ruebennase

NIO....Wave 4 underway? Which degree?

NYSE:NIO   NIO Inc.
Hello Traders,
NIO, the Chinese EV maker is in a corrective mode, since the high at $57.20 on November 24!
This top could be a wave „3“ top and a wave „4“ is underway. Because of the massive advance since the lows at $1.9 on October 2, it could be that a triangle is to develop with the first parts of the pattern to watch!
The stock is actually at $43.04 and is trading close to its EMA50 area at $37.20. A level that could be reached.
I have drawn an „Elliott-channel“ to show the move since the possible wave 2 low at $2.11.
Price have met the upside boundary of the channel that often is the end of the wave 3 moves in this case. If this was the wave 3, NIO can correct a 0.382 Fibonacci of the advance (from $2.11 - $57.20)!
This area is at $16.22 (Log-scale)! And if so to come, that chart would be intact (ok)! A corrective setback will come, sooner or later! And as longer it takes to develop, the harder it will hit the stock!
I think the correction is not done and it could decline to the area $35.51, what is the 0.382 Fib of the advance from $16.44 - $57.20! More corrective potential exist.
Note the EMA200 at $19.87. More often a stock will test this area of support. That means not, that NIO will do it now; but it will do so one day!
I will monitor the stock closely and update the count in the coming days!

Have a great week.....
Ruebennase

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