Narrow Range (NR) IndicatorNarrow Range (NR) trading strategy is a breakout-based method that assumes that the price of security trends up or down after a brief consolidation in a narrow range. This indicator can plot:
1. Narrow Range (NR) 4, 7, and 21
2. Narrow Range (NR) 4, 7, and 21 + Inside Bars (IB)
NR 4/NR 7/NR 21 day acts as a confirming factor on where the price will move further. Breakout of NR 4/NR 7/NR 21 candle with high volumes indicates bullishness, while the breakdown candle indicates bearishness.
Range
NSDT Trend CandlesThis script changes the color of the candles based on uptrend (green), downtrend (red), neutral/chop (yellow). It uses an ATR and Pivots to determine the direction, or lack of. Since all markets move differently and market volatility changes, you will need to adjust the settings to find a potential match for the day. It's pretty simple to use. Just enter in the direction of the trend and exit (or reverse) when the candle color changes.
ATR Stop Loss FinderThis Indicator uses Average True Range (ATR) to determine a safe place to put stop losses to avoid being stop hunted or stopped out of a trade due to a tight stop loss. Default multiplier setting is 1.5. For a more conservative stop loss use 2 and for a tighter stop loss use 1. ATR and stop loss prices are displayed in table at bottom of screen. Use high(red) for shorts and low(teal) for longs.
Relative VolatilityRelative volatility highlights large changes in price. This was designed to be used with my relative volume indicator so that traders can see the effect of volume on price action. It is also a good tool to analyse breakout patterns to identify best entry points and waves.
Above shows relative volatility and relative volume working together.
Volatility OscillatorThis tool displays relative volatility and directional trend. Excellent way to pickup diversions and reversals. Length can be lowered to 11 or 13 in settings to show price range.
Can be used to identify patterns such as parallel channels and likely direction of price action as pictured below.
Demand VectorCreate lines based on the demand for long/short, extracted from price range.. this lines have nothing to do with volume and liquidity, its just a interpretation of price range.
Supertrend BandsSupertrend Bands
What is the Supertrend indicator?
"The Supertrend indicator is a trend following overlay on your trading chart, much like a moving average, that shows you the current trend direction.
The indicator works well in a trending market but can give false signals when a market is trading in a range.
It uses the ATR (average true range) as part of its calculation which takes into account the volatility of the market. The ATR is adjusted using the multiplier setting which determines how sensitive the indicator is."
"For the basic Supertrend settings, you can adjust period and factor:
- The period setting is the lookback for the ATR calculation
- Factor is the what the ATR is multiplied by to offset the bands from price"
How to use this indicator
This indicator is inspired by a strategy I found. It includes four Supertrend indicators, each with different settings that displays trend strength and support/resistance zones. The default settings are optimal for cryptocurrency but do work quite well for traditional also. I highly recommend you try experimenting with different settings, increasing them to suit the instrument.
The bands are set from low to high, Band 1 being the fastest and Band 4 being the slowest. Band 4 is the one that sets the overall trend so when price is above Band 4, the trend is bullish and vice versa. Trend is strongest when price is above/below Band 1 and gets weaker as it filters through each band. Band 4 provides the strongest support/resistance and if that breaks the trend flips.
In the menu, you will see an option called "Remove Anti Trend?". It is enabled by default and it removes any bearish/resistance bands when the trend is up and any bullish/support bands when the trend is down. When turned off, it will show all Supertrend Bands as they are by default.
Bar Colors
Bar colors are optional and they reflect the current trend strength based on the Supertrend bands.
Alternate ways of using this indicator
You could leave everything as default or you can display individual bands. For instance, because I use many overlay indicators, most of the time I turn off all the bands and only show bar colors:
You can also turn off Bands 1 and 2 and only show the two slowest lengths:
This removes the noise of the two faster Supertrends.
Or just show the two fastest bands:
Any suggestions to improve this indicator are most welcome :)
Flexible timezone-aware session rangeAllows you to define session range with local time and its timezone, also can toggle session visibility any day of week.
Average Trading Range Percentage
Average high/low trading range for the current timeframe.
Daily high/low trading range.
Fat Side PathI got the idea for a narrow Donchian Channel with a short lookback period which closely follows the price fluctuation in which the sides of the channel have a thickness according to the range of the last touching candle.
Any channel, be it Donchian, Keltner, Bollinger Bands or Parallel, has an upside and a downside, touching the upside is a buy signal as this may initiate an uptrend, the downside a sell signal because a down trend may come.
This gave me the idea to make only the last touched side fat, thus creating visible switching between uptrend and downtrend. However this is ‘too digital’, as in practice also periods of no trend occur in which signaling a trend would give a false signal. In a Donchian channel (and also Bollinger Bands) such periods are marked by narrowing the channel. So I gave a no trend signal to the sides when the channel is narrower than a minimum width to call a trend. I gave the thing nice colours and proper default settings.
Use of the channel in trading.
I think this thing can be useful for swing trading. In channels two typical things may happen that should be noted by the trader, these are LB, Leaving the Border, which signals a trend reversal and FTT, Failure To Traverse, i.e. the price doesn’t manage to cross the channel to the other side. This affirms the trend. FTT’s are not expected in short lookback channels like this path (Sidenote: Fibonacci levels can be regarded as predictions where FTT’s may occur). The fat side indicates direction. Because somehow trends seem to end with a notable range extension, this channel sometimes produces a “Big Blob” where the trend reverses.
I intend to use this thing together with my Keltner Fibzones channel, where the zones serve as a ‘landscape’ in which the Fat Side Path meanders providing ‘comments’ on the short term price movements.
Price Cross Range StrengthPurpose:
This script shows when price is in a range or trending. When the green line rises above the threshold the price is trending. When the green line falls below the threshold it's ranging. You may try adjusting the lookback way far back to find more areas of resistance.
Logic:
It shows how many instances the current price has been crossed in the past measured bars. The logic is that any price area that has been crossed many times is a strong area where ranging occurs.
Ideas:
1. Can be used as a dynamic length to other moving averages.
Body/Wick to Range Osc.This script is meant to be a form of pure candlestick analysis.
Terminology in the description used below is as follows:
- numcands = Number of candles specified by the user to be used for sampling in each moving average.
This script plots moving average (SMA/EMA specified by the user ) of the percentage of the high-low range that the previous {numcands} candles the upper wicks, lower wicks, and the body take up.
The user may specify if the absolute value of the body percentage is to be used (true by default). To account for this, a horizontal line is also plotted at 0 to show when the body percentage moves above or below 0.
The values that all of these moving averages plotted will oscillate between 0 and 1 (-1 and 1 for the body percentage if the absolute value of candles is not used).
Other notes: The user may select the colors used (colorblind support, as the defaults are red and green). Cross overs and cross unders are accounted for in alertconditions (as is if the body % moves above and below 0% if absolute values are not used).
An interpretation of the use of this script may be: If the upper wicks begin to take up a larger portion of the high-low range, it may signal downward selling pressure (and vise-versa for lower wicks). However, this may be open to interpretation based upon the specified {numcands} used.
Up-Down RangeHere is an attempt to segregate ATR into ATR of up days and down days.
While setting trailing stops based on ATR, you probably need to consider more on how an instrument can drop during red days. Hence, ATR of only red days makes more compelling case than overall ATR. Another use case for this kind of indicator may be in options if you are selling puts and calls with the intent of pocketing premiums on expiry.
Parameters are as explained below:
Range Type : Different range types are tr (True Range) , close (difference between close prices), highlow (difference between high and low of candle)
Period : ATR Period
Moving Average Type : Moving Average Type for calculating ATR. Two additional types - min and max are added which calculates lowest and highest range in last n bars
HideFullAtr : Hides combined ATR if checked.
ATR - ATR from Low, ATR from High LabelsChecks what the average true range is for the X amount of trading days. Then will also label the ATR from the low, and the ATR from the high of the current day.
A second label can be created dependent on current days RVOL %. If RVOL is not 0 or 1, then it will create the second label. Otherwise it will just leave it as the standard label.
The calculation for second label is RVOL * ATR.
Vortex Range Breakout SystemThis is a Vortex Based Visual System,
Which can help you identify the Vortex Crosses based Range Breakouts/ Breakdown, over the price Scale,
How its made ?
The vortex Crosses are projected over the Price
on Same Time frame {Green and Red Filled area}
-> green Area means : Vortex Crossover Range
-> red Area means : Vortex Crossunder Range
and on Higher Timeframe
Vortex Cross Levels are Plotted, which you see as :
Blue and Orange Lines
Default Configs
Vortex Period is 14
Higher Timeframe Option is set to 60 mins
You can change the Higher timeframe to any minutes which suits your need
Also If you want to change the Higher Timeframe in Days
just know
1D = 24*60 min, = 1140mins
Enjoy!
Range Box (Nephew_Sam_)Version 1
Creates a box around a specified time range with the ability to extend the lines to a later time.
Next update:
- Background in box
- Remove historical boxes
- Extend lines in future instead of only till current price
There's similar but complex indicators out there, I'll leave this code as open source and you have permission to reuse and not credit me.
User-Inputed Time Range & FibsGreetings Traders! I have decided to release a few scripts as open-source as I'm sure others can benefit from them and perhaps make them better.(Be sure to check my Profile for the other scripts as well: www.tradingview.com).
This one is called User-Inputed Time Range & Fibs.
The idea behind this script is to record the Range Highs and Lows of a User Defined Period, and plot potential Targets based on either Fibonacci Extensions or a Multiple of the Range Size. I created this originally for use with the US Session Initial Balance(From 9:30-10:30AM EST), however it can be set to any time period.
What is Initial Balance? In simple words, Initial Balance (IB) is the price data, which are formed during the first hour of a trading session. Activity of traders forms the so-called Initial Balance at this time. This concept was introduced for the first time by Peter Steidlmayer when he presented the market profile to traders(atas.net).
The IB is monitored as a break-out area for Range Extension traders. The IB High is also seen as an area of resistance and the IB Low as an area of support until it is broken(www.mypivots.com).
As a note, depending on the Time Zone you are in, you may need to manually add or subtract from the Timed Range to match the desired Time. For example in NY Eastern Time, I have to use 8:30-9:30AM to Capture the 9:30-10-30AM IB for ES and NQ. Similarly, I must use 14:30-15:30PM to Capture the 9:30-10-30AM IB for BTC. You will need to make adjustments based on the Time Zone you are located in.
I wanted to give a Special Thanks to @PineCoders for the Custom Rounding Function from Backtesting/Trading Engine--> (), Pinecoders.com for help with Tracking the Highs/Lows--> (www.pinecoders.com), and @TradeChartist for allowing me to use some of the code for the Fibonacci Extensions from his script here--> ().
If you like User-Inputed Time Range & Fibs, be sure to Like, Follow, and if you have any questions, don't be afraid to drop a comment below.
Test: range mappingEXPERIMENTAL:
just a wild experiment..
mapping the average range break points to find natural hubs of support and resistance?!
888 BOT #alerts█ 888 BOT #alerts (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security ()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED' wich is calculated according with: '%EQUITY ON EACH ENTRY'. Only works with Stop Loss on 'NORMAL' or 'BOTH' mode.
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ ALERTS
There is an alert for each leverage, therefore a maximum of 8 alerts can be set for 'long' and 8 for 'short', plus an alert to close the trade with Take Profit or Stop Loss in market mode. You can also place Take Profit limit and Stop Loss limit orders a few seconds after filling the position entry order.
- 'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It is the maximum allowed multiplier of the % quantity entered on each entry for 1X according to the volume condition.
- 'ADVANCE ALERTS': There is always a time delay from when the alert is triggered until it reaches the exchange and can be between 1-15 seconds. With this parameter, you can advance the alert by the necessary seconds to activate it earlier. In this way it can be synchronized with the exchange so that the execution time of the entry order to the position coincides with the opening of the bar.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
