Seasonality and fair value point south for gold. Probably 1440 will hit this week and 1420 next. 1520 is max resis, short value is anything over 1500, but I have a SL set earlier for the TV audience. 1480 might be a decent soft reversal. That said, I wouldn't hold gold short for too long. Into December, we will really get to see if phase 1 happens. And even if it does, trade war is still a go with the HK rights bill getting veto-proof passage (trump will probably sign anyway). Black Friday will serve as a sentiment event for investors interested in consumption data (which is basically all big money investors); thus the end of the week could experience some volatility. Keep this in mind if you hold a position that over that period.
Remember, gold has fallen many times in the past over this season, which effectively means the upside surprise value is great to investors.
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