Trade idea - Swing trade/short term momentum capturing
- Entry - 400 on retest - Stoploss - 390 (-2.64%) - Position sizing - 20% of the capital - Target - 519.55 (30% of the breakout)
Catalyst behind
- Finance sector as a whole have come out with great results. - Reserve bank of India with their new policy for banks have created a major impact on finance sector also. - Quarterly diluted EPS - 410% up from previous years same quarter (we usually take diluted eps for concentrated analysis and the reason we compare from previous years quarter - because to hinder one time extraordinary earnings on sale of real estate or machinery) - Annual diluted EPS - 720% up from past 3 years (2020 2021 2022) superb earnings - Return on equity - 19.9% (considered great as its above average of 17%) - Total revenue - 16% up from previous years same quarter (record high earnings at 7440 Cr)
Technical analysis
- RSI weekly - crossing 60 - Price is above all trend moving averages - 20dma and 50dma it also took 200dma support - Bollinger band - Squeeze open (volatility contraction)
- It had a shakeout before breakout which gives the confirmation that big institutions are behind this upsurge move. You can add on to positions when monthly breakout point above 425 crosses.
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