Forecasting
Tangent Extrapolation ForecastTangent Extrapolation Forecast
This indicator visually projects price direction by drawing a smoothed sequence of tangent lines based on recent price movements. For each bar in a user-defined lookback window, it calculates the slope over a smoothing period and extends the projected price forward. The resulting polyline forecast connect the endpoints of the extrapolations, and is color-coded to reflect directional changes: green for upward moves, red for downward, and gray for flat segments. This tool can assist traders in visualizing short-term momentum and potential trend continuity without introducing artificial future gaps.
Inputs:
Bars to Use: Number of historical bars used in the forecast.
Slope Smoothing Window: The number of bars used to calculate slope for projection.
Source: Price input for calculations (default is close).
This indicator does not generate buy/sell signals. It is intended as a visual aid to support discretionary analysis.
JPMorgan G7 Volatility IndexThe JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index: Scientific Analysis and Professional Applications
Introduction
The JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index (G7VOL) represents a sophisticated metric for monitoring currency market volatility across major developed economies. This indicator functions as an approximation of JPMorgan's proprietary volatility indices, providing traders and investors with a normalized measurement of cross-currency volatility conditions (Clark, 2019).
Theoretical Foundation
Currency volatility is fundamentally defined as "the statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index" (Hull, 2018, p.127). In the context of G7 currencies, this volatility measurement becomes particularly significant due to the economic importance of these nations, which collectively represent more than 50% of global nominal GDP (IMF, 2022).
According to Menkhoff et al. (2012, p.685), "currency volatility serves as a global risk factor that affects expected returns across different asset classes." This finding underscores the importance of monitoring G7 currency volatility as a proxy for global financial conditions.
Methodology
The G7VOL indicator employs a multi-step calculation process:
Individual volatility calculation for seven major currency pairs using standard deviation normalized by price (Lo, 2002)
- Weighted-average combination of these volatilities to form a composite index
- Normalization against historical bands to create a standardized scale
- Visual representation through dynamic coloring that reflects current market conditions
The mathematical foundation follows the volatility calculation methodology proposed by Bollerslev et al. (2018):
Volatility = σ(returns) / price × 100
Where σ represents standard deviation calculated over a specified timeframe, typically 20 periods as recommended by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS, 2020).
Professional Applications
Professional traders and institutional investors employ the G7VOL indicator in several key ways:
1. Risk Management Signaling
According to research by Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016), elevated currency volatility often precedes broader market stress. When the G7VOL breaches its high volatility threshold (typically 1.5 times the 100-period average), portfolio managers frequently reduce risk exposure across asset classes. As noted by Borio (2019, p.17), "currency volatility spikes have historically preceded equity market corrections by 2-7 trading days."
2. Counter-Cyclical Investment Strategy
Low G7 volatility periods (readings below the lower band) tend to coincide with what Shin (2017) describes as "risk-on" environments. Professional investors often use these signals to increase allocations to higher-beta assets and emerging markets. Campbell et al. (2021) found that G7 volatility in the lowest quintile historically preceded emerging market outperformance by an average of 3.7% over subsequent quarters.
3. Regime Identification
The normalized volatility framework enables identification of distinct market regimes:
- Readings above 1.0: Crisis/high volatility regime
- Readings between -0.5 and 0.5: Normal volatility regime
- Readings below -1.0: Unusually calm markets
According to Rey (2015), these regimes have significant implications for global monetary policy transmission mechanisms and cross-border capital flows.
Interpretation and Trading Applications
G7 currency volatility serves as a barometer for global financial conditions due to these currencies' centrality in international trade and reserve status. As noted by Gagnon and Ihrig (2021, p.423), "G7 currency volatility captures both trade-related uncertainty and broader financial market risk appetites."
Professional traders apply this indicator in multiple contexts:
- Leading indicator: Research from the Federal Reserve Board (Powell, 2020) suggests G7 volatility often leads VIX movements by 1-3 days, providing advance warning of broader market volatility.
- Correlation shifts: During periods of elevated G7 volatility, cross-asset correlations typically increase what Brunnermeier and Pedersen (2009) term "correlation breakdown during stress periods." This phenomenon informs portfolio diversification strategies.
- Carry trade timing: Currency carry strategies perform best during low volatility regimes as documented by Lustig et al. (2011). The G7VOL indicator provides objective thresholds for initiating or exiting such positions.
References
Adrian, T. and Brunnermeier, M.K. (2016) 'CoVaR', American Economic Review, 106(7), pp.1705-1741.
Bank for International Settlements (2020) Monitoring Volatility in Foreign Exchange Markets. BIS Quarterly Review, December 2020.
Bollerslev, T., Patton, A.J. and Quaedvlieg, R. (2018) 'Modeling and forecasting (un)reliable realized volatilities', Journal of Econometrics, 204(1), pp.112-130.
Borio, C. (2019) 'Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement', BIS Working Papers, No. 706.
Brunnermeier, M.K. and Pedersen, L.H. (2009) 'Market liquidity and funding liquidity', Review of Financial Studies, 22(6), pp.2201-2238.
Campbell, J.Y., Sunderam, A. and Viceira, L.M. (2021) 'Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds', Critical Finance Review, 10(2), pp.303-336.
Clark, J. (2019) 'Currency Volatility and Macro Fundamentals', JPMorgan Global FX Research Quarterly, Fall 2019.
Gagnon, J.E. and Ihrig, J. (2021) 'What drives foreign exchange markets?', International Finance, 24(3), pp.414-428.
Hull, J.C. (2018) Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. 10th edn. London: Pearson.
International Monetary Fund (2022) World Economic Outlook Database. Washington, DC: IMF.
Lo, A.W. (2002) 'The statistics of Sharpe ratios', Financial Analysts Journal, 58(4), pp.36-52.
Lustig, H., Roussanov, N. and Verdelhan, A. (2011) 'Common risk factors in currency markets', Review of Financial Studies, 24(11), pp.3731-3777.
Menkhoff, L., Sarno, L., Schmeling, M. and Schrimpf, A. (2012) 'Carry trades and global foreign exchange volatility', Journal of Finance, 67(2), pp.681-718.
Powell, J. (2020) Monetary Policy and Price Stability. Speech at Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, August 27, 2020.
Rey, H. (2015) 'Dilemma not trilemma: The global financial cycle and monetary policy independence', NBER Working Paper No. 21162.
Shin, H.S. (2017) 'The bank/capital markets nexus goes global', Bank for International Settlements Speech, January 15, 2017.
Range Progress TrackerRANGE PROGRESS TRACKER(RPT)
PURPOSE
This indicator helps traders visually and statistically understand how much of the typical price range (measured by ATR) has already been covered in the current period (Daily, Weekly, or Monthly). It includes key features to assist in trend exhaustion analysis, reversal spotting, and smart alerting.
CORE LOGIC
The indicator calculates the current range of the selected time frame (e.g., Daily), which is:
Current Range = High - Low
This is then compared to the ATR (Average True Range) of the same time frame, which represents the average price movement range over a defined period (default is 14).
The comparison is expressed as a percentage, calculated with this formula:
Range % = (Current Range / ATR) × 100
This percentage shows how much of the “average expected move” has already occurred.
WHY IT MATTERS
When the current range approaches or exceeds 100% of ATR, it means the price has already moved as much as it typically does in a full session.
This indicates a lower probability of continuing the trend with a new high or low, especially when the price is already near the session's high or low.
This setup can signal:
A possible consolidation phase
A reversal in trend
The market entering a corrective phase
SMART ALERTS
The indicator can alert you when:
A new high is made after the range percentage exceeds your set threshold.
A new low is made after the range percentage exceeds your set threshold.
You can adjust the Range % Alert Threshold in the settings to tailor it to your trading style.
Volatility Breakout with Auto Buy/Sell🔧 Features:
3 different volatility measurement methods combined.
It gives signals as Volatility Spike ("Break ↑") and Volatility Drop ("Drop ↓").
It works in the bottom panel because Overlay = false.
Major Highs and Lows Numbering with SeriesThis indicator puics highs and low pivots and numbers from 0 to a series.
Custom SMA & Crossover Indicator
10 please make a code in pine .
Display the 5-day Simple Moving Average in yellow.
Display the 10-day Simple Moving Average in green.
Display the 20-day Simple Moving Average in red.
Display the daily closing price in blue.
Indicate a bullish crossover (5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA) with a green 'B' label below the bar.
Indicate a bearish crossover (5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA) with a red 'D' label above the bar.
Display volume increased by 50% with a green ‘V’ lable
Display price increased 3% with a green ‘P’ lable
Display volume decreased by 100% with a Red ‘V’ lable
Display price decreased by 3% with a Red
SharkTrends, Trade Zone Fills + Risk Display BoxChart,
Log or Short,
Targeted areas from manual or current price with adjustable display box.
For visibility ease.
Average Daily Range Compression/ExpansionThis Script identifies the stocks average range in previous expansion and consolidation phases
Implied ERP ApproximationDefinition of Equity Risk Premium (ERP):
The Equity Risk Premium (ERP) is the excess return that investors expect to earn from investing in stocks over a risk-free asset, typically represented by government bonds like the 10-year U.S. Treasury note.
Mathematically, it’s often approximated as:
ERP=Expected Stock Market Return−Risk-Free Rate\text{ERP} = \text{Expected Stock Market Return} - \text{Risk-Free Rate}\text{ERP} = \text{Expected Stock Market Return} - \text{Risk-Free Rate}
In practice, the expected stock market return can be approximated using the earnings yield of the S&P 500, which is the inverse of the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio:
Earnings Yield=Earnings per SharePrice=1P/E Ratio\text{Earnings Yield} = \frac{\text{Earnings per Share}}{\text{Price}} = \frac{1}{\text{P/E Ratio}}\text{Earnings Yield} = \frac{\text{Earnings per Share}}{\text{Price}} = \frac{1}{\text{P/E Ratio}}
The risk-free rate is typically the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note (symbol ^TNX on TradingView).
The Implied ERP Indicator:
The Implied ERP Indicator calculates the ERP by subtracting the 10-year Treasury yield from the S&P 500 earnings yield:
Implied ERP=S&P 500 Earnings Yield−10-Year Treasury Yield\text{Implied ERP} = \text{S\&P 500 Earnings Yield} - \text{10-Year Treasury Yield}\text{Implied ERP} = \text{S\&P 500 Earnings Yield} - \text{10-Year Treasury Yield}
Since Pine Script cannot directly fetch the P/E ratio or earnings data for SP:SPX (as discussed in the earlier error with ta.pe()), we approximate the P/E ratio using a static value (e.g., 25.0, which you can adjust based on the actual P/E ratio as of May 2025).
WESTER 9.0Best Version to date (5/2025)
Homemade indicator that tracks price action the way I see it.
When price is in the “zone” look for continuation in that zone.
Color Crosses lead to same color diamonds.
Bars are colored to indicate zone.
GLTA
Time Zone DualThis indicator allows you to easily visualize two different time zones on the chart using color shading. It's ideal for traders who follow multiple market sessions (such as London, New York, Tokyo, etc.).
H2-25 cuts (bp)This custom TradingView indicator tracks and visualizes the implied pricing of Federal Reserve rate cuts in the market, specifically for the second half of 2025. It does so by comparing the price differences between two specific Fed funds futures contracts: one for June 2025 and one for December 2025. These contracts are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and are a widely-used market gauge of the expected path of U.S. interest rates.
The indicator calculates the difference between the implied rates for June and December 2025, and then multiplies the result by 100 to express it in basis points (bps). Each 0.01 change in the spread corresponds to a 1-basis point change in expectations for future rate cuts. A positive value indicates that the market is pricing in a higher likelihood of one or more rate cuts in 2025, while a negative value suggests that the market expects the Fed to hold rates steady or even raise them.
The plot represents the difference in implied rate cuts (in basis points) between the two contracts:
June 2025 (ZQM2025): A contract representing the implied Fed funds rate for June 2025.
December 2025 (ZQZ2025): A contract representing the implied Fed funds rate for December 2025.
Custom Bias TableTradingview indicator that creates a resizable, repositionable table with:
: 2 columns: TIMEFRAME and BIAS
: Adjustable number of rows
: Customizable text for each cell
: Customizable text color
: Positioned in the top-right of the chart
SuperBuy/TrendFollowingThis indicator can mark buy and sell points. There are comments in the code, and you can enable the secondary buy and sell point function yourself.
Market Structure (HH, HL, LH, LL)Trying Something. I have decided to try to create my own script. I don't know what I am doing just yet, but I am learning.
Stochastic RSI with Alerts# Stochastic RSI with Alerts - User Manual
## 1. Overview
This enhanced Stochastic RSI indicator identifies overbought/oversold conditions with visual signals and customizable alerts. It features:
- Dual-line Stoch RSI (K & D)
- Threshold-based buy/sell signals
- Configurable alert system
- Customizable parameters
## 2. Installation
1. Open TradingView chart
2. Open Pine Editor (📈 icon at bottom)
3. Copy/paste the full code
4. Click "Add to Chart"
## 3. Input Parameters
### 3.1 Core Settings
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|-----------|---------|-------------|
| K | 3 | Smoothing period for %K line |
| D | 3 | Smoothing period for %D line |
| RSI Length | 14 | RSI calculation period |
| Stochastic Length | 14 | Lookback period for Stoch calculation |
| RSI Source | Close | Price source for RSI calculation |
### 3.2 Signal Thresholds
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|-----------|---------|-------------|
| Upper Limit | 80 | Sell signal threshold (overbought) |
| Lower Limit | 20 | Buy signal threshold (oversold) |
### 3.3 Alert Settings
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|-----------|---------|-------------|
| Enable Buy Alerts | True | Toggle buy notifications |
| Enable Sell Alerts | True | Toggle sell notifications |
| Custom Alert Message | Empty | Additional text for alerts |
## 4. Signal Logic
### 4.1 Buy Signal (Green ▲)
Triggers when:
\text{%K crossover %D} \quad AND \quad (\text{%K ≤ Lower Limit} \quad OR \quad \text{%D ≤ Lower Limit})
### 4.2 Sell Signal (Red ▼)
Triggers when:
\text{%K crossunder %D} \quad AND \quad (\text{%K ≥ Upper Limit} \quad OR \quad \text{%D ≥ Upper Limit})
## 5. Alert System
### 5.1 Auto-Generated Alerts
The script automatically creates these alert conditions:
- **Buy Signal Alert**: Triggers on valid buy signals
- **Sell Signal Alert**: Triggers on valid sell signals
Alert messages include:
- Signal type (Buy/Sell)
- Current %K and %D values
- Custom message (if configured)
### 5.2 Alert Configuration
**Method 1: Script-Generated Alerts**
1. Hover over any signal marker
2. Click the 🔔 icon
3. Select trigger conditions:
- "Buy Signal Alert"
- "Sell Signal Alert"
**Method 2: Manual Setup**
1. Open Alert creation window
2. Condition: Select "Stoch RSI Alerts"
3. Choose:
- "Buy Signal Alert" for long entries
- "Sell Signal Alert" for exits/shorts
## 6. Customization Tips
### 6.1 Threshold Adjustment
// For day trading (tighter ranges)
upperLimit = 75
lowerLimit = 25
// For swing trading (wider ranges)
upperLimit = 85
lowerLimit = 15
### 6.2 Visual Modifications
Change signal markers via:
- `style=` : Try `shape.labelup`, `shape.flag`, etc.
- `color=` : Use hex codes (#FF00FF) or named colors
- `size=` : `size.tiny` to `size.huge`
## 7. Recommended Use Cases
1. **Mean Reversion Strategies**: Pair with support/resistance levels
2. **Trend Confirmation**: Filter with 200EMA direction
3. **Divergence Trading**: Compare with price action
## 8. Limitations
- Works best in ranging markets
- Combine with volume analysis for confirmation
- Not recommended as standalone strategy
---
This documentation follows technical writing best practices with:
- Clear parameter tables
- Mathematical signal logic
- Visual hierarchy
- Practical examples
- Usage recommendations
HTF ReversalsHTF Reversals — Big Turtle Soup & Relief Patterns
A multi-timeframe reversal indicator based on the logic of how pivots form and how true reversals begin. Designed for traders who want to catch high-probability turning points on higher timeframes, with visual clarity and actionable signals.
“Reversals don’t start from nowhere — they begin with a failed expansion and a reclaim of a prior range. This script helps you spot those moments, before the crowd.”
How It Works
Detects High Timeframe (HTF) “CR” Candles:
The script scans for large-bodied candles (“CR” candles) on higher timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, 3-Day). These candles often mark the end of a trend expansion and the start of a potential reversal zone.
Looks for “Inside” Candles:
After a CR candle, the script waits for a smaller “inside” candle, which signals a pause or failed continuation. The relationship between the CR and inside candle is key for identifying a possible reversal setup.
Engulfing Confirmation (Optional):
If the inside candle doesn’t immediately trigger a reversal, the script can wait for an engulfing move in the opposite direction, confirming the failed expansion and increasing the probability of a reversal.
Entry & Target Calculation:
For each valid setup, the script calculates a retracement entry (using Fibonacci levels like 0.382 or 0.618) and a logical target (usually the CR candle’s high or low).
Visuals: Lines & Boxes:
Each signal is marked with a horizontal line (entry) and a colored box extending from the HTF close to the entry price, visually highlighting the reversal zone for the same duration as the signal’s expected play-out.
Dashboard & Alerts:
A dashboard table summarizes the latest signals for each timeframe. Custom alerts notify you of new setups in real time.
Why It Works
Pivot Logic:
Reversals often start when a strong expansion candle (pivot) is followed by a failed attempt to continue in the same direction. This script codifies that logic, looking for the “pause” after the expansion and the first sign of a reclaim.
Multi-Timeframe Edge:
By focusing on higher timeframes, the indicator filters out noise and highlights only the most significant reversal opportunities.
Objective, Repeatable Rules:
All conditions are clearly defined and repeatable, removing subjectivity from reversal trading.
Visual Clarity:
The combination of lines and boxes makes it easy to see where reversals are likely to start and where your risk/reward lies.
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart and select your preferred timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, 3-Day).
Watch for new signals on the dashboard or via alerts.
Use the entry line and box as your trade zone; the target is also displayed.
Combine with your own confluence (price action, volume, etc.) for best results.
This indicator is best used as a framework for understanding where high-probability reversals are likely to occur, not as a standalone buy/sell tool. Always use proper risk management.
Risk Calculator PRO — manual lot size + auto lot-suggestionWhy risk management?
90 % of traders blow up because they size positions emotionally. This tool forces Risk-First Thinking: choose the amount you’re willing to lose, and the script reverse-engineers everything else.
Key features
1. Manual or Market Entry – click “Use current price” or type a custom entry.
2. Setup-based ₹-Risk – four presets (A/B/C/D). Edit to your workflow.
3. Lot-Size Input + Auto Lot Suggestion – you tell the contract size ⇒ script tells you how many lots.
4. Auto-SL (optional) – tick to push stop-loss to exactly 1-lot risk.
5. Instant Targets – 1 : 2, 1 : 3, 1 : 4, 1 : 5 plotted and alert-ready.
6. P&L Preview – table shows potential profit at each R-multiple plus real ₹ at SL.
7. Margin Column – enter per-lot margin once; script totals it for any size.
8. Clean Table UI – dark/light friendly; updates every 5 bars.
9. Alert Pack – SL, each target, plus copy-paste journal line on the chart.
How to use
1. Add to chart > “Format”.
2. Type the lot size for the symbol (e.g., 1250 for Natural Gas, 1 for cash equity).
3. Pick Side (Buy / Sell) & Setup grade.
4. ✅ If you want the script to place SL for you, tick Auto-SL (risk = 1 lot).
5. Otherwise type your own Stop-loss.
6. Read the table:
• Suggested lots = how many to trade so risk ≤ setup ₹.
• Risk (currency) = real money lost if SL hits.
7. Set TradingView alerts on the built-in conditions (T1_2, SL_hit, etc.) if you’d like push / email.
8. Copy the orange CSV label to Excel / Sheets for journalling.
Best practices
• Never raise risk to “fit” a trade. Lower size instead.
• Review win-rate vs. R multiple monthly; adjust setups A–D accordingly.
• Test Auto-SL in replay before going live.
Disclaimer
This script is educational. Past performance ≠ future results. The author isn’t responsible for trading losses.
DXY Monthly Return (+3M Lead)This indicator calculates the rolling monthly return (based on 21 trading days) for the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), applying a +3-month forward shift (lead) to the series.
It is designed to help visualize the leading effect of USD strength or weakness on other macro-sensitive assets — particularly Bitcoin and crypto markets, which often react to changes in global dollar liquidity with a lag of approximately 10 weeks.
Note: This script does not invert the values directly. To match the inverted Y-axis visual used by Steno Research — where negative USD returns are displayed at the top — simply right-click the Y-axis in the chart panel and select “Invert Scale.”
💡 Use this tool for macro trend analysis, early crypto signal generation, or studying inverse correlations between USD and risk assets.
Source logic: Steno Research, Bloomberg, Macrobond.
Taylor Series ForecastThis indicator projects future price movement using a second-order Taylor Series expansion, calculated from a smoothed price (EMA). It models price momentum and acceleration to generate a forward-looking trajectory.
Forecast points are plotted continuously as connected line segments extending into the future. Each segment is color-coded based on slope:
Green indicates an upward slope (bullish forecast).
Red indicates a downward slope (bearish forecast).
The forecast adapts to current market conditions and updates dynamically with each new bar. Useful for visualizing potential future price paths and identifying directional bias based on recent price action.
Inputs:
Max Forecast Horizon: How many bars into the future the forecast extends.
EMA Smoothing Length: The smoothing applied to price before calculating derivatives.
This tool is experimental and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods. It does not guarantee future price performance.
UT Bot + Hull MA Confirmed Signal DelayOverview
This indicator is designed to detect high-probability reversal entry signals by combining "UT Bot Alerts" (UT Bot Alerts script adapted from QuantNomad - Originally developed by Yo_adriiiiaan and idea of original code for "UT Bot Alerts" from HPotter ) with confirmation from a Hull Moving Average (HMA) Developed by Alan Hull . It focuses on capturing momentum shifts that often precede trend reversals, helping traders identify potential entry points while filtering out false signals.
🔍 How It Works
This strategy operates in two stages:
1. UT Bot Momentum Trigger
The foundation of this script is the "UT Bot Alerts" , which uses an ATR-based trailing stop to detect momentum changes. Specifically:
The script calculates a dynamic stop level based on the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a user-defined sensitivity factor (Key Value).
When price closes above this trailing stop and the short-term EMA crosses above the stop, a potential buy setup is triggered.
Conversely, when price closes below the trailing stop and the short-term EMA crosses below, a potential sell setup is triggered.
These UT Bot alerts are designed to identify the initial shift in market direction, acting as the first filter in the signal process.
2. Hull MA Confirmation
To reduce noise and false triggers from the UT Bot alone, this script delays the entry signal until price confirms the move by crossing the Hull Moving Average (or its variants: HMA, THMA, EHMA) in the same direction as the UT Bot trigger:
A Buy Signal is generated only when:
A UT Bot Buy condition is active, and
The price closes above the Hull MA.
Or, if a UT Bot Buy condition was recently triggered but price hadn’t yet crossed above the Hull MA, a delayed buy is signaled when price finally breaks above it.
A Sell Signal is generated only when:
A UT Bot Sell condition is active, and
The price closes below the Hull MA.
Similarly, a delayed sell signal can occur if price breaks below the Hull MA shortly after a UT Bot Sell trigger.
This dual-confirmation process helps traders avoid premature entries and improves the reliability of reversal signals.
📈 Best Use Cases
Reversal Trading: This strategy is particularly well-suited for catching early trend reversals rather than trend continuations. It excels at identifying momentum pivots that occur after pullbacks or exhaustion moves.
Heikin Ashi Charts Recommended: The script offers a Heikin Ashi mode for smoothing out noise and enhancing visual clarity. Using Heikin Ashi candles can further reduce whipsaws and highlight cleaner shifts in trend direction.
MACD Alignment: For best results, trade in the direction of the MACD trend or use it as a filter to avoid counter-trend trades.
⚠️ Important Notes
Entry Signals Only: This indicator only plots entry points (Buy and Sell signals). It does not define exit strategies, so users should manage trades manually using trailing stops, profit targets, or other exit indicators.
No Signal = No Confirmation: You may see a UT Bot trigger without a corresponding Buy/Sell signal. This means the price did not confirm the move by crossing the Hull MA, and therefore the setup was considered too weak or incomplete.
⚙️ Customization
UT Bot Sensitivity: Adjust the “Key Value” and “ATR Period” to make the UT Bot more or less reactive to price action.
Use Heikin Ashi: Toggle between standard candles or Heikin Ashi in the indicator settings for a smoother trading experience.
The HMA length may also be modified in the indicator settings from its standard 55 length to increase or decrease the sensitivity of signal.
This strategy is best used by traders looking for a structured, logic-based way to enter early into reversals with added confirmation to reduce risk. By combining two independent systems—momentum detection (UT Bot) and trend confirmation (Hull MA)—it aims to provide high-confidence entries without overwhelming complexity.
Let the indicator guide your entries—you manage the exits.
Examples of use:
Futures:
Stock:
Crypto:
As shown in the snapshots this strategy, like most, works the best when price action has a sizeable ATR and works the least when price is choppy. Therefore it is always best to use this system when price is coming off known support or resistance levels and when it is seen to respect short term EMA's like the 9 or 15.
My personal preference to use this system is for day trading on a 3 or 5 minute chart. But it is valid for all timeframes and simply marks a high probability for a new trend to form.
Sources:
Quant Nomad - www.tradingview.com
Yo_adriiiiaan - www.tradingview.com
HPotter - www.tradingview.com
Hull Moving Average - alanhull.com