Technical and Fundamental Analysis - Maintenance & Drum Beats

Looking to see if the price bounces a few times more and then will be in for a long position. I'm 60%/40% on the probability it will hit 65.00 before it drops below 59.00, respectively, but with maintenance season, recent price action, uncertainty about gasoline fundamentals (more builds), and the constant beating of the US shale oil drum, pun intended, I'm sitting out for now.