Donchian Channel Trend Intensity [DW]This is an experimental study designed to analyze trend intensity using two Donchian Channels.
The DCTI curve is calculated by comparing the differences between Donchian highs and lows over a major an minor period, and expressing them as a positive and negative percentage.
The curve is then smoothed with an exponential moving average to provide a signal line.
Custom bar colors included with two coloring methods to choose from.
Pesquisar nos scripts por "curve"
AWESOME OSCILLATOR V2 by KIVANCfr3762AWESOME OSCILLATOR V2 by KIVANC @fr3762
CONVERTING THE OSCILLATOR to a curved line and added a 7 period SMA as a signal line,
crosses are BUY or SELL signals like in MACD
Buy: when AO line crosses above signal line
Sell: when Signal line crosses above AO line
Stefan Krecher: Jeddingen DivergenceThe main idea is to identify a divergence between momentum and price movement. E.g. if the momentum is rising but price is going down - this is what we call a divergence. The divergence will be calculated by comparing the direction of the linear regression curve of the price with the linear regression curve of momentum.
A bearish divergence can be identified by a thick red line, a bullish divergence by a green line.
When there is a divergence, it is likeley that the current trend will change it's direction.
Looking at the chart, there are three divergences that need to get interpreted:
1) bearish divergence, RSI is overbought but MACD does not clearly indicate a trend change. Right after the divergence, price and momentum are going up. No clear signal for a sell trade
2) bearish divergence, RSI still overbought, MACD histogram peaked, MACD crossed the signal line, price and momentum are going down. Very clear constellation for a sell trade.
3) two bullish diverences, RSI is oversold, MACD crossover near the end of the second divergence, price and momentum started rising. Good constellation for a buy trade. Could act as exit signal for the beforementioned sell trade.
More information on the Jeddingen Divergence is available here: www.forexpython.com
Power Law Correlation Indicator 2.0 The Power Law Correlation Indicator is an attempt to chart when a stock/currency/futures contract goes parabolic forming a upward or downward curve that accelerates according to power laws.
I've read about power laws from Sornette Diedler ( www.marketcalls.in ). And I think the theory is a good one.
The idea behind this indicator is that it will rise to 1.0 as the curve resembles a parabolic up or down swing. When it is below zero, the stock will flatten out.
There are many ways to use this indicator. One way I am testing it out is in trading Strangles or Straddle option trades. When this indicator goes below zero and starts to turn around, it means that it has flattened out. This is like a squeeze indicator. (see the TTM squeeze indicator).
Since this indicator goes below zero and the squeeze plays tend to be mean-reverting; then its a great time to put on a straddle/strangle.
Another way to use it is to think of it in terms of trend strength. Think of it as a kind of ADX, that measures the trend strength. When it is rising, the trend is strong; when it is dropping, the trend is weak.
Lastly I think this indicator needs some work. I tried to put the power (x^n) function into it but my coding skill is limited. I am hoping that Lazy Bear or Ricardo Santos can do it some justice.
Also I think that if we can figure out how to do other power law graphs, perhaps we can plot them together on one indicator.
So far I really like this one for finding Strangle spots. So check it out.
Peace
SpreadEagle71
Better DEMAThe Better DEMA is a new tool designed to recreate the classical moving average DEMA, into a smoother, more reliable tool. Combining many methodologies, this script offers users a unique insight into market behavior.
How does it work?
First, to get a smoother signal, we need to calculate the Gaussian filter. A Gaussian filter is a smoothing filter that reduces noise and detail by averaging data with weights following a Gaussian (bell-shaped) curve.
Now that we have the source, we will calculate the following:
n2 = n/2 (half of the user defined length)
a = 2/(1+n)
ns
Now that we have that out of the way, it is time to get into the core.
Now we calculate 2 EMAs:
slow EMA => EMA over n
fast EMA => EMA over n2 period
Rather then now doing this:
DEMA = fast EMA * 2 - slow EMA
I found this to be better:
DEMA = slow EMA * (1-a) + fast EMA * a
As a last touch I took a little something from the HMA, and used a EMA with period of √n to smooth the entire the thing.
The Trend condition at base is the following (but feel free to FAFO with it):
Long = dema > dema yesterday and dema < src
Short = dema < dema yesterday and dema > src
Methodology
While the DEMA is an amazing tool used in many great indicators, it can be far too noisy.
This made me test out many filters, out of which the Gaussian performed best.
Then I tried out the non subtractive approach and that worked too, as it made it smoother.
Compacting on all I learned and smoothing it bit by bit, I think I can say this is worth looking into :).
Use cases:
Following Trends => classic, effective :)
Smoothing sources for other indicators => if done well enough, could be useful :)
Easy trend visualization => Added extra options for that.
Strategy development => Yes
Another good thing is it does not a high lookback period, so it should be better and less overfit.
That is all for today Gs,
Have fun and enjoy!
FX Realized Volatility *The downward signal for Euqities!?*The Russel 2000 put in a new ath today as capital is moving further out the risk curve. Risk-Assets continue to rally to the upside.
This will last until we see a lasting driver happening on a real time basis that drag pull equties down
When volatility rises, we need to see the DRIVER of the volatility have persistence behind it as opposed to one off shocks.
We are not there yet as volatility in FX and bonds continues to compress since the April lows in equities.
Equities will continue to rally until long end yields blow out or the carry trade unwinds. Long end yields blowing out is not occuring on an imminent basis but the FX side of things could be a significant risk soon.
Its all about: When will that liquidity beginn to create inflation or a problem in the currency
Monitoring the equity vol, Bond vol and FX volatiliy is crucial here
You can watch them via:
VIX,
Move,
+ i build an Trading view modell which conducts the vol of the major FX pairs.
(its 100% free)
If you just want it simple, just look at USD & EUR vol as they are the most trades foreign exchange currencies.
Watching these 2 Risks (Vol & long-end) will put you upfront most people in the market.
Once we see information in the underlying economy shifting i will adjust my views as they relate to every major asset class.
But for now we are likely moving higher in basically every risky asset.
**Feel free to ask me any questions**
True Single Line Fusion [by TitikSona]🧠 Full Description
True Single Line Fusion by TitikSona is an open-source oscillator that unifies Fast Stochastic, Slow Stochastic, and RSI into a single smooth momentum line.
It simplifies multi-oscillator analysis into one clear visual — helping traders recognize potential momentum shifts, exhaustion, and reversal zones.
⚙️ Core Logic
The indicator calculates:
Fast Stochastic (12,3,3) → short-term swing sensitivity
Slow Stochastic (100,8,8) → broad trend context
RSI (26) → overall strength and directional bias
All three are normalized (0–100) and averaged to form the Fusion Line, creating a single unified momentum curve.
A Signal Line (SMA-9) and Histogram are added to highlight short-term acceleration or deceleration.
Formula: Fusion = (FastK + SlowK + RSI) / 3
🔍 Interpretation
Fusion Line rising → momentum strengthening upward
Fusion Line falling → momentum weakening
Histogram color (green/red) shows the direction and intensity of the move
Background highlights identify potential extremes:
🟩 Green = potential oversold region
🟥 Red = potential overbought region
💡 How to Use
Works on any symbol and timeframe.
Use the Fusion Line’s direction and slope as momentum context, not as direct buy/sell signals.
Combine with price structure, support/resistance, or volume analysis to confirm potential reversals.
Example:
Fusion Line turning upward from green zone → possible bullish momentum shift
Fusion Line turning downward from red zone → possible bearish exhaustion
📘 Notes
Ideal for identifying turning points in ranging or consolidating markets.
Does not generate automated signals or predictions.
Open-source for learning, modification, and educational use.
Designed for clarity, low lag, and clean visualization.
🧩 Developed and shared by TitikSona — made to unify oscillators into one adaptive momentum tool.
RSI VWAP v1 [JopAlgo]RSI VWAP v1.1 made stronger by volume-aware!
We know there's nothing new and the original RSI already does an excellent job. We're just working on small, practical improvements – here's our take: The same basic idea, clearer display, and a single, specially developed rolling line: a VWAP of the RSI that incorporates volume (participation) into the calculation.
Do you prefer the pure classic?
You can still use Wilder or Cutler engines –
but the star here is the VW-RSI + rolling line.
This RSI also offers the possibility of illustrating a possible
POC (Point of Control - or the HAL or VAL) level.
However, the indicator does NOT plot any of these levels itself.
We have included an illustration in the chart for this!
We hope this version makes your decision-making easier.
What you’ll see
The RSI line with a 50 midline and optional bands: either static 70/30 or adaptive μ±k·σ of the Rolling Line.
One smoothing concept only: the Rolling Line (light blue) = VWAP of RSI.
Shadow shading between RSI and the Rolling Line (green when RSI > line, red when RSI < line).
A lighter tint only on the parts of that shadow that sit above the upper band or below the lower band (quick overbought/oversold context).
Simple divergence lines drawn from RSI pivots (green for regular bullish, red for regular bearish). No labels, no buy/sell text—kept deliberately clean.
What’s new, and why it helps
VW-RSI engine (default):
RSI can be computed from volume-weighted up/down moves, so momentum reflects how much traded when price moved—not just the direction.
Rolling Line (VWAP of RSI) with pure VWAP adaptation:
Low volume: blends toward a faster VWAP so early, thin starts aren’t missed.
Volume spikes: blends toward a slower VWAP so a single heavy bar doesn’t whip the curve.
You can reveal the Base Rolling (pre-adaptation) line to see exactly how much adaptation is happening.
Adaptive bands (optional):
Instead of fixed 70/30, use mean ± k·stdev of the Rolling Line over a lookback. Levels breathe with the market—useful in strong trends where static bounds stay pinned.
Minimal, readable panel:
One smoothing, one story. The shadow tells you who’s in control; the lighter highlight shows stretch beyond your lines.
How to read it (fast)
Bias: RSI above 50 (and a rising Rolling Line) → bullish bias; below 50 → bearish bias.
Trigger: RSI crossing the Rolling Line with the bias (e.g., above 50 and crossing up).
Stretch: Near/above the upper band, avoid chasing; near/below the lower band, avoid panic—prefer a cross back through the line.
Divergence lines: Use as context, not as standalone signals. They often help you wait for the next cross or avoid late entries into exhaustion.
Settings that actually matter
RSI Engine: VW-RSI (default), Wilder, or Cutler.
Rolling Line Length: the VWAP length on RSI (higher = calmer, lower = earlier).
Adaptive behavior (pure VWAP):
Speed-up on Low Volume → blends toward fast VWAP (factor of your length).
Dampen Spikes (volume z-score) → blends toward slow VWAP.
Fast/Slow Factors → how far those fast/slow variants sit from the base length.
Bands: choose Static 70/30 or Adaptive μ±k·σ (set the lookback and k).
Visuals: show/hide Base Rolling (ref), main shadow, and highlight beyond bands.
Signal gating: optional “ignore first bars” per day/session if you dislike open noise.
Starter presets
Scalp (1–5m): RSI 9–12, Rolling 12–18, FastFactor ~0.5, SlowFactor ~2.0, Adaptive on.
Intraday (15m–1H): RSI 10–14, Rolling 18–26, Bands k = 1.0–1.4.
Swing (4H–1D): RSI 14–20, Rolling 26–40, Bands k = 1.2–1.8, Adaptive on.
Where it shines (and limits)
Best: liquid markets where volume structure matters (majors, indices, large caps).
Works elsewhere: even with imperfect volume, the shadow + bands remain useful.
Limits: very thin/illiquid assets reduce the benefit of volume-weighting—lengthen settings if needed.
Attribution & License
Based on the concept and baseline implementation of the “Relative Strength Index” by TradingView (Pine v6 built-in).
Released as Open-source (MPL-2.0). Please keep the license header and attribution intact.
Disclaimer
For educational purposes only; not financial advice. Markets carry risk. Test first, use clear levels, and manage risk. This project is independent and not affiliated with or endorsed by TradingView.
TTM Squeeze Screener [Pineify]TTM Squeeze Screener for Multiple Crypto Assets and Timeframes
This advanced TradingView Pine script, TTM Squeeze Screener, helps traders scan multiple crypto symbols and timeframes simultaneously, unlocking new dimensions in momentum and volatility analysis.
Key Features
Screen up to 8 crypto symbols across 4 different timeframes in one pane
TTM Squeeze indicator detects volatility contraction and expansion (“squeeze”) phases
Momentum filter reveals potential breakout direction and strength
Visual screener table for intuitive multi-asset monitoring
Fully customizable for symbols and timeframes
How It Works
The heart of this screener is the TTM Squeeze algorithm—a hybrid volatility and momentum indicator leveraging Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and linear momentum analysis. The script checks whether Bollinger Bands are “squeezed” inside Keltner Channels, flagging periods of low volatility primed for expansion. Once a squeeze is released, the included momentum calculation suggests the likely breakout direction.
For each selected symbol and timeframe, the screener runs the TTM Squeeze logic, outputs “SQUEEZE” or “NO SQZ”, and tags momentum values. A table layout organizes the results, allowing rapid pattern recognition across symbols.
Trading Ideas and Insights
Spot multi-symbol volatility clusters—ideal for finding synchronized market moves
Assess breakout potential and direction before entering trades
Scalping and swing trading decisions are enhanced by cross-timeframe momentum filtering
Portfolio managers can quickly identify which assets are about to move
How Multiple Indicators Work Together
This screener unites three essential concepts:
Bollinger Bands : Measure volatility using standard deviation of price
Keltner Channels : Define expected price range based on average true range (ATR)
Momentum : Linear regression calculation to evaluate the direction and intensity after a squeeze
By combining these, the indicator not only signals when volatility compresses and releases, but also adds directional context—filtering false signals and helping traders time entries and exits more precisely.
Unique Aspects
Multi-symbol, multi-timeframe architecture—optimized for crypto traders and market scanners
Advanced table visualization—see all signals at a glance, minimizing cognitive overload
Modular calculation functions—easy to adapt and extend for other asset classes or strategies
Real-time, low-latency screening—built for actionable alerts on fast-moving markets
How to Use
Add the script to a TradingView chart (works on custom layouts)
Select up to 8 symbols and 4 timeframes using input fields (defaults to BTCUSD, ETHUSD, etc.)
Monitor the screener table; “SQUEEZE” highlights assets in potential breakout phase
Use momentum values to judge if the squeeze is likely bullish or bearish
Combine screener insights with manual chart analysis for optimal results
Customization
Symbols: Easily set any ticker for deep market scanning
Timeframes: Adjust to match your trading horizon (scalping, swing, long-term)
Indicator parameters: Refine Bollinger/Keltner/Momentum settings for sensitivity
Visuals: Personalize table layout, color codes, and formatting for clarity
Conclusion
In summary, the TTM Squeeze Screener is a robust, original TradingView indicator designed for crypto traders who demand a sophisticated multi-symbol, multi-timeframe edge. Its combination of volatility and momentum analytics makes it ideal for catching explosive breakouts, managing risk, and scanning the market efficiently. Whether you’re a scalper or swing trader, this screener provides the insights needed to stay ahead of the curve.
MACD Forecast [Titans_Invest]MACD Forecast — The Future of MACD in Trading
The MACD has always been one of the most powerful tools in technical analysis.
But what if you could see where it’s going, instead of just reacting to what has already happened?
Introducing MACD Forecast — the natural evolution of the MACD Full , now taken to the next level. It’s the world’s first MACD designed not only to analyze the present but also to predict the future behavior of momentum.
By combining the classic MACD structure with projections powered by Linear Regression, this indicator gives traders an anticipatory, predictive view, redefining what’s possible in technical analysis.
Forget lagging indicators.
This is the smartest, most advanced, and most accurate MACD ever created.
🍟 WHY MACD FORECAST IS REVOLUTIONARY
Unlike the traditional MACD, which only reflects current and past price dynamics, the MACD Forecast uses regression-based projection models to anticipate where the MACD line, signal line, and histogram are heading.
This means traders can:
• See MACD crossovers before they happen.
• Spot trend reversals earlier than most.
• Gain an unprecedented timing advantage in both discretionary and automated trading.
In other words: this indicator lets you trade ahead of time.
🔮 FORECAST ENGINE — POWERED BY LINEAR REGRESSION
At its core, the MACD Forecast integrates Linear Regression (ta.linreg) to project the MACD’s future behavior with exceptional accuracy.
Projection Modes:
• Flat Projection: Assumes trend continuity at the current level.
• LinReg Projection: Applies linear regression across N periods to mathematically forecast momentum shifts.
This dual system offers both a conservative and adaptive view of market direction.
📐 ACCURACY WITH FULL CUSTOMIZATION
Just like the MACD Full, this new version comes with 20 customizable buy-entry conditions and 20 sell-entry conditions — now enhanced with forecast-based rules that anticipate crossovers and trend reversals.
You’re not just reacting — you’re strategizing ahead of time.
⯁ HOW TO USE MACD FORECAST❓
The MACD Forecast is built on the same foundation as the classic MACD, but with predictive capabilities.
Step 1 — Spot Predicted Crossovers:
Watch for forecasted bullish or bearish crossovers. These signals anticipate when the MACD line will cross the signal line in the future, letting you prepare trades before the move.
Step 2 — Confirm with Histogram Projection:
Use the projected histogram to validate momentum direction. A rising histogram signals strengthening bullish momentum, while a falling projection points to weakening or bearish conditions.
Step 3 — Combine with Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Use forecasts across multiple timeframes to confirm signal strength (e.g., a 1h forecast aligned with a 4h forecast).
Step 4 — Set Entry Conditions & Automation:
Customize your buy/sell rules with the 20 forecast-based conditions and enable automation for bots or alerts.
Step 5 — Trade Ahead of the Market:
By preparing for future momentum shifts instead of reacting to the past, you’ll always stay one step ahead of lagging traders.
🤖 BUILT FOR AUTOMATION AND BOTS 🤖
Whether for manual trading, quantitative strategies, or advanced algorithms, the MACD Forecast was designed to integrate seamlessly with automated systems.
With predictive logic at its core, your strategies can finally react to what’s coming, not just what already happened.
🥇 WHY THIS INDICATOR IS UNIQUE 🥇
• World’s first MACD with Linear Regression Forecasting
• Predictive Crossovers (before they appear on the chart)
• Maximum flexibility with Long & Short combinations — 20+ fully configurable conditions for tailor-made strategies
• Fully automatable for quantitative systems and advanced bots
This isn’t just an update.
It’s the final evolution of the MACD.
______________________________________________________
🔹 CONDITIONS TO BUY 📈
______________________________________________________
• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
🔹 MACD > Signal Smoothing
🔹 MACD < Signal Smoothing
🔹 Histogram > 0
🔹 Histogram < 0
🔹 Histogram Positive
🔹 Histogram Negative
🔹 MACD > 0
🔹 MACD < 0
🔹 Signal > 0
🔹 Signal < 0
🔹 MACD > Histogram
🔹 MACD < Histogram
🔹 Signal > Histogram
🔹 Signal < Histogram
🔹 MACD (Crossover) Signal
🔹 MACD (Crossunder) Signal
🔹 MACD (Crossover) 0
🔹 MACD (Crossunder) 0
🔹 Signal (Crossover) 0
🔹 Signal (Crossunder) 0
🔮 MACD (Crossover) Signal Forecast
🔮 MACD (Crossunder) Signal Forecast
______________________________________________________
______________________________________________________
🔸 CONDITIONS TO SELL 📉
______________________________________________________
• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND or OR .
🔸 MACD > Signal Smoothing
🔸 MACD < Signal Smoothing
🔸 Histogram > 0
🔸 Histogram < 0
🔸 Histogram Positive
🔸 Histogram Negative
🔸 MACD > 0
🔸 MACD < 0
🔸 Signal > 0
🔸 Signal < 0
🔸 MACD > Histogram
🔸 MACD < Histogram
🔸 Signal > Histogram
🔸 Signal < Histogram
🔸 MACD (Crossover) Signal
🔸 MACD (Crossunder) Signal
🔸 MACD (Crossover) 0
🔸 MACD (Crossunder) 0
🔸 Signal (Crossover) 0
🔸 Signal (Crossunder) 0
🔮 MACD (Crossover) Signal Forecast
🔮 MACD (Crossunder) Signal Forecast
______________________________________________________
______________________________________________________
🔮 Linear Regression Function 🔮
______________________________________________________
• Our indicator includes MACD forecasts powered by linear regression.
Forecast Types:
• Flat: Assumes prices will stay the same.
• Linreg: Makes a 'Linear Regression' forecast for n periods.
Technical Information:
• Function: ta.linreg()
Parameters:
• source: Source price series.
• length: Number of bars (period).
• offset : Offset.
• return: Linear regression curve.
______________________________________________________
______________________________________________________
⯁ UNIQUE FEATURES
______________________________________________________
Linear Regression: (Forecast)
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Table of Conditions: BUY/SELL
Conditions Label: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the graph above: BUY/SELL
Automate & Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
Linear Regression (Forecast)
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Table of Conditions: BUY/SELL
Conditions Label: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the graph above: BUY/SELL
Automate & Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
______________________________________________________
📜 SCRIPT : MACD Forecast
🎴 Art by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
👨💻 Dev by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
🎑 Titans Invest — The Wizards Without Gloves 🧤
✨ Enjoy!
______________________________________________________
o Mission 🗺
• Inspire Traders to manifest Magic in the Market.
o Vision 𐓏
• To elevate collective Energy 𐓷𐓏
🎗️ In memory of João Guilherme — your light will live on forever.
CMC Macro Regime PanelOverview (what it is):
A macro‑regime gate built entirely from TradingView-native symbols (CRYPTOCAP, FRED, DXY/VIX, HYG/LQD). It aggregates central‑bank liquidity (Fed balance sheet − RRP − Treasury General Account), USD strength, credit conditions, stablecoin flows/dominance, tech beta and BTC–NDX co‑move into one normalized score (CLRC). The panel outputs Risk‑ON/OFF regimes, an Early 3/5 pre‑signal, and an automatic BTC vs ETH vs ALTs preference. It is intentionally scoped to Daily & Weekly reads (no intraday timing). Publish with a clean chart and a clear description as per TradingView rules.
TradingView
Why we also use other TradingView screens (and why that is compliant)
This script pulls data via request.security() from official TV symbols only; users often want to open the raw series on separate charts to sanity‑check:
CRYPTOCAP indices: TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3 (market cap aggregates) and dominance tickers like BTC.D, USDT.D. Helpful for regime & rotation (ALTs vs BTC). TradingView provides definitions for crypto market cap and dominance symbols.
TradingView
+3
TradingView
+3
TradingView
+3
FRED releases: WALCL (Fed assets, weekly), RRPONTSYD (ON RRP, daily), WTREGEN (TGA, weekly), M2SL (M2, monthly). These are the official macro sources exposed on TV.
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
Risk proxies: TVC:DXY (USD index), TVC:VIX (implied vol), AMEX:HYG/AMEX:LQD (credit), NASDAQ:NDX (tech beta), BINANCE:ETHBTC. VIX/NDX relationship is well-documented; VIX measures 30‑day expected S&P500 vol.
TradingView
+2
TradingView
+2
Compliance note: Using multiple screens is optional for users, but it explains/justifies how components work together (a requirement for public scripts). Keep publication chart clean; use extra screens only to illustrate in the description.
TradingView
How it works (high level)
Liquidity block (Weekly/Monthly)
Net Liquidity = WALCL − RRPONTSYD − WTREGEN (YoY z‑score). WALCL is weekly (as of Wednesday) via H.4.1; RRP is daily; TGA is a Fed liability series. M2 YoY is monthly.
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
Risk conditions (Daily)
DXY 3‑month momentum (inverted), VIX level (inverted), Credit (HYG/LQD ratio or HY OAS). VIX is a 30‑day constant‑maturity implied vol index per Cboe methodology.
Cboe
+1
Crypto‑internal (Daily)
Stablecoins (USDT+USDC+DAI 30‑day log change), USDT dominance (20‑day, inverted), TOTAL3 (63‑day momentum). Dominance symbols on TV follow a documented formula.
TradingView
Beta & co‑move (Daily)
NDX 63‑day momentum, BTC↔NDX 90‑day correlation.
All components become z‑scores (optionally clipped), weighted, missing inputs drop and weights renormalize. We never use lookahead; we confirm on bar close to avoid repainting per Pine docs (barstate.isconfirmed, multi‑TF).
TradingView
+2
TradingView
+2
What you see on the chart
White line (CLRC) = macro regime score.
Background: Green = Risk‑ON, Red = Risk‑OFF, Teal = Early 3/5 (pre‑signal).
Table: shows each component’s z‑score and the Preference: BTC / ETH / ALTs / Mixed.
Signals & interpretation
Designed for Daily (1D) and Weekly (1W) only.
Regime gates (default Fast preset):
Enter ON: CLRC ≥ +0.8; Hold ON while ≥ +0.5.
Enter OFF: CLRC ≤ −1.0; Hold OFF while ≤ −0.5.
0 / ±1 reading: CLRC is a standardized composite.
~0 = neutral baseline (no macro edge).
≥ +1 = strong macro tailwind (≈ +1σ).
≤ −1 = strong headwind (≈ −1σ).
Early 3/5 (teal): a fast pre‑signal when at least 3 of 5 daily checks align: USDT.D↓, DXY↓, VIX↓, HYG/LQD↑, ETHBTC↑ or TOTAL3↑. It often precedes a full ON flip—use for pre‑positioning rather than full sizing.
BTC/ETH/ALTs selector (only when ON):
ALTs when BTC.D↓ and (ETHBTC↑ or TOTAL3↑) ⇒ rotate down the risk curve.
BTC when BTC.D↑ and ETHBTC↓ ⇒ keep it concentrated.
ETH when ETHBTC↑ while BTC.D flat/up ⇒ add ETH beta.
(Dominance mechanics are documented by TV.)
TradingView
Dissonance (incompatibility) rules — when to stand down
Use these overrides to avoid false comfort:
CLRC > +1 but USDT.D↑ and/or VIX spikes day‑over‑day → downgrade to Neutral; wait for USDT.D to stabilize and VIX to cool (VIX is a fear gauge of 30‑day expectation).
Cboe Global Markets
CLRC > +1 but DXY↑ sharply (USD squeeze) → size below normal; require DXY momentum to roll over.
CLRC < −1 but Early 3/5 = true two days in a row → start reducing underweights; look for ON flip within a few bars.
NetLiq improving (W) but credit (HYG/LQD) deteriorating (D) → treat as mixed regime; prefer BTC over ALTs.
How to use (step‑by‑step)
A. Read on Daily (1D) — main regime
Open CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3, 1D (panel applied).
Wait for bar close (use alerts on confirmed bar). Pine docs recommend barstate.isconfirmed to avoid repainting on realtime bars.
TradingView
If ON, check Preference (BTC / ETH / ALTs).
Then drop to 4H on your trading pair for micro entries (this indicator itself is not for intraday timing).
B. Confirm weekly macro (1W) — once per week)
Review WALCL/RRP/TGA after the H.4.1 release on Thursdays ~4:30 pm ET. WALCL is “Weekly, as of Wednesday”; M2 is Monthly—so do not expect daily responsiveness from these.
Federal Reserve
+2
FRED
+2
Recommended check times (practical schedule)
Daily regime read: right after your chart’s daily close (confirmed bar). For consistent timing across crypto, many users set chart timezone to UTC and read ~00:05 UTC; you can change chart timezone in TV’s settings.
TradingView
In‑day monitoring: optional spot checks 16:00 & 20:00 UTC (DXY/VIX move during US hours), but act only after the daily bar confirms.
Weekly macro pass: Thu 21:30–22:30 UTC (after H.4.1 4:30 pm ET) or Fri after daily close, to let weekly FRED series propagate.
Federal Reserve
Limitations & data latency (be explicit)
Higher‑TF data & confirmation: FRED weekly/monthly series will not reflect intraday risk in crypto; we aggregate them for regime, not for entry timing.
Repainting 101: Realtime bars move until close. This script does not use lookahead and follows Pine guidance on multi‑TF series; still, always act on confirmed bars.
TradingView
+1
Public‑library compliance: Title EN‑only; description starts in EN; clean chart; justify component mash‑up; no lookahead; no unrealistic claims.
TradingView
Alerts you can use
“Macro Risk‑ON (entry)” — fires on ON flip (confirmed bar).
“Macro Risk‑OFF (entry)” — fires on OFF flip.
“Early 3/5” — fires when the teal pre‑signal appears (not a regime flip).
“Preference change” — BTC/ETH/ALTs toggles while ON.
Publish note: Alerts are fine; just avoid implying guaranteed accuracy/performance.
TradingView
Background research (why these inputs matter)
Liquidity → Crypto: Fed H.4.1 timing and series definitions (WALCL, RRP, TGA) formalize the “net liquidity” concept used here.
FRED
+3
Federal Reserve
+3
FRED
+3
Stablecoins ↔ Non‑stable crypto: empirical work shows bi‑directional causality between stablecoin market cap and non‑stable crypto cap; stablecoin growth co‑moves with broader crypto activity.
Global liquidity link: world liquidity positively relates to total crypto market cap; lagged effects are observed at monthly horizons.
VIX/Uncertainty effect: fear shocks impair BTC’s “safe haven” behavior; VIX is a meaningful risk‑off read.
RSI MA Cross + Divergence Signal (V2) Core Logic
RSI + Moving Average
The script calculates a standard RSI (default 14).
It then overlays a moving average (SMA/EMA/WMA, default 9).
When RSI crosses above its MA → bullish momentum.
When RSI crosses below its MA → bearish momentum.
Divergence Filter
Signals are only valid if there’s confirmed divergence:
Bullish divergence: Price makes a lower low, RSI makes a higher low.
Bearish divergence: Price makes a higher high, RSI makes a lower high.
Overbought / Oversold Filter
Optional extra:
Bullish signals only valid if RSI ≤ 30 (oversold).
Bearish signals only valid if RSI ≥ 70 (overbought).
This ensures signals happen in “stretched” conditions.
Risk & Trade Management
Entries taken only when all conditions align.
Exits can be managed with ATR stops, partial take-profits, breakeven moves, and trailing stops (we coded these in the strategy version).
Cooldown, session filters, and daily loss guard to keep risk tight.
🔹 Strengths
✅ High selectivity: Combining RSI cross + divergence + OB/OS means signals are rare but higher quality.
✅ Great at catching reversals: Divergence highlights where price may be running out of steam.
✅ Risk management baked in: ATR stops + partial exits smooth out equity curve.
✅ Works across markets: ES, FX, crypto — anywhere RSI divergences are respected.
✅ Flexible: You can loosen/tighten filters depending on aggressiveness.
🔹 Weaknesses
❌ Lag from pivots: Divergence only confirms after a few bars → you enter late sometimes.
❌ Choppy in ranges: In sideways markets, RSI divergences appear often and whipsaw.
❌ Filters reduce signals: With all filters ON (divergence + OB/OS + trend + session), signals can be very rare — may under-trade.
❌ Not standalone: Needs higher-timeframe context (trend, liquidity pools) to avoid counter-trend entries.
🔹 Best Ways to Trade It
Use Higher Timeframe Bias
Run the strategy on 15m/1H, but only trade in direction of higher timeframe trend (e.g., 4H EMA).
Example: If daily is bullish → only take bullish divergences.
Pair With Structure
Look for signals at key zones: HTF support/resistance, VWAP, or FVGs.
Divergence + RSI cross inside an FVG is a strong entry trigger.
Adjust OB/OS for Volatility
For crypto/FX: use 35/65 instead of 30/70 (markets trend harder).
For ES/S&P: 30/70 works fine.
Risk Management Is King
Use partial exits: take profit at 1R, trail rest.
Size by % of equity (we coded this into the strategy).
Avoid News Spikes
Divergences break down around CPI, NFP, Fed announcements — stay flat.
🔹 When It Shines
Trending markets that make extended pushes → clean divergences.
Reversal zones (oversold → bullish bounce, overbought → bearish fade).
Swing trading (15m–4H) — less noise than 1m/5m scalping.
🔹 When to Avoid
Low volatility chop → lots of false divergences.
During high-impact news → RSI swings wildly.
In strong one-way trends without pullbacks — divergence keeps calling tops/bottoms too early.
✅ Summary:
This is a reversal-focused RSI divergence strategy with strict filters. It’s powerful when combined with higher-timeframe bias + structure confluence, but weak if traded blindly in choppy or news-driven conditions. Best to treat it as a precision entry trigger, not a full system — layer it on top of your FVG/ORB framework for maximum edge.
EMA vs TMA Regime FilterEMA vs TMA Regime Filter
This indicator is built as a visual study tool to compare the behavior of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Triangular Moving Average (TMA).
The EMA applies an exponential weighting to price data, giving stronger importance to the most recent values. This makes it a faster, more responsive line that reflects short-term momentum. The TMA, by contrast, applies a double-smoothing process (or in the “True TMA” option, a split SMA sequence), which produces a much slower curve. The TMA emphasizes balance over reactivity, often used for filtering noise and observing longer-term structure.
When both are plotted on the same chart, their differences become clear. The shaded region between them highlights times when short-term price dynamics diverge from longer-term smoothing. This is where the idea of “regime” comes in — not as a trading signal, but as a descriptive way of seeing whether market action is currently dominated by speed or by stability.
Users can customize:
Line styles, widths, and colors.
Cloud transparency for visual clarity.
Whether to color bars based on relative position (optional, purely visual).
The goal is not to create a system, but to help traders experiment, observe, and learn how different smoothing techniques can emphasize different aspects of price. By switching between the legacy and true TMA, or adjusting lengths, users can study how each approach interprets the same data differently.
Adaptive Valuation [BackQuant]Adaptive Valuation
What this is
A composite, zero-centered oscillator that standardizes several classic indicators and blends them into one “valuation” line. It computes RSI, CCI, Demarker, and the Price Zone Oscillator, converts each to a rolling z-score, then forms a weighted average. Optional smoothing, dynamic overbought and oversold bands, and an on-chart table make the inputs and the final score easy to inspect.
How it works
Components
• RSI with its own lookback.
• CCI with its own lookback.
• DM (Demarker) with its own lookback.
• PZO (Price Zone Oscillator) with its own lookback.
Standardization via z-score
Each component is transformed using a rolling z-score over lookback bars:
z = (value − mean) ÷ stdev , where the mean is an EMA and the stdev is rolling.
This puts all inputs on a comparable scale measured in standard deviations.
Weighted blend
The z-scores are combined with user weights w_rsi, w_cci, w_dm, w_pzo to produce a single valuation series. If desired, it is then smoothed with a selected moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, RMA, DEMA, TEMA, LINREG, ALMA, T3). ALMA’s sigma input shapes its curve.
Dynamic thresholds (optional)
Two ways to set overbought and oversold:
• Static : fixed levels at ob_thres and os_thres .
• Dynamic : ±k·σ bands, where σ is the rolling standard deviation of the valuation over dynLen .
Bands can be centered at zero or around the valuation’s rolling mean ( centerZero ).
Visualization and UI
• Zero line at 0 with gradient fill that darkens as the valuation moves away from 0.
• Optional plotting of band lines and background highlights when OB or OS is active.
• Optional candle and background coloring driven by the valuation.
• Summary table showing each component’s current z-score, the final score, and a compact status.
How it can be used
• Bias filter : treat crosses above 0 as bullish bias and below 0 as bearish bias.
• Mean-reversion context : look for exhaustion when the valuation enters the OB or OS region, then watch for exits from those regions or a return toward 0.
• Signal confirmation : use the final score to confirm setups from structure or price action.
• Adaptive banding : with dynamic thresholds, OB and OS adjust to prevailing variability rather than relying on fixed lines.
• Component tuning : change weights to emphasize trend (raise DM, reduce RSI/CCI) or range behavior (raise RSI/CCI, reduce DM). PZO can help in swing environments.
Why z-score blending helps
Indicators often live on different scales. Z-scoring places them on a common, unitless axis, so a one-sigma move in RSI has comparable influence to a one-sigma move in CCI. This reduces scale bias and allows transparent weighting. It also facilitates regime-aware thresholds because the dynamic bands scale with recent dispersion.
Inputs to know
• Component lookbacks : rsilb, ccilb, dmlb, pzolb control each raw signal.
• Standardization window : lookback sets the z-score memory. Longer smooths, shorter reacts.
• Weights : w_rsi, w_cci, w_dm, w_pzo determine each component’s influence.
• Smoothing : maType, smoothP, sig govern optional post-blend smoothing.
• Dynamic bands : dyn_thres, dynLen, thres_k, centerZero configure the adaptive OB/OS logic.
• UI : toggle the plot, table, candle coloring, and threshold lines.
Reading the plot
• Above 0 : composite pressure is positive.
• Below 0 : composite pressure is negative.
• OB region : valuation above the chosen OB line. Risk of mean reversion rises and momentum continuation needs evidence.
• OS region : mirror logic on the downside.
• Band exits : leaving OB or OS can serve as a normalization cue.
Strengths
• Normalizes heterogeneous signals into one interpretable series.
• Adjustable component weights to match instrument behavior.
• Dynamic thresholds adapt to changing volatility and drift.
• Transparent diagnostics from the on-chart table.
• Flexible smoothing choices, including ALMA and T3.
Limitations and cautions
• Z-scores assume a reasonably stationary window. Sharp regime shifts can make recent bands unrepresentative.
• Highly correlated components can overweight the same effect. Consider adjusting weights to avoid double counting.
• More smoothing adds lag. Less smoothing adds noise.
• Dynamic bands recalibrate with dynLen ; if set too short, bands may swing excessively. If too long, bands can be slow to adapt.
Practical tuning tips
• Trending symbols: increase w_dm , use a modest smoother like EMA or T3, and use centerZero dynamic bands.
• Choppy symbols: increase w_rsi and w_cci , consider ALMA with a higher sigma , and widen bands with a larger thres_k .
• Multiday swing charts: lengthen lookback and dynLen to stabilize the scale.
• Lower timeframes: shorten component lookbacks slightly and reduce smoothing to keep signals timely.
Alerts
• Enter and exit of Overbought and Oversold, based on the active band choice.
• Bullish and bearish zero crosses.
Use alerts as prompts to review context rather than as stand-alone trade commands.
Final Remarks
We created this to show people a different way of making indicators & trading.
You can process normal indicators in multiple ways to enhance or change the signal, especially with this you can utilise machine learning to optimise the weights, then trade accordingly.
All of the different components were selected to give some sort of signal, its made out of simple components yet is effective. As long as the user calibrates it to their Trading/ investing style you can find good results. Do not use anything standalone, ensure you are backtesting and creating a proper system.
BPS Multi-MA 5 — 22/30, SMA/WMA/EMA# Multi-MA 5 — 22/30 base, SMA/WMA/EMA
**What it is**
A lightweight 5-line moving-average ribbon for fast visual bias and trend/mean-reversion reads. You can switch the MA type (SMA/WMA/EMA) and choose between two ways of setting lengths: by monthly “session-based” base (22 or 30) with multipliers, or by entering exact lengths manually. An optional info table shows the effective settings in real time.
---
## How it works
* Calculates five moving averages from the selected price source.
* Lengths are either:
* **Multipliers mode:** `Base × Multiplier` (e.g., base 22 → 22/44/66/88/110), or
* **Manual mode:** any five exact lengths (e.g., 10/22/50/100/200).
* Plots five lines with fixed legend titles (MA1…MA5); the **info table** displays the actual type and lengths.
---
## Inputs
**Length Mode**
* **Multipliers** — choose a **Base** of **22** (≈ trading sessions per month) or **30** (calendar-style, smoother) and set **×1…×5** multipliers.
* **Manual** — enter **Len1…Len5** directly.
**MA Settings**
* **MA Type:** SMA / WMA / EMA
* **Source:** any series (e.g., `close`, `hlc3`, etc.)
* **Use true close (ignore Heikin Ashi):** when enabled, the MA is computed from the underlying instrument’s real `close`, not HA candles.
* **Show info table:** toggles the on-chart table with the current mode, type, base, and lengths.
---
## Quick start
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Pick **MA Type** (e.g., **WMA** for faster response, **SMA** for smoother).
3. Choose **Length Mode**:
* **Multipliers:** set **Base = 22** for session-based monthly lengths (stocks/FX), or **30** for heavier smoothing.
* **Manual:** enter your exact lengths (e.g., 10/22/50/100/200).
4. (Optional) On **Heikin Ashi** charts, enable **Use true close** if you want the lines based on the instrument’s real close.
---
## Tips & notes
* **1 month ≈ 21–22 sessions.** Using 30 as “monthly” yields a smoother, more delayed curve.
* **WMA** reacts faster than **SMA** at the same length; expect earlier signals but more whipsaws in chop.
* **Len = 1** makes the MA track the chosen source (e.g., `close`) almost exactly.
* If changing lengths doesn’t move the lines, ensure you’re editing fields for the **active Length Mode** (Multipliers vs Manual).
* For clean comparisons, use the **same timeframe**. If you later wrap this in MTF logic, keep `lookahead_off` and handle gaps appropriately.
---
## Use cases
* Trend ribbon and dynamic bias zones
* Pullback entries to the mid/slow lines
* Crossovers (fast vs slow) for confirmation
* Volatility filtering by spreading lengths (e.g., 22/44/88/132/176)
---
**Credits:** Built for clarity and speed; designed around session-based “monthly” lengths (22) or smoother calendar-style (30).
Machine Learning BBPct [BackQuant]Machine Learning BBPct
What this is (in one line)
A Bollinger Band %B oscillator enhanced with a simplified K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) pattern matcher. The model compares today’s context (volatility, momentum, volume, and position inside the bands) to similar situations in recent history and blends that historical consensus back into the raw %B to reduce noise and improve context awareness. It is informational and diagnostic—designed to describe market state, not to sell a trading system.
Background: %B in plain terms
Bollinger %B measures where price sits inside its dynamic envelope: 0 at the lower band, 1 at the upper band, ~ 0.5 near the basis (the moving average). Readings toward 1 indicate pressure near the envelope’s upper edge (often strength or stretch), while readings toward 0 indicate pressure near the lower edge (often weakness or stretch). Because bands adapt to volatility, %B is naturally comparable across regimes.
Why add (simplified) KNN?
Classic %B is reactive and can be whippy in fast regimes. The simplified KNN layer builds a “nearest-neighbor memory” of recent market states and asks: “When the market looked like this before, where did %B tend to be next bar?” It then blends that estimate with the current %B. Key ideas:
• Feature vector . Each bar is summarized by up to five normalized features:
– %B itself (normalized)
– Band width (volatility proxy)
– Price momentum (ROC)
– Volume momentum (ROC of volume)
– Price position within the bands
• Distance metric . Euclidean distance ranks the most similar recent bars.
• Prediction . Average the neighbors’ prior %B (lagged to avoid lookahead), inverse-weighted by distance.
• Blend . Linearly combine raw %B and KNN-predicted %B with a configurable weight; optional filtering then adapts to confidence.
This remains “simplified” KNN: no training/validation split, no KD-trees, no scaling beyond windowed min-max, and no probabilistic calibration.
How the script is organized (by input groups)
1) BBPct Settings
• Price Source – Which price to evaluate (%B is computed from this).
• Calculation Period – Lookback for SMA basis and standard deviation.
• Multiplier – Standard deviation width (e.g., 2.0).
• Apply Smoothing / Type / Length – Optional smoothing of the %B stream before ML (EMA, RMA, DEMA, TEMA, LINREG, HMA, etc.). Turning this off gives you the raw %B.
2) Thresholds
• Overbought/Oversold – Default 0.8 / 0.2 (inside ).
• Extreme OB/OS – Stricter zones (e.g., 0.95 / 0.05) to flag stretch conditions.
3) KNN Machine Learning
• Enable KNN – Switch between pure %B and hybrid.
• K (neighbors) – How many historical analogs to blend (default 8).
• Historical Period – Size of the search window for neighbors.
• ML Weight – Blend between raw %B and KNN estimate.
• Number of Features – Use 2–5 features; higher counts add context but raise the risk of overfitting in short windows.
4) Filtering
• Method – None, Adaptive, Kalman-style (first-order),
or Hull smoothing.
• Strength – How aggressively to smooth. “Adaptive” uses model confidence to modulate its alpha: higher confidence → stronger reliance on the ML estimate.
5) Performance Tracking
• Win-rate Period – Simple running score of past signal outcomes based on target/stop/time-out logic (informational, not a robust backtest).
• Early Entry Lookback – Horizon for forecasting a potential threshold cross.
• Profit Target / Stop Loss – Used only by the internal win-rate heuristic.
6) Self-Optimization
• Enable Self-Optimization – Lightweight, rolling comparison of a few canned settings (K = 8/14/21 via simple rules on %B extremes).
• Optimization Window & Stability Threshold – Governs how quickly preferred K changes and how sensitive the overfitting alarm is.
• Adaptive Thresholds – Adjust the OB/OS lines with volatility regime (ATR ratio), widening in calm markets and tightening in turbulent ones (bounded 0.7–0.9 and 0.1–0.3).
7) UI Settings
• Show Table / Zones / ML Prediction / Early Signals – Toggle informational overlays.
• Signal Line Width, Candle Painting, Colors – Visual preferences.
Step-by-step logic
A) Compute %B
Basis = SMA(source, len); dev = stdev(source, len) × multiplier; Upper/Lower = Basis ± dev.
%B = (price − Lower) / (Upper − Lower). Optional smoothing yields standardBB .
B) Build the feature vector
All features are min-max normalized over the KNN window so distances are in comparable units. Features include normalized %B, normalized band width, normalized price ROC, normalized volume ROC, and normalized position within bands. You can limit to the first N features (2–5).
C) Find nearest neighbors
For each bar inside the lookback window, compute the Euclidean distance between current features and that bar’s features. Sort by distance, keep the top K .
D) Predict and blend
Use inverse-distance weights (with a strong cap for near-zero distances) to average neighbors’ prior %B (lagged by one bar). This becomes the KNN estimate. Blend it with raw %B via the ML weight. A variance of neighbor %B around the prediction becomes an uncertainty proxy ; combined with a stability score (how long parameters remain unchanged), it forms mlConfidence ∈ . The Adaptive filter optionally transforms that confidence into a smoothing coefficient.
E) Adaptive thresholds
Volatility regime (ATR(14) divided by its 50-bar SMA) nudges OB/OS thresholds wider or narrower within fixed bounds. The aim: comparable extremeness across regimes.
F) Early entry heuristic
A tiny two-step slope/acceleration probe extrapolates finalBB forward a few bars. If it is on track to cross OB/OS soon (and slope/acceleration agree), it flags an EARLY_BUY/SELL candidate with an internal confidence score. This is explicitly a heuristic—use as an attention cue, not a signal by itself.
G) Informational win-rate
The script keeps a rolling array of trade outcomes derived from signal transitions + rudimentary exits (target/stop/time). The percentage shown is a rough diagnostic , not a validated backtest.
Outputs and visual language
• ML Bollinger %B (finalBB) – The main line after KNN blending and optional filtering.
• Gradient fill – Greenish tones above 0.5, reddish below, with intensity following distance from the midline.
• Adaptive zones – Overbought/oversold and extreme bands; shaded backgrounds appear at extremes.
• ML Prediction (dots) – The KNN estimate plotted as faint circles; becomes bright white when confidence > 0.7.
• Early arrows – Optional small triangles for approaching OB/OS.
• Candle painting – Light green above the midline, light red below (optional).
• Info panel – Current value, signal classification, ML confidence, optimized K, stability, volatility regime, adaptive thresholds, overfitting flag, early-entry status, and total signals processed.
Signal classification (informational)
The indicator does not fire trade commands; it labels state:
• STRONG_BUY / STRONG_SELL – finalBB beyond extreme OS/OB thresholds.
• BUY / SELL – finalBB beyond adaptive OS/OB.
• EARLY_BUY / EARLY_SELL – forecast suggests a near-term cross with decent internal confidence.
• NEUTRAL – between adaptive bands.
Alerts (what you can automate)
• Entering adaptive OB/OS and extreme OB/OS.
• Midline cross (0.5).
• Overfitting detected (frequent parameter flipping).
• Early signals when early confidence > 0.7.
These are purely descriptive triggers around the indicator’s state.
Practical interpretation
• Mean-reversion context – In range markets, adaptive OS/OB with ML smoothing can reduce whipsaws relative to raw %B.
• Trend context – In persistent trends, the KNN blend can keep finalBB nearer the mid/upper region during healthy pullbacks if history supports similar contexts.
• Regime awareness – Watch the volatility regime and adaptive thresholds. If thresholds compress (high vol), “OB/OS” comes sooner; if thresholds widen (calm), it takes more stretch to flag.
• Confidence as a weight – High mlConfidence implies neighbors agree; you may rely more on the ML curve. Low confidence argues for de-emphasizing ML and leaning on raw %B or other tools.
• Stability score – Rising stability indicates consistent parameter selection and fewer flips; dropping stability hints at a shifting backdrop.
Methodological notes
• Normalization uses rolling min-max over the KNN window. This is simple and scale-agnostic but sensitive to outliers; the distance metric will reflect that.
• Distance is unweighted Euclidean. If you raise featureCount, you increase dimensionality; consider keeping K larger and lookback ample to avoid sparse-neighbor artifacts.
• Lag handling intentionally uses neighbors’ previous %B for prediction to avoid lookahead bias.
• Self-optimization is deliberately modest: it only compares a few canned K/threshold choices using simple “did an extreme anticipate movement?” scoring, then enforces a stability regime and an overfitting guard. It is not a grid search or GA.
• Kalman option is a first-order recursive filter (fixed gain), not a full state-space estimator.
• Hull option derives a dynamic length from 1/strength; it is a convenience smoothing alternative.
Limitations and cautions
• Non-stationarity – Nearest neighbors from the recent window may not represent the future under structural breaks (policy shifts, liquidity shocks).
• Curse of dimensionality – Adding features without sufficient lookback can make genuine neighbors rare.
• Overfitting risk – The script includes a crude overfitting detector (frequent parameter flips) and will fall back to defaults when triggered, but this is only a guardrail.
• Win-rate display – The internal score is illustrative; it does not constitute a tradable backtest.
• Latency vs. smoothness – Smoothing and ML blending reduce noise but add lag; tune to your timeframe and objectives.
Tuning guide
• Short-term scalping – Lower len (10–14), slightly lower multiplier (1.8–2.0), small K (5–8), featureCount 3–4, Adaptive filter ON, moderate strength.
• Swing trading – len (20–30), multiplier ~2.0, K (8–14), featureCount 4–5, Adaptive thresholds ON, filter modest.
• Strong trends – Consider higher adaptive_upper/lower bounds (or let volatility regime do it), keep ML weight moderate so raw %B still reflects surges.
• Chop – Higher ML weight and stronger Adaptive filtering; accept lag in exchange for fewer false extremes.
How to use it responsibly
Treat this as a state descriptor and context filter. Pair it with your execution signals (structure breaks, volume footprints, higher-timeframe bias) and risk management. If mlConfidence is low or stability is falling, lean less on the ML line and more on raw %B or external confirmation.
Summary
Machine Learning BBPct augments a familiar oscillator with a transparent, simplified KNN memory of recent conditions. By blending neighbors’ behavior into %B and adapting thresholds to volatility regime—while exposing confidence, stability, and a plain early-entry heuristic—it provides an informational, probability-minded view of stretch and reversion that you can interpret alongside your own process.
GrayZone Sniper [CHE] — Breakout Validation System GrayZone Sniper — Breakout Validation System
Trade only the clean breakouts. Detect the sideways “gray zone,” wait for a confirmed breach, and act only when momentum (TFRSI) and range expansion (Mean Deviation) align. Clear long/short triggers, one-shot exit signals, and persistent levels keep your manual trading disciplined and repeatable.
Why it boosts manual trading
* No guesswork: Grey box marks consolidation; you trade the validated break.
* Fewer fakeouts: Triggers require momentum + volatility—not just a wick through a level.
* Rules > bias: Optional close-only signals stop intrabar noise.
* Built-in exits: One-shot LS/SS (Long/Short Stop) when conditions degrade.
* Actionable visuals: Gray-zone boxes, persistent highs/lows, and a smooth T3 trendline.
What it does (short + precise)
1. Maps consolidation as a gray box (running high/low while state is neutral).
2. Validates breakouts only when:
* Mean Deviation filter says current range expands vs. its own baseline, and
* TFRSI momentum is above 50 + deadzone (long) or below 50 − deadzone (short), and
* Price closes beyond the last gray high/low (optional close-only).
→ You get L (long) or S (short).
3. Manages exits with a smooth T3 trendline plus MD trend: when MD weakens and T3 turns against the prior side, you get a single LS/SS stop signal.
4. Extends structure: Last gray-zone H/L can persist as right-extended levels for retests/targets.
5. Ready for alerts: Prebuilt alert conditions for L, S, LS, SS.
Signals at a glance
* L – Long Trigger (validated breakout up)
* S – Short Trigger (validated breakout down)
* LS – Long Stop (exit hint for open long)
* SS – Short Stop (exit hint for open short)
Why TFRSI + Mean Deviation is a killer combo
They measure different, complementary things—and that reduces correlated errors.
* Mean Deviation (MD) = range expansion filter. It checks whether current absolute deviation of Typical Price from its SMA (|TP − SMA(TP)|) is greater than its own historical mean deviation baseline. In plain English: *is the market actually moving beyond its usual wiggle?* If not, most breakouts are noise.
* TFRSI = directional momentum around a 50 baseline, normalized and smoothed to react fast while avoiding raw RSI twitchiness.
* Synergy:
* MD confirms there’s energy (volatility regime has expanded).
* TFRSI confirms where that energy points (bull or bear).
* Requiring both gives you high-quality, directional expansion—the exact condition that tends to produce follow-through, while filtering the classic “thin break, immediate snap-back.”
Result: Fewer trades, better quality. You skip most range breaks without momentum or momentum pops without real expansion.
Inputs & Functions (clean overview)
Core: TFRSI & MD
* TFRSI Length (`tfrsiLen`, default 6): Longer = smoother, slower.
* TFRSI Smoothing (`tfrsiSignalLen`, default 2): SMA on TFRSI for cleaner signals.
* Mean Deviation Period (`mdLen`, default 20): Baseline for expansion filter.
* Use classical MD (`useTaDev`, default off):
* Off: MD vs current SMA (warning-free internal baseline).
* On: Classical `ta.dev` implementation.
* TFRSI Deadzone ± around 50 (`tfrsiDeadzone`, default 1.0): Wider deadzone = stricter momentum confirmation (less chop).
Triggers & Logic
* Trigger only on bar close (`fireOnCloseOnly`, default on): Confirmed signals only; no intrabar flicker.
* Reset gray bounds after trigger (`resetGrayBoundsAfterTrigger`, default on): Clears last gray H/L once a trade triggers.
* Auto-deactivate on neutral (`autoDeactivateOnNeutral`, default off): Strict disarm when state flips back to neutral.
Gray-Zone Boxes
* Show boxes (`showGrayBoxes`, default on): Draws the neutral consolidation box.
* Max boxes (`maxGrayBoxes`, default 10): How many historic boxes to keep.
* Transparency (`boxFillTransp`/`boxBorderTransp`, defaults 85/30): Visual tuning.
Trendline (T3)
* T3 Length (`t3Length`, default 3): Smoothing depth (higher = smoother).
* T3 Volume Factor (`t3VolumeFactor`, default 0.7): Controls responsiveness of the T3 curve.
Persistent Levels
* Persist gray H/L (`saveGrayLevels`, default on): Extend last gray high/low to the right.
* Max saved level pairs (`maxSavedGrayLvls`, default 1): How many H/L pairs to keep.
* Reset levels on trigger (`resetLevelsOnTrig`, default off): Clean slate after new trigger.
Debug & Visuals
* Show debug markers (`showDebugMarkers`, default on): Display L/S/LS/SS in the pane.
* Show legend (`showLegend`, default on): Compact legend (top-right).
How to trade it (practical)
1. Keep close-only on. Let the market finish the candle.
2. Wait for a clean gray box. Let the range define itself.
3. Take only L/S triggers where MD filter passes and TFRSI confirms.
4. Use persistent levels for retests/partials/targets.
5. Respect LS/SS. When expansion fades and T3 turns, exit without debate.
Tuning tips:
* More chop? Increase `tfrsiDeadzone` or `mdLen`.
* Want faster entries? Slightly reduce `t3Length` or deadzone, but expect more noise.
* Works across assets/timeframes (crypto/FX/indices/equities).
Bottom line
GrayZone Sniper enforces a simple, robust rule: Don’t touch the market until it breaks a defined range with real expansion and aligned momentum. That’s why TFRSI + Mean Deviation is hard to beat—and why your manual breakout trades get cleaner, calmer, and more consistent.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Enhance your trading precision and confidence with Triple Power Stop (CHE)! 🚀
Happy trading
Chervolino
Combined Futures Open Interest [Sam SDF-Solutions]The Combined Futures Open Interest indicator is designed to provide comprehensive analysis of market positioning by aggregating open interest data from the two nearest futures contracts. This dual-contract approach captures the complete picture of market participation, including rollover dynamics between front and back month contracts, offering traders crucial insights into institutional positioning and market sentiment.
Key Features:
Dual-Contract Aggregation: Automatically identifies and combines open interest from the first and second nearest futures contracts (e.g., ES1! + ES2!), providing a complete view of market positioning that single-contract analysis might miss.
Multi-Period Analysis: Tracks open interest changes across multiple timeframes:
1 Day: Immediate market sentiment shifts
1 Week: Short-term positioning trends
1 Month: Medium-term institutional flows
3 Months: Quarterly positioning aligned with contract expiration cycles
Smart Data Handling: Utilizes last known values when data is temporarily unavailable, preventing false signals from data gaps while clearly indicating when stale data is being used.
EMA Smoothing: Incorporates a customizable Exponential Moving Average (default 65 periods) to identify the underlying trend in open interest, filtering out daily noise and highlighting significant deviations.
Dynamic Visualization:
Color-coded main line showing directional changes (green for increases, red for decreases)
Optional fill areas between OI and EMA to visualize momentum
Separate contract lines for detailed rollover analysis
Customizable labels for significant percentage changes
Comprehensive Information Table: Displays real-time statistics including:
Current total open interest across both contracts
Period-over-period changes in absolute and percentage terms
EMA deviation metrics
Visual status indicators for quick assessment
Contract symbols and data quality warnings
Alert System: Configurable alerts for:
Significant daily changes (customizable threshold)
EMA crossovers indicating trend changes
Large percentage movements suggesting institutional activity
How It Works:
Contract Detection: The indicator automatically identifies the base futures symbol and constructs the appropriate contract codes for the two nearest expirations, or accepts manual symbol input for non-standard contracts.
Data Aggregation: Open interest data from both contracts is retrieved and summed, providing a complete picture that accounts for positions rolling between contracts.
Historical Comparison: The indicator calculates changes from multiple lookback periods (1/5/22/66 days) to show how positioning has evolved across different time horizons.
Trend Analysis: The EMA overlay helps identify whether current open interest is above or below its smoothed average, indicating momentum in position building or reduction.
Visual Feedback: The main line changes color based on daily changes, while the optional table provides detailed numerical analysis for traders requiring precise data.
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This indicator is essential for futures traders, particularly those focused on index futures, commodities, or currency futures where understanding the aggregate positioning across nearby contracts is crucial. It's especially valuable during rollover periods when positions shift between contracts, and for identifying institutional accumulation or distribution patterns that single-contract analysis might miss. By combining multiple timeframe analysis with intelligent data handling and clear visualization, it simplifies the complex task of monitoring open interest dynamics across the futures curve.
SwingTrade ADX Strategy v6This is a swing trading strategy that combines VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), ADX (Average Directional Index) for trend strength, and volume ratios to generate long/short entry and exit signals. It's designed for daily charts but can be adapted.
#### Key Features:
- **Entries**: Based on VWAP crossovers, rising/falling delta (price deviation from VWAP), ADX trend confirmation, and volume ratios.
- **Exits**: Dynamic exits when VWAP delta reverses after a peak.
- **Filters**: Optional toggles for VWAP signals, ADX, and volume. Backtest date range for custom periods.
- **Visuals**: VWAP line, signal shapes/labels, and an info panel showing key metrics (VWAP Delta %, ADX, Volume Ratio).
- **Alerts**: Built-in alerts for buy/sell entries and exits.
#### How to Use:
1. Apply to your chart (e.g., stocks, forex, crypto).
2. Adjust parameters in the settings (e.g., ADX threshold, volume period).
3. Enable/disable indicators as needed.
4. Backtest using the date filters and review equity curve.
**Disclaimer**: This is for educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not financial advice—trade at your own risk. Backtest thoroughly and use with proper risk management.
Feedback welcome! If you find it useful, give it a like.
Bitcoin Power Law [LuxAlgo]The Bitcoin Power Law tool is a representation of Bitcoin prices first proposed by Giovanni Santostasi, Ph.D. It plots BTCUSD daily closes on a log10-log10 scale, and fits a linear regression channel to the data.
This channel helps traders visualise when the price is historically in a zone prone to tops or located within a discounted zone subject to future growth.
🔶 USAGE
Giovanni Santostasi, Ph.D. originated the Bitcoin Power-Law Theory; this implementation places it directly on a TradingView chart. The white line shows the daily closing price, while the cyan line is the best-fit regression.
A channel is constructed from the linear fit root mean squared error (RMSE), we can observe how price has repeatedly oscillated between each channel areas through every bull-bear cycle.
Excursions into the upper channel area can be followed by price surges and finishing on a top, whereas price touching the lower channel area coincides with a cycle low.
Users can change the channel areas multipliers, helping capture moves more precisely depending on the intended usage.
This tool only works on the daily BTCUSD chart. Ticker and timeframe must match exactly for the calculations to remain valid.
🔹 Linear Scale
Users can toggle on a linear scale for the time axis, in order to obtain a higher resolution of the price, (this will affect the linear regression channel fit, making it look poorer).
🔶 DETAILS
One of the advantages of the Power Law Theory proposed by Giovanni Santostasi is its ability to explain multiple behaviors of Bitcoin. We describe some key points below.
🔹 Power-Law Overview
A power law has the form y = A·xⁿ , and Bitcoin’s key variables follow this pattern across many orders of magnitude. Empirically, price rises roughly with t⁶, hash-rate with t¹² and the number of active addresses with t³.
When we plot these on log-log axes they appear as straight lines, revealing a scale-invariant system whose behaviour repeats proportionally as it grows.
🔹 Feedback-Loop Dynamics
Growth begins with new users, whose presence pushes the price higher via a Metcalfe-style square-law. A richer price pool funds more mining hardware; the Difficulty Adjustment immediately raises the hash-rate requirement, keeping profit margins razor-thin.
A higher hash rate secures the network, which in turn attracts the next wave of users. Because risk and Difficulty act as braking forces, user adoption advances as a power of three in time rather than an unchecked S-curve. This circular causality repeats without end, producing the familiar boom-and-bust cadence around the long-term power-law channel.
🔹 Scale Invariance & Predictions
Scale invariance means that enlarging the timeline in log-log space leaves the trajectory unchanged.
The same geometric proportions that described the first dollar of value can therefore extend to a projected million-dollar bitcoin, provided no catastrophic break occurs. Institutional ETF inflows supply fresh capital but do not bend the underlying slope; only a persistent deviation from the line would falsify the current model.
🔹 Implications
The theory assigns scarcity no direct role; iterative feedback and the Difficulty Adjustment are sufficient to govern Bitcoin’s expansion. Long-term valuation should focus on position within the power-law channel, while bubbles—sharp departures above trend that later revert—are expected punctuations of an otherwise steady climb.
Beyond about 2040, disruptive technological shifts could alter the parameters, but for the next order of magnitude the present slope remains the simplest, most robust guide.
Bitcoin behaves less like a traditional asset and more like a self-organising digital organism whose value, security, and adoption co-evolve according to immutable power-law rules.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 General
Start Calculation: Determine the start date used by the calculation, with any prior prices being ignored. (default - 15 Jul 2010)
Use Linear Scale for X-Axis: Convert the horizontal axis from log(time) to linear calendar time
🔹 Linear Regression
Show Regression Line: Enable/disable the central power-law trend line
Regression Line Color: Choose the colour of the regression line
Mult 1: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default +1), pick line colour and area fill colour
Mult 2: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default +0.5), pick line colour and area fill colour
Mult 3: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default -0.5), pick line colour and area fill colour
Mult 4: Toggle line & fill, set multiplier (default -1), pick line colour and area fill colour
🔹 Style
Price Line Color: Select the colour of the BTC price plot
Auto Color: Automatically choose the best contrast colour for the price line
Price Line Width: Set the thickness of the price line (1 – 5 px)
Show Halvings: Enable/disable dotted vertical lines at each Bitcoin halving
Halvings Color: Choose the colour of the halving lines
Quadruple EMA (QEMA)The Quadruple Exponential Moving Average (QEMA) is an advanced technical indicator that extends the concept of lag reduction beyond TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average) to a fourth order. By applying a sophisticated four-stage EMA cascade with optimized coefficient distribution, QEMA provides the ultimate evolution in EMA-based lag reduction techniques.
Unlike traditional compund moving averages like DEMA and TEMA, QEMA implements a progressive smoothing system that strategically distributes alphas across four EMA stages and combines them with balanced coefficients (4, -6, 4, -1). This approach creates an indicator that responds extremely quickly to price changes while still maintaining sufficient smoothness to be useful for trading decisions. QEMA is particularly valuable for traders who need the absolute minimum lag possible in trend identification.
▶️ **Core Concepts**
Fourth-order processing: Extends the EMA cascade to four stages for maximum possible lag reduction while maintaining a useful signal
Progressive alpha system: Uses mathematically derived ratio-based alpha progression to balance responsiveness across all four EMA stages
Optimized coefficients: Employs calculated weights (4, -6, 4, -1) to effectively eliminate lag while preserving compound signal stability
Numerical stability control: Implements initialization and alpha distribution to ensure consistent results from the first calculation bar
QEMA achieves its exceptional lag reduction by combining four progressive EMAs with mathematically optimized coefficients. The formula is designed to maximize responsiveness while minimizing the overshoot problems that typically occur with aggressive lag reduction techniques. The implementation uses a ratio-based alpha progression that ensures each EMA stage contributes appropriately to the final result.
▶️ **Common Settings and Parameters**
Period: Default: 15| Base smoothing period | When to Adjust: Decrease for extremely fast signals, increase for more stable output
Alpha: Default: auto | Direct control of base smoothing factor | When to Adjust: Manual setting allows precise tuning beyond standard period settings
Source: Default: Close | Data point used for calculation | When to Adjust: Change to HL2 or HLC3 for more balanced price representation
Pro Tip: Professional traders often use QEMA with longer periods than other moving averages (e.g., QEMA(20) instead of EMA(10)) since its extreme lag reduction provides earlier signals even with longer periods.
▶️ **Calculation and Mathematical Foundation**
Simplified explanation:
QEMA works by calculating four EMAs in sequence, with each EMA taking the previous one as input. It then combines these EMAs using balancing weights (4, -6, 4, -1) to create a moving average with extremely minimal lag and high level of smoothness. The alpha factors for each EMA are progressively adjusted using a mathematical ratio to ensure balanced responsiveness across all stages.
Technical formula:
QEMA = 4 × EMA₁ - 6 × EMA₂ + 4 × EMA₃ - EMA₄
Where:
EMA₁ = EMA(source, α₁)
EMA₂ = EMA(EMA₁, α₂)
EMA₃ = EMA(EMA₂, α₃)
EMA₄ = EMA(EMA₃, α₄)
α₁ = 2/(period + 1) is the base smoothing factor
r = (1/α₁)^(1/3) is the derived ratio
α₂ = α₁ × r, α₃ = α₂ × r, α₄ = α₃ × r are the progressive alphas
Mathematical Rationale for the Alpha Cascade:
The QEMA indicator employs a specific geometric progression for its smoothing factors (alphas) across the four EMA stages. This design is intentional and aims to optimize the filter's performance. The ratio between alphas is **r = (1/α₁)^(1/3)** - derived from the cube root of the reciprocal of the base alpha.
For typical smoothing (α₁ < 1), this results in a sequence of increasing alpha values (α₁ < α₂ < α₃ < α₄), meaning that subsequent EMAs in the cascade are progressively faster (less smoothed). This specific progression, when combined with the QEMA coefficients (4, -6, 4, -1), is chosen for the following reasons:
1. Optimized Frequency Response:
Using the same alpha for all EMA stages (as in a naive multi-EMA approach) can lead to an uneven frequency response, potentially causing over-shooting of certain frequencies or creating undesirable resonance. The geometric progression of alphas in QEMA helps to create a more balanced and controlled filter response across a wider range of movement frequencies. Each stage's contribution to the overall filtering characteristic is more harmonized.
2. Minimized Phase Lag:
A key goal of QEMA is extreme lag reduction. The specific alpha cascade, particularly the relationship defined by **r**, is designed to minimize the cumulative phase lag introduced by the four smoothing stages, while still providing effective noise reduction. Faster subsequent EMAs contribute to this reduced lag.
🔍 Technical Note: The ratio-based alpha progression is crucial for balanced response. The ratio r is calculated as the cube root of 1/α₁, ensuring that the combined effect of all four EMAs creates a mathematically optimal response curve. All EMAs are initialized with the first source value rather than using progressive initialization, eliminating warm-up artifacts and providing consistent results from the first bar.
▶️ **Interpretation Details**
QEMA provides several key insights for traders:
When price crosses above QEMA, it signals the beginning of an uptrend with minimal delay
When price crosses below QEMA, it signals the beginning of a downtrend with minimal delay
The slope of QEMA provides immediate insight into trend direction and momentum
QEMA responds to price reversals significantly faster than other moving averages
Multiple QEMA lines with different periods can identify immediate support/resistance levels
QEMA is particularly valuable in fast-moving markets and for short-term trading strategies where speed of signal generation is critical. It excels at capturing the very beginning of trends and identifying reversals earlier than any other EMA-derived indicator. This makes it especially useful for breakout trading and scalping strategies where getting in early is essential.
▶️ **Limitations and Considerations**
Market conditions: Can generate excessive signals in choppy, sideways markets due to its extreme responsiveness
Overshooting: The aggressive lag reduction can create some overshooting during sharp reversals
Calculation complexity: Requires four separate EMA calculations plus coefficient application, making it computationally more intensive
Parameter sensitivity: Small changes in the base alpha or period can significantly alter behavior
Complementary tools: Should be used with momentum indicators or volatility filters to confirm signals and reduce false positives
▶️ **References**
Mulloy, P. (1994). "Smoothing Data with Less Lag," Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities .
Ehlers, J. (2001). Rocket Science for Traders . John Wiley & Sons.
Hull Moving Average Adaptive RSI (Ehlers)Hull Moving Average Adaptive RSI (Ehlers)
The Hull Moving Average Adaptive RSI (Ehlers) is an enhanced trend-following indicator designed to provide a smooth and responsive view of price movement while incorporating an additional momentum-based analysis using the Adaptive RSI.
Principle and Advantages of the Hull Moving Average:
- The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is known for its ability to track price action with minimal lag while maintaining a smooth curve.
- Unlike traditional moving averages, the HMA significantly reduces noise and responds faster to market trends, making it highly effective for detecting trend direction and changes.
- It achieves this by applying a weighted moving average calculation that emphasizes recent price movements while smoothing out fluctuations.
Why the Adaptive RSI Was Added:
- The core HMA line remains the foundation of the indicator, but an additional analysis using the Adaptive RSI has been integrated to provide more meaningful insights into momentum shifts.
- The Adaptive RSI is a modified version of the traditional Relative Strength Index that dynamically adjusts its sensitivity based on market volatility.
- By incorporating the Adaptive RSI, the HMA visually represents whether momentum is strengthening or weakening, offering a complementary layer of analysis.
How the Adaptive RSI Influences the Indicator:
- High Adaptive RSI (above 65): The market may be overbought, or bullish momentum could be fading. The HMA turns shades of red, signaling a possible exhaustion phase or potential reversals.
- Neutral Adaptive RSI (around 50): The market is in a balanced state, meaning neither buyers nor sellers are in clear control. The HMA takes on grayish tones to indicate this consolidation.
- Low Adaptive RSI (below 35): The market may be oversold, or bearish momentum could be weakening. The HMA shifts to shades of blue, highlighting potential recovery zones or trend slowdowns.
Why This Combination is Powerful:
- While the HMA excels in tracking trends and reducing lag, it does not provide information about momentum strength on its own.
- The Adaptive RSI bridges this gap by adding a clear visual layer that helps traders assess whether a trend is likely to continue, consolidate, or reverse.
- This makes the indicator particularly useful for spotting trend exhaustion and confirming momentum shifts in real-time.
Best Use Cases:
- Works effectively on timeframes from 1 hour (1H) to 1 day (1D), making it suitable for swing trading and position trading.
- Particularly useful for trading indices (SPY), stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies, where momentum shifts are frequent.
- Helps identify not just trend direction but also whether that trend is gaining or losing strength.
Recommended Complementary Indicators:
- Adaptive Trend Finder: Helps identify the dominant long-term trend.
- Williams Fractals Ultimate: Provides key reversal points to validate trend shifts.
- RVOL (Relative Volume): Confirms significant moves based on volume strength.
This enhanced HMA with Adaptive RSI provides a powerful, intuitive visual tool that makes trend analysis and momentum interpretation more effective and efficient.
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a guarantee of performance. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management when trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
PDF-MA Supertrend [BackQuant]PDF-MA Supertrend
The PDF-MA Supertrend combines the innovative Probability Density Function (PDF) smoothing with the widely popular Supertrend methodology, creating a robust tool for identifying trends and generating actionable trading signals. This indicator is designed to provide precise entries and exits by dynamically adapting to market volatility while visualizing long and short opportunities directly on the chart.
Core Feature: PDF Smoothing
At the foundation of this indicator is the PDF smoothing technique, which applies a Probability Density Function to calculate a smoothed moving average. This method allows the indicator to assign adaptive weights to data points, making it responsive to market changes without overreacting to short-term volatility.
Key parameters include:
Variance: Controls the spread of the PDF weighting. A smaller variance results in sharper responses, while a larger variance smooths out the curve.
Mean: Shifts the PDF’s center, allowing traders to tweak how weights are distributed around the data points.
Smoothing Method: Offers the choice between EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and SMA (Simple Moving Average) for blending the PDF-smoothed data with traditional moving average methods.
By combining these parameters, the PDF smoothing creates a moving average that effectively captures underlying trends.
Supertrend: Adaptive Trend and Volatility Tracking
The Supertrend is a well-known volatility-based indicator that dynamically adjusts to market conditions using the ATR (Average True Range). In this script, the PDF-smoothed moving average acts as the price input, making the Supertrend calculation more adaptive and precise.
Key Supertrend Features:
ATR Period: Determines the lookback period for calculating market volatility.
Factor: Multiplies the ATR to set the distance between the Supertrend and the price. A higher factor creates wider bands, filtering out smaller price movements, while a lower factor captures tighter trends.
Dynamic Direction: The Supertrend flips its direction based on price interactions with the calculated upper and lower bands:
Uptrend : When the price is above the Supertrend, the direction turns bullish.
Downtrend : When the price is below the Supertrend, the direction turns bearish.
This combination of PDF smoothing and Supertrend calculation ensures that trends are detected with greater accuracy, while volatility filters out market noise.
Long and Short Signal Generation
The PDF-MA Supertrend generates actionable trading signals by detecting transitions in the trend direction:
Long Signal (𝕃): Triggered when the trend transitions from bearish to bullish. This is visually represented with a green triangle below the price bars.
Short Signal (𝕊): Triggered when the trend transitions from bullish to bearish. This is marked with a red triangle above the price bars.
These signals provide traders with clear entry and exit points, ensuring they can capitalize on emerging trends while avoiding false signals.
Customizable Visualization Options
The indicator offers a range of visualization settings to help traders interpret the data with ease:
Show Supertrend: Option to toggle the visibility of the Supertrend line.
Candle Coloring: Automatically colors candlesticks based on the trend direction:
Green for long trends.
Red for short trends.
Long and Short Signals (𝕃 + 𝕊): Displays long (𝕃) and short (𝕊) signals directly on the chart for quick identification of trade opportunities.
Line Color Customization: Allows users to customize the colors for long and short trends.
Alert Conditions
To ensure traders never miss an opportunity, the PDF-MA Supertrend includes built-in alerts for trend changes:
Long Signal Alert: Notifies when a bullish trend is identified.
Short Signal Alert: Notifies when a bearish trend is identified.
These alerts can be configured for real-time notifications via SMS, email, or push notifications, making it easier to stay updated on market movements.
Suggested Parameter Adjustments
The indicator’s effectiveness can be fine-tuned using the following guidelines:
Variance:
For low-volatility assets (e.g., indices): Use a smaller variance (1.0–1.5) for smoother trends.
For high-volatility assets (e.g., cryptocurrencies): Use a larger variance (1.5–2.0) to better capture rapid price changes.
ATR Factor:
A higher factor (e.g., 2.0) is better suited for long-term trend-following strategies.
A lower factor (e.g., 1.5) captures shorter-term trends.
Smoothing Period:
Shorter periods provide more reactive signals but may increase noise.
Longer periods offer stability and better alignment with significant trends.
Experimentation is encouraged to find the optimal settings for specific assets and trading strategies.
Trading Applications
The PDF-MA Supertrend is a versatile indicator suited to a variety of trading approaches:
Trend Following : Use the Supertrend line and signals to follow market trends and ride sustained price movements.
Reversal Trading : Spot potential trend reversals as the Supertrend flips direction.
Volatility Analysis : Adjust the ATR factor to filter out minor price fluctuations or capture sharp movements.
Final Thoughts
The PDF-MA Supertrend combines the precision of Probability Density Function smoothing with the adaptability of the Supertrend methodology, offering traders a powerful tool for identifying trends and volatility. With its customizable parameters, actionable signals, and built-in alerts, this indicator is an excellent choice for traders seeking a robust and reliable system for trend detection and entry/exit timing.
As always, backtesting and incorporating this indicator into a broader strategy are recommended for optimal results.
