Technical Breakout: On November 13, 2023, TQQQ experienced a significant structural shift with the breach of the $40 resistance level. The subsequent bull run in the tech sector propelled TQQQ to a peak of $61.22 on February 12, 2024.
Fibonacci Retracement: After reaching the peak of $61.22 on February 12, 2024, TQQQ made an attempt to pull back, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $53.18. However, the retracement was not sustained, and TQQQ returned to the previous high of $61.22 on February 23rd.
Current Situation: As we await the market open on Monday, TQQQ stands at a crucial juncture following the recent retest of $61.22. RSI Divergence: Since January 24th, we've observed RSI divergence, indicating a discrepancy between the price action and the strength of the trend. This could be a crucial signal, suggesting a potential shift in momentum that traders should closely monitor.
Upcoming Events: This week brings important economic indicators:
Monday: Japan Inflation Rate Tuesday: GfK Consumer Confidence and USA Durable Goods Orders Wednesday: USA GDP Thursday: USA PCE and Personal Spending Friday: ISM Manufacturing Market Expectations: Anticipations are focused on the USA GDP, expected to perform worse than forecasted. This could influence market sentiment and potentially impact TQQQ's performance.
Forecast: Given the current technical setup, RSI divergence and the upcoming economic events, there is a likelihood that TQQQ could move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level of $50.69 by Friday, March 1st. Traders should closely monitor developments and be prepared for potential volatility.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and consider risk factors before making any investment decisions.
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