Whale Alert! Transactions Dynamics, 2025 Bull-Market, Patience &

8 de nov.

Before the US Presidential elections, all the whale transactions within the Cryptocurrency market had bearish connotations. I was seeing large amounts of Crypto, mainly Bitcoin and Ether, being transferred across exchanges. It is said that when large amounts of Crypto is transferred, it is in order to sell and thus have bearish connotations. This dynamic was on for a while.

After the elections, things changed. First, Tether Treasury minted 1Billion and then it did it again, today. Large amounts of USDT and USDC started to move across whale accounts and exchanges, this tend to be seen as bullish and has bullish connotations. Even now large amounts of stable coins is entering the exchanges and large amounts of Crypto (BTC, ETH and others) is leaving exchanges, the dynamics changed.

But, compared to past market cycles, the bearish transactions are also present in-between the bullish ones and we see more and more ancient (satoshi-era) Bitcoin wallets waking up.

So we are seeing a mix of bearish and bullish transactions being executed by the whales.

The general sense I am getting from these transactions is that something big is about to develop and it ain't a new ATH. A new All-Time High has been hit already on Bitcoin, let's see what we get next.

The war has been cancelled and this is awesome, but it seems that a major market flush has not been cancelled, let's consider the TOTAL chart next.

First, super high volume for the bulls 6-November. Then a third strong lower high in a row. The volume is super high but lower than 5-August and lower than 6-March. (Bearish.)

TOTAL Cryptocurrency continues to point down. The action we are seeing across Bitcoin is extraordinary and is not reflecting on the rest of the market, it seems it will soon end.

I was considering a different scenario, what if the Altcoins are just behind and will soon breakout? As some are doing and already did; but, I continue to look at hundreds of charts and they are pointing lower, the bounce (pull-back) is over and next, down we go!

Imagine/think/feel/listen, if we are about to experience the biggest bull-market ever in 2025, when will the correction take place?

1) Will the market rally straight up for 3 more months and end in March 2025?
2) Or will the market correct to set the stage to grow for more than 12 months straight?

I am going with #2.
Bull-market year tends to be bull-market year; growth, growth, growth. For sustained growth to be possible, it tends to start out of a market low. After three months of growth, a correction is due regardless of the short-term, mid-term or long-term, the market moves in waves.

We are due for a correction, and we will be 100% bullish at the next support focused on the long-term.

Now, there are different pairs and different charts; some are trading low already and these can be bought. Those trading high and at resistance, should be approached with caution because people are really smart.

Only beginners would buy at the top, and the majority of the players approaching the market now have some experience and this will do what is right to win in the long-term.

The beginners buying at the top, these are the ones that will have to go through the first lesson, they will have to wait just like we had to wait when we started trading back in those days.

We noticed the market because of the new All-Time High. We buy in expecting forever growth (March 2024, November 2021, December 2017, 2014), but instead of growth, the market enters a major correction and we learn the first and most basic lesson, you can never buy at the top.

Patience is key. The market is not going away.
If we are bullish for the whole of 2025, there is plenty of time to buy and trade.

This is not financial advice.

Your support is appreciated.

You are reading Alan Santana.

Namaste.