Historical Volatility: The actual volatility of asset prices over a certain period of time in the past. This thing is measured by calculating historical data.
- Implied Volatility: The volatility inferred from option market prices, used to measure market expectations for future price fluctuations.
- VIX Index (Volatility Index): Often referred to as the "fear index," it predicts the volatility of the US stock market within 30 days in advance. This is one of the most famous volatility indicators in global financial markets.
Volatility indicators are very important for investors and traders because they can help them understand how unstable and risky the market is, thereby making wiser investment decisions.
Today I want to introduce a volatility indicator that I have privately held for many years. It can use colors to judge sharp rises and falls! Of course, if you are smart enough, you can also predict some potential sharp rises and falls by looking at the trend!
In the financial field, volatility indicators measure the magnitude and instability of price changes in different assets. They are usually used to assess the level of market risk. The higher the volatility, the greater the fluctuation in asset prices and therefore higher risk. Historical Volatility refers to the actual volatility of asset prices over a certain period of time in the past, which can be measured by calculating historical data; while Implied Volatility is derived from option market prices and used to measure market expectations for future price fluctuations. In addition, VIX Index is commonly known as "fear index" and is used to predict volatility in the US stock market within 30 days. It is one of the most famous volatility indicators in global financial markets.
Volatility indicators are very important for investors and traders because they help them understand market uncertainty and risk, enabling them to make wiser investment decisions. The L1 Dynamic Volatility Indicator that I am introducing today is an indicator that measures volatility and can also judge sharp rises and falls through colors!
This indicator combines two technical indicators: Dynamic Volatility (DV) and ATR (Average True Range), displaying warnings about sharp rises or falls through color coding. DV has a slow but relatively smooth response, while ATR has a fast but more oscillating response. By utilizing their complementary characteristics, it is possible to construct a structure similar to MACD's fast-slow line structure. Of course, in order to achieve fast-slow lines for DV and ATR, first we need to unify their coordinate axes by normalizing them. Then whenever ATR's yellow line exceeds DV's purple line with both curves rapidly breaking through the threshold of 0.2, sharp rises or falls are imminent.
However, it is important to note that relying solely on the height and direction of these two lines is not enough to determine the direction of sharp rises or falls! Because they only judge the trend of volatility and cannot determine bull or bear markets! But it's okay, I have already considered this issue early on and added a magical gradient color band. When the color band gradually turns warm, it indicates a sharp rise; conversely, when the color band tends towards cool colors, it indicates a sharp fall! Of course, you won't see the color band in sideways consolidation areas, which avoids your involvement in unnecessary trades that would only waste your funds! This indicator is really practical and with it you can better assess market risks and opportunities!
CE - Market Performance TableThe 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is a sophisticated market tool designed to provide valuable insights into the current market trends and the approximate current position in the Macroeconomic Regime.
Furthermore the 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 provides the Correlation Implied Trend for the Asset on the Chart. Lastly it provides information about current "RISK ON" or "RISK OFF" periods.
Methodology:
𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 tracks the 15 underlying Stock ETF's to identify their performance and puts the combined performances together to visualize 42MACRO's GRID Equity Model.
For this it uses the below ETF's:
Dividends (SPHD)
Low Beta (SPLV)
Quality (QUAL)
Defensives (DEF)
Growth (IWF)
High Beta (SPHB)
Cyclicals (IYT, IWN)
Value (IWD)
Small Caps (IWM)
Mid Caps (IWR)
Mega Cap Growth (MGK)
Size (OEF)
Momentum (MTUM)
Large Caps (IWB)
Overall Settings:
The main time values you want to change are:
Correlation Length
- Defines the time horizon for the Correlation Table
ROC Period
- Defines the time horizon for the Performance Table
Normalization lookback
- Defines the time horizon for the Trend calculation of the ETF's
- For longer term Trends over weeks or months a length of 50 is usually pretty accurate
Visuals:
There is a variety of options to change the visual settings of what is being plotted and the two table positions and additional considerations.
Everything that is relevant in the underlying logic that can help comprehension can be visualized with these options.
Market Correlation:
The Market Correlation Table takes the Correlation of the above ETF's to the Asset on the Chart, it furthermore uses the Normalized KAMA Oscillator by IkkeOmar to analyse the current trend of every single ETF.
It then Implies a Correlation based on the Trend and the Correlation to give a probabilistically adjusted expectation for the future Chart Asset Movement. This is strengthened by taking the average of all Implied Trends.
With this the Correlation Table provides valuable insights about probabilistically likely Movement of the Asset, for Traders and Investors alike, over the defined time duration.
Market Performance:
𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is the actual valuable part of this Indicator.
It provides valuable information about the current market environment (whether it's risk on or risk off), the rough GRID models from 42MACRO and the actual market performance.
This allows you to obtain a deeper understanding of how the market works and makes it simple to identify the actual market direction.
Utility:
The 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is divided in 4 Sections which are the GRID regimes:
Economic Growth:
Goldilocks
Reflation
Economic Contraction:
Inflation
Deflation
Top 5 Equity Style Factors:
Are the values green for a specific Column? If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
Bottom 5 Equity Style Factors:
Are the values red for a specific Column? If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
So if we have Goldilocks as current regime we would see green values in the Top 5 Goldilocks Cells and red values in the Bottom 5 Goldilocks Cells.
You will find that Reflation will look similar, as it is also a sign of Economic Growth.
Same is the case for the two Contraction regimes.
VIX HeatmapVIX HeatMap
Instructions:
- To be used with the S&P500 index (ES, SPX, SPY, any S&P ETF) as that's the input from where the CBOE calculates and measures the VIX. Can also be used with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, & Nasdaq100.
Description:
- Expected Implied Volatility regime simplified & visualized. Know if we are in a high, medium, or low volatility regime, instantly.
- Ranges from Hot to Cold: The hotter the heat-map, the higher the implied volatility and fear & vice versa.
- The VIX HeatMap, color-maps important VIX levels (7 in this case) in measuring volatility for day trading & swing trading.
Using the VIX HeatMap:
- A LOW level volatility environment: Represented by "cooler" colors (Blue & White) depicts that the level of volatility and fear is low. Percentage moves on the index level are going to be tame and less volatile more often than not. Low fear = low perceived risk.
- A MEDIUM level volatility environment: Represented by "warmer" colors (Green & Yellow) depicts that the markets are transitioning from a calmer period or from a more fearful period. Market volatility here will be higher and provide more volatile swings in price.
- A HIGH level volatility environment: Represented by "hotter" colors (Orange, Red, & Purple) depicts that the markets are very fearful at the moment and will have big swings in both directions. Historically, extreme VIX levels tend to coincide with bottoms but are in no way predictive of the exact timing as the volatile moves can continue for an extended period of time.
- Transitioning between the 7 VIX Zones: Each and every one of these specific VIX zone levels is important.
1. Extreme low: <16
2. Low: 16 to 20
3. Normal: 20 to 24
4. Medium: 24 to 28
5. Med-High: 28 to 32
6. High: 32 to 36
7. Extreme high: >36
- These VIX levels in particular measure volatility changes that have a major impact on switching between smaller time frames and measuring depths of a sell move and vice versa. Each level also behaves as its own support & resistance level in terms of taking a bit of effort to switch regimes, and aids in identifying and measuring the potential depth of pullbacks in bull markets and bounces in bear markets to reveal reversal points.
- Examples of VIX level supports depicted on the chart marked with arrows. From left to right:
1. March 10th: Markets jumped 2 volatility levels in 2 days. The fluctuations from blue to yellow to green where a sign that price action would reverse from the selloff.
2. March 28th: As soon as we move from green to the blue VIX level (<20), markets began to rally and only ended when the volatility level moved sub VIX 16 (white).
3. May 4th & 24th: Next we see the 2 dips where volatility levels went from blue to green (VIX > 20), marked bottoms and reversed higher.
4. June 1st: We see a change in VIX regime yet again into lower VIX level and markets rocket higher.
Knowing the current VIX regime is a very important tool and aid in trading, now easily visualized.
SPX Expected MoveThis indicator plots the "expected move" of SPX for today's trading session. Expected move is the amount that SPX is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current level of implied volatility. The implied volatility in this indicator is computed from the current value of the VIX (or one of several volatility symbols available on Trading view). The computation is done using standard formula. The resulting plots are labeled as 1 and 2 standard deviations. The default values are to use VIX as well as 252 trading days in the years.
Use the square root of (days to expiration, or in this case a fraction of the day remaining) divided but the square root of (252, or number of trading days in a year).
timeRemaining = math.sqrt(DTE) / math.sqrt(252)
Standard deviation move = SPX bar closing price * (VIX/100) * timeRemaining
4C Expected Move (Weekly Options)This indicator plots the Expected Move (EM) calculated from weekly options pricing, for a quick visual reference.
The EM is the amount that a stock is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current level of implied volatility.
This range can be viewed as support and resistance, or once price gets outside of the range, institutional hedging actions can accelerate the move in that direction.
The EM range is based on the Weekly close of the prior week.
It can be useful to know what the weekly EM range is for a stock to understand the probabilities of the overall distance, direction and volatility for the week.
To use this indicator you must have access to a broker with options data (not available on Tradingview).
Look at the stock's option chain and find the weekly expected move. You will have to do your own research to find where this information is displayed depending on your broker.
See screenshot example on the chart. This is the Thinkorswim platform's option chain, and the Implied Volatility % and the calculated EM is circled in red. Use the +- number in parentheses, NOT the % value.
Input that number into the indicator on a weekly basis, ideally on the weekend sometime after the cash market close on Friday, and before the Market open at the beginning of the trading week.
The indicator must be manually updated each week.
It will automatically start over at the beginning of the week.
Volatility barometerIt is the indicator that analyzes the behaviour of VIX against CBOE volaility indices (VIX3M, VIX6M and VIX1Y) and VIX futures (next contract to the front one - VX!2). Because VIX is a derivate of SPX, the indicator shall be used on the SPX chart (or equivalent like SPY).
When the readings get above 90 / below 10, it means the market is overbought / oversold in terms of implied volatility. However, it does not mean it will reverse - if the price go higher along with the indicator readings then everything is fine. There is an alarming situation when the SPX is diverging - e.g. the price go higher, the readings lower. It means the SPX does not play in the same team as IVOL anymore and might reverse.
You can use it in conjunction with other implied volatility indicators for stronger signals: the Correlation overlay ( - the indicator that measures the correlation between VVIX and VIX) and VVIX/VIX ratio (it generates a signal the ratio makes 50wk high).
Black Scholes Model [racer8]This is the Black Scholes Model. This indicator tells you the prices of both a call option & a put option.
Input variables are spot price, strike price, risk free rate %, days to maturity, and implied volatility %.
This indicator was made generally for educational purposes.
By using this indicator, you will develop a better understanding of how options are priced.
This indicator was made to be as simple as possible so that the user can easily understand it.
I recreated the Black Scholes Model because there is very little scripts on TV that are based on the Black Scholes Model.
I am aware that are Black Scholes Model (BSM) scripts already on TV, but mine is not the same. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think there is a BSM script out there yet that relies on the exact same inputs that mine does.
Why use this indicator?
If you don't already have your own IV indicator...
You can use this indicator to approximate the value of implied volatility %.
You already know every input variable except IV%, and you know the call & put option prices.
So put in the numbers for each input and put a random number between 0 to 100 into the IV% input to get the options prices.
Adjust that random number for IV% until the output (options prices) matches correctly with what you already know they are to be.
This is called the trial and error method.
On the other hand, if you already know all input variables including IV%. Then you can use this indicator to find the call & put options prices directly.
Hope this helps. Enjoy 🙂
BULLISH!! Low High Range Options HelperThis indicator is designed for range-based options trading, where price tends to rotate between a defined low and high rather than trend continuously. Its purpose is not to tell you what to trade, but to provide context for timing, specifically answering the question: if price is at a discount here, how much time should an option realistically have?
The script identifies a recent price range and plots three key levels. The range high represents the upper boundary of recent price action and often acts as a take-profit or resistance area. The range mid is the 50 percent equilibrium of the range and is intended as a confirmation level rather than an entry signal. The range low represents the discount zone, where risk is best defined for bullish options trades. This is the only area where options guidance is displayed.
When price touches the range low, the indicator calculates how long similar range rotations have taken in the past, adjusts that timing to the current chart timeframe, and applies a safety factor to reduce the risk of under-timing an options position. It then displays a suggested days-to-expiration label, such as 3 DTE, 4 DTE, 5 DTE, 6 DTE, 7 DTE, 10 DTE, or 14 plus. Shorter DTE values reflect faster expected rotations, while longer DTE values reflect slower, choppier, or more uncertain conditions. The goal is to help avoid the common mistake of buying options that do not have enough time to work.
A typical way to use this tool is to identify a clearly defined range, wait for price to reach the range low, note the DTE guidance shown on the chart, then wait for confirmation such as a reclaim of the range midpoint before considering a trade. Risk can then be managed with the range structure in mind, often targeting the range high in rotational environments. The indicator is most effective in sideways or mean-reverting markets rather than strong trends.
This script does not place trades, predict direction, or guarantee outcomes. It does not account for news events, earnings, implied volatility changes, or broader macro conditions. It is intended as a contextual tool to support disciplined decision-making, not as a standalone trading system.
Always trade smart. Manage position size, define risk before entering a trade, and avoid over-leveraging short-dated options. The objective is not to predict the market, but to consistently align price structure with realistic time expectations.
Options Delta Alert ToolThe indicator employs the Black-Scholes model to calculate and display the option's delta dynamically, using the current stock price, time to expiration, and other parameters (e.g., fixed implied volatility). It thus reflects the delta as it would be on that particular future day.
ABCD Harmonic Pattern Strategy (Bull + Bear) This script is a strategy implementation of the classic ABCD Harmonic Pattern, designed for market structure analysis, backtesting, and educational research.
The ABCD pattern is one of the foundational harmonic price patterns in technical analysis. Its Fibonacci ratio relationships were formalized and standardized within harmonic trading theory by Scott M. Carney, whose work helped define modern harmonic pattern rules.
This strategy is conceptually inspired by educational ABCD pattern logic shared by the TradingView author theEccentricTrader.
The code, structure, execution logic, filters, and risk management have been independently developed, reconstructed, and extended into a complete TradingView strategy.
What this strategy does
Detects bullish and bearish ABCD harmonic patterns based on price structure and Fibonacci ratios.
Reconstructs ABCD market structure logic for both directions instead of using a simple visual inversion.
Draws the ABCD legs, structure labels (A, B, C, D), and projection levels directly on the chart.
Generates long and short trade entries using confirmed ABCD structures.
Includes optional confluence filters, such as:
Higher-timeframe EMA trend filter
RSI strength filter
ATR volatility filter
Volume confirmation
Candle body confirmation
Minimum bounce distance from point D
Provides built-in risk management, including:
Configurable Stop Loss
Configurable Take Profit
Optional trailing stop
Designed for backtesting, parameter optimization, and analytical research.
Why this strategy is different
This script is not a simple indicator conversion nor a basic bullish/bearish mirror.
The ABCD pattern logic has been recreated at the structural level to better reflect how bullish and bearish market formations behave in real price action.
Key differences
Reconstructed bullish and bearish structures
Bullish and bearish ABCD patterns are independently defined using market structure logic, not just inverted visually.
Each direction has its own pivot relationships and validation rules to produce a more faithful representation of the ABCD pattern.
Structure-aware pattern validation
Pattern confirmation is based on price swings, structure continuity, and Fibonacci alignment, helping reduce distorted or forced patterns.
Strategy-based execution
Unlike indicator-only ABCD tools that only visualize patterns, this script uses strategy.entry and strategy.exit, enabling full backtesting and performance analysis.
Confluence-driven entries
Trade entries can require multiple confirmation layers beyond the pattern itself, helping reduce low-quality signals and overtrading.
Integrated risk management
Stop Loss, Take Profit, and optional trailing logic are applied consistently for both long and short positions.
Non-repainting design
Pattern detection and entries rely on confirmed bars (barstate.isconfirmed) and higher-timeframe data with lookahead_off, ensuring signals do not repaint historically.
Improved and controlled visualization
Pattern drawings, projections, and entry markers are managed with strict object limits to comply with TradingView performance and publishing requirements.
How to use
Add the strategy to a chart and select a symbol and timeframe.
Enable or disable filters under “Entry Filters (Confluence)”.
Configure Stop Loss, Take Profit, and trailing behavior under “TP/SL”.
Use pattern drawings and entry markers as visual and analytical confirmation, not as standalone trade signals.
Important notes
This script is provided for educational and research purposes only.
It does not provide financial or investment advice.
No profitability or performance is implied or guaranteed.
Past performance does not indicate future results.
Always test across multiple markets and timeframes and apply proper risk management.
Credits
ABCD Harmonic Pattern: Harmonic trading principles as formalized by Scott M. Carney.
Conceptual inspiration: Educational ABCD pattern logic shared by @theEccentricTrader on TradingView.
Pattern reconstruction, strategy logic, and risk management: Independent development.
Log Trend Channel Enhanced**Log Trend Channel Enhanced (LTC+)**
A logarithmic regression channel with 11 deviation bands and comprehensive statistical metrics.
**Features:**
- Logarithmic regression trendline from customizable start date
- 11 parallel bands at ±0.5σ, ±1σ, ±1.5σ, ±2σ, ±2.5σ standard deviations
- Color-coded zones (green = undervalued, red = overvalued)
**Metrics displayed:**
- R² (goodness of fit)
- Pearson correlation
- Implied CAGR (annualized return from trendline)
- Distance from trend (%)
- Current σ position
- Channel position (%)
- Historical percentile rank
**Usage:**
Ideal for long-term trend analysis on assets with exponential growth patterns. Use on log-scale charts for best visualization. Green zones near -2σ historically indicate accumulation opportunities; red zones near +2σ suggest distribution phases.
**Settings:**
- Adjustable start date (default: 1 year ago)
- Customizable colors and line widths
- Optional deviation labels
- Configurable future projection
Adaptive Bull Ratio Strategy█ Overview: Why This Strategy
Most option strategies fall into two traps:
They are too rigid: A "Call Ratio Spread" works great in slow markets but gets destroyed if the market rallies hard.
They are too simple: A simple "Buy Call" suffers from time decay (Theta) if the market chops sideways.
The Adaptive Bull Ratio Strategy solves both . It is a living strategy that "shifts gears" based on price action.
It is called "Adaptive" because it morphs its structure three times during a trade. It starts conservative to harvest Time Decay, but if the market explodes upwards, it "uncaps" itself to ride the trend aggressively.
█ The Entry Philosophy: Why Supertrend?
The default setting uses the Supertrend indicator as the trigger. This is intentional:
Volatility Awareness: Supertrend adapts to market noise using ATR. In high volatility, bands widen to prevent false entries.
Trend Confirmation: Since Phase 1 involves selling options, entering "too early" against a falling market is dangerous. Supertrend forces patience, waiting for a confirmed reversal (Close > Trend Line), ensuring the momentum is actually in your favor before you commit capital.
The "Drift" Benefit: This strategy excels in markets that "drift" upwards. Supertrend identifies these trends while filtering out short-term chop.
Flexibility with External Sources:
While Supertrend is the default, the strategy is designed to be flexible. You can enable the 'Enable External Source' option in the settings to plug in any custom indicator (e.g., Moving Averages, Parabolic SAR, or a proprietary trendline).
The Golden Rule for External Sources: The script interprets a Bullish Signal whenever your External Source line is below the Close price (Ext Source < Close).
Compatibility: As long as your custom indicator behaves like a support line in an uptrend (plotting below the candles), it will work seamlessly with this strategy's logic.
█ The "Long Only" Rationale: Avoiding the Volatility Trap
Why not trade this on the short side (Puts) during crashes?
The Volatility Trap (Vega Risk): In Bull markets, Implied Volatility (IV) usually drops, helping your sold options decay faster. In Bear markets, IV explodes (panic). Selling OTM Puts during a crash is dangerous as their value skyrockets, neutralizing gains.
Velocity Risk: Bear markets crash fast ("Elevator Down"). Prices can blow through adjustment levels faster than the strategy can safely roll down, causing slippage.
Structural Skew: OTM Puts are inherently more expensive. Buying expensive ITM Puts and selling expensive OTM Puts shifts the breakeven further away, making V-shape recoveries painful.
█ How It Works & Stands Out
This strategy actively transforms risk profiles based on market movement:
Phase 1: The "Safe" Start (Entry)
Setup: Initiates a Call Ratio Spread (Buy 2 ITM, Sell 4 OTM) + Protective Puts.
Logic: Profits from sideways drift or slow rallies via Time Decay (Theta). The sold options finance the trade.
Phase 2: The "Shift" (Adjustment Level 1)
Trigger: Market moves above Leg 2 (3 OTM Call).
Action: Rolls Up the position. Exits initial legs, enters new higher legs, and adds a Short Put to finance the roll.
Impact: Aggressive. You bet the trend is strong enough to support the added downside risk of the short put.
Phase 3: The "Uncap" (Adjustment Level 2)
Trigger: Market moves above Leg 3 (4 OTM Call).
Action: Exits all Sold Calls.
Impact: Uncaps profit potential. The trade becomes a Net Long position (Long Calls + Short Puts), allowing you to ride a massive rally without a ceiling.
Phase 4: The "Lock-In" (Optional Trail Adjustment)
Trigger: The market goes parabolic (price rises X levels above Leg 3, configurable in settings).
Action (If Enabled):
Call Adj: Exits the Phase 3 calls and buys fresh 1-OTM calls (Rolling Up to lock profits).
Put Adj: Exits all Put legs (Removing downside risk completely).
Impact: Maximum Safety. This phase is about "banking" the windfall from a massive rally and leaving a smaller, risk-free runner to capture any final extension.
█ How to Start: A Quick Setup Guide
Step 1: Map Expiry Dates
Manually input your trading expiry dates in Settings -> Expiry Management.
Format: YYYY-MM-DD (e.g., 2025-12-25). Strict adherence required for DhanHQ.
Step 2: Configure Symbol & Size
Exchange/Symbol: Enter NSE and NIFTY (or your ticker).
Lot Multiplier: Default is 1. Set to 2 to double all quantities (e.g., Buy 2 becomes Buy 4).
Step 3: Understand Visuals
Entry Window (Light Blue): Strategy is scanning for new trades.
Non-Entry Window (Dark Blue): Trading blocked (Day before Expiry & Expiry Day). Only management allowed.
Green Box: Valid Late Entry Zone.
Red Dashed Line: Invalidation Level (if price touches this, no late entry).
Fuchsia Line: Trigger level for Special Trail Adjustments (Phase 4).
IMPORTANT: Broker & Technology Heads-Up:
The alerts generated by this script ({"secret": "...", "alertType": "multi_leg_order"...}) are specifically formatted for the DhanHQ webhook structure.
Dhan Users: Plug-and-play.
Other Brokers: You need middleware (NextLevelBot, Quantiply) to parse the JSON.
█ Risk Disclaimer & Advice
Trading options involves substantial risk.
The Whipsaw Risk: In Phase 2, you are Long Calls and Short Puts. A sharp reversal causes losses on both sides.
Margin: Selling options requires significant margin. Keep a 15-20% cash buffer to handle adjustments instantly.
Testing: This strategy is optimized for NIFTY Weekly Options. Effectiveness on BankNifty or Stocks is untested and may require parameter tuning.
Advice:
Backtest: Use TradingView Replay.
Paper Trade: Run for at least one expiry cycle before live deployment.
Consult: Seek professional financial advice before trading.
Practical Tips for Smooth Execution
For a new trader deploying this system, these operational tips are vital:
Capital Buffer: Do not trade at your limit. Always keep 10-15% free cash in your broker account. Adjustments (specifically Phase 2, where you sell an extra Put) require additional margin instantly. If margin is short, the order fails, and your hedge breaks.
Liquidity Awareness : The script trades "Far Deep OTM" options (Leg 4) to reduce margin. On indices like Nifty/BankNifty, this is fine. On individual stocks, these deep strikes might be illiquid. Check the option chain volume before deploying on stocks.
Trust the Process (but Verify) : While the algo drives, you are the pilot.
Check your API connection every morning.
Ensure the "Entry Window" background color on the chart matches your real-world date.
Verify that your broker executed all legs of a multi-leg order (partial fills are rare but possible).
The "Human" Stop: If major news breaks (e.g., unexpected election results, war announcements), volatility can expand faster than any algo can react. It is acceptable—and smart—to pause the strategy during known "Black Swan" events or earnings releases.
█ Timeframe Selection: The 30-Minute Standard
Critical Requirement: This indicator must be applied to a 30-minute chart.
Why?
Noise Filtering: The Supertrend logic is tuned to capture multi-day trends. Lower timeframes (5m, 15m) are full of "noise"—random fluctuations that look like trend changes but aren't.
Execution Logic (The Hybrid Engine): The script has a built-in "Dual Timeframe" architecture.
Decision Layer (30m): Uses the chart timeframe to decide when to be Bullish or Bearish.
Execution Layer (5m): Internally fetches 5-minute data to manage the how (Adjustments, Late Entries, and precise invalidation).
The Risk of Lower Timeframes: If you run the main chart on 5-minutes, you destroy this hierarchy. You will get too many signals, pay too much brokerage, and the internal logic may behave erratically.
Recommendation: Always keep your TradingView chart interval at 30m. Do not switch to lower timeframes expecting "faster" signals; you will likely just get "false" signals.
█ Testing Scope, Feedback
⚠️ Important Note on Asset Classes:
This strategy logic and the associated strike step calculations have been rigorously tested ONLY on NIFTY Index Options with Weekly Expiry.
BankNifty / Sensex / FinNifty: The volatility characteristics (ATR) and strike intervals of these instruments differ significantly from NIFTY. The effectiveness of this strategy on these other scripts has not been verified and may require different parameter tuning (e.g., strike_step or ATR Length).
Stocks: Individual stock options often lack the liquidity required for the "Deep OTM" legs, leading to potential execution failures.
We encourage traders to backtest this logic on other indices and share their findings! If you find a robust parameter set for BankNifty or observe unique behaviors on other scripts, please let us know in the comments below so we can improve the algorithm for everyone. Your feedback is appriciated.
Gold Macro Projection ModelGOLD MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Gold
OVERVIEW
The Gold Macro Projection Model estimates gold's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from silver , M2 money supply , the US Dollar Index , TIPS (real rates proxy) , and major equity indices , this indicator projects where gold should theoretically be trading—helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies :
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight)
Calculates rolling correlations between gold and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to gold's price scale.
Silver/Gold Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight)
The silver/gold ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects gold's implied price based on current silver prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight)
Gold tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between gold and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Silver — Strong positive correlation; precious metals move together
M2 Money Supply — Positive correlation; gold as inflation hedge
US Dollar Index (DXY) — Typically negative correlation; inverse relationship
TIPS ETF — Real interest rate proxy; gold responds to real yields
Equity Indices — Variable correlation; risk-on/risk-off dynamics
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Yellow Line — Actual gold price
Aqua Line — Projected fair value
Green Fill — Gold trading below projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill — Gold trading above projection (potentially overvalued)
Aqua Bands — Standard deviation envelope around projection
INFO TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time information panel showing:
Current actual vs. projected price
Divergence percentage and Z-score
Rolling correlations for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation
Buy/Sell signal based on divergence extremes
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
STRONG BUY — Z-score below -2 (extremely undervalued)
BUY — Z-score between -2 and -1 (moderately undervalued)
NEUTRAL — Z-score between -1 and +1 (fairly valued)
SELL — Z-score between +1 and +2 (moderately overvalued)
STRONG SELL — Z-score above +2 (extremely overvalued)
SETTINGS
Correlation Period — Lookback for correlation calculations (default: 60)
Regression Period — Lookback for mean/standard deviation (default: 120)
Smoothing Period — EMA smoothing for projection line (default: 10)
Auto Weights — Toggle between correlation-based or manual weights
Band Multiplier — Standard deviation multiplier for bands (default: 1.5)
ALERTS
Gold Extremely Undervalued — Z crosses below -2
Gold Extremely Overvalued — Z crosses above +2
Gold Crossed Above Projection
Gold Crossed Below Projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Gold Divergence Oscillator for timing
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Silver Macro Projection ModelSILVER MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Silver
OVERVIEW
The Silver Macro Projection Model estimates silver's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from gold, M2 money supply, the US Dollar Index, and major equity indices, this indicator projects where silver should theoretically be trading, helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies:
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight) - Calculates rolling correlations between silver and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to silver's price scale.
Gold/Silver Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight) - The gold/silver ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects silver's implied price based on current gold prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight) - Silver tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between silver and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Gold - Strong Positive - Precious metals move together; silver amplifies gold
M2 Supply - Positive - Inflation hedge; expands with monetary base
DXY - Negative - Dollar strength pressures commodity prices
S&P 500 - Variable - Risk sentiment indicator
Dow Jones - Variable - Industrial/economic health proxy
Nasdaq 100 - Variable - Growth/risk appetite indicator
Russell 2000 - Variable - Small-cap risk sentiment
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Silver Line (Gray) - Actual silver price
Yellow Line - Model's projected fair value
Green Fill - Silver trading BELOW projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill - Silver trading ABOVE projection (potentially overvalued)
INFORMATION TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time panel showing:
Current correlation coefficients for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation based on correlation strength
Z-scores for each input factor
Actual vs. projected silver price
Percentage divergence from fair value
Signal classification (Strong Buy to Strong Sell)
SETTINGS
Lookback Settings
Correlation Period (default: 60) - Bars used for rolling correlations
Regression Period (default: 120) - Bars for z-score normalization
Smoothing Period (default: 10) - EMA smoothing on projection
Weight Settings
Use Auto Correlation Weights - Weights adjust dynamically based on correlation strength
Manual Weights - Override with custom factor weights
ALERTS
Silver Extremely Undervalued (Z < -2)
Silver Extremely Overvalued (Z > +2)
Price crossed above projection
Price crossed below projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Divergence Oscillator for timing
Extreme divergences (>2 sigma) historically precede mean reversion
Consider macro environment as correlations shift during different regimes
Longer regression periods (150-250) for investing; shorter (60-90) for trading
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Q# ML Logistic Regression Indicator [Lite]
Q TechLabs MLLR Lite — Machine Learning Logistic Regression Trading Indicator
© Q# Tech Labs 2025 Developed by Team Q TechLabs
Overview
Q# MLLR Lite is an open-source, lightweight TradingView indicator implementing a logistic regression model to generate buy/sell signals based on engineered price features. This “lite” version is designed for broad community access and serves as a foundation for the upcoming Pro version with advanced features and integration.
Features
Logistic Regression-based buy/sell signal generation
Customizable price source input (Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4)
Adjustable signal threshold and smoothing parameters
Signal confidence plotted in a separate pane
Alert conditions for buy and sell signals
Fully documented, clean Pine Script (v6) code for easy customization
Installation
Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script editor
Create a new script and paste the full content of the Q# MLLR Lite Pine Script
Save and add to chart
Configure inputs as needed for your trading style
Licensing
Q# MLLR Lite is provided under the MIT License, promoting open use, modification, and community collaboration with attributi
Q# MLLR Lite — Machine Learning Logistic Regression Trading Indicator
© Q# Tech Labs 2025 — Developed by Team Q#
Overview
Q# MLLR Lite is an open-source, lightweight TradingView indicator implementing a logistic regression model to generate buy/sell signals based on engineered price features. This “lite” version is designed for broad community access and serves as a foundation for the upcoming Pro version with advanced features and integration.
Features
Logistic Regression-based buy/sell signal generation
Customizable price source input (Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4)
Adjustable signal threshold and smoothing parameters
Signal confidence plotted in a separate pane
Alert conditions for buy and sell signals
Fully documented, clean Pine Script (v6) code for easy customization
Installation
Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script editor
Create a new script and paste the full content of the Q# MLLR Lite Pine Script
Save and add to chart
Configure inputs as needed for your trading style
Licensing
Q# MLLR Lite is provided under the MIT License, promoting open use, modification, and community collaboration with attribution.
Copyright (c) 2025 Q# Tech Labs
Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:
The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
copies or substantial portions of the Software.
THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE
SOFTWARE.
Buying Opportunity Score V2.2Buying Opportunity Indicator V2.2
What This Indicator Does
This indicator identifies potential buying opportunities during market fear and pullbacks by combining multiple technical signals into a single composite score (0-100). Higher scores indicate more fear/oversold conditions are present simultaneously.
Why These Components?
Market bottoms typically occur when multiple fear signals align. This indicator combines five complementary measurements that each capture different aspects of market stress:
1. VIX Level (30 points) - Measures implied volatility/fear. VIX spikes during selloffs as traders buy protection. Thresholds based on historical percentiles (VIX 25+ is ~85th percentile historically).
2. Price Drawdown (30 points) - Distance from 52-week high. Larger drawdowns create better risk/reward for mean reversion entries. A 10%+ drawdown from highs historically presents better entry points than buying at all-time highs.
3. RSI 14 (12 points) - Classic momentum oscillator measuring oversold conditions. RSI below 30 indicates short-term selling exhaustion.
4. Bollinger Band Position (13 points) - Statistical measure of price extension. Price below the lower band (2 standard deviations) indicates statistically unusual weakness.
5. VIX Timing (15 points) - Bonus points when VIX is declining from a recent peak. This helps avoid catching falling knives by waiting for fear to subside.
How The Score Works
- Each component contributes points based on severity
- Components are weighted by predictive value from historical analysis
- Score of 70+ means multiple fear signals are present
- Score of 80+ means extreme fear across most components
How To Use
1. Apply to SPY, QQQ, or IWM on daily timeframe
2. Monitor the Current Score in the statistics table
3. Scores below 50 = normal conditions, no action needed
4. Scores 60-69 = elevated fear, monitor closely
5. Scores 70+ = consider entering long positions
6. Scores 80+ = strongest historical entry points
Important Limitations
- This is a research tool, not financial advice
- Past patterns may not repeat in the future
- Signals are infrequent (typically 2-4 per year reaching 70+)
- Works best on broad market ETFs; not validated for individual stocks
- Always use proper position sizing and risk management
- The indicator identifies conditions that have historically been favorable, but cannot predict future returns
Statistics Table
The table shows:
- Current Score with context message
- Chart Results: Rolling 1Y/3Y/5Y statistics from your loaded chart data
Alerts
Multiple alert options available for different score thresholds.
Open Source
Code is fully visible for review and educational purposes.
MarketMind LITEM🜁rketMind LITE ────────────────────
Essential Market Awareness, Reduced to Its Core
M🜁rketMind LITE is a lightweight market awareness tool designed to display essential situational context .
It provides basic orientation and movement awareness without interpretation, risk framing, diagnostics, or decision guidance.
This script is designed as a standalone awareness layer. It does not evaluate trade quality, issue signals, or influence decision-making.
WHAT IT DOES ────────────────────
M🜁rketMind LITE presents a minimal, static view of current market conditions focused entirely on awareness rather than analysis.
The system displays only essential context, allowing traders to stay oriented without introducing judgment, noise, or implied direction.
The script provides visibility into:
Time-of-day session context
Basic market regime classification (trending, range-bound, mixed)
Short-term momentum direction only (up, down, neutral)
A clean, static HUD display
M🜁rketMind LITE also includes a minimal visual state indicator that reflects recent price responsiveness, intended to be observed over time alongside the trader’s own experience.
The goal is to support awareness without influence .
HOW TO USE IT ────────────────────
M🜁rketMind LITE is not a signal generator.
It is designed to remain visible in the background of any chart, offering quiet orientation while traders rely entirely on their own process for analysis and execution.
Common use cases include:
Maintaining session awareness
Preserving context during focused trading periods
Reducing cognitive load while monitoring markets
M🜁rketMind LITE does not evaluate risk, alignment, or opportunity.
It simply shows what is happening.
DESIGN PHILOSOPHY ────────────────────
M🜁rketMind LITE is intentionally minimal.
It includes only essential awareness elements and excludes all interpretive or evaluative logic:
Situational context only
Directional momentum (up / down / neutral)
No diagnostics, confidence, or conviction framing
No process, risk, or quality assessment
Presentation controls only (HUD on/off, size, position)
Nothing is inferred.
Nothing is suggested.
This script shows market state without interpretation.
WHO IT IS FOR ────────────────────
M🜁rketMind LITE is suited for traders who:
Want passive situational awareness
Prefer minimal on-chart information
Already operate with a defined decision process
It is not designed for:
Analytical or diagnostic use
Risk evaluation or context synthesis
Traders seeking guidance or confirmation
IMPORTANT NOTES ────────────────────
M🜁rketMind LITE does not provide financial advice
No system can predict future price behavior
This tool is designed for awareness only
Used appropriately, M🜁rketMind LITE helps traders stay oriented without interference.
Density Zones (GM Crossing Clusters) + QHO Spin FlipsINDICATOR NAME
Density Zones (GM Crossing Clusters) + QHO Spin Flips
OVERVIEW
This indicator combines two complementary ideas into a single overlay: *this combines my earlier Geometric Mean Indicator with the Quantum Harmonic Oscillator (Overlay) with additional enhancements*
1) Density Zones (GM Crossing Clusters)
A “Density Zone” is detected when price repeatedly crosses a Geometric Mean equilibrium line (GM) within a rolling lookback window. Conceptually, this identifies regions where the market is repeatedly “snapping” across an equilibrium boundary—high churn, high decision pressure, and repeated re-selection of direction.
2) QHO Spin Flips (Regression-Residual σ Breaches)
A “Spin Flip” is detected when price deviates beyond a configurable σ-threshold (κ) from a regression-based equilibrium, using normalized residuals. Conceptually, this marks excursions into extreme states (decoherence / expansion), which often precede a reversion toward equilibrium and/or a regime re-scaling.
These two systems are related but not identical:
- Density Zones identify where equilibrium crossings cluster (a “singularity”/anchor behavior around GM).
- Spin Flips identify when price exceeds statistically extreme displacement from the regression equilibrium (LSR), indicating expansion beyond typical variance.
CORE CONCEPTS AND FORMULAS
SECTION A — GEOMETRIC MEAN EQUILIBRIUM (GM)
We define two moving averages:
(1) MA1_t = SMA(close_t, L1)
(2) MA2_t = SMA(close_t, L2)
We define the equilibrium anchor as the geometric mean of MA1 and MA2:
(3) GM_t = sqrt( MA1_t * MA2_t )
This GM line acts as an equilibrium boundary. Repeated crossings are interpreted as high “equilibrium churn.”
SECTION B — CROSS EVENTS (UP/DOWN)
A “cross event” is registered when the sign of (close - GM) changes:
Define a sign function s_t:
(4) s_t =
+1 if close_t > GM_t
-1 if close_t < GM_t
s_{t-1} if close_t == GM_t (tie-breaker to avoid false flips)
Then define the crossing event indicator:
(5) crossEvent_t = 1 if s_t != s_{t-1}
0 otherwise
Additionally, the indicator plots explicit cross markers:
- Cross Above GM: crossover(close, GM)
- Cross Below GM: crossunder(close, GM)
These provide directional visual cues and match the original Geometric Mean Indicator behavior.
SECTION C — DENSITY MEASURE (CROSSING CLUSTER COUNT)
A Density Zone is based on the number of cross events occurring in the last W bars:
(6) D_t = Σ_{i=0..W-1} crossEvent_{t-i}
This is a “crossing density” score: how many times price has toggled across GM recently.
The script implements this efficiently using a cumulative sum identity:
Let x_t = crossEvent_t.
(7) cumX_t = Σ_{j=0..t} x_j
Then:
(8) D_t = cumX_t - cumX_{t-W} (for t >= W)
cumX_t (for t < W)
SECTION D — DENSITY ZONE TRIGGER
We define a Density Zone state:
(9) isDZ_t = ( D_t >= θ )
where:
- θ (theta) is the user-selected crossing threshold.
Zone edges:
(10) dzStart_t = isDZ_t AND NOT isDZ_{t-1}
(11) dzEnd_t = NOT isDZ_t AND isDZ_{t-1}
SECTION E — DENSITY ZONE BOUNDS
While inside a Density Zone, we track the running high/low to display zone bounds:
(12) dzHi_t = max(dzHi_{t-1}, high_t) if isDZ_t
(13) dzLo_t = min(dzLo_{t-1}, low_t) if isDZ_t
On dzStart:
(14) dzHi_t := high_t
(15) dzLo_t := low_t
Outside zones, bounds are reset to NA.
These bounds visually bracket the “singularity span” (the churn envelope) during each density episode.
SECTION F — QHO EQUILIBRIUM (REGRESSION CENTERLINE)
Define the regression equilibrium (LSR):
(16) m_t = linreg(close_t, L, 0)
This is the “centerline” the QHO system uses as equilibrium.
SECTION G — RESIDUAL AND σ (FIELD WIDTH)
Residual:
(17) r_t = close_t - m_t
Rolling standard deviation of residuals:
(18) σ_t = stdev(r_t, L)
This σ_t is the local volatility/width of the residual field around the regression equilibrium.
SECTION H — NORMALIZED DISPLACEMENT AND SPIN FLIP
Define the standardized displacement:
(19) Y_t = (close_t - m_t) / σ_t
(If σ_t = 0, the script safely treats Y_t = 0.)
Spin Flip trigger uses a user threshold κ:
(20) spinFlip_t = ( |Y_t| > κ )
Directional spin flips:
(21) spinUp_t = ( Y_t > +κ )
(22) spinDn_t = ( Y_t < -κ )
The default κ=3.0 corresponds to “3σ excursions,” which are statistically extreme under a normal residual assumption (even though real markets are not perfectly normal).
SECTION I — QHO BANDS (OPTIONAL VISUALIZATION)
The indicator optionally draws the standard σ-bands around the regression equilibrium:
(23) 1σ bands: m_t ± 1·σ_t
(24) 2σ bands: m_t ± 2·σ_t
(25) 3σ bands: m_t ± 3·σ_t
These provide immediate context for the Spin Flip events.
WHAT YOU SEE ON THE CHART
1) MA1 / MA2 / GM lines (optional)
- MA1 (blue), MA2 (red), GM (green).
- GM is the equilibrium anchor for Density Zones and cross markers.
2) GM Cross Markers (optional)
- “GM↑” label markers appear on bars where close crosses above GM.
- “GM↓” label markers appear on bars where close crosses below GM.
3) Density Zone Shading (optional)
- Background shading appears while isDZ_t = true.
- This is the period where the crossing density D_t is above θ.
4) Density Zone High/Low Bounds (optional)
- Two lines (dzHi / dzLo) are drawn only while in-zone.
- These bounds bracket the full churn envelope during the density episode.
5) QHO Bands (optional)
- 1σ, 2σ, 3σ shaded zones around regression equilibrium.
- These visualize the current variance field.
6) Regression Equilibrium (LSR Centerline)
- The white centerline is the regression equilibrium m_t.
7) Spin Flip Markers
- A circle is plotted when |Y_t| > κ (beyond your chosen σ-threshold).
- Marker size is user-controlled (tiny → huge).
HOW TO USE IT
Step 1 — Pick the equilibrium anchor (GM)
- L1 and L2 define MA1 and MA2.
- GM = sqrt(MA1 * MA2) becomes your equilibrium boundary.
Typical choices:
- Faster equilibrium: L1=20, L2=50 (default-like).
- Slower equilibrium: L1=50, L2=200 (macro anchor).
Interpretation:
- GM acts like a “center of mass” between two moving averages.
- Crosses show when price flips from one side of equilibrium to the other.
Step 2 — Tune Density Zones (W and θ)
- W controls the time window measured (how far back you count crossings).
- θ controls how many crossings qualify as a “density/singularity episode.”
Guideline:
- Larger W = slower, broader density detection.
- Higher θ = only the most intense churn is labeled as a Density Zone.
Interpretation:
- A Density Zone is not “bullish” or “bearish” by itself.
- It is a condition: repeated equilibrium toggling (high churn / high compression).
- These often precede expansions, but direction is not implied by the zone alone.
Step 3 — Tune the QHO spin flip sensitivity (L and κ)
- L controls regression memory and σ estimation length.
- κ controls how extreme the displacement must be to trigger a spin flip.
Guideline:
- Smaller L = more reactive centerline and σ.
- Larger L = smoother, slower “field” definition.
- κ=3.0 = strong extreme filter.
- κ=2.0 = more frequent flips.
Interpretation:
- Spin flips mark when price exits the “normal” residual field.
- In your model language: a moment of decoherence/expansion that is statistically extreme relative to recent equilibrium.
Step 4 — Read the combined behavior (your key thesis)
A) Density Zone forms (GM churn clusters):
- Market repeatedly crosses equilibrium (GM), compressing into a bounded churn envelope.
- dzHi/dzLo show the envelope range.
B) Expansion occurs:
- Price can release away from the density envelope (up or down).
- If it expands far enough relative to regression equilibrium, a Spin Flip triggers (|Y| > κ).
C) Re-coherence:
- After a spin flip, price often returns toward equilibrium structures:
- toward the regression centerline m_t
- and/or back toward the density envelope (dzHi/dzLo) depending on regime behavior.
- The indicator does not guarantee return, but it highlights the condition where return-to-field is statistically likely in many regimes.
IMPORTANT NOTES / DISCLAIMERS
- This indicator is an analytical overlay. It does not provide financial advice.
- Density Zones are condition states derived from GM crossing frequency; they do not predict direction.
- Spin Flips are statistical excursions based on regression residuals and rolling σ; markets have fat tails and non-stationarity, so σ-based thresholds are contextual, not absolute.
- All parameters (L1, L2, W, θ, L, κ) should be tuned per asset, timeframe, and volatility regime.
PARAMETER SUMMARY
Geometric Mean / Density Zones:
- L1: MA1 length
- L2: MA2 length
- GM_t = sqrt(SMA(L1)*SMA(L2))
- W: crossing-count lookback window
- θ: crossing density threshold
- D_t = Σ crossEvent_{t-i} over W
- isDZ_t = (D_t >= θ)
- dzHi/dzLo track envelope bounds while isDZ is true
QHO / Spin Flips:
- L: regression + residual σ length
- m_t = linreg(close, L, 0)
- r_t = close_t - m_t
- σ_t = stdev(r_t, L)
- Y_t = r_t / σ_t
- spinFlip_t = (|Y_t| > κ)
Visual Controls:
- toggles for GM lines, cross markers, zone shading, bounds, QHO bands
- marker size options for GM crosses and spin flips
ALERTS INCLUDED
- Density Zone START / END
- Spin Flip UP / DOWN
- Cross Above GM / Cross Below GM
SUMMARY
This indicator treats the Geometric Mean as an equilibrium boundary and identifies “Density Zones” when price repeatedly crosses that equilibrium within a rolling window, forming a bounded churn envelope (dzHi/dzLo). It also models a regression-based equilibrium field and triggers “Spin Flips” when price makes statistically extreme σ-excursions from that field. Used together, Density Zones highlight compression/decision regions (equilibrium churn), while Spin Flips highlight extreme expansion states (σ-breaches), allowing the user to visualize how price compresses around equilibrium, releases outward, and often re-stabilizes around equilibrium structures over time.
Shiori TFGI Lite Technical Fear and Greed Index (Open Source)Shiori’s TFGI Lite
Technical Fear & Greed Index (Open Source)
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English — Official Description
Shiori’s TFGI Lite is an open-source Technical Fear & Greed Index designed to help traders and investors understand market emotion, not predict price.
Instead of generating buy or sell signals, this indicator focuses on answering a calmer, more important question:
> Is the market emotionally stretched away from its own historical balance?
TFGI Lite combines three well-known technical dimensions — volatility, price deviation, and momentum — and normalizes them into a single, intuitive 0–100 sentiment scale.
What This Indicator Is
* A market context tool, not a trading signal
* A way to observe emotional extremes and misalignment
* Designed for any asset, any timeframe
* Fully open source, transparent and adjustable
Core Components
* Fear Factor: Short-term vs long-term ATR ratio with logarithmic compression
* Greed Factor: Price Z-score with tanh-based normalization
* Momentum Factor: Classic RSI as emotional momentum
These factors are blended and gently smoothed to form the current sentiment level.
Historical Baseline & Deviation
TFGI Lite introduces a historical baseline concept:
* The baseline represents the market’s own emotional equilibrium
* Deviation measures how far current sentiment has drifted from that equilibrium
This allows the indicator to highlight conditions such as:
* 🔥 Overheated: High sentiment + strong positive deviation
* 💎 Undervalued: Low sentiment + strong negative deviation
* ⚠️ Misaligned: Emotionally extreme, but inconsistent with historical behavior
How to Use (Lite Philosophy)
* Use TFGI Lite as a background compass, not a trigger
* Combine it with price structure, risk management, and your own strategy
* Extreme readings suggest emotional tension, not immediate reversal
> Think of TFGI Lite as market weather — it tells you the climate, not when to open or close the door.
About Parameters & Customization
All parameters in TFGI Lite are fully adjustable. Markets have different personalities — volatility, sentiment range, and emotional extremes vary by asset and timeframe.
You are encouraged to:
* Adjust fear/greed thresholds based on the asset you trade
* Tune smoothing and baseline lengths to match your timeframe
* Treat sentiment levels as relative, not universal absolutes
There is no single “correct” setting — TFGI Lite is designed to adapt to your market, not force the market into a fixed model.
Important Notes
* This is a technical sentiment indicator, not financial advice
* No future performance is implied
* Designed to reduce emotional decision-making, not replace it
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🇹🇼 繁體中文 — 指標說明
Shiori’s TFGI Lite（技術型恐懼與貪婪指數） 是一款開源的市場情緒指標，目的不是預測價格，而是幫助你理解市場當下的「情緒狀態」。
與其問「現在該不該買或賣」，TFGI Lite 更關心的是：
> 市場情緒是否已經偏離了它自己的歷史平衡？
本指標整合三個常見但關鍵的技術面向，並統一轉換為 0–100 的情緒刻度，讓市場狀態一眼可讀。
這個指標是什麼
* 市場情緒與狀態觀察工具（非買賣訊號）
* 用來辨識情緒極端與錯位狀態
* 適用於任何商品與任何週期
* 完全開源，可學習、可調整
核心構成
* 恐懼因子：短期 / 長期 ATR 比例（對數壓縮）
* 貪婪因子：價格 Z-Score（tanh 正規化）
* 動能因子：RSI 作為情緒動量
歷史基準與偏離
TFGI Lite 引入「歷史情緒基準」的概念：
* 基準代表市場長期的情緒平衡
* 偏離值顯示當前情緒與自身歷史的距離
因此可以辨識：
* 🔥 過熱（高情緒 + 正向偏離）
* 💎 低估（低情緒 + 負向偏離）
* ⚠️ 錯位（情緒極端，但不符合歷史行為）
使用建議（Lite 精神）
* 將 TFGI Lite 作為「背景雷達」，而非進出場依據
* 搭配價格結構、風險控管與個人策略
* 情緒極端不等於立刻反轉
> 你可以把它想像成市場的天氣預報，而不是交易指令。
參數調整與個人化說明
本指標中的所有參數皆可調整。不同市場、不同商品，其波動特性與情緒區間並不相同。
建議你：
* 依標的特性自行調整恐懼 / 貪婪門檻
* 依交易週期調整平滑與基準長度
* 將情緒數值視為「相對狀態」，而非固定答案
TFGI Lite 的設計初衷，是讓你定義市場，而不是被單一參數綁住。
溫馨提示
如果你在調整指標參數時遇到不熟悉的項目，請點擊參數旁邊的 「!」圖示，每個設定都有清楚的說明。
本指標設計為可慢慢探索，請依自己的節奏理解市場狀態。
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🇯🇵 日本語 — インジケーター説明
Shiori’s TFGI Lite は、価格を予測するための指標ではなく、
市場の「感情状態」を可視化するためのオープンソース指標です。
この指標が問いかけるのは、
> 現在の市場感情は、過去のバランスからどれだけ乖離しているのか？
という一点です。
特徴
* 売買シグナルではありません
* 市場心理の極端さやズレを観察するためのツールです
* すべての銘柄・時間軸に対応
* 学習・調整可能なオープンソース
構成要素
* 恐怖要素：ATR 比率（対数圧縮）
* 強欲要素：価格 Z スコア（tanh 正規化）
* モメンタム：RSI
ベースラインと乖離
市場自身の感情的な基準点と、
現在の感情との距離を測定します。
過熱・割安・感情のズレを視覚的に把握できます。
パラメータ調整について
TFGI Lite のすべてのパラメータは調整可能です。市場ごとにボラティリティや感情の振れ幅は異なります。
* 恐怖・強欲の閾値は銘柄に応じて調整してください
* 時間軸に合わせて平滑化やベースライン期間を変更できます
* 数値は絶対値ではなく、相対的な感情状態として捉えてください
この指標は、市場に合わせて柔軟に使うことを前提に設計されています。
フレンドリーヒント
入力項目で分からない設定がある場合は、横に表示されている 「!」アイコン をクリックしてください。各パラメータには分かりやすい説明が用意されています。
このインジケーターは、落ち着いて市場の状態を理解するためのものです。
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🇰🇷 한국어 — 지표 설명
Shiori’s TFGI Lite는 매수·매도 신호를 제공하는 지표가 아니라,
시장 감정의 상태를 이해하기 위한 기술적 심리 지표입니다.
이 지표의 핵심 질문은 다음과 같습니다.
> 현재 시장 감정은 과거의 균형 상태에서 얼마나 벗어나 있는가?
특징
* 거래 신호 아님
* 시장 심리의 과열·저평가·불일치를 관찰
* 모든 자산, 모든 타임프레임 지원
* 오픈소스 기반
구성 요소
* 공포 요인: ATR 비율 (로그 압축)
* 탐욕 요인: Z-Score (tanh 정규화)
* 모멘텀: RSI
활용 방법
TFGI Lite는 배경 지표로 사용하세요.
가격 구조와 리스크 관리와 함께 사용할 때 가장 효과적입니다.
파라미터 조정 안내
TFGI Lite의 모든 설정 값은 사용자가 직접 조정할 수 있습니다. 자산마다 변동성과 감정 범위는 서로 다릅니다.
* 공포 / 탐욕 기준값은 종목 특성에 맞게 조정하세요
* 타임프레임에 따라 스무딩 및 기준 기간을 변경할 수 있습니다
* 감정 수치는 절대적인 값이 아닌 상대적 상태로 해석하세요
이 지표는 하나의 정답을 강요하지 않고, 시장에 맞춰 적응하도록 설계되었습니다.
친절한 안내
설정 값이 익숙하지 않다면, 항목 옆에 있는 "!" 아이콘을 클릭해 보세요. 각 입력값마다 설명이 제공됩니다.
이 지표는 천천히 시장의 맥락을 이해하도록 설계되었습니다.
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Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
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#FearAndGreed #MarketSentiment #TradingPsychology #TechnicalAnalysis #OpenSourceIndicator #Volatility #RSI #ATR #ZScore #MultiAsset #TradingView #Shiori
FF calculation Saptarshi ChatterjeeForward factor (in options contexts) measures implied volatility (IV) for a future period between two expirations, like from 30 DTE (days to expiry) front-month to 60 DTE back-month options.
This indicator calculates the FORWARD FACTOR(FF) using 2 IVs of 2 DTEs.
+ve value means front DTE is rich in premium and back expiry is cheap.
-ve value means front DTE IV is cheap and 2nd DTE is expensive
we can use this term structure disbalance to trade calendar spreads with edge.
FAIR VALUE CEDEARSFair Value CEDEARS y ETFs
Important: load together with the CEDEARdata library.
Returns the “Fair Value” of CEDEAR and CEDEAR-based ETF prices traded on ByMA, using as a reference the price of the underlying ordinary share or ETF traded on the NYSE or NASDAQ. It multiplies the NYSE/NASDAQ price by the CEDEAR or ETF conversion ratio and converts the currency to ARS or Dólar MEP using the exchange rate implied by the AL30/AL30C ratio for tickers quoted in ARS (e.g., AAPL) and AL30D/AL30C for tickers quoted in Dólar MEP (e.g., AAPLD).
If the CEDEAR or ETF quote is higher than Fair Value, it highlights the difference in red; if it is lower, it highlights it in green. If any of the markets is closed or in an auction period, it notifies the user and changes the background color.
By default, the CEDEAR or ETF quote used is the last price, but the user may choose to use the BID or OFFER instead. This allows CEDEAR and ETF buyers to compare Fair Value against the OFFER, while sellers may prefer to measure Fair Value against the BID of the local instrument.
BCBA:AAPL
BCBA:AAPLD
NASDAQ:AAPL
BCBA:SPY
BCBA:TSLA
BCBA:TSLAD
CEDEARS
ETFs
ByMA
