If you've followed me for a while, you know that sometimes I look at the VIX (the SP500 volatility index) to forecast future price movements in crypto. If you're new to the VIX, please take a look at the post below for more info.
As seen on the top part of the chart, the VIX has been trading inside a channel for around 9 months now. Every time the VIX saw a strong reversal in trend, a further decline in BTC's price swiftly followed.
As of this week, the VIX has yet again bounced from the bottom support of the channel. If we look at historical VIX trend changes, I'm expecting more bearish price action in the near future.
On average, BTC's drop after a major VIX trend reversal has been around 25%. This would mean that BTC will move from $17,000 to around $12,750. Naturally, this is very speculative, but it gives us a nice area to keep an eye on.
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