ridethepig | Bullish On Home Fitness ... Pelaton At The Lows!

Atualizado
We can start to look for single stock opportunities as behavioural economics changes as a result of the Coronavirus impact. We are talking about a dramatic loss in confidence, global OCD patient numbers are ticking higher which btw itself from time-to-time be a very useful indicator.

We are talking about an outbreak which has triggered volatility across the board and home enablers will benefit. Would it not be opportune to direct our focus towards a new sector? How to do that will be seen in the following months in the stages of transfer.

As the main background to the theme, VIX now reaches the final stages in the move towards 85 it's time to start looking for value areas in PTON:

ridethepig | VIX Market Commentary 2019.12.20


We are starting to reach the initial targets in SPX and DAX selloffs which implies there will be some profit taking from sellers despite the fact we are entering into a recession:

DAX

ridethepig | DAX 2020 Macro Map


SPX

ridethepig | SPX 2020 Macro Map


Other opps...GILD will continue doing the heavy lifting on Remdesivir (GS-5734) side, this is their free pass into the Chinese Healthcare system. Models will need to start quickly repricing revenue from the Hep B cases in China. GILD will do the heavy lifting here, +/- $20 upside available on the headline for FDA approval which looks around the corner. Flow-wise, the initial target area from the latest technical break comes into play at 86. xx (+25% from current levels).

ridethepig | GILD 2019-nCoV Target


Highlights on the ownership front going to usual suspects in here, Morgan Stanley, Soros, Blackrock, Eminence and Fidelity. This is another known position, it's going to be decided in the next few days. Thanks as usual for keeping the likes and comments rolling.

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Eyes on the close today...
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Crumbs away from the first targets here... come on!
Trade fechado: objetivo atingido
First targets hit, a flawless 35% swing!
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Trade fechado: objetivo atingido
...and final targets cleared!! Well done all those who caught this move, a flawless +80%!!!! swing that we played together during the middle of a historic crash. A textbook example of finding key single stock opportunities.
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Insane overshoots at the highs in PTON...

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The pandemic is a game changer for gyms and home fitness, if more people are going to workout from home -> will more personal trainers become virtual trainers? Home enablers will continue to outperform over the coming months and quarters.
Beyond Technical AnalysisCoronavirus (COVID-19)homeenablersTechnical IndicatorspelatonptonridethepigTrend Analysis

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