As a retail investor, the idea of chasing the ultimate trade and making the one that changes it all is always on the forefront of the mind. Personally, I am one good trade away from my dream Porsche. Tesla easily becomes alluring for just that trade. I mean when the $830 strike goes from $37 dollars to over 5K in three days who could blame you. The problem is the fundamentals do not add up.
Twenty-six ranked analysts set 12-month price targets listed below.
High target $810 – 7.96% Up
Low target $40 – 95.45% Down
Average of the 26 analysts $501.29 – 43.04% down
P/E (TTM) currently stands at 1743.58X!!!! For perspective Google is 34.74 and Apple is 40.42.
Not to mention that several analysts have real credibility issues with how Tesla reports their numbers to add an additional kick in the pants.
The real question is when does the madness end? As it stands it appears it may continue forever and realistically top towards a stock price closer to $1000. But it doesn’t take an IQ of 155 (Elon’s reported IQ) to realize that the current price is not sustainable nor realistic. It also doesn’t boast well that a reported $40 Billion was lost shorting. If you are reading this, it is not time to pull the rug.
My advice for my retail brethren is to leave this stock to the big boys/girls and hedge funds. The ultra-premiums and the high IV, along with the high risk of downside potential is not worth it.
As always feel free to comment, but forward hate mail to TESLA headquarters in California which I’m bound to get.
(Google Diabetic Insipidus from the top of the chart for a good laugh)
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