Short-Term Bubble Risk [Phantom] Short-Term Bubble Risk
Concept
This indicator visualizes short-term market risk by measuring how far price is stretched relative to its recent weekly trend.
Instead of focusing on absolute price levels, it looks at price behavior.
A similar reading means similar market conditions, whether price is high or low.
The goal is to help identify areas of potential accumulation and potential distribution in a clear, visual way.
How It Works
The indicator compares the weekly closing price to a weekly moving average and displays the deviation as a histogram.
When price is far below its average, risk is considered lower
When price is far above its average, risk is considered higher
The zero line represents fair value, where price equals its weekly average.
Features
Color-coded histogram showing short-term risk levels
Designed to work across different assets and price ranges
Optional bar coloring on the main chart using weekly risk data
Safe to use on any timeframe (risk is calculated on weekly data)
Settings
# Moving Average Length (Weeks):
Adjusts how sensitive the indicator is to price changes
# Color Visibility Toggles:
Allows hiding or showing specific risk zones
# Bar Coloring:
Option to color chart candles based on weekly risk levels
Usage
This indicator is best used as a risk lens, not a timing tool.
Common uses include:
Identifying potential accumulation zones during weakness
Spotting overextended conditions during strong moves
Comparing short-term risk across different assets
Adding context to trend-following or DCA strategies
Trade Ideas
# Lower-risk zones (cool colors):
Can support accumulation or patience during downtrends
# Higher-risk zones (warm colors):
Can signal caution, reduced exposure, or profit-taking
Always combine with:
Trend direction
Market structure
Higher-timeframe context
Limitations
This indicator does not predict tops or bottoms
High risk can remain high during strong trends
Low risk does not guarantee immediate reversals
It should not be used as a standalone trading system.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice.
Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Risk
ALT Risk Metric StrategyHere's a professional write-up for your ALT Risk Strategy script:
ALT/BTC Risk Strategy - Multi-Crypto DCA with Bitcoin Correlation Analysis
Overview
This strategy uses Bitcoin correlation as a risk indicator to time entries and exits for altcoins. By analyzing how your chosen altcoin performs relative to Bitcoin, the strategy identifies optimal accumulation periods (when alt/BTC is oversold) and profit-taking opportunities (when alt/BTC is overbought). Perfect for traders who want to outperform Bitcoin by strategically timing altcoin positions.
Key Innovation: Why Alt/BTC Matters
Most traders focus solely on USD price, but Alt/BTC ratios reveal true altcoin strength:
When Alt/BTC is low → Altcoin is undervalued relative to Bitcoin (buy opportunity)
When Alt/BTC is high → Altcoin has outperformed Bitcoin (take profits)
This approach captures the rotation between BTC and alts that drives crypto cycles
Key Features
📊 Advanced Technical Analysis
RSI (60% weight): Primary momentum indicator on weekly timeframe
Long-term MA Deviation (35% weight): Measures distance from 150-period baseline
MACD (5% weight): Minor confirmation signal
EMA Smoothing: Filters noise while maintaining responsiveness
All calculations performed on Alt/BTC pairs for superior market timing
💰 3-Tier DCA System
Level 1 (Risk ≤ 70): Conservative entry, base allocation
Level 2 (Risk ≤ 50): Increased allocation, strong opportunity
Level 3 (Risk ≤ 30): Maximum allocation, extreme undervaluation
Continuous buying: Executes every bar while below threshold for true DCA behavior
Cumulative sizing: L3 triggers = L1 + L2 + L3 amounts combined
📈 Smart Profit Management
Sequential selling: Must complete L1 before L2, L2 before L3
Percentage-based exits: Sell portions of position, not fixed amounts
Auto-reset on re-entry: New buy signals reset sell progression
Prevents premature full exits during volatile conditions
🤖 3Commas Automation
Pre-configured JSON webhooks for Custom Signal Bots
Multi-exchange support: Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitfinex, Bybit
Flexible quote currency: USD, USDT, or BUSD
Dynamic order sizing: Automatically adjusts to your tier thresholds
Full webhook documentation compliance
🎨 Multi-Asset Support
Pre-configured for popular altcoins:
ETH (Ethereum)
SOL (Solana)
ADA (Cardano)
LINK (Chainlink)
UNI (Uniswap)
XRP (Ripple)
DOGE
RENDER
Custom option for any other crypto
How It Works
Risk Metric Calculation (0-100 scale):
Fetches weekly Alt/BTC price data for stability
Calculates RSI, MACD, and deviation from 150-period MA
Normalizes MACD to 0-100 range using 500-bar lookback
Combines weighted components: (MACD × 0.05) + (RSI × 0.60) + (Deviation × 0.35)
Applies 5-period EMA smoothing for cleaner signals
Color-Coded Risk Zones:
Green (0-30): Extreme buying opportunity - Alt heavily oversold vs BTC
Lime/Yellow (30-70): Accumulation range - favorable risk/reward
Orange (70-85): Caution zone - consider taking initial profits
Red/Maroon (85-100+): Euphoria zone - aggressive profit-taking
Entry Logic:
Buys execute every candle when risk is below threshold
As risk decreases, position sizing automatically scales up
Example: If risk drops from 60→25, you'll be buying at L1 rate until it hits 50, then L2 rate, then L3 rate
Exit Logic:
Sells only trigger when in profit AND risk exceeds thresholds
Sequential execution ensures partial profit-taking
If new buy signal occurs before all sells complete, sell levels reset to L1
Configuration Guide
Choosing Your Altcoin:
Select crypto from dropdown (or use CUSTOM for unlisted coins)
Pick your exchange
Choose quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
Risk Metric Tuning:
Long Term MA (default 150): Higher = more extreme signals, Lower = more frequent
RSI Length (default 10): Lower = more volatile, Higher = smoother
Smoothing (default 5): Increase for less noise, decrease for faster reaction
Buy Settings (Aggressive DCA Example):
L1 Threshold: 70 | Amount: $5
L2 Threshold: 50 | Amount: $6
L3 Threshold: 30 | Amount: $7
Total L3 buy = $18 per candle when deeply oversold
Sell Settings (Balanced Exit Example):
L1: 70 threshold, 25% position
L2: 85 threshold, 35% position
L3: 100 threshold, 40% position (final exit)
3Commas Setup
Bot Configuration:
Create Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Set trading pair to your altcoin/USD (e.g., ETH/USD, SOL/USDT)
Order size: Select "Send in webhook, quote" to use strategy's dollar amounts
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token
Script Configuration:
Paste credentials into 3Commas section inputs
Check "Enable 3Commas Alerts"
Save and apply to chart
TradingView Alert:
Create Alert → Condition: "alert() function calls only"
Webhook URL: api.3commas.io
Enable "Webhook URL" checkbox
Expiration: Open-ended
Strategy Advantages
✅ Outperform Bitcoin: Designed specifically to beat BTC by timing alt rotations
✅ Capture Alt Seasons: Automatically accumulates when alts lag, sells when they pump
✅ Risk-Adjusted Sizing: Buys more when cheaper (better risk/reward)
✅ Emotional Discipline: Systematic approach removes fear and FOMO
✅ Multi-Asset: Run same strategy across multiple altcoins simultaneously
✅ Proven Indicators: Combines RSI, MACD, and MA deviation - battle-tested tools
Backtesting Insights
Optimal Timeframes:
Daily chart: Best for backtesting and signal generation
Weekly data is fetched internally regardless of display timeframe
Historical Performance Characteristics:
Accumulates heavily during bear markets and BTC dominance periods
Captures explosive altcoin rallies when BTC stagnates
Sequential selling preserves capital during extended downtrends
Works best on established altcoins with multi-year history
Risk Considerations:
Requires capital reserves for extended accumulation periods
Some altcoins may never recover if fundamentals deteriorate
Past correlation patterns may not predict future performance
Always size positions according to personal risk tolerance
Visual Interface
Indicator Panel Displays:
Dynamic color line: Green→Lime→Yellow→Orange→Red as risk increases
Horizontal threshold lines: Dashed lines mark your buy/sell levels
Entry/Exit labels: Green labels for buys, Orange/Red/Maroon for sells
Real-time risk value: Numerical display on price scale
Customization:
All threshold lines are adjustable via inputs
Color scheme clearly differentiates buy zones (green spectrum) from sell zones (red spectrum)
Line weights emphasize most extreme thresholds (L3 buy and L3 sell)
Strategy Philosophy
This strategy is built on the principle that altcoins move in cycles relative to Bitcoin. During Bitcoin rallies, alts often bleed against BTC (high sell, accumulate). When Bitcoin consolidates, alts pump (take profits). By measuring risk on the Alt/BTC chart instead of USD price, we time these rotations with precision.
The 3-tier system ensures you're always averaging in at better prices and scaling out at better prices, maximizing your Bitcoin-denominated returns.
Advanced Tips
Multi-Bot Strategy:
Run this on 5-10 different altcoins simultaneously to:
Diversify correlation risk
Capture whichever alt is pumping
Smooth equity curve through rotation
Pairing with BTC Strategy:
Use alongside the BTC DCA Risk Strategy for complete portfolio coverage:
BTC strategy for core holdings
ALT strategies for alpha generation
Rebalance between them based on BTC dominance
Threshold Calibration:
Check 2-3 years of historical data for your chosen alt
Note where risk metric sat during major bottoms (set buy thresholds)
Note where it peaked during euphoria (set sell thresholds)
Adjust for your risk tolerance and holding period
Credits
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Technical Analysis Framework: RSI, MACD, Moving Average theory
Implementation: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Altcoins are especially volatile and many fail completely. The strategy assumes liquid markets and reliable Alt/BTC price data. Always do your own research, understand the fundamentals of any asset you trade, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no liability for trading decisions.
Additional Warning: Using leverage or trading illiquid altcoins amplifies risk significantly. This strategy is designed for spot trading of established cryptocurrencies with deep liquidity.
Tags: Altcoin, Alt/BTC, DCA, Risk Metric, Dollar Cost Averaging, 3Commas, ETH, SOL, Crypto Rotation, Bitcoin Correlation, Automated Trading, Alt Season
Feel free to modify any sections to better match your style or add specific backtesting results you've observed! 🚀Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses. Sonnet 4.5
BTC DCA Risk Metric StrategyBTC DCA Risk Strategy - Automated Dollar Cost Averaging with 3Commas Integration
Overview
This strategy combines the proven Oakley Wood Risk Metric with an intelligent tiered Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) system, designed to help traders systematically accumulate Bitcoin during periods of low risk and take profits during high-risk conditions.
Key Features
📊 Multi-Component Risk Assessment
4-Year SMA Deviation: Measures Bitcoin's distance from its long-term mean
20-Week MA Analysis: Tracks medium-term momentum shifts
50-Day/50-Week MA Ratio: Captures short-to-medium term trend strength
All metrics are normalized by time to account for Bitcoin's maturing market dynamics
💰 3-Tier DCA Buy System
Level 1 (Low Risk): Conservative entry with base allocation
Level 2 (Lower Risk): Increased allocation as opportunity improves
Level 3 (Extreme Low Risk): Maximum allocation during rare buying opportunities
Buys execute every bar while risk remains below thresholds, enabling true DCA accumulation
📈 Progressive Profit Taking
Sell Level 1: Take initial profits as risk increases
Sell Level 2: Scale out further positions during elevated risk
Sell Level 3: Final exit during extreme market conditions
Sell levels automatically reset when new buy signals occur, allowing flexible re-entry
🤖 3Commas Integration
Fully automated webhook alerts for Custom Signal Bots
JSON payloads formatted per 3Commas API specifications
Supports multiple exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, Bybit)
Configurable quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
How It Works
The strategy calculates a composite risk metric (0-1 scale):
0.0-0.2: Extreme buying opportunity (green zone)
0.2-0.5: Favorable accumulation range (yellow zone)
0.5-0.8: Neutral to cautious territory (orange zone)
0.8-1.0+: High risk, profit-taking zone (red zone)
Buy Logic: As risk decreases, position sizes increase automatically. If risk drops from L1 to L3 threshold, the strategy combines all three tier allocations for maximum exposure.
Sell Logic: Sequential profit-taking ensures you capture gains progressively. The system won't advance to Sell L2 until L1 completes, preventing premature full exits.
Configuration
Risk Metric Parameters:
All calculations use Bitcoin price data (any BTC chart works)
Time-normalized formulas adapt to market maturity
No manual parameter tuning required
Buy Settings:
Set risk thresholds for each tier (default: 0.20, 0.10, 0.00)
Define dollar amounts per tier (default: $10, $15, $20)
Fully customizable to your risk tolerance and capital
Sell Settings:
Configure risk thresholds for profit-taking (default: 1.00, 1.50, 2.00)
Set percentage of position to sell at each level (default: 25%, 35%, 40%)
3Commas Setup:
Create a Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token into strategy inputs
Enable 3Commas Alerts checkbox
Create TradingView alert: Condition → "alert() function calls only", Webhook → api.3commas.io
Backtesting Results
Strengths:
Systematically buys dips without emotion
Averages down during extended bear markets
Captures explosive bull run profits through tiered exits
Pyramiding (1000 max orders) allows true DCA behavior
Considerations:
Requires sufficient capital for multiple buys during prolonged downtrends
Backtest on Daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Visual Design
The indicator pane displays:
Color-coded risk metric line: Changes from white→red→orange→yellow→green as risk decreases
Background zones: Green (buy), yellow (hold), red (sell) areas
Dashed threshold lines: Clear visual markers for each buy/sell level
Entry/Exit labels: Green buy labels and orange/red sell labels mark all trades
Credits
Original Risk Metric: Oakley Wood
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Modifications: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading carries substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no responsibility for trading decisions made using this tool.
Hash Ratings EngineHash Ratings Engine - Technical Consensus Strategy
A systematic trading strategy that harnesses TradingView's Technical Ratings to generate high-conviction entries with institutional-grade risk management.
What It Does
This strategy aggregates the consensus of 26+ technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastics, multiple Moving Averages, etc.) into a single actionable signal. When enough indicators align bullish or bearish, the engine triggers an entry. Built-in trend filtering and ATR-based exits keep you on the right side of the market.
Key Features
Trend Filter - Only takes longs in uptrends, shorts in downtrends. This single filter typically improves results by 20-40% by avoiding counter-trend trades.
ATR-Based Risk Management - Stop loss and trailing stops adapt to current market volatility. Tight stops in calm markets, wider stops in volatile conditions.
Cooldown System - After a losing trade, the strategy waits before re-entering. This prevents the consecutive loss streaks that destroy accounts.
Clean Visuals - Fluorescent entry/exit signals with price level references. See exactly where you got in and out.
Settings Guide
Indicator Timeframe: Leave blank for current chart. Use higher timeframe for fewer, higher-quality signals.
Rating Source: "All" for balanced approach. "MAs" for trend-following. "Oscillators" for mean-reversion.
Entry Thresholds
Strong Signal Threshold: Higher = fewer trades but better conviction. Start at 0.5, test 0.4-0.6.
Risk Management
ATR Period: 12 is responsive, 14 is standard, 20+ is smoother.
Stop Loss: 2-3x ATR for tight stops, 3.5-4x for moderate, 5x+ for wide.
Trail Activation: How far price must move in profit before trailing begins.
Trail Offset: How closely the trail follows price.
Trend Filter
EMA Length: 150 works well on 4H charts. Use 100 for lower timeframes, 200 for daily.
Trade Timing
Cooldown: Keep enabled. 5 bars is a good starting point.
Best Practices
Start with default settings and backtest on your preferred instrument. Adjust the Strong Signal Threshold first - this has the biggest impact on trade frequency. Then tune the EMA length to match your timeframe. Finally, optimize the ATR multipliers for your risk tolerance.
Works on any liquid market - crypto, forex, stocks, futures. Higher timeframes (4H, Daily) tend to produce cleaner signals than lower timeframes.
Disclaimer
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always backtest thoroughly and use proper position sizing. This strategy is for educational purposes - trade at your own risk.
Volatility-Dynamic Risk Manager MNQ [HERMAN]Title: Volatility-Dynamic Risk Manager MNQ
Description:
The Volatility-Dynamic Risk Manager is a dedicated risk management utility designed specifically for traders of Micro Nasdaq 100 Futures (MNQ).
Many traders struggle with position sizing because they use a fixed Stop Loss size regardless of market conditions. A 10-point stop might be safe in a slow market but easily stopped out in a high-volatility environment. This indicator solves that problem by monitoring real-time volatility (using ATR) and automatically suggesting the appropriate Stop Loss size and Position Size (Contracts) to keep your dollar risk constant.
Note: This tool is hardcoded for MNQ (Micro Nasdaq) with a tick value calculation of $2 per point.
📈 How It Works
-This script operates on a logical flow that adapts to market behavior:
-Volatility Measurement: It calculates the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined length (Default: 14) to gauge the current "speed" of the market.
-State Detection: Based on the current ATR, the script classifies the market into one of three states:
Low Volatility: The market is chopping or moving slowly.
Normal Volatility: Standard trading conditions.
High Volatility: The market is moving aggressively.
Dynamic Stop Loss Selection: Depending on the detected state, the script selects a pre-defined Stop Loss (in points) that you have configured for that specific environment.
Position Sizing Calculation: Finally, it calculates how many MNQ contracts you can trade so that if your Stop Loss is hit, you do not lose more than your defined "Max Risk per Trade."
🧮 Methodology & Calculations
Since this script handles risk management, transparency in calculation is vital.
Here is the exact math used:
ATR Calculation: Contracts = Max Risk / Risk Per Contract
⚙️ Settings
You can fully customize the behavior of the risk manager via the settings panel:
Risk Management
-Max Risk per Trade ($): The maximum amount of USD you are willing to lose on a single trade.
Volatility Thresholds (ATR)
-ATR Length: The lookback period for volatility calculation.
-Upper Limit for LOW Volatility: If ATR is below this number, the market is "Low Volatility."
-Lower Limit for HIGH Volatility: If ATR is above this number, the market is "High Volatility." (Anything between Low and High is considered "Normal").
Stop Loss Settings (Points)
-SL for Low/Normal/High: Define how wide your stop loss should be in points for each of the three market states.
Visual Settings
-Color Theme: Switch between Light and Dark modes.
-Panel Position: Move the dashboard to any corner or center of your chart.
-Panel Size: Adjust the scale (Tiny to Large) to fit your screen resolution.
📊 Dashboard Overview
-The on-screen panel provides a quick-glance summary for live execution:
-Market State: Color-coded status (Green = Low Vol, Orange = Normal, Red = High Vol).
-Current ATR: The live volatility reading.
-Suggested SL: The Stop Loss size you should enter in your execution platform.
-CONTRACTS: The calculated position size.
-Est. Loss: The actual dollar amount you will lose if the stop is hit (usually slightly less than your Max Risk due to rounding down).
Who is this for?
-Discretionary and systematic futures traders on MNQ (/MNQ or MES also works with small adjustments)
-Anyone who wants perfect risk consistency regardless of whether the market is asleep or exploding
-Traders who hate manual position-size calculations on every trade
No repainting
Works on any timeframe
Real-time updates on every bar
Overlay indicator (no signals, pure risk-management tool)
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for informational and educational purposes only. It calculates mathematical position sizes based on user inputs. It does not execute trades, nor does it guarantee profits. Past performance (volatility) is not indicative of future results. Always manually verify your order size before executing trades on your broker platform.
Goal Setting Strategies Viprasol# 🎯 Goal Setting Strategies Viprasol
A powerful goal tracking tool designed for disciplined traders who want to monitor their trading objectives, milestones, and progress directly on their charts.
## ✨ KEY FEATURES
### 📊 Flexible Goal Management
- Track anywhere from 1 to 20 trading goals simultaneously
- Adjustable goal count via simple input slider
- Each goal has its own unique emoji identifier
- Real-time progress counter
### ✅ Visual Tracking System
- Interactive checkbox system for goal completion
- Clear visual indicators (✅ completed, ⬜️ pending)
- Customizable goal names and descriptions
- Dynamic progress display
### 🎨 Full Customization
- **4 Position Options**: Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right
- **5 Font Sizes**: Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge (optimized for all screen sizes)
- **Custom Colors**: Header, labels, background, achievement text
- **Premium Styling**: Modern cyber-themed design with professional appearance
### 💡 Perfect For:
- Daily/Weekly trading goal tracking
- Risk management milestones
- Profit target monitoring
- Trading plan compliance
- Personal development objectives
- Learning milestones
## 🔧 HOW TO USE
1. **Set Your Primary Goal**: Enter your main objective in "Primary Goal" field
2. **Choose Goal Count**: Select how many goals you want (1-20)
3. **Name Your Goals**: Customize each goal name in the "Goal Definitions" section
4. **Track Progress**: Check off goals as you complete them
5. **Customize Display**: Adjust colors, sizes, and position to match your chart setup
## 📐 INPUT GROUPS
### 🎯 Viprasol Goal Configuration
- Primary Goal Name
- Number of Goals (1-20)
### 📋 Goal Definitions
- All 20 goals with individual names and checkboxes
- Only enabled goals (based on count) will display
### 🌈 Premium Styling
- Goal Header Color
- Label Color
- Panel Background Color
- Achievement Color
- Header Font Size
- Milestone Font Size (Tiny/Small optimized for space)
### 📍 Elite Display
- Dashboard Position selector
## 💎 UNIQUE FEATURES
- **Space Efficient**: Tiny and Small font options for compact displays
- **Scalable**: Grow from 1 goal to 20 as your needs evolve
- **Non-Intrusive**: Overlay indicator that doesn't interfere with price action
- **Professional Design**: Clean, modern interface with cyber aesthetic
## 🎓 USE CASES
**Day Traders**: Track daily profit targets, trade count limits, max loss thresholds
**Swing Traders**: Monitor weekly/monthly goals, position management rules
**New Traders**: Learning milestones, strategy development checkpoints
**Experienced Traders**: Advanced risk management, portfolio objectives
## ⚙️ TECHNICAL DETAILS
- Version: Pine Script v5
- Type: Overlay Indicator
- Max Labels: 500
- Table-based display system
- No repainting
- Lightweight performance
## 🚀 GETTING STARTED
1. Add indicator to your chart
2. Set "Number of Goals" to your desired count (start small, scale up)
3. Customize goal names
4. Check boxes as you achieve goals
5. Watch your progress build!
## 📊 DISPLAY OPTIMIZATION
- Use "Tiny" or "Small" for maximum goals on small screens
- Use "Normal" or "Large" for standard monitors
- Use "Huge" for presentation or large displays
- Adjust position to avoid chart overlap
## 🎯 TRADING DISCIPLINE
This tool helps reinforce:
- Goal-oriented trading mindset
- Progress tracking accountability
- Milestone celebration
- Structured approach to trading development
---
**© viprasol**
*Designed for traders who take their goals seriously.*
VIX vs VIX1Y SpreadSpread Calculation: Shows VIX1Y minus VIX
Positive = longer-term vol higher (normal contango)
Negative = near-term vol elevated (inverted term structure)
Can help identify longer term risk pricing of equity assets.
APEX TREND: Macro & Hard Stop SystemAPEX TREND: Macro & Hard Stop System
The APEX TREND System is a composite trend-following strategy engineered to solve the "Whipsaw" problem inherent in standard breakout systems. It orchestrates four distinct technical theories—Macro Trend Filtering, Volatility Squeeze, Momentum, and Volatility Stop-Loss—into a single, hierarchical decision-making engine.
This script is not merely a collection of indicators; it is a rules-based trading system designed for Swing Traders (Day/Week timeframes) who aim to capture major trend extensions while strictly managing downside risk through a "Hard Stop" mechanism.
🧠 Underlying Concepts & Originality
Many trend indicators fail because they treat all price movements equally. The APEX TREND differentiates itself by applying an "Institutional Filter" logic derived from classic Dow Theory and Modern Volatility Analysis.
1. The Macro Hard Stop (The 200 EMA Logic)
Origin: Based on the institutional mandate that “Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average.”
Function: Unlike standard super trends that flip constantly in sideways markets, this system integrates a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as a non-negotiable "Hard Stop."
Synergy: This acts as the primary gatekeeper. Even if the volatility engine signals a "Buy," the system suppresses the signal if the price is below the Macro Baseline, effectively filtering out counter-trend traps.
2. The Volatility Engine (Squeeze Theory)
Origin: Derived from John Carter’s TTM Squeeze concept.
Function: The script identifies periods where Bollinger Bands (Standard Deviation) contract inside Keltner Channels (ATR). This indicates a period of potential energy build-up.
Synergy: The system only triggers an entry when this energy is released (Breakout) AND coincides with Linear Regression Momentum, ensuring the breakout is genuine.
3. Anti-Chop Filter (ADX Integration)
Origin: J. Welles Wilder’s Directional Movement Theory.
Function: A common failure point for trend systems is low-volatility chop. This script utilizes the Average Directional Index (ADX).
Synergy: If the ADX is below the threshold (Default: 20), the market is deemed "Choppy." The script visually represents this by painting candles GRAY, signaling a "No-Trade Zone" regardless of price action.
4. The "Run Trend" Stop Loss (Factor 4.0 ATR)
Origin: Adapted from the Turtle Trading rules regarding volatility-based stops.
Function: Standard Trailing Stops (usually Factor 3.0) are too tight for crypto or volatile equities on daily timeframes.
Optimization: This system employs a wider ATR Multiplier of 4.0. This allows the asset to fluctuate naturally within a trend without triggering a premature exit, maximizing the "Run Trend" potential.
🛠 How It Works (The Algorithm)
The script processes data in a specific order to generate a signal:
Check Macro Trend: Is Price > EMA 200? (If No, Longs are disabled).
Check Volatility: Is ADX > 20? (If No, all signals are disabled).
Check Volume: Is Current Volume > 1.2x Average Volume? (Confirmation of institutional participation).
Trigger: Has a Volatility Breakout occurred in the direction of the Macro Trend?
Execution: If ALL above are true -> Generate Signal.
🎯 Strategy Guide
1. Long Setup (Bullish)
Signal: Look for the Green "APEX LONG" Label.
Condition: The price must be ABOVE the White Line (EMA 200).
Execution: Enter at the close of the signal candle.
Stop Loss: Initial stop at the Green Trailing Line.
2. Short Setup (Bearish)
Signal: Look for the Red "APEX SHORT" Label.
Condition: The price must be BELOW the White Line (EMA 200).
Execution: Enter at the close of the signal candle.
Stop Loss: Initial stop at the Red Trailing Line.
3. Exit Rules (Crucial)
This system employs a Dual-Exit Mechanism:
Soft Exit (Profit Taking): Close the position if the price crosses the Trailing Stop Line (Green/Red line). This locks in profits during a trend reversal.
Hard Exit (Emergency): Close the position IMMEDIATELY if the price crosses the White EMA 200 Line against your trade. This prevents holding a position during a major market regime change.
⚙️ Settings
Momentum Engine: Adjust Bollinger Band/Keltner Channel lengths to tune breakout sensitivity.
Apex Filters: Toggle the EMA 200 or ADX filters on/off to adapt to different asset classes.
Risk Management: The ATR Multiplier (Default 4.0) controls the width of the trailing stop. Lower values = Tighter stops (Scalping); Higher values = Looser stops (Swing).
Disclaimer: This script is designed for trend-following on higher timeframes (4H, 1D, 1W). Please backtest on your specific asset before live trading.
Stochastic Hash Strat [Hash Capital Research]# Stochastic Hash Strategy by Hash Capital Research
## 🎯 What Is This Strategy?
The **Stochastic Slow Strategy** is a momentum-based trading system that identifies oversold and overbought market conditions to capture mean-reversion opportunities. Think of it as a "buy low, sell high" approach with smart mathematical filters that remove emotion from your trading decisions.
Unlike fast-moving indicators that generate excessive noise, this strategy uses **smoothed stochastic oscillators** to identify only the highest-probability setups when momentum truly shifts.
---
## 💡 Why This Strategy Works
Most traders fail because they:
- **Chase prices** after big moves (buying high, selling low)
- **Overtrade** in choppy, directionless markets
- **Exit too early** or hold losses too long
This strategy solves all three problems:
1. **Entry Discipline**: Only trades when the stochastic oscillator crosses in extreme zones (oversold for longs, overbought for shorts)
2. **Cooldown Filter**: Prevents revenge trading by forcing a waiting period after each trade
3. **Fixed Risk/Reward**: Pre-defined stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure consistent risk management
**The Math Behind It**: The stochastic oscillator measures where the current price sits relative to its recent high-low range. When it's below 25, the market is oversold (time to buy). When above 70, it's overbought (time to sell). The crossover with its moving average confirms momentum is shifting.
---
## 📊 Best Markets & Timeframes
### ⭐ OPTIMAL PERFORMANCE:
**Crude Oil (WTI) - 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: Oil markets have predictable volatility patterns and respect technical levels
**AAVE/USD - 4H to 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: DeFi tokens exhibit strong momentum cycles with clear extremes
### ✅ Also Works Well On:
- **BTC/USD** (12H, Daily) - Lower frequency but high win rate
- **ETH/USD** (8H, 12H) - Balanced volatility and liquidity
- **Gold (XAU/USD)** (Daily) - Classic mean-reversion asset
- **EUR/USD** (4H, 8H) - Lower volatility, requires patience
### ❌ Avoid Using On:
- Timeframes below 4H (too much noise)
- Low-liquidity altcoins (wide spreads kill performance)
- Strongly trending markets without pullbacks (Bitcoin in 2021)
- News-driven instruments during major events
---
## 🎛️ Understanding The Settings
### Core Stochastic Parameters
**Stochastic Length (Default: 16)**
- Controls the lookback period for price comparison
- Lower = faster reactions, more signals (10-14 for volatile markets)
- Higher = smoother signals, fewer trades (16-21 for stable markets)
- **Pro tip**: Use 10 for crypto 4H, 16 for commodities 12H
**Overbought Level (Default: 70)**
- Threshold for short entries
- Lower values (65-70) = more trades, earlier entries
- Higher values (75-80) = fewer but higher-conviction trades
- **Sweet spot**: 70 works for most assets
**Oversold Level (Default: 25)**
- Threshold for long entries
- Higher values (25-30) = more trades, earlier entries
- Lower values (15-20) = fewer but stronger bounce setups
- **Sweet spot**: 20-25 depending on market conditions
**Smooth K & Smooth D (Default: 7 & 3)**
- Additional smoothing to filter out whipsaws
- K=7 makes the indicator slower and more reliable
- D=3 is the signal line that confirms the trend
- **Don't change these unless you know what you're doing**
---
### Risk Management
**Stop Loss % (Default: 2.2%)**
- Automatically exits losing trades
- Should be 1.5x to 2x your average market volatility
- Too tight = death by a thousand cuts
- Too wide = uncontrolled losses
- **Calibration**: Check ATR indicator and set SL slightly above it
**Take Profit % (Default: 7%)**
- Automatically exits winning trades
- Should be 2.5x to 3x your stop loss (reward-to-risk ratio)
- This default gives 7% / 2.2% = 3.18:1 R:R
- **The golden rule**: Never have R:R below 2:1
---
### Trade Filters
**Bar Cooldown Filter (Default: ON, 3 bars)**
- **What it does**: Forces you to wait X bars after closing a trade before entering a new one
- **Why it matters**: Prevents emotional revenge trading and overtrading in choppy markets
- **Settings guide**:
- 3 bars = Standard (good for most cases)
- 5-7 bars = Conservative (oil, slow-moving assets)
- 1-2 bars = Aggressive (only for experienced traders)
**Exit on Opposite Extreme (Default: ON)**
- Closes your long when stochastic hits overbought (and vice versa)
- Acts as an early profit-taking mechanism
- **Leave this ON** unless you're testing other exit strategies
**Divergence Filter (Default: OFF)**
- Looks for price/momentum divergences for additional confirmation
- **When to enable**: Trending markets where you want fewer but higher-quality trades
- **Keep OFF for**: Mean-reverting markets (oil, forex, most of the time)
---
## 🚀 Quick Start Guide
### Step 1: Set Up in TradingView
1. Open TradingView and navigate to your chart
2. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom
3. Copy and paste the strategy code
4. Click "Add to Chart"
5. The strategy will appear in a separate pane below your price chart
### Step 2: Choose Your Market
**If you're trading Crude Oil:**
- Timeframe: 12H
- Keep all default settings
- Watch for signals during London/NY overlap (8am-11am EST)
**If you're trading AAVE or crypto:**
- Timeframe: 4H or 12H
- Consider these adjustments:
- Stochastic Length: 10-14 (faster)
- Oversold: 20 (more aggressive)
- Take Profit: 8-10% (higher targets)
### Step 3: Wait for Your First Signal
**LONG Entry** (Green circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses up below oversold level (25)
- Price likely near recent lows
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**SHORT Entry** (Red circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses down above overbought level (70)
- Price likely near recent highs
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**EXIT** (Orange circle):
- Position closes either at stop, target, or opposite extreme
- Cooldown period begins
### Step 4: Let It Run
The biggest mistake? **Interfering with the system.**
- Don't close trades early because you're scared
- Don't skip signals because you "have a feeling"
- Don't increase position size after a big win
- Don't revenge trade after a loss
**Follow the system or don't use it at all.**
---
### Important Risks:
1. **Drawdown Pain**: You WILL experience losing streaks of 5-7 trades. This is mathematically normal.
2. **Whipsaw Markets**: Choppy, range-bound conditions can trigger multiple small losses.
3. **Gap Risk**: Overnight gaps can cause your actual fill to be worse than the stop loss.
4. **Slippage**: Real execution prices differ from backtested prices (factor in 0.1-0.2% slippage).
---
## 🔧 Optimization Guide
### When to Adjust Settings:
**Market Volatility Increased?**
- Widen stop loss by 0.5-1%
- Increase take profit proportionally
- Consider increasing cooldown to 5-7 bars
**Getting Too Few Signals?**
- Decrease stochastic length to 10-12
- Increase oversold to 30, decrease overbought to 65
- Reduce cooldown to 2 bars
**Getting Too Many Losses?**
- Increase stochastic length to 18-21 (slower, smoother)
- Enable divergence filter
- Increase cooldown to 5+ bars
- Verify you're on the right timeframe
### A/B Testing Method:
1. **Run default settings for 50 trades** on your chosen market
2. Document: Win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, emotional tolerance
3. **Change ONE variable** (e.g., oversold from 25 to 20)
4. Run another 50 trades
5. Compare results
6. Keep the better version
**Never change multiple settings at once** or you won't know what worked.
---
## 📚 Educational Resources
### Key Concepts to Learn:
**Stochastic Oscillator**
- Developed by George Lane in the 1950s
- Measures momentum by comparing closing price to price range
- Formula: %K = (Close - Low) / (High - Low) × 100
- Similar to RSI but more sensitive to price movements
**Mean Reversion vs. Trend Following**
- This is a **mean reversion** strategy (price returns to average)
- Works best in ranging markets with defined support/resistance
- Fails in strong trending markets (2017 Bitcoin, 2020 Tech stocks)
- Complement with trend filters for better results
**Risk:Reward Ratio**
- The cornerstone of profitable trading
- Winning 40% of trades with 3:1 R:R = profitable
- Winning 60% of trades with 1:1 R:R = breakeven (after fees)
- **This strategy aims for 45% win rate with 2.5-3:1 R:R**
### Recommended Reading:
- *"Trading Systems and Methods"* by Perry Kaufman (Chapter on Oscillators)
- *"Mean Reversion Trading Systems"* by Howard Bandy
- *"The New Trading for a Living"* by Dr. Alexander Elder
---
## 🛠️ Troubleshooting
### "I'm not seeing any signals!"
**Check:**
- Is your timeframe 4H or higher?
- Is the stochastic actually reaching extreme levels (check if your asset is stuck in middle range)?
- Is cooldown still active from a previous trade?
- Are you on a low-liquidity pair?
**Solution**: Switch to a more volatile asset or lower the overbought/oversold thresholds.
---
### "The strategy keeps losing money!"
**Check:**
- What's your win rate? (Below 35% is concerning)
- What's your profit factor? (Below 0.8 means serious issues)
- Are you trading during major news events?
- Is the market in a strong trend?
**Solution**:
1. Verify you're using recommended markets/timeframes
2. Increase cooldown period to avoid choppy markets
3. Reduce position size to 5% while you diagnose
4. Consider switching to daily timeframe for less noise
---
### "My stop losses keep getting hit!"
**Check:**
- Is your stop loss tighter than the average ATR?
- Are you trading during high-volatility sessions?
- Is slippage eating into your buffer?
**Solution**:
1. Calculate the 14-period ATR
2. Set stop loss to 1.5x the ATR value
3. Avoid trading right after market open or major news
4. Factor in 0.2% slippage for crypto, 0.1% for oil
---
## 💪 Pro Tips from the Trenches
### Psychological Discipline
**The Three Deadly Sins:**
1. **Skipping signals** - "This one doesn't feel right"
2. **Early exits** - "I'll just take profit here to be safe"
3. **Revenge trading** - "I need to make back that loss NOW"
**The Solution:** Treat your strategy like a business system. Would McDonald's skip making fries because the cashier "doesn't feel like it today"? No. Systems work because of consistency.
---
### Position Management
**Scaling In/Out** (Advanced)
- Enter 50% position at signal
- Add 50% if stochastic reaches 10 (oversold) or 90 (overbought)
- Exit 50% at 1.5x take profit, let the rest run
**This is NOT for beginners.** Master the basic system first.
---
### Market Awareness
**Oil Traders:**
- OPEC meetings = volatility spikes (avoid or widen stops)
- US inventory reports (Wed 10:30am EST) = avoid trading 2 hours before/after
- Summer driving season = different patterns than winter
**Crypto Traders:**
- Monday-Tuesday = typically lower volatility (fewer signals)
- Thursday-Sunday = higher volatility (more signals)
- Avoid trading during exchange maintenance windows
---
## ⚖️ Legal Disclaimer
This trading strategy is provided for **educational purposes only**.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Trading involves substantial risk of loss
- Only trade with capital you can afford to lose
- No one associated with this strategy is a licensed financial advisor
- You are solely responsible for your trading decisions
**By using this strategy, you acknowledge that you understand and accept these risks.**
---
## 🙏 Acknowledgments
Strategy development inspired by:
- George Lane's original Stochastic Oscillator work
- Modern quantitative trading research
- Community feedback from hundreds of backtests
Built with ❤️ for retail traders who want systematic, disciplined approaches to the markets.
---
**Good luck, stay disciplined, and trade the system, not your emotions.**
Average True Range % infoATR% is a modified version of the classic Average True Range indicator that displays price volatility as a percentage of the instrument's value, rather than in absolute values. This allows you to easily compare the volatility of different assets (e.g., Bitcoin vs Tesla stock) regardless of their price.
Main Features
1. ATR% Chart
The red line shows the average volatility from the last N candles (default 14), expressed as a percentage. For example:
ATR% = 2.5% means that the average daily move is approximately 2.5% of the asset's value
Higher values = greater volatility (higher profit potential, but also greater risk)
Lower values = lower volatility (calmer market)
2. Volatility Trend Analysis
The indicator automatically detects whether volatility is rising, falling, or stable:
Up arrow (↑) - volatility is rising (price becomes more "nervous")
Down arrow (↓) - volatility is falling (market is calming down)
Horizontal arrow (⮆) - volatility is stable (within ±3% of the moving average)
3. Information Table
In the upper right corner of the chart you will see Current ATR% value and Trend arrow with color coding:
- Green = rising volatility
- Red = falling volatility
- Gray = stable volatility
Parameters to Configure
Indicator Length (default: 14) - How many candles back to include in calculations:
Lower values (5-10): more sensitive to sudden changes, reacts faster
Higher values (20-30): more smoothed, shows long-term volatility picture
Trend Length (default: 10) - Period to analyze whether volatility is rising/falling:
Lower values: faster trend change signals
Higher values: more reliable, but slower signals
Sample Interpretations
ATR% Volatility Asset Type/Situation
< 1% Very low Stable blue-chip stocks, calm market
1-3% Low-medium Typical stocks, normal conditions
3-5% Medium-high Volatile stocks, cryptocurrencies at rest
5-10% High Cryptocurrencies, penny stocks
> 10% Extremely high Market panic, crash, pump & dump
Position Sizer (% of Acct & Shares Req)
This indicator calculates % position size and share quantity required based on total capital and user-defined risk percentages
This indicator differs from the Shares Qty indicator in that it is based on %'s rather than a user-defined, fixed dollar amount to risk (for those who prefer to calculate risk in this manner instead)
Tracks real-time Low of Day (LoD) during regular trading hours (RTH) for accurate stop placement
Current price as well as output rows 2 and 3 can be toggled on/off, per preference
Allows stop loss selection between LoD, Low of Week (LoW), and Prior Day Low (PDL)
Keeps data updating intraday to reflect changing LoD and price conditions
Provides a second “Stop Loss Compare” dropdown to compare two stop methods side by side
Displays all results in a dynamic on-chart table that updates with live prices
Shows capital amount, stop type, stop price, and share counts for three risk levels
=========
Risk rows displayed as: Risk of Cap Amt: ,
=========
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with other forms of analysis, proper risk management techniques, and consider your individual trading plan and risk tolerance. All calculations and outputs are provided as-is, and it is your responsibility to verify their accuracy before making any trading decisions.
MechArt ATR Box V1MechArt ATR Box V1
Description:
The MechArt ATR Box V1 is a precision trade-planning and risk-management tool that visualizes your entire position framework using customizable ATR-based zones.
It automatically plots your key decision levels from a defined entry price and ATR value — helping you clearly see when to roll, hold, or exit a trade.
Features:
Configurable ATR multipliers for roll, stop, and emergency zones.
Automatically updates labels and price levels based on your custom ATR settings.
Distinct color-coded boxes for:
✅ +1 ATR (Roll Zone) – visualize profit or roll targets.
⚠️ –2 ATR (Stop Zone) – manage risk boundaries.
🚨 –3 ATR (Emergency Stop) – mark hard exit thresholds.
Adjustable ATRs, line style, width, color, and opacity for visual clarity.
Optional Days Until Expiration label for time-sensitive trades.
Ideal for:
Traders using mechanical, ATR driven systems (like OVTLYR Plan M), or anyone who wants a clear, rule-based visualization of risk vs. reward directly on the chart.
RPT Position Sizer🎯 Purpose
This indicator is a position sizing and stop-loss calculator designed to help traders instantly determine:
How many shares/contracts to buy,
How much risk (₹) they are taking per trade,
How much capital will be deployed, and
The precise stop-loss price level based on user-defined parameters.
It displays all key values in a compact on-chart table (bottom-left corner) for quick trade planning.
💡 Use Case
Perfect for discretionary swing traders, systematic position traders, and risk managers who want instant visual feedback of trade sizing metrics directly on the chart — eliminating manual calculations and improving discipline.
⚙️ Key Features
Dynamic Inputs
Trading Capital (₹) — total available capital for trading.
RPT % — risk-per-trade as a percentage of total capital.
SL % — stop-loss distance in percent below CMP (Current Market Price).
CMP Source — can be linked to close, hl2, etc.
Rounding Style — round position size to Nearest, Floor, or Ceil.
Decimals Show — control number formatting precision in the table.
Core Calculations
SL Points: CMP × SL%
SL Price: CMP − SL Points
Risk Amount (₹): Capital × RPT%
Position Size: Risk ÷ SL Points
Capital Used: Position Size × CMP
Clean On-Chart Table Display
Displays:
Trading Capital
RPT %
Risk Amount (₹)
Position Size (shares/contracts)
Capital Required (₹)
Stop-Loss % & SL Price
The table uses a minimalistic white-on-black design with clear labeling and rupee formatting for quick reference.
Data Window Integration
Plots hidden values (Position Size, Risk Amount, SL Points, Capital Used) for use in TradingView’s Data Window—ideal for strategy testing and exporting values.
Risk Recommender — (Heatmap)📊 Risk Recommender — Per-Trade & Annualized (Heatmap Columns)
Estimate the optimal risk percentage for any market regime.
This tool dynamically recommends how much of your account equity to risk — either per trade or at a portfolio (annualized) level — using volatility as the guide.
⚙️ How it works
Two distinct modes give you flexibility:
1️⃣ Per-Trade (ATR-based)
• Calculates the current Average True Range (ATR) compared to its long-term baseline.
• When volatility is high (ATR ↑), risk per trade decreases to maintain constant dollar risk.
• When volatility is low (ATR ↓), risk per trade increases within your defined floor and ceiling.
• The display is normalized by stop distance (× ATR) and smoothed to avoid noise.
2️⃣ Annualized (Volatility Targeting)
• Computes realized volatility (standard deviation of log returns) and an EWMA forecast of future volatility.
• Blends current and forecast volatilities to estimate “effective” volatility.
• Scales your base risk so that portfolio volatility converges toward your chosen annual target (e.g., 20%).
• Useful for portfolio-level or systematic strategies that maintain constant volatility exposure.
🎨 Heatmap Visualization
The vertical column graph acts like a thermometer:
• 🟥 Red → “Reduce risk” (volatility high).
• 🟩 Green → “Increase risk” (volatility low).
• Smoothed and bounded between your Floor and Ceiling risk levels.
• Optional dotted guides mark those bounds.
• Label shows the current mode, recommended risk %, and key metrics (ATR ratio or effective volatility).
🔧 Key Inputs
• Base max risk per trade (%) — your normal per-trade risk budget.
• ATR length / Baseline ATR length — control sensitivity to short- vs. long-term volatility.
• Target annualized volatility (%) — portfolio volatility target for quant mode.
• λ (lambda) — smoothing factor for the EWMA volatility forecast (0.90–0.99 typical).
• Floor & Ceiling — clamps the output to avoid extreme sizing.
• Smoothing & Hysteresis — prevent rapid changes in risk recommendations.
🧮 Interpreting the Output
• “Recommended Risk (%)” = suggested portion of equity to risk on the next trade (or current exposure).
• In Per-Trade mode: reflects current ATR ÷ baseline ATR .
• In Annualized mode: reflects target volatility ÷ effective volatility .
• Use the color and height of the column as a quick visual cue for aggressiveness.
💡 Typical Use Cases
• Position-sizing overlay for discretionary traders.
• Volatility-targeting component for algorithmic or multi-asset systems.
• Educational tool to understand how volatility governs prudent risk management.
📘 Notes
• This indicator provides risk suggestions only ; it does not place trades.
• Works on any symbol or timeframe.
• Combine with your own strategy or alerts for full automation.
• All calculations use built-in Pine functions; no proprietary logic.
Tags:
#RiskManagement #ATR #Volatility #Quant #PositionSizing #SystematicTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #Portfolio #TradingStrategy #Heatmap #EWMA #Risk
Aggregated Scores Oscillator [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated risk-adjusted performance measurement system that combines Omega Ratio and Sortino Ratio methodologies to create a comprehensive market assessment oscillator. Utilizing advanced statistical band calculations with expanding and rolling window analysis, this indicator delivers institutional-grade overbought/oversold detection based on risk-adjusted returns rather than traditional price movements. The system's dual-ratio aggregation approach provides superior signal accuracy by incorporating both upside potential and downside risk metrics with dynamic threshold adaptation for varying market conditions.
🔶 Advanced Statistical Framework
Implements dual statistical methodologies using expanding and rolling window calculations to create adaptive threshold bands that evolve with market conditions. The system calculates cumulative statistics alongside rolling averages to provide both historical context and current market regime sensitivity with configurable window parameters for optimal performance across timeframes.
🔶 Dual Ratio Integration System
Combines Omega Ratio analysis measuring excess returns versus deficit returns with Sortino Ratio calculations focusing on downside deviation for comprehensive risk-adjusted performance assessment. The system applies configurable smoothing to both ratios before aggregation, ensuring stable signal generation while maintaining sensitivity to regime changes.
// Omega Ratio Calculation
Excess_Return = sum((Daily_Return > Target_Return ? Daily_Return - Target_Return : 0), Period)
Deficit_Return = sum((Daily_Return < Target_Return ? Target_Return - Daily_Return : 0), Period)
Omega_Ratio = Deficit_Return ≠ 0 ? (Excess_Return / Deficit_Return) : na
// Sortino Ratio Framework
Downside_Deviation = sqrt(sum((Daily_Return < Target_Return ? (Daily_Return - Target_Return)² : 0), Period) / Period)
Sortino_Ratio = (Mean_Return / Downside_Deviation) * sqrt(Annualization_Factor)
// Aggregated Score
Aggregated_Score = SMA(Omega_Ratio, Omega_SMA) + SMA(Sortino_Ratio, Sortino_SMA)
🔶 Dynamic Band Calculation Engine
Features sophisticated threshold determination using both expanding historical statistics and rolling window analysis to create adaptive overbought/oversold levels. The system incorporates configurable multipliers and sensitivity adjustments to optimize signal timing across varying market volatility conditions with automatic band convergence logic.
🔶 Signal Generation Framework
Generates overbought conditions when aggregated score exceeds adjusted upper threshold and oversold conditions below lower threshold, with neutral zone identification for range-bound markets. The system provides clear binary signal states with background zone highlighting and dynamic oscillator coloring for intuitive market condition assessment.
🔶 Enhanced Visual Architecture
Provides modern dark theme visualization with neon color scheme, dynamic oscillator line coloring based on signal states, and gradient band fills for comprehensive market condition visualization. The system includes zero-line reference, statistical band plots, and background zone highlighting with configurable transparency levels.
snapshot
🔶 Risk-Adjusted Performance Analysis
Utilizes target return parameters for customizable risk assessment baselines, enabling traders to evaluate performance relative to specific return objectives. The system's focus on downside deviation through Sortino analysis provides superior risk-adjusted signals compared to traditional volatility-based oscillators that treat upside and downside movements equally.
🔶 Multi-Timeframe Adaptability
Features configurable calculation periods and rolling windows to optimize performance across various timeframes from intraday to long-term analysis. The system's statistical foundation ensures consistent signal quality regardless of timeframe selection while maintaining sensitivity to market regime changes through adaptive band calculations.
🔶 Performance Optimization Framework
Implements efficient statistical calculations with optimized variable management and configurable smoothing parameters to balance responsiveness with signal stability. The system includes automatic band adjustment mechanisms and rolling window management for consistent performance across extended analysis periods.
This indicator delivers sophisticated risk-adjusted market analysis by combining proven statistical ratios in a unified oscillator framework. Unlike traditional overbought/oversold indicators that rely solely on price movements, the ASO incorporates risk-adjusted performance metrics to identify genuine market extremes based on return quality rather than price volatility alone. The system's adaptive statistical bands and dual-ratio methodology provide institutional-grade signal accuracy suitable for systematic trading approaches across cryptocurrency, forex, and equity markets with comprehensive visual feedback and configurable risk parameters for optimal strategy integration.
Ark FCI OscillatorFinancial Conditions Index Oscillator
This indicator tracks week-over-week changes in the National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), providing a dynamic view of evolving financial conditions in the United States.
Overview
The National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) is a comprehensive weekly composite index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It measures financial conditions across U.S. money markets, debt and equity markets, and the traditional and shadow banking systems.
Interpretation
Positive values indicate improving financial conditions
Negative values signal deteriorating financial conditions
Risk assets demonstrate particular sensitivity to changes in financial conditions, making this oscillator valuable for market timing and risk assessment.
Alternative Data Source
Users can modify the source to FRED:NFCIRISK to focus specifically on risk dynamics. The NFCIRISK subindex isolates volatility and funding risk measures within the financial sector, capturing market volatility indicators and liquidity shortage probabilities while excluding broader credit and leverage conditions.
Rolling Performance Toolkit (Returns, Correlation and Sharpe)This script provides a flexible toolkit for evaluating rolling performance metrics between any asset and a benchmark.
Features:
Library-based: Built on a custom utilities library for consistent return and statistics calculations.
Rolling Window Control: Choose the lookback period (in days) to calculate metrics.
Multiple Modes: Toggle between Rolling Returns, Rolling Correlation, and Rolling Sharpe Ratio.
Benchmark Comparison: Compare your selected ticker against a benchmark (default: S&P 500 / SPX), but you can easily switch to any symbol.
Risk-Free Rate Options: Choose from zero, a constant annual % rate, or a proxy symbol (default: US03M – 3-Month Treasury Yield).
Annualized Sharpe: Sharpe ratios are annualized by default (×√252) for intuitive interpretation.
This tool is useful for traders and investors who want to monitor relative performance, diversification benefits, or risk-adjusted returns over time.
Trade Calculator {Phanchai}Trade Calculator 🧮 {Phanchai} — Documentation
A lightweight sizing helper for TradingView that turns your risk per trade into an estimated maximum nominal position size — using the most recent chart low as your stop reference. Built for speed and clarity right on the chart.
Key Features
Clean on-chart info table with configurable font size and position.
Row toggles: show/hide each line (Price, Last Low, Risk per Trade, Entry − Low, SL to Low %, Max. Nominal Value in USDT).
Configurable low reference: Last N bars or Running since load .
Low label placed exactly at the wick of the lowest bar (no horizontal line).
Custom padding: add extra rows above/below and blank columns left/right (with custom whitespace/text fillers) to fine-tune layout.
Integer display for Risk per Trade (USDT) and Max. Nominal Value (USDT); decimals configurable elsewhere.
Open source script — easy to read and extend.
How to Use
Add the indicator: open TradingView → Indicators → paste the source code → Add to chart.
Pick your low reference in settings:
Last N bars — uses the lowest low within your chosen lookback.
Running since load — tracks the lowest low since the script loaded.
Set your capital and risk:
Total Capital — your account size in USDT.
Max. invest Capital per Trade (%) — your risk per trade as a percent of Total Capital.
Tidy the table:
Use Table Position and Table Size to place it.
Add Extra rows/columns and set left/right fillers (spaces allowed) for padding.
Toggle individual rows (on/off) to show only what you need.
Read the numbers:
Act. Price in USDT — current close.
Last Low in USDT — stop reference price.
Risk per Trade — whole-USDT value of your risk budget for this trade.
Entry − Low — absolute risk per unit.
SL to Low (%) — percentage distance from price to low.
Max. Nominal Value in USDT — estimated max nominal position size given your risk budget and stop at the low.
Scope
This calculator is designed for long trades only (stop below price at the chart low).
Notes & Assumptions
Does not factor fees, funding, slippage, tick size, or broker/venue position limits.
“Running since load” updates as new lows appear; “Last N bars” uses only the selected lookback window.
If price equals the low (zero distance), sizing will be undefined (division by zero guarded as “—”).
Risk Warning
Trading involves substantial risk. Always double-check every value the calculator shows, confirm your stop distance, and verify position sizing with your broker/platform before entering any order. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
Open Source & Feedback
The source code is open. If you spot a bug or have an idea to improve the tool, feel free to share suggestions — I’m happy to iterate and make it better.
EMA Oscillator [Alpha Extract]A precision mean reversion analysis tool that combines advanced Z-score methodology with dual threshold systems to identify extreme price deviations from trend equilibrium. Utilizing sophisticated statistical normalization and adaptive percentage-based thresholds, this indicator provides high-probability reversal signals based on standard deviation analysis and dynamic range calculations with institutional-grade accuracy for systematic counter-trend trading opportunities.
🔶 Advanced Statistical Normalization
Calculates normalized distance between price and exponential moving average using rolling standard deviation methodology for consistent interpretation across timeframes. The system applies Z-score transformation to quantify price displacement significance, ensuring statistical validity regardless of market volatility conditions.
// Core EMA and Oscillator Calculation
ema_values = ta.ema(close, ema_period)
oscillator_values = close - ema_values
rolling_std = ta.stdev(oscillator_values, ema_period)
z_score = oscillator_values / rolling_std
🔶 Dual Threshold System
Implements both statistical significance thresholds (±1σ, ±2σ, ±3σ) and percentage-based dynamic thresholds calculated from recent oscillator range extremes. This hybrid approach ensures consistent probability-based signals while adapting to varying market volatility regimes and maintaining signal relevance during structural market changes.
// Statistical Thresholds
mild_threshold = 1.0 // ±1σ (68% confidence)
moderate_threshold = 2.0 // ±2σ (95% confidence)
extreme_threshold = 3.0 // ±3σ (99.7% confidence)
// Percentage-Based Dynamic Thresholds
osc_high = ta.highest(math.abs(z_score), lookback_period)
mild_pct_thresh = osc_high * (mild_pct / 100.0)
moderate_pct_thresh = osc_high * (moderate_pct / 100.0)
extreme_pct_thresh = osc_high * (extreme_pct / 100.0)
🔶 Signal Generation Framework
Triggers buy/sell alerts when Z-score crosses extreme threshold boundaries, indicating statistically significant price deviations with high mean reversion probability. The system generates continuation signals at moderate levels and reversal signals at extreme boundaries with comprehensive alert integration.
// Extreme Signal Detection
sell_signal = ta.crossover(z_score, selected_extreme)
buy_signal = ta.crossunder(z_score, -selected_extreme)
// Dynamic Color Coding
signal_color = z_score >= selected_extreme ? #ff0303 : // Extremely Overbought
z_score >= selected_moderate ? #ff6a6a : // Overbought
z_score >= selected_mild ? #b86456 : // Mildly Overbought
z_score > -selected_mild ? #a1a1a1 : // Neutral
z_score > -selected_moderate ? #01b844 : // Mildly Oversold
z_score > -selected_extreme ? #00ff66 : // Oversold
#00ff66 // Extremely Oversold
🔶 Visual Structure Analysis
Provides a six-tier color gradient system with dynamic background zones indicating mild, moderate, and extreme conditions. The histogram visualization displays Z-score intensity with threshold reference lines and zero-line equilibrium context for precise mean reversion timing.
snapshot
4H
1D
🔶 Adaptive Threshold Selection
Features intelligent threshold switching between statistical significance levels and percentage-based dynamic ranges. The percentage system automatically adjusts to current volatility conditions using configurable lookback periods, while statistical thresholds maintain consistent probability-based signal generation across market cycles.
🔶 Performance Optimization
Utilizes efficient rolling calculations with configurable EMA periods and threshold parameters for optimal performance across all timeframes. The system includes comprehensive alert functionality with customizable notification preferences and visual signal overlay options.
🔶 Market Oscillator Interpretation
Z-score > +3σ indicates statistically significant overbought conditions with high reversal probability, while Z-score < -3σ signals extreme oversold levels suitable for counter-trend entries. Moderate thresholds (±2σ) capture 95% of normal price distributions, making breaches statistically significant for systematic trading approaches.
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🔶 Intelligent Signal Management
Automatic signal filtering prevents false alerts through extreme threshold crossover requirements, while maintaining sensitivity to genuine statistical deviations. The dual threshold system provides both conservative statistical approaches and adaptive market condition responses for varying trading styles.
Why Choose EMA Oscillator ?
This indicator provides traders with statistically-grounded mean reversion analysis through sophisticated Z-score normalization methodology. By combining traditional statistical significance thresholds with adaptive percentage-based extremes, it maintains effectiveness across varying market conditions while delivering high-probability reversal signals based on quantifiable price displacement from trend equilibrium, enabling systematic counter-trend trading approaches with defined statistical confidence levels and comprehensive risk management parameters.
Crypto Position Size CalculatorPosition Size Calculator for Crypto.
This indicator uses the current price and a selected stop loss to calculate your position size without having to work it out elsewhere!
Simply set your account size, desired risk percentage and stop loss level and it will work out how many lots and the dollar value of your desired position.
Hope you enjoy!
Futures Risk Contract TableFutures risk table for NQ MNQ YM MYM ES and MES
changeable capital and risk percentage along with points.
Risk Context + Position SizingWhat This Indicator Does (And Doesn't Do)
This is NOT a buy/sell signal indicator. Instead, it's a risk management tool that helps you understand two critical things:
How volatile the market is right now (compared to recent history)
How much you should risk on your next trade based on that volatility
The Core Problem It Solves
Imagine you always risk the same amount on every trade - say $100. But sometimes the market is calm and predictable, other times it's wild and unpredictable. This indicator says: "Hey, the market is going crazy right now - maybe only risk $70 instead of your usual $100."
How It Works
Measures Market "Nervousness"
Uses ATR (Average True Range) to measure how much prices typically move each day
Compares today's volatility to the past 100 days
Shows you a percentile (0-100%) - higher = more volatile
Categorizes Risk Environment
LOW (green): Market is calm, you can size up slightly
NORMAL: Standard conditions, use your normal position size
HIGH (red): Market is jumpy, reduce your position size
EXTREME (dark red): Market is in chaos, significantly reduce size
Important Disclaimers
This doesn't predict price direction - it only measures current market stress
You still need a trading strategy - this just helps you size it properly
Past volatility doesn't guarantee future volatility
Always combine with proper stop losses and risk management
