Pesquisar nos scripts por "bitcoin"
Bitcoin Golden Ratio Fibonacci IndicatorI didn't see this one already it isn't my original idea either. I pulled the formula's from an article on medium, I also added few bear market bottom fib indicators.
Credit to the article I pulled the formula from.
The Golden Ratio Multiplier
Unlocking the mathematically organic nature of Bitcoin adoption
Go to the profile of Philip Swift (@PositiveCrypto)
Philip Swift (@PositiveCrypto)
Jun 17, 2019
By Philip Swift
Release Notes: Fixed spelling error on title, added a couple long and short labels for the top and bottom indicator.
Bitcoin PatienceThis indicator shows how long every Bitcoin buyer ever had to wait to be in profit. Best to use this on the daily chart. At the time of publishing this indicator (May 2019), 1250 days of patience means gains for every BTC buyer ever. Can also be used for other assets of course.
Bitcoin Kill Zones v2 |7Day| [oscarvs] [xeno]This edit adds weekends to Bitcoin Kill Zones v2 by oscarvs and other contributors. Bit of an experiment. Enjoy.
Bitcoin Momentum TSIChart based on True Strength Indicator
It was improved to show same information as Squeeze Momentum Indicator by LazyBear,
but it seems to have better and quicker response to changes and was tested on Bitcoin mainly.
Enjoy it!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Macro Trend IndicatorBitcoin Macro Trend Indicator: A Multi-Timeframe Confirmation System for Strategic Positioning
Introduction
The Bitcoin Macro Trend Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed for cryptocurrency traders and investors seeking to navigate Bitcoin's volatile cycles. It integrates multiple exponential moving averages (EMAs) and MACD variations into a unified system that identifies long-term accumulation zones, bull market tops, and strategic re-entry points. This document outlines the logical foundation of this integration, explains the synergistic operation of its components, and provides practical guidance for its application.
Rationale for Multi-Indicator Integration
Bitcoin's market behavior exhibits distinct cyclical patterns characterized by extended accumulation periods, parabolic advances, and sharp corrections. Single indicators often generate false signals during volatile conditions. This system employs a layered confirmation approach where:
Ultra-long-term EMAs establish the primary trend context
Medium-term EMA crossovers identify trend transitions
Multiple MACD configurations detect momentum shifts across different time horizons
This multi-timeframe methodology reduces noise and increases signal reliability by requiring convergence across independent but complementary technical elements.
Component Synergy and Operational Mechanism
1. EMA Framework: The Trend Foundation
700-period EMA: Serves as the primary trend baseline. Prices below this line suggest long-term undervaluation (accumulation territory), while sustained positions above indicate established bull markets.
18/63-period EMA Pair: Functions as the core trend transition system. The golden cross (18 above 63) confirms bullish momentum, while the death cross signals potential trend exhaustion.
12/52-period EMA Pair: Specialized for identifying renewed momentum after corrections within ongoing trends, reducing premature re-entry during false recoveries.
12-period EMA (Auxiliary): Provides early warning of short-term trend deterioration that may precede larger corrections.
2. MACD Ensemble: Momentum Verification
Bottom MACD (168/364/6): With exceptionally slow parameters, this configuration filters out short-term noise to identify genuine long-term momentum shifts characteristic of market bottoms.
Top MACD (63/133/1): Optimized for detecting momentum divergence at potential market tops, where traditional MACD settings often lag.
Local Top Warning MACD (30/65/4): Balanced to capture intermediate-term momentum deterioration that frequently precedes significant pullbacks.
Early Bull MACD (9/19/6): Sensitive to initial momentum surges following accumulation periods, providing early confirmation of trend initiation.
3. Signal Hierarchy and Progressive Confirmation
The indicator employs a cascading confirmation logic:
Stage 1 (Accumulation): Requires both long-term MACD improvement AND price position below the 700-period EMA. Strong accumulation signals add Early Bull MACD confirmation.
Stage 2 (Warning): Local top warnings activate only when multiple conditions align: medium-term trend remains bullish, ultra-long-term trend confirms strength, AND specialized MACDs show momentum deterioration.
Stage 3 (Re-entry): Requires both EMA crossover confirmation AND momentum recovery in the warning MACD, reducing false continuation signals.
Stage 4 (Top Confirmation): The most stringent criteria, demanding convergence across long-term, medium-term, and momentum indicators before signaling major trend reversal.
Practical Application and Interpretation
Signal Classification System
Accumulation Zones (Green): Areas where long-term indicators suggest undervaluation. These represent strategic buying opportunities for patient investors.
Strong Accumulation Signals (Dark Green): Enhanced accumulation zones with additional momentum confirmation, suggesting higher-probability entry points.
Local Top Warnings (Orange/Red): Progressive warnings of increasing risk, with red zones indicating conditions historically associated with more severe corrections.
Re-entry Opportunities (Blue): Post-correction zones where momentum recovery aligns with trend resumption signals.
Bull Market Termination (Purple): Signals suggesting completion of major advance cycles, prompting defensive positioning.
Top Confirmation (Dark Red): High-confidence reversal signals with multi-timeframe confirmation.
Usage Guidelines
Timeframe Recommendation: Designed primarily for daily and weekly charts where macroeconomic trends are most evident.
Position Sizing: Accumulation signals support gradual position building, while warning signals suggest reducing exposure rather than immediate liquidation.
Corroboration: Although self-contained, the indicator performs best when combined with volume analysis and fundamental considerations.
Historical Validation: Users should review signal performance across multiple market cycles to understand characteristic behaviors.
Limitations and Considerations
No technical indicator predicts market movements with absolute certainty. This tool provides probabilistic assessments based on historical patterns.
Extraordinary market events or fundamental shifts may override technical signals.
The indicator's parameters, while optimized for Bitcoin's historical behavior, may require adjustment for unprecedented market conditions.
Signals should be interpreted in context of overall market structure and trader/investor time horizon.
Originality and Differentiation
This system represents a novel synthesis of established technical concepts through:
Parameter Optimization: Specific EMA and MACD periods calibrated to Bitcoin's characteristic volatility and cycle duration.
Conditional Layering: Unlike single-criterion systems, signals require convergence across independent technical dimensions.
Progressive Warning System: Multi-stage alerts that distinguish between routine corrections and potential trend reversals.
Macro-Micro Integration: Simultaneous analysis of ultra-long-term trends and short-term momentum shifts.
Empirical Foundation
The indicator's design incorporates observations from Bitcoin's market behavior since 2010, particularly:
The tendency for major bottoms to form during extended periods below long-term moving averages
Characteristic momentum patterns preceding significant tops
The predictive value of specific EMA relationships during different market phases
Historical performance of multi-timeframe confirmation versus single indicators
Conclusion
The Bitcoin Macro Trend Indicator provides a structured framework for identifying high-probability turning points in Bitcoin's market cycles. By integrating multiple technical perspectives into a confirmation hierarchy, it reduces reaction to market noise while maintaining sensitivity to genuine trend changes. Users should employ this tool as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes risk management protocols and consideration of external market factors. The system's greatest utility emerges when understood not as a predictive oracle but as a systematic method for identifying favorable risk-reward scenarios based on multi-timeframe technical convergence.
bitcoin Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis Toolbitcoin Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis Tool: A Comprehensive Guide for Market Cycle Identification
Introduction
The Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis Tool is a sophisticated technical indicator designed to help traders identify critical market phases across different time horizons. This tool synthesizes multiple established technical analysis concepts into a unified framework, specifically optimized for high-volatility markets such as cryptocurrencies and alternative coins (altcoins). By integrating trend-following, momentum, and mean-reversion principles, it provides visual cues for strategic entry and exit points throughout market cycles.
Core Philosophy and Integration Rationale
The indicator's design philosophy centers on the principle that different market phases require different analytical approaches. Rather than relying on a single indicator, which often produces false signals during complex market conditions, this tool combines multiple technical components that complement each other's strengths and compensate for individual weaknesses.
The integration follows a logical hierarchy:
Trend Identification through multiple EMA periods establishes the market's primary direction
Momentum Confirmation via multiple MACD configurations validates trend strength and potential reversals
Multi-timeframe Alignment ensures signals are significant across both short-term and long-term perspectives
This layered approach reduces the likelihood of whipsaws and increases the statistical significance of generated signals.
Component Synergy and Operational Mechanics
1. EMA System: The Trend Foundation
The tool employs six Exponential Moving Averages organized into two groups:
Long-term EMA Group (200, 300, 700 periods):
The 200-period EMA serves as the primary trend baseline
The 300-period EMA provides confirmation of the longer-term direction
The 700-period EMA represents the "macro trend" and helps identify major cycle shifts
Medium-term EMA Group (18, 36, 63 periods):
These shorter EMAs capture intermediate trend dynamics
The relationship between these EMAs helps identify acceleration or deceleration in trend momentum
The EMA system works by comparing relationships between different period lengths. For instance, when shorter EMAs are positioned below longer EMAs, it confirms a bearish trend structure, while the opposite configuration suggests bullish momentum.
2. Multi-Period MACD System: Momentum and Divergence Detection
The tool implements three separate MACD configurations, each serving a distinct purpose:
Bottom MACD (168/364/6 periods):
Designed to capture long-term momentum shifts at potential market bottoms
The extended periods (168 and 364) filter out short-term noise while highlighting significant trend changes
Particularly effective at identifying oversold conditions during prolonged downtrends
Top MACD (108/234/9 periods):
Optimized for detecting momentum deterioration at potential market tops
The period selection is based on historical analysis of bull market cycles
Helps identify when bullish momentum is weakening before price action clearly reverses
Local Top MACD (9/36/9 periods):
Functions as an early warning system for short-term corrections
Particularly useful for swing traders and risk management
Can help identify profit-taking opportunities during ongoing trends
The three MACDs operate independently but collectively provide a comprehensive view of momentum across different time horizons. When multiple MACDs simultaneously show confirming signals, the reliability of the indication increases significantly.
3. Signal Generation Logic: Conditional Framework
Signals are generated only when multiple conditions align across different components:
Accumulation Zone Conditions:
Requires both trend alignment (200 EMA below 300 EMA) AND either:
Price trading at a significant discount to the 200 EMA (suggesting oversold conditions), OR
The 200 EMA itself declining sharply (confirming bearish momentum exhaustion)
This dual requirement prevents false accumulation signals during healthy downtrends
Strong Buy Zone Conditions:
Includes all accumulation zone requirements PLUS:
Sharp decline in the 36-period EMA (suggesting panic or capitulation)
Accelerated decline in the 200 EMA (confirming bearish exhaustion)
This represents a higher-conviction signal with multiple confirming factors
Potential Bull Market Top Conditions:
Requires the 700 EMA to be rising sharply (confirming extended bullish trend) AND
Top MACD showing bearish divergence (momentum weakening) AND
Short-term EMA alignment still bullish (indicating the top is forming amid strength)
This combination helps distinguish between minor corrections and major trend reversals
Local Top Warning Conditions:
Triggered when the 700 EMA shows accelerated gains (potential euphoria phase) AND
The Local Top MACD shows bearish momentum divergence
Serves as a risk management tool rather than a direct reversal signal
Practical Application and Usage Guidelines
For Long-Term Investors:
Monitor for "Accumulation Zone" signals during market downturns
Consider initiating or adding to positions during "Strong Buy Zone" signals
Use these signals for dollar-cost averaging strategies rather than timing exact bottoms
Hold through intermediate fluctuations unless "Potential Bull Market Top" signals appear
For Trend Traders:
Use EMA alignments to confirm trend direction before entering positions
Employ "Local Top Warnings" to secure profits on portions of positions
Watch for alignment between medium-term EMA direction and MACD signals for entry timing
Consider "Potential Bull Market Top" signals as reasons to reduce exposure or implement hedging strategies
For Risk Managers:
Use "Local Top Warnings" to tighten stop-losses or reduce position sizes
Monitor the relationship between price and the 200 EMA for overall market health assessment
Track multiple timeframes to distinguish between normal volatility and potential trend changes
Originality and Distinctive Features
This tool represents a novel synthesis of existing technical concepts rather than a completely new indicator. Its originality stems from:
Purpose-Specific MACD Configurations: Unlike standard MACD implementations, each of the three MACDs is optimized for a specific market condition, with period lengths derived from empirical analysis of market cycles.
Multi-Layered Confirmation Framework: Signals require alignment across trend, momentum, and rate-of-change dimensions, reducing false positives common in single-indicator systems.
Progressive Signal Hierarchy: The tool distinguishes between initial warning signals ("Local Top Warnings") and higher-conviction reversal signals ("Potential Bull Market Tops"), allowing for graduated responses.
Combination of Absolute and Relative Conditions: The logic incorporates both absolute price relationships (price vs. EMA levels) and rate-of-change metrics (EMA acceleration/deceleration), capturing both state and momentum information.
Limitations and Considerations
Lagging Nature: Like all trend-following indicators, this tool reacts to established conditions rather than predicting future movements. Early trend phases may not generate signals.
Parameter Sensitivity: The default parameters are optimized for daily cryptocurrency charts. Performance may vary across different asset classes or timeframes.
Complementary Analysis Required: This tool should be used alongside fundamental analysis, volume confirmation, and market structure considerations.
No Guarantee of Performance: Past success in identifying market phases does not ensure future accuracy. All trading involves risk, and no indicator provides certainty.
Conclusion
The Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis Tool provides a structured approach to identifying significant market phases by integrating trend, momentum, and mean-reversion concepts across multiple time horizons. Its value lies not in predicting exact turning points but in identifying zones of increasing probability for trend changes, allowing traders to adjust their strategies accordingly. When used as part of a comprehensive trading plan with proper risk management, it can help traders navigate complex market environments with greater clarity and discipline.
The tool is particularly suited to the extended trends and pronounced cycles characteristic of cryptocurrency markets, though its principles apply across various financial instruments. As with all technical tools, its effectiveness increases with user understanding of both its mechanisms and its limitations.
CME Bitcoin Weekend Gap (Global) @jerikooDescription:
The Problem: You are watching the wrong hours. Many traders assume CME Bitcoin futures follow standard stock market hours or open Monday morning. This is incorrect.
Stock Market: Opens Monday morning.
CME Bitcoin: Opens Sunday Evening (US Time).
If you are in Europe, this means the market actually opens at Midnight (00:00) Monday. If you are waiting for the "Monday Morning Open," you are late.
The Solution: True Gap Detection This indicator highlights the exact downtime of the CME Bitcoin Futures market to help you identify true liquidity gaps.
Why this script is different: Most gap scripts break when you change your chart's time zone (e.g., switching from UTC to New York). This script is Universal.
Hardcoded Exchange Time: It calculates logic based on "America/Chicago" (CME HQ) time, regardless of your local chart settings.
Manual Offset Fix: Some data feeds have a +/- 1 or 2-hour sync difference depending on the broker. This script includes a "Hour Shift" setting to manually align the box perfectly to your specific candles.
How to use:
Add to your chart.
Look for the Dark Green highlighted zone.
This zone represents the Weekend Gap (Friday Close to Sunday Open).
Troubleshooting: If the box starts 1-2 hours too early or too late, go to Settings and change the "Hour Shift" value (e.g., -1, +1) until it snaps perfectly to the Friday close candle.
Technical Details:
CME Close: Friday 16:00 CT
CME Open: Sunday 17:00 CT
Color: Dark Green (50% Transparency)
Step 3: Categories & Tags
Select these options in the right-hand menu of the publishing page.
Category: Trend Analysis OR Bitcoin
Tags: CME Bitcoin BTC Gap Futures Weekend
Step 4: Final Checklist Before Clicking "Publish"
Load the Code: Make sure the "Manual Fix" version of the code (the last one I gave you) is currently open in the Pine Editor.
Add to Chart: You must click "Add to Chart" so the script is visible on your screen before publishing.
Privacy: Select Public (so others can search for it) or Private (if you only want to share the link).
Visibility: Choose Open (so others can see the code) or Protected (if you want to hide the code, though Open is better for simple scripts like this).
Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition - Top/Bottom BTC Overview:
The "Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition Detector - Top/Bottom BTC" is a specialized TradingView indicator designed to identify significant turning points in the Bitcoin market on a weekly basis. By analyzing long-term and short-term moving averages across two distinct resolutions, this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into potential market bottoms and tops, as well as the initiation of bull markets.
Key Features:
Market Bottom Detection: The script uses a combination of a simple moving average (SMA) and an exponential moving average (EMA) calculated over long and short periods to identify potential market bottoms. When these conditions are met, the script signals a "Market Bottom" label on the chart, indicating a possible buying opportunity.
Bull Market Start Indicator: When the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it signals the beginning of a bull market. This is marked by a "Bull Market Start" label on the chart, helping traders to prepare for potential market upswings.
Market Top Detection: The script identifies potential market tops by analyzing the crossunder of long and short-term moving averages. A "Market Top" label is plotted, suggesting a potential selling point.
Customizable Moving Averages Display: Users can choose to display the moving averages used for detecting market tops and bottoms, providing additional insights into market conditions.
How It Works: The indicator operates by monitoring the interactions between the specified moving averages:
Market Bottom: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 0.745) crosses over the short-term EMA.
Bull Market Start: Detected when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA.
Market Top: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 2) crosses under the short-term SMA.
These conditions are highlighted on the chart, allowing traders to visualize significant market events and make informed decisions.
Intended Use: This indicator is best used on weekly Bitcoin charts. It’s designed to provide long-term market insights rather than short-term trading signals. Traders can use this tool to identify strategic entry and exit points during major market cycles. The optional display of moving averages can further enhance understanding of market dynamics.
Originality and Utility: Unlike many other indicators, this script not only highlights traditional market tops and bottoms but also identifies the aggressive start of bull markets, offering a comprehensive view of market conditions. The unique combination of adjusted moving averages makes this script a valuable tool for long-term Bitcoin traders.
Disclaimer: The signals provided by this indicator are based on historical data and mathematical calculations. They do not guarantee future market performance. Traders should use this tool as part of a broader trading strategy and consider other factors before making trading decisions. Not financial advice.
Happy Trading!
By Atlantean
The Signal - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/SellThe Signal - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell
Why Bother with another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's. The Largest 4 Open Interest Seller and the Largest 4 open Interest Longs, plus the distance they are apart, the Delta, what does high percentage of Largest 4 sellers mean with a low 4 OI Buyers. , what when the usually higher Sellers are low and the largest 4 buyers almost the same value , Time to track the insiders Delta..
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
The Amplifier - Two Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility PlotThe 3rd piece to the other two pieces to our CoT study. This is the Amplifier, which turns select signals into 'Super' Buys/Sells
The other two being the 'Bitcoin Insider CoT Delta', and the on chart Price indicator most will have, if no others the 'Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell Signals' that will indicate the key signals, ave 4 a year on the chart as they occur.
Why Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell signalWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Open Interest DeltaWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
[blackcat] L1 Bitcoin Guppy Whale Pump Dump OscillatorLevel: 1
Background
The Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) is a technical indicator that identifies changing trends, breakouts, and trading opportunities in the price of an asset by combining two sets of moving averages (MA) with different time periods. There is a short term group of MAs and a long term group of MAs.
One of the biggest differences between cryptocurrency and traditional financial markets is that cryptocurrency is based on blockchain technology. Individual investors can discover the direction of the flow of large funds through on-chain transfers. These large funds are often referred to as Whale. Whale can have a significant impact on the price movements of cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin . Therefore, how to monitor Whale trends is of great significance both in terms of fundamentals and technical aspects.
Function
L1 Bitcoin Guppy Whale Pump Dump Oscillator is innovative because it was moved from main chart to aux chart and the input source of Guppy moving average was changed in to bias rate of key EMAs. This makes it work as a Guppy oscillator. This Guppy oscillator was designed and optimized to detect whale pump and dump behavior for BTCUSD or BTCUSDT trading pairs. When whale pump is detected, yellow candles appear; when whale dump is detected, fuchsia candles appear.
Key Signal
di,d1~d8 ---> Guppy oscillator lines
pump --> whale pump detector
dump --> whale dump detector
Pros and Cons
Pros:
1. easy observe price trend
2. it detects whale pump and dump
Cons:
1. no explicit entries are disclosed
2. only optimized for Bitcoin usd/usdt trading pairs
Remarks
Courtesy of @LunaOwl " Rainbow Color Gradient" for colorful Guppy oscillator lines in this script
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
QuantNomad - Bitcoin NVT/NVTSIn this script I included 2 quite interesting indicators for Bitcoin:
* NVT (Network Value to Transactions Ratio)
* NVTS (NVT Signal)
Both indicators are based on Bitcoin Network Value (Market Cap) and 24h transaction volume.
For both these values I'm using Quandl datasets from Blockchainc.com:
market_cap: QUANDL:BCHAIN/MKTCP
transac_vol: QUANDL:BCHAIN/ETRVU
Calculation for both indicators are pretty simple:
NVT = median(market_cap / transac_vol, 14 bars)
NVTS = market_cap / sma(transac_vol, 90 bars)
NVT and NVTS are cryptocurrency's answers to P/E ratio. They can help you to understand if bitcoin is under/overvalued.
When NVT or NVTS is relatively high it can be a pretty good point to short bitcoin, if it's low it good time to buy bitcoin.
NVT Ratio - was created by Willy Woo
NVT Signal - was created by Dimitry Kalichkin
Because of different sources of transaction volume data, these indicators can differ in values from originals, but magnitude should be the same.
This is a pretty simple example where you can select only static overbought/oversold levels and when indicator will be above/below it you will see in changing in color.
I have many more things in my head how these indicators can be developed further and what strategies can be derived from them, but as is they can be a pretty good base for you. Will share my advanced findings later.
CME Gap Finder - BitcoinOnly for Bitcoin!
This indicator locates weekly gaps created by the CME Futures market for Bitcoin.
As you can see, Bitcoin tends to close the weekly gaps created in the futures market so I thought this could be a very useful tool.
Instead of having to look between multiple charts, this simply overlays the past weeks open and close should a gap appear.
I hope you find this indicator useful!
Cheers!
Pi Cycle Bitcoin Top and Bottom (Daily)Pi Cycle Bitcoin Top and Bottom (Daily)
This indicator combines the renowned Pi Cycle Top and Pi Cycle Bottom indicators into one comprehensive tool designed to identify Bitcoin's market cycle tops and bottoms with precision.
Pi Cycle Top
The Pi Cycle Top indicator uses the 111-day moving average (111DMA) and a multiple of the 350-day moving average (350DMA x 2). Historically, this indicator has identified Bitcoin’s price cycle peaks with an accuracy of up to 3 days.
📈 When the 111DMA crosses above the 350DMA x 2, it signals a market cycle top.
Pi Cycle Bottom
The Pi Cycle Bottom indicator utilizes the 150-day exponential moving average (150EMA) and a multiple of the 471-day simple moving average (471SMA x 0.745). Over past cycles, this combination has effectively pinpointed Bitcoin’s market bottoms with the same level of accuracy.
📉 When the 150EMA crosses below the 471SMA x 0.745, it signals a market cycle bottom.
Parabola
As an additional feature, the indicator identifies moments when the 150EMA crosses back above the 471SMA x 0.745, suggesting a potential parabolic price movement.
Features
Precision: Both indicators have historically aligned with major market turning points.
Customizable settings: Adjust the short and long moving averages to fit your analysis needs.
Alerts: Real-time alerts can be enabled for identifying market tops and bottoms.
Clear visualization: Optional moving average lines and signal markers make it easy to track market trends.
Full credits to Philip Swift, PositiveCrypto, Tondy, BilzerianCandle.
Intellect_city - Halvings Bitcoin CycleWhat is halving?
The halving timer shows when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, as well as the dates of past halvings. This event occurs every 210,000 blocks, which is approximately every 4 years. Halving reduces the emission reward by half. The original Bitcoin reward was 50 BTC per block found.
Why is halving necessary?
Halving allows you to maintain an algorithmically specified emission level. Anyone can verify that no more than 21 million bitcoins can be issued using this algorithm. Moreover, everyone can see how much was issued earlier, at what speed the emission is happening now, and how many bitcoins remain to be mined in the future. Even a sharp increase or decrease in mining capacity will not significantly affect this process. In this case, during the next difficulty recalculation, which occurs every 2014 blocks, the mining difficulty will be recalculated so that blocks are still found approximately once every ten minutes.
How does halving work in Bitcoin blocks?
The miner who collects the block adds a so-called coinbase transaction. This transaction has no entry, only exit with the receipt of emission coins to your address. If the miner's block wins, then the entire network will consider these coins to have been obtained through legitimate means. The maximum reward size is determined by the algorithm; the miner can specify the maximum reward size for the current period or less. If he puts the reward higher than possible, the network will reject such a block and the miner will not receive anything. After each halving, miners have to halve the reward they assign to themselves, otherwise their blocks will be rejected and will not make it to the main branch of the blockchain.
The impact of halving on the price of Bitcoin
It is believed that with constant demand, a halving of supply should double the value of the asset. In practice, the market knows when the halving will occur and prepares for this event in advance. Typically, the Bitcoin rate begins to rise about six months before the halving, and during the halving itself it does not change much. On average for past periods, the upper peak of the rate can be observed more than a year after the halving. It is almost impossible to predict future periods because, in addition to the reduction in emissions, many other factors influence the exchange rate. For example, major hacks or bankruptcies of crypto companies, the situation on the stock market, manipulation of “whales,” or changes in legislative regulation.
---------------------------------------------
Table - Past and future Bitcoin halvings:
---------------------------------------------
Date: Number of blocks: Award:
0 - 03-01-2009 - 0 block - 50 BTC
1 - 28-11-2012 - 210000 block - 25 BTC
2 - 09-07-2016 - 420000 block - 12.5 BTC
3 - 11-05-2020 - 630000 block - 6.25 BTC
4 - 20-04-2024 - 840000 block - 3.125 BTC
5 - 24-03-2028 - 1050000 block - 1.5625 BTC
6 - 26-02-2032 - 1260000 block - 0.78125 BTC
7 - 30-01-2036 - 1470000 block - 0.390625 BTC
8 - 03-01-2040 - 1680000 block - 0.1953125 BTC
9 - 07-12-2043 - 1890000 block - 0.09765625 BTC
10 - 10-11-2047 - 2100000 block - 0.04882813 BTC
11 - 14-10-2051 - 2310000 block - 0.02441406 BTC
12 - 17-09-2055 - 2520000 block - 0.01220703 BTC
13 - 21-08-2059 - 2730000 block - 0.00610352 BTC
14 - 25-07-2063 - 2940000 block - 0.00305176 BTC
15 - 28-06-2067 - 3150000 block - 0.00152588 BTC
16 - 01-06-2071 - 3360000 block - 0.00076294 BTC
17 - 05-05-2075 - 3570000 block - 0.00038147 BTC
18 - 08-04-2079 - 3780000 block - 0.00019073 BTC
19 - 12-03-2083 - 3990000 block - 0.00009537 BTC
20 - 13-02-2087 - 4200000 block - 0.00004768 BTC
21 - 17-01-2091 - 4410000 block - 0.00002384 BTC
22 - 21-12-2094 - 4620000 block - 0.00001192 BTC
23 - 24-11-2098 - 4830000 block - 0.00000596 BTC
24 - 29-10-2102 - 5040000 block - 0.00000298 BTC
25 - 02-10-2106 - 5250000 block - 0.00000149 BTC
26 - 05-09-2110 - 5460000 block - 0.00000075 BTC
27 - 09-08-2114 - 5670000 block - 0.00000037 BTC
28 - 13-07-2118 - 5880000 block - 0.00000019 BTC
29 - 16-06-2122 - 6090000 block - 0.00000009 BTC
30 - 20-05-2126 - 6300000 block - 0.00000005 BTC
31 - 23-04-2130 - 6510000 block - 0.00000002 BTC
32 - 27-03-2134 - 6720000 block - 0.00000001 BTC
Creating long term bitcoin data
One of the problems, with bitcoin, is that we miss long term bitcoin data. There is not a single source from which to gather the value of bitcoin in any moment from it's inception. Or at least from when it was first exchanged into exchanges. If you look at coinmarketcap the data go back to the 28 apr 2013. But mtgox started in July 2010. If you go to yahoo, you will be able to gather data, but once you start working with this data you soon find out how poor is it. Basically it follows mtgox data while mtgox was alive, and then switched to some other exchange. But this means that we see a sudden jump in data which makes any indicator go wild. Basically it's really difficult to gather long term data on bitcoin. Also consider that mtgox did not just "go away" when it stopped trading. But in the database here it is still present with the fixed exchange rate of when it stopped.
So I tried to create the data we need. How? By taking three exchanges, and taking the median between them. The three exchanges I took were MTGOX: , BITFINEX: and KRAKEN: XBTUSD . We cannot avoid mtgox because it's the only source of data for the first years. But then as soon as the other exchanges come in we are going to use the median between them.
The indicator must be overlaid on another chart. And I use the forex usdeur which I then hide (If someone has a better idea, maybe something which is open 24/7, I would be happy to hear it).
Wagmi Lab- Bitcoin H4 Buy Sell Signals This indicator, designed primarily for Bitcoin on the H4 timeframe, is a versatile tool that can also be applied to other assets and timeframes by adjusting its parameters. It combines Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and a crossover filtering mechanism to generate reliable buy and sell signals. The indicator is ideal for traders looking to identify trend direction and potential entry/exit points with added precision.
Key Features:
Customizable EMAs and MACD:
Fast EMA (default: 12): Tracks short-term price momentum.
Slow EMA (default: 26): Tracks long-term price momentum.
Signal SMA (default: 9): Smooths the MACD line to generate the signal line.
MACD Crossover Signals:
The indicator calculates the MACD line and signal line to identify potential buy and sell opportunities.
Buy signals are generated when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
Sell signals are generated when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum.
Crossover Strength Filter:
A minimum crossover distance percentage (default: 0.1%) ensures that only significant crossovers are considered, reducing false signals.
This filter helps traders avoid weak or insignificant crossovers that may not lead to strong price movements.
Trend Visualization:
The indicator highlights the trend direction by filling the area between the fast and slow EMAs with colors:
Green: Uptrend (MACD > Signal Line).
Red: Downtrend (MACD < Signal Line).
Buy/Sell Signal Markers:
Buy signals are marked with green circles below the price bars.
Sell signals are marked with red circles above the price bars.
These markers provide clear visual cues for potential entry and exit points.
Adaptable to Other Timeframes and Assets:
While optimized for the H4 timeframe, the indicator can be adjusted for other timeframes (e.g., M15, H1, D1) by modifying the EMA and SMA settings.
It can also be applied to other assets, such as stocks, forex, or commodities, by tweaking the parameters to suit the asset's volatility and characteristics.
How to Use:
Identify Trends:
Use the colored areas (green for uptrend, red for downtrend) to determine the overall market direction.
Wait for Confirmation:
Look for buy or sell signals (green or red circles) that align with the trend direction.
Ensure the crossover meets the minimum distance requirement to filter out weak signals.
Enter and Exit Trades:
Enter a long position when a buy signal appears during an uptrend.
Enter a short position or exit a long position when a sell signal appears during a downtrend.
Adjust Settings for Other Timeframes/Assets:
Experiment with the EMA and SMA periods to optimize the indicator for different timeframes or assets.
Why Use This Indicator?
Precision: The crossover strength filter reduces noise and false signals.
Versatility: Works across multiple timeframes and assets with customizable settings.
Visual Clarity: Clear trend visualization and signal markers make it easy to interpret.
This indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to capitalize on Bitcoin's volatility or other assets' price movements, providing a structured approach to identifying trends and potential trading opportunities.
Leonid's Bitcoin Sharpe RatioThe Sharpe ratio is an old formula used to value the risk-adjusted return of an asset. It was developed by Nobel Laureate William F. Sharpe. In this case, I have applied it to Bitcoin with an adjustable look-back date.
The Sharpe Ratio shows you the average return earned after subtracting out the risk-free rate per unit of volatility (I've defaulted this to 0.02 ).
Volatility is a measure of the price fluctuations of an asset or portfolio. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows you to understand what the extra returns are for taking the risk.
If the indicator is flashing red, Bitcoin is temporarily overbought (expensive).
If the indicator is flashing green, Bitcoin is temporarily oversold (cheap).
The goal of this indicator is to signal out local tops & bottoms. It can be adjusted as far as the lookback time but I have found 25-26 days to be ideal.
MicroStrategy / Bitcoin Market Cap RatioThis indicator offers a unique analytical perspective by comparing the market capitalization of MicroStrategy (MSTR) with that of Bitcoin (BTC) . Designed for investors and analysts interested in the correlation between MicroStrategy's financial performance and the Bitcoin market, the script calculates and visualizes the ratio of MSTR's market capitalization to Bitcoin's market capitalization.
Key Features:
Start Date: The script considers data starting from July 28, 2020, aligning with MicroStrategy's initial announcement to invest in Bitcoin.
Data Sources: It retrieves real-time data for MSTR's total shares outstanding, MSTR's stock price, and BTC's market capitalization.
Market Cap Calculations: The script calculates MicroStrategy's market cap by multiplying its stock price with the total shares outstanding. It then forms a ratio of MSTR's market cap to BTC's market cap.
Bollinger Bands: To add a layer of analysis, the script includes Bollinger Bands around the ratio, with customizable parameters for length and multiplier. These bands can help identify overbought or oversold conditions in the relationship between MSTR's and BTC's market values.
The indicator plots the MSTR/BTC market cap ratio and the Bollinger Bands, providing a clear visual representation of the relationship between these two market values over time.
This indicator is ideal for users who are tracking the impact of Bitcoin's market movements on MicroStrategy's valuation or vice versa. It provides a novel way to visualize and analyze the interconnectedness of a leading cryptocurrency asset and a major corporate investor in the space.
TARVIS Labs - Bitcoin Macro Bottom/Top SignalsSCRIPT DESCRIPTION
This is a script specifically written to help provide indicators from a macro view. This script is best run on the 1 day interval on Bitstamp's $BTCUSD chart. It helps indicate when to accumulate bitcoin, and when its in a bull run when there are local tops, strong top warnings, and a signal to exit a bull run. This is described further below.
If you don't have interest in trading on the way to the top I suggest turning off the following indicators in the settings of the indicator:
- Opportunity To Buy Back In Indicator
- Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator
ACCUMULATION ZONE INDICATOR - LIGHT GREEN
Description
When we look at the history of Bitcoin every bottom has crossed below the 100 week EMA. Once it does its accompanied by hash ribbon cross with miner capitulation. After that is the prime time to accumulate as theres a clearer signal the bottom is in. Specifically, a signal to look for is the 14 day MACD/signal cross and the 14 day MACD continuing to stay above the signal until the price returns above the 100 week EMA. This is prime accumulation territory.
Strategy for Usage
A good strategy to use when accumulating the bottom is dollar-cost averaging over a 30 day period. The accumulation zone can last longer than 30 days but 30 days is a good range of time to DCA.
STRONG BUY IN ACCUMULATION ZONE INDICATOR - DARK GREEN
Description
We can add to the bottoming signal by looking for post-downtrend reversals inside the bottoming signal. We do this by using a 9/19 daily cross.
Strategy for Usage
These post-downtrend reversals can potentially provide better targeted days for accumulation than the broader bottoming signal and can be used to add more on that day than on an average day for the dollar cost average strategy. Say for example, use 1/3 of funds on these days rather than 1/30th.
OPPORTUNITY TO BUY BACK IN INDICATOR - BLUE
Description
When the 1d 18 EMA > 1d 63 EMA and the 12/52 1d crosses. These together provide good buy opportunities to buy bitcoin.
Strategy for Usage
If you happen to find yourself out of the market from your own TA or a trade, this signal can provide a buy opportunity to reenter the market if you're out of it.
BULL RUN LOCAL TOP INDICATOR - ORANGE
Description
We will similarly use the 100 week EMA to determine trend reversal into a bull run. When we see the 100 week EMA uptrending, we can begin to look for local tops using the 9/19 daily MACD/signal bearish cross along with the 12 EMA having a negative slope, which could be the beginning signal for a local top.
Strategy for Usage
This is a rather light indicator, but can be used in tandem with your own technical analysis to determine if you want to reenter after you exit from its signal.
LOCAL TOP NEAR BULL RUN TOP INDICATOR - RED
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in an uptrend we can look for significant loss of momentum in order to determine if a local top is in near a bull run top. Similar to the Bull Run Local Top Indicator, this strategy uses a MACD/signal cross but instead uses the 30/65 day EMAs.
Strategy for Usage
Ideally the right strategy to use here is to exit the market when this indicator starts. When the indicator ends if the "End of Bull Run Indicator" is not showing on the chart you can buy back into the market.
TOP IS LIKELY IN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in a very strong uptrend and the 9/19 weekly MACD/signal bearish cross occurs, and the 63 EMA begins to downtrend.
Strategy for Usage
This signal typically accompanies the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" therefore if you're following the strategy you would likely already be out of the market, but if you're not and this signal fires its a strong signal the top is in and we're likely going to start seeing a strong retrace. This is typically right before we see the "End of Bull Run Indicator". There is only one occurrence where it wasn't followed by a large drop & the "End of Bull Run Indicator" and that was in the 2017 bull run where there were many strong retracements post local top. The likelihood we see that again is low, but if it were to happen you can buy back into the market when the "Top is Likely In Indicator" and the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" are not firing.
TOP IS LIKELY IN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in a strong uptrend and the 9/19 weekly MACD/signal bearish cross occurs, and the 63 EMA begins to downtrend.
Strategy for Usage
This signal typically accompanies the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" therefore if you're following the strategy you would likely already be out of the market, but if you're not and this signal fires its a strong signal the top is in and we're likely going to start seeing a strong retrace. This is typically right before we see the "End of Bull Run Indicator". There is only one occurrence where it wasn't followed by a large drop & the "End of Bull Run Indicator" and that was in the 2017 bull run where there were many strong retracements post local top. The likelihood we see that again is low, but if it were to happen you can buy back into the market when the "Top is Likely In Indicator" and the "Local Top Near Bull Run Top Indicator" are not firing.
END OF BULL RUN INDICATOR
Description
When the 100 week EMA is in an uptrend and the 1d 18 EMA crosses the 1d 63 EMA.
Strategy for Usage
When the 100 week EMA is a strong uptrend and the 18/63 cross occurs the top is very likely in. It has occurred in every bull run top leading to the bear market.
