EMA+SMA+VWAP Trading Strategy This strategy is for COINBASE:ETHUSD 15min. Tweak the INPUTS as per requirement.
Note: The strategy will give different results for different sources(Binance, Bitstamp) and symbols.
For more accurate P&L in "Strategy Tester" modify the settings as below:
Under "Properties" tab
--Change "Order Size" value (default is 1) and type from "% of equity" to "Contract".
--Add "Commission". For me commission was "0.07 %".
Strategy Explanation
Trend Following: The strategy uses EMA crossovers (17 vs. 31) to detect momentum shifts, with VWAP and SMA (69) acting as filters to confirm the broader trend.
Reversal Mechanism: It allows switching directly from long to short (or vice versa) by closing the existing position before entering the new one.
Exit Strategy: Faster EMAs (8 and 9) are used for exits, making the strategy sensitive to short-term reversals while avoiding premature exits during strong trends.
Risk Management: The use of multiple filters (VWAP, SMA) reduces false signals, though it may delay entries in fast-moving markets.
How It Works:
Bullish Scenario: If the 17-period EMA crosses above the 31-period EMA, and the price is above both VWAP and the 69-period SMA, a long position is opened. It exits when the 8-period EMA crosses below the 9-period EMA.
Bearish Scenario: If the 17-period EMA crosses below the 31-period EMA, and the price is below both VWAP and the 69-period SMA, a short position is opened. It exits when the 8-period EMA crosses above the 9-period EMA.
Reversal: If a short position is active and a long signal triggers, the short is closed before entering the long (and vice versa).
Potential Strengths
Combines momentum (EMA crossovers) with trend confirmation (VWAP, SMA).
Reversal logic allows flexibility in choppy markets.
Visual indicators make it easy to monitor signals.
Potential Weaknesses
Multiple conditions may reduce trade frequency, missing some opportunities.
Sensitivity to EMA periods; defaults (17, 31, 8, 9, 69) may not suit all assets or timeframes.
No explicit stop-loss or take-profit logic, relying solely on EMA exits.
D-ETH
NUPL Z-Score | Vistula LabsWhat is NUPL?
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is a fundamental on-chain metric used to evaluate the profit or loss state of a cryptocurrency's market participants, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). It compares the current market capitalization—the total value of all coins at their current price—to the realized capitalization, which represents the average price at which all coins were last transacted on-chain.
Market Capitalization: Current price × circulating supply.
Realized Capitalization: The sum of the value of all coins based on the price at their last on-chain movement.
For Bitcoin (BTC):
NUPL = (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap * 100
For Ethereum (ETH):
NUPL = (Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap
A positive NUPL indicates that the market holds unrealized profits, meaning the current value exceeds the price at which coins were last moved. A negative NUPL signals unrealized losses. Extreme NUPL values—high positives or low negatives—can suggest overvaluation (potential market tops) or undervaluation (potential market bottoms), respectively.
How NUPL is Calculated for BTC & ETH
This indicator calculates NUPL using data sourced from Glassnode and CoinMetrics:
For Bitcoin:
Market Cap: GLASSNODE:BTC_MARKETCAP
Realized Cap: COINMETRICS:BTC_MARKETCAPREAL
Formula: ((btc_market_cap - btc_market_cap_real) / btc_market_cap) * 100
For Ethereum:
Market Cap: GLASSNODE:ETH_MARKETCAP
Realized Cap: COINMETRICS:ETH_MARKETCAPREAL
Formula: ((eth_market_cap - eth_market_cap_real) / eth_market_cap) * 100
The indicator then transforms these NUPL values into a Z-Score, which measures how many standard deviations the current NUPL deviates from its historical average. The Z-Score calculation incorporates:
A customizable moving average of NUPL (options: SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA) over a user-defined length (default: 220 periods).
The standard deviation of NUPL over a specified lookback period (default: 200 periods).
Z-Score Formula:
Z-Score = (Current NUPL - Moving Average of NUPL) / Standard Deviation of NUPL
This normalization allows the indicator to highlight extreme market conditions regardless of the raw NUPL scale.
How This Indicator Can Be Used
Trend Following
The NUPL Z-Score indicator employs a trend-following system with adjustable thresholds to generate trading signals:
Long Signals: Triggered when the Z-Score crosses above the Long Threshold (default: 0.26).
Short Signals: Triggered when the Z-Score crosses below the Short Threshold (default: -0.62).
Visual Representations:
Green up-triangles: Indicate long entry points (plotted below the bar).
Red down-triangles: Indicate short entry points (plotted above the bar).
Color-coded elements:
Candles and Z-Score plot turn teal (#00ffdd) for long positions.
Candles and Z-Score plot turn magenta (#ff00bf) for short positions.
These signals leverage historical NUPL trends to identify potential momentum shifts, aiding traders in timing entries and exits.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions
The indicator flags extreme market states using additional thresholds:
Overbought Threshold (default: 3.0): When the Z-Score exceeds this level, the market may be significantly overvalued, hinting at potential selling pressure. Highlighted with a light magenta background (#ff00bf with 75% transparency).
Oversold Threshold (default: -2.0): When the Z-Score drops below this level, the market may be significantly undervalued, suggesting buying opportunities. Highlighted with a light teal background (#00ffdd with 75% transparency).
These extreme Z-Score levels have historically aligned with major market peaks and troughs, making them useful for medium- to long-term position management.
Customization Options
Traders can tailor the indicator to their preferences:
Cryptocurrency Source: Choose between BTC or ETH.
Moving Average Type: Select from SMA, EMA, DEMA, RMA, WMA, or VWMA.
Moving Average Length: Adjust the period for the NUPL moving average (default: 220).
Z-Score Lookback Period: Set the historical window for Z-Score calculation (default: 200).
Thresholds: Fine-tune values for: Long Threshold (default: 0.26), Short Threshold (default: -0.62), Overbought Threshold (default: 3.0), Oversold Threshold (default: -2.0)
These options enable users to adapt the indicator to various trading strategies and risk profiles.
Alerts
The indicator supports four alert conditions to keep traders informed:
NUPL Long Opportunity: Alerts when a long signal is triggered.
NUPL Short Opportunity: Alerts when a short signal is triggered.
NUPL Overbought Condition: Alerts when the Z-Score exceeds the overbought threshold.
NUPL Oversold Condition: Alerts when the Z-Score falls below the oversold threshold.
These alerts allow traders to monitor key opportunities without constantly watching the chart.
Btc and Eth 5 min winnerWhat the Strategy Does
Finding the Trend (Like Watching the Bus Move): The strategy uses special tools called Hull Moving Averages (HMAs) to figure out if Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) prices are generally going up or down. It looks at short-term (5 minutes) and long-term (10 minutes) price movements to make sure the “bus” (the market) is moving strongly in one direction—up for buying, down for selling.
Spotting Good Times to Jump On (Buy or Sell Signals): It looks for two types of opportunities:
Pullbacks: When the price dips a little while still moving up (like the bus slowing down but not stopping), it’s a chance to buy.
Breakouts: When the price suddenly jumps higher after being stuck (like the bus speeding up), it’s another chance to buy. It does the opposite for selling when prices are dropping.
It also checks if there’s enough “passenger activity” (volume) and momentum (speed of price change) to make sure it’s a good move.
Avoiding Traffic Jams (Filters): The strategy uses tools like RSI (to check if the market’s too fast or too slow), volume (to see if enough people are trading), and ATR (to measure how wild the price swings are). It skips trades if things look too chaotic or if the trend isn’t strong enough.
Setting Safety Stops and Profit Targets: Once you’re on the “bus,” it sets rules to protect you:
Stop-Loss: If the price moves against you by a small amount (0.5% of the typical price swing), you jump off to avoid losing too much—think of it as getting off before the bus crashes.
Take-Profit: If the price moves in your favor by a small amount (1.0% of the typical swing), you cash out—imagine getting off at your stop with a profit.
Trailing Stop: If the price keeps moving your way, it adjusts your exit point to lock in more profit, like moving your stop closer as the bus keeps going.
Using Leverage (10x Boost): This strategy uses 10x leverage on Binance futures, meaning for every $1 you have, you trade like you have $10. This can make profits (or losses) 10 times bigger, so it’s risky but can be rewarding if you’re careful.
Why 5 Minutes and Bitcoin and Ethereum?
5-Minute Chart: This is like checking the bus every 5 minutes to make quick, small trades—perfect for fast, short profits.
Bitcoin Ethereum (BTC/USD)(ETH/USD): It’s the most popular and liquid crypto, so there’s lots of activity, making it easier to jump on and off without getting stuck.
Why It Aims for 90% Wins (But Be Realistic)
The goal is to win 9 out of 10 trades by being super picky about when to trade—only jumping on when the trend, momentum, and volume are all perfect. But in real trading, markets can be unpredictable, so 90% is very hard to achieve. Still, this strategy tries to be as accurate as possible by avoiding bad moves and focusing on strong trends.
Risks for a New Trader
Leverage: Trading with 10x leverage means small price moves can lead to big losses if you’re not careful. Start with a demo account (pretend money) on TradingView or Binance to practice.
Learning Curve: This strategy uses technical terms (like HMAs, RSI) and tools you’ll need to learn over time. Don’t rush—just practice and ask questions!
How to Use It
Go to TradingView, load this strategy on a 5-minute BTC/USD futures chart on Binance.
Watch the green triangles (buy signals) and red triangles (sell signals) on the chart—they tell you when to trade.
Use the stops and targets to manage your trades—don’t guess, let the strategy guide you.
Start small, learn from each trade, and don’t risk money you can’t afford to lose.
This is like learning to ride a bike—start slow, practice, and you’ll get better. If you have more questions or want simpler tips, feel free to ask! Trading can be fun and rewarding, but it takes patience and practice.
Ultimate Stochastics Strategy by NHBprod Use to Day Trade BTCHey All!
Here's a new script I worked on that's super simple but at the same time useful. Check out the backtest results. The backtest results include slippage and fees/commission, and is still quite profitable. Obviously the profitability magnitude depends on how much capital you begin with, and how much the user utilizes per order, but in any event it seems to be profitable according to backtests.
This is different because it allows you full functionality over the stochastics calculations which is designed for random datasets. This script allows you to:
Designate ANY period of time to analyze and study
Choose between Long trading, short trading, and Long & Short trading
It allows you to enter trades based on the stochastics calculations
It allows you to EXIT trades using the stochastics calculations or take profit, or stop loss, Or any combination of those, which is nice because then the user can see how one variable effects the overall performance.
As for the actual stochastics formula, you get control, and get to SEE the plot lines for slow K, slow D, and fast K, which is usually not considered.
You also get the chance to modify the smoothing method, which has not been done with regular stochastics indicators. You get to choose the standard simple moving average (SMA) method, but I also allow you to choose other MA's such as the HMA and WMA.
Lastly, the user gets the option of using a custom trade extender, which essentially allows a buy or sell signal to exist for X amount of candles after the initial signal. For example, you can use "max bars since signal" to 1, and this will allow the indicator to produce an extra sequential buy signal when a buy signal is generated. This can be useful because it is possible that you use a small take profit (TP) and quickly exit a profitable trade. With the max bars since signal variable, you're able to reenter on the next candle and allow for another opportunity.
Let me know if you have any questions! Please take a look at the performance report and let me know your thoughts! :)
ETH - 12HR Double Kernel Regression Strategy ETH Double Kernel Regression Strategy
This ETH -focused, 12-hour Double Kernel Regression strategy is designed to cut through market noise and guide you toward data-backed, higher-probability trades. By utilizing two kernel regression models—Fast and Slow—this approach gauges momentum shifts and confirms trends. The strategy intelligently switches between these kernels based on identifying FOMO patterns, allowing it to adapt to changing market conditions. This ensures you enter trades when the trend is genuinely gaining strength, rather than blindly "buying the dip."
Key Concepts
Fine-Tuned Since Inception:
The strategy’s logic and filters—including price thresholds, trend moving averages (MAs), and kernel confirmations—are meticulously fine-tuned to perform consistently across all market conditions. This proactive planning enables confident entries during bullish recoveries, eliminating the need to second-guess every signal.
“Buy the Rise, Sell the Dip” Logic:
Unlike the traditional mantra, this strategy waits for slow kernel confirmation before entering uptrends. When market conditions shift, it identifies optimal entry points and holds steady if the trade isn’t losing money. This reduces guesswork and helps prevent buying into false rallies.
Sell the Hype:
The crypto market is often cluttered with noise—meme coins, last-minute hype, and social media influencers. The Double Kernel Regression approach distinguishes genuine trends from hype-driven movements. When the price exceeds simple moving averages (SMAs), the fast kernel generates a sell signal. This carefully crafted strategy helps you navigate the chaotic landscape, especially during hype-driven rallies, and ensures you sell at the top.
Try It Out
Import this strategy into your TradingView platform and observe how it reacts in real-time as market conditions change. Evaluate the signals, adjust parameters if necessary, and experience firsthand how combining sound trading philosophy with a data-driven backbone can transform your trading journey.
Adapted RSI w/ Multi-Asset Regime Detection v1.1The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of an asset's recent price changes to detect overbought or oversold conditions in the price of said asset.
In addition to identifying overbought and oversold assets, the RSI can also indicate whether your desired asset may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell.
The RSI will oscillate between 0 and 100. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought condition. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
The RSI is one of the most popular technical indicators. I intend to offer a fresh spin.
Adapted RSI w/ Multi-Asset Regime Detection
Our Adapted RSI makes necessary improvements to the original Relative Strength Index (RSI) by combining multi-timeframe analysis with multi-asset monitoring and providing traders with an efficient way to analyse market-wide conditions across different timeframes and assets simultaneously. The indicator automatically detects market regimes and generates clear signals based on RSI levels, presenting this data in an organised, easy-to-read format through two dynamic tables. Simplicity is key, and having access to more RSI data at any given time, allows traders to prepare more effectively, especially when trading markets that "move" together.
How we calculate the RSI
First, the RSI identifies price changes between periods, calculating gains and losses from one look-back period to the next. This look-back period averages gains and losses over 14 periods, which in this case would be 14 days, and those gains/losses are calculated based on the daily closing price. For example:
Average Gain = Sum of Gains over the past 14 days / 14
Average Loss = Sum of Losses over the past 14 days / 14
Then we calculate the Relative Strength (RS):
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
Finally, this is converted to the RSI value:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
Key Features
Our multi-timeframe RSI indicator enhances traditional technical analysis by offering synchronised Daily, Weekly, and Monthly RSI readings with automatic regime detection. The multi-asset monitoring system allows tracking of up to 10 different assets simultaneously, with pre-configured major pairs that can be customised to any asset selection. The signal generation system provides clear market guidance through automatic regime detection and a five-level signal system, all presented through a sophisticated visual interface with dynamic RSI line colouring and customisable display options.
Quick Guide to Use it
Begin by adding the indicator to your chart and configuring your preferred assets in the "Asset Comparison" settings.
Position the two information tables according to your preference.
The main table displays RSI analysis across three timeframes for your current asset, while the asset table shows a comparative analysis of all monitored assets.
Signals are colour-coded for instant recognition, with green indicating bullish conditions and red for bearish conditions. Pay special attention to regime changes and signal transitions, using multi-timeframe confluence to identify stronger signals.
How it Works (Regime Detection & Signals)
When we say 'Regime', a regime is determined by a persistent trend or in this case momentum and by leveraging this for RSI, which is a momentum oscillator, our indicator employs a relatively simple regime detection system that classifies market conditions as either Bullish (RSI > 50) or Bearish (RSI < 50). Our benchmark between a trending bullish or bearish market is equal to 50. By leveraging a simple classification system helps determine the probability of trend continuation and the weight given to various signals. Whilst we could determine a Neutral regime for consolidating markets, we have employed a 'neutral' signal generation which will be further discussed below...
Signal generation occurs across five distinct levels:
Strong Buy (RSI < 15)
Buy (RSI < 30)
Neutral (RSI 30-70)
Sell (RSI > 70)
Strong Sell (RSI > 85)
Each level represents different market conditions and probability scenarios. For instance, extreme readings (Strong Buy/Sell) indicate the highest probability of mean reversion, while neutral readings suggest equilibrium conditions where traders should focus on the overall regime bias (Bullish/Bearish momentum).
This approach offers traders a new and fresh spin on a popular and well-known tool in technical analysis, allowing traders to make better and more informed decisions from the well presented information across multiple assets and timeframes. Experienced and beginner traders alike, I hope you enjoy this adaptation.
Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy Description:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is designed to leverage market volatility specifically in Bitcoin (BTC) using a combination of volatility indicators and trend-following techniques. This strategy utilizes the VIXFix (a volatility indicator adapted for crypto markets) and the BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index from BitMEX) to identify periods of high volatility, while confirming trends with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These components work together to offer a comprehensive system that traders can use to enter positions when volatility and trends are aligned in their favor.
Key Features:
VIXFix (Volatility Index for Crypto Markets): This indicator measures the highest price of Bitcoin over a set period and compares it with the current low price to gauge market volatility. A rise in VIXFix indicates increasing market volatility, signaling that large price movements could occur.
BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index): This volatility index, provided by BitMEX, measures the volatility of Bitcoin over the past 7 days. It helps traders monitor the recent volatility trend in the market, particularly useful when making short-term trading decisions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 50-period EMA acts as a trend indicator. When the price is above the EMA, it suggests the market is in an uptrend, and when the price is below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
How It Works:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when both the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators are rising, signaling increased volatility, and the price is above the 50-period EMA, confirming that the market is trending upward.
Exit: The strategy exits the position when the price crosses below the 50-period EMA, which signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and a decrease in volatility.
This strategy ensures that traders only enter positions when the volatility aligns with a clear trend, minimizing the risk of entering trades during periods of market uncertainty.
Testing and Timeframe:
This strategy has been tested on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe, which provides a longer-term perspective on market trends and volatility. However, users can adjust the timeframe according to their trading preferences. It is crucial to note that this strategy does not include comprehensive risk management, aside from the exit condition when the price crosses below the EMA. Users are strongly advised to implement their own risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to safeguard their positions during high volatility periods.
Utility:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is particularly well-suited for traders who aim to capitalize on the high volatility often seen in the Bitcoin market. By combining volatility measurements (VIXFix and BVOL7D) with a trend-following mechanism (EMA), this strategy helps identify optimal moments for entering and exiting trades. This approach ensures that traders participate in potentially profitable market moves while minimizing exposure during times of uncertainty.
Use Cases:
Volatility-Based Entries: Traders looking to take advantage of market volatility spikes will find this strategy useful for timing entry points during market swings.
Trend Confirmation: By using the EMA as a confirmation tool, traders can avoid entering trades that go against the trend, which can result in significant losses during volatile market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy exits when price falls below the EMA, it is important to recognize that this is not a full risk management system. Traders should use caution and integrate additional risk measures, such as stop-losses and position sizing, to better manage potential losses.
How to Use:
Step 1: Monitor the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators. When both are rising and the Bitcoin price is above the EMA, the strategy will trigger a long entry, indicating that the market is experiencing increased volatility with a confirmed uptrend.
Step 2: Exit the position when the price drops below the 50-period EMA, signaling that the trend may be reversing or weakening, reducing the likelihood of continued upward price movement.
This strategy is open-source and is intended to help traders navigate volatile market conditions, particularly in Bitcoin, using proven indicators for volatility and trend confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
This strategy has been tested on the daily timeframe of Bitcoin, but users should be aware that it does not include built-in risk management except for the below-EMA exit condition. Users should be extremely cautious when using this strategy and are encouraged to implement their own risk management, such as using stop-losses, position sizing, and setting appropriate limits. Trading involves significant risk, and this strategy does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test any strategy in a demo environment before applying it to live markets.
Quatro SMA Strategy [4h]Hello, I would like to present to you The "Quatro SMA" strategy
Strategy is based on four simple moving averages of different lengths and monitoring trading volume. The key idea is to identify strong market trends by comparing short-term moving averages with the long-term SMA. The strategy generates buy signals when all short-term SMAs are above the SMA(200) and the volume confirms the strength of the move. Similarly, sell signals are generated when all short-term SMAs are below the SMA(200), and the volume is sufficiently high.
The strategy manages risk by applying a stop loss and three different Take Profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3), with varying percentages of the position closed at each level.
Each Take Profit level is triggered at a specific percentage gain, with the position being closed gradually depending on the achieved targets. The percentage of the position closed at each TP level is also defined by the user.
Indicators and Parameters:
Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
The script utilizes four simple moving averages with different lengths (4, 16, 32, 200). The first three SMAs (SMA1, SMA2, SMA3) are used to determine the trend direction, while the fourth SMA (with a length of 200) serves as a support/resistance line.
Volume:
The script monitors trading volume and checks if the current volume exceeds 2.5 times the average volume of the last 40 candles. High volume is considered as confirmation of trend strength.
Entry Conditions:
- Long Position: Triggered when SMA1 > SMA2 > SMA3, the closing price is above SMA(200), and the volume condition is met.
- Short Position: Triggered when SMA1 < SMA2 < SMA3, the closing price is below SMA(200), and the volume condition is met.
Exit Conditions:
- Long Position: Closed when SMA1 < SMA2 < SMA3 and the closing price is above SMA(200).
- Short Position: Closed when SMA1 > SMA2 > SMA3 and the closing price is below SMA(200).
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
I hope the strategy will be helpful, as always, best regards and safe trades
;)
1000SATS and ORDI Market Cap RatioSure! Here is a detailed description and usage guide for your TradingView indicator:
### Indicator Description
**Title**: 1000SATS/ORDI Market Cap Ratio
**Description**: The "1000SATS/ORDI Market Cap Ratio" indicator calculates and visualizes the market capitalization ratio between 1000SATS and ORDI. This indicator allows traders and investors to analyze the relative market strength and valuation trends of 1000SATS compared to ORDI over time. By tracking this ratio, users can gain insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities between these two assets.
### Indicator Usage
**Purpose**:
- To compare the market capitalizations of 1000SATS and ORDI.
- To identify potential undervaluation or overvaluation of 1000SATS relative to ORDI.
- To assist in making informed trading and investment decisions based on market cap trends.
**How to Use**:
1. **Add the Indicator to Your Chart**:
- Open TradingView and navigate to your chart.
- Click on the "Indicators" button at the top of the chart.
- Select "Pine Editor" and paste the provided script.
- Click "Add to Chart" to apply the indicator.
2. **Interpret the Ratio**:
- The indicator will plot a line representing the ratio of the market capitalization of 1000SATS to ORDI.
- A rising ratio indicates that the market cap of 1000SATS is increasing relative to ORDI, suggesting stronger market performance or higher valuation of 1000SATS.
- A falling ratio indicates that the market cap of 1000SATS is decreasing relative to ORDI, suggesting weaker market performance or lower valuation of 1000SATS.
3. **Analyze Trends**:
- Use the indicator to spot trends and potential reversal points in the market cap ratio.
- Combine the ratio analysis with other technical indicators and chart patterns to enhance your trading strategy.
4. **Set Alerts**:
- Set custom alerts on the ratio to notify you of significant changes or specific thresholds being reached, enabling timely decision-making.
**Example**:
- If the ratio is consistently rising, it may indicate a good opportunity to consider 1000SATS as a stronger investment relative to ORDI.
- Conversely, if the ratio is falling, it may be a signal to reevaluate the strength of 1000SATS compared to ORDI.
**Note**: Always conduct thorough analysis and consider other market factors before making trading decisions based on this indicator.
### Script
```pinescript
//@version=4
study("1000SATS and ORDI Market Cap Ratio", shorttitle="1000SATS/ORDI Ratio", overlay=true)
// Define the circulating supply for ORDI and 1000SATS
ORDI_supply = 21000000 // Circulating supply of ORDI
SATS_1000_supply = 2100000000000 // Circulating supply of 1000SATS
// Fetch the price data for ORDI
ordi_price = security("BINANCE:ORDIUSDT", timeframe.period, close)
// Fetch the price data for 1000SATS
sats_1000_price = security("BINANCE:1000SATSUSDT", timeframe.period, close)
// Calculate the market capitalizations
ordi_market_cap = ordi_price * ORDI_supply
sats_1000_market_cap = sats_1000_price * SATS_1000_supply
// Calculate the market cap ratio
ratio = sats_1000_market_cap / ordi_market_cap
// Plot the ratio
plot(ratio, title="1000SATS/ORDI Market Cap Ratio", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
```
This description and usage guide should help users understand the purpose and functionality of your indicator, as well as how to effectively apply it in their trading activities on TradingView.
Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator [presentTrading]This one is for SEC paves way for Ethereum ETFs in boost for crypto!
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator" is a sophisticated Pine Script tool designed to analyze the annualized difference between Ethereum (ETH) spot and futures prices. This tool is essential for identifying arbitrage opportunities and assessing market sentiment, offering traders invaluable insights into market dynamics. By calculating the premium or discount of futures contracts relative to the spot price and annualizing this figure based on the time until each contract's expiration, the Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator provides a clear view of potential profit margins and market trends.
Unlike traditional trading indicators that focus solely on price movements or technical patterns, this calculator delves deeper into the futures market, providing a dual-purpose tool. It not only helps in spotting arbitrage opportunities but also serves as a gauge for the emotional state of the market, thereby offering a more comprehensive analysis of market conditions. This dual functionality sets it apart, making it a must-have for traders looking to navigate the volatile cryptocurrency trading landscape effectively.
Historical backtesting has revealed that Bitcoin's Rolling APY can serve as a robust indicator of market sentiment:
- Below 0%: Often indicates panic or 'end-of-world' scenarios.
- 0-5%: Signifies extreme market fear.
- 5-10%: Reflects a calm market environment.
- 10-15%: Suggests a moderately warm market.
- 15-20%: Indicates an overheated market.
- **Above 20%: Signals FOMO (fear of missing out).
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator employs a systematic approach to derive its insights. The process is broken down into several steps, each contributing to the overall analysis:
🔶 Data Fetching: The script first fetches the necessary data, including the closing prices of Ethereum's spot market and selected futures contracts. These futures contracts are typically set to expire at different dates, providing a broad perspective on market expectations over time.
🔶 Time and Expiration: The tool takes into account the current time and the expiration dates of the futures contracts. This helps in calculating the number of days remaining until each contract's expiration.
🔶 Premium Calculations: The premium or discount of each futures contract relative to the spot price is computed. This is done by subtracting the spot price from the futures price and then dividing the result by the spot price. This calculation gives a percentage that represents the premium or discount.
🔶 Annualized Percentage Yield (APY) Calculations: The calculated premium or discount is then annualized based on the number of days remaining until the contract's expiration. This involves multiplying the premium or discount by the factor (365 / days remaining) to annualize the figure. If the user chooses not to annualize the numbers, this step is skipped.
🔶 Plotting Results: The annualized yields are then plotted on a chart, allowing traders to visualize the potential returns from different futures contracts. The plots are color-coded for easy differentiation and quick analysis.
By following this structured approach, the Multi ETH Rolling APY Calculator provides traders with clear, actionable insights into market dynamics and potential arbitrage opportunities.
█ Trade Direction
While this tool does not provide direct trading signals, it informs traders about potential arbitrage opportunities and the prevailing market sentiment. Traders can leverage this data to make strategic decisions, aligning long or short positions with the anticipated market movements and arbitrage conditions.
█ Usage
By inputting specific parameters related to their market analysis, traders can monitor discrepancies in Bitcoin’s pricing across different timelines, which is especially beneficial for those involved in derivatives trading, arbitrage, and sentiment analysis.
█ Default Settings
- Resolution: Controls the frequency of data (default is daily).
- Show numbers in annual: Determines whether APY is displayed on an annual basis.
- Base Symbol and Future Symbols: Specify the spot and futures markets for analysis.
ETH Long/Short Ratio BITFINEX - (ALPHRACTAL)Indicator Description: ETH Long/Short Ratio BITFINEX - (ALPHRACTAL)
The ETH Long/Short Ratio BITFINEX - (ALPHRACTAL) indicator provides a detailed analysis of Ethereum (ETH) long and short positions in USD and USDT on the Bitfinex exchange. This indicator is ideal for traders who want to monitor market behavior and better understand the relationship between long and short positions.
Features:
USD and USDT Long/Short Ratio:
Calculates and displays the ratio between long and short ETH positions in USD and USDT.
Helps identify market trends and the relative strength between buyers and sellers.
Color Configuration:
Allows customization of chart colors for clear and distinct visualization of USD and USDT ratios.
Uses colors with adjustable transparency to enhance chart visibility.
Label Display:
Option to show or hide labels indicating the type of ratio (USD or USDT) at the latest chart value.
Labels are useful for quickly identifying the visualized ratio.
Display Control:
Option to enable or disable the display of individual USD and USDT ratio charts.
Flexibility to view only the relevant data for your analysis.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart to visualize the long/short ratios of ETH in USD and USDT.
Adjust colors and transparency as per your preference for better visual distinction.
Use the option to show or hide labels for quick identification of the data.
Analyze the relationship between long and short positions to make informed trading decisions, observing market buying and selling trends.
Example Use Cases:
Market Sentiment Analysis: An increase in the Long/Short ratio may indicate bullish sentiment among traders, while a decrease may indicate bearish sentiment.
Identifying Opportunities: Significant discrepancies between USD and USDT ratios may signal arbitrage opportunities or alert to significant market movements.
This indicator is a powerful tool for Ethereum traders who want a deeper understanding of market behavior and the dynamics of long and short positions on Bitfinex. Add the ETH Long/Short Ratio BITFINEX - (ALPHRACTAL) to your technical analysis toolkit and gain an edge in your trading strategy.
Calculus Free Trend Strategy for Crypto & StocksObjective :
The Correlation Channel Trading Strategy is designed to identify potential entry points based on the relationship between price movements and a correlation channel. The strategy aims to capture trends within the channel while managing risk effectively.
Parameters :
Length: Determines the period for calculating moving averages and the true range, influencing the sensitivity of the strategy to price movements.
Multiplier: Adjusts the width of the correlation channel, providing flexibility to adapt to different market conditions.
Inputs :
Asset Symbol: Allows users to specify the financial instrument for analysis.
Timeframe: Defines the timeframe for data aggregation, enabling customization based on trading preferences.
Plot Correlation Channel: Optional input to visualize the correlation channel on the price chart.
Methodology :
Data Acquisition: The strategy fetches OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) data for the specified asset and timeframe. In this case we use COINBASE:BTCUSD
Calculation of Correlation Channel: It computes the squared values for OHLC data, calculates the average value (x), and then calculates the square root of x to derive the source value. Additionally, it calculates the True Range as the difference between high and low prices.
Moving Averages: The strategy calculates moving averages (MA) for the source value and the True Range, which form the basis for defining the correlation channel.
Upper and Lower Bands: Using the MA and True Range, the strategy computes upper and lower bands of the correlation channel, with the width determined by the multiplier.
Entry Conditions: Long positions are initiated when the price crosses above the upper band, signaling potential overbought conditions. Short positions are initiated when the price crosses below the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions.
Exit Conditions: Stop-loss mechanisms are incorporated directly into the entry conditions to manage risk. Long positions are exited if the price falls below a predefined stop-loss level, while short positions are exited if the price rises above the stop-loss level.
Strategy Approach: The strategy aims to capitalize on trends within the correlation channel, leveraging systematic entry signals while actively managing risk through stop-loss orders.
Backtest Details : For the purpose of this test I used the entire data available for BTCUSD Coinbase, with 10% of capital allocation and 0.1% comission for entry/exit(0.2% total). Can be also used with other both directly correlated with current settings of BTC or with new ones
Advantages :
Provides a systematic approach to trading based on quantifiable criteria.
Offers flexibility through customizable parameters to adapt to various market conditions.
Integrates risk management through predefined stop-loss mechanisms.
Limitations :
Relies on historical price data and technical indicators, which may not always accurately predict future price movements.
May generate false signals during periods of low volatility or erratic price behavior.
Requires continuous monitoring and adjustment of parameters to maintain effectiveness.
Conclusion :
The Correlation Channel Trading Strategy offers traders a structured framework for identifying potential entry points within a defined price channel. By leveraging moving averages and true range calculations, the strategy aims to capture trends while minimizing risk through stop-loss mechanisms. While no strategy can guarantee success in all market conditions, the Correlation Channel Trading Strategy provides a systematic approach to trading that can enhance decision-making and risk management for traders.
Cyatophilum Bands PresetsThis is a pre-configured strategy for swing trading Bitcoin on the 2 hours chart, Ethereum on the 4 hours, and BNB on the 2 hours. (More presets can be added later on)
Built upon my generic indicator "Cyatophilum Bands D.E.", this indicator removes the struggle of having to copy all the settings, instead, a single dropdown input lets you choose the preset.
More info about the complete strategy here:
The strategy has been backtested over 5 years of historical data and forward tested for +4 months (since january 2023) with the goal to beat buy and hold returns .
The indicator shows real time strategy results and has custom alerts for BUY and SELL signals which can be used to automate the strategy.
When creating your alert, first set your alert messages in the indicator settings. Then, select the indicator and create the alert using "alert() function calls only".
A warning will appear on the chart if the preset and chart configuration is incorrect.
Plots like bands and trailing lines are disabled by default to improve performance but can be turned on in the style tab.
BNBUSDT 2H
A combination of deviation and ATR bands based on Donchian channels.
ETHUSDT 4H
A combination of deviation and ATR bands based on SMA and an ATR trailing stop.
BTCUSDT 2H
Based on Donchian channels breakout type with a tight 2% stop loss, and a 3% take profit that gets disabled when price is trending up to let the trailing stop do its job.
Disclaimer: Backtest results are not representative of future results.
Trendmaster - Crypto Flow IndexWhat it is:
The Trendmaster Crypto Flow Index is a unique tool designed to give you an overview of the performance of different Crypto market sectors and sub-sectors. It helps you to identify where you should be focusing your investments for maximum portfolio efficiency and profitability.
What it does:
The Crypto Flow Index presents a visual overview of the flows of retail and institutional capital into the four main market sectors: Large Caps, Alts Coins, Shit Coins, and Stable Coins as well as several other sub-sectors. Each sector is assigned a "Flow Score", which indicates its current performance, demand, and strength in percentage terms. The "Flow Score" also provides insights into the current stage of the market cycle and the typical over and underperformances of assets that correlate to it. Additionally, the index factors in the sector have a "Correlation" to the broader market, allowing you to see the best sectors for trading and investing, either for positional hedging or differential plays.
How to Use it:
To use the Trendmaster Crypto Flow Index, you can simply observe the evolving colored line within the indicator and the table overview. You can identify which sectors are outperforming or underperforming the general market and make informed decisions about where to direct your focus and funds. By monitoring the transitions of Flow between sectors, you can gain invaluable insights into the market cycle and the typical over and underperformances of assets that correlate to it. This information will help you to maximize portfolio efficiency by targeting different market sectors based on their performance to the overall cryptocurrency market. The index covers different sectors, including Large caps, Alts, Shit, Stables, AI, Defi, Dex, Exchange, Gaming, Meme, Metaverse, Nft, Privacy, Smart, and Sports.
Examples of Cryptocurrencies represented in the different market sectors:
Large caps: The biggest market cap cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH.
Alts: High-cap and high-volume digital assets that are smaller than large caps, such as LTC and XRP.
Shit coins: Smaller cap projects that are highly speculative and experience significant price volatility, such as BAT and HOT.
Stables: Fiat-pegged assets that provide a stable value, such as USDT and USDC.
AI: Projects that are based on artificial intelligence, such as FET and AGIX.
DeFi: Leverages high volume smart contract platforms to provide financial products in crypto, mainly ERC20 tokens such as LINK and AAVE.
DEX: Decentralized exchanges with their own utility tokens, such as UNI and SUSHI.
Exchange: Centralized exchanges with their own utility tokens, such as BNB and CRO.
Gaming: Web3/crypto gaming platforms with their own utility tokens, such as AXS and GMT.
Meme: Similar to shit coins, but with no real functionality and based purely on social media and memes, such as DOGE and SHIB.
Metaverse: Projects that aim to provide Metaverse assets such as virtual land and assets, such as MANA and SAND.
NFT: Non-fungible tokens with their own token or NFT-based platforms that have their own utility tokens, such as APE and LOOKS.
Privacy: Anonymous and privacy-focused chains, such as XMR and ZEC.
Smart: Projects that provide smart contract alternatives to ETH, such as ADA and AVAX.
Sports: Fan tokens based on real-world sports teams or platforms that support and distribute them, such as CHZ and FLOW.
Pre-market Highs & Lows on regular trading hours (RTH) chartShows pre-market highs and lows on RTH or ETH chart
-Pre-market duration user input (default is 16 'bar hours'; covering the time from S&P RTH close at 4pm >> 9:30am RTH open next day
-Displays on both RTH and ETH charts
-Written for ES (ES1! or e.g ESM2023), but tested and working on SPY, SPX
-Works across timeframes
Example usage on Electronic trading hours (ETH) chart; showing the 'bar hours' user input lookback duration visually
Regular vs Electronic Trading hours Gap (RTH vs ETH); 4pm-9:30am-Shows the gap between 4pm close and 9:30am open; the Regular trading hours Vs Electronic trading hours Gap (RTH vs ETH).
-Displays this as a box starting at 9:30am, whose bottom is the 9:30am open; top is previous day's 4pm close.
-Displays when chart is toggled to either of ETH or RTH.
-Useful reminder of area above/below opening bell price that price often has a tendency to want to fill in, partially or fully
--(all times here refer to America/New_York timezone)
//Options:
~Number of past boxes to show
~Extend boxes fully to the right
~Box background color, border color, and opacities
//Limitations:
-works only on timeframes 30mins or lower (works on 1,2,5,10,15,30minutes)
-will not work on non-typical low timeframes (like 4min or 7min) since they are not divisible into 30
Dynamic Volume Oscillator [CryptoScripts]The Dynamic Volume Oscillator uses a combination of volume and momentum to nail whenever a reversal is likely to happen. I've also included divergences (both regular and hidden) that you can toggle on/off and adjust the settings to fit your trading style.
Colors - The green wave indicates an uptrend while the purple wave indicates a downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold - Green backgrounds indicate the DVO is oversold and a reversal to the upside is likely to happen within the next few candles. Red backgrounds indicate the DVO is overbought and a reversal to the downside is likely to happen within the next few candles. You can adjust the levels to trigger when the signal flashes. Experiment with different timeframes/altcoins to see which settings work best. Some coins are more volatile than others and lower timeframes tend to reach higher levels vs higher timeframes.
Divergences - The settings of 1 and 3 for the lookbacks are so the divergence signal appears only 1 candle before the actual divergence happens (on the replay tool) vs 4-5 candles from other indicators. This means your entry on a divergence signal is 2 candles after it prints (for backtesting purposes).
Alerts - I also added alerts for Overbought, Oversold, Regular and Hidden Bearish/Bullish Divergences.
Let me know if you have any questions! Enjoy :)
Altcoin Dominance (without ETH) Excluding Stablecoins UnsymetricAltcoin Dominance (without ETH) Excluding Stablecoins Unsymetric
The purpose of the script is to show Altcoin's strength without Ethereum once we exclude stablecoins.
So we look into all altcoins besides eth and besides stablecoins divided by a value of eth+btc
ETH Dominance Excluding StablecoinsETH Dominance Excluding Stablecoins.
The purpose of the script is to show Ethereum's strength relative to other cryptocurrencies.
Pretty much shows ETH Dominance in comparison to Market Cap once we exclude the 5 largest stablecoins.
VWMA/SMA 3Commas BotThis strategy utilizes two pairs of different Moving Averages, two Volume-Weighted Moving Averages (VWMA) and two Simple Moving Averages (SMA).
There is a FAST and SLOW version of each VWMA and SMA.
The concept behind this strategy is that volume is not taken into account when calculating a Simple Moving Average.
Simple Moving Averages are often used to determine the dominant direction of price movement and to help a trader look past any short-term volatility or 'noise' from price movement, and instead determine the OVERALL direction of price movement so that one can trade in that direction (trend-following) or look for opportunities to trade AGAINST that direction (fading).
By comparing the different movements of a Volume-Weighted Moving Average against a Simple Moving Average of the same length, a trader can get a better picture of what price movements are actually significant, helping to reduce false signals that might occur from only using Simple Moving Averages.
The practical applications of this strategy are identifying dominant directional trends. These can be found when the Volume Weighted Moving Average is moving in the same direction as the Simple Moving Average, and ideally, tracking above it.
This would indicate that there is sufficient volume supporting an uptrend or downtrend, and thus gives traders additional confirmation to potentially look for a trade in that direction.
One can initially look for the Fast VWMA to track above the Fast SMA as your initial sign of bullish confirmation (reversed for downtrending markets). Then, when the Fast VWMA crosses over the Slow SMA, one can determine additional trend strength. Finally, when the Slow VWMA crosses over the Slow SMA, one can determine that the trend is truly strong.
Traders can choose to look for trade entries at either of those triggers, depending on risk tolerance and risk appetite.
Furthermore, this strategy can be used to identify divergence or weakness in trending movements. This is very helpful for identifying potential areas to exit one's trade or even look for counter-trend trades (reversals).
These moments occur when the Volume-Weighted Moving Average, either fast or slow, begins to trade in the opposite direction as their Simple Moving Average counterpart.
For instance, if price has been trending upwards for awhile, and the Fast VWMA begins to trade underneath the Fast SMA, this is an indication that volume is beginning to falter. Uptrends need appropriate volume to continue moving with momentum, so when we see volume begin to falter, it can be a potential sign of an upcoming reversal in trend.
Depending on how quickly one wants to enter into a movement, one could look for crosses of the Fast VWMA under/over the Fast SMA, crosses of the Fast VWMA over/under the Slow SMA, or crosses over/under of the Slow VWMA and the Slow SMA.
This concept was originally published here on TradingView by ProfitProgrammers.
Here is a link to his original indicator script:
I have added onto this concept by:
converting the original indicator into a strategy tester for backtesting
adding the ability to conveniently test long or short strategies, or both
adding the ability to calculate dynamic position sizes
adding the ability to calculate dynamic stop losses and take profit levels using the Average True Range
adding the ability to exit trades based on overbought/oversold crosses of the Stochastic RSI
conveniently switch between different thresholds or speeds of the Moving Average crosses to test different strategies on different asset classes
easily hook this strategy up to 3Commas for automation via their DCA bot feature
Full credit to ProfitProgrammers for the original concept and idea.
Any feedback or suggestions are greatly appreciated.
Time Based Crypto DayTrade StrategyThis is a time based strategy, designed to enter and exit within the same day of the week, using different hours for entry and exit.
The script is long only direction, and it has no risk management inside, so use it with caution.
At the same time you can also calculate each individual hour return within a certain day, and make your own idea about the best moments to be enter.
In order to filter a bit from the bad trades, I have applied an ATR filter, to check if that volatility is rising in order to help eliminate some of the bad trades when there is no volatility around.
For this example, on BTC, it seems that for the last years, on tuesday and thursday, enterring at the beginning of the daily candle, 01:00hours and exit at 00:00 hours, seems to give positive results giving the idea that can be converted in some sort of edge into our favor.
However dont take this entirelly for granted and conduct your own searches
ETHUSDT Long-Short using EMA,OBV,ADX,LinearReg,DXY(No repaint)This script strategy is used to follow the trending EMA with a delta difference (Price-EMA) to know when to enter and with 5 variables mentioned below, stop loss is below EMA line all the time in long and above EMA line in short, is like a trailing stop after candle is closed. Hard stop is also placed to prevent big candles movements, also correlation between VIX and ETH when the correlation is <-0.2 the position can be opened.
Indicators used:
EMA , OBV , ADX , Linear regression and Dollar Index trending, Leverage is available for Long and Short positions.
LONG
When Price is above EMA and price-ema difference is smaller than "Long delta Price/MA"
OBV(4hrs) is above OBV-EMA(110)
Linear regression is strong
ADX is strong >50
DXY is trending down
SHORT
When Price is below EMA and ema-price difference is smaller than "Long delta Price/MA"
OBV(4hrs) is below OBV-EMA(110)
Linear regression is weak
ADX is weak <50
DXY is trending up
BINANCE:ETHUSDT 30 minutes Timeframe
Trend Following based on Trend ConfidenceThis is a Trend Following strategy based on the Trend Confidence indicator.
The goal of this strategy is to be a simple Trend Following strategy, but also to be as precise as possible when it comes to the question 'how confident are we that a linear trend is ongoing?'. For this we calculate the 'confidence' of a linear trend in the past number of closing prices. The idea of this strategy is that past a certain confidence, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
Trend Confidence:
The Trend Confidence shows us how strong of a linear trend the price has made in the past number (given by Length parameter) of closing prices. The steepness of the price change makes the Trend Confidence more extreme (more positive for an uptrend or more negative for a downtrend), and the deviation from a straight line makes the Trend Confidence less extreme (brings the confidence closer to 0). This way we can filter out signals by wild/sudden price moves that don't follow a clear linear trend.
Math behind the Trend Confidence:
A linear fit is made on the past number of closing prices, using Ordinary Linear Regression. We have the steepness of the linear fit: b in y=a+bx . And we have the standard deviation of the distances from the closing prices to the linear fit: sd . The Trend Confidence is the ratio b/sd .
Entries and Exits:
For entry and exit points we look at how extreme the Trend Confidence is. The strategy is based on the assumption that past a certain confidence level, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
So when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Long entry" threshold, we go Long. After that when the Trend Confidence passes under the 'Long exit' threshold, we exit. The Long entry should be a positive value so that we go Long once a linear uptrend with enough confidence has been detected.
When the Trend Confidence passes below the 'Short entry' threshold, we go Short. After that when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Short exit' threshold, we exit. The Short entry should be a negative value so that we go Short once a linear downtrend with enough confidence has been detected.
Default Parameters:
The strategy is intended for BTC-USD market, 4 hour timeframe. The strategy also works on ETH-USD with similar parameters.
The Length is arbitrarily set at 30, this means we look at the past 30 closing prices to determine a linear trend. Note that changing the length will change the range of Trend Confidence values encountered.
The default entry and exit thresholds for Longs and Shorts do not mirror each other. This is because the BTC-USD market goes up more heavily and more often than it goes down. So the ideal parameters for Longs and Shorts are not the same.
The positive results of the strategy remain when the parameters are slightly changed (robustness check).
The strategy uses 100% equity per trade, but has a 10% stop loss so that a maximum of 10% is risked per trade.
Commission is set at 0.1% as is the highest commission for most crypto exchanges.
Slippage is set at 5 ticks, source for this is theblock.co.
