Will USDCHF breakout Tomorrow? (after US Inflation report)

Will USDCHF breakout Tomorrow? (after US Inflation report)

USDCHF recently surpassed both its 50 and 100-hour moving averages, yet it remains confined within its 2024 trading range.

Fluctuations between risk-on and risk-off sentiments keep the pair moving between 0.84635 and 0.85294. Initially, bullish optimism followed comments from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, suggesting 2 potential interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. Additional news this week supporting the Swiss franc was the inflation rate in Switzerland rose to 1.7% in December 2023 from 1.4% in the previous month and above forecasts of 1.5%.

However, a recent shift towards risk aversion has led investors back to the US Dollar, however without creating a distinct market trend.

When will this non-trending market transition into a more trending market? Perhaps at the drop of the US inflation report tomorrow.

In the meantime, maintaining a bullish stance depends on the price staying above its elevated 100-hour moving average at 0.85100 and a break of the recent high at 0.8535 could instigate more buying momentum. A drop below this level could shift the bias towards neutrality.