The total stock market tracked by
VTI
looks fairly bullish in that we are now trending along post-Great Recession (GR) lows for the upper non-recessionary channel defined since the GR. So if no recession is ahead of us (a very BIG if), things ought to be looking up.
The two most recent recessions each hit the same lowest bound in this two-tiered channel defined since the GR, suggesting that this lowest trend line may mark reliable 'recession resistance' such that it might mark the low point for the next recession. I'm surprised that there is this fairly obvious recession-tested lower bound that I've never seen anyone point out before, so I wanted to share this observation.
VTI
looks fairly bullish in that we are now trending along post-Great Recession (GR) lows for the upper non-recessionary channel defined since the GR. So if no recession is ahead of us (a very BIG if), things ought to be looking up. The two most recent recessions each hit the same lowest bound in this two-tiered channel defined since the GR, suggesting that this lowest trend line may mark reliable 'recession resistance' such that it might mark the low point for the next recession. I'm surprised that there is this fairly obvious recession-tested lower bound that I've never seen anyone point out before, so I wanted to share this observation.