FX:XAUUSD   Ouro/Dólar Americano
After peaking in August 2020, Gold prices have since declined, forming a wall of resistance above the key psychological level of $1,800.

Over the past three weeks, Gold bulls have managed to regain temporary control over the systemic, prominent trend in an effort to drive prices back towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020 move, currently providing additional resistance at $1,835.

Meanwhile on the daily time-frame, price action remains encapsulated between the key Fibonacci levels of the 2021 move. This zone of confluency has continued to provide both support and resistance for the safe-haven metal between the levels of $1,786 and $1,820 respectively.

As prices trade sideways into the new year, the CCI (commodity channel index) continues to threaten oversold territory while the 50-day moving average (MA) provides additional support at the $1,800 handle.

Gold: At the time of writing, retail trader data shows 79.19% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.81 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 2.17% higher than yesterday and 3.48% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.28% lower than yesterday and 10.73% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.

Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger Gold-bearish contrarian trading bias.

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