RunRox - Backtesting System (ASMC)

20 de jun.

Introducing RunRox - Backtesting System (ASMC), a specially designed backtesting system built on the robust structure of our Advanced SMC indicator. This innovative tool evaluates various Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading setups and serves as an automatic optimizer, displaying which entry and exit points have historically shown the best results. With cutting-edge technology, RunRox - Backtesting System (ASMC) provides you with effective strategies, maximizing your trading potential and taking your trading to the next level

🟠 HOW OUR BACKTESTING SYSTEM WORKS

Our backtesting system for the Advanced SMC (ASMC) indicator is meticulously designed to provide traders with a thorough analysis of their Smart Money Concept (SMC) strategies. Here’s an overview of how it works:

🔸 Advanced SMC Structure

Our ASMC indicator is built upon an enhanced SMC structure that integrates the Institutional Distribution Model (IDM), precise retracements, and five types of order blocks (CHoCH OB, IDM OB, Local OB, BOS OB, Extreme OB). These components allow for a detailed understanding of market dynamics and the identification of key trading opportunities.

🔸 Data Integration and Analysis

1. Historical Data Testing:
Our system tests various entry and exit points using historical market data.
The ASMC indicator is used to simulate trades based on predefined SMC setups, evaluating their effectiveness over a specified time period.
Traders can select different parameters such as entry points, stop-loss, and take-profit levels to see how these setups would have performed historically.

2. Entry and Exit Events:
The backtester can simulate trades based on 12 different entry events, 14 target events, and 14 stop-loss events, providing a comprehensive testing framework.
It allows for testing with multiple combinations of entry and exit strategies, ensuring a robust evaluation of trading setups.

3. Order Block Sensitivity:
The system uses the sensitivity settings from the ASMC indicator to determine the most relevant order blocks and fair value gaps (FVGs) for entry and exit points.
It distinguishes between different types of order blocks, helping traders identify strong institutional zones versus local zones.

🔸 Optimization Capabilities

1. Auto-Optimizer:
The backtester includes an auto-optimizer feature that evaluates various setups to find those with the best historical performance.
It automatically adjusts parameters to identify the most effective strategies for both trend-following and counter-trend trading.

2. Stop Loss and Take Profit Optimization:
It optimizes stop-loss and take-profit levels by testing different settings and identifying those that provided the best historical results.
This helps traders refine their risk management and maximize potential returns.

3. Trailing Stop Optimization:
The system also optimizes trailing stops, ensuring that traders can maximize their profits by adjusting their stops dynamically as the market moves.

🔸 Comprehensive Reporting

1. Performance Metrics:
The backtesting system provides detailed reports, including key performance metrics such as Net Profit, Win Rate, Profit Factor, and Max Drawdown.
These metrics help traders understand the historical performance of their strategies and make data-driven decisions.

2. Flexible Settings:
Traders can adjust initial balance, commission rates, and risk per trade settings to simulate real-world trading conditions.
The system supports testing with different leverage settings, allowing for realistic assessments even with tight stop-loss levels.

🔸 Conclusion
The RunRox Backtesting System (ASMC) is a powerful tool for traders seeking to validate and optimize their SMC strategies. By leveraging historical data and sophisticated optimization algorithms, it provides insights into the most effective setups, enhancing trading performance and decision-making.

🟠 HERE ARE THE AVAILABLE FEATURES

Historical backtesting for any setup – Select any entry point, exit point, and various stop-loss options to see the results of your setup on historical data.
Auto-optimizer for finding the best setups – The indicator displays settings that have shown the best results historically, providing valuable insights.
Auto-optimizer for counter-trend setups – Discover entry and exit points for counter-trend trading based on historical performance.
Auto-optimizer for stop-loss – The indicator shows stop-loss points that have been most effective historically.
Auto-optimizer for take-profit – The indicator identifies take-profit points that have performed well in historical trading data.
Auto-optimizer for trailing stop – The indicator presents trailing stop settings that have shown the best historical results.

And much more within our indicator, all of which we will cover in this post. Next, we will showcase the possible entry points, targets, and stop-loss options available for testing your strategies

🟠 ENTRY SETTINGS



12 Event Triggers for Trade Entry

• Extr. ChoCh OB
  
• Extr. ChoCh FVG
  
• ChoCh
  
• ChoCh OB
  
• ChoCh FVG
  
• IDM OB
  
• IDM FVG
  
• BoS FVG
  
• BoS OB
  
• BoS
  
• Extr. BoS FVG
  
• Extr. BoS OB
  

3 Trade Direction Options
Long Only: Enter long positions only
Short Only: Enter short positions only
Long and Short: Enter both long and short positions based on trend

3 Levels for Order Block/FVG Entries
Beginning: Enter the trade at the first touch of the Order Block/FVG
Middle: Enter the trade when the middle of the Order Block/FVG is reached
End: Enter the trade upon full filling of the Order Block/FVG

*Three levels work only for Order Blocks and FVG. For trade entries based on BOS or CHoCH, these settings do not apply as these parameters are not available for these types of entries

You can choose any combination of trade entries imaginable.

🟠 TARGET SETTINGS



14 Target Events, Including Fixed % and Fixed RR (Risk/Reward):

• Fixed - % change in price
  
• Fixed RR - Risk Reward per trade
  
• Extr. ChoCh OB
  
• Extr. ChoCh FVG
  
• ChoCh
  
• ChoCh OB
  
• ChoCh FVG
  
• IDM OB
  
• IDM FVG
  
• BoS FVG
  
• BoS OB
  
• BoS
  
• Extr. BoS FVG
  
• Extr. BoS OB
  

3 Levels of Order Block/FVG for Target
Beginning: Close the trade at the first touch of your target.
Middle: Close the trade at the midpoint of your chosen target.
End: Close the trade when your target is fully filled.

Customizable Parameters
Easily set your Fixed % and Fixed RR targets with a user-friendly input field. This field works only for the Fixed and Fixed RR entry parameters. When selecting a different entry point, this field is ignored

Choose any combination of target events to suit your trading strategy.

🟠 STOPLOSS SETTINGS



14 Possible StopLoss Events Including Entry Orderblock/FVG

• Fixed - Fix the loss on the trade when the price moves by N%
  
• Entry Block
  
• Extr. ChoCh OB
  
• Extr. ChoCh FVG
  
• ChoCh
  
• ChoCh OB
  
• ChoCh FVG
  
• IDM OB
  
• IDM FVG
  
• BoS FVG
  
• BoS OB
  
• BoS
  
• Extr. BoS FVG
  
• Extr. BoS OB
  

3 Levels for Order Blocks/FVG Exits
Beginning: Exit the trade at the first touch of the order block/FVG.
Middle: Exit the trade at the middle of the order block/FVG.
End: Exit the trade at the full completion of the order block/FVG.

Dedicated Field for Setting Fixed % Value
Set a fixed % value in a dedicated field for the Fixed parameter. This field works only for the Fixed parameter. When selecting other exit parameters, this field is ignored.

🟠 ADDITIONAL SETTINGS



Trailing Stop, %
Set a Trailing Stop as a percentage of your trade to potentially increase profit based on historical data.

Move SL to Breakeven, bars
Move your StopLoss to breakeven after exiting the entry zone for a specified number of bars. This can enhance your potential WinRate based on historical performance.

Skip trade if RR less than
This feature allows you to skip trades where the potential Risk-to-Reward ratio is less than the number set in this field.

🟠 EXAMPLE OF MANUAL SETUP



For example, let me show you how it works on the chart. You select entry parameters, stop loss parameters, and take profit parameters for your trades, and the strategy automatically tests this setup on historical data, allowing you to see the results of this strategy.

In the screenshot above, the parameters were as follows:
Trade Entry: CHoCH OB (Beginning)
Stop Loss: Entry Block
Take Profit: Break of BOS

The indicator will automatically test all possible trades on the chart and display the results for this setup.

🟠 AUTO OPTIMIZATION SETTINGS



In the screenshot above, you can see the optimization table displaying various entry points, exits, and stop-loss settings, along with their historical performance results and other parameters. This feature allows you to identify trading setups that have shown the best historical outcomes.

This functionality will enhance your trading approach, providing you with valuable insights based on historical data. You’ll be aware of the Smart Money Concept settings that have historically worked best for any specific chart and timeframe.



Our indicator includes various optimization options designed to help you find the most effective settings based on historical data. There are 5 optimization modes, each offering unique benefits for every trader

Trend Entry - Optimization of the best settings for trend-following trades. The strategy will enter trades only in the direction of the trend. If the trend is upward, it will look for long entry points and vice versa.
Counter Trend Entry - Finding setups against the trend. If the trend is upward, the script will search for short entry points. This is the opposite of trend entry optimization.
Stop Loss - Identifying stop-loss points that showed the best historical performance for the specific setup you have configured. This helps in finding effective exit points to minimize losses.
Take Profit - Determining targets for the configured setup based on historical performance, helping to identify potentially profitable take profit levels.
Trailing Stop - Finding optimal percentages for the trailing stop function based on historical data, which can potentially increase the profit of your trades.



Ability to set parameters for auto-optimization within a specified range. For example, if you choose FixRR TP from 1 to 10, the indicator will automatically test all possible Risk Reward Take Profit variations from 1 to 10 and display the results for each parameter individually.



Ability to set initial deposit parameters, position commissions, and risk per trade as a fixed percentage or fixed amount. Additionally, you can set the maximum leverage for a trade.

There are times when the stop loss is very close to the entry point, and adhering to the risk per trade values set in the settings may not allow for such a loss in any situation. That’s why we added the ability to set the maximum possible leverage, allowing you to test your trading strategy even with very tight stop losses.



Duplicated Smart Money Structure settings from our Advanced SMC indicator that you can adjust to match your trading style flexibly. All these settings will be taken into account during the optimization process or when manually calculating settings.

Additionally, you can test your strategy based on higher timeframe order blocks. For example, you can test a strategy on a 1-minute chart while displaying order blocks from a 15-minute timeframe. The auto-optimizer will consider all these parameters, including higher timeframe order blocks, and will enter trades based on these order blocks.



Highly flexible dashboard and results optimization settings allow you to display the tables you need and sort results by six different criteria: Profit Factor, Profit, Winrate, Max Drawdown, Wins, and Trades. This enables you to find the exact setup you desire, based on these comprehensive data points.

🟠 ALERT CUSTOMIZATION

With this indicator, you can set up buy and sell alerts based on the test results, allowing you to create a comprehensive trading strategy. This feature enables you to receive real-time signals, making it a powerful tool for implementing your trading strategies.

🟠 STRATEGY PROPERTIES

For backtesting, we used realistic initial data for entering trades, such as:

• Starting balance: $1000
  
• Commission: 0.01%
  
• Risk per trade: 1%
  

To ensure realistic data, we used the above settings. We offer two methods for calculating your order size, and in our case, we used a 1% risk per trade. Here’s what it means:

Risk per trade: This is the maximum loss from your deposit if the trade goes against you. The trade volume can change depending on your stop-loss distance from the entry point. Here’s the formula we use to calculate the possible volume for a single trade:

1. quantity = percentage_risk * balance / loss_per_1_contract (incl. fee)

Then, we calculate the maximum allowed volume based on the specified maximum leverage:

2. max_quantity = maxLeverage * balance / entry_price

3. If quantity < max_quantity, meaning the leverage is less than the maximum allowed, we keep quantity. If quantity > max_quantity, we use max_quantity (the maximum allowed volume according to the set leverage).

This way, depending on the stop-loss distance, the position size can vary and be up to 100% of your deposit, but the loss in each trade will not exceed the set percentage, which in our case is 1% for this backtest. This is a standard risk calculation method based on your stop-loss distance.

🔸 Statistical Significance of Trade Data
In our strategy, you may notice there weren’t enough trades to form statistically significant data. This is inherent to the Smart Money Concept (SMC) strategy, where the focus is not on the number of trades but rather on the risk-to-reward ratio per trade. In SMC strategies, it’s crucial to avoid taking numerous uncertain setups and instead perform a comprehensive analysis of the market situation.

Therefore, our strategy results show fewer than 100 trades. It’s important to understand that this small sample size isn’t statistically significant and shouldn’t be relied upon for strategy analysis. Backtesting with a small number of trades should not be used to draw conclusions about the effectiveness of a strategy.

🔸 Versatile Use Cases
The methods of using this indicator are numerous, ranging from identifying potentially the best-performing order blocks on the chart to creating a comprehensive trading strategy based on the data provided by our indicator. We believe that every trader will find a valuable application for this tool, enhancing their entry and exit points in trades.

Disclaimer
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The results shown by this indicator do not guarantee similar outcomes in the future. Use this tool as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, considering all market conditions and risks.

How to access
For access to this indicator, please read the author’s instructions below this post

27 de jun.

Notas de Lançamento

Added:

Block Strength - Added block strength to the optimization method. We automatically calculate the block strength based on Risk Reward, placing the stop-loss behind the order block. This allows you to see which order blocks performed best historically.

Update:

Dashboard - Created two versions of the dashboard: Advanced and Simple. The advanced dashboard includes all possible metrics, while the simple version includes only the most important ones to save screen space. You can also now change the text and table colors.