[strategy][1H] SPY slow stochastics
SPY slow stochastics
Overview
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy is designed to leverage a combination of Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators to identify potential entry and exit points in trading the SPY $SP:SPX.
The technicals:
A simple yet effective strategy for identifying (reversal) trends on SPY (or any asset).
The logic is as follows:
1. Slow stochastics are effective at predicting momentum. They can also be used to effectively identify reversals.
2. A combination of slow and fast RSI (along with an SMA for the fast RSI) can be used to see potential changes in the directional trend of the underlying asset.
3. In order to reduce noise, a band in the middle of RSI values is ignored; think of this as the price converging and potential explosions (sometimes fake) on either side.
4. Outside this noise band, a crossover of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates an upward trend incoming.
5. A crossunder of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates a downward trend incoming.
Strategy Specific Notes -
1. Load this strategy on SPREADEX:SPX on an hourly chart for the best results.
2. This is a generic strategy, use it on anything - index, stocks, etc. You will need to adjust the parameters for the best results.
3. The RSI Upper defines the cutoff for two things -- threshold for entering a long AND exit signal for short. Likewise for RSI Lower.
4. To have alerts on the strategy, add this to your chart, be content with the backtesting results, select "strategy tester", the alert icon, replace the message body with "{{strategy.order.alert_message}}" without the ".
5. In my experience, the strategy won't be immediately profitable upon a signal but it does get there in the backtested results. Intuitively, this makes sense. Reversals take some time to kick in completely.
Inputs
- **slowRSILength**: Length parameter for the slow RSI calculation.
- **fastRSILength**: Length parameter for the fast RSI calculation.
- **smaRSILength**: Length parameter for the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the fast RSI.
- **RSIUpperThreshold**: Upper threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSILowerThreshold**: Lower threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSIUpperDeadzone**: Upper deadzone threshold for the RSI.
- **RSILowerDeadzone**: Lower deadzone threshold for the RSI.
Strategy Logic
- **RSI Calculation**: The script calculates both slow and fast RSI values based on the provided lengths.
- **Entry Condition**: Entry conditions for long and short positions are based on the crossing of fast RSI over slow RSI and SMA RSI, respectively, along with avoidance of RSI deadzones and validation of trade time.
- **Exit Condition**: Exit conditions for both long and short positions are based on crossing RSI thresholds or opposite entry conditions.
Trade Management
- **Position Entry**: Long and short positions are entered based on predefined entry conditions.
- **Position Exit**: Positions are exited based on predefined exit conditions.
- **Alerts**: The script provides alert messages for entry and exit points.
Plotting
- **Slow RSI**: Plots the slow RSI on the chart.
- **SMA RSI**: Plots the Simple Moving Average of fast RSI on the chart.
Example Usage
The defaults work well for SPY on a 1H timeframe.
If you apply this to anything else DAX, EUSTX50, FTSE, CAC (these are what i have); tweak the input parameters.
Plotting
plot(slowRSI, "Slow RSI", color=color.green) //or fastRSI
plot(smaRSI, "SMA RSI", color=color.white)
Conclusion
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy combines RSI and Stochastic indicators to provide potential trade signals for the SPY ETF. Traders can use this strategy with proper risk management and analysis to enhance their trading decisions.
Indicadores e estratégias
TTP Intelligent AccumulatorThe intelligent accumulator is a proof of concept strategy. A hybrid between a recurring buy and TA-based entries and exits.
Distribute the amount of equity and add to your position as long as the TA condition is valid.
Use the exit TA condition to define your exit strategy.
Decide between adding only into losing positions to average down or take a riskier approach by allowing to add into a winning position as well.
Take full profit or distribute your exit into multiple take profit exists of the same size.
You can also decide if you allow your exit conditions to close your position in a loss or require a minimum take profit %.
The strategy includes a default built-in TA conditions just for showcasing the idea but the final intent of this script is to delegate the TA entries and exists to external sources.
The internal conditions use RSI length 7 crossing below the BB with std 1 for entries and above for exits.
To control the number of orders use the properties from settings:
- adjust the pyramiding
- adjust the percentage of equity
- make sure that pyramiding * % equity equals 100 to prevent over use of equity (unless using leverage)
The script is designed as an alternative to daily or weekly recurring buys but depending on the accuracy of your TA conditions it might prove profitable also in lower timeframes.
The reason the script is named Intelligent is because recurring buy is most commonly used without any decision making: buy no matter what with certain frequency. This strategy seeks to still perform recurring buys but filtering out some of the potential bad entries that can delay unnecessarily seeing the position in profits. The second reason is also securing an exit strategy from the beginning which no recurring buy option offers out-of-the-box.
Long EMA Strategy with Advanced Exit OptionsThis strategy is designed for traders seeking a trend-following system with a focus on precision and adaptability.
**Core Strategy Concept**
The essence of this strategy lies in use of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential long (buy) positions based on the relative positions of short-term, medium-term, and long-term EMAs. The use of EMAs is a classic yet powerful approach to trend detection, as these indicators smooth out price data over time, emphasizing the direction of recent price movements and potentially signaling the beginning of new trends.
**Customizable Parameters**
- **EMA Periods**: Users can define the periods for three EMAs - long-term, medium-term, and short-term - allowing for a tailored approach to capture trends based on individual trading styles and market conditions.
- **Volatility Filter**: An optional Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility filter can be toggled on or off. When activated, it ensures that trades are only entered when market volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold, aiming to filter out entries during low-volatility periods which are often characterized by indecisive market movements.
- **Trailing Stop Loss**: A trailing stop loss mechanism, expressed as a percentage of the highest price achieved since entry, provides a dynamic way to manage risk by allowing profits to run while cutting losses.
- **EMA Exit Condition**: This advanced exit option enables closing positions when the short-term EMA crosses below the medium-term EMA, serving as a signal that the immediate trend may be reversing.
- **Close Below EMA Exit**: An additional exit condition, which is disabled by default, allows positions to be closed if the price closes below a user-selected EMA. This provides an extra layer of flexibility and risk management, catering to traders who prefer to exit positions based on specific EMA thresholds.
**Operational Mechanics**
Upon activation, the strategy evaluates the current price in relation to the set EMAs. A long position is considered when the current price is above the long-term EMA, and the short-term EMA is above the medium-term EMA. This setup aims to identify moments where the price momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The strategy's versatility is further enhanced by its optional settings:
- The **Volatility Filter** adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy to market movements, potentially improving the quality of the entries during volatile market conditions.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key component of this filter, providing a measure of market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified number of periods. Here's how you can adjust the volatility filter settings for various market conditions, focusing on filtering out low-volatility markets:
Setting Examples for Volatility Filter
1. High Volatility Markets (e.g., Cryptocurrencies, Certain Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: Setting the multiplier to a lower value, such as 1.0 or 1.2, can be beneficial in high-volatility markets. This sensitivity allows the strategy to react to volatility changes more quickly, ensuring that you're entering trades during periods of significant movement.
2. Medium Volatility Markets (e.g., Major Equity Indices, Medium-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier of 1.5 (default) is often suitable for medium volatility markets. It provides a balanced approach, ensuring that the strategy filters out low-volatility conditions without being overly restrictive.
3. Low Volatility Markets (e.g., Some Commodities, Low-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: Increasing the ATR period to 20 or 25 can smooth out the volatility measure, making it less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. This adjustment helps in focusing on more significant trends in inherently stable markets.
ATR Multiplier: Raising the multiplier to 2.0 or even 2.5 increases the threshold for volatility, effectively filtering out low-volatility conditions. This setting ensures that the strategy only triggers trades during periods of relatively higher volatility, which are more likely to result in significant price movements.
How to Use the Volatility Filter for Low-Volatility Markets
For traders specifically interested in filtering out low-volatility markets, the key is to adjust the ATR Multiplier to a higher level. This adjustment increases the threshold required for the market to be considered sufficiently volatile for trade entries. Here's a step-by-step guide:
Adjust the ATR Multiplier: Increase the ATR Multiplier to create a higher volatility threshold. A multiplier of 2.0 to 2.5 is a good starting point for very low-volatility markets.
Fine-Tune the ATR Periods: Consider lengthening the ATR calculation period if you find that the strategy is still entering trades in undesirable low-volatility conditions. A longer period provides a more averaged-out measure of volatility, which might better suit your needs.
Monitor and Adjust: Volatility is not static, and market conditions can change. Regularly review the performance of your strategy in the context of current market volatility and adjust the settings as necessary.
Backtest in Different Conditions: Before applying the strategy live, backtest it across different market conditions with your adjusted settings. This process helps ensure that your approach to filtering low-volatility conditions aligns with your trading objectives and risk tolerance.
By fine-tuning the volatility filter settings according to the specific characteristics of the market you're trading in, you can enhance the performance of this strategy
- The **Trailing Stop Loss** and **EMA Exit Conditions** provide two layers of exit strategies, focusing on capital preservation and profit maximization.
**Visualizations**
For clarity and ease of use, the strategy plots the three EMAs and, if enabled, the ATR threshold on the chart. These visual cues not only aid in decision-making but also help in understanding the market's current trend and volatility state.
**How to Use**
Traders can customize the EMA periods to fit their trading horizon, be it short, medium, or long-term trading. The volatility filter and exit options allow for further customization, making the strategy adaptable to different market conditions and personal risk tolerance levels.
By offering a blend of trend-following principles with advanced risk management features, this strategy aims to cater to a wide range of trading styles, from cautious to aggressive. Its strength lies in its flexibility, allowing traders to fine-tune settings to their specific needs, making it a potentially valuable tool in the arsenal of any trader looking for a disciplined approach to navigating the markets.
Octopus Nest Strategy Hello Fellas,
Hereby, I come up with a popular strategy from YouTube called Octopus Nest Strategy. It is a no repaint, lower timeframe scalping strategy utilizing PSAR, EMA and TTM Squeeze.
The strategy considers these market factors:
PSAR -> Trend
EMA -> Trend
TTM Squeeze -> Momentum and Volatility by incorporating Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels
Note: As you can see there is a potential improvement by incorporating volume.
What's Different Compared To The Original Strategy?
I added an option which allows users to use the Adaptive PSAR of @loxx, which will hopefully improve results sometimes.
Signals
Enter Long -> source above EMA 100, source crosses above PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses above 0
Enter Short -> source below EMA 100, source crosses below PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses below 0
Exit Long and Exit Short are triggered from the risk management. Thus, it will just exit on SL or TP.
Risk Management
"High Low Stop Loss" and "Automatic High Low Take Profit" are used here.
High Low Stop Loss: Utilizes the last high for short and the last low for long to calculate the stop loss level. The last high or low gets multiplied by the user-defined multiplicator and if no recent high or low was found it uses the backup multiplier.
Automatic High Low Take Profit: Utilizes the current stop loss level of "High Low Stop Loss" and gets calculated by the user-defined risk ratio.
Now, follows the bunch of knowledge for the more inexperienced readers.
PSAR: Parabolic Stop And Reverse; Developed by J. Welles Wilders and a classic trend reversal indicator.
The indicator works most effectively in trending markets where large price moves allow traders to capture significant gains. When a security’s price is range-bound, the indicator will constantly be reversing, resulting in multiple low-profit or losing trades.
TTM Squeeze: TTM Squeeze is a volatility and momentum indicator introduced by John Carter of Trade the Markets (now Simpler Trading), which capitalizes on the tendency for price to break out strongly after consolidating in a tight trading range.
The volatility component of the TTM Squeeze indicator measures price compression using Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. If the Bollinger Bands are completely enclosed within the Keltner Channels, that indicates a period of very low volatility. This state is known as the squeeze. When the Bollinger Bands expand and move back outside of the Keltner Channel, the squeeze is said to have “fired”: volatility increases and prices are likely to break out of that tight trading range in one direction or the other. The on/off state of the squeeze is shown with small dots on the zero line of the indicator: red dots indicate the squeeze is on, and green dots indicate the squeeze is off.
EMA: Exponential Moving Average; Like a simple moving average, but with exponential weighting of the input data.
Don't forget to check out the settings and keep it up.
Best regards,
simwai
---
Credits to:
@loxx
@Bjorgum
@Greeny
Triple MA HTF strategy - Dynamic SmoothingThe triple MA strategy is a simple but effective method to trade the trend. The advantage of this script over the existing triple MA strategies is that the user can open a lower time frame chart and select higher time frame inputs for different MA types mainting the visibility on the chart. The dynamic smoothing code makes sure the HTF trendlines are not jagged, but a fluid line visiable on the lower time frame chart. The script comes with a MA crossover and crossunder strategy explained below.
Moving Averages (MA) Crossover for Entry:
Long Entry: A long entry signal is triggered when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside. However, to validate this signal, the strategy checks if the moving average 3 on a higher time frame (eg. 4 hour) is in an upward trend. This additional filter ensures that the trade aligns with the prevailing trend on a broader time scale, increasing the probability of success.
Short Entry: Conversely, a short entry signal occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a possible downturn in market momentum. However, for a short trade to be confirmed, the strategy verifies that the moving average 3 on the higher time frame is in a downward trend. This confirmation ensures that the trade is in harmony with the overarching market direction.
Exit from Long Position: The strategy triggers an exit signal from a long position when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential reversal in the market trend, prompting the trader to close their long position and take profits or minimize losses.
Exit from Short Position: Similarly, an exit signal from a short position occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside, prompting the trader to exit their short position and manage their risk accordingly.
Features of the script
This Triple MA Strategy is basically the HTF Trend Filter displayed 3 times on the chart. For more infomation on how the MA with dynamic smoothing is calculated I recommend reading the following script:
For risk management I included a simple script to opt for % of eauity or # of contracts of in the instrument. For explanation on how the risk management settings work I refer to my ealier published script:
The strategy is a simplified example for setting up an entry and exit logic based on multiple moving avarages. Hence the script is meant for educational purposes only.
CULTURATRADING STRATEGYThe "CULTURATRADING STRATEGY" is designed to capitalize on market trends by incorporating a combination of technical indicators that signal potential entry and exit points for trades on various assets. This strategy is not just a mere collection of indicators but a well-thought-out approach that synergizes different market signals to optimize trade decisions.
The script uses the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to gauge momentum and trend direction, with the slope of the MACD line serving as a trigger for market entries. A positive slope suggests an upward trend and potential long entry, while a negative slope indicates a downward trend and a possible short entry.
In tandem with the MACD, the ADX (Average Directional Index) is utilized to measure the strength of the trend. An ADX value above 25 signifies a strong trend, which, when aligned with MACD signals, can validate the trade entries.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is another critical component, identifying overbought and oversold conditions. This strategy looks for crossovers above and below key levels (60 for overbought, 40 for oversold) to determine high-probability turning points in the market. The inclusion of a 20-period SMA (Simple Moving Average) of the RSI adds a layer to filter the signals further, allowing for the refinement of entry and exit points.
The script employs a dynamic stop-loss system, set at the lowest low of the past 20 bars for long positions and the highest high for shorts, to manage risk effectively. The strategy is configured for a $10,000 account, risking a reasonable portion of capital per trade, with a pyramid effect to allow for diversified entries from various signals. The backtesting results are based on a 5% capital allocation per trade and include a 0.08% commission. To ensure accurate backtesting, the script includes an additional percentage to account for slippage within the commission.
To provide a comprehensive understanding, the script also outputs a "volatility histogram" based on the ADX, offering insights into market volatility and helping to time the trades better.
This strategy has been backtested across different timeframes and assets, showing resilience in various market conditions. It is essential to check the 'recalculate after order filled' option due to the dynamic nature of stop-loss orders.
This script is paired with the "CULTURATRADING INDICATOR" for enhanced signal clarity, providing a holistic view of the strategy's performance. Please note that this script is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice.
The "CULTURATRADING INDICATOR" is an essential tool that works in conjunction with the "CULTURATRADING STRATEGY" to provide traders with a clear visualization of the market's conditions. It enhances the strategy by offering visual cues that help interpret complex market data more intuitively.
The indicator displays key RSI levels, such as 60 for overbought conditions and 40 for oversold conditions, with a mid-level at 55 to indicate when a trend may be weakening. The colors on the RSI line change to reflect these conditions, offering a quick reference for traders: a blue color signifies an RSI above 60, indicating overbought conditions; a red color shows an RSI below 40, pointing to oversold conditions; and white represents values in between, suggesting a neutral state.
Moreover, the volatility histogram, which is part of the "CULTURATRADING INDICATOR," provides a visual representation of market volatility. The histogram changes colors based on the ADX value and the slope of the MACD line. For instance, a green histogram suggests a positive MACD slope during a strong trend, indicating potential bullish momentum. Conversely, a red histogram implies a negative MACD slope during strong trends, hinting at bearish momentum. A grey color might be used to represent periods when the trend is weak or the market is less volatile.
Together, these visual elements of the "CULTURATRADING INDICATOR" complement the strategy's signals, providing traders with an at-a-glance summary of the current market scenario, which can be particularly useful when managing multiple trades or assessing opportunities quickly.
Please remember, this script and its associated indicator are designed to serve as educational tools to assist in understanding market dynamics and are not intended as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor for personalized guidance.
MACD + MA HTF Strategy - Dynamic SmoothingMACD + MA HTF Strategy - Dynamic Smoothing
The MACD alone generally gives too many false signals and is therefore often used in combination with different indicators. The basic idea to combine the MACD with a moving average on a higher time frame is a commonly used technique to only enter Longs in a uptrend and only Shorts in a downtrend while trading on lower timeframe charts. However, the main issue in many strategy scripts is that the HTF indicator is not visible on lower timecharts. With this strategy example I used the Dynamic Smoothing code to visualise the HTF MA filter to display on you lower timechart. This way it is easier to optimize the strategy settings to the instrument chart.
Orginality and Usefulness - Dynamic Smoothing
Visualizing a higher time frame on a lower timechart often gives jagged lines on your chart. As the calculation is done on less bars, compared to the bars you have open on your timechart. The dynamic smoothing factor is derived by taking the ratio of minutes of the higher time frame to the current time frame. This ensures the moving average remains fluid and consistent across different time frames, eliminating 'jagged' lines on your chart. This new MA value is then used as HTF filter on top of the MACD entry settings. Always make sure the time chart is equal or lower than the timeframe settings in the configuration settings. The intention of the script is to visualise the higher time frame confirmations while trading on a lower timechart.
Code example how to achieve Dynamic Smoothing:
// Get minutes for current and higher timeframes
// Function to convert a timeframe string to its equivalent in minutes
timeframeToMinutes(tf) =>
multiplier = 1
if (str.endswith(tf, "D"))
multiplier := 1440
else if (str.endswith(tf, "W"))
multiplier := 10080
else if (str.endswith(tf, "M"))
multiplier := 43200
else if (str.endswith(tf, "H"))
multiplier := int(str.tonumber(str.replace(tf, "H", "")))
else
multiplier := int(str.tonumber(str.replace(tf, "m", "")))
multiplier
// Get minutes for current and higher timeframes
currentTFMinutes = timeframeToMinutes(timeframe.period)
higherTFMinutes = timeframeToMinutes(TimeFrame_Trend)
// Calculate the smoothing factor
dynamicSmoothing = math.round(higherTFMinutes / currentTFMinutes)
MA_Value_Smooth = ta.sma(MA_Value_HTF, dynamicSmoothing)
Complete Strategy
The MACD and HTF moving average is used to determine when to enter a new position. However a strategy should consider more factors than only the timing of entering a trade. To complete the strategy I included:
an option to choose from different MA types per indicator
a Risk Management Tool
a Take Profit Logic
a Trailing stop loss
a Hard Stoploss
a visual representation of TP and SL
This is merely an example how to structure a strategy and many different setups are possible.
The features in this script are explained below:
Different MA types
The script supports various MA types like EMA, SMA, DEMA, TEMA, WMA and HMA. You can select the MA type and different timeframe to your liking.
Risk Management Tool
Traders can choose to allocate their position size based on a percentage of equity or a fixed number of contracts. This feature ensures prudent risk management and helps traders align their position sizes with their risk tolerance. In the strategy -0.5 is equal to 50% of equity and 1.5 is 150% of equity used. Make sure to align the % of equity with your maxdrawn results with backtesting. Personally I don't want higher max drawdowns than 15%. For the strategy results the script considers 0.05 commission rate on each trade, to stay conservative. For a more detailed explanation I refer to my earlier published tradingviewblog about risk management:
Take Profit Logic
The take profit logic in this script is designed for optimization, offering three distinct exit levels. Traders can customize these levels based on their risk appetite. The script allows adjustment of both the percentage take profit level and the position size, catering to individual trading strategies and objectives. The default settings closes 33% of the position when TP target is hit. The TP levels are simply calculated by inputting a % of of the entryprice.
Trailing Stop and Hard Stoploss
To mitigate downside risks and protect profits, the script incorporates a well-thought-out trailing stop mechanism based on the Average True Range (ATR). This dynamic trailing stop adapts to market volatility, allowing traders to secure gains while letting profitable positions run. Additionally, to prevent significant losses, a fixed stop loss is implemented, providing an added layer of protection.
Visual Representation of Take Profit and Stoploss Levels
For enhanced visualization, take profit and stoploss levels are displayed on the chart. Take profit levels are depicted with green lines, providing a clear indication of potential exit points. Conversely, the trailing stop loss is presented by the red line, serving as visual cues for risk management. Visualizing indicators makes is easier to optimize settings to your liking.
Ideal Settings and Accessibility
This script is intended to be used on lower timeframe charts like 10 to 30 minutes. You can Align the MACD entry settings equal to your opened timechart or use a slightly higher timeframe. For the MA trend filters, higher timeframe settings such as 30 min, 1 hour, 4 hours, or 1 day are recommended for trading the trend.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information provided in this script is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. By using this script, you acknowledge that you understand and accept these risks.
Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
Bollinger and Stochastic with Trailing Stop - D.M.P.This trading strategy combines Bollinger Bands and the Stochastic indicator to identify entry opportunities in oversold and overbought conditions in the market. The aim is to capitalize on price rebounds from the extremes defined by the Bollinger Bands, with the confirmation of the Stochastic to maximize the probability of success of the operations.
Indicators Used
- Bollinger Bands Used to measure volatility and define oversold and overbought levels. When the price touches or breaks through the lower band, it indicates a possible oversold condition. Similarly, when it touches or breaks through the upper band, it indicates a possible overbought condition.
- Stochastic: A momentum oscillator that compares the closing price of an asset with its price range over a certain period. Values below 20 indicate oversold, while values above 80 indicate overbought.
Strategy Logic
- Long Entry (Buy): A purchase operation is executed when the price closes below the lower Bollinger band (indicating oversold) and the Stochastic is also in the oversold zone.
- Short Entry (Sell): A sell operation is executed when the price closes above the upper Bollinger band (indicating overbought) and the Stochastic is in the overbought zone.
CryptoGraph Dynamic DCAA system to backtest and automate comprehensive trading strategies
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🟣 Supporting Your Trades
CryptoGraph Dynamic DCA serves as a comprehensive tool on TradingView, designed to refine your approach to cryptocurrency trading. It utilises dynamic dollar-cost averaging (DCA), based on external indicator sources, to provide structured market entry and exit strategies. Suitable for both short-term trading and long-term portfolio management, CryptoGraph Dynamic DCA can offer a methodical way to support your trading decisions.
The tool offers an intuitive interface with inputs for strategy customisation, visualised preferences, and bot alert configurations. It can assist traders seeking precision, adaptability, and control in their trading activities. In the example on the chart above, we use the CryptoGraph Entry Builder (part of CryptoGraph Dynamic DCA package) as an external source for our initial entry (base order) and our safety orders, as well as an external source for our second take profit, which can be configured to be signal based.
🟣 Features
External Entry/Exit sources: The strategy is designed to assist with accurate market entries and exits by utilising signals from external indicators. It offers the flexibility to tailor your trading approach, providing an opportunity to leverage the analytical capabilities of various indicators available on TradingView.
Strategic Direction Control: Configure your strategy to go long, short, or both, adapting to market trends and your trading style.
Leverage Customisation: Tailor your leverage settings for isolated or cross margin to align with your risk tolerance, a liquidation estimation level is plotted on the chart, based on your input settings.
Diverse Entry Points: Utilise base orders and safety orders to diversify your entry points, reducing risk and enhancing potential returns.
Tailored Order Size: Fine-tune your order sizes using margin percentages or fixed contract sizes to fit your strategy’s requirements.
Profit Taking & Loss Prevention: Set take profit levels and stop losses with percentage or ATR-based parameters to secure profits and minimise losses. Options for moving the stop loss to entry after Take Profit 1, with an adjustable buffer, give you control over your risk management.
Max Safety Orders Count: Determine the maximum number of safety orders to manage risk effectively.
Price Deviation for DCA Orders: Specify the minimum price deviation percentage to trigger DCA orders, ensuring strategic order placement.
DCA Size Method: Choose from scaling or fixed-size DCA orders to align with your capital allocation strategy.
Visualisation & Alerts: Analyse your strategy’s performance with a backtest results table and configure bot alerts for automated trading. Auto configuration methods are integrated for multiple automated trading platforms.
🟣 Features Impression
🟣 Usage Guide
1. Strategy Configuration:
Select the appropriate cryptocurrency pair and exchange that corresponds to your trading preferences.
Choose your desired chart timeframe to align with your trading strategy’s temporal scope.
Ensure that you’re utilising the regular candle type for consistent and reliable data interpretation.
Pick an external entry source to trigger your trades based on predefined indicators or conditions.
Determine your take profit and stop loss levels to manage risks and secure earnings effectively.
Configure your DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) settings, including safety orders and the scaling method, to enhance entry points and manage investment distribution.
Always consult the tooltips next to each strategy input, to better understand their functions.
2. Backtest and Analysis:
Run backtests with your configured parameters to assess the strategy’s potential performance.
Review the backtest results and statistics tables to understand the strategy’s effectiveness, risk profile, and profitability.
3. Automated Trading Platform Integration:
Connect the strategy to a compatible automated trading platform to enable real-time execution of trades.
Within the trading platform, ensure the proper API setup of the bot’s configuration to align with the signals from the tool.
4. Alert Configuration in TradingView:
Set up the alert conditions in the TradingView tool to match your strategy triggers for entry, exit, take profit, and stop loss.
Configure the connection parameters within the tool to communicate effectively with your chosen automated trading platform
Activate the alerts, ensuring they are set to trigger actions such as order placement, adjustments, or closures as per your strategy’s logic.
5. Capital Management:
Confirm that your initial capital and order size are logically set, keeping in mind that the sum of all deals, especially when using pyramiding with safety orders, should not exceed your initial capital to avoid overexposure.
🟣 Trade Example
A clear example of a trade. Base order entry, safety order 1 fills, take profit 1 hits at 1%, the remainder of the position runs until the exit signal fires.
🟣 Warning
This tool has been developed to support your trading analysis, yet it’s important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with trading. It is advisable to perform thorough research, assess your risk tolerance, and utilise this tool as one element of an overall trading strategy. Ensure that you only trade with capital that you are prepared to risk. In addition, due to the complexity of the tool, bugs may be found. Please alert us whenever you think you have found a bug in the system.
Supertrend & CCI Strategy ScalpThis strategy is based on 2 Super Trend Indicators along with CCI .
The longer factor length gives you the current trend and the deviation in the short factor length gives us the opportunity to enter in the trade .
CCI indicator is used to determine the overbought and oversold levels.
Setup :
Long : When atrLength1 > close and atrLength2 < close and CCI < -100 we look for long trades as the longer factor length will be bullish .
Short : When atrLength1 < close and atrLength2 > close and CCI > 100 we look for short trades as the longer factor length will be bearish .
Please tune the settings according to your use .
Trade what you see not what you feel .
Please consult with your financial advisor before you deploy any real money for trading .
PresentTrend RMI Synergy - Strategy [presentTrading] █ Introduction and How it is Different
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" is the combined power of the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom presentTrend indicator. This strategy introduces a multifaceted approach, integrating momentum analysis with trend direction to offer traders a more nuanced and responsive trading mechanism.
BTCUSD 6h L/S Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" intricately combines the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom SuperTrend indicator to create a powerful tool for traders.
🔶 Relative Momentum Index (RMI)
The RMI is a variation of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), but instead of using price closes against itself, it measures the momentum of up and down movements in price relative to previous prices over a given period. The RMI for a period length `N` is calculated as follows:
RMI = 100 - 100/ (1 + U/D)
where:
- `U` is the average upward price change over `N` periods,
- `D` is the average downward price change over `N` periods.
The RMI oscillates between 0 and 100, with higher values indicating stronger upward momentum and lower values suggesting stronger downward momentum.
RMI = 21
RMI = 42
For more information - RMI Trend Sync - Strategy :
🔶 presentTrend Indicator
The presentTrend indicator combines the Average True Range (ATR) with a moving average to determine trend direction and dynamic support or resistance levels. The presentTrend for a period length `M` and a multiplier `F` is defined as:
- Upper Band: MA + (ATR x F)
- Lower Band: MA - (ATR x F)
where:
- `MA` is the moving average of the close price over `M` periods,
- `ATR` is the Average True Range over the same period,
- `F` is the multiplier to adjust the sensitivity.
The trend direction switches when the price crosses the presentTrend bands, signaling potential entry or exit points.
presentTrend length = 3
presentTrend length = 10
For more information - PresentTrend - Strategy :
🔶 Strategy Logic
Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: Triggered when the RMI exceeds a threshold, say 60, indicating a strong bullish momentum, and when the price is above the presentTrend, confirming an uptrend.
- Short Entry: Occurs when the RMI drops below a threshold, say 40, showing strong bearish momentum, and the price is below the present trend, indicating a downtrend.
Exit Conditions with Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- Long Exit: Initiated when the price crosses below the lower presentTrend band or when the RMI falls back towards a neutral level, suggesting a weakening of the bullish momentum.
- Short Exit: Executed when the price crosses above the upper presentTrend band or when the RMI rises towards a neutral level, indicating a reduction in bearish momentum.
Equations for Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- For Long Positions: The exit price is set at the lower SuperTrend band once the entry condition is met.
- For Short Positions: The exit price is determined by the upper SuperTrend band post-entry.
These dynamic trailing stops adjust as the market moves, providing a method to lock in profits while allowing room for the position to grow.
This strategy's strength lies in its dual analysis approach, leveraging RMI for momentum insights and presentTrend for trend direction and dynamic stops. This combination offers traders a robust framework to navigate various market conditions, aiming to capture trends early and exit positions strategically to maximize gains and minimize losses.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy provides flexibility in trade direction selection, offering "Long," "Short," or "Both" options to cater to different market conditions and trader preferences. This adaptability ensures that traders can align the strategy with their market outlook, risk tolerance, and trading goals.
█ Usage
To utilize the "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy," traders should input their preferred settings in the Pine Script™ and apply the strategy to their charts. Monitoring RMI for momentum shifts and adjusting positions based on SuperTrend signals can optimize entry and exit points, enhancing potential returns while managing risk.
█ Default Settings
1. RMI Length: 21
The 21-period RMI length strikes a balance between capturing momentum and filtering out market noise, offering a medium-term outlook on market trends.
2. Super Trend Length: 7
A SuperTrend length of 7 periods is chosen for its responsiveness to price movements, providing a dynamic framework for trend identification without excessive sensitivity.
3. Super Trend Multiplier: 4.0
The multiplier of 4.0 for the SuperTrend indicator widens the trend bands, focusing on significant market moves and reducing the impact of minor fluctuations.
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The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" represents a significant step forward in trading strategy development, blending momentum and trend analysis in a unique way. By providing a detailed framework for understanding market dynamics, this strategy empowers traders to make more informed decisions.
EMA Crossover Strategy with RSI Filter BIGTIME 5mThis script essentially creates a trading strategy that goes long when there is an EMA crossover, but only if the RSI is below a certain overbought level. It goes short when there is an EMA crossunder, but only if the RSI is above a certain oversold level. The moving averages are plotted on the chart for visual reference.
SCALPING 5m
Pairs: BIGTIME/USDT--- API3/USDT---BAKE/USDT--- ZIL/USDT
Self Optimizing PSAR [Starbots]Self Optimizing Parabolic SAR Strategy (non-repainting)
Strategy constantly backtest 169 different combinations of Parabolic SAR indicator for maximum profitability and trades based on the best performing combination at that time.
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# Parabolic SAR (PSAR)
Parabolic SAR is a time and price technical analysis tool created by J. Welles Wilder and it's primarily used to identify points of potential stops and reverses. In fact, the SAR in Parabolic SAR stands for "Stop and Reverse". The indicator's calculations create a parabola which is located below price during a Bullish Trend and above Price during a Bearish Trend.
You can read more about this indicator here:
www.tradingview.com
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The logic of self - optimizing:
This script is always backtesting 169 different combinations of Parabolic SAR settings in the background and saves the net. profit gained for every single one of them, then strategy selects and use the best performing combination of settings currently available for you to trade.
It's recalculating on every bar close - if one of the parameters starts performing better than others - have a higher net profit gain (it's literally like running 169 backtests with different settings) strategy switches to that parameter and continues trading like that until one of the other indicator parameters starts performing better again and switches to that settings.
We are optimizing our strategy based on 13 different 'Increment' factors of PSAR. We keep the 'Start' factor (default 0.02) and 'Max Value' factor (default 0.2) at default for all of them.
According to creator of this indicator J. Welles Wilder, we usually want to change only 'Increment' factors of PSAR in the calculation and leave the rest at default and that's what we do, we are changing only 'Increment' input.
Inputs : (you don't need to change them at all, it's a good balance for fast and slow detection of trends on PSAR)
Start = 0.02
Max value = 0.2
Increment1 = 0.005, Increment2 = 0.01, Increment3 = 0.015
Increment4 = 0.02, Increment5 = 0.025, Increment6 = 0.03
Increment7 = 0.035, Increment8 = 0.04, Increment9 = 0.045
Increment10 = 0.05, Increment11 = 0.055, Increment12 = 0.06
Increment13 = 0.065
PSAR buy / sell conditions looks like this:
PSAR1 = start 0.02, max value 0.2, increment1 0.005
PSAR2 = start 0.02, max value 0.2, increment2 0.01
PSAR3 = start 0.02, max value 0.2, increment3 0.015
PSAR4 = start 0.02, max value 0.2, increment3 0.02
...
PSAR13 = start 0.02, max value 0.2, increment13 0.065
Backtester in the background works like this:
backtest buying PSAR1 settings with selling PSAR1 settings => save net. profit
backtest buy PSAR1 with sell PSAR2 ;
backtest buy PSAR1 with sell PSAR3 ;
backtest buy PSAR1 with sell PSAR4 ;
..........
backtest buy PSAR1 with sell PSAR13 ;
..........
backtest buy PSAR13 with sell PSAR1 ;
backtest buy PSAR13 with sell PSAR2 ;
......
backtest buy PSAR13 with sell PSAR13 ;
=>
It will backtest 16x16=169 different PSAR settings and save their profits.
Your strategy then trades based on the best performing (highest net.profit) PSAR Setting currently available. It will check the calculations and backtest them on every new bar close - it's like running 169 strategies at time, and manually selecting the best performing one.
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If you wish to use it as INDICATOR - turn on 'Recalculate after every tick' in Properties tab to have this script updating constantly and use it as a normal Indicator tool for manual trading.
Strategy example is backtested on Daily chart of SHIBUSDT Binance
All settings at default. (1000 capital, 100 order size, 0.1% fee, 1 tick slippage)
Settings:
-Start = default Parabolic SAR setting is 0.02
-Max Value = default Parabolic SAR setting is 0.2
--Recommended PSAR Increment settings:
0.02 is default, higher timeframes usually performs good on the faster Increment factors 0.03-0.05+, smaller timeframes on slow Increment factors 0.005-0.02. I recommend you the most common and logical 13 different Increment factors for optimizing in the strategy as default already (from 0.005 to 0.065 - strategy will then optimize and trade based on the most profitable combination).
- Noise-Intensity Filter 🐎0.00-0.20%🐢
This will punish the tiny trades made by certain combinations and give more advantage to big average trades. It's basically like fee calculation, it will deduct 0.xx% fee from every trade when optimizing on their backtests.
You will usually want to have it around 0.05-0.10% like your fees on exchange.
-> 🐎Less than <0.10% allows strategy to be VERY SENSITIVE to market. (a lot of trades - quick buy-sell changes)
-> 🐢More than >0.10% will slow down the strategy, it will be LESS SENSITIVE to market volatility. (less trades - slowly switches the trend direction from buy to sell)
Close Trades on Neutral
After a lot of Trades, Algo starts developing self-intelligence. It can also have a neutral score. (Grey Plots). Sell when the strategy is neutral.
Other settings:
-Take Profit, Multiple Take Profit, Trailing Take Profit, Stop Loss, Trailing Stop Loss with functional alerts.
-Backtesting Range - backtest within your desired time window. Example: 'from 01 / 01 /2020 to 01 / 01 /2023'.
- Strategy is trading on the bar close without repaint. You can trade Long-Sell/Short Sell or Long-Short both directions. Alerts available, insert webhook messages in the inputs.
- Turn on Profit Calendar for better overview of how your strategy performs monthly/annualy
- Notes window : add your custom comments in here or save your webhook message text inside here for later use. I find this helpful to save texts inside.
Recommended TF : 4h, 8h, 1d (Trend Indicators are good at detecting directions of the market, but we can have a lot of noise and false movements on charts, you want to avoid that and ride the long term movements)
This script is fairly simple to use. It's self-optimizing and adjusting to the markets on the go.
RPPI Futures & Indices Strategy Tester [SS Premium]Hello everyone,
As promised, here is the strategy companion to the RPPI Futures & Indicies Indicator.
It contains all of the models of the RPPI but the functionality is all about back-testing the strategy. As such, you cannot use this to run probabilities, run autoregression assessments, or do any of the advanced RPPI features, this is solely to allow you to develop and implement a sustainable strategy in your trading using the RPI.
When you launch the indicator, in the settings menu, you will see toggles to customize the strategy you would like to apply:
You can customize your short and long entries and your short and long exits and then review the backtest results of these various combinations.
From there, you can open up tradingview's strategy tester to see the immediate success of the strategy. If you want to test how effective your strategy is further back, you can make use of Tradingview's "Deep Backtesting" option. This allows you to select a start date way in the past, and back-test over numerous months / years, to see if the strategy has been sustainable in the long term.
To read more about the RPPI, you can check out its own page which lists the details of the indicator, how it works and how to use it. As a synopsis, the RPPI is a compendium indicator that contains various models of multiple futures and stocks. This is to attempt to accurately forecast daily, weekly, monthly, 3 month and annual moves on various futures and indices.
This strategy companion will help you hone in on ideal entries and exits and allow you to tailor them to each ticker that you are interested in trading, on whichever timeframe you are interested in trading.
Some important notes when applying the back-testing results:
1. If you are back-testing daily levels, it is recommended to use the 1 to 5-minute chart max.
2. iF you are back-testing weekly levels, it is recommended to use at least 15 to 30 minutes, up to 60 minute candles.
3. Monthly levels, its best to use 1 hour and up.
4. Greater than monthly, its best to use 3 to 4 hours, to daily candles and up.
As always, feel free to leave your questions or suggestions below.
Thank you for reading and, as always, safe trades!
PS January Barometer BacktesterPS January Barometer Backtester (PS JBB)
The PS January Barometer Backtester (PS JBB) is a simple strategy designed to test the "January Effect" hypothesis in financial markets. This effect theorizes that stock market performance in January can predict the trend for the rest of the year. The script operates on a monthly timeframe, focusing on capturing and analyzing the price movements in January and their subsequent influence on the market until the end of each year.
User Input:
January Trifecta Selectors
These are user-selectable options allowing traders to incorporate additional criteria into their market analysis.
The Santa Claus Rally refers to a stock market increase typically seen in the last week of December through the first two trading days in January.
The First Five Days Indicator assesses market performance during the initial five days of the year.
Script Operation:
The script automatically detects the start of each year, tracks January's high, and signals entry and exit points for trades based on the strategy's logic. It's an excellent tool for traders and investors looking to explore the January Effect's validity and its potential impact on their trading decisions.
In essence, the "PS January Barometer Backtester" is designed to exploit specific seasonal market trends, particularly focusing on the early part of the year, by analyzing and acting upon defined market movements. This strategy is ideal for traders who focus on yearly cyclical patterns and seek to incorporate historical trends into their trading decisions.
Note: This script is intended for educational and research purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading/investment decisions.
