Sklarew’s Rule of 7 – A Framework for Projecting Price Movements:
The Rule of 7 is a price projection method developed by Arthur Sklarew, a technical analyst and trader. It is designed to estimate how far a breakout move may extend after price breaks out from a key level.
How the Rule of 7 Works The method assumes that price moves in measured expansions, using a base move (initial breakout movement) as a reference point. These expansions follow a set of specific multipliers applied to the base move.
Step-by-Step Calculation 1. Identify the Initial Breakout Move
This is the first leg of the trend after a breakout from consolidation. It can be measured from a swing low to swing high in an uptrend or vice versa in a downtrend. 2. Project Future Price Targets Using Multipliers
Sklarew’s Rule uses four price expansion levels: 1.75 × Initial Move 2.33 × Initial Move 3.50 × Initial Move 7.00 × Initial Move These levels act as potential profit-taking zones or trend exhaustion points. Example Calculation Let’s assume WTI crude oil breaks out from $75 to $80, making a $5 breakout move.
Applying Sklarew’s Multipliers
Target 1: $80 + (1.75 × $5) = $88.75 Target 2: $80 + (2.33 × $5) = $91.65 Target 3: $80 + (3.50 × $5) = $97.50 Target 4: $80 + (7.00 × $5) = $115.00 These price levels provide guidance on where price may extend to and where traders might scale out of positions.
Alternative Multipliers: 1.40, 1.75, 2.33, and 3.50 Some traders modify the original multipliers for different market conditions. Using your alternative set, the projections would be:
Target 1: $80 + (1.40 × $5) = $87.00 Target 2: $80 + (1.75 × $5) = $88.75 Target 3: $80 + (2.33 × $5) = $91.65 Target 4: $80 + (3.50 × $5) = $97.50 This adjusts for different volatility environments while keeping the core principle intact.
How Sklarew’s Rule is Used in Trading Trend Following: Confirms momentum strength & helps identify targets. Breakout Trading: Estimates how far a breakout may run before retracing. Institutional Strategy Influence: Market makers may structure orders around similar measured moves.
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