COVID Statistics Tracker & Model Projections by Cryptorhythms😷 COVID-19 Coronavirus Tracker & Statistics Tools by Cryptorhythms 😷
📜Intro
I wanted to put some more meaning behind the numbers for 2020's Covid pandemic. I hope this tool can help people analyze and deal with these hard times. With these metrics I hope to give greater depth and dimension to whats available. While also at the same time creating something that looks decently presentable and gives actionable information.
I had planned on including a few forecasting models and letting the user play with values to see how social distancing works. But alas I couldnt complete those in the scope of time I gave myself for the indicator. If you are interested in collaborating on it, I will share what I have with you and we can further work on it.
📋Description
The script contains 3 main parts you will interact with. I suggest you enable the chart labels for "indicator name" and "indicator last value" to make the charts more readable (right click on the scale of your chart and goto the "labels" pop out menu). Depending on what plots and data you choose to chart, logarithmic and regular scales can both be applied in different situations. To get similar visuals to the examples I will show below, you can goto the indicator options > style tab. I then play with the line styles, colors and transparencies to achieve the nice looking charts. Please also note there is a distinction between "Infected" and "Infectious". A model telling you the number of infected doesnt designate whether that person can still pass the virus on to others (infectious). So Infectious numbers are usually lower than total confirmed, but this isnt always the case if for example a country wasnt testing very much during the early phase or something else.
🚧Disclaimer
I am not a medical professional and none of this should be considered medical advice. All of the models, numbers and math I sourced from professional places but this is not a guarantee of the future only an approximation based on current information. Numbers change daily and so can these models!
🌐PART ONE
In this area you select a region to read the proper statistics data from tradingview. You can do global totals, country totals, or for a few places (AU, CA, CN, US) you can see state/province totals. Remember to SELECT ONLY ONE region.
🧮PART TWO
The Plots/Stats/Data section includes:
1. ) Plot the Days to Double Number of Confirmed
2. ) Plot the Infection Growth Ratio
3. ) Plot Fatality Risk Rate (Total Deaths / Total Outcomes)
4. ) Plot Overall Fatality Rate / Recovery Rate
5. ) Plot % of World Infected & % of USA Infected
6. ) Plot Daily New Deaths, Confirmed & Recovered
7. ) Plot Daily Change Percentages
🎱PART THREE
Forecasting Models and Settings:
1 .) Plot the % of Custom Population Infected (Vs. the Region Selected in Part 1 of Settings)
2 .) Plot the True Num. of Infectious (Death Model / DM)
3 .) Plot the Current and Next Weeks Cumulative Infection Projection (DM)
4 .) Plot Estimated Infection Rates? (DM)
5 .) Enable Basic Trajectory Projection?
6 .) Plot the Likelihood of > 0 **Infectious** in a Group (DM) for Today, Tomorrow and Next Week
7 .) Plot the True Num. of Infected (Confirmed/Tested Model)
8 .) Plot the Estimated Epidemiology for 7 and 14 Days Out (Hospital Beds, ICU Beds, Ventilator Units)
Planned But not completed
9.) SIR Epidemiology Model
10.) Exponential Growth Plot & Correlation
To use the Estimator for likelihood of Infected in N group of people you need to do 2 things. Select and use "Custom Population" as the population source for part 3. Then you need to enable "Custom Infected" as the source for the model. Then you enter your geographical area's population and confirmed cases. Its best to goto the smallest / most granular level of data available to accurately estimate the likelihood. So for instance in the order of least effective to most effective data source: global, country, state, county, city...etc.
If you do not understand what these terms or numbers represent, please read the source materials I have linked in the code, or use google. I dont have the time or expertise to explain all the various specific methods and terms included here. This entire project was a learning journey for me and I have zero experience in epidemiology so please excuse any errors I may have made. (and tell me, so I can change it!)
🔮Future Additions
If anyone has a model or stat they would like included I will be happy to add your code to this toolbox to make it more effective and give you credit here in the description. If you want to collaborate please message me.
📊Some Example Charts:
The Cryptorhythms Team wish you and your families all the absolute best of health!
P.S. Stay safe and act smart I dont think this will be the EOTW.
Pesquisar nos scripts por "N+credit最新动态"
ApopheniaPays Crossing detector & 2-field date/time entryYou specify a horizontal line by value, start date/time, and end date/time, and choose a data source (bar close is the default) and it will label count how many times that source crosses that line between those dates/times.
Enter the start and end dates for your horizontal line as MMDDYY and HHMM (24 hour time).
: Jan 17, 2020 would be 11720 (properly it would be 011720, but Pine inputs delete leading 0s).
: November 17, 2020 would be 110720.
: 8:30 AM would be 0830.
: 8:30 PM would be 2030.
Remember to enter the right time zone.
I believe nobody else has published a 2-input date/time picker on TV, at least the last time I checked they hadn't, they all make you input M,D,Y,H,M as separate fields. Ugh!
If you use any parts of this code, please credit me. If somehow you happen to make a lot of money using this code, please think about what a fair share would be to pay me for my help, then give that amount to a worthwhile charity.
My VWAP Reversal + Pivot Points StandardThis indicator, with the addition of a standard VWAP indicator to the 5m chart, helps the operator when using a closing candle Price to initiate a VWAP Reversal strategy.
The strategy involves Price gapping up, look for a Close below the 1st 5m candle Low; else look for a Close above the 1st 5m candle High. On a break of VWAP, take the trade in the opposite direction of the gap, hence the VWAP Reversal. Not my own strat, credit to T3 Newsbeat, publicly posted on YouTube.
The Pivot Points Standard in the Pine 4 user manual, was the base source code, and leaving it here will allow me to remove the PP indicator I was using.
SuperTrendSuperTrend is one of the most common ATR based trailing stop indicators.
In this version you can change the ATR calculation method from the settings. Default method is RMA, when the alternative method is SMA.
The indicator is easy to use and gives an accurate reading about an ongoing trend. It is constructed with two parameters, namely period and multiplier. The default values used while constructing a superindicator are 10 for average true range or trading period and three for its multiplier.
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
The buy and sell signals are generated when the indicator starts plotting either on top of the closing price or below the closing price. A buy signal is generated when the ‘Supertrend’ closes above the price and a sell signal is generated when it closes below the closing price.
It also suggests that the trend is shifting from descending mode to ascending mode. Contrary to this, when a ‘Supertrend’ closes above the price, it generates a sell signal as the colour of the indicator changes into red.
A ‘Supertrend’ indicator can be used on equities, futures or forex, or even crypto markets and also on daily, weekly and hourly charts as well, but generally, it fails in a sideways-moving market.
I had converted Supertrend indicator code for various platforms like Metastock in 2017, but in this TradingView version special credit goes to everget - Alex Orekhov which gave a great inspiration to look my indicators better with highlights, signals and alarms. Thank you Alex.
Pi Cycle Bitcoin top indicatorThe Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. Though in this instance it does so with a high degree of accuracy over the past 7 years.
Full Credit to PositiveCrypto
Pivot Boss 4 EMA + BB + Parabolic SAR + IchimokuA combination of a few of my favorite indicators.
1) Pivot Boss 4 EMA
2) Bollinger Bands
3) Parabolic SAR
4) Ichimoku Cloud
All credit to original authors.
B3 Clear Method Streak CountAbout Clear Method -- to repeat my prior post on the bar painter script:
This indicator is translated out of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities , September 2010, (I take zero design credit). The script simply looks for the price action to break or "clear" the most recent action, and only changes the paintbar color if the action indeed clears the previous candles. Simple to use, just add to your chart from your favorites and change the colors in the UI. It does the rest.
This version can replace my previous Clear Method Bar Painter as it also paints the bars.
What is different is this share is a lower study that counts the streak of the bars shown via histogram.
The way to use the streak is to notice the previous streaks and get a sense of how long the current trend is lasting versus prior trends of the same direction.
@Tradestation recently posted their "price streak" study, and this one is quite similar in nature.
Enjoy, the code open to view,
_B3
d^.^b
Zahorchak MeasureCreator: Michael G. Zahorchak.
References:
The Art of Low Risk Investing by Michael G. Zahorchak, 1977. Unfortunately, it's all but impossible to find a copy these days.
The Complete Guide to Market Breadth Indicators by Gregory L. Morris, 2006. A fantastic resource for those interested in Technical Analysis or creating their own trend based system.
Two articles by Greg Morris on the Zahorchak Measure. I can't link to them under the House Rules, but they are easily searchable.
The Zahorchak Measure (ZM) is designed to give you a market bias (either uptrend or downtrend) which you can use to determine a trade bias for ETF's or stocks.
ZM works by taking multiple moving averages of the NYSE Composite, a moving average of the NYSE advance decline line, and examining the relationship between those elements. Broadly, the market is considered to be in a uptrend when ZM is above zero, and a downtrend when below. However, there are many ways to interpret the indicator.
The version created by Greg Morris is more akin to a binary indicator in that ZM jumps from number to number. This version is smoothed to create an oscillator as it reduces whipsaws (at the expense of lag). You can set the EMA Length to 1 to go back to the original.
Some notes:
Michael Zahorchak called it the "Zahorchak Method", whereas Greg Morris uses the term "Measure". I'm not totally clear on the change, but Mr. Morris made some changes (covered below), so that may explain the altered name.
The original indicator used moving averages of 5, 15, and 40 weeks. I have converted these to daily numbers as that's the time frame I most commonly trade. You can convert the numbers back by dividing by 5.
The original indicator used the Dow Industrials for the moving averages, however Greg Morris switched to the NYSE Composite due to the advance decline line being based on the NYSE.
Greg Morris removed the 5 period moving average of the NYSE Composite, as it created increased volatility at market tops and bottoms. I tested ZM with the 5 period MA added back in, and I believe removing it creates a superior indicator.
I've added both Multi Time Frame functionality, and the ability to alter moving average lengths. Play around and see what you can come up with.
ZM oscillates between -10 and +10. There are some interesting levels creating between these two numbers (apart from the obvious zero level) - see what you can come up with.
All credit goes to Michael Zahorchak and Greg Morris for the indicator creation. I have simply reproduced their work for the TradingView community as this great indicator wasn't available.
Any queries let me know in the comments or PM me.
DD.
PivotPoints with Momentum confirmation by PeterOWho wouldn't like to be able to tell when the market actually reverses instead of just faking it? Every trader who has tried pivothigh/pivotlow functions for that, surely bumped into so many meaningless reversal signals, that probably got discouraged with this concept entirely.
Yet, pivot points are very important. Only they need to be confirmed at least a little bit (you'll never know for sure, you understand that right?)
This script enhances pivot-points mechanism with by confirming potential pivot point with actual reversal in momentum. If momentum reversal is also noticed in synch with the pivothigh/pivotlow, then you've got yourself a reversal - marked on the chart with red or green triangle. You can visually compare where those triangles are marked as compared to those small black ones, meaning the standard pivothigh(high,1,1)/pivotlow(low,1,1). Check yourself how many times this method would save us from pre-mature entry. On average 2/3 pivot points are filtered out.
This is a non-delayed confirmation - there is no waiting for another candle to close, just looking to another indicator for a match.Trader needs to take a decision immediately because if he hesitates, he will be late for sure. Also sometimes this script produces signal even before a full pivot-point is formed, as pin-bar analysis is also included here.
What this script IS NOT:
- a complete trading map. Don't take trade on each green or red triangle. You still need to do your homework on market direction, trend, phase, wave, etc. But at least you have the "trigger" part done.
- these pivot points are still not "guaranteed". You never know the future even as close as the very next candle, so the market can continue its trend right after it produces reversal signal. The aim of this indicator was only to filter out those potential pivot points, which didn't really look like reversals.
If you think this method could be improved somehow or would like to share your thoughts or approach, don't hesitate to reach out to me or write down in comments.
P.S. Credit goes to UCSGEARS for his Top&Bottom candle script. Amazing work. I used the momentum calculation from there.
Candle Information Panel//This indicator shows Day's candle measurements with past averages. First column shows the candle details for the present day.
//"Open - Low", "High - Open", "Range(=High-low)", "Body(open-close)"
//Averages are calculated for occurences of Green and Red days. Up Averages are for Green days and Down Averages are for Red days.
//Average are not perfect calculations since occurences(of Red or Green) will vary within the timespan used for averages.
//This can used to guage general sense of probability of the price movement.
//e.g. if the Open to Low for a day exceeds UpAv value, then there is higher likelihood of day being Red.
//similarly, trade can be held in expectation of price reaching the DnAv and stop loss can be trailed accordingly.
//Not a perfect system. But something to work on further to increase price action understanding.
//Be careful on days where consecutive 3rd Highest High or Lowest Low day is made and also on the next day after such day. Prices may turn direction at least for a short while.
Complete Credit goes to @pinecoders who gave me the main script on tradingview chat room.
BitMEX pump catcher - MACDThis is a modified version of the BitMEX pump catcher by Jomy .
I have tweaked the algorithm to use the difference in MACD to get the correct direction of entries rather than using direction of candles which are not always indicative of trend direction. These changes increase net profit, profitable trades, while reducing drawdown.
Below is a copy and paste of Jomy's explanation of the algorithm.
What is going on here? This strategy is pretty simple. We start by measuring a very long chunk of volume history on BitMEX:XBTUSD 1 hour chart to find out if the current volume is high or low. At 1.0 the indicator is showing we are at 100% of normal historical volume . The blue line is a measure of recent volume! This indicator gets interested when the volume drops below 90% of the regular volume (0.9), and then comes back up over 90%. There's usually a pump of increased price activity during this time. When the 0.9 line is crossed by the blue line, the indicator surveys the last 2 bars of price action to figure out which way we're going, long or short. Green is long. Red is short. To exit the trade we use a 7 period fast ema of the volume crossing under an 11 ema slower period which shows declining interest in the market signifying an end to the pump or dump. The profit factor is quite high with 5x leverage, but historically we see 50% drawdown -- very risky. 1x leverage looks nice and tight with very low drawdown. Play with the inputs to see what matches your own risk profile. I would not recommend taking this into much lower timeframes as trading fees are not included in the profit calculations. Please don't get burned trading on stupid high leverage. This indicator is probably not going to work well on alts, as Bitcoin FOMO build up and behavior is different. This whole indicator is tuned to Bitcoin , and attempts to trade only the meatiest part of the market moves.
Jomy should get full credit to this indicator
Hancock - WAEThis is a version of the LazyBear Waddah Attar Explosion indicator that incorporates the LazyBear Squeeze Momentum Indicator. Full credit goes to LazyBear for this and i've added links to his indicators used for a further explanation.
This histogram is a plot of the difference between the current and previous MACD multiplier by the sensitivity value. Green indicates an up trend and red indicates a down trend.
The white line is the lower BB subtracted from the upper BB and signals should be taken when the histogram is greater than this line.
The blue line is taken from the Squeeze Indicator and is the Keltner Channel. If the white line is less than the blue line it can be considered a squeeze and the background color of the indicator is coloured to indicate when not in a squeeze.
Happy trading folks!
Hancock
Stochastic binary option styleUsing Time Frames For Trend – You can also use different time frames to determine trends with stochastic. To do this you will need to use two different time frame charts, I like to use the weekly/daily or daily/hourly combination depending on the asset. Weekly/daily works well with stocks and indices while I prefer the shorter time frame for currency and commodities. This is how it works; stochastic on the longer term chart sets trend, stochastic on the shorter term chart gives the signal. If, on the weekly chart, stochastic is pointing up then you would trade bullish signals on the daily charts. Or if using the daily/hourly combo the stochastic on the daily would set trend while signals would come from the hourly chart.
Green color bar and background means k is > d, the crowd is bullish (trend is bullish, a bullish crossover is happened), red is the contrary (bears are the leaders)
Credit to Michael Hodges
Daily RangeHey traders,
at first thanks to the one and only Master Educator Stefan Kassing for sharing his legendary system with us!
And also credit to Mortdiggiddy , RootDuk and PineCoders for helping me with the script =)
This script is calculating the daily range (in pips) of the current market you are in, in relation to the last 70 days (10 weeks) .
It is used for a possible Take Profit in Stefan Kassing's System .
How to add the script to your chart:
1. Click " Add to Favorite Scripts "
-> i.imgur.com
2. Go in the Chart & click the little arrow in the upper bar and then click " Daily Range ", then the Daily Range appears in the top left corner
-> i.imgur.com
To avoid errors make sure to right-click the Y-Axis on the right side of the chart and then left-click "Scale Price Chart Only" .
-> i.imgur.com
Also be aware that the daily range is only showing up , if you are in the daily time interval or below and you are not hovering with the cursor over the past candles respectively above or below them .
If you are using this script in exotic currencypairs or uncommon other markets , the daily range can be incorrect or not showing up .
So don't hesitate contacting me , then I will try to add the markets that you want to.
To change the color or the decimal places of the number, you can click the gear in the upper left corner.
-> i.imgur.com
Happy Pips