The crude oil market has been a whirlwind of activity, with prices peaking at $129 in March 2022 and plummeting to $63 by May 2023. This volatility has led to a broad consolidation zone, stalling the formation of long-term trends.
A pivotal support for these fluctuating prices has been the weekly 200 simple moving average. This indicator helped the price rebound from its low, pushing it above the $70 mark, which was also 2022's lowest point. By July, the price had escalated to over $80, indicating a possible shift in market sentiment.
Year-to-date, crude oil has seen a modest yet promising 6% increase, a significant recovery from a 21% drop earlier in the year. This uptick is largely attributed to a 16% bullish surge in July.
Last week, the market hit a milestone as prices broke the $83 resistance level, marking 2023's highest prices yet and potentially heralding a new trend. While there are no major resistance levels to halt this momentum, the $100 mark could serve as a psychological barrier, introducing some market turbulence.
Recent trends suggest the onset of a bullish phase in crude oil, the first since March 2022. This presents a ripe opportunity for investors to recalibrate their strategies, as we may be on the brink of a sustained bullish trend.
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