PEPE/USDT — Descending Triangle: Breakout or Breakdown?

🟡 Chart Structure

PEPE is currently in a critical phase. The price has been forming a descending triangle (lower highs + horizontal support) for several months.

Current price: 0.000009638

Major Support Zone: 0.000007000 – 0.000011100 (yellow box)

Key Downtrend Resistance: descending yellow trendline from 2025 highs

Upside Levels: 0.000012077 → 0.000014181 → 0.000015557 → 0.000016962 → 0.000021053 → 0.000024000 → 0.000026621

Extreme Low: 0.000002573

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🟢 Bullish Scenario — The Big Breakout

If PEPE breaks above the downtrend line and closes above 0.000012077 with strong volume, then:

1. The descending triangle breakout will be confirmed.


2. Measured Move Target:

Pattern height = (High 0.000028364 − Support 0.000009638) = 0.000018726

Added to breakout level (0.000012077 + 0.000018726) = 0.000030803

Potential upside: +220% from current levels.


3. Likely progression step by step:

Short-term resistance: 0.000014 – 0.000017

Next milestones: 0.000021 – 0.000024 → 0.000026+ toward the final target.


4. If confirmed, this could be one of the strongest rallies of the year for PEPE.

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🔴 Bearish Scenario — Breakdown Risk

Statistically, descending triangles tend to lean bearish. If the yellow support zone (0.000007000 – 0.000009000) breaks with volume, then:

1. The structure fails and selling pressure accelerates.


2. Downside targets:

0.000005000 → 0.000003000 → extreme low at 0.000002573.

3. From current price to 0.000002573 = -73% downside risk.

4. Failure to hold support could trigger a sharp continuation of the bearish trend.

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📐 Technical Pattern — Descending Triangle

Meaning: sellers keep pushing lower highs, while buyers defend one horizontal area.

Bias: bearish continuation by default.

But… if bulls break the trendline, it flips into a powerful bullish reversal signal → often followed by rapid rallies.

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🧠 Key Notes for Traders

Don’t enter trades just because price touches support or resistance → always wait for a 2D candle close + volume confirmation.

Breakout: avoid FOMO, wait for a retest of the breakout area for a safer entry.

Breakdown: avoid holding longs → prepare for deeper support tests.

Risk management is crucial: use stop-loss and proper position sizing.

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✨ Conclusion

PEPE is at a major crossroads:

Breakout → upside potential to 0.000030803 (+220%).

Breakdown → downside risk to the historical low around 0.000002573 (−73%).


This is not just sideways consolidation — it’s a decision zone that could define PEPE’s next big move for the months ahead. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios with strict discipline.

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